David Mackey - Head of Investor Relations and Senior Vice President of Finance Keshav R. Murugesh - Group Chief Executive Officer and Director Deepak Sogani - Group Chief Financial Officer.
Joseph D. Foresi - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division Rahul S. Bhangare - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division Paul B. Thomas - Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Research Division Edward S.
Caso - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division Kunal Tayal - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division Ashish Sabadra - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division Ashwin Shirvaikar - Citigroup Inc, Research Division David J. Koning - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Research Division Puneet Jain - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division.
Good morning, and welcome to the WNS Holdings First Quarter Fiscal 2014 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Now, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. David Mackey, WNS's Corporate Senior Vice President of Finance and Head of Investor Relations.
Go ahead, David, please?.
net revenue is defined as revenue less repair payments; adjusted net income, or ANI, is defined as profit excluding amortization of intangible assets and share-based compensation. These terms will be used throughout the call. I would now like to turn the call over to Keshav to begin.
Keshav?.
to innovate and automate. By providing our clients with top leadership and transformational solutions, WNS will continue to differentiate ourselves in the marketplace, drive higher revenue and improve our operating efficiency.
In the last quarter, our Capability Creation Group has launched a new industry-specific version of risk and compliance offerings, identified a partner for data virtualization and established a lab for moving clients from expensive licensed analytics platforms to open source solutions.
We're also currently incubating several exciting new concepts, including a platform for enhancing social media and website analytics. In addition, WNS continues to opportunistically look for niche tuck-in acquisitions to augment our internally developed capabilities.
Focus areas for the company include unique domain expertise and technology tools and platforms. Today, WNS's differentiated positioning is resonating well with not only clients and prospects, but with key industry stakeholders as well.
During the first quarter, WNS was named the 2013 winner of the prestigious Golden Peacock award for Global Business Excellence. In addition, we were named a leader in Finance & Accounting for the third consecutive year in Gartner's most recent Magic Quadrant study.
From a company recognition standpoint, I'm also pleased to report that I have now joined NASSCOM's Executive Council, and have also been appointed Chairman of NASSCOM's Business Process Management or BPM Council. Clearly, WNS's market visibility and brand awareness is improving.
We believe that this is helping the company's -- the company participate in more opportunities and is also having a positive impact on global recruiting and retention. At the macro level, demand for BPO services remains stable and healthy.
While industry momentum remains strong, final decisions on large transformational deals continue to progress slowly. WNS remains well positioned for several of these large engagements and we currently feel that for a few of these deals, the question is when, and not if, we will be awarded a contract.
In summary, we believe that WNS is on track towards our long-term goals of growing at or above industry rates and improving both margins and profitability. While ongoing investments are necessary to ensure differentiated positioning in the marketplace, we believe that WNS has operating margin leverage opportunities in 2014 and beyond.
The company remains focused on continuing to create increased business value for all of our key stakeholders, including clients, employees, shareholders and the communities in which we live and work. Let me now hand the call over to Deepak Sogani, WNS's CFO, to walk through the financials.
Deepak?.
Thank you, Keshav. With respect to the first quarter numbers, net revenue increased $213.8 million from $102.6 million in the same quarter last year, growing 10.9%. On a constant currency basis, year-over-year net revenue grew 12.6% when accounting for a 3% depreciation in the British pound.
Sequentially, net revenue increased by $1 million, or 0.9%, despite 1.2% depreciation in the pound. On a constant currency basis, first quarter revenue grew 1.6% sequentially. Year-over-year, revenue growth was led by our Utilities, Banking and Financial Services and Retail & CPG verticals, which all grew over 20%.
Growth rates in our more mature verticals of Insurance and Travel also expanded at 7% and 6%, respectively. Operating margin, excluding share-based compensation and amortization of intangibles, was 13.9% in Q1 as compared to 13.2% reported in the same quarter of fiscal 2013 and 15.8% last quarter.
On a year-over-year basis, operating margin improved 75 basis points, as depreciation in Indian rupee and increased operating leverage on higher volumes more than offset our investments in the global infrastructure and the impact of our annual wage increases.
The sequential operating margin reduction of 190 basis points is largely seasonal in nature, driven by the timing of our annual wage increases. Interest expense this quarter was $0.8 million, down slightly from the $1 million reported in Q1 of last year and $0.9 million in the previous quarter.
The company's other income was $2.2 million in the first quarter, up from $1 million reported in the same quarter last year and $1.6 million reported in the last quarter. The year-over-year and sequential increases in other income are a result of higher cash balances and improved returns on our India-based investments.
WNS's effective tax rate in the first quarter was 16.3%, down from 17.7% last year and up from 14.9% in the previous quarter. Reductions in the company's effective tax rate this year from increased utilization of our tax-exempted facilities in India will be tempered by a 10% tax surcharge imposed in the March 2013 India budget.
Our estimate for the full year tax rate remains unchanged at 15.5% to 16.5%. The company's ANI for Q1 was $14.4 million compared with $11.1 million in the same quarter of fiscal 2013 and $15.8 million in the last quarter. This represented growth in adjusted net income of 30% year-over-year.
Adjusted diluted earnings were $0.28 per share in Q1, up from $0.22 reported in the first quarter of last year and down from $0.30 in the previous quarter. As of June 30, 2013, WNS's balances in cash and investments totaled $102.5 million.
The gross debt position was $94.2 million, with the company reporting a net cash position of $8.3 million at the end of Q1. The company generated $8.1 million of cash from operating activity this quarter and free cash flow of $2.6 million.
DSO in the first quarter came down to 31 days, down from 33 days reported in Q1 of last year and in the last quarter. Our CapEx for the quarter was $5.5 million, with the majority of the spend in support of ongoing infrastructure expansion. With respect to other key operating metrics, our total headcount at the end of the quarter was 26,178.
The attrition rate in Q1 was 35%, down from 36% in the same quarter of last year and 36% reported in Q4. Built seat capacity was 22,616 at the end of the quarter, which represented a net increase of 641 seats sequentially.
The average built seat utilization in Q1 was 1.16 as compared to 1.27 reported in the same quarter of last year and 1.18 in the previous quarter. While we continued to add seats in some locations to support specific client requirements, we remain focused on driving our seat utilization rates up over the next couple of years as the company grows.
This will enable us to leverage our investments in both new geographies and tax-exempt facilities, driving both operating margin expansion and a lower effective tax rate. In our press release issued earlier today, WNS provided an update to our fiscal 2014 guidance.
Based on the company's current visibility levels, we expect net revenue to be in the range of $462 million to $478 million, representing year-over-year revenue growth of 6% to 10%. Revenue guidance assumes an average British pound to U.S. dollar exchange rate of 1.50 for the remainder of the year, or an average full year exchange rate of 1.51.
The year-over-year depreciation in the pound of 4.5% will impact approximately half of the company's revenue. Excluding the exchange rate impact, on a constant currency basis, the revenue guidance represents growth of 8.4% to 12%. We currently have 95% visibility to the midpoint of the revenue range, consistent with July guidance in previous years.
Adjusted net income is expected to be in the range of $66 million to $70 million for 2014, based on INR 60 to U.S. dollar exchange rate for the remainder of the year, or an average full year exchange rate of INR 59.0. This ANI implies adjusted EPS of $1.26 to $1.33 on a diluted share count of approximately 52.5 million shares.
At the midpoint of our guidance, adjusted net income is growing 28% on constant currency revenue growth of 10%. In terms of hedging, WNS is approximately 90% hedged for the fiscal 2014, using a combination of options and forward contracts.
For fiscal 2014, the volatility in the Indian rupee has provided us with the opportunity to convert some of our options, which were out of the money to forwards, locking in the current spot rates. This will provide us with increased margin certainty in the current fiscal year.
The company expects CapEx levels to be in the range of $20 million to $22 million in fiscal 2014. We will now open up the call for questions..
[Operator Instructions] And your first question is from Joseph Foresi from Janney Montgomery Scott..
I guess my first question here is on the pipeline. Where do we stand with the large deals? I think you talked about 5 to 6 yields and I think we've seen 2 announced, and you made some commentary in your opening remarks about any slowdowns.
And I'm wondering, have you seen any slowdowns from what we thought last quarter? So a little bit color on the pipeline would be helpful..
Joe, I'll start and have Dave give a little bit more color. Yes, actually, from a large deals point of view, actually, we are very excited with the kind of traction that we are seeing. We've all designed to, we've spoken about. And interestingly, both of them are in the high-value Finance & Accounting areas and both with very large global companies.
So very excited about the potential and prospect from those deals. At the same time, we are playing in a number of other deals as well, which are in different stages of progress. At this point in time, I can tell you that we are well positioned in quite a few of them.
And as I mentioned, my comment really was that it is now a question of when and not if, because we are extremely confident about how we are tracking in a number of those deals.
And again, it comes down to the fact that our investments are working, our vertical and domain strategy is resonating well, our client partners and our sales people are impacting the marketplace extremely well.
And frankly, clients are now looking for a global partner, as opposed to local vendors and I think WNS very beautifully fits the gap that exists..
And I think the one thing I'll add to Keshav's comments, Joe, from a pace standpoint is that, I don't think we're seeing any overall change in terms of the pace of how deals are moving through the pipeline or the pace of client decision making.
I think it's just when we get into some of these larger and more complex deals, it's just difficult to tell how long it's going to take to get certain things over the goal line. So we certainly try and help the clients through that decision process and try and move things along as quickly as possible.
But at the end of the day, when you're talking about solutions that tend to be, not only transformational, but also highly disruptive to clients, these things take time at the end. So we wait for them to close, but very excited about where we sit right now and the number of opportunities that we're well positioned in..
Okay.
On the margin front, the 75-basis-point improvement, what portion of that was depreciation versus efficiencies? And then, how do you expect the margin profile to progress throughout the year? If you could just give us some idea of how you expect that seat utilization to come through and impact margins throughout the year as well?.
Yes, Joe, this is Deepak. I will take this question.
So implied in the annual guidance that we have provided to you, we are expecting at the midpoint of YoY growth in our ANI of about 28%, which is 230 basis points improvement against the last year's annual ANI, right? So that's one data point, and as we've been saying, our endeavor is to focus on improving our ANI margins at a rate higher than the revenue growth rate, okay?.
And Joe, you were referring to the 75 basis points on a year-over-year basis for the first quarter?.
Yes, I just want to get a feel of how you break out the operational efficiencies versus currency on the margin?.
Yes, on a net basis, when you look at the impact of where we were on the pound and the dollar, we came out a little bit favorable this quarter year-over-year from a currency perspective. We did have a pretty significant move in the gains and losses on our hedged positions year-over-year, which you guys will see when you look at the detailed P&L.
With respect to the operating issues, right, we've got the year-over-year impact of seat utilization which is pretty significant. We've got the year-over-year impact from our wage increases, which is significant. And those are really being offset by higher volumes and productivity and operating efficiencies.
So on a net-net basis, what we've been able to do is take some currency favorability, use it to fund the year-over-year impact of our seat utilization, and we've been able to offset the impact of wages through operating efficiencies..
With one quarter sort of through and the level of visibility you have to the midpoint, I was wondering, what are the gating factors to get you to the upper end of the guidance range for the year? Maybe you could just talk about some factors that you need to fall one way or another, as we head through the rest of the year?.
I think when you look at the high end of the guidance, the real trick to getting there has obviously somewhat to do with our ability to continue to work on some of the key operating metrics in the business.
But the reality is, the driver for getting to the high end is going to be getting these large deals signed, getting them signed as quickly as possible, maintaining the volumes on our existing book of business and continuing to have success farming with our existing clients.
And if all 3 of these things click on all cylinders, we have the opportunity to get to or above the high end of guidance. If any one of those pieces does not work in an efficient manner, then obviously, it's going to create some pressure on our ability to get there.
But the ANI pull-through at the high end of guidance is really nothing more than, at this point in time, a function of higher revenue and the operating leverage associated with that.
So obviously, it allows us to leverage our infrastructure in India, to reduce our tax rate, it allows us to leverage the existing investments we've made in seat utilization. And we should be able to see higher margins and higher pull-through at the high end of guidance..
And again, let me add on the revenue side, the fact that we have 95% visibility now to the midpoint of the range, actually gives us a lot more confidence in terms of how our business is tracking. And as Dave mentioned, I think it is just a question of timing.
You can do that much in terms of making the effort, creating the pipeline solution and doing all of that. But finally, clients' decisions and the timing of the decisions lie only with them.
Whereas, at this point in time, we are extremely confident that our teams are doing all the right things to get there, and therefore, take us towards the higher end of that guidance range, time will tell and we'll keep you updated..
And your next question comes from Rahul Bhangare, and that's from William Blair..
You won a handful of large deals last year, could you comment on how those deals have been ramping and what we can expect from those deals this year?.
Let me take a stab at that. Each of those deals that we won last year are ramping nicely. And at this point in time, baked into this guidance is those ramps really.
I think what's also coming in is a positive impact of some unplanned ramps from some of those transactions where we're seeing, because of the geographical nature of some of these deals and the client now getting comfortable with Phase I of what WNS has done for them, they're starting to accelerate some of the other transactions and deals across geographies.
So very happy with the progress we are making in each one of them. And as you know, culturally, we are a kind of company where we build a relationship which is inch-wide, mile-deep. We really like to have a solid, long-term relationship with a client. So I'm delighted with the kind of progress our client partners are making with each of those clients..
Okay. And Keshav, you mentioned that the U.S. pipeline is pretty strong.
Could you give us a little bit more color on how that's tracking by vertical?.
Sure. Actually, I'm extremely positive about, first and foremost, the number of deals that we have in that pipeline, the scope, the scale, the complexity and the size of some of those deals that we have and the fact that they are broad-based across verticals.
So it is not that one particular vertical is driving everything, it is coming across every one of our core ones, whether it is Insurance, Healthcare, Retail, Travel, Shipping & Logistics. And a lot of it is being driven by the higher value Finance & Accounting and analytics kind of offerings.
So I would just say that, at this point in time, we are very happy with the impact that the sales force in North America has created.
Again, in some of the large deals that we spoke about in the early part of my prepared comments, some of these deals actually are based out of North America, and are lying in the discussions that I spoke about just now, so very happy with the impact there..
Is the sales productivity where you want it to be, according to your plan, or is there still some improvement that you're trying to get to?.
Great question. And whereas I'm happy with the kind of impact that my sales people are now creating in the marketplace. Obviously, from my perspective, each of them has a quota, and I would like every one of my sales people to deliver on those quotas.
So I would like to say that, at this point in time, whereas I'm happy with the progress being made, there's always potential for a better performance..
And your next question comes from Mr. Paul Thomas of Goldman Sachs..
You talked about being well positioned in more large deals and you spoke of it as being a matter of when rather than if.
Where is that confidence coming from? Have you had board-level conversations or can you just help us understand what stage they're in that's making you think that it's just a matter of time to win those deals?.
Yes, great question. And in each one of those deals, I think the way we have moved through the stages in terms of -- as you are aware, with each of these deals, normally, there is an advisor involved, there is a tremendous kind of ownership from the top of the house on the prospect side.
And most often, the deal starts with 10 to 12 players actually being named in the first shortlist.
So I'm happy to say that when we're talking about progress, it means that WNS has actually gone through the stages of being qualified in the first top 10 or 12, then moved, based on customer visits, looking at our experience, case studies, and most importantly, meeting our people and our management team.
Moving that down to the top 5 or 4 or whatever. And then based on the next level of studies, actually being down selected to probably 1 of 2 players. So at this point in time, I would say that, the fact that in every one of those deals, not only is senior-level engagement seen, but I'm personally interacting with the decision makers on the other side.
And all of them, at this point in time, are just going through the hoops of getting internal final approvals to put things in writing. But generally, the body language, as well as the confidence coming back from the other side is verbally okay to WNS and contract needs to be done..
I think Keshav is being a little bit conservative in some of these instances. And for us to feel that confident about a deal, we've been down selected at a minimum to the final 2.
But the reality with a number of these opportunities and some of them, to be very fair, Paul, we've gotten into a little bit of trouble and a little bit ahead of ourselves discussing before they reached finalization.
There's situations where we've gone through the process and the client has notified WNS that we are their preferred partner, but there are still things for them to do internally before we can proceed.
So it becomes a question of whether they're going to do it with WNS or they're not going to do it at all, and then that's what gives us a lot of confidence..
And then on your comments on FX benefits to margins, it sounds like there wasn't much of a benefit net-net in the -- in margins to the quarter and the improvement we're seeing is mostly operational, is that the right way to think about this quarter?.
I guess it depends on whether you're looking at quarter-to-quarter or year-over-year. So let's clarify that a little bit..
So it's year-over-year..
Yes. On a year-over-year basis, the reality is that if you look at what happened, we did have some favorability from a margin perspective. But part of that with the -- not by the changes in our hedge position.
So what you got to look at is both pieces to that, not only what's going on with the British pound in terms of depreciation, which is hurting us, the Indian rupee, which is depreciating, which is helping us.
But also the relative contribution or challenge, if you will, from the gains or losses on hedging period-over-period, which may or may not be moving directly in concert with how those currencies fluctuate..
Okay.
And how do we think about that with change in the guidance for the year, also along the same lines, and how much of the change in ANI is just foreign exchange, changes versus operational improvements?.
I think at the end of the day, the majority of the changes that have been put through in this quarter, both from a top line perspective and from a bottom line perspective, relate to improvements in currency on a net basis.
The one exception to that, I will tell you, is the fact that the low end of our guidance has been improved despite currency headwinds. So at the low end, we have improved both revenue and profitability, on an operational basis.
At the midpoint and the high end, really, if you look at what's going on with the guidance, we've rolled through the impact of currency..
And your next question comes from Mr. Edward Caso of from Wells Fargo Securities..
Sort of curious, these new clients that you're talking with and better throughout your pipeline, are they new to outsourcing, new to offshoring? Are they existing outsourcers that are looking at different functions? I mean, sort of what kind of missionary work is involved here?.
Great question, Ed. And I would say, it's a combination of all of it. In some cases, it is actually a first time kind of offshorer really looking to be educated about the process and therefore, it has taken enough time -- and that's where advisors come in, get involved, bring a number of players in.
And then, we've gone through the stages and now we reached final stage. And quite often, even there, they would probably start with one large global process. So what we're also seeing is as opposed to just a process delivered out of one country, they want an end-to-end global process, essentially taken out and delivered by a global partner like us.
But as the discussions progress, they're already discussing with us the second and the third and the fourth expansion that may go beyond the first area of horizontal, maybe into a domain or operations areas as well. So I would say that in this mix are clearly first time kind of offshorers.
There are people who are quite familiar with the model, who already have somebody else servicing them on a particular area. But because they went with that partner in the good old times, without thinking through the entire end-to-end gain strategically, they're now finding the WNS value proposition far more compelling.
And in some of these cases, we have actually replaced, like we mentioned earlier in one of the large deals, we replaced a large global player who were their partners for 5 or 6 years. So again, it's the differentiation that is working well and the fact that our global footprint and our experience that we're able to showcase is, again, helping us.
So I would say, it's all of it, the combination of all of this. And it's good selling, it's good positioning of the differentiators. And it's a lot to do also with the cultural alignment that we bring to the table.
Because particularly, with the first time outsourcers or somebody who has burned their fingers, there's a lot of focus on the reference calls, interaction with our existing clients and they feel extremely comfortable when they understand how we have built relationships with them.
And therefore, they're looking forward to having the similar kind of relationship with WNS..
My next questions are around competition and the intensity of the competition, both from sort of the Tier 1 IT offshore providers as they try to leverage their IT relationships into your BPO world, as well as the Accenture, IBM global players maybe coming down market into some of your size deals.
Are you seeing any change in the sort of competitive intensity and success of those moves?.
I would say that we have not seen any significant change. It's, to some extent, business as usual. It could be, essentially, our people maybe performing a little better based on the investments we have made, as well as the energy that our people bring to the table. But I can assure you that with the large IT players, we're not seeing that impact.
So in fact, at the most, they would be aggressive within -- on the BPO side within their existing clients on a few select opportunities as a difference of mechanism. But the decision makers are still very different for both IT and business process management. The risk profile is completely different.
And serious people who want partners, who look at their operations business the way they look at it, will sign up with the WNS.
And while saying that, I would also say that we do run into the usual suspects in every one of these deals, and particularly on the higher end areas of -- which are more horizontal flavored, we would see some of the other large companies that you spoke about. But again, we have been competing very eminently and very well against them.
And we need business, so we think the market is there. The market is strong and I think WNS's message is resonating well..
Last question. Your -- part of the recent utilization is weak. Is that your new -- their incremental work seems to be coming in places outside of India, Poland, South Africa, China.
Is there a change in client mindset against India? Or is there -- is it just sort of the way the deals fell?.
Again, great question, Ed. And I did cover this at the high level in my comments earlier. The reality is these deals are getting more global in nature from a WNS perspective, because I think our message is resonating well. Clients trust us, and therefore clients want to start by handing over these processes globally.
So we may therefore start a finance and accounting kind of an operation maybe for Europe in 2 of our centers, something delivered out of the center close to the U.S. or whatever -- build comfort with them to take that work outside. But it is not replacing India because in the long term, the heavy lifting will get done in India.
So we have to assume that the buildout of this infrastructure will be limited in nature in some of these locations. And whereas in the beginning, even from a margin point of view, it may be lower than the usual blended margin we get.
We're extremely confident that longer term, as the deals increases in size and scope, a lot of it will get delivered from offshore locations like India..
And your next question comes from Mr. Kunal Tayal from Bank of America..
My first question, Keshav, just continuing on the competitive and dynamics. Wanted to check if the dynamics has changed in any manner over the past one quarter because of the overhang of the immigration build at some of the vendors in the market might be facing..
We actually haven't seen any difference. And as I talked to my clients and prospects, one thing that they clearly come back with is a message that look, we understand value very well. We're not going to be -- we clearly understand who understands business process well, who understands operations well, who understands our end customers well.
And therefore, I think the ability to use a particular situation in the market and going to a different segment of business is severely limited.
Because let me assure you, a few clients did fall for that in the past and then found that some of these companies really use the BPO sale to essentially try and grow the IT footprint later and didn't give them the attention that they needed.
I must mention that some of the new clients that we've acquired in the last 2 years actually came from some of these large IT players as well. So we're not seeing any significant change or impact, frankly, from a client behavior point of view..
And one of the interesting things, I think, that we have to watch for depending on obviously what happens with immigration reform, is to the extent that immigration reform creates challenges for the IT services players to be able to provide services or create a situation where end pricing goes up to clients as a result of increased costs and scarcity of resource.
The reality may be very well that clients, who had been using offshore IT services to drive cost reduction and operational efficiency, have to get more aggressive about things like BPO and BPM to be able to achieve their cost objectives.
So certainly one of things we want to watch over the next 6 months to 1 year or so is to see if there are changes in client behavior as a result of immigration reform that actually looks to increase the adoption rate for BPO..
So this improvement in U.S.
pipeline, would you call it entirely a function of WNS's own participation rate? Or would you also say that the macro backdrop is now trending to become a little more favorable than what it was earlier?.
I would, first of all, will give full credit to my sales team.
And I think the fact that these guys are really making tremendous effort have understood the marketplace well, have built relationships with the analysts and advisory firms, have mapped accounts and prospects well, including clients or prospects, who already have global vendors entrenched there and introduced a middle strategy to create a deal for themselves -- is the first area that I want to focus on.
And having said that, I also believe that more clients are starting to up the ante in terms of wanting to save money, wanting to become more operations efficient and really wanting to steal a place against their competition by working with a global player like WNS. Like I said, that really looks at their business the same way they look at it.
So a lot of it has to do with our going in and actually carving out a deal. Some of it would be because of enhanced activity..
Okay.
My last question is, how are you thinking about rupee depreciation in terms of opportunity for either of increased investments or its impact on pricing?.
So from -- I think, first of all, let me just address the impact of the depreciation on our reported financials, and then I can go on to the question that you are specifically talking about, impact on our investments and on our clients.
Embedded in the -- when I gave my prepared remarks, I did speak about the fact that we have partly converted our options into forwards at the current spot levels. What that does is really protect us, to some extent, against any adverse movement in the spot rate from the current levels.
So we should be able to protect the guided ANI levels to some extent, even if there's an adverse movement now. But honestly, if there is a movement, which further depreciates the rupee, we will obviously have some impacts. That's 1 aspect of the ....
Let me take the rest of it. The reality is for us, it's business as usual. Embedded in our guidance is specific rupee and dollar and pound sterling guidance that we've provided at this point in time. We believe that this is not the time to underinvest in marketing, in capability, in sales.
And with respect to where the currency moves, that's irrelevant to our story and the investments we are making. So we will continue to probably do that $20 million, $22 million of CapEx investment.
We will continue to make the same effort that we are making on sales and we will continue to build out whatever we need to do in terms of capability creation, irrespective of where currency is..
And I think you've seen that in the guidance. Effectively, what we've done, as we mentioned a little bit earlier, with respect to the new ANI guidance, is roll through the favorability of currency. And we don't intend to change our philosophy on investment and we don't intend to change our philosophy on pricing as a result of currency volatility..
Your next question comes from Mr. Bryan Keane from Deutsche Bank..
This is Ashish Sabadra calling on behalf of Bryan Keane. Most of my questions have been answered, but I have quick, couple of follow-ups. You highlighted a pretty strong U.S. pipeline.
I was just wondering if you could give some color around the demand environment outside the U.S., what you're seeing in U.K., Europe or other places that you are have presence in..
Sure. So let me -- maybe I have ignored the other markets, but let me talk a little bit about that. I must, first of all, tell you, the first 2 large deals that we announced actually came from Europe, right? And that should give you comfort about the impact our European sales force are having in that market. We continue to make good progress there.
We're seeing enhanced traction in the Asia-Pac markets, and we're also seeing some kind of limited impact in the areas that we want to focus on in India as well. So overall, quite happy with the overall progress. I would say Europe -- Continental Europe. Europe is obviously very broad but Continental Europe would probably be more tepid than the others.
But the U.K. and other parts of Europe is resonating well for us..
So thanks for that color. Keshav, you also highlighted fine tuning of sales force.
I was wondering if any color there or just business as normal?.
It's business as normal. It's the usual things that we need to do to keep -- to raise the bar and make sure that we have performance, managing the folks well and anyone who is not hitting that bar is an ex-employee of WNS, one. Other than that, just making sure that we're fine-tuning, bringing the right skills and managing attrition.
Because you do have attrition as well. And the reality is our sales force has started performing well and are probably in demand across the market as well. So we need to make sure that we are managing attrition. So what was 81 people last quarter was to 72 at the end of this quarter.
But we'll continue to replace, hire, do whatever we need to do to manage both these impacts that I spoke about..
Okay. That's great. Just a quick one on manufacturing, retail and consumer products, if I'm looking at it right. The revenues grew year-on-year significantly but were down quarter-on-quarter.
I'm wondering if was it -- was there any callout in terms of the volume reduction that you were expecting or is it just some seasonality there?.
No. We did have -- one of the headwinds that we spoke about last quarter walking into the year was in the manufacturing retail CPG vertical, so the sequential softness was not unexpected in that vertical..
Okay.
And just in terms for -- without going into a quarterly guidance, how are you positioned for acceleration going into second and third quarter? Should we see some good acceleration? Or it will be a smooth -- in terms of increase in revenue, should we see some good acceleration starting to 2Q? Or do we still have to wait in third Q to see that kind of improved -- revenue improvement, growth improvement?.
Good question. I do think we will see revenue growth again here in the fiscal second quarter. Somewhat muted, as it was in Q1, by some of the headwinds that we spoke about walking into the year.
As we discussed, those were ramp downs that we're expected to have take place in Q1 and Q2 as a result of volumes with some of our existing clients, as well as M&A related activities. So these are the things that we have visibility to. We're pleased with how we've been progressing on the new deal front and on the farming front.
But again, as we look into the second quarter, the visibility to the headwinds are greater than the visibilities to the ramp-up. One of the things Keshav didn't mention is that the 2 large deals that we have already signed had very little contribution at all in the fiscal first quarter.
So these are the kinds of things that as we go through second quarter should start to ramp, but we really believe that the benefit from these 2 large deals that we've signed, as well as the things that are close to closure, will be more back half-related for us..
Okay. One final question. On the last call, there was some discussion around the nearshore versus offshore mix and that having some impact on margins. I was wondering if you've seen any change on that front.
Or should we see that mix change as we proceed? As well as the utilization, Keshav highlighted that seat utilization will progress throughout the year.
But just a follow-up on that would be, when should we expected that seat utilization coming to more normalized level of 1.3, 1.4? Will it be by end of this year or would take a couple of more years to come to that normalized level?.
Yes, that's an interesting question and it addresses a lot of things. But I'll try and take a stab at it quickly. One of the things that we are seeing, based on our value proposition and the investments we have made is that our clients and prospects are extremely comfortable with us now in terms of really handing over a global process for us.
And I as explained earlier, therefore, it means, in many cases, starting off in some of these locations nearshore, building the comfort and they maybe margin dilutive in the beginning. But in the longer term, as we start ramping and moving some of those processes into India at a larger scale, the margin also comes back.
So one is the transition impact. The second is the fact that margins, when you look at it as a standalone basis, in a nearshore center will be lower. But on an overall long-term basis, the margin will actually be positive. So we're actually seeing some of that impact in the margins that we've been announcing. That's one.
The second question really, and again, I must tell you we're extremely comfortable with every one of the clients, prospects and large deals that ultimately a large part of delivery will take place from the traditional offshore locations. So quite confident about the longer-term margin traction.
In terms of seat utilization, you must, rest assured, that we are completely focused on improving the seat utilization while we continue to add some seats to support the global clients that I spoke about, but at a decelerating rate. So we will grow seats onshore but at a decelerating rate.
And our guidance actually assumes seat utilization improvement by the end of the year itself. Now whether seat utilization will go back to the historical levels of 1.4% and 1.35% that you spoke about. I think we were just that for a few calls recently.
We may not see those levels of seat utilization because of the sheer global nature of the business and the kind of processes now being delivered. But I think the ability to move it back to where it was recently a few quarters ago, slightly lower than that is eminently possible..
And your next question comes from Ashwin Shirvaikar from Citibank..
So your last comment on seat utilization actually a good segue into my first question.
Can you remind us what the relationship is between seat utilization improvement and margins, all else being equal? And in terms of time frame, say I was to assume, you're going to go get to 1.28% or 1.3%, what timeframe should I assume? Is that a 12-month or 18-month or 24-month goal? Can you talk about that?.
Sure, let me take that, Ashwin. As we said in the past, 1% move in our seat utilization affects our operating margins by about 25 basis points. So we do have, by getting back to a 1.3% type of seat utilization level, we have an opportunity to generate over time about 250 basis points of operating margin leverage.
In terms of when, I think it's a function of 2 things. One, obviously, it's something we're focused on. We understand and we're pushing towards. The reality is that the ability to get that seat utilization up to the levels that we want to, 1.28%, 1.3%, is a function as much of how we grow as the magnitude of growth.
So in order to us to properly leverage our infrastructure investments, we've talked a lot about the global expansion that we've done. The reality is the biggest seat utilization drag we have in the company today comes from the special economic zone investments that we've made in India to drive down our long-term tax rate.
If our growth isn't India-centric and driven by new clients or new processes, it's going to be difficult to leverage that seat utilization.
That being said, we feel very good about the investments that we've made, about the deals and the pipeline and about the on-site-centric work that we've done to leverage that, to move that work to those centers over time.
So when you look at what we expect this year, we do expect that, as Deepak mentioned, seat utilization to improve by the end of the year. We are not going to reach our targeted levels by the end of this fiscal year.
But I think if things work well over the next 18 to 24 months, the opportunity exists to get back to 1.3% type of levels with respect to seat utilization..
Understood. And then on the 95% visibility to the midpoint of the range, last quarter, that was 90%.
If I just do a straight delta with a spot, $23 million, $25 million higher visibility, is that based on what you signed? Or was there previously some uncertainty with clients that's no longer there? Eventually, what I'm trying to get to is what's contained in your guidance in terms of new work and trying to get a handle on potential upside here..
Yes, the change in the visibility, Ashwin, is a function of how we define visibility with this committed work. So it's a combination of new deals that we've signed. It's a combination of forecasts or re-forecasts for existing book of businesses.
And it's also a function of how we've been doing in terms of farming our existing relationships and adding new processes. So the $23 million, $24 million, $25 million of additional business that's committed to the midpoint of our guidance is really the success that we've had in converting things over the last 3 months from possible to committed..
I guess to Keshav's point, I mean when he said, on some of these new contracts, a matter of when and not if.
So if I was to kind of turn that and say, if you signed those contracts in the coming 1 to 2 quarters, what would that do to your guidance?.
And to our point, with 95% visibility, anything we signed from this point forward helps close the gap on the 5% to the midpoint and helps us get at or above the high end of our guidance. So if these things happen sooner and they happen in higher magnitude, then we have an opportunity to meet or beat the top end of guidance.
If things get delayed and existing volumes turns out, then we have some challenges. But we feel very good about where we are. We like having this level of visibility to how we've guided. It's consistent with what we've done in the past.
And if things materialize well and efficiently, then we have some positive updates that we can provide you in later quarters..
Last couple of years, you guys have done a tremendous job here fixing up the balance sheet.
Is there any thought maybe if the appropriate opportunity came along, would you be willing to retrace and take on debt? And what level of debt would you be willing to take on if there were opportunities because my understanding is that there are some opportunities out there?.
Yes, our clearly, our balance sheet, as you rightly said is fairly healthy, we are net cash positive, have $100 million cash in the balance sheet at this point in time. We believe that we have headroom to further leverage if really required by maybe $100 million to $150 million on top of the current level of the balance sheet.
I think as we mentioned in our prepared remarks as well, we are obviously looking at augmenting our capabilities in the different verticals and proactively looking at opportunities. Let's see how they play out during the year..
I think, Ashwin, the reality is at this point in time, the company's focus is doing tuck-in acquisitions.
So we're not looking for big bang approaches and obviously to do multiple small acquisitions and a very short timeframe puts a lot of stress on the system, especially when we believe there are a large number of organic opportunities sitting in front of us.
So want to be somewhat sensitive, as you rightly say, taking advantage of opportunities that are out there in the marketplace, but also want to make sure that they're a fit for the company, that they're integratable and that they don't detract the management's attention from what we have at hand today, which is a really good opportunity..
I think that's how I look at it as well. We definitely understand that the balance sheet is strengthening. It's strong, getting even stronger. But at the same time, I think one of the messages I'd like to leave with my clients is sleep well at night because you're working well.
You're working with a partner that has cash on the balance sheet, has a healthy balance sheet and will not only service you well, but will not have any of the risks that some other players had in the past. And at the right time, we will use that cash to do whatever we need to do to enhance our business and our profitability even further..
And your next question comes from Mr. Dave Koning from Robert W. Baird..
So I've just got a couple quick ones. The first one you said there's -- so you mentioned some of the mild headwinds kind of heading into Q1 and maybe a little residual capacity Q2. At the same time, you're starting to really nicely ramp some clients as well.
Does this mean that as we get into kind of late this year and really into next year, you'll start to get pretty meaningful growth acceleration just as had the headwinds are gone, the ramps come through? Are we nicely to the double digits kind of by the time we get into next year?.
I think Dave, that certainly is where we would love to be. And if things materialize the way we would like to see them materialize this year, that opportunity exists. But one caveat I will give to that is the fact that these headwinds, and whether they're volume related, whether they're MA related, seem to crop up every year.
So while we've spoken a lot of them to what we can to do is see the headwind visibility before we see the committed revenue visibility. And depending on what happens as we exit this fiscal year, that could very well be the possibility.
If these headwinds abate as we walk into next year and we don't have volume challenges with 2 or 3 large clients, for example, then the opportunity to further accelerate growth is clearly there. But obviously, want to wait and see how the year progresses. Want to see what the business environment looks like walking into next year.
And more specifically, want to see how our clients are performing before we give that kind of color and confidence around hypergrowth, if you will. But if things materialize well and we have a nice, healthy trajectory x in Q4, our headwind was located figure, yes, that's opportunities that accelerate..
And I think the clear intent for my team and I is to grow at or above industry growth rates, as I've all the time been talking about. And again, based on the traction we're seeing and based on how the pipeline is looking, we think we can set up 2015 very well..
Great. And then just my second one, just tax rate. You mentioned this year 15.5% to 16.5%, but that it could be revised lower as you get into some of the newer SEC facilities.
Is there any sort of target to where that could eventually go over the next few years? Like it is 12%, 13% or something like that?.
It doesn't look like that it will go to 12%, 13% based on where we are at this point in time. Certainly, there are opportunities to leverage the Indian taxation to some extent.
As you're aware that we've had some pretty additional taxes also coming into the current year in India, which are offsetting some of the benefits that we are planning in the current year. Right. So maybe on a long-term basis, for the next maybe couple of years, I would think that effective tax rate would be around the same 15% benchmark rate.
Maybe a little bit short in there, but it doesn't look like going to 12% to 13%..
I think 12%, 13% is probably more than optimistic. Again, remembering that we've got to watch the mix of work between onshore, nearshore and offshore.
And also the mix of work within our offshore portfolio between tax-exempt facilities and nontax-exempt facilities, so if you look at what's happened to the tax rate in 2012 when the pole tax holidays expired, our effective tax rate was running 19% to 20%.
Last year, in fiscal '13, the fiscal tax rate ran at about 15.5% and that's similar to where we've guided this year. The reality is under the covers this year, you've got an operational reduction in the tax rate as a result of leveraging these Special Economic Zones.
But you've got asset increase in India based on the 10% surcharge that we've incurred. So this year, the improvement in the tax rate is has taken little bit of a hiatus, if you will, because of the change in the tax rate. But to look at 100 basis points of the next couple of years is -- I don't think is out of the realm of possibility..
And your final question comes from Puneet Jain from JP Morgan..
So could you also talk about the trends you are seeing on lines business volume? Given that 25% of revenues transaction-based, how does that transactions base volume impact that revenue that you've already signed this year?.
I think it's client specific. I think when we walk into the year, obviously we had a couple of large clients where the feedback we have received from them was that they're going to be, best case, stable volumes, worst case, some slight reductions and in same process volumes. And that's what we have baked into our guidance.
And I think to this point, we're seeing that largely play out. So I don't think this guidance reflects a change in feedback from customers about their existing business volumes..
All right. Aviva, your largest customer, was down again this year while rest of the insurance was up.
Can you share the outlook of the Aviva account?.
Sure. I think it's certainly one of the accounts where there has been volume pressures, both from a standpoint of their overall business, as well as improving productivity and delivering continued benefit to them. The other reality of that relationship is it's probably never been healthier.
We feel good about how we're positioned at Aviva and the value that we're bringing to the table. There are lot of number of new opportunities that we're looking to expand into with this client and feel very, very good about how the relationship and how the account are positioned for WNS over the next couple of years..
So I'm glad, Dave is absolutely accurate. I think the relationship has never been better. There's a new team the other side, and we're engaging extremely closely with all the leaders there and the transformation from leadership on the Aviva side.
I think what's also happening is as you see these volumes change is systems thinking and automation, actually replacing some of the old traditional jobs and roles. And WNS now replacing them with higher quality, higher value, higher impact rolls that will stay with us for the longer term.
So I'm actually very positive about how that relationship is playing out now..
That does complete your question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the call over to Keshav Murugesh for the closing remarks. Please go ahead, Keshav..
In closing, we believe that the company continues to make solid progress towards our key financial and operational goals. WNS must continue to execute on our business plans and to work closely with our clients to provide them with the operational efficiencies, unique business insights and transformational solutions required to help them compete.
Thank you for joining us today, and we look forward to speaking with you again soon..
Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude your presentation. You may now disconnect. Have a good day. Thank you..