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Shoe Carnival, Inc. SCVL
Consumer Cyclical - Apparel - Retail - NASDAQ - US
Watchlist
$ 19.69
-0.405 %
$ 535 M
Market Cap
7.35
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one SCVL stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 19.7 USD, Shoe Carnival, Inc. is HIDDEN

SCVL Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one SCVL stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 19.7 USD, Shoe Carnival, Inc. is HIDDEN

SCVL Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one SCVL stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 19.7 USD, Shoe Carnival, Inc. is HIDDEN

SCVL Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW
2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart SCVL

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1M -8%
6M -104%
1Y -66%
3Y -50%
5Y 110.0%
All
$45.0$45.0$40.0$40.0$35.0$35.0$30.0$30.0$25.0$25.0$20.0$20.0$15.0$15.015 Oct15 OctNov '24Nov '2415 Nov15 NovDec '24Dec '2415 Dec15 DecJan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '25
FINANCIALS
1.2 B REVENUE
2.30%
Growth Rates
1Year 2.30%
3Years -3.30%
5Years 3.02%
7Years 2.40%
10Years 2.49%
91.2 M OPERATING INCOME
-4.63%
Growth Rates
1Year -4.63%
3Years -24.00%
5Years 10.95%
7Years 13.44%
10Years 8.09%
73.8 M NET INCOME
0.57%
Growth Rates
1Year 0.57%
3Years -21.91%
5Years 11.44%
7Years 21.44%
10Years 11.20%
103 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-16.39%
Growth Rates
1Year -16.39%
3Years -11.46%
5Years 8.92%
7Years 14.27%
10Years 5.94%
-77.7 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-42.15%
Growth Rates
1Year -42.15%
3Years 13.32%
5Years -34.34%
7Years -21.69%
10Years -9.12%
-15.3 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
25.39%
Growth Rates
1Year 25.39%
3Years 4.83%
5Years 22.40%
7Years 11.30%
10Years -2.39%
263 M REVENUE
-14.32%
Growth Rates
1Year 2.30%
3Years -3.30%
5Years 3.02%
7Years 2.40%
10Years 2.49%
14 M OPERATING INCOME
-42.77%
Growth Rates
1Year -4.63%
3Years -24.00%
5Years 10.95%
7Years 13.44%
10Years 8.09%
14.7 M NET INCOME
-59.85%
Growth Rates
1Year 0.57%
3Years -21.91%
5Years 11.44%
7Years 21.44%
10Years 11.20%
44.6 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
29.49%
Growth Rates
1Year -16.39%
3Years -11.46%
5Years 8.92%
7Years 14.27%
10Years 5.94%
-9.41 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
85.03%
Growth Rates
1Year -42.15%
3Years 13.32%
5Years -34.34%
7Years -21.69%
10Years -9.12%
-3.69 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
53.75%
Growth Rates
1Year 25.39%
3Years 4.83%
5Years 22.40%
7Years 11.30%
10Years -2.39%
Balance Sheet Shoe Carnival, Inc.
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Current Assets 536 M
Cash & Short-Term Investments 123 M
Receivables 9.02 M
Other Current Assets 404 M
Non-Current Assets 588 M
Long-Term Investments 0
PP&E 516 M
Other Non-Current Assets 71.6 M
10.95 %35.94 %45.93 %6.37 %Total Assets$1.1b
Current Liabilities 130 M
Accounts Payable 52 M
Short-Term Debt 0
Other Current Liabilities 78.4 M
Non-Current Liabilities 345 M
Long-Term Debt 315 M
Other Non-Current Liabilities 29.7 M
10.95 %16.50 %66.29 %6.26 %Total Liabilities$475.1m
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Shoe Carnival, Inc.
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Revenue 1.2 B
Cost Of Revenue 774 M
Gross Profit 429 M
Operating Expenses 338 M
Operating Income 91.2 M
Other Expenses 17.4 M
Net Income 73.8 M
1b1b1b1b1b1b800m800m600m600m400m400m200m200m001b(774m)429m(338m)91m(17m)74mRevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
35.65% GROSS MARGIN
35.65%
Averages
1Year 35.65%
3Years 36.19%
5Years 35.37%
7Years 33.85%
10Years 32.44%
7.58% OPERATING MARGIN
7.58%
Averages
1Year 7.58%
3Years 9.10%
5Years 9.03%
7Years 7.89%
10Years 6.74%
6.13% NET MARGIN
6.13%
Averages
1Year 6.13%
3Years 7.03%
5Years 6.87%
7Years 6.03%
10Years 4.93%
11.37% ROE
11.37%
Averages
1Year 11.37%
3Years 14.96%
5Years 16.85%
7Years 15.89%
10Years 13.32%
6.56% ROA
6.56%
Averages
1Year 6.56%
3Years 8.24%
5Years 9.26%
7Years 8.89%
10Years 7.79%
6.94% ROIC
6.94%
Averages
1Year 6.94%
3Years 8.68%
5Years 9.81%
7Years 9.59%
10Years 8.61%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Shoe Carnival, Inc.
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120m120m100m100m80m80m60m60m40m40m20m20m00(20m)(20m)(40m)(40m)201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income 73.8 M
Depreciation & Amortization 31.1 M
Capital Expenditures -33.2 M
Stock-Based Compensation 7.7 M
Change in Working Capital 0
Others -10.5 M
Free Cash Flow 69.5 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Shoe Carnival, Inc.
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for SCVL of $44.7 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $42 to a high of $50 .
SCVL Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
42 USD 113.31%
SCVL Average Price Target Wall Street Target
44.7 USD 126.85%
SCVL Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
50 USD 153.94%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
50504545404035353030252520201515May '24May '24Jul '24Jul '24Aug '24Aug '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
0.50% DIVIDEND YIELD
0.15 USD DIVIDEND PER SHARE
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0.40000.40000.35000.35000.30000.30000.25000.25000.20000.20000.15000.15000.10000.10000.05000.05000.00000.00000.030.03250.03250.0350.03750.040.04250.0450.070.090.10.120.1350.030.0350.0350.03750.03750.040.04250.070.090.1350.150.03250.0350.03750.040.04250.0450.070.090.10.1350.03250.130.040.140.04250.150.0450.160.070.190.090.220.120.280.1350.340.260.360.250.120.142015201520162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
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5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 10
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Shoe Carnival, Inc.
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
25 K USD 1
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
80.1 K USD 1
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
19.4 M USD 2
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
8 Upcoming Dividend Increases During Volatile Times 8 Upcoming Dividend Increases During Volatile Times seekingalpha.com - 2 weeks ago
Shoe Carnival: Core Business Continues To Shrink, No Reason For A 12x Multiple Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s weak performance, with negative comps across most categories, is masked by acquisitions, particularly Rogan's, which won't aid future growth. Despite poor sales, margins remained resilient, aided by the successful Shoe Station strategy targeting higher-income demographics. FY25 guidance is flat, with traffic pressures and EPS expected to decline, highlighting risks from deleverage and fixed costs. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Shoe Carnival Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Gross Margin Declines Y/Y SCVL's fiscal fourth-quarter results reflect lower year-over-year sales. Also, the adjusted gross margin of 35% contracts 60 basis points year over year. zacks.com - 1 month ago
I Still Like Growth Prospects At Shoe Carnival, But Have A Hold For Now Shoe Carnival remains debt-free with plans for organic and acquired growth, but I have downgraded my rating from Buy to Hold pending evidence of growth strategy success. Despite modestly better fiscal 2024 results, the share price has fallen, and the company faces negative EPS revisions and declining growth compared to peers. The rebranding to Shoe Station aims to improve margins, supported by a strong balance sheet, growing dividends, and share repurchases. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCVL ) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call March 20, 2025 9:00 AM ET Company Participants Mark Worden - President & Chief Executive Officer Carl Scibetta - Senior Executive Vice President & Chief Merchandising Officer Patrick Edwards - Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Secretary Conference Call Participants Mitchel Kummetz - Seaport Research Sam Poser - Williams Trading Operator Good morning and welcome to Shoe Carnival's Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference call is being recorded and is also being broadcast via webcast. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Shoe Carnival Issues Lackluster 2025 Sales Forecast Shoe Carnival (SCVL) on Thursday reported fourth-quarter sales and projections for fiscal 2025 that came in short of analysts' estimates. investopedia.com - 1 month ago
Shoe Carnival Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2024 Results EVANSVILLE, Ind.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Shoe Carnival, Inc. (Nasdaq: SCVL) (the “Company”), a leading retailer of footwear and accessories for the family, today reported results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended February 1, 2025 (“Fiscal 2024”) and provided annual guidance for its fiscal year ending on January 31, 2026 (“Fiscal 2025”). Achieved high end of annual EPS expectations with GAAP EPS of $2.68 and Adjusted EPS of $2.72. Achieved annual sales growth of 2.3 percent, in line with ex. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
SCVL Marks 11th Straight Year of Dividend Growth With 11% Increase Shoe Carnival increases quarterly dividend by 11.1% to 15 cents per share, underscoring its commitment to maximizing shareholder value. zacks.com - 1 month ago
Shoe Carnival Declares Increased Quarterly Cash Dividend EVANSVILLE, Ind.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Shoe Carnival, Inc. (Nasdaq: SCVL) (the “Company”), a leading retailer of footwear and accessories for the family, announced today that its Board of Directors has approved the payment of a quarterly cash dividend of $0.15 per share, representing a quarterly increase of 11.1 percent and an increased annualized dividend rate to $0.60 per share. The quarterly cash dividend will be paid on April 21, 2025, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on Ap. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Shoe Carnival to Report Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2024 Financial Results on March 20, 2025 EVANSVILLE, Ind.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Shoe Carnival, Inc. (Nasdaq: SCVL) (the “Company”), a leading retailer of footwear and accessories for the family, today announced that fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 earnings results will be released on Thursday, March 20, 2025, before the market open. The Company will host its quarterly conference call to discuss fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 results at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time. The earnings call will be webcast and can be accessed in the Investors. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Mega Buybacks in 2025: Why These 3 Leading Stocks Are Buys Shoe Carnival NASDAQ: SCVL, Mondelez's NASDAQ: MDLZ, and Kroger NYSE: KRannounced major buybacks in December that should help support their price action over time. Today's question is whether these stocks will be classified as Buys, Sells, or Holds for 2025, and the answer is Buy, if for differing reasons with each stock. marketbeat.com - 3 months ago
Insiders Are Loving These 6 Stocks Right Now The year is winding down, and the stock markets are near all-time highs. Opinions on what the new year will bring vary wildly. 247wallst.com - 4 months ago
8. Profile Summary

Shoe Carnival, Inc. SCVL

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Apparel - Retail
MARKET CAP $ 535 M
Dividend Yield 0.50%
Description Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. The company offers range of dress, casual, work, and athletic shoes, as well as sandals and boots for men, women, and children; and various accessories. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 372 stores in 35 states and Puerto Rico under the Shoe Carnival banner; and 21 locations across the Southeast under the Shoe Station banner. The company also sells its products through online shopping at shoecarnival.com, as well as through mobile application. Shoe Carnival, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana.
Contact 7500 East Columbia Street, Evansville, IN, 47715 https://www.shoecarnival.com
IPO Date March 16, 1993
Employees 2500
Officers Mr. Marc A. Chilton Senior EVice President & Chief Operating Officer Terry L. Clements Chief Information Officer & Senior Vice President Mr. Mark J. Worden President, Chief Executive Officer & Director Angela J. Brawdy Vice President of Human Resources Mr. David M. Groff Senior Vice President of Supply Chain Mr. Carl N. Scibetta Senior EVice President & Chief Merchandising Officer John W. Dodson Senior Vice President of Store Operations Steve R. Alexander Investor Relations Mr. Patrick C. Edwards Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Secretary & Treasurer Mr. J. Wayne Weaver Executive Chairman of the Board