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Technology - Software - Application - NYSE - CN
$ 10.51
-4.75 %
$ 550 M
Market Cap
25.63
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one YMM stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 10.5 USD, Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one YMM stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 10.5 USD, Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one YMM stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 10.5 USD, Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. is HIDDEN

2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart YMM

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$14.0$14.0$13.0$13.0$12.0$12.0$11.0$11.0$10.0$10.0$9.0$9.0$8.0$8.015 Oct15 OctNov '24Nov '2415 Nov15 NovDec '24Dec '2415 Dec15 DecJan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '25
FINANCIALS
11.2 B REVENUE
33.22%
2.47 B OPERATING INCOME
148.14%
3.07 B NET INCOME
37.84%
0 OPERATING CASH FLOW
0.00%
0 INVESTING CASH FLOW
0.00%
0 FINANCING CASH FLOW
100.00%
3.17 B REVENUE
4.71%
835 M OPERATING INCOME
9.64%
558 M NET INCOME
-49.56%
0 OPERATING CASH FLOW
0.00%
0 INVESTING CASH FLOW
0.00%
0 FINANCING CASH FLOW
0.00%
Balance Sheet Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
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Current Assets 27.3 B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 20.8 B
Receivables 19.6 M
Other Current Assets 6.42 B
Non-Current Assets 14 B
Long-Term Investments 9.88 B
PP&E 405 M
Other Non-Current Assets 3.75 B
50.41 %15.56 %23.92 %9.08 %Total Assets$41.3b
Current Liabilities 3.02 B
Accounts Payable 31.2 M
Short-Term Debt 41.2 M
Other Current Liabilities 2.95 B
Non-Current Liabilities 132 M
Long-Term Debt 23.9 M
Other Non-Current Liabilities 108 M
93.52 %3.43 %Total Liabilities$3.2b
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
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Revenue 11.2 B
Cost Of Revenue 1.5 B
Gross Profit 9.73 B
Operating Expenses 7.26 B
Operating Income 2.47 B
Other Expenses -595 M
Net Income 3.07 B
12b12b10b10b8b8b6b6b4b4b2b2b0011b(2b)10b(7b)2b595m3bRevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
86.62% GROSS MARGIN
86.62%
22.02% OPERATING MARGIN
22.02%
27.32% NET MARGIN
27.32%
8.15% ROE
8.15%
7.44% ROA
7.44%
6.00% ROIC
6.00%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
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3b3b2b2b2b2b1b1b500m500m00(500m)(500m)(1b)(1b)202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income 3.07 B
Depreciation & Amortization 74.7 M
Capital Expenditures 0
Stock-Based Compensation 497 M
Change in Working Capital 0
Others -3.57 B
Free Cash Flow 0
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for YMM of $12.8 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $9 to a high of $18 .
YMM Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
9 USD -14.37%
YMM Average Price Target Wall Street Target
12.8 USD 22.03%
YMM Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
18 USD 71.27%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
181816161414121210108866May '24May '24Jul '24Jul '24Aug '24Aug '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
0.00% DIVIDEND YIELD
0.0816 USD DIVIDEND PER SHARE
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0.16000.16000.14000.14000.12000.12000.10000.10000.08000.08000.06000.06000.04000.04000.02000.02000.00000.00000.14440.140.08160.082024202420252025
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5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 14
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
0 USD 0
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
China's Full Truck Alliance eyes Hong Kong listing, strong 2025 growth, says executive Full Truck Alliance (FTA) , China's "Uber for trucks", could revisit plans for a second listing in Hong Kong in the wake of a rebound in investor sentiment and an escalation in Sino-U.S. geopolitical tensions, a company executive said. reuters.com - 1 month ago
Full Truck Alliance: Maintain 'Buy' After Strong Q4 Results Full Truck Alliance's Q4 2024 results showed strong growth, with net revenues up 32% and non-GAAP net income up 43.5% year-over-year. The stock surged 13% post-earnings, validating my thesis of rapid growth driven by increasing order volume and monetization rate. Despite the rally, YMM remains undervalued; I maintain a "buy" rating with a target price of $17.5-18, implying a 32% upside. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (NYSE:YMM ) Q4 2024 Earnings Call March 5, 2025 7:00 AM ET Company Participants Mao Mao - Head, Investor Relations Hui Zhang - Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Simon Cai - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Ronald Keung - Goldman Sachs Brian Gong - Citi Charlie Chen - China Renaissance Wendy Zhang - CIBC Ritchie Sun - HSBC Juan Liao - CITIC Thomas Chong - Jefferies Operator Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Full Truck Alliance's Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Announces Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2024 Unaudited Financial Results GUIYANG, China , March 5, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. ("FTA" or the "Company") (NYSE: YMM), a leading digital freight platform, today announced its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2024. prnewswire.com - 1 month ago
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. to Announce Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results on Wednesday, March 5, 2025 Earnings Call Scheduled for 7:00 A.M. U.S. ET on March 5, 2025   GUIYANG, China , Feb. 14, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. prnewswire.com - 2 months ago
3 Brilliant Growth Stocks to Buy Now and Hold for the Long Term One of the best ways to grow your wealth is to invest in growth stocks and hold them over the long term. By doing so, you can enjoy steady capital appreciation as you witness the rise in the value of your investment portfolio. fool.com - 2 months ago
Baron Emerging Markets Fund: Q4 2024 Top Contributors And Detractors The Fund declined 7.35% in Q4 2024, outperforming the MSCI Emerging Markets Index but slightly lagging the MSCI Emerging Markets IMI Growth Index. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. were top contributors due to strong demand and technological leadership. Swiggy Limited and Alibaba Group Holding Limited were top detractors, with Swiggy's IPO underperforming and Alibaba facing domestic commerce growth challenges. seekingalpha.com - 2 months ago
Full Truck Alliance: Too Cheap For The Growth. Full Truck Alliance (YMM) is China's largest digital freight platform, offering freight matching and value-added services, with a dominant market share and significant growth potential. YMM's revenue and order volume are increasing, driven by rising online penetration rates and higher monetization rates, with a projected revenue growth of over 20% in 2025 and 2026. Despite regulatory and competitive risks, YMM's current valuation is low, trading at 16 times 2025 earnings, with a target price of $16.5-$17 per share. seekingalpha.com - 3 months ago
Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Does Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Sponsored ADR (YMM) have what it takes to be a top stock pick for momentum investors? zacks.com - 4 months ago
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (NYSE:YMM ) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call November 20, 2024 7:00 AM ET Company Participants Mao Mao - Head of Investor Relations Hui Zhang - Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Simon Cai - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Charlie Chen - China Renaissance Eddy Wang - Morgan Stanley Jiulu Li - CICC Yuxuan Mi - UBS Operator Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Full Truck Alliance's Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. seekingalpha.com - 4 months ago
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Sponsored ADR (YMM) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Sponsored ADR (YMM) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.17 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.15 per share. zacks.com - 4 months ago
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Announces Third Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results GUIYANG, China , Nov. 20, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. ("FTA" or the "Company") (NYSE: YMM), a leading digital freight platform, today announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. prnewswire.com - 4 months ago
8. Profile Summary

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. YMM

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COUNTRY CN
INDUSTRY Software - Application
MARKET CAP $ 550 M
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Description Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates a digital freight platform that connects shippers with truckers to facilitate shipments across distance ranges, cargo weights, and types in the People's Republic of China. The company offers freight listing, matching, and brokerage services; and online transaction services, as well as various value-added services, such as credit solutions, insurance brokerage, electronic toll collection, and energy services. It also provides technology development and other services. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Guiyang, China.
Contact No. 123 Kaifa Avenue, Guiyang, 550009 https://www.fulltruckalliance.com
IPO Date June 23, 2021
Employees 7585
Officers Mr. Kai Shen Chief Risk Officer & General Counsel Mr. Langbo Guo President & Director Mao Mao Head of Investor Relations Mr. Chong Cai Chief Financial Officer Mr. Hui Zhang Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer