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Shoe Carnival, Inc. SCVL
Consumer Cyclical - Apparel - Retail - NASDAQ - US
Watchlist
$ 19.38
-0.462 %
$ 530 M
Market Cap
8.11
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jun, 6, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one SCVL stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 19.4 USD, Shoe Carnival, Inc. is HIDDEN

SCVL Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jun, 6, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one SCVL stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 19.4 USD, Shoe Carnival, Inc. is HIDDEN

SCVL Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jun, 6, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one SCVL stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 19.4 USD, Shoe Carnival, Inc. is HIDDEN

SCVL Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW
2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart SCVL

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1M -5%
6M -75%
1Y -87%
3Y -23%
5Y 52%
All
$36.0$36.0$34.0$34.0$32.0$32.0$30.0$30.0$28.0$28.0$26.0$26.0$24.0$24.0$22.0$22.0$20.0$20.0$18.0$18.0$16.0$16.015 Dec15 DecJan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '2515 Apr15 AprMay '25May '2515 May15 MayJun '25Jun '25
FINANCIALS
1.2 B REVENUE
2.30%
Growth Rates
1Year 2.30%
3Years -3.30%
5Years 3.02%
7Years 2.40%
10Years 2.49%
91.2 M OPERATING INCOME
-4.63%
Growth Rates
1Year -4.63%
3Years -24.00%
5Years 10.95%
7Years 13.44%
10Years 8.09%
73.8 M NET INCOME
0.57%
Growth Rates
1Year 0.57%
3Years -21.91%
5Years 11.44%
7Years 21.44%
10Years 11.20%
103 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-16.39%
Growth Rates
1Year -16.39%
3Years -11.46%
5Years 8.92%
7Years 14.27%
10Years 5.94%
-77.7 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-42.15%
Growth Rates
1Year -42.15%
3Years 13.32%
5Years -34.34%
7Years -21.69%
10Years -9.12%
-15.3 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
25.39%
Growth Rates
1Year 25.39%
3Years 4.83%
5Years 22.40%
7Years 11.30%
10Years -2.39%
263 M REVENUE
-14.32%
Growth Rates
1Year 2.30%
3Years -3.30%
5Years 3.02%
7Years 2.40%
10Years 2.49%
14 M OPERATING INCOME
-42.77%
Growth Rates
1Year -4.63%
3Years -24.00%
5Years 10.95%
7Years 13.44%
10Years 8.09%
14.7 M NET INCOME
-59.85%
Growth Rates
1Year 0.57%
3Years -21.91%
5Years 11.44%
7Years 21.44%
10Years 11.20%
44.6 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
29.49%
Growth Rates
1Year -16.39%
3Years -11.46%
5Years 8.92%
7Years 14.27%
10Years 5.94%
-9.41 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
85.03%
Growth Rates
1Year -42.15%
3Years 13.32%
5Years -34.34%
7Years -21.69%
10Years -9.12%
-3.69 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
53.75%
Growth Rates
1Year 25.39%
3Years 4.83%
5Years 22.40%
7Years 11.30%
10Years -2.39%
Balance Sheet Shoe Carnival, Inc.
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Current Assets 536 M
Cash & Short-Term Investments 123 M
Receivables 9.02 M
Other Current Assets 404 M
Non-Current Assets 588 M
Long-Term Investments 0
PP&E 516 M
Other Non-Current Assets 71.6 M
10.95 %35.94 %45.93 %6.37 %Total Assets$1.1b
Current Liabilities 130 M
Accounts Payable 52 M
Short-Term Debt 0
Other Current Liabilities 78.4 M
Non-Current Liabilities 345 M
Long-Term Debt 0
Other Non-Current Liabilities 345 M
10.95 %16.50 %72.55 %Total Liabilities$475.1m
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Shoe Carnival, Inc.
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Revenue 1.2 B
Cost Of Revenue 774 M
Gross Profit 429 M
Operating Expenses 338 M
Operating Income 91.2 M
Other Expenses 17.4 M
Net Income 73.8 M
1b1b1b1b1b1b800m800m600m600m400m400m200m200m001b(774m)429m(338m)91m(17m)74mRevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
35.65% GROSS MARGIN
35.65%
Averages
1Year 35.65%
3Years 36.19%
5Years 35.37%
7Years 33.85%
10Years 32.44%
7.58% OPERATING MARGIN
7.58%
Averages
1Year 7.58%
3Years 9.10%
5Years 9.03%
7Years 7.89%
10Years 6.74%
6.13% NET MARGIN
6.13%
Averages
1Year 6.13%
3Years 7.03%
5Years 6.87%
7Years 6.03%
10Years 4.93%
11.37% ROE
11.37%
Averages
1Year 11.37%
3Years 14.96%
5Years 16.85%
7Years 15.89%
10Years 13.32%
6.56% ROA
6.56%
Averages
1Year 6.56%
3Years 8.24%
5Years 9.26%
7Years 8.89%
10Years 7.79%
6.94% ROIC
6.94%
Averages
1Year 6.94%
3Years 8.68%
5Years 9.81%
7Years 9.59%
10Years 8.61%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Shoe Carnival, Inc.
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120m120m100m100m80m80m60m60m40m40m20m20m00(20m)(20m)(40m)(40m)201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income 73.8 M
Depreciation & Amortization 31.1 M
Capital Expenditures -33.2 M
Stock-Based Compensation 7.7 M
Change in Working Capital -65.6 M
Others 1.95 M
Free Cash Flow 69.5 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Shoe Carnival, Inc.
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for SCVL of $38.9 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $24 to a high of $50 .
SCVL Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
24 USD 23.84%
SCVL Average Price Target Wall Street Target
38.9 USD 100.50%
SCVL Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
50 USD 158.00%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
50504545404035353030252520201515Jul '24Jul '24Aug '24Aug '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26Jun '26Jun '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
0.50% DIVIDEND YIELD
0.15 USD DIVIDEND PER SHARE
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0.40000.40000.35000.35000.30000.30000.25000.25000.20000.20000.15000.15000.10000.10000.05000.05000.00000.00000.030.03250.03250.0350.03750.040.04250.0450.070.090.10.120.1350.030.0350.0350.03750.03750.040.04250.070.090.1350.150.03250.0350.03750.040.04250.0450.070.090.10.1350.03250.130.040.140.04250.150.0450.160.070.190.090.220.120.280.1350.340.260.360.250.120.142015201520162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
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5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 10
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Shoe Carnival, Inc.
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
25 K USD 1
9-12 MONTHS
0 USD 0
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
19.4 M USD 2
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
Shoe Carnival: Buy This Small Cap For Exceptional Dividend Growth Shoe Carnival's 50% stock decline creates a compelling entry point for dividend investors, with a 3% yield and a 28% five-year dividend CAGR. The company's strong balance sheet, low payout ratio, and robust free cash flow ensure dividend safety and future growth potential. The strategic rebanner program, shifting stores to the higher-margin Shoe Station brand, offers upside despite short-term revenue softness. seekingalpha.com - 1 week ago
Shoe Carnival Is Even At Higher Risk After Tariffs, But The Stock Has Not Noticed Shoe Carnival's core banner saw worsening comps and margin erosion, while Shoe Station outperformed, exposing flaws in management's macro explanation. Management is aggressively converting stores to Shoe Station, incurring significant costs, despite ongoing weakness and lack of cash preservation or buybacks. Full-year guidance remains unchanged despite poor Q1 results and rising macro uncertainty, making it appear unrealistic and overly optimistic. seekingalpha.com - 1 week ago
Shoe Carnival Appoints Kerry Jackson as Senior Vice President, New Business Development FORT MILL, S.C.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Shoe Carnival, Inc. (Nasdaq: SCVL) (the “Company”), a leading retailer of footwear and accessories for the family, today announced the appointment of Kerry Jackson as Senior Vice President, New Business Development. In this newly created role, Mr. Jackson will report directly to President and Chief Executive Officer, Mark Worden, and spearhead the Company's merger and acquisition activities, integration of acquired businesses and synergy capture initiatives as. businesswire.com - 2 weeks ago
Shoe Carnival's Transformation Offers Upside Despite recent stock declines and weak fundamentals, I remain bullish on Shoe Carnival due to its undervaluation and strong net cash position. Earnings per share beat expectations, and the company maintains no debt and a substantial cash reserve, supporting financial stability. Shoe Carnival trades at a significant discount to peers on key valuation metrics, making it an attractive buy despite near-term profitability challenges. seekingalpha.com - 2 weeks ago
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCVL ) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 30, 2025 9:00 AM ET Company Participants Mark Worden - President & CEO Patrick Edwards - SVP, CFO & Secretary Tanya Gordon - Chief Merchandising Officer Conference Call Participants Sam Poser - Williams Trading Mitchel Kummetz - Seaport Research Jim Chartier - Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co Operator Good morning, and welcome to Shoe Carnival's First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference call is being recorded, and is also being broadcast via webcast. seekingalpha.com - 2 weeks ago
Shoe Carnival Tops Profit Forecasts as Retailer Continues Rebranding Effort Shares of Shoe Carnival (SCVL) advanced Friday after the footwear retailer's profit easily beat estimates, boosted by its Shoe Station stores, which it plans to grow through rebranding. investopedia.com - 2 weeks ago
Shoe Carnival (SCVL) Q1 Earnings Surpass Estimates Shoe Carnival (SCVL) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.34 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.27 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.64 per share a year ago. zacks.com - 2 weeks ago
Shoe Carnival Backs Guidance, Plans Focus on Premium Brands Shoe Carnival said it would boost its investment in its Shoe Station banner in an effort to focus more on premium brand shoes, and the company also maintained its outlook for the year. wsj.com - 2 weeks ago
Shoe Carnival Reports First Quarter Fiscal 2025 Results FORT MILL, S.C.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Shoe Carnival, Inc. (Nasdaq: SCVL) (the “Company”), a leading retailer of footwear and accessories for the family, today reported results for the first quarter ended May 3, 2025 and reaffirmed its previously issued Fiscal 2025 outlook. First Quarter Fiscal 2025 Highlights Profits outperformed market expectations by over 10 percent with $0.34 EPS achieved. Rebanner strategy delivered double-digit comparable net sales growth and accretive margins. Shoe Station ba. businesswire.com - 2 weeks ago
Shoe Carnival to Report First Quarter Financial Results on May 30, 2025 FORT MILL, S.C.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Shoe Carnival, Inc. (Nasdaq: SCVL) (the “Company”), a leading retailer of footwear and accessories for the family, today announced that first quarter 2025 earnings results will be released on Friday, May 30, 2025, before the market open. The Company will host its quarterly conference call to discuss first quarter 2025 results at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time. The earnings call will be webcast and can be accessed in the Investors section of Shoe Carnival's website at w. businesswire.com - 4 weeks ago
8 Upcoming Dividend Increases During Volatile Times 8 Upcoming Dividend Increases During Volatile Times seekingalpha.com - 2 months ago
Shoe Carnival: Core Business Continues To Shrink, No Reason For A 12x Multiple Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s weak performance, with negative comps across most categories, is masked by acquisitions, particularly Rogan's, which won't aid future growth. Despite poor sales, margins remained resilient, aided by the successful Shoe Station strategy targeting higher-income demographics. FY25 guidance is flat, with traffic pressures and EPS expected to decline, highlighting risks from deleverage and fixed costs. seekingalpha.com - 2 months ago
8. Profile Summary

Shoe Carnival, Inc. SCVL

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Apparel - Retail
MARKET CAP $ 530 M
Dividend Yield 0.50%
Description Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. The company offers range of dress, casual, work, and athletic shoes, as well as sandals and boots for men, women, and children; and various accessories. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 372 stores in 35 states and Puerto Rico under the Shoe Carnival banner; and 21 locations across the Southeast under the Shoe Station banner. The company also sells its products through online shopping at shoecarnival.com, as well as through mobile application. Shoe Carnival, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana.
Contact 7500 East Columbia Street, Evansville, IN, 47715 https://www.shoecarnival.com
IPO Date March 16, 1993
Employees 2500
Officers Ms. Tanya E. Gordon Executive Vice President & Chief Merchandising Officer Mr. David M. Groff Senior Vice President of Supply Chain Mr. Mark J. Worden President, Chief Executive Officer & Director Mr. Patrick C. Edwards Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, Secretary & Treasurer Mr. Marc A. Chilton Senior EVice President & Chief Operating Officer Steve R. Alexander Investor Relations John W. Dodson Senior Vice President of Store Operations Mr. J. Wayne Weaver Executive Chairman of the Board Terry L. Clements Chief Information Officer & Senior Vice President Angela J. Brawdy Vice President of Human Resources