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ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. ARR
Real Estate - REIT - Mortgage - NYSE - US
Watchlist
$ 14.62
-2.99 %
$ 1.17 B
Market Cap
-28.67
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one ARR stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 14.6 USD, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is HIDDEN

ARR Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one ARR stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 14.6 USD, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is HIDDEN

ARR Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one ARR stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 14.6 USD, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is HIDDEN

ARR Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW
2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart ARR

image
1M -27%
6M -32%
1Y -11%
3Y -59%
5Y -41%
All
$20.0$20.0$19.5$19.5$19.0$19.0$18.5$18.5$18.0$18.0$17.5$17.5$17.0$17.0$16.5$16.5$16.0$16.0$15.5$15.5$15.0$15.0$14.5$14.515 Oct15 OctNov '24Nov '2415 Nov15 NovDec '24Dec '2415 Dec15 DecJan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '25
FINANCIALS
-478 K REVENUE
-0.11%
Growth Rates
1Year -0.11%
3Years -0.82%
5Years 70.57%
7Years -0.05%
10Years 44.40%
-1.02 B OPERATING INCOME
0.00%
Growth Rates
1Year 0.00%
3Years -306.88%
5Years -32.47%
7Years -24.73%
10Years -24.50%
-14.4 M NET INCOME
78.81%
Growth Rates
1Year 78.81%
3Years -24.65%
5Years 43.50%
7Years -1.10%
10Years 22.28%
261 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
96.86%
Growth Rates
1Year 96.86%
3Years 181.36%
5Years 53.14%
7Years 13.15%
10Years -1.85%
-1.69 B INVESTING CASH FLOW
44.53%
Growth Rates
1Year 44.53%
3Years -63.21%
5Years 17.42%
7Years -9.43%
10Years -7.79%
1.31 B FINANCING CASH FLOW
-56.95%
Growth Rates
1Year -56.95%
3Years 81.36%
5Years -21.75%
7Years 7.70%
10Years 10.59%
-45.2 M REVENUE
-68.00%
Growth Rates
1Year -0.11%
3Years -0.82%
5Years 70.57%
7Years -0.05%
10Years 44.40%
-187 M OPERATING INCOME
-97.73%
Growth Rates
1Year 0.00%
3Years -306.88%
5Years -32.47%
7Years -24.73%
10Years -24.50%
-46.4 M NET INCOME
-70.49%
Growth Rates
1Year 78.81%
3Years -24.65%
5Years 43.50%
7Years -1.10%
10Years 22.28%
90.4 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
91.93%
Growth Rates
1Year 96.86%
3Years 181.36%
5Years 53.14%
7Years 13.15%
10Years -1.85%
-737 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
77.41%
Growth Rates
1Year 44.53%
3Years -63.21%
5Years 17.42%
7Years -9.43%
10Years -7.79%
595 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-81.56%
Growth Rates
1Year -56.95%
3Years 81.36%
5Years -21.75%
7Years 7.70%
10Years 10.59%
Balance Sheet ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
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Current Assets 121 M
Cash & Short-Term Investments 68 M
Receivables 52.9 M
Other Current Assets 0
Non-Current Assets 643 M
Long-Term Investments 643 M
PP&E 0
Other Non-Current Assets 0
8.90 %6.93 %84.17 %Total Assets$763.4m
Current Liabilities 144 M
Accounts Payable 40.6 M
Short-Term Debt 0
Other Current Liabilities 104 M
Non-Current Liabilities 0
Long-Term Debt 0
Other Non-Current Liabilities 0
28.19 %71.81 %Total Liabilities$144.1m
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
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Revenue -478 K
Cost Of Revenue 0
Gross Profit -478 K
Operating Expenses -478 K
Operating Income -1.02 B
Other Expenses -1.01 B
Net Income -14.4 M
00(200m)(200m)(400m)(400m)(600m)(600m)(800m)(800m)(1b)(1b)(1b)(1b)(478k)0(478k)478k(1b)1b(14m)RevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
100.00% GROSS MARGIN
100.00%
Averages
1Year 100.00%
3Years 134.27%
5Years 117.08%
7Years 132.13%
10Years 75.46%
213285.36% OPERATING MARGIN
213285.36%
Averages
1Year 213285.36%
3Years 71112.99%
5Years 42877.56%
7Years 30633.30%
10Years 21511.52%
3011.30% NET MARGIN
3011.30%
Averages
1Year 3011.30%
3Years 1034.43%
5Years 827.27%
7Years 633.91%
10Years 382.87%
-1.06% ROE
-1.06%
Averages
1Year -1.06%
3Years -9.38%
5Years -10.36%
7Years -11.60%
10Years -7.69%
-0.11% ROA
-0.11%
Averages
1Year -0.11%
3Years -1.07%
5Years -1.44%
7Years -1.52%
10Years -0.98%
-164.63% ROIC
-164.63%
Averages
1Year -164.63%
3Years -55.62%
5Years -33.65%
7Years -24.14%
10Years -16.90%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
image
8b8b7b7b6b6b5b5b4b4b3b3b2b2b1b1b00(1b)(1b)20162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income -14.4 M
Depreciation & Amortization -345 K
Capital Expenditures 0
Stock-Based Compensation 3.24 M
Change in Working Capital -38.1 M
Others 275 M
Free Cash Flow 261 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for ARR of $11.5 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $7.5 to a high of $19 .
ARR Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
7.5 USD -48.70%
ARR Average Price Target Wall Street Target
11.5 USD -21.34%
ARR Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
19 USD 29.96%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
22222020181816161414121210108866May '24May '24Jul '24Jul '24Aug '24Aug '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
4.67% DIVIDEND YIELD
0.24 USD DIVIDEND PER SHARE
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7.007.006.006.005.005.004.004.003.003.002.002.001.001.000.000.001.61.61.61.651.651.650.950.950.950.950.950.950.950.950.950.850.850.850.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.40.240.240.240.240.240.241.61.61.61.351.11.10.950.950.950.950.950.950.950.950.950.450.50.50.50.50.50.50.40.40.40.240.240.240.241.61.651.651.11.11.10.950.950.950.950.950.950.850.850.850.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.40.40.40.240.240.241.656.451.656.501.656.501.15.201.14.951.14.950.953.800.953.800.953.800.953.800.953.800.953.800.853.600.853.600.853.600.52.300.52.350.52.350.52.000.52.000.52.000.52.000.51.900.51.900.41.700.41.540.41.440.240.960.240.960.240.720.240.240.242015201520162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
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5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 11
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
512 K USD 2
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
0 USD 0
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
47.7 K USD 1
3-6 MONTHS
199 K USD 1
6-9 MONTHS
19 K USD 1
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
Nebius Group Trades At A Steep Discount Nebius grew full-year 2024 revenue by 462% to $117.5M, with Q4 AI cloud revenue up 602% year-over-year. March 2025 annualized run-rate revenue (ARR) is expected to exceed $220M, targeting $750M–$1B ARR by year-end. Trading at just 2.9x forward EV/ARR, Nebius is significantly undervalued versus AI peers trading at 20–25x multiples. seekingalpha.com - 2 weeks ago
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Confirms April 2025 Common Share and Q2 2025 Series C Preferred Share Dividends VERO BEACH, Florida, April 01, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (NYSE: ARR and ARR-PRC) (“ARMOUR” or the “Company”) today confirmed the April 2025 cash dividend for the Company's Common Stock, consistent with the previous guidance which the Company released on March 25, 2025. The Company also confirmed the Q2 2025 monthly cash dividend rate for the Company's Series C Preferred Stock. globenewswire.com - 2 weeks ago
New Strong Sell Stocks for March 31st AMCX, ARR and ASX have been added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on March 31, 2025. zacks.com - 2 weeks ago
Let's Talk Mortgage REITs (But Not For Too Long) A bunch of mortgage REITs were severely overvalued. Now they are less overvalued. But some others are actually bargains. Tons of charts because images are fun. Ellington Financial's higher price-to-book ratio may be due to lower volatility in the total economic return by period. Digital Realty Trust deserves to be mocked. I am reporting for duty! seekingalpha.com - 3 weeks ago
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces Guidance for April 2025 Dividend Rate Per Common Share VERO BEACH, Florida, March 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (NYSE: ARR and ARR-PRC) (“ARMOUR” or the “Company”) today announced guidance on the April 2025 cash dividend for the Company's Common Stock of $0.24 per Common share. globenewswire.com - 3 weeks ago
15% Yields Want To Mug Your Dividends Agency mortgage REITs are achieving exceptional price-to-book ratios. You want a high dividend yield? Great. But don't pay a huge premium in the share price. It's a great time for investors to capture some gains in this sector. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Nebius: Potential European AI Darling Nebius Group N.V., a leading AI infrastructure company in Europe, is attractively priced after a nearly 50% stock slump amid booming ARR growth projections. The company is well-positioned for a European boost, with significant investments in data centers across Europe and expansion plans in the U.S. Despite missing Q4 targets, Nebius reported 466% revenue growth and has ambitious ARR goals, aiming for up to $1 billion by December 2025. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
High Wire Networks Secures Major Managed Cybersecurity Renewal and ARR Growth Through Overwatch Bundling Strategy BATAVIA, Ill., March 13, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- High Wire Networks, Inc. (OTCQB: HWNI), a leading global provider of managed cybersecurity services, announced a significant customer renewal and expansion agreement through its Overwatch managed cybersecurity division. globenewswire.com - 1 month ago
VERIMATRIX: FY 2024 Revenue and Results AIX-EN-PROVENCE, France & SAN DIEGO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Regulatory News: VERIMATRIX (Euronext Paris: VMX, FR0010291245), a leading provider of security solutions for a safer connected world, is publishing its revenue for the fourth quarter and its financial results for the 2024 financial year ended 31 December. "In 2024, the quality of our positioning at the heart of strategic challenges such as cybersecurity and the protection of our customers' video content resulted in another year of sustained. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Supercharge Your Early Retirement With Yields +8% You can live your dream retirement and have the market pay for it, all without selling shares. The financial sector has for generations provided strong recurring income to shareholders. We can unlock lower volatility and high yields by diligent portfolio management. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Winners Of REIT Earnings Season In Part 2 of our Earnings Recap, we present a sector-by-sector breakdown of the Winners of REIT Earnings Season, discussing incremental positives/negatives and noting the individual standouts. Healthcare REITs were the leaders this earnings season, with results showing robust momentum in senior housing fundamentals, while tenant operator issues improved across other healthcare sub-sectors. Results from Net Lease, Casino, and Residential Mortgage REITs - several of the most rate-sensitive sectors - were also surprisingly steady despite the interest rate turbulence in late 2024. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Generate Over $1000 Monthly by Investing $10,000 Into These Passive Income Dividend Stocks Passive income is characterized by its ability to generate revenue without requiring the earner's continuous active effort, making it a desirable financial strategy for those seeking to diversify their income streams or achieve financial independence. 247wallst.com - 1 month ago
8. Profile Summary

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. ARR

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY REIT - Mortgage
MARKET CAP $ 1.17 B
Dividend Yield 4.67%
Description ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. The company's securities portfolio primarily consists of the United States Government-sponsored entity's (GSE) and the Government National Mortgage Administration's issued or guaranteed securities backed by fixed rate, hybrid adjustable rate, and adjustable-rate home loans, as well as unsecured notes and bonds issued by the GSE and the United States treasuries, as well as money market instruments. It also invests in other securities backed by residential mortgages for which the payment of principal and interest is not guaranteed by a GSE or government agency. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust under the Internal Revenue Code. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to shareholders. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.
Contact 3001 Ocean Drive, Vero Beach, FL, 32963 https://www.armourreit.com
IPO Date Dec. 3, 2007
Employees 0
Officers Mr. Desmond E. Macauley Co-Chief Investment Officer & Head of Risk Management Mr. Sergey Losyev C.F.A., CFA Co-Chief Investment Officer Shane Rand Head of Trading & Senior Portfolio Manager Mr. Scott Jeffrey Ulm J.D. Chief Executive Officer and Vice Chairman