Axsome Therapeutics, Inc.

Axsome Therapeutics, Inc.

AXSMยทNASDAQ

$235.99

+6.2%
HealthcareBiotechnology

Axsome Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of novel therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders in the United States. The company's product pipeline includes AXS-05, a therapeutic for the treatment of major depressive disorder and resistant depression disorders; and that is in the Phase III clinical trial to treat Alzheimer's disease agitation, as well as that has completed phase II clinical trial for the treatment of smoking cessation. It is also developing AXS-07, a novel, oral, rapidly absorbed, multi-mechanistic, and investigational medicine that has completed two Phase III trials for the acute treatment of migraine; AXS-12, a selective and potent norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, which is in Phase III trial to treat narcolepsy; and AXS-14, a novel, oral, and investigational medicine that is in Phase III trial for the treatment of fibromyalgia. Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. has a research collaboration agreement with Duke University for evaluating AXS-05 in smoking cessation. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$12.14B
EPS-3.6800
P/E Ratio-64.13
Earnings Date08/03/2026
axsm

Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. Street Expectations Map

AXSM ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that AXSM stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 255.81, with estimates ranging from a low of 200.00 to a high of 302.00.

Lowest Target
200.00
-15.25%
Consensus Target
255.81
8.40%
Highest Target
302.00
27.97%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 255.81, with estimates ranging from a low of 200.00 to a high of 302.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+8.4%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

39.9% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.83x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

axsm

Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

AXSM ยท NASDAQ
Latest Revenue
638.50M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
983.80M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
869.18M - 1.12B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+54.1%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage17 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread26%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Well-supported growth expectations: Strong analyst coverage combined with positive growth projections provides confidence in forward outlook.

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Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

AXSM ยท NASDAQ
Latest Net Income
-183.17M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-99.84M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-301.96M - -3.19M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+45.5%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage17 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread299%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

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Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

AXSM ยท NASDAQ
Latest EPS
-3.68
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$-1.96
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-6.07 - $-0.06
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+46.7%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage13 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread306%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

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Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

AXSM ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBIT
-177.15M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-366.28M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-417.75M - -323.61M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-106.8%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage17 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread26%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

AXSM ยท NASDAQ
Latest EBITDA
-168.08M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-354.46M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-404.27M - -313.16M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-110.9%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage17 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread26%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

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Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

AXSM ยท NASDAQ
Latest SG&A Expense
570.60M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.44B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.28B - 1.65B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+153.0%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage17 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread26%

Moderate uncertainty in forecastsโ€”typical for companies with evolving business models.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Well-supported growth expectations: Strong analyst coverage combined with positive growth projections provides confidence in forward outlook.

axsm

Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. Insider Positioning

AXSM ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $102K and sold $126.04M worth of AXSM shares, resulting in $125.94M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

29.8K

6.47M

Net Activity

-6.5M

-$6.47M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

283.0K

48.47M

Net Activity

-48.5M

-$48.47M

6-9 Months

Bought

800

101.76K

Sold

386.9K

50.18M

Net Activity

-50.1M

-$50.08M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

180.3K

20.92M

Net Activity

-20.9M

-$20.92M

Top Buyers

1
CM

Coleman Mark

Director

800 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$102K

Top Sellers

1
TH

Tabuteau Herriot

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

508.7K sharesโ€ข15 transactions

$74.35M

2
JML

Jacobson Mark L.

Officer: Chief Operating Officer

115.1K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$15.30M

3
JR

Jeffs Roger

Director

110.2K sharesโ€ข6 transactions

$13.37M

4
CM

Coleman Mark

Director

42.5K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$8.05M

5
SME

Saad Mark E

Director

40.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$6.32M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $125.94M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$6.47M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.