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Consumer Cyclical - Specialty Retail - NYSE - US
$ 32.785
2.42 %
$ 1.96 B
Market Cap
-3.32
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 22, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one AAP stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 32.8 USD, Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 22, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one AAP stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 32.8 USD, Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 22, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one AAP stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 32.8 USD, Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is HIDDEN

2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart AAP

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$50.0$50.0$48.0$48.0$46.0$46.0$44.0$44.0$42.0$42.0$40.0$40.0$38.0$38.0$36.0$36.0$34.0$34.0$32.0$32.0$30.0$30.0Nov '24Nov '2415 Nov15 NovDec '24Dec '2415 Dec15 DecJan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '2515 Apr15 Apr
FINANCIALS
9.09 B REVENUE
-19.43%
-713 M OPERATING INCOME
-623.64%
-587 M NET INCOME
-1973.95%
84.6 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-70.55%
1.35 B INVESTING CASH FLOW
675.29%
-75 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-39.63%
2 B REVENUE
-7.07%
-820 M OPERATING INCOME
-203474.44%
-610 M NET INCOME
-876.39%
-73.3 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-104.54%
1.48 B INVESTING CASH FLOW
3398.53%
-17.3 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-17.23%
Balance Sheet Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
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Current Assets 6.14 B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1.87 B
Receivables 544 M
Other Current Assets 3.73 B
Non-Current Assets 4.65 B
Long-Term Investments 0
PP&E 3.58 B
Other Non-Current Assets 1.08 B
17.31 %5.04 %34.54 %33.13 %9.98 %Total Assets$10.8b
Current Liabilities 4.67 B
Accounts Payable 3.41 B
Short-Term Debt 0
Other Current Liabilities 1.26 B
Non-Current Liabilities 3.96 B
Long-Term Debt 3.69 B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 276 M
39.50 %14.57 %42.72 %3.20 %Total Liabilities$8.6b
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
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Revenue 9.09 B
Cost Of Revenue 5.69 B
Gross Profit 3.41 B
Operating Expenses 4.12 B
Operating Income -713 M
Other Expenses -126 M
Net Income -587 M
10b10b9b9b8b8b7b7b6b6b5b5b4b4b3b3b2b2b1b1b00(1b)(1b)9b(6b)3b(4b)(713m)126m(587m)RevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
37.48% GROSS MARGIN
37.48%
-7.84% OPERATING MARGIN
-7.84%
-3.69% NET MARGIN
-3.69%
-15.47% ROE
-15.47%
-3.11% ROA
-3.11%
-8.89% ROIC
-8.89%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
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900m900m800m800m700m700m600m600m500m500m400m400m300m300m200m200m100m100m00(100m)(100m)201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income -587 M
Depreciation & Amortization 292 M
Capital Expenditures -181 M
Stock-Based Compensation 42.2 M
Change in Working Capital 400 M
Others 351 M
Free Cash Flow -96.2 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for AAP of $59.5 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $38 to a high of $85 .
AAP Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
38 USD 15.91%
AAP Average Price Target Wall Street Target
59.5 USD 81.37%
AAP Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
85 USD 159.26%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
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4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
0.57% DIVIDEND YIELD
0.25 USD DIVIDEND PER SHARE
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6.006.005.005.004.004.003.003.002.002.001.001.000.000.000.250.251.50.250.250.250.2511.51.50.250.250.2511.50.250.250.240.240.240.240.240.251.0012.501.55.500.252.250.252.250.250.252015201520162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
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5. COMPETITION
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6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
56.2 K USD 1
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
0 USD 0
Bought
599 K USD 4
0-3 MONTHS
148 K USD 2
3-6 MONTHS
2.55 K USD 1
6-9 MONTHS
30.2 K USD 1
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
Retail Data Shows Urgency in Auto Parts: These 3 Stocks Could Win The new economic environment has shifted to a new view lately, especially as the implications of new trade tariffs rolled out by President Trump start to take effect on both the psychology and budget of the consumer. More than that, business owners and managers are now starting to make buying decisions based on the potential impact of these tariffs as well. marketbeat.com - 1 week ago
All You Need to Know About Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Rating Upgrade to Buy Advance Auto Parts (AAP) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. This might drive the stock higher in the near term. zacks.com - 2 weeks ago
Advance Auto Parts Stock: A Classic Rebound Play in the Making Advance Auto Parts NYSE: AAP stock can rebound in 2025. The company is working hard to simplify its structure and reposition itself for sustainable, profitable growth centered on improving store metrics and aggressively increasing store count. marketbeat.com - 3 weeks ago
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Up 9.2% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue? Advance Auto Parts (AAP) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock? zacks.com - 1 month ago
The Big 3: GOOGL, AAP, AMZN Tariffs and tech take Joe Tigay's focus on today's Big 3. He talks about why Alphabet (GOOGL) is a buy despite its pullback, Advance Auto Parts' (AAP) rally after the auto tariffs announcement and how Amazon (AMZN) is at the "crossroads" between the American consumer and A.I. youtube.com - 1 month ago
Advance Auto Parts is opening 30 new stores in 2025 despite Trump tariff threats Despite swirling economic uncertainty—and tariffs that could hit the auto parts industry particularly hard—one large auto parts retailer is gearing up for expansion. Advance Auto Parts is going to open 30 new locations across the United States by the end of 2025, and aims to open “at least an additional 100 new locations through 2027,” according to a company announcement released on Tuesday. fastcompany.com - 1 month ago
Advance Auto Parts Opening New Stores After Completing Strategic Optimization of U.S. Retail Footprint RALEIGH, N.C.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE: AAP), a leading automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America that serves both professional installer and do-it-yourself customers, announced today that it has completed the store closure phase of its transformation plan and is entering its next phase of returning to growth. Optimization of the retail footprint was key to Advance's broader transformation plan to reposition the company for long-term success. Now, more than. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Advance Auto Parts: Ready For A Major Turnaround Advance Auto Parts may be down 85% from its peak, but it's beginning to show plenty of promise, with investors no where close to pricing in the potential upside. Despite disappointing Q4 results, including a significant EPS crash and margin contraction, the company's restructuring efforts and future guidance offer plenty of optimism. The sale of Worldpac for $1.45 billion will also help to drastically reduce debt, while ahead-of-schedule store closures are expected to boost EPS and financial stability going into H2. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Here's Why Advance Auto Parts Hit a Road Block in February Shares of auto parts retailer Advance Auto Parts (AAP -2.34%) declined by 23.9% in February, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. The decline came mainly after the company issued disappointing fourth-quarter 2024 earnings and 2025 guidance. fool.com - 1 month ago
Is Advance Auto Parts Turning The Corner? Analyst Predicts Slow Recovery And Market Share Losses JPMorgan analyst Christopher Horvers reiterated the Neutral rating on Advance Auto Parts Inc. AAP, with a price forecast of $41. benzinga.com - 2 months ago
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock? Advance Auto Parts (AAP) might move higher on growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which is reflected by its upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). zacks.com - 2 months ago
Build a Winning Portfolio With These 5 Bargain Price-to-Sales Stocks The price-to-sales ratio is a convenient tool to gauge the value of stocks incurring losses or in an early development cycle. Stocks like AAP, PAGS, ROCK, GBX and CHX hold promise. zacks.com - 2 months ago
8. Profile Summary

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. AAP

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Specialty Retail
MARKET CAP $ 1.96 B
Dividend Yield 0.57%
Description Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles, and light and heavy duty trucks. The company offers battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis and climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wires; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also offers air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluids; electrical wires and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers, and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting products; performance parts; sealants, adhesives and compounds; tire repair accessories; vent shades, mirrors and exterior accessories; washes, waxes and cleaning supplies; and wiper blades. In addition, the company offers air filters; fuel and oil additives; fuel filters; grease and lubricants; motor oils; oil filters, part cleaners and treatments; and transmission fluids for engine maintenance. Further, it offers battery and wiper installation; engine light scanning and checking; electrical system testing; video clinic; oil and battery recycling; and loaner tool program services. Additionally, the company sells its products through its website. It serves professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. The company operates stores under the Advance Auto Parts, Autopart International, and Carquest brands, as well as branches under the Worldpac name. As of April 23, 2022, it operated 4,687 stores and 311 branches in the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada; and served 1,318 independently owned Carquest branded stores in Mexico, Grand Cayman, the Bahamas, Turks and Caicos, and the British Virgin Islands. The company was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina.
Contact 4200 Six Forks Road, Raleigh, NC, 27604 https://www.advanceautoparts.com
IPO Date Nov. 29, 2001
Employees 33200
Officers Mr. Jeff R. Vining Executive Vice President, General counsel & Corporate secretary Mr. Herman L. Word Jr. Executive Officer Mr. Michael Beland Senior Vice President, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer Ms. Shweta Bhatia Executive Vice President & Chief Technology Officer Mr. Stephen J. Szilagyi Executive Vice President of Supply Chain Mr. Carlos A. Saladrigas CPA Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Regis HR Ms. Kristen Soler Executive Vice President of Human Resources & CHRO Ms. Tammy Moss Finley Advisor Mr. Ryan Grimsland Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly President, Chief Executive Officer & Director