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Consumer Cyclical - Restaurants - NASDAQ - US
$ 59.99
1.82 %
$ 2.97 B
Market Cap
18.81
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jun, 21, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one CAKE stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 60 USD, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jun, 21, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one CAKE stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 60 USD, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jun, 21, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one CAKE stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 60 USD, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is HIDDEN

2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart CAKE

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$60.0$60.0$58.0$58.0$56.0$56.0$54.0$54.0$52.0$52.0$50.0$50.0$48.0$48.0$46.0$46.0$44.0$44.0Jan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '2515 Apr15 AprMay '25May '2515 May15 MayJun '25Jun '2515 Jun15 Jun
FINANCIALS
3.58 B REVENUE
4.13%
178 M OPERATING INCOME
64.25%
157 M NET INCOME
54.69%
268 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
22.86%
-161 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-4.95%
-78.8 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
36.22%
927 M REVENUE
0.68%
52 M OPERATING INCOME
11.42%
32.9 M NET INCOME
-19.96%
78.9 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-16.04%
-43.4 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-8.20%
15.7 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
172.77%
Balance Sheet The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
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Current Assets 333 M
Cash & Short-Term Investments 84.2 M
Receivables 113 M
Other Current Assets 137 M
Non-Current Assets 2.71 B
Long-Term Investments 0
PP&E 2.24 B
Other Non-Current Assets 467 M
3.70 %4.49 %73.68 %15.36 %Total Assets$3.0b
Current Liabilities 711 M
Accounts Payable 62.1 M
Short-Term Debt 157 M
Other Current Liabilities 492 M
Non-Current Liabilities 1.89 B
Long-Term Debt 452 M
Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.43 B
6.05 %18.94 %17.40 %55.22 %Total Liabilities$2.6b
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
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Revenue 3.58 B
Cost Of Revenue 806 M
Gross Profit 2.78 B
Operating Expenses 2.6 B
Operating Income 178 M
Other Expenses 21.5 M
Net Income 157 M
4b4b4b4b3b3b3b3b2b2b2b2b1b1b500m500m004b(806m)3b(3b)178m(22m)157mRevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
77.50% GROSS MARGIN
77.50%
4.98% OPERATING MARGIN
4.98%
4.38% NET MARGIN
4.38%
35.35% ROE
35.35%
5.15% ROA
5.15%
6.57% ROIC
6.57%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
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200m200m150m150m100m100m50m50m00(50m)(50m)20162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income 157 M
Depreciation & Amortization 101 M
Capital Expenditures -160 M
Stock-Based Compensation 30 M
Change in Working Capital -20.1 M
Others -3.38 M
Free Cash Flow 108 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for CAKE of $49.6 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $39 to a high of $60 .
CAKE Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
39 USD -34.99%
CAKE Average Price Target Wall Street Target
49.6 USD -17.32%
CAKE Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
60 USD 0.02%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
6060555550504545404035353030Aug '24Aug '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26Jun '26Jun '26Jul '26Jul '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
0.52% DIVIDEND YIELD
0.27 USD DIVIDEND PER SHARE
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
1.4001.4001.2001.2001.0001.0000.8000.8000.6000.6000.4000.4000.2000.2000.0000.0000.1650.20.240.290.330.360.270.270.270.1650.20.240.290.330.270.270.270.270.20.240.290.330.360.270.270.270.20.730.240.880.291.060.331.240.361.380.271.170.271.080.271.080.540.0020152015201620162017201720182018201920192020202020222022202320232024202420252025
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5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 11
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
11.3 M USD 4
3-6 MONTHS
12.1 M USD 2
6-9 MONTHS
13.2 M USD 2
9-12 MONTHS
0 USD 0
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
The Cheesecake Factory Celebrates Dads and Grads With a Special Online Gift Card Offer CALABASAS HILLS, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The Cheesecake Factory® (NASDAQ: CAKE), known for its extensive menu, generous portions and legendary desserts, is making shopping for Dads and Grads sweeter and easier this year with a special online gift card offer: For every $100 in Gift Cards purchased online in a single transaction from Thursday, June 5, 2025, through Friday, June 27, 2025, guests will receive a complimentary $20 Bonus Card redeemable June 28, 2025, through July 25, 2025*. With an. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Why Is Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Up 15.5% Since Last Earnings Report? Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock? zacks.com - 1 month ago
Here's Why Investors Should Retain Cheesecake Factory Stock for Now CAKE is shifting from broad offer testing to a personalized engagement strategy to boost response rates and member interaction. Yet, high costs are a concern. zacks.com - 1 month ago
The Cheesecake Factory: Upside Is Not Attractive Despite Positive Fundamental Momentum I give a hold rating for The Cheesecake Factory as the stock is already trading above its historical valuation range. Despite strong 1Q25 performance, including 4% revenue growth and margin expansion, the near-term upside appears limited without significant growth or earnings revisions. CAKE's growth is driven by new store openings and the successful Cheesecake Rewards program, but the market has likely priced in these positives. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Recession Odds Are Falling. Cheesecake Factory and 14 Other Stocks That Should Thrive Fund managers are less worried about an economic slowdown. That's why they loaded up on consumer, industrial, and tech stocks. barrons.com - 1 month ago
Why this analyst says restaurants are 'relatively well' set up for an economic slowdown Texas Roadhouse stock is up after reporting mixed earnings results. Citi director and restaurant analyst Jon Tower explains how consumer behavior and macroeconomic headwinds are shaping the restaurant industry. youtube.com - 1 month ago
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in The Cheesecake Factory Stock? Investors need to pay close attention to CAKE stock based on the movements in the options market lately. zacks.com - 1 month ago
Cheesecake Factory Earnings Leave Sweet Taste, But Analyst Sees Tariff Trouble Brewing Stephens analyst Jim Salera reiterated the Overweight rating on The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated CAKE, with a price forecast of $60. benzinga.com - 2 months ago
Cheesecake Factory Analysts Raise Their Forecasts After Better-Than-Expected Earnings The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated CAKE reported better-than-expected earnings for its first quarter on Wednesday. benzinga.com - 2 months ago
Cheesecake Factory Q1 Earnings & Revenues Surpass Estimates CAKE's Q1 results are aided by a strong performance at its flagship Cheesecake Factory restaurants. Also, a focus on effective operational execution bodes well. zacks.com - 2 months ago
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE ) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call April 30, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants Etienne Marcus - Vice President Finance, Investor Relations David Overton - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer David Gordon - President Matt Clark - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants David Tarantino - Baird Sharon Zackfia - William Blair Andy Barish - Jefferies Jon Tower - Citi Brian Vaccaro - Raymond James Brian Harbour - Morgan Stanley Brian Bittner - Oppenheimer Jim Salera - Stephens Lauren Silberman - Deutsche Bank Jim Sanderson - Northcoast Research Jeffrey Bernstein - Barclays Christine Cho - Goldman Sachs Jeff Farmer - Gordon Haskett Jon Ivankoe - JPMorgan Operator Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. My name is Abby, and I will be your conference operator today. seekingalpha.com - 2 months ago
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates While the top- and bottom-line numbers for Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended March 2025, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values. zacks.com - 2 months ago
8. Profile Summary

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated CAKE

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Restaurants
MARKET CAP $ 2.97 B
Dividend Yield 0.52%
Description The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates restaurants. It operates two bakeries that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company owns and operates 306 restaurants throughout the United States and Canada under brands, including 208 The Cheesecake Factory and 29 North Italia; and a collection of Fox Restaurant Concepts, as well as 29 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants under licensing agreements internationally. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.
Contact 26901 Malibu Hills Road, Calabasas, CA, 91301 https://www.thecheesecakefactory.com
IPO Date Sept. 18, 1992
Employees 47900
Officers Mr. David M. Overton Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Mr. David M. Gordon President Mr. Keith T. Carango President of The Cheesecake Factory Bakery Incorporated Ms. Ashley W. Hanscom Vice President, Principal Accounting Officer & Controller Mr. Matthew Eliot Clark Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer Ms. Scarlett A. May J.D. Executive Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary Mr. Etienne Marcus Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations Mr. Donald Evans Chief Marketing Officer & Senior Vice President Ms. Dina R. Barmasse-Gray Senior Vice President of Human Resources Ms. Cheryl M. Slomann Senior Vice President of Finance & Compliance