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Consumer Cyclical - Auto - Parts - NYSE - US
$ 4.38
0.114 %
$ 520 M
Market Cap
24.33
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jul, 6, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one AXL stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 4.38 USD, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jul, 6, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one AXL stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 4.38 USD, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jul, 6, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one AXL stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 4.38 USD, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. is HIDDEN

2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart AXL

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$6.0$6.0$5.5$5.5$5.0$5.0$4.5$4.5$4.0$4.0$3.5$3.5$3.0$3.015 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '2515 Apr15 AprMay '25May '2515 May15 MayJun '25Jun '2515 Jun15 JunJul '25Jul '25
FINANCIALS
6.12 B REVENUE
0.75%
241 M OPERATING INCOME
64.67%
35 M NET INCOME
204.17%
455 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
14.97%
-255 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-38.10%
-156 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
23.99%
1.41 B REVENUE
2.21%
42.7 M OPERATING INCOME
17.96%
7.1 M NET INCOME
157.26%
55.9 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-63.03%
-40.2 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
50.12%
-24 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
52.19%
Balance Sheet American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
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Current Assets 1.91 B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 553 M
Receivables 734 M
Other Current Assets 628 M
Non-Current Assets 3.15 B
Long-Term Investments 7.3 M
PP&E 1.73 B
Other Non-Current Assets 1.4 B
10.93 %14.50 %12.41 %34.25 %27.76 %Total Assets$5.1b
Current Liabilities 1.18 B
Accounts Payable 700 M
Short-Term Debt 70.7 M
Other Current Liabilities 404 M
Non-Current Liabilities 3.32 B
Long-Term Debt 2.67 B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 655 M
15.58 %8.98 %59.30 %14.57 %Total Liabilities$4.5b
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
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Revenue 6.12 B
Cost Of Revenue 5.38 B
Gross Profit 741 M
Operating Expenses 500 M
Operating Income 241 M
Other Expenses 206 M
Net Income 35 M
7b7b6b6b5b5b4b4b3b3b2b2b1b1b006b(5b)741m(500m)241m(206m)35mRevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
12.10% GROSS MARGIN
12.10%
3.94% OPERATING MARGIN
3.94%
0.57% NET MARGIN
0.57%
6.22% ROE
6.22%
0.69% ROA
0.69%
3.40% ROIC
3.40%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
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400m400m350m350m300m300m250m250m200m200m150m150m100m100m50m50m0020162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income 35 M
Depreciation & Amortization 470 M
Capital Expenditures -251 M
Stock-Based Compensation 0
Change in Working Capital -38.1 M
Others -17.4 M
Free Cash Flow 204 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for AXL of $9.7 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $7 to a high of $12 .
AXL Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
7 USD 59.82%
AXL Average Price Target Wall Street Target
9.7 USD 121.46%
AXL Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
12 USD 173.97%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
12121111101099887766554433Aug '24Aug '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26Jun '26Jun '26Jul '26Jul '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 13
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
0 USD 0
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
1.8 M USD 2
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
American Axle: M&A Efforts And Repurchase Of Notes Could Push The Price Up American Axle & Manufacturing is undervalued at 4.9x 2027 EPS, with strong clients like GM and Stellantis supporting stable demand and future growth. Ongoing M&A, restructuring, and asset sales are expected to improve financial flexibility, reduce net debt, and enhance free cash flow margins. The Dowlais acquisition could bring synergies and FCF margin expansion, while note repurchases and asset divestitures further strengthen the balance sheet. seekingalpha.com - 2 weeks ago
AAM Recognizes Top Suppliers with Awards Annual Supplier Day Event Awards 16 Suppliers  DETROIT , June 18, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AAM), (NYSE: AXL), a leading global Tier 1 automotive supplier of driveline and metal forming technologies, named top suppliers during their Supplier Day event. The annual event recognizes key suppliers with Supplier of the Year Awards and Supplier Excellence Awards across delivery, quality, launch performance, innovation and sustainability. prnewswire.com - 2 weeks ago
OpenZeppelin and Axelar Introduce OpenBridge, Composable Crosschain Security for Onchain Applications BERLIN--(BUSINESS WIRE)---- $AXL #axelar--OpenZeppelin, the most trusted provider of open source standards for building secure blockchain applications, and Interop Labs, the initial developer of Axelar, a leading web3 interoperability platform, announced today the launch of OpenBridge, an open source framework for developers to integrate multiple interoperability protocols in a single message. OpenBridge is built on the ERC-7786 crosschain messaging standard, recently endorsed by the Ethereum Foundation's Inter. businesswire.com - 3 weeks ago
Arrow Exploration starts share buybacks Arrow Exploration Corp (TSX-V:AXL, AIM:AXL, OTC:CSTPF) has announced the start of a share buyback programme, for up to £2.7 million of shares. It will be funded out of existing cash, executed by stockbroker Canaccord Genuity and acquired shares will be cancelled. proactiveinvestors.co.uk - 3 weeks ago
AAM Secures New Business to Support Scout Motors' Iconic SUV and Truck Launch DETROIT , June 11, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AAM), (NYSE: AXL) announced it has secured an agreement with Scout Motors to supply front electric drive units (EDUs) and rear e-Beam axles for the much-anticipated launch of the all-new electric Traveler SUV and Terra pickup truck. Both the Scout Traveler SUV and Scout Terra pickup truck will be built on a body-on-frame chassis and configurable with 100 percent battery electric or gasoline fueled range-extended energy systems to give customers the confidence they need to electrify on their terms. prnewswire.com - 3 weeks ago
Upbit Lists Axelar's AXL Token in AXL/KRW Trading Pair SEOUL, South Korea--(BUSINESS WIRE)---- $AXL #axelar--Upbit, a South Korean cryptocurrency exchange, announced the listing of AXL, the native token of Axelar Network, in an AXL/KRW trading pair, effective June 10, 2025. The listing is detailed in Upbit's official notice. In its opening hours, the AXL-KRW pair recorded trading volume of over $220 million, ranking as the third largest trading pair on Upbit by 24-hour volume, surpassing BTC/KRW and XRP/KRW pairs, per CoinGecko data. The AXL token supports Axelar's. businesswire.com - 3 weeks ago
AAM to Present at the Deutsche Bank 2025 Global Auto Industry Conference on June 11 DETROIT , June 6, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AAM), (NYSE: AXL) will participate in the Deutsche Bank 2025 Global Auto Industry Conference on June 11.  AAM is scheduled to webcast the fireside chat presentation at 1:25 p.m. prnewswire.com - 1 month ago
Arrow Exploration set for upside as well schedule keeps delivering catalysts - analyst Arrow Exploration Corp (TSX-V:AXL, AIM:AXL, OTC:CSTPF) shares will be driven higher by its ongoing and regular drill activity, that’s according to analysts at Zeus Capital. The London-based stockbroker has repeated a ‘Buy’ recommendation with a price target pitched at 45p, compared to Arrow’s current market price of around 16.3p. Earlier today, Arrow reported a 36% increase in total oil and gas revenue, reaching US$19.51 million. First quarter earnings (EBITDA) climbed 15% to US$11.53 million, whilst net income amounted to US$2.66 million for the quarter. It comes as the growing oil and gas group continues to develop its fields in Colombia, with new horizontal wells unlocking higher volumes. Production increased to 4,085 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d), up 50% compared to the same period a year ago. Operating cash flow totalled $14.43 million, and the company ended the quarter with $24.95 million in cash, after $11.38 million of capex in the three-month period. Arrow drilled two development wells, AB 2 and AB 3, in the Alberta Llanos field. It also completed a 90 km² seismic survey on the southeast Tapir Block. Post-quarter, Arrow spudded the AB HZ4 horizontal well and entered into a US$20 million prepayment agreement with an integrated energy firm to market its Colombian oil. "The first quarter of 2025 has been exciting for Arrow,” chief executive Marshall Abbott said in a statement. Regular drilling, regular news flow Zeus Capital analyst Daniel Slater, in a note, highlighted that Arrow’s schedule of drilling will provide catalysts for the company to raise its valuation. “Going forward, we look for ongoing execution of the 2025 work programme, and for this to support higher production rates to help underpin our full year forecasts,” Slater said. The analyst added: “These results demonstrate the company’s ability to generate production cash flows to fund its significant ongoing 2025 drilling programme, while also building the balance sheet cash position. “While we will need to see a ramp up in production over the rest of the year in order to make our forecasts, the company is well placed to do this given the increased drilling programme that is planned.” Horizontal development Arrow boss Marshall Abbott today told investors that recent well successes - AB 2 and AB 3 – in the Alberta Llanos field highlighted the potential for horizontal development in the Ubaque reservoir, as well as follow-up zones in the C7 and Guadalupe zones. "During the dry summer months in the Llanos basin, the company has developed a new road system from the Carrizales Norte pad to the Capullo pad, the Mateguafa Oeste pad and the Mateguafa Attic pad,” Abbott said. “These pads will be utilised in the company's planned drilling program for the remainder of 2025. The company has secured a second rig which is expected to spud the first of four wells at RCE in early June." Abbott, meanwhile, highlighted that Arrow retains “very healthy netbacks” on its production, in spite of the oil price volatility seen in global markets through early 2025. He noted that the focus is on growing production, continuing development at the Carrizales Norte, Rio Cravo Este and Alberta Llanos fields. Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST, ETR:CTO) posted quarterly earnings and revenue that topped Wall Street estimates, as the membership-only warehouse retailer saw its sales jump 8% year-over-year. For the fiscal third quarter which ended on May 11, revenue was $63.2 billion, ahead of the $63.19 billion expected by analysts. Profit for the quarter was $1.9 billion or $4.28 per share, beating estimates of $4.24. Costco does provide an annual outlook, but during its earnings call, CEO Ron Vachris addressed the impact of tariffs. The CEO said the company has proactively managed tariff challenges by accelerating shipments, sourcing more American-made products, and frequently adjusting prices to minimize cost impacts. The company’s tariff exposure is well-managed, analysts at Jefferies believe. “Costco re-confirmed that roughly a third of US sales are imported from other countries, including 8% from China, which drove positive low-single-digit percentage inflation in non-food items,” they wrote. “Management noted rerouting these goods to non-US markets, advancing summer goods, and boosting locally sourced production in the US and Asia, which has lowered member prices by 40% in some regions.” The analysts also highlighted Costco’s efforts to enhance the member experience through technology pilots, such as its expedited checkout technology, ‘Scan-and-Go.’ “Combined with the integration of digital membership cards and improvements in digital wallet usage, management noted improved throughput, evidenced by the immediate positive impact on gas station gallon sales,” analysts wrote. Market share gains ahead Jefferies maintained its 'Buy' rating on Costco following the company’s “strong print” for Q1, noting it is well-positioned for further share gains ahead. “Costco is a defensive name by nature due to its membership model that generates predictable sales and profits, an attractive value orientation, a higher-income customer, and a relatively significant penetration of consumables as a percentage of sales,” they wrote. “Additionally, the company continues to open new clubs in the US, has a meaningful runway for ongoing international expansion, notably China, and recently raised its membership prices.” The analysts have a price target of $1,180 on Costco, reflecting upside of 17% at the time of writing. Shares of Costco moved higher in early trade on Friday, adding 2.7% at about $1,036. https://www.proactiveinvestors.com - 1 month ago
Arrow Exploration set for upside as well schedule keeps delivering catalysts - analyst Arrow Exploration Corp (TSX-V:AXL, AIM:AXL, OTC:CSTPF) shares will be driven higher by its ongoing and regular drill activity, that's according to analysts at Zeus Capital. The London-based stockbroker has repeated a ‘Buy' recommendation with a price target pitched at 45p, compared to Arrow's current market price of around 16.3p. proactiveinvestors.co.uk - 1 month ago
Arrow Exploration grows production and revenue in “exciting” quarter Arrow Exploration Corp (TSX-V:AXL, AIM:AXL, OTC:CSTPF) described its first quarter as “exciting” as it reported a 36% increase in total oil and gas revenue, reaching US$19.51 million. First quarter earnings (EBITDA) climbed 15% to US$11.53 million, whilst net income amounted to US$2.66 million for the quarter. proactiveinvestors.co.uk - 1 month ago
American Axle to seek London secondary listing ahead of Dowlais merger American Axle & Manufacturing plans to pursue a secondary listing on the London Stock Exchange as part of its proposed $1.4 billion merger with Dowlais Group PLC (LSE:DWL), the companies said on Friday. Shares would be admitted to the equity shares (international commercial companies secondary listing) category of the Official List and trade on the LSE's Main Market. proactiveinvestors.co.uk - 1 month ago
Don't Overlook American Axle (AXL) International Revenue Trends While Assessing the Stock Explore American Axle's (AXL) international revenue trends and how these numbers impact Wall Street's forecasts and what's ahead for the stock. zacks.com - 1 month ago
8. Profile Summary

American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. AXL

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Auto - Parts
MARKET CAP $ 520 M
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Description American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, and manufactures driveline and metal forming technologies that supports electric, hybrid, and internal combustion vehicles in the United States, Mexico, South America, China, other Asian countries, and Europe. It operates through Driveline and Metal Forming segments. The Driveline segment offers front and rear axles, driveshafts, differential assemblies, clutch modules, balance shaft systems, disconnecting driveline technology, and electric and hybrid driveline products and systems for light trucks, sport utility vehicles, crossover vehicles, passenger cars, and commercial vehicles. The Metal Forming segment provides axle and transmission shafts, ring and pinion gears, differential gears and assemblies, and connecting rods and variable valve timing products for original equipment manufacturers and tier 1 automotive suppliers. American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. has technology development agreement with Suzhou Inovance Automotive Ltd. and REE Automotive Ltd. American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.
Contact One Dauch Drive, Detroit, MI, 48211-1198 https://www.aam.com
IPO Date Jan. 29, 1999
Employees 19000
Officers Mr. James G. Zaliwski Chief Accounting Officer Ms. Terri M. Kemp Senior Vice President of Human Resources & Sustainability Mr. David H. Lim Head of Investor Relations Mr. David Eugene Barnes J.D. Chief Compliance Officer & Corporate Secretary Mr. Donald E. Wright Chief Information Officer & Vice President Mr. Christopher John May CPA Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer Mr. Tolga I. Oal President of Driveline Mr. Matthew Keats Paroly Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary Mr. David Charles Dauch Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Mr. Michael Joseph Lynch President & Chief Operating Officer