image
Consumer Cyclical - Restaurants - NASDAQ - US
$ 11.45
-0.174 %
$ 343 M
Market Cap
14.49
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jan, 18, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one LOCO stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 11.4 USD, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jan, 18, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one LOCO stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 11.4 USD, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jan, 18, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one LOCO stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 11.4 USD, El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. is HIDDEN

2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
FINANCIALS
469 M REVENUE
-0.28%
39.8 M OPERATING INCOME
32.11%
25.6 M NET INCOME
22.85%
40.7 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
5.55%
-13.4 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
28.91%
-40.4 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-38.58%
120 M REVENUE
-1.46%
10.1 M OPERATING INCOME
-18.58%
6.19 M NET INCOME
-18.96%
13 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-23.15%
-3.89 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
39.44%
-11.7 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-27.47%
Balance Sheet El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
image
Current Assets 25.1 M
Cash & Short-Term Investments 7.29 M
Receivables 10.3 M
Other Current Assets 7.54 M
Non-Current Assets 567 M
Long-Term Investments 0
PP&E 254 M
Other Non-Current Assets 314 M
Current Liabilities 72.6 M
Accounts Payable 12.5 M
Short-Term Debt 19.6 M
Other Current Liabilities 40.4 M
Non-Current Liabilities 269 M
Long-Term Debt 254 M
Other Non-Current Liabilities 15.3 M
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
image
Revenue 469 M
Cost Of Revenue 375 M
Gross Profit 93.4 M
Operating Expenses 53.6 M
Operating Income 39.8 M
Other Expenses 14.2 M
Net Income 25.6 M
RATIOS
19.92% GROSS MARGIN
19.92%
8.49% OPERATING MARGIN
8.49%
5.45% NET MARGIN
5.45%
10.19% ROE
10.19%
4.31% ROA
4.31%
8.71% ROIC
8.71%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
image
Net Income 25.6 M
Depreciation & Amortization 15.2 M
Capital Expenditures -21.3 M
Stock-Based Compensation 2.96 M
Change in Working Capital -1.05 M
Others -321 K
Free Cash Flow 19.4 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
image
Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for LOCO of $12 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $12 to a high of $12 .
LOCO Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
12 USD 4.80%
LOCO Average Price Target Wall Street Target
12 USD 4.80%
LOCO Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
12 USD 4.80%
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
0.00% DIVIDEND YIELD
1.5 USD DIVIDEND PER SHARE
5. COMPETITION
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
image
Sold
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
0 USD 0
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
4.54 M USD 1
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
Date Value Insider Amount Avg Price
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2024
Bought 60.9 K USD
BIGLARI, SARDAR
10 percent owner
+ 4516
13.48 USD
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2024
Bought 587 K USD
BIGLARI, SARDAR
10 percent owner
+ 43161
13.59 USD
5 months ago
Aug 20, 2024
Bought 1.34 M USD
BIGLARI, SARDAR
10 percent owner
+ 100000
13.42 USD
5 months ago
Aug 19, 2024
Bought 839 K USD
BIGLARI, SARDAR
10 percent owner
+ 62329
13.46 USD
5 months ago
Aug 16, 2024
Bought 280 K USD
BIGLARI, SARDAR
10 percent owner
+ 21325
13.13 USD
5 months ago
Aug 15, 2024
Bought 657 K USD
BIGLARI, SARDAR
10 percent owner
+ 50554
13 USD
5 months ago
Aug 14, 2024
Bought 778 K USD
BIGLARI, SARDAR
10 percent owner
+ 62362
12.47 USD
1 year ago
Aug 17, 2023
Bought 202 K USD
BIGLARI, SARDAR
10 percent owner
+ 20000
10.08 USD
1 year ago
Aug 16, 2023
Bought 554 K USD
BIGLARI, SARDAR
10 percent owner
+ 54300
10.2 USD
1 year ago
Aug 15, 2023
Bought 465 K USD
BIGLARI, SARDAR
10 percent owner
+ 45700
10.18 USD
1 year ago
Aug 08, 2023
Bought 1.16 M USD
BIGLARI, SARDAR
10 percent owner
+ 106760
10.84 USD
1 year ago
Aug 07, 2023
Bought 1.07 M USD
BIGLARI, SARDAR
10 percent owner
+ 100560
10.63 USD
1 year ago
Aug 07, 2023
Sell 26.2 M USD
ROTH JOHN M
Director
- 2467000
10.63 USD
1 year ago
Aug 07, 2023
Sell 351 K USD
ROTH JOHN M
Director
- 33000
10.63 USD
1 year ago
Aug 07, 2023
Sell 26.2 M USD
FS Capital Partners V, LLC
- 2467000
10.63 USD
1 year ago
Aug 07, 2023
Sell 351 K USD
FS Capital Partners V, LLC
- 33000
10.63 USD
1 year ago
Jun 22, 2023
Sell 574 K USD
Roberts Laurance
CEO & PRESIDENT
- 59950
9.57 USD
1 year ago
May 19, 2023
Sell 577 K USD
Roberts Laurance
CEO & PRESIDENT
- 60000
9.62 USD
1 year ago
Apr 24, 2023
Sell 545 K USD
Roberts Laurance
CEO & PRESIDENT
- 60000
9.09 USD
2 years ago
Feb 04, 2022
Sell 110 K USD
Lozano Miguel
CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER
- 8548
12.87 USD
2 years ago
Feb 04, 2022
Sell 215 K USD
Lozano Miguel
CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER
- 16690
12.87 USD
3 years ago
Jun 24, 2021
Sell 90 K USD
Roberts Laurance
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
- 5000
18 USD
3 years ago
Jun 10, 2021
Sell 230 K USD
Roberts Laurance
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
- 13600
16.94 USD
3 years ago
Mar 11, 2021
Sell 266 K USD
Roberts Laurance
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
- 13600
19.57 USD
3 years ago
Mar 11, 2021
Sell 97.9 K USD
Roberts Laurance
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
- 5000
19.58 USD
4 years ago
Oct 12, 2020
Sell 90 K USD
Roberts Laurance
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
- 5000
18 USD
4 years ago
Sep 10, 2020
Sell 241 K USD
Roberts Laurance
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
- 13600
17.75 USD
4 years ago
Jul 31, 2020
Sell 180 K USD
Roberts Laurance
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
- 10000
18 USD
4 years ago
Jun 11, 2020
Sell 196 K USD
Roberts Laurance
Chief Financial Officer
- 13600
14.43 USD
4 years ago
Jun 05, 2020
Sell 96 K USD
Borgese Samuel N.
Director
- 6000
16 USD
4 years ago
Apr 09, 2020
Sell 150 K USD
Roberts Laurance
Chief Financial Officer
- 13600
11 USD
9 years ago
May 19, 2015
Sell 118 M USD
Trimaran Capital, L.L.C.
10 percent owner
- 5402500
21.85 USD
10 years ago
Nov 25, 2014
Sell 173 M USD
Trimaran Capital, L.L.C.
10 percent owner
- 6408945
27 USD
9 years ago
May 19, 2015
Sell 280 K USD
Borgese Samuel N.
Director
- 11645
24.0621 USD
9 years ago
May 19, 2015
Sell 1.08 M USD
Ammerman Douglas K.
Director
- 45822
23.507 USD
9 years ago
Jun 02, 2015
Sell 530 K USD
Borgese Samuel N.
Director
- 25249
21.0011 USD
9 years ago
May 29, 2015
Sell 360 K USD
Borgese Samuel N.
Director
- 17200
20.9151 USD
9 years ago
May 19, 2015
Sell 118 M USD
Trimaran Pollo Partners, L.L.C.
10 percent owner
- 5402500
21.85 USD
9 years ago
May 19, 2015
Sell 1.18 B USD
Trimaran Pollo Partners, L.L.C.
10 percent owner
- 54025000
21.85 USD
9 years ago
May 19, 2015
Sell 3.82 M USD
Valle Edward
Chief Marketing Officer
- 175000
21.85 USD
9 years ago
May 19, 2015
Sell 7.87 M USD
Sather Stephen J.
President and CEO
- 360000
21.85 USD
9 years ago
May 19, 2015
Sell 254 K USD
Borgese Samuel N.
Director
- 11645
21.85 USD
9 years ago
May 19, 2015
Sell 546 K USD
BOGEAJIS KAY
Chief Operating Officer
- 25000
21.85 USD
9 years ago
May 19, 2015
Sell 999 K USD
Ammerman Douglas K.
Director
- 45822
21.8 USD
10 years ago
Nov 25, 2014
Sell 173 M USD
Trimaran Pollo Partners, L.L.C.
10 percent owner
- 6408945
27 USD
10 years ago
Nov 25, 2014
Sell 1.82 M USD
Valle Edward
Chief Marketing Officer
- 67440
27 USD
10 years ago
Nov 25, 2014
Sell 6.89 M USD
Sather Stephen J.
President and CEO
- 255088
27 USD
10 years ago
Nov 25, 2014
Sell 608 K USD
Roberts Laurance
Chief Financial Officer
- 22500
27 USD
10 years ago
Nov 25, 2014
Sell 274 K USD
Borgese Samuel N.
Director
- 10134
27 USD
10 years ago
Nov 25, 2014
Sell 1.2 M USD
BOGEAJIS KAY
Chief Operating Officer
- 44318
27 USD
10 years ago
Nov 25, 2014
Sell 438 K USD
Ammerman Douglas K.
Director
- 16231
27 USD
7. News
El Pollo Loco: Already Marinating, Now Offering A 25%+ Safety Margin (Upgrade) El Pollo Loco's stock price drop to around $11 offers a +25% margin of safety, making it a safer entry point for investors. Despite declining traffic and higher menu prices, value promotions and a strong 2025 calendar could drive growth and recovery. The worst-case scenario still suggests a price target above current levels, justifying a rating change from 'Hold' to 'Buy'. seekingalpha.com - 3 weeks ago
Is El Pollo Loco (LOCO) a Great Value Stock Right Now? Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and momentum trends to underscore strong picks. zacks.com - 3 weeks ago
El Pollo Loco: Tremendous Value Not To Be Ignored Initiating El Pollo Loco at a buy rating. This small-cap grilled chicken chain is a great value play for 2025. The company posted ~3% same-store sales growth in its most recent quarter, outperforming many "unhealthy" fast-food chain rivals. It has found success in drawing customers to a value-conscious, healthy menu offering priced between $9-10. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Bull of the Day: El Pollo Loco (LOCO) This fire-grilled chicken restaurant stock is on sale. zacks.com - 1 month ago
Double Pollo Fit Bowls are Back for a Limited Time Only El Pollo Loco, the nation's leading fire-grilled chicken restaurant chain, announced that fan-favorite Double Pollo Fit Bowls are back for a limited time. globenewswire.com - 1 month ago
Should Value Investors Buy El Pollo Loco (LOCO) Stock? Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and momentum trends to underscore strong picks. zacks.com - 1 month ago
5 Value Stocks With Exciting EV-to-EBITDA Ratios to Snap Up Now We have screened value stocks LOCO, EZPW, OPFI, LNC and AAT based on the EV-to-EBITDA ratio, which gives the true picture of valuation and earnings potential. zacks.com - 1 month ago
Zacks Industry Outlook CAVA Group, Brinker International and El Pollo Loco CAVA Group, Brinker International and El Pollo Loco have been highlighted in this Industry Outlook article. zacks.com - 1 month ago
3 Sizzling Hot Restaurant Stocks Benefiting From Industry Upswing Restaurant stocks like CAVA, EAT and LOCO are likely to benefit from sales-building initiatives and digital initiatives. zacks.com - 1 month ago
Are Investors Undervaluing El Pollo Loco (LOCO) Right Now? Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and momentum trends to underscore strong picks. zacks.com - 1 month ago
El Pollo Loco Stock Declines 11% in 3 Months: Should You Buy the Dip? LOCO has been implementing initiatives to drive long-term growth. It has achieved comparable sales growth through menu innovation. zacks.com - 1 month ago
El Pollo Loco (LOCO) May Find a Bottom Soon, Here's Why You Should Buy the Stock Now After losing some value lately, a hammer chart pattern has been formed for El Pollo Loco (LOCO), indicating that the stock has found support. This, combined with an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions, could lead to a trend reversal for the stock in the near term. zacks.com - 1 month ago
8. Profile Summary

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. LOCO

image
COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Restaurants
MARKET CAP $ 343 M
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Description El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco name. As of May 04, 2022, the company operated 480 restaurants comprising 189 company-operated and 291 franchised restaurants located in California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Utah, and Louisiana. It also licenses one restaurant in the Philippines. The company was formerly known as Chicken Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. in April 2014. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Costa Mesa, California.
Contact 3535 Harbor Boulevard, Costa Mesa, CA, 92626 https://www.elpolloloco.com
IPO Date July 25, 2014
Employees 4000
Officers Mr. Clark Matthews Chief Information Officer Mr. Brian Carmichall Chief Development Officer Mr. Tim Welsh Chief Development Officer Ms. Anne E. Jollay EVice President, Chief People and Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary Ms. Maria Hollandsworth President & Chief Operating Officer Ms. Elizabeth Goodwin Williams Chief Executive Officer & Director Ms. Jill Adams Chief Marketing Officer Mr. Ira M. Fils Chief Financial Officer