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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2017 - Q2
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Executives

Robert McCormick - CFO, EVP and Secretary James Janik - Chairman, CEO and President.

Analysts

Timothy Wojs - Robert W. Baird & Co. Jordan Bender - Seaport Global Securities Steven Dyer - Craig-Hallum Capital Group Christopher McGinnis - Sidoti & Company.

Operator

Welcome to Douglas Dynamics' Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. Now I will turn the conference over to your host, Bob McCormick, EVP and CFO. Please begin..

Robert McCormick Consultant

Thank you. Welcome, everyone and thank you for joining us on the call today. Two quick items before we begin. First, please note that some of the information that you will hear during this call will consist of forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended.

Such statements express our expectations, anticipations, beliefs, estimates, intentions, plans and forecasts. Because these forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, our actual results could differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements.

For more information regarding such risks and uncertainties, please see the sections titled Risk Factors, Forward-Looking Statements and Management Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and the impending updates to these sections in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q.

Second, this call will involve a discussion of adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP financial measure which under SEC Regulation G, we're required to reconcile with GAAP. Reconciliation of this measure to the closest GAAP financial measure is included in today's earnings press release which is available at douglasdynamics.com.

Joining me on the call today is Jim Janik, our Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer. Jim will begin by providing an overview of our performance, then I will review our financial results before turning it back to Jim to discuss our outlook. Finally, we will open the call for your questions.

Jim?.

James Janik Interim President, Interim Chief Executive Officer & Executive Chairman

Thank you, Bob and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. We produced solid results in the second quarter that were in line with our internal expectations and we're seeing a balanced performance across our more diverse business offering.

Net sales were $139.4 million in the second quarter of 2017 compared to $113.8 million in the same period last year. Of course this increase is attributable to the addition of the Work Truck Solutions segment.

Net income for the quarter was $14.8 million or $0.64 per diluted share compared to net income of $16.3 million or $0.71 per diluted share in the second quarter of 2016.

Our results for the quarter reflect slightly better than expected pre-season performance for our commercial snow and ice products which is encouraging following two years of below average snowfall.

The ongoing stability in the economy, positive dealer sentiment and late season snowfall, plus the positive response to our new product launches, all helped produce a strong quarter.

In addition, the latest data shows continued growth with select North American pickup truck sales increasing 5% in the first half of 2017 when compared to the same period last year. We continue to see cautious optimism from our dealers regarding our 2017 prospects despite two years of below average snowfall.

We expect our preseason period to split approximately 55%/45% between the second and third quarters respectively. Over the last few years the breakdown has been closer to 50/50 due in part to the introduction of new products.

Based on the information we have to date, we believe our stronger than expected second quarter performance did pull forward some sales from the third quarter. As I mentioned last quarter, we're focused on innovation and expanding into different areas of the snow and ice management market such as better tools for clearing sidewalks and pathways.

Also, dealer field inventory taken at the end of May indicated levels were flat when compared to historical averages and in line with our expectations.

This is positive given that we have consistently introduced more new products in recent years, resulting in our dealers generally carrying a larger range of our products overall, the implication being that dealers are coming off a low snowfall season with reasonable inventory from last year.

The relative strength in our commercial business was partially offset by softer performance at Henderson which we did expect given delays in the supply of truck chassis that we've discussed on recent calls. We're receiving more chassis now but we do expect this issue to impact our workflow in the second half of the year as we fulfill these orders.

While we do expect this situation to put pressure on margins as we utilize more overtime and our efficiency is impacted, the good news is that demand trends remain strong and order activity and backlog are very healthy. So overall, a decent quarter for the Work Truck Attachment segment.

Turning to our Work Truck Solutions segment, it is hard to believe that it's just been over a year since we acquired Dejana. This year has flown by and the Dejana team quickly became an integral part of the Douglas Dynamics family and we've made great progress over the past 12 months but still have a lot of opportunities we want to address.

As we noted last quarter, the temporary softness in demand we saw in the Work Truck Solutions segment earlier in the year largely dissipated in the second quarter. Work Truck Solutions performed generally in line with our expectations and year to date orders are higher in 2017 than they were in the same period last year.

We experienced more typical demand patterns and the order book is growing well and we continue to make the necessary investments in the business. We're currently developing four new upfit facilities that expands our reach and opens our new growth opportunities with our OEM partners.

In addition to the small acquisition of Arrowhead Equipment which added two facilities in the Albany, New York area and the new upfit facility in Pennsylvania, both of which we mentioned last quarter, we're in the process of opening a facility in Kansas City, Missouri. This is slated to begin accepting work in late fall.

This facility will be focused on assisting an important OEM partner with the upfit of small and medium sized vans which are produced nearby. It is essentially an expansion of the work we currently handle at our Baltimore facility.

While this is not the start of a major expansion into the Midwest, it is a good example of our ability to help the Work Truck Solutions team expand to meet the growing demand from OEM partners.

While these investments will pay off over the long term, there will continue to be a near term impact on profitability in the second half of the year as we outfit the facilities and ramp up operations.

These ventures will help us better serve our current large OEM partners and while the pace of expansion will ebb and flow as demand opportunities dictate, they are good examples of one of the ways the Work Truck Solutions segment will grow in the coming years. With that said, I will turn from our recent results to provide an update on DDMS.

Somewhat different to previous quarters, I want to outline the overall scope of DDMS in just one part of our business, Henderson, to highlight just how many projects we're working on.

The Henderson DDMS team has been active in all 7 of its locations this year, focusing on performing value stream mapping processes at the installation and distribution centers or IDCs across the Midwest and East Coast.

So far in 2017, we have facilitated an installation Kaizen in our Missouri IDC, two Kaizen events in our Iowa location and two more in New York. The most recent Kaizen event was in our New Jersey IDC and we expect to be just as busy in the second half of 2017.

While at each of the IDCs, the DDMS team reviewed the current state of their 5S programs and they managed for daily improvement MDI boards, revisiting training and procedures and taking employee suggestions for improving the impact of these programs on each IDC.

This process is essential to building a solid foundation for our continuous improvement culture at these facilities. The 5S and MDI programs are now engrained in Manchester and the MDI boards being the center of information on safety quality, delivery and cross metrics.

It is gratifying to see how DDMS has taken hold at Henderson over the past two years and provides a great template for us to use in future acquisition. Now I'd like to briefly touch on the uses of our cash. We paid our quarterly cash dividend at the end of June of $0.24 per share of our common stock.

We've increased our dividend 9 times in the 7 years since our IPO and will continue to return excess cash to our shareholders in this manner. While we review our priorities with the board each quarter and consider all options carefully, today our cash usage priorities remain the same. First, maintaining and growing the dividend.

Second, paying down debt. And third, pursuing strategic acquisitions at disciplined valuations. We're continually tracking companies that would be a good strategic fit with our offering and we'll pursue logical deals while maintaining a very disciplined approach.

In summary, despite the weather trends across North America this past winter, our commercial snow and ice products had a good quarter and non-snowfall indicators remain positive.

The chassis supply issue impacting our Henderson brand is on the way to being back on track and the team is focused on clearing up the backlog of orders and the investments in our Work Truck Solutions will help drive growth over the long term and one year on from the acquisition, we're pleased with the potential we see in that segment.

We did implement our low snowfall playbook again this year to remain focused on controlling or delaying costs where possible. This is to ensure we successfully manage through this low snowfall environment. While using DDMS to ensure we will be stronger positioned when it does snow.

We're pleased with the overall direction of our business and continue to make progress with the integration of the Work Truck Solutions segment. With that, I'll turn, I'll let Bob provide the specifics for our financials.

Bob?.

Robert McCormick Consultant

Thank you, Jim. I will begin with our consolidated earnings, followed by a review of both segments and then go over our consolidated balance sheet and company liquidity numbers. Overall, the results were in line with our expectations for the second quarter of 2017.

As you can see in our press release, net sales were $139.4 million, representing a 22% increase over the same period last year which relates to the addition of our Work Truck Solutions segment which was finalized on July 15, 2016. In terms of gross profit, the second quarter of 2017 produced $45 million or 32.3% of net sales.

This compared to $41.5 million or 36.5% of net sales in the same period last year. The decrease in margin as a percentage of sales is due to the addition of Work Truck Solutions which currently operates at more typical margins for this industry.

SG&A expenses were $16.9 million for the second quarter of 2017 compared to $11.3 million in the second quarter of 2016. Again, this increase was due to the addition of Work Truck Solutions. We produced adjusted EBITDA of $31.3 million for the second quarter of 2017 compared to adjusted EBITDA of $32.7 million for the second quarter of 2016.

The decrease was driven by the same factors I've already outlined. During the second quarter of 2017 we saw net income $14.7 million or $0.64 per diluted share compared to net income of $16.3 million or $0.71 per diluted share in the same period of 2016.

Moving on, in the second quarter of 2017 we saw an effective tax rate of 34% and expect the full year effective tax rate of approximately 36%.

As we noted in our last call, the Company's adoption of a certain accounting standard effectively increased the tax rate for the first quarter by approximately 10% but we expect in the following quarters to see decreased effective tax rates. And that's what we're seeing play out now. Now let's turn to information for the 2 segments.

For the second quarter of 2017, the Work Truck Attachments segment recorded revenue of $105.5 million and income from operations of $27.9 million. In the same period last year, the segment's revenue and income from operations were $113.8 million and $32.4 million respectively. These figures are slightly above our internal expectations.

The demand for our commercial focused products was higher than anticipated given we're following two consecutive years of below average snowfall which helped to offset the impact of the chassis delay issue with our Henderson brand.

Next, for the second quarter of 2017, the Work Truck Solutions segment recorded revenue of $34.9 million and income from operations of $2.5 million. These results were in line with our internal expectations as temporary softening of demand we noted last quarter moved back towards more normal conditions.

Now let's take a look at some of the liquidity and balance sheet figures from the quarter. CapEx through June 2017 totaled $3.1 million compared to $4.8 million in the first half of 2016.

Our CapEx is lower this quarter compared to last year due to our generally conservative financial stewardship and the low snowfall playbook we implemented again in our commercial snow and ice control business.

Included in this CapEx spending this quarter was spending related to the addition of our four new upfit facilities which we believe will allow for new growth opportunities with our OEM partners.

We expect to make additional investments in these facilities in the third quarter as we complete the upgrades in Albany and complete the buildout of our new facility in Kansas City.

Net cash provided by operating activities through the first six months of 2017 was $13.3 million compared to net cash provided by operating activities of $28.3 million in the same period of 2016. The decrease is largely related to the gain of approximately $10 million in the first quarter of 2016 due to successful conclusion of litigation.

Accounts receivable at the end of the second quarter of 2017 were $80.1 million, a slight decrease when compared to $78.6 million at the end of the second quarter of 2016. This increase stems from the addition of Work Truck Solutions, but levels remain within our internal expected ranges.

Inventory was $85.9 million at the end of second quarter of 2017 compared to $70.9 million at the end of the second quarter of 2016. The increase is primarily due to the addition of Work Truck Solutions and to a lesser extent, higher inventory carried over from the previous quarter. That said, inventory levels are within our internal expectations.

Total liquidity at the end of the second quarter was approximately $82.2 million which includes the borrowing capacity on the revolver of $77.9 million and $4.3 million in cash.

While our cash on hand is significantly lower than the $48.7 million we had at the same time last year, it is important to remember that we were building our cash reserves at that time in anticipation of the Dejana acquisition where we deployed $50 million to fund the deal. Overall, we're pleased with how the first half of 2017 went.

We used the first half of the year to continue efforts to implement DDMS and make strategic investments in our Work Truck Solutions segment. We also had a stronger preseason performance from our commercial snow and ice products than we had expected given the low snowfall environment we've seen over the past two years.

We have faced challenges at Henderson that have been due to factors out of our control while our teams have responded well and are working diligently and creatively to help our customers. Because of all these things, we believe we're in good financial position going forward into the second half of the year.

With that, I'll turn the call back over to Jim..

James Janik Interim President, Interim Chief Executive Officer & Executive Chairman

Thanks, Bob. To close, I'd like to update our outlook and expectations for the second half of the year. Reflecting on the first half of the year, we understood early in 2017 that this year would be quite different from last year and that is proving to be true.

We're making the necessary investments and are focused on implementing DDMS in our Work Truck Solutions segment. Our commercial snow and ice brands have faced a tougher preseason due to two below average snowfall seasons in a row, but are performing well under the circumstances and we continue to see positive non-snowfall indicators.

Our municipal focused products have faced challenges due to an industry wide shortage of chassis at two major OEM partners which is now moving back towards being solved. It will take us the rest of the year to fully get back on track and still expect revenue to skew towards the back half of the year.

Essentially, the year is unfolding as we expected and we feel positive about our long term prospects for the future. With all this in mind, we're narrowing our 2017 outlook and expect net sales for the full year to come in between $470 million and $520 million.

This should produce EBITDA in the range of $85 million to $105 million which would translate into EPS of between $1.30 and $1.75 per share. While there have been various positive changes and challenges across our business so far this year, we remain on track to meet our guidance.

We continue to execute our plan for the year and are confident we have the right long term strategy in place to deliver shareholder value. With that said, we'd now like to open the call for your questions.

Operator?.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our next question is from Tim Wojs with Baird..

Timothy Wojs

I had a couple of questions just maybe first starting off, how would you describe the new product introduction cadence this year maybe relative to prior years? Is it higher in terms of the number of SKUs or is it pretty similar?.

James Janik Interim President, Interim Chief Executive Officer & Executive Chairman

The last three years, Tim, have been unusually high. In fact, as I go through it, the last three years we've actually introduced 26 new products. This year it's been about 9 with certainly a variety of models to that. So the cadence is a little high compared to historical averages.

I would guess over time it would fall back a little bit to fewer than that. Many of the products this year, probably half of them, are replacing current models or past models we have had and probably half are entirely brand new products that are focused on tangent markets for us..

Timothy Wojs

Okay. Steel costs have risen in the first half of the year and I'm just curious, Bob, how you're thinking about raw material costs maybe in the back half of the year.

And has your stance on pricing changed at all as you've gone through the year just with the higher steel?.

Robert McCormick Consultant

Yes, we've certainly seen some modest cost inflation this year. Steel prices have ticked up as you mentioned, but quite honestly, they are just moving back towards more of a historical normal range from our point of view.

And having a little bit of visibility to these things before we go to the market with our annual price increase has allowed us to factor those costs into those price increased models and those things are all moving along as they historically do and we'll be able to cover up any contemplation with normal price increases as we've historically done..

Timothy Wojs

Okay. And then with Henderson, is the expectation that can the second half kind of make up for the first half? So should that business grow this year or do you think that that starts to spill into 2018 a little bit? Because it sounds like it's more of an industry issue, not an issue with you guys specifically..

Robert McCormick Consultant

Correct. Our expectation and hope is that they can catch up and be a little bit larger than they were last year. Some of it could spill over into January, but overall we're beginning to see truck shipments pick up a little bit.

So as I said in the script, we've got a great backlog order book is terrific, now it's really just getting the trucks and getting them done before the end of the year..

Operator

Our next question is from Mike Shlisky with Seaport Global..

Jordan Bender

This is Jordan Bender on for Mike this morning.

I was wondering, do you guys need to do anything special to Arrowhead to get those facilities up to par with Dejana? And do you have to make any changes to their mix?.

James Janik Interim President, Interim Chief Executive Officer & Executive Chairman

Well certainly, I mean Dejana has got a history of terrific customer service and very high-quality products. Arrowhead has a similar history but Dejana will certainly take that performance up a level or two. We will eventually implement DDMS concepts in those plants as well and all that looks very, very positive at this point in time.

Our OEM partners will be allocating some additional vehicles to us here sometime in the second half of the year as we move even more production through that operation..

Jordan Bender

Awesome. Switching over to Work Truck Attachments, your operating margins were quite strong in the quarter and some of the best we've seen in some time.

Is this indicative of the kind of margin that we should expect at $140 million per quarter run rate? Or was there something unusual like in the mix that we should be aware of?.

Robert McCormick Consultant

You're asking specifically in the Work Truck Attachments segment? Well I think you've got -- you have the impact of a low snowfall environment that in a more normal snowfall environment you're going to see a little bit stronger mix in our commercial snow and ice control products.

And there is a significant margin difference between what they do and what the rest of the industry does including our Henderson products. So I'd expect on a go-forward basis in a more normal environment, you're going to see higher operating margins in that segment just because of the mix coming back to a more normal place..

Jordan Bender

One more here, you guys have often talked about pickup trucks as a barometer for your business.

If we see a decline in production and sales in this category in 2018, would you guys be concerned at all or can you make it up somewhere else?.

Robert McCormick Consultant

It varies by segment for us in our attachments business. I think that it would be something we'd be aware of. If it was a significant drop, it would be something in my mind that I'd certainly have to be wary of. If it's a minor drop, no, that wouldn't bother me at all. In our solutions business, I think probably the answer would be about the same.

Generally the markets react to significant swings and we're not anticipating significant swings either on a positive or negative basis. Much of our business right now is really picking up market share. And as a result, if we had a somewhat even modestly negative truck volume scenario, I think we'd still have success picking up some share..

Operator

Our next question is from Steve Dyer with Craig-Hallum..

Steven Dyer

Good morning. This is Ryan on for Steve.

As it relates to Henderson, is there any risk with losing orders due to delays lapping municipal budget fiscal years?.

Robert McCormick Consultant

Generally not. Because again, you won't lose orders to any other up fitter or manufacturer because the entire industry has got a similar challenge. The shortages that we've had are really from two of the larger manufacturers who carry a pretty significant share of all the Class 7/Class 8 business. So we wouldn't lose it to anybody else.

And then secondly, the need from the municipalities still exists. So while it isn't ideal for a municipality, the scenario is such that there really aren't many alternatives. And for the most part we've been in communication with the municipalities and they completely understand.

Many of our contracts are actually written in terms of how much time it takes us to ship to a municipality after you receive the chassis, so again, we're not at any risk if we haven't received the chassis. They understand..

Steven Dyer

As it relates to higher commodity costs, I know you pass through a lot of those costs to the customers, well earlier.

Are you guys expecting any pushback there or have you seen anything in your conversations?.

James Janik Interim President, Interim Chief Executive Officer & Executive Chairman

No, we have not received pushback of any kind..

Steven Dyer

As it relates to acquisitions, what are you guys seeing for potential opportunities, seller expectations? Any changes there over the past 3 months or 4 months?.

James Janik Interim President, Interim Chief Executive Officer & Executive Chairman

No changes. We continue to look, but from our perspective, we tend to be fairly conservative and at this particular point we continue to look, but at the same time we continue to focus on making sure that the acquisitions that we have made are fully integrated and are doing a good job. So we'ren't getting too far over our skis..

Steven Dyer

Great, then on that note, you've owned Dejana for a little over a year now or about year.

What's gone better, what's gone worse versus your initial expectations there?.

James Janik Interim President, Interim Chief Executive Officer & Executive Chairman

I think two things really kind of jump out for me there. One would be the culture of the team there, their willingness to be part of the Douglas family. There's lots of great growth opportunities there but there's also some fairly sizable hurdles you have to clear in terms of transforming yourself from a private company to a public company.

And it's a pretty tall hill to climb and they've been right there with us. So the people we knew were great coming in and they've been everything as advertised.

I think the other thing I would point to, as referenced by the four new facilities that are in various stages of coming onboard here, is that the growth opportunities that attracted us to this business to begin with certainly are there. The relationships with the OEMs are very strong.

The relationships with the customer base and the loyalty there, very, very strong. So we feel good about the long term prospects, we've got a team of people that are locked and loaded and ready to go. Those are the things that we think about and talk about that kind of jump to the forefront..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our next question is from Chris McGinnis with Sidoti & Company..

Christopher McGinnis

Quickly just a follow-up on those four additional facilities.

Should we think about that as that's normal course of business in terms of I guess filling out your footprint? Or should that kind of continue just due to I guess strengthening your position in the marketplace?.

James Janik Interim President, Interim Chief Executive Officer & Executive Chairman

Chris, thank you, I've been waiting for someone to ask that question. Because this is not what I would consider to be a normal course of business. Sometimes this is just how the timing works out. One of the facilities was underway before the acquisition was even completed.

The next three facilities are a reaction to OEM partnerships where growth opportunities exist. Just so happens that two locations came along with the Arrowhead acquisition. I wouldn't expect, nor should you guys expect that we're in some sort of a constant state of opening 3, 4, 5 facilities a year.

Situation and circumstance will dictate when these things occur, but I would go back to the point of Dejana is a growth platform for us.

If these kinds of opportunities that are evident of that growth there and I would expect that they will come in waves, they will come in chunks and sometimes it will be lumpy and sometimes there will be periods of time that go by without any new facilities. So we'll react to the opportunities as they come.

Right now I would think we would say four is plenty..

Christopher McGinnis

Thanks for that. One more question and maybe a little bit rudimentary, but can you just walk through the difference of a low snowfall environment the way that you talk about in that playbook versus maybe a little bit stronger? And just how that looks being a little bit newer to the story? Thank you..

James Janik Interim President, Interim Chief Executive Officer & Executive Chairman

Sure. When you're in a business that is almost entirely weather driven, the way that we think about it, you can have a weather driven recession virtually every other year. That leads you to do two things. You have to build as variable a cost structure as you can because you need to flex up or down rapidly.

And you also have to be able to make short term cost cuts by turning on a dime. What we've historically done, the things we've referenced many times, Chris, is as an example, in our manufacturing facility, we use a layer of temporary workers. Between 10% and 20% of the workforce at any point in time can be temps.

When it doesn't snow, we can reduce the size of that workforce overnight and pull significant labor costs out of our factory. Additionally, a fair amount of our compensation in that core business is tied to volume and profit. So when it doesn't snow so much, you see variable compensation plans get adjusted down.

When it doesn't snow so much, you can't convince an end user to buy a plow he doesn't need, so some of the marketing and some of the customer support programs can be cut.

The last thing I would say is that it's very easy for us at a point in time to look at any open positions we have in the business and just put a temporary headcount freeze on that spending as well.

So what is really cool about it, is the people that are inside our core business, when it doesn't snow, there isn't anybody walks around hanging their head, fretting, wondering what we're going to do.

They basically reach in their desk, pull out the playbook, pull the levers and then we turn to focusing on DDMS initiatives so that we come out of the low snowfall environment stronger than when we went in..

Robert McCormick Consultant

Chris, I'm just going to add another thought here is that what it also does is it forces an organization to continually look at their priorities, both short term and long term. And even though we're in the low snowfall playbook I just described, we're going to introduce 9 new products this year.

So we've made choices, cognitive choices to continue to invest in the things that require investing so that when snow gets back to normal or above, we come back even exponentially better than before we even went into the low snowfall period.

So understand it isn't all about cost reduction, it's about making solid, value added choices that will pay off long term..

Operator

Thank you. We have no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the call over to management for any closing remarks..

James Janik Interim President, Interim Chief Executive Officer & Executive Chairman

Okay, thank you very much, Operator and thank all of you for your interest in Douglas Dynamics and hope you have a great day. Thank you..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the program. You may now disconnect. Have a wonderful day..

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