image
Technology - Semiconductors - NASDAQ - US
$ 27.01
-1.35 %
$ 638 M
Market Cap
-42.2
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2018 - Q2
image
Executives

Richard Kingston – VP-Market Intelligence, and Investor & Public Relations Gideon Wertheizer – Chief Executive Officer Yaniv Arieli – Chief Financial Officer.

Analysts

Gary Mobley – Benchmark Mike Walkley – Canaccord Genuity Joseph Wolf – Barclays Matt Ramsay – Cowen Suji Desilva – Roth Capital.

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the CEVA, Inc. Second Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to Richard Kingston, VP of Market Intelligence, and Investor & Public Relations. Please go ahead sir..

Richard Kingston Vice President of Market Intelligence, Investor & Public Relations

Thank you, Brandon. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to CEVA's Second Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. I'm joined today by Gideon Wertheizer, Chief Executive Officer of CEVA; and Yaniv Arieli, Chief Financial Officer of CEVA. Gideon will cover the business aspects and highlights from the second quarter and provide general qualitative data.

Yaniv will then cover the financial results for the second quarter and also provide qualitative data for 2018. I will start with the forward-looking statements.

Please note that today's discussion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties as well as assumptions that if they materialize or prove incorrect could cause the results of CEVA to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements and assumptions.

Forward-looking statements include our revised financial guidance for full year 2018 revenues, third quarter and annual royalty revenues; optimism about a healthy licensing environment and demand for CEVA’s products; optimism about the distinguishing features of CEVA’s AI edge technology; positive forecasts from Tractica forecasts and SIG forecast, and optimism about CEVA’s technologies being adopted by ZTE at a later time.

For information on the factors that could cause a difference in our results, please refer to our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

These include the ability of the CEVA signal processing IPs for smarter, connected devices to continue to be strong growth drivers for us; the traction with edge technology for AI; our success in penetrating new markets and maintaining our market position in existing markets; the ability of new products incorporating our technologies to achieve market acceptance and offset the maturity of the handset market; the speed and extent of the expansion of the LTE and 5G networks, AI, LTE-IoT and IoT space generally; our ability to execute more broad portfolio license agreements; and customers’ ramp-up schedules and the impact on royalty revenues.

CEVA assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements or information, which speak as of their respective dates. In addition to the financial results prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles or GAAP, we will also present certain non-GAAP financial measures today.

CEVA's management believes that in addition to using GAAP results in evaluating our business, it can also be useful to review results using certain non-GAAP financial measures.

Investors and potential investors are encouraged to review the reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures with their most direct comparable GAAP financial results, which can be found in the earnings press release issued today.

A copy of today's press release for the quarter ended June 30, 2018, and the related financial tables and management commentary, which were included in our current report on Form 8-K filed today can also be found on the Investor Relations portion of our website.

Before handing the call over to Gideon, I would like to remind you that CEVA adopted the new revenue accounting standard known as ASC 606 as of January 1, 2018. Under the new standards, our royalty revenue represents what our customers shipped during the first quarter of 2018 or our best estimates for such shipments.

The numbers stated on this call for the first quarter are based on ASC 606 unless otherwise stated.

However, as our Q2 2018 financial results are not directly comparable to our Q2 2017 financial results, which we reported under the old revenue accounting standard known as ASC 605, we will also provide you on today's call our Q2 2018 financial results as reported under ASC 605 to allow for an apples-to-apples comparison on a year-over-year basis.

We will have this dual reporting approach throughout 2018 as required by the Financial Accounting Standards Board. With all of that said, I will now hand the call over to Gideon..

Gideon Wertheizer

Nokia continues to grow the footprint of its Airscale baseband and radio technology enabled by CEVA IPs. Last week Nokia announced that it has signed a $3.5 billion deal with T-Mobile to supply equipment for its 5G network, the world’s largest 5G deal announced to date.

Nokia has also won designs for 5G at Verizon, AT&T and NTT DOCOMO of Japan and recently signed an important agreement with China Mobile.

In its recent earning call, the CEO of Nokia reiterated his confidence for an upcoming 5G ramp up in the third quarter with acceleration in the fourth quarter but was also prudent about a large scale deployment that is difficult to predict due to the timing of deployment completions.

On ZTE, we are encouraged by the recent lifting of the ban on the sale of U.S. manufactured components to ZTE and the resumptions of their base station operations, which contributes royalties to us. ZTE is a strong contender in the Pre-5G and 5G network infrastructure and is determined to resume this position.

With that said, we assume it will take a few months for ZTE to rebuild the supply chain and to get back to full production and shipments. Also, licensing discussions for our more advanced platforms which were put on hold during the ban will resume shortly but the timing of licensing closure has been affected by the ban.

As for the handset baseband, in the second quarter, we started to see preparation for a sizable ramp up by one of our customers who will supply baseband processor to a premier smartphone OEM for a flagship launch. In this upcoming product cycle, we are set to benefit from higher ASPs due to an increased content.

On the other hand, the weakness we experienced in the first quarter in the low tier of the smartphone space with a large Chinese-based customer of ours continued unexpectedly into the second quarter.

We believe this can be attributed to a share shift at one large OEM, in which the volume this year will now be split between another customer of ours and a supplier that does not use our technology. We now expect this weakness to continue the rest of the year.

So net-net, on an annual basis, the expected growth in volume and content associated with the premier smartphone, will partially offset the weakness of our Chinese-based customer. Yaniv will later discuss the financial implications on our 2018 guidance, which reflect both ZTE and the handset developments.

In summary, we continue to progress with our licensing business, driven by healthy demand for our AI, computer vision and connectivity products. We continue to strengthen and broaden our technology base and are confident about our strategy and our ability to add more content and value to our customers.

On royalties, we are capitalizing on new royalty growth engines, notably in premium smartphones and the continued expansion in non-handset segment that will drive substantial sequential royalty revenue growth in the second half of the year and beyond. With that said, let me turn the call over to Yaniv to discuss our financials and guidance..

Yaniv Arieli

As of June 30, 2018, CEVA’s cash, cash equivalent balances, marketable securities and bank deposits were approximately $173 million. During the second quarter, we paid ASTRI two more payment milestones of just less than $1 million for the new Narrowband-IoT technologies as we discussed on our prior earnings call.

We continued to be active in our buyback program, repurchasing approximately 270,000 shares during the second quarter, at an average price of $33 per share, for approximately $9 million.

During the second quarter, our Board of Directors approved the expansion of the existing buyback plan, and at the end of last quarter, we have a total of 700,000 shares available for repurchase. Looking back, in the last 10 years of our buyback activities, we repurchased 6 million shares for almost $100 million.

Last, our adjusted ASC 606 DSO for the second quarter of this year was 48 days, down from the prior quarter of 62 days.

During the second quarter, we generated $2 million of net cash from operations; our depreciation was $0.6 million and repurchase of fixed assets was $1.8 million, higher than the norm due to additional new EDA tools for our R&D design teams. At the end of June, our headcount was 325 people, of which 261 are engineers.

Now for the guidance for the rest of year. On royalties, we are lowering our 2018 annual royalty guidance to 10% decrease from 2017 level. With that said, we expect a substantial increase in royalties in the second half of the year, with more than 50% sequential increase for the third quarter.

Moreover, royalties are expected to return to year-over-year growth in the second half of 2018. On licensing and related revenue, we continue to experience healthy demand for our products, but have slightly reduced our expectations for the year due to the ZTE deal pushout, which Gideon elaborated on.

Our revised revenue for the year is expected to be in the region of $80 million, split fairly evenly between licensing and royalties, plus or minus a few percentage points either way. Specifically for the third quarter of 2018, gross margin is expected to be approximately 91% on GAAP and 92% on non-GAAP basis.

Overall OpEx is expected to be slightly lower than the second quarter OpEx, in the range of $17.5 million to $18.5 million. Of the anticipated overall OpEx for the third quarter, $2.4 million is expected to be attributed to equity-based compensation expenses and $0.2 million for the amortization of acquired intangibles.

So a non-GAAP OpEx is also expected to be similar to the second quarter level, in the range of $14.8 million to $15.8 million. Net interest income is expected to be approximately $800,000. Tax rate for the third quarter is 17% on GAAP and 11% on non-GAAP basis.

And last, our share count for the third quarter is expected to be approximately 23 million shares. And Brandon, you can now open the floor to the Q&A session, please..

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Gary Mobley with Benchmark. Please go ahead..

Gary Mobley

Good morning, gentlemen or good afternoon. I’m not sure, what is this for guys.

But with respect to the 5G infrastructure royalty opportunity based on your existing licensees, Nokia and ZTE, can you give us an update as to your expectations once those guys are up at a full run rate and as well, what’s your outlook for 2019 may look like whether it be an absolute basis or on a delta compared to 2018?.

Gideon Wertheizer

Hi Gary, it’s Gideon. Let me speak in general about it. When it comes to Nokia, we can only echo what they're saying and they're speaking about Q3 and Q4 deployment, starting Q3, with larger extent, in Q4, I believe, it's going to be on the T-Mobile network. We'll have to see how this looks like, but from our standpoint, just wait and see.

When it comes to ZTE, I elaborated. They are coming out of the ban, I mean, the ban was not just – does not cause just shutting down their operation, basically they are suppliers stock manufacturing chips and – in some cases even the people will move to other project. So this takes time to rebuild.

So we are thinking about Q4 to start seeing – and actually recovering and we bring some amount into the Q4 royalty. So, without speaking, waiting, I think when it comes to see a substantial, we need to speak about 2019, when ZTE will be behind it and they will be behind it and Nokia are start leveraging on the wins that they had..

Gary Mobley

Okay.

Based on the size of the market and your share, which I believe 50%, what you think the full run rate for royalty revenue could be?.

Yaniv Arieli

Hi Gary, I don't think we changed our longer-term forecast. I think we still believe that this is a significant royalty opportunity and based on all the data that you just said, the market size and the number of chips and its base station, it could be north of $20 million. We just want to see those first royalty reports.

We – as you know, we did with one or two from ZTE and then the ban kicked in. So we want to see that get back. And an opportunity could be way over $20 million, if they do it right and both of these customers are in full production in the first quarter of 2019..

Gary Mobley

Okay, as a follow-up question focusing specifically on the mobile handset baseband process insight, it sounds like your royalty rate per unit may increase at the Tier 1 smartphone OEM, its based in the U.S. as you gain share there in the next product cycle.

But on – first of all, can you confirm that your 4G royalty rate as a result of that might increase in the second half of the year? And then with respect to overall handset market share, just given the moving pieces – do you think your market share will shrink in 2018? And based on your share gains at the Tier 1, do you think your share can increase in 2019?.

Yaniv Arieli

Yes, so let's start with the share. The first two quarters of the year, we were 23% and that reflected first, very soft Chinese market overall in the first quarter, if you remember. That caught not just us, but the whole semiconductor market by surprise.

What was unexpected for us, was that one of our key customers in that space continued that weakness into the second quarter and didn’t show any seasonal increase like we have seen with other customers in the handset space. So we were stuck in the second quarter with the same 23% market share. The second half of the year – should look different.

And right now, we have not baked in growth for that Chinese player for the second half or at least not a significant one because we want to see how they deal with the problems and hopefully, they could get over them and win some new sockets.

With that said, when we take the premium handset that it should be launched in the third quarter, we will see those two elements that you mentioned, one is the higher ASP for overall the smartphone space for us, because of that ramp.

And second, an improvement in the overall market share that will have – it won't go back to 40%, but it should be better than our 23%, with higher dollar content.

So the way we are seeing the models for the second half of the year, that with the softness with the Chinese and the strong volume and ASP increased from the other handset baseband player that is ramping up, we will – we shift our numbers with only maybe $2 million net.

So that's part of the reason for reducing our annual royalties but the net effect is not as bad than hopefully we could see some better moving pieces for the – from our Chinese large customer..

Gary Mobley

Okay, I’ll let others to ask questions. Thank you..

Yaniv Arieli

Thanks Gary..

Operator

Our next question comes from Mike Walkley with Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead..

Mike Walkley

Great, thanks. Just building on that question, can you maybe just walk us through with your lower royalty guidance for the year? Just how much would that related maybe because ZTE, how much to the weaker smartphone market? And then how much to the Chinese OEM weaker than you expected? Thank you..

Yaniv Arieli

Sure. Hi, good morning. So let’s talk and look how we started the year and what we wanted to reach. We were talking about $92 million with licensing revenue flattish at the $43 million and about 10% growth in royalties. The first half, we were down from those expectations just in royalties by about $5.5 million.

$1 million was the ZTE band in Q2, which we shared with you and the rest of the first half $4.5 million were equally distributed between a very soft Chinese market overall, not just for our customers but for everybody, including Qualcomm in China in Q1.

And another half of that $4.5 million, about $2.5 million was associated with the softness with our specific Chinese vendor in the second quarter. So overall, that's $5.5 million, that's behind us, this is the first half of the year and there is not much we could do about it.

ZTE, we're happy that the ban has been lifted, it took a while, it took close to four months, if it would be quicker few weeks, we would be – they would be back in production much earlier. So when we start Q3, we're taking into account maybe about $1.5 million associated with that and partially into Q4 as well.

And we think that by the end of Q4, maybe the last month of Q4, they will be back in production and we'll see some royalties coming from the Q4. So that by itself, just from the ZTE ban in the second half, you're probably looking at $2 million.

If we talk about ZTE, Gideon mentioned that they were also evaluating some of our newer technologies for the next-generation chip design with us. So we are taking offers about $2.5 million on the licensing side and trying to build a $40 million, $40 million to $41 million type of base.

So ZTE overall in the second half of the year, I would say almost half-half between royalties and licensing taking overall about $4.5 million.

So $5.5 million from the first half of the year and $4.5 million brings us to $10 million, the last $2 million is what I just answered earlier that, that's the net effect of the weaker Chinese customer versus a very strong offset, but not complete offset of the new smartphone vendor, the premier smartphone vendor that is going to use us with more content and higher volume this year versus last year.

So we've always been able to offset that handset space. But we're off about $2 million, as we see it right now for the second half. There are moving pieces like other non-handset baseband growth that we've seen in the first half of the year and that should continue in the second half.

And Nokia of course, as Gideon said, Nokia is still and has been throughout the year, sort of a moving target for us. We don’t know specifically how big that could be in the near-term, which is Q3 and Q4.

We have baked something in, but far or less, than what we believe could be the full extent of Nokia ramp up with all these design wins that they are talking about, NTT DOCOMO, China Mobile, T-Mobile which is just around the corner and we just need to follow these guys and see, how fast they get – can get deployed in what city.

So if you see any deployments around your city, give us a call and we will monitor the royalty reports for the upcoming quarter..

Mike Walkley

Okay, thanks. And my follow-up question, just on licensing deals, absent to ZTE is everything kind of tracking as progressed and maybe, could you highlight some of the growth opportunities you’re seeing in licensing, both the rest of this year and into next year, including any update on automotive opportunities? Thank you..

Gideon Wertheizer

Hi, it’s Gideon. So the two – you know high runner product in terms of licensing today is ZTE’s AI. Keep in mind that when it comes to AI, we are not in full scale in – in going out to customers until the end of this month. We set a target for the AI to sign up one or two lead customers that help us to polish the product before going out to the market.

We were lucky to get three, this is very helpful for us by the end of the month, we going to be there with production where the technology. And I believe, we'll see more customers that have more risk of errors. So that say, I rather think is extremely successful is the connectivity in general.

Bluetooth, right now and we see WiFi coming in the same context, every connected device needs a Bluetooth and Wi-Fi.

Bluetooth is a huge volume, I – it's a four billion unit this year, lower ASP – royalty ASP and licensing, WiFi is also a very big market and here we get higher license fee, it could be to 2 times, 2.4 times of Bluetooth and of course, higher royalty. So these are the two high runner product for this year.

For next year, the way I see it is that we're going to see more 5G coming both in base station run, there are few customers that we would like them to join us. We want to be a monopoly there, we want to dominate the space and we are not far apart from that.

And there will be – we see 5G handset making, right now, all 5G designs are more show kind of a concept level design, it's not much production.

This is not – in such case, we don't usually participate but when people go to mass production and wants to get the power metrics and the capability that we are offering in terms of software programmability, then they – color. So 5G and – both in base station, I think we're going to see more and more in 2019. .

Mike Walkley

Great, thanks for taking my questions and look forward to seeing you at our conference this week..

Yaniv Arieli

Thanks Mike. One more thing I forgot to mention that when we jump from the very low – relatively low first half of the year to Q3, I mentioned that we're going to see like 50% growth – sequential growth in royalties.

So we're picking up, of course from a low-level that we didn't want to be there, but it seems that they were back on track to almost the same expectation that we had for the second half of the year.

And hopefully, some of these things that talked – we talked about with base stations and even hopefully, the Chinese baseband player could do a bit better than we have – our planning for the second half..

Mike Walkley

Great, thank you..

Yaniv Arieli

Thanks..

Operator

Our next question comes from Joseph Wolf with Barclays. Please go ahead..

Joseph Wolf

Thank you.

I was hoping you could give a little bit more detail on the units of the non-baseband, $88 million in the quarter, $160 million or so for the first half where does that go in the second half of the year, just in terms of number of units that you guys are in? Is there another big pick up, 25% in Bluetooth and what's in the other right now? In terms of what is exactly – what is shipping that's not Bluetooth, that's given that 70 million unit number?.

Gideon Wertheizer

So it’s a collection of product. We will not see or we'll see minor contribution for the base station that in unit terms the contribution is minor but in dollar terms are high.

But when it comes to other, that are non-Bluetooth, it's a collection of different chips, different markets, could be computer vision, could be audio, could be Narrowband-IoT, could be industrial application. We just – it's just a portfolio of things.

And many customers – some of them are new and once we start seeing them coming out, we'll analyze more and project the next level. But for now, we want them to go out of the door, go to production, ship units and then help them to get to masters as well..

Yaniv Arieli

The first success – Joseph, good morning, is really the Bluetooth that started off, maybe four years ago with us.

And if you remember from zero royalties when we got into the space, we are in the run rate of $71 million a quarter just Bluetooth devices, all over the place from hearing aids to speakers, to wire, to sport wristbands, to camera and functionality and then lots of other things.

I hope that you will have, this is the plan, as Gideon said, to have other like in the vision, like in the audio follow-up with much higher volumes, the opportunity is there and the design wins are there.

For now, the quickest ramp-up after so many designs that we have in the connectivity side, we also – already see two new customers in Bluetooth and WiFi for the second half of this year.

So the volumes absolutely should continue to go up, first from seasonality pre-Christmas point of view and second, from the number of customers that are finally, getting into production.

And we've been waiting for a while, and the Bluetooth and WiFi working very nice within three years, maybe after the design start, sometimes a bit earlier, we are seeing them deployed into different end markets..

Gideon Wertheizer

Joseph, just one more thing that I want to shed light on Bluetooth. Bluetooth is huge market. I mentioned in my prepared remarks, four billion units just this year.

And I suggest to watch how Nordic and Dialog are doing, they're all in make their money out of Bluetooth and they are speaking about in the chip side, high tens of percentage of growth in year-over-year in unit terms and revenue. So, it's a very big space and if you do it right, you can flourish there..

Joseph Wolf

Okay, that is helpful. And then there was one handset related license work that you guys did in a quarter.

Is that a 5G related license? And is there any reason to believe that the 2019 licensing revenue will see a lot of – or a new kind of designs for handsets coming back?.

Gideon Wertheizer

Design for handset could come in from two angles; one is, incumbents and they are people that use us and will continue to use us and there are people that don't use us and we believe, we have a proposition for 5G and entry point for them.

And, I wouldn't exclude any incumbent in the cellular market today, in the handset market, saying, no, this guy is MAH and he has everything. The other part and there are newcomers that are into this space. There is one in China, I don't want to mention the name because I'm not sure that we already announced it.

But could be a strong contender in this market. And we see few others that are looking into the space, not necessarily because of handset, because 5G spend is beyond this automotive and IoT in general. And that's also a big market. So, in terms of licensing 5G, we are speaking now in a bigger term in terms of available licensees..

Joseph Wolf

Okay, and just finally, with all the buyback, can you just give an update on whether that means that you're seeing fewer M&A opportunities? Or there is not enough appetite? Or you got the right strategy and aren't looking around that much right now?.

Gideon Wertheizer

So let me respond on the M&A strategy and then Yaniv can refer to the buyback. When it comes to M&A, we are prudent, it's not that they are hundreds of companies that we can buy. We did one very successful acquisition and we want to continue using it. So we don't – right now, we don't have something specific that we have in our radar.

And we are not rushing to do it. We have an organic strategy that has enough engines to flourish..

Yaniv Arieli

Yes, nothing really to add. The buyback is here to support the stock and our belief in the longer term, which is not too long, it's now the second half of the year, which is much better than the first one and much better than any second half we have so far.

And, it’s just for the time being, it's a good use of the cash and IP mall should generate cash overall. So, this is just something that we're doing in the, meanwhile, until we find the right M&A target, the right technology that we want to have.

So, I don't think those two contradict, we are not talking about a $100 million buyback program but a smaller one, as we go along..

Joseph Wolf

Okay, thank you..

Gideon Wertheizer

Thanks Joseph..

Operator

And our next question comes from Matt Ramsay with Cowen. Please go ahead..

Matt Ramsay

Hi guys, thank you very much. I guess my first question is on the base station market. Gideon you made mention in your comment just now that you guys are looking for eventual full coverage of the base station space with your technology.

Obviously, you've announced the couple of big OEMs, maybe you could just give us an update on where you stand with sort of the other big three obviously, Ericsson, Samsung or things that may be you’ve hinted at before that there is some dialogue, but the folks at Huawei do their own DSPs typically.

So maybe you could give us a little of update, on just generally where discussions are with the rest of the market? And if there were some royalty deals to get signed or some licenses to get signs rather how long should we think about the timeline for royalties coming out of the rest of the base station players? Thanks..

Gideon Wertheizer

So, out of the three names that you mentioned, one is already working with us, one is in discussion and one there is no discussion. So, I'm sorry, I cannot elaborate more, but we're have a big shot there, because we are the only guy in town that can provide such complicated technology for 5G.

Now beyond that people are speaking about base station and think about the incumbent there, but there are although small sales and fixed wireless and we add into this one all the enterprise, all the WiFi access point. For us, it’s the same technology base.

And then you start speaking about different names, you speaking about networking guys in here, the opportunity is huge. And we are here doing three steps and progress with few of the large guys there..

Matt Ramsay

Now thanks for that, I appreciate the sensitivity around some of the ongoing discussions. I guess, as my follow-up questions, I had two questions or topics I wanted to sort of ask about in the smartphone space. I guess, on the more challenging side, obviously, there's something going on with spectrum here.

I guess, my question around that is, what was new and different for this quarter’s update and maybe you had updated on three months ago, I think was fairly well known in the industry that MediaTek was pulled into Samsung at the low-end and that was going to be a challenge.

So, I guess, maybe Gideon, first of all, what's new and different that's happened with that particular customer? And second, on the positive side, Qualcomm admitted that, that Intel is going to be 100% share of the flagship iPhone going forward.

Maybe you guys could talk about what your share has been or what you estimated to have been within the iPhone on the modem side in this last-cycle what kind of an update we could look at and particularly, sounds like you mentioned that ASPs or royalties per unit could be a bit higher with that customer going forward.

Any commentary on just magnitude of what we should think about from a royalty shift would be really helpful. Thank you..

Gideon Wertheizer

So, without going through the specific details that you would like to see, I'll give you just the envelope of that. So, when it comes to the Chinese customers, the first quarter was all around weakness in the market, there was not any – there are different segments, feature phone and 3G and LTE and all of them were ugly.

And it was correlated with what's going on the market overall. What I referred in my prepared remark is specific OEM, large OEMs that Chinese customer had certain share and a very large share. And now it's being split between another customer of ours, so with this specific OEM, we're not completely out.

We are left with substantial share but not the same share that we do. And that's the sort of the revised, the update in the guidance that we do it. With that said, cellular market is a very dynamic market and this may answer your second question.

It work on a one year cadence and if you lose a socket in big socket or small socket, usually its take you out of it for the whole year but then you have another chance to get in next deal. So specific this Chinese customers, where we see some signs of not regaining share, but gaining share with other OEM on the account of the incumbents there.

So, it's a big fight and we need to take it – it is what it is. But this company – this Chinese company was a competent company and we'll be a competent company and there is lots of support there in China to not to drag into to fix the problems.

It's not – I wouldn't – you lost a design and then you give another shot and you do it, but that it is what it is, that's how this market works..

Matt Ramsay

Got it, thank you. And any update on sort of big base band customer in the U.S. would be really helpful going into 2019. Thank you..

Gideon Wertheizer

I mean we are waiting for the same data. I think the public information about the ramp-up with T-Mobile is there. We need to either see the sign that is happening on the streets or get the royalty report and then figure out the volumes and magnitude.

So this was something that we have been following and updating that we have don’t have any special insights other than the public announcements that these guys are talking. And they have been talking a lot on the base station side in the U.S. The handset side in the U.S.

I think we mentioned, higher ASP, higher volume, higher share in that socket from the third quarter, which all are benefiting factors to offsetting almost completely but other than $2 million for the second half of this year..

Matt Ramsay

Thanks guys, appreciate it..

Gideon Wertheizer

Thank you..

Operator

Our next question comes from Suji Desilva with Roth Capital. Please go ahead..

Suji Desilva

Hi Gideon, hi Yaniv. For the smartphone baseband, folks that typically haven't use CEVA, looking ahead to 5G, what's the likelihood at some of those baseband vendors would consider using CEVA? And if they were to would it be a mixed, some platforms being CEVA, some non-CEVA, I want to understand the handicap there..

Gideon Wertheizer

If you ask us about OEMs, because when it comes our relationship with the baseband semis, this is our ongoing relationship and our strategy there is to convince them to upgrade to a newer technology and we do have a lot to offer them.

When it comes to our customer relationship with OEM and that's what I tell Matt in the other question, it's really very dynamic. And you have to take it on a yearly basis. So in any one of your large customer can win a socket, like it has happened today, this year it was [indiscernible] in other large OEMs to do. It is a big market.

Today, it's more fragmented, it's not just Apple and the Samsung. And then you have Oppo and Vivo and Xiaomi and ZTE. And all of them can create tens of millions or get even to hundreds of million units a year. So, if you lose one customer you can go to, you can win another customer and by the way that’s what happens to the Chinese customer.

We are seeing them winning sockets, in other customers it will come to – into play in 2019, when this customer will refresh their phones. So we – other than this, we don't know have what to say, other than this specific Chinese customers is viable player and continue to be a viable player, and what we lost today, we’ll win somewhere else..

Suji Desilva

Okay, and then a question on wireless infrastructure side. In terms of Nokia ramping up here, as you come closer, it's a second half and you're seeing some visibility.

Is the linearity playing out as you expected? Is there any difference from what you expected? And how it's playing out? Are the units for the second half 2018 coming in as expected above or below what you had forecast?.

Gideon Wertheizer

No below, for sure below, as we mentioned we still don’t have the visibility for those ramp-up's that Nokia just a week ago, talked about in Q3 and Q4 deployment in T-Mobile. So as soon as we have that data, we'll update. We though it could be a bit earlier, in the beginning of the year, we didn't know anything about ZTE band.

From both base station customers, it's been taking a bit longer. But I think, all the obstacles are off. And out of the way and ZTE can now go and continue their manufacture and they already was a royalty contributor. And Nokia is just about to start, so we hope it's a good start for them.

And we wish them enough luck, because that's what they are saying, that from Q3, they starting to deploy it in different networks..

Suji Desilva

Okay, great.

And then my last question, sounds like the AI opportunities starting to come in from the lighten side at least, can you remind us, what the royalty opportunity in AI, as it kicks in? What the ranges of the potential royalty there is?.

Yaniv Arieli

It could be quite significant, it depends really what type of AI, it is a long discussion. I think our time is out, but AI could go into so many different elements. We talked in the past about seeing them with vision, next to audio products, in the automotive, we are talking with few vendors.

So it could be anywhere from a vision type of process to anywhere to up to a $1 of ASPs, it depends really on the end market. It's a very lucrative product line for us, both licensing and the royalty potential from it..

Suji Desilva

Okay, thanks for the answers guys. Thanks..

Gideon Wertheizer

Thank you..

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Richard Kingston for any closing remarks..

Richard Kingston Vice President of Market Intelligence, Investor & Public Relations

Thanks Brandon, and thank you everyone for joining us today. And your continued interest and support of CEVA. We will be attending the following upcoming events and invite you to meet is there. Tomorrow we will be at the Oppenheimer 21st Annual Technology, Internet & Communications Conference in Boston.

On Thursday we will be at the Canaccord Genuity 38th Annual Growth Conference in Boston. On September 5, at the ROTH Internet of Things Corporate Access Day in San Francisco. Also on September 5 we will be at the Citi 2018 Global Technology Conference in New York. On September 12, we will be at the Deutsche Bank Technology Conference in Las Vegas.

Please visit the investor section of our website for further information on these events and other events we will be attending. Thank you and goodbye..

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may disconnect..

ALL TRANSCRIPTS
2024 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2023 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2022 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2021 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2020 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2019 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2018 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2017 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2016 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2015 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2014 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1