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Consumer Cyclical - Luxury Goods - NYSE - BM
$ 97.16
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$ 4.28 B
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2021 - Q4
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Operator

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Signet Jewelers Fourth Quarter fiscal 2021 Earnings Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] At this time, I'd like to turn the conference call over to Vinnie Sinisi, SVP of Investor Relations and Treasury. Sir, please go ahead..

Vinnie Sinisi

Thanks very much, Jamie, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to our Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. On the call today are Signet CEO, Gina Drosos; and CFO, Joan Hilson. During today's presentation, we'll make certain forward-looking statements.

Any statements that are not historical facts are subject to a number of risk and uncertainties and actual results may differ materially, We urge you to read the risk factors cautionary language and other disclosures on our annual report on 10-K, quarterly reports on 10-Q and current reports on form 8-K.

Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to revise or publicly update forward-looking statements in light of new information or future events. During the call, we'll discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures.

For further discussion of the non-GAAP financial measures as well as reconciliations of non-GAAP to GAAP that's most directly comparable, investors should review the news release we posted on our website at www.signetjewelers.com/investors. Also, please note that we plan to hold a virtual investor event on April 12.

Registration details will be announced soon. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Gina..

Gina Drosos

at home, in a store, or elsewhere, creating zero distance between them and their best customers. We reduced Customer Care volume with an online order tracking tool that freed up our care teams to focus on customers who were ready to buy, which more than doubled phone and chat-assisted sales.

And finally, on peak days, we used every bit of the fivefold increase in ecommerce distribution capability we built between April and October, resulting in over 98% of ecomm orders fulfilled on time as promised.

This is to illustrate than in every part of the company, we were ready with capabilities and distribution that did not exist three years ago. It's how our team delivered a strong holiday and back-half in the face of unprecedented challenges. What I hope you can see is the tight interdependence of these strengths.

When we discover insights inspired by consumers, turn those insights into seamless experiences through connected commerce and win with customers through a culture of innovation and agility, we develop competitive advantages that enables sustainable long-term growth.

With these strategic choices, we are committing ourselves to be an innovation leader of the jewelry category, which is a vision that inspires the very best in us. I'll close on this point. Signet exists to inspire love and our jewelry products and services are designed to help people celebrate life and express their love.

The power of love is not an abstraction. It's the heart of our business. It infuses our work with meaning and purpose. It's a standard of responsibility and an enormous motivator of performance. You see, every time we help someone express their love, we make the world a little better.

Every time we stand up for love, we make ourselves and those we love a little stronger. And every time the love we inspire, inspires love and others, we fulfill our purpose as a company. This is what inspiring brilliance means to us. We want to be and to lead the change that we want to see in our industry and in the world.

Our Path to Brilliance journey has been an invigorating experience for all of us and we are not letting up. Now with our moment to lean in, and to keep accelerating the work we've begun, it's a threshold moment as we take Signet from stable, to growing, to great. I'll now hand over to Joan, and then we'll be happy to take your questions..

Joan Hilson Chief Financial & Operating Officer

Thank you, Gina. Hello, everyone. We delivered a strong quarter and end to our fiscal year by continuing to execute on two fronts. First, we drove the top-line using enhanced OmniChannel capabilities that allowed us to serve our customers on their terms, teamed with strengthened product assortment.

Second, we continued to drive operational efficiency in the form of expense control and inventory management. These disciplines allowed us to end the year in a position of financial strength. With $1.2 billion in cash, we're prepared to fuel the next phase of our strategy for long-term sustainable growth.

Fourth quarter total sales grew 1.5% over last year and same-store sales grew 7%. Ecommerce sales grew more than 70% last year. North America delivered 10.4% same-store sales growth, driven by continued strength in both bridal and fashion categories. North America ecommerce sales grew 66%.

International state same-store sales declined 28.3%, which had a three percentage point negative impact to Signet same-store sales for the quarter. Our UK stores were closed for most of the quarter as a result of governmental lockdowns. That said, our international team delivered strong 150% ecommerce growth, reflecting our OmniChannel focus.

Before we continue down the P&L, I'd like to provide a real estate update as continued optimization of our physical footprint remains a core priority and complementary to our digital footprint. We permanently closed 395 stores this year. We also repositioned 33 traditional malls into new off-mall location.

Use of our greenfield analysis has provided our team with data-driven insights and a deeper knowledge of how to best optimize the physical and digital platforms in a given trade area. In addition to our store closures, we identified opportunities for new stores, leading to the opening of 20 Piercing Pagoda stores in fiscal 2021.

Moving forward, we plan to close over 100 stores in fiscal 2022, as well as open up to 100 locations primarily and highly-efficient Piercing Pagoda kiosks. We continue our testing of a variety of formats such as Kay/Zale and Jared/JamesAllen combination stores as well as pop up stores.

To continue along the P&L, we delivered gross margin this quarter of approximately $870 million or 39.8% of sales. This is 210 basis points below last year, excluding restructuring charges due to a combination of strategic promotion relating to inventory optimization and reduced levels of service revenue related to lower store traffic.

SG&A was approximately $574 million, down about $60 million to last year, driving a 320 basis-point rate improvement. The improvement was driven by structural cost savings and reduced labor levels.

Non-GAAP operating profit was $293.8 billion, up over $23 million to last year and excludes $1.9 million in asset impairment and restructuring charges related to the Path to Brilliance transformation plan. Fourth quarter non-GAAP EPS was $4.15, up from $3.67 in the prior year.

Turning now to the balance sheet, we continue to focus on inventory lifecycle management, and strategic clearance efforts, all of which contributed to a nearly $300 million reduction in our inventory to this time last year.

The flexible fulfillment capabilities that we have in place are helping to minimize stranded inventory, and to drive a higher fulfillment rate on customer orders. Our focus on cash conservation and expense control has been a clear priority for us.

You'll remember that we also extended our payment terms with vendors, and negotiated rent deferrals with landlords. These efforts in combination with our sales performance are largely what contributed to our strong ending cash balance of approximately $1.2 billion.

This quarter, we paid down the remaining balance of our revolver, as well as paid off the $100 million [indiscernible]. Turning to cost savings; having now reached the three year mark of our Path to Brilliance transformation, we eliminated $300 million of cumulative costs well above the goal we initially set three years ago.

These efforts were largely derived from efficiencies and labor, store operating and inventory related costs and direct sourcing. Turning to financial services; recall that we have been originating accounts since the second quarter, and we ended this fiscal year with $72 million of receivables on our balance sheet net of allowances.

Those accounts are performing better than expected. In January of 2021, we signed an agreement with investors in which they will now buy newly originated subprime accounts through June of this year.

We are currently evaluating available options to determine the most effective way to structure our providers and services to best meet the needs of our customers. Now I'd like to discuss our fiscal 2022 financial guidance. We expect stronger sales performance in the first half of the fiscal year.

As the vaccine rollout progresses, there could be a shift of consumer discretionary spending away from the jewelry category toward experienced oriented categories, the magnitude and timing of which is difficult to predict. Further, we expect categories with pent up demand to be promotional in order to capture discretionary spend.

As such, we're planning for increased marketing expenses to continue to fuel momentum in the front half as well as proactively manage against changes in consumer spending as the year progresses.

While our transformational initiatives continue to gain traction, we're conservatively planning for same store sales to be negative in the second half of the fiscal year.

We have targeted further cost savings this year expected to benefit both SG&A and gross margin in the range of $50 million to $75 million to help mitigate increased levels of investment with a cost savings goal of $175 million to $200 million over the next three years.

We'll continue executing on our strategic priorities, which we see contributing to an accelerated first quarter that includes total sales in the range of $1.42 billion to $1.46 billion and non-GAAP EBIT of $40 million to $60 million. Our preliminary Q1 same store sales through March 14, were up approximately 16%.

And we expect first quarter same store sales to be in the range of 80% to 84% as we anniversary temporary store closings from last year. For the fiscal year, we expect total sales to be in the range of $5.85 billion to $6 billion, but same store sales in the range of 14% to 17% and non-GAAP EBIT of $290 million to $324 million.

You'll recall that we cut capital expenditures to $83 million this past year to focus on cash conservation in response to the pandemic. For FY '22, capital expenditures are planned to be $150 million to $175 million with a focus on digital and technology investments to further strengthen our competitive advantage, and long-term positioning.

We've also made the strategic decision to target a debt leverage ratio of below three times EBITDAR over time. Our long-term capital priorities remain to invest in the business, pay down debt and return capital to our shareholders.

A large amount of uncertainty still exists and we will continue managing the factors under our control, as well as anticipating and reacting to changes in consumer behavior as the year progresses, depending on the timing and extent of potential changes in spending, future results could differ materially from current guidance.

Before we open the call for Q&A, I'd like to take a moment to recognize our Signet team. There has been a cultural shift in our company over the past three years as a result of our team members commitment to our transformation strategy and our purpose. We have momentum, and we're excited to answer this next phase of our growth strategy.

And now I'll turn the call over to the operator to begin the Q&A session..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from Paul Lejuez from Citigroup. Please go ahead with your question..

Paul Lejuez

North America transactions up 10%, curious if we could talk a little bit about what that look like e-com versus stores. Also curious how big buy online pick up in store was for the quarter and year, whatever you might be able to share there. And then separately, we're just curious to hear more about the marketplace business that you spoke about.

Where are you now with that initiative? And how do you see that evolving over the next year or so? Thanks..

Joan Hilson Chief Financial & Operating Officer

I'll star Paul, on some of the metric questions that you had. Our e-commerce performance as we talked about traffic was up, our conversion was up, our ATV was strong as well online, when you look overall at the stores what we saw on the lower traffic, our conversion was also very strong. And we were able to drive transactions.

So overall, we feel very good about the team's response to the quarter that we went through in terms of capacities constraints, the uncertainty, and the agility that the team really demonstrated with respect to flexible fulfillment, and you know, shift from store opportunities that really helped mitigate those capacity constraints. .

Gina Drosos

And Paul, Hi, it's Gina. I'll jump in on your buy online pick up in store and marketplace questions. You know, we only got buy online pick up in store, really running in the fourth quarter. And so it's a nascent capability for us, but our team executed brilliantly. And we had very high customer satisfaction, very high online on time fulfillment.

In fact, 86% of the orders were picked up in stores within three hours of receiving the order in the month of December. So our teams were really all over, you know, bringing that new capability to life.

And one of the interesting customer dynamics is we typically see a customer who we call the late inspiration seeker, typically male who buys late in the holiday season. He was an over user of the buy online pick up in store technology, we had more than 6000 items to picked up in our store in the last couple of days before Christmas, primarily men.

So it's you know, it's really proving out I think to be a strong technology for us. The other one on flexible fulfillment, I'll just mention a ship from store. So we had turned on capability to be able to ship directly to customers from our store in sales pre holiday, we're now turning that on across our other banners.

And that's a real inventory opportunity for us, it unlocks stranded clearance inventory as an example across our store network, and also allows us to have a very broad ecommerce offering for our customers. So flexible fulfillment is benefiting us in a couple of ways.

In terms of marketplace, you know, we have a very successful marketplace in our business already with jamesallen.com. We also have stood up a more of a wholesale kind of a marketplace to serve independent jewelers leveraging our scale in diamond buying. And that is very early, but proving to be a good new business for us.

And then we believe that with our scale, we have the opportunity to bring some new capabilities to life, these are not yet ready to do more dreams than you know anything.

But we're looking into customer's desire for rental jewelry for subscription jewelry, customers desire to access new designers that they might not be able to find anywhere else and for example on Zales, we've already begun a process of discovering these new designers who don't have the scale to be in store.

But we can help them with our vendor relationships, to develop their product lines, and then they can start out in our websites because you know, perhaps in a more marketplace, you know, oriented environment.

So we think there's some real upside for us over the next couple of years as we begin to flesh out those ideas and bring those capabilities to life. .

Paul Lejuez

Thank you. Good luck. .

Operator

Your next question comes from Lorraine Hutchinson from Bank of America. Please go ahead with your question..

Lorraine Hutchinson

Thanks. Good morning. I'm going to ask a question about the long-term margin opportunities. It looks like the guidance pencils out to around 5% operating margin for this year.

Is this a good level that we should use as a base upon which you'll invest to grow market share? Or do you see any other big levers you can pull to move that margin number higher?.

Gina Drosos

Thanks for the question, Lorraine. As you know noted, our guidance range it pencils out at you knows 5% to 5.4%, which I'd note on the higher end is an improvement to fiscal '20. That said, long-term growth remains the focus. And our strategic decisions and continued investments always consider sustainable long-term sustainable growth and share gains.

And assuming a way to think about this as assuming a near flat to slightly positive top line growth, we can gradually and over time expand our margins. Largely due to our continued optimization efforts, particularly with our fleet, as well as other cost efforts that we consider within our cost savings program. .

Lorraine Hutchinson

Thank you.

And then can you just give a few more comments on the fourth quarter gross margin decline and what your outlook is for the first half of the year on that line item?.

Joan Hilson Chief Financial & Operating Officer

Well, we've really don't give specific guidance on gross margin in terms of the outlook for this year.

But I would just reference you again, back to the operating margin that we just spoke about Lorraine, but in the fourth quarter that we had strategic promotion, as I mentioned, and we had very strong sell down activities and lifecycle activities that were strategic supported our selling strategies and the inventory management that we believe has been a very large piece of our strong cash flow position.

So we will continue to the efforts that what Gina just mentioned with respect to flexible fulfillment ship from store, you know, minimizing stranded inventory. We're rolling that out in the first quarter and the first quarter here for [indiscernible] that will also no really help with our margin, merchandise margin.

So we remain diligent, very focus on turning our inventories faster, and leveraging the new tools that we've put in place. .

Lorraine Hutchinson

Thank you..

Operator

And our next question comes from Ike Boruchow from Wells Fargo. Please go ahead with your question. .

Unidentified Analyst

Good morning. This is Will [ph] on for Ike. Hey, can you just talk about, little bit about the payables, it looks like it was, pretty, it was a big deal. You know, it helps you free cash flow, your cash flow from operations this year.

Can you just talk a little bit about what caused that spike?.

Joan Hilson Chief Financial & Operating Officer

Yes, thanks for the question Will. I would say that we have had a continued effort throughout the year to manage working capital much more efficiently. And we've worked very closely with our vendor partners, and have, you know, lengthened our terms.

We also had from deferral of rent, which we work with our landlords on, of course, that will be paid here in FY '22. But it was a concerted effort for us to manage our working capital more efficiently..

Unidentified Analyst

And so do you expect that to normalize going forward?.

Joan Hilson Chief Financial & Operating Officer

We have a focus on cash flow generation, for fiscal '22, as I mentioned, and we'll continue to have a focus on inventory, payables and just overall cash management, because, as I said, we've positioned our plans conservatively, we expect negative sales in the back half of this year. And we keep that in mind as we manage our balance sheet. .

Unidentified Analyst

Got you. That's helpful.

And can you just remind us what the profitability profile e-com is versus brick and mortar?.

Joan Hilson Chief Financial & Operating Officer

Well, we haven't really given that guidance, per se, what we said is that it's not materially different. What I share well, is that when you think of the activities that Gina mentioned, through virtual selling, and ship from store, you're going to see a higher concentration, they continue to see a higher penetration of e-com sales.

And as we move through more of the stranded inventory, you know, we would expect you know that to impact margins somewhat on e-com. And over time as that position normalizes, we can no expect it to return to what we're seeing today. .

Unidentified Analyst

That's great.

And just one more for me, can you talk about any plans for the convertible debt?.

Joan Hilson Chief Financial & Operating Officer

That remains out there in 2024. And, you know, we'll address that as you know, we progress as I mentioned, our capital priorities are initially number one, invest in the business. And number two is to pay down debt leverage.

You'll recall as I mentioned in my prepared remarks that we fully paid down our revolver as well as our $100 million FILO [ph] loan. And what we have remaining is a convertible debt as well as the notes payable or senior notes out there for 2024..

Unidentified Analyst

Great, thank you. I'll pass it along. .

Operator

And our next question today comes from Dana Telsey from Telsey Advisory Group. Please go ahead with your question. .

Dana Telsey

Good morning, everyone. As you think about the wage hike, I think that was announced earlier this year, by spring 2022. I believe that you had been paying above minimum wage.

Anyway, what impact does that have and are there any other puts and takes on the SG&A given the expense reductions that we should be noting going forward? And then can you talk about with the store portfolio, the opening 100 and closing 100? Is this what we should expect going forward? And how is the integration of the multi banner stores progressing? Thank you.

.

Joan Hilson Chief Financial & Operating Officer

Hi, Dana. I'll start on that. So yes, we recently made a commitment to a $15 minimum wage across the US. This is an initiative that we had already begun. So we started it in fiscal '21 as a conscious way to improve our employee experience.

And we've been addressing this not only in our stores, but also our distribution centers and our fulfillment centers. And you're right that many of our store staff already make above a $15 minimum wage, because their wages are the combination of a base wage, and a commission wage. So on average, we're above that $15.

But it's tough for people who come in and are starting out and haven't yet built that base of, you know, of clients. And so we think this is an opportunity to not only continue to attract great talent, but to continue to elevate the employee experience across all of our customer care distribution center and store teams.

The increase, as I said, started in fiscal '21. And it is reflected in that the fiscal '22 guidance that Gina gave..

Gina Drosos

Dana, with respect to the SG&A, as we look forward, you know, you'll recall in '21, we have store closures that labor in those stores will come out occupancy rate, occupancy will come down in terms of rent.

And then permanent cost removal savings efforts as we look forward, we'll continue to drive operational efficiencies in our stores, we've managed our store operating hours, and we'll continue to lean into those, I did give guidance for the year of $50 million to $75 million in cost savings.

But I also will indicate that we are investing, as Gina mentioned, in technology and digital tools that will continue to further our traction in our omni-channel journey to connective commerce.

And then, again, I mentioned the marketing investment, which we think is very important, we're seeing traction, as we noted in our quarter-to-date, top line sales. And we think it's important for us to remain position to respond to what's going on in the market. And just to have that flexibility in our thinking.

And that is also included in our guidance. .

Joan Hilson Chief Financial & Operating Officer

Yes, I'll just I mean, just to add one thought on the marketing, so we're, through March 14, up 16%, same store sales across Signet, that's over 20% in North America, we've really leaned into the momentum that we saw coming out of Valentine's Day, which was very successful for us.

We know that only about a third of tax refunds are out there so far, we would potentially benefit from another round of stimulus. And so our plan is to use our very targeted marketing to try to attract some of that spending.

And then we've also made sure we have a strong back half of marketing so that we can be proactive and trying to offset losses that we might see as customers potentially turn their spending toward travel and other experiences once the vaccine has achieved her immunity.

And then with respect to real estate, Dana, we gave guidance that up to 100 stores, and over 100 stores closing up to 100 stores opening and what we really like about what we're seeing is in the pure things that go into highly efficient kiosk locations, we open 20 in fiscal '21.

And we're looking to invest in up to 100 in fiscal '22 and based on the results that we're seeing in these new openings. With respect to our footprint, as we go forward, we intend to optimize the digital and virtual footprint. We'll continue to evaluate by trade area and continue to refer to our Greenfield analysis and update it as results progress..

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we've reached the end of today's question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference call back over to management for any closing remarks..

Gina Drosos

Well, thank you all for your participation on our call today. As we conclude, I just want to reiterate my profound appreciation for our Signet team for their passion, performance and commitment to our purpose and our customers.

And I especially want to recognize my exceptional business partner and Signet CFO Joan Hilson, whose two year anniversary is today. Her leadership is an amazing catalyst within Signet.

As we complete this phase of Signet's transformation, our entire team is focused on inspiring brilliance in everything we do, and we commit ourselves to delivering sustainable long-term growth. Thank you very much..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, with that we will conclude today's conference call. We do thank you for attending. You may now disconnect your lines..

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