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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2017 - Q4
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Executives

Suzanne Spera - Director of Investor Relations Rod Larson - President and CEO Alan Curtis - SVP and CFO Marvin Migura - SVP.

Analysts

Ian Macpherson - Simmons & Company International Kenneth Sill - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Nokta Haithum - Clarksons Platou Securities Sean Meakim - J.P. Morgan Securities Vaibhav Vaishnav - Cowen & Co. LLC James Wicklund - Credit Suisse Stephen Gengaro - Loop Capital Markets Coleman Sullivan - Wells Fargo Securities.

Operator

Good morning. My name is Dan and I will be your conference facilitator. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Oceaneering's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2017 Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer period.

With that I will now turn the call over to Suzanne Spera, Oceaneering's Director of Investor Relations..

Suzanne Spera

Thank you, Dan. Good morning and welcome to the Oceaneering fourth quarter and full year 2017 results conference call. Today's call is being webcast and a replay will be available on Oceaneering's website.

Joining us on the call are Rod Larson, President and Chief Executive Officer, who will be providing our prepared comments; Alan Curtis, Chief Financial Officer; and Marvin Migura, Senior Vice President.

Before we begin, I would just like to remind participants that statements we make during the course of this call regarding our future financial performance, business strategy, plans for future operations, and industry conditions are forward-looking statements made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

Our comments today also include non-GAAP financial measures. Additional details and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in our fourth quarter press release. We welcome your questions after the prepared statements. I will now turn the call over to Rod..

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Good morning and thanks for joining the call. Today I will focus my comments on our performance for the fourth quarter and full year of 2017, our market outlook for 2018, outlook by business segment for the full year and first quarter of 2018, and what we are doing to reposition the company for 2018 and beyond.

In our press release for the fourth quarter we reported net income of $174 million or $1.76 per share reflecting the impact of $182 million of adjustments primarily $189 million non-cash tax benefit due to recent U.S. tax reform. Our adjusted net loss was $0.08 per share. During the quarter we generated $44 million of adjusted EBITDA.

Overall the anticipated impacts from seasonality and continued lower levels of activity and pricing in our oil field segments were in line with our expectations. However, results for advanced technology is disappointing with the decline in profitability instead of the improvements we had anticipated.

While our overall adjusted operating results and EBITDA was slightly less than our expectations, we are happy to report that each of our operating segments remained profitable.

On an adjusted basis looking at our business operation for the fourth quarter compared to the third quarter, our operating income was $20 million lower than that of the immediately preceding quarter due to reduced profit contributions from each of our business segments.

For ROVs operating income was down resulting from approximately 12% reduction of revenue and 15% fewer days utilized. The fourth quarter results included $7.3 million of revenue associated with the sale of ROV accessory equipment that was integrated into a customer's rigs.

This equipment sale increased our calculated ROVs average revenue per day on hire and profitability. During the fourth quarter we added three new ROVs to our fleet and retired three ending the year with an ROV fleet size of 279 vehicles. Our fleet utilization for the fourth quarter was 42% down from 50% in the third quarter.

The quarterly decline in the utilization percentage of our ROV fleet was primarily attributable to seasonality associated with the global vessel market. Our fleet used mix during this period was 66% in drill support and 34% for vessel based activity compared to a 61% and 39% mix respectively last quarter.

At the end of December we had ROVs on 82 or 56% of the 147 floating rigs under contract. This compares to our 55% drill support market share at the end of September. During the quarter we were on five of the ten rigs whose contracts ended or terminated early and on all of the six rigs that got contracted.

Now turning to Subsea products our fourth quarter operating income was slightly lower compared to the third quarter. As we anticipated Subsea products revenue was higher due to increased activity and profitability in our service and rental business unit, but the improvement was offset by decreased margins in manufacturing products.

Our Subsea products backlog at December 31, 2017 was $276 million compared to our September 30, 2017 backlog of $284 million. Our book-to-bill ratio was 0.95 and 0.75 for the fourth quarter and full year of 2017 respectively. Sequentially Subsea projects operating income was down during the fourth quarter.

The decline was principally driven by the seasonal decrease in vessel and diving activities and the completion of the Island Pride contract offshore India during the fourth quarter. Looking at Asset Integrity, operating income modestly decreased as projected on increased revenue at lower market pricing.

For our non-energy segment Advanced Technologies operating income declined on increased revenue due to execution issues and additional costs incurred for commercial programs. Unallocated expenses were higher than expected due to an unanticipated adverse judgment in an uninsured liability claim.

A $189 million benefit related to recent United States Tax Reform is included in our tax provisions. Excluding the impact of U.S.

tax reform, our tax provision was a result of geographical mix of earnings and losses that resulted in taxes in certain jurisdictions that exceeded the tax benefit from the losses in other jurisdictions which could not be realized in the quarter due to valuation allowances provided.

During the fourth quarter our capital expenditures totaled $34 million and our cash position remains strong at $430 million. I would now like to turn my focus to our results for the full year 2017 compared to our 2016 results on an adjusted basis.

We're very pleased that each of our operating segments remain profitable as we won significant new business and protected our market share, executed well for our customers, and maintained an impressive safety record. For 2017 we reported an adjusted net loss of $6.8 million or $0.07 per share.

These results reflected the impact of $173 million of adjustments primarily a $189 million non-cash tax benefit due to recent U.S. tax reform. Operationally we generated adjusted EBITDA of $222 million.

We generated $136 million of cash provided by operating activities which resulted in $43 million of free cash flow after $94 million of organic capital expenditures. We returned $44 million to our shareholders in the form of cash dividends during the year before we suspended the dividend starting with the fourth quarter of 2017.

To achieve this financial performance in a challenging market we continued to leverage resources, people processes and technology across our worldwide organization to lower costs by gaining efficiencies for continuous improvements and standardize processes.

And innovate and deliver value to our customers as evidenced by investments in ROV remote piloting, resident ROVs, and riserless light well intervention. We're also pleased with these other achievements during 2017.

We entered into a long-term contract with Maersk Supply Services to provide eight work class ROVs including Subsea tooling, survey, and associated services, engineering, communication, and data solutions to support their global operations.

We recently were awarded the contract from Statoil for the Johan Castberg project in the Barents Sea to supply umbilicals and our Advanced Technology segment achieved record annual 2017 revenues of $374 million which were up 21% from 2016.

This was accomplished by 16% increase in our government businesses and a 36% increase in our commercial businesses. These achievements were possible thanks to the dedication and support of our employees.

Turning to our 2018 market outlook, looking at the oil field market today we see that the downturn has of course led to cost cutting and weaker financial performance for oil and gas producers as well as providers of services and products. It has also presented opportunities for reorganization, standardization, and new ways of working.

We are encouraged that projects have been reworked and costs reduced driving breakeven points lower thereby enabling project sanctions to begin moving forward.

We were also encouraged by improvements in certain long-term industry drivers and fundamentals in the market we serve indicating that the offshore energy industry appears to be turning the corner. These include 2018 appearing to be the third straight year with higher oil prices as we entered the year with the Brent price at $67 per barrel.

OPEC appears to remain committed to production cuts which should help sustain a strong oil market. The contracted floating rig count has been stable around 150 rigs during 2017 with reported -- activity.

Our top 20 customers in the oil field sector which comprised approximately 70% of the revenue in our oil field based segments remain committed to the portfolio development of their reserves and have not decreased their long-term exposure mix away from the offshore sector. Offshore represents a critical share of the oil supply.

For 2017 data from Rice [ph] Energy shows average offshore production of 27.7 million barrels per day or almost 30% of global production. Demand for offshore production is expected to remain stable or grow slightly for the foreseeable future. Offshore project FIDs have began to trend positively.

Oil companies are once again sanctioning projects which should lead to higher activity in the years ahead. According to Wood Mackenzie sanctioned deepwater FIDs under development in water depths greater than or equal to 400 meters represented five projects in 2016 and 12 projects in 2017.

There are seventeen proposed deepwater projects projected to reach FID in 2018. Turning to our outlook for 2018. As I mentioned earlier for 2018 overall we project our consolidated revenue to be down slightly with decreases in three of our energy segments offset by increases in Asset Integrity and Advanced Technologies.

We continue to project our 2018 results to be lower than our 2017 results due to reduced pricing for our service and product offerings and lower absorption of our manufacturing fixed costs resulting from lower expected throughput.

For the year we anticipate generating $140 million to $180 million of EBITDA with positive EBITDA contributions from each of our operating segments. At the midpoint of this range our EBITDA for 2018 would represent a decline of about 28% from our 2017 adjusted EBITDA.

This decline can be primarily attributed to the lower level of beginning backlog and not a further deterioration of our markets. With the exception of seasonality we view activity in the current market to be relatively stable. For 2018 we expect our organic capital expenditures to total between $80 million and $120 million.

This includes approximately $40 million to $50 million of maintenance capital expenditures and $40 million to $70 million of growth capital expenditures including the final payments to complete the Jones Act vessel Ocean Evolution and well intervention equipment.

We expect to take delivery of the vessel and place it into service during the second quarter of 2018. While 2018 is going to be challenging, we believe Oceaneering's financial profile provides us valuable optionality not only to manage our business through this cycle but also positions the company to the eventual upturn in offshore activity.

Directionally in 2018 for our operations by segment we see ROV's Subsea products and Subsea projects results to be lower. But the largest declines in profitability occurring in Subsea products and Subsea projects.

For ROVs we expect increased days on hire however with lower operating results due to a shift in geographic mix and continued competitive pricing that we expect to drive our average revenue per day on hire lower.

With the reported improvement in floating rig tendering and recent contracted awards we expect to maintain or slightly shift our 2018 fleet mix more towards drill support utilization. Our overall rig, ROV fleet utilization is expected to be in the low 50% range.

Considering the current and expected low ROV utilization one might wonder why do we not simply retire more of our ROVs to improve our utilization. I'd like to address that possible concern.

Let me start by saying it's not about percentage of fleet utilization it's about market share and generating EBITDA by being available to provide excellent reliable service for our customers globally. At any given time only about 15% of our fleet is actually in our facilities around the world.

The vast majority of our ROV systems have been deployed on rigs and vessels and remain there even during idle periods as we believe we are on assets that are most likely to return to work even on a short-term or call out contract.

To provide you some appreciation for the on again off again contract activity in offshore markets in which we participate, about 80% of ROVs earned revenue at some point during 2017 and we expect similar conditions for 2018.

Based on our anticipated level of utilization combined with our fleet mix expectations worldwide locations where ROVs may work and cost structure we expect ROV EBITDA margin to be in the low 30% range for 2018 overall. We expect to increase our ROV market share for drill support.

At the end of 2017 there were approximately 43 floating drilling rigs that have contract terms expiring during the first six months of 2018 and we have 28 ROVs on 24 of them or 56%. Of the 43 floaters 21 are rolling to new contracts.

There are 23 additional floating rigs set to begin new contracts during the same period but of the 44 floaters receiving new contracts we have 34 ROVs on 29 of them or 66%.

As we repeatedly said although we endeavor to maintain and increase our drill support market share and place more ROVs on vessels we need a sizable increase in our customer's offshore activity and spending levels for there to be a discernible increase in ROV fleet utilization and profitability.

For Subsea products our outlook is the result of the decline due anticipated lower pricing in manufacturing throughput as we enter the year with less backlog compared to 2017 and the natural lag effect between our customer's financial investment decisions and order awards.

Until we see an increase in Subsea products backlog and throughput our outlook is that margins will weaken further into the low or mid single-digit range. Based on recent FIDs current bid activity and anticipated award dates we envision our book-to-bill for 2018 exceeding 1.0.

For Subsea projects we expect to have a more challenging year with reduced international vessel and diving activity, continued competitive pressures on vessel day rates in the spot -- market in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico and regulatory dry docking of the ocean intervention.

Unlike 2017 we are entering 2018 with no meaningful fixed term vessel contracts with our customers. Once the current Ocean Alliance contract expires in 2018, March 2018 our fleet will include three owned Jones Act compliant vessels available for term or spot hire including our new build the Ocean Evolution.

For Asset Integrity we project results to increase slightly year-over-year as we continue to respond to the needs of our customers for more cost effective method of ensuring the integrity and availability of the critical infrastructure.

For our non-energy segment Advanced Technologies we anticipate results to be higher due to increased activity within our entertainment group supporting the theme park arena. We expect a stable level of activity for our government businesses.

On a year-over-year basis we expect unallocated expenses to increase $12 million to $18 million in 2018 and be in the upper $20 million range per quarter.

For 2018 we anticipate our net interest expense to be notably higher and our effective tax benefit break to be approximately 5% before discrete items and any potential adjustments to our provisional estimates related to the recently passed U.S. tax reform recorded in 2017.

For our first quarter 2018 outlook, we anticipate our operating results will be lower than our fourth quarter results due to a continuation of the low levels of offshore activity. The decline will be led by operating losses in our Subsea products, Subsea projects and ROV segments.

We expect near breakeven operating levels in our Asset Integrity segment. At Advanced Technologies we project our operating results to improve and we expect our unallocated expenses and net interest to be higher. And now turning to how we are repositioning the company for 2018 and beyond.

We recently issued $300 million of 10 year senior notes through a public offering and used the net proceeds to payout for outstanding $300 million term loan due October 20, 2019.

We also amended our credit agreement to extend the maturities of the $500 million under on unsecured revolver such that the total commitments for the revolving credit facility will be $500 million dollars until October 21 and thereafter $450 million until January 2023. As a result our next scheduled debt principal maturity is in November 2024.

While liquidity has not been a concern of ours the extension of the revolving credit facility and the early repayment of the term loan increase Oceaneering's liquidity runway by improving our debt maturity profile.

As mentioned earlier we ended the year with $430 million in cash and cash equivalents, $500 million in an unsecured under revolving credit facility, and no near-term loan maturities. Our debt maturities are now $500 million in November of 2024 and $300 million in February 20, 2028.

We believe this provides us the financial flexibility to operate through the cycle as we reposition the company for enhanced growth and we have no intention of simply marking time until our markets recover. Our first and most important use of cash is to improve our portfolio and invest for growth both organically and through bolt on acquisitions.

We believe the CAPEX side of the optional oil and gas business will be slow to recover. As the number of Subsea wells continues to increase and age we remain focused on looking for opportunities to grow by identifying and providing better cost effective solutions for our customers in the OPEX or production phase of the offshore oil field lifecycle.

Recently we expanded into the adjacent offshore renewables market to more comprehensively serve the offshore energy industry. This was accomplished organically by leveraging existing assets and personnel from within our core oil and gas businesses.

We continue to explore growing the company in the offshore renewables market organically through niche acquisitions and by means of opportunities that align us with established players. In addition to the offshore renewables we're also targeting these four adjacent growth areas.

Riserless well intervention, robotics and automation, pipeline solutions and Asset Integrity, while each of these areas are complementary to what we do today most have applications beyond the traditional markets we serve.

Beyond 2018 with stable and improving long-term oil prices, continued efficiency gains, and breakeven points following for offshore projects we foresee see an increase in offshore expenditures and improving demand for energy related services and products.

In closing our focus continues to be looking for opportunities to grow our company, defending or growing our market share in each of the markets we participate in, engaging more directly with our customers to develop value added solutions that increase their cash flow, driving efficiencies throughout our organization, controlling our costs, and maintaining a strong balance sheet.

Finally and perhaps most importantly, thank you our dedicated employees and management team for their continued hard work and focus during what has been a challenging last few years. We appreciate everyone's continued interest in Oceaneering and we will now be happy to take any questions you may have..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Your first question comes the line of Ian Macpherson with Simmons. Please go ahead. .

Ian Macpherson

Thanks, good morning. .

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Good morning Ian. .

Ian Macpherson

Hey Rod I wanted to follow up on the guidance a little bit and let me know if this is incorrect, my adjustments but if you take out the disposals in ROVs then Q4 EBITDA around 37 million if you annualize that here at 145 and then Q1 sounds weaker than Q4 sequentially.

So, I guess we're looking at an upward trending trajectory and you said your segments have stabilized so, I see some improvement embedded in your ROV guidance specifically with the low 50's utilization that to me points to a kind of 10% year-on-year total increase and activity in 2018.

Maybe you can talk about how well contracted and how visible that is? As well as the low 30's EBITDA margin, I got to about 25% adjusted for Q4 after the asset sale, that's correct or incorrect?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

So, I think -- Ian let me start by making a clarification on the asset sale. What that was, we actually charged for the equipment we permanently installed on a rig that we are being mobilized too. So you can't calculate that as I mean there's revenue in there and there is EBITDA there.

So I think backing out the total revenue number is where you drove a little lower than what was actually true. So that's probably a big part of I would say the differential between the Q4-Q1 that you're having a hard time. .

Alan Curtis

And I think that's why in Rod's comments for 2018 we still see the low 30% EBITDA range [indiscernible] there..

Ian Macpherson

Okay, good, and then am I right on the activity that you see some definitely positive like that is about 10% positive activity growth for ROVs, is that about right, is that too much and how well contracted you think that is today?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes, I mean I won't jump on the activity level but yeah, you can kind of see that what we're seeing is we do have increased days on hire, we announced some of the contract awards that we were definitely winning more than our traditional market share on the rigs that are going back to work. So I think you're directionally correct, put it that way. .

Ian Macpherson

Good, thanks. I have another one but I'll pass over for now. Thanks. .

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thanks Ian..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Kenneth Sill from SunTrust. Please go ahead. .

Kenneth Sill

Yeah, good morning guys. Wanted to get a little bit more into the technology segments. We have had a couple of projects there kind of hurt margins relative to expectations, I'm assuming this is related to entertainment projects.

Is that just the nature of the beast or is there something that you guys are doing to maybe MAKE results there a little bit more repeatable?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Hi, first of all it is not just entertainment it's both the entertainment and the AGV market. But it -- a lot of this is growing pains I would have to say is the best way to put it is we are pushing more through that machine.

You saw the 36% increase so we've been continuing to reallocate actually some of the people from the oilfield sector and do more manufacturing on that side for the other groups.

But it hasn't been completely pain free and I don't know if you understand but the AGV, the automated guided vehicles that we sell the guts of them or putting them together is a lot like putting together an ROV. So we continue to leverage the ROV Group more and more to help them out..

Kenneth Sill

And just to follow on that, I mean I'm assuming that the automated guidance vehicles that's a big governmental market with the Navy, what about the commercial, I mean what's the kind of growth potential there for...?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thank you for asking because we may be clearing up a misconception there. The automated guided vehicles are like -- the best way I can think about it is think about mobile robotics that are working on a factory floor.

So these are moving car chassis around, things like that but it's not -- you're thinking of an AUV which is the underwater vehicles and that's inside our other businesses but this is -- it's a very commercial business and our main customer is the automotive industry..

Kenneth Sill

Thank you..

Operator

Your next question comes from line of Haithum Nokta with Clarksons Platou Securities. Please go ahead. .

Nokta Haithum

Hi, good morning. Talked about the negative mix shift geographically for ROV revenue per day.

I guess in terms of what you've been realizing the last couple of quarters, is there still some legacy strong pricing in there or are we relatively close to call it your spot pricing?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

There is only a tiny bit of legacy left and what you saw actually in fourth quarter was sort of the realization of I would say the last big move. So we don't have many of those hangovers left, we've been repriced almost entirely. .

Alan Curtis

I think what you're seeing going into 2018 is more a reflection of the rigs are working geographically..

Nokta Haithum

Okay, fair enough. Appreciate that and can you just talk a little bit about the moving parts in the Subsea projects segment this year, I know you are going to have the delivery of the Ocean Evolution but you're also going to -- you can talk about how you don’t have much backlog entering the year.

Can you just help us kind of make heads or tails of the model for this year?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Sure, so we have the India contract that dropped off last year. We had a larger component of our BP contract in Angola was last year. We do have some BP contract in 2018 but it's a shorter piece of work but we don't have anything really offsetting the almost full year of the India contract that we had.

So that part -- that international contracted work we will be doing campaigns and spot work with the same vessel but it's not as predictable, it's not as visible right now. And as far as the Gulf of Mexico and talking about the Ocean Evolution, the Ocean Evolution has a pretty dedicated book of work supporting a large project in the Gulf of Mexico.

But you think about that as the Gulf of Mexico was still not directly or not contracted to a customer. So we're going to still while it's been assigned to us everything else is still spot market.

So it is really difficult to model that spot market and the Ocean Evolution I wouldn't put out as being sort of incremental to our participation in the spot market, it is part and parcel of that..

Nokta Haithum

Okay, appreciate that and just one quick clarification on the subsea products margin guidance low to mid single digit is that on the EBIT or EBITDA line?.

Alan Curtis

That's on the EBIT line. .

Nokta Haithum

EBIT, okay, thanks so much..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Sean Meakim with J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead..

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Good morning Sean. .

Sean Meakim

Thank you and good morning. So to continue with the discussion on ROVs and you talked about the market being fairly stable and highlight some positives on activity.

Maybe could you give us an indication of where spot day rates are trending across drill support versus vessels or some of the different geographic markets?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Spot day rates within regions appear to be pretty flat. I mean we're looking for places where we may have some opportunity to start raising prices but I think that's still going to be very exceptional for a while..

Sean Meakim

Okay, fair enough.

And then I guess not too dissimilar of a question with respect to the product side, how was manufactured product pricing tracked, just looking for ultimately some color on and the mix of services in the rentals business, how that was in the fourth quarter and how that could claim the outlook you have for 1Q or all of 2018?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

I think it impacts us primarily in the first quarter and lot of it is when you look at our backlog numbers. Going into the year they are substantially reduced from this time last year and a lot of the production associated with some of that is going to come in the back half of the year.

So we do expect more of a move to service and rental as a percentage of revenue early on and then we need obviously some contract awards towards the back end of the year within manufactured products..

Sean Meakim

And so should we think of that just in terms of is there -- we need to see some of that traction in the first half to get that in terms of orders to get that in the back half and how should we think about the cadence of it?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

I think for manufactured products yes we need to see some in the first half of the year. But I think what you'll see is service and rental becoming a larger component of overall Subsea products in the year..

Sean Meakim

Got it, okay. Thank you very much..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Vaibhav Vaishnav with Cowen. Please go ahead. .

Vaibhav Vaishnav

Hey, good morning and thank you for taking my questions. I guess if I start with the first quarter and just following the guidance probably I -- we end up at call it 20 million to 25 million of EBITDA in the first quarter.

If that is correct, if I am in the ball park that would be helpful and then thinking about from that to getting to 160 million of annualized number implies a very steep increase, just what gives you confidence in that?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

I think directionally you're in the ballpark webs, in the first quarter at least.

Can't argue with your math and I think we do see the increased work coming in the probably second and third quarters and then we do see increased production even holding on into the fourth quarter which gives us some line of sight to our confidence level in our guidance. .

Vaibhav Vaishnav

Because I guess if I look at last four years and not that last four years will repeat itself but from third quarter to fourth quarter the EBITDA declines like 25 million to 30 million each year…?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

We can't -- I'm going to caution you don't try to make it look like every other year when everybody -- it just feels like everybody else.

We do expect some improved activity in the back half of the year just like some of the other years when you start at the first quarter or the fourth quarter on a downward slope it doesn't look like sort of an average year. So that's where it's probably causing a little bit of stress. .

Vaibhav Vaishnav

Got it, that's helpful.

And if I may ask one question on Subsea products, so the way at least I understood was product margins are going to be negative in first quarter which is like a huge decline from 7% in fourth quarter and then I guess the guidance is going up to low to mid single-digits, I just wanted to make sure I understood it correctly?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes, what we're seeing Vaibhav is we could be slightly negative on the EBIT line for products in the first quarter. Some of it's going to be related to new revenue recognition standards and the margin progression throughout the year.

So we do see that having a little bit of an impact potentially in the first quarter and increasing as we produce throughout the year. And volume is expected to pick up to that so we have talked quite a bit in the past about absorption and the impact on primarily the three large facilities that we have, so we do need throughput. .

Vaibhav Vaishnav

Okay, and fair to think Subsea projects is down year-over-year in terms of EBIT if you don’t have much of backlog or is there something that can surprise us there?.

Alan Curtis

No, that's exactly what Rod was describing earlier with the reduction of we had the long-term vessel contract in India that we finished the work on in November of 2017 as well as we had quite a bit of contracted work for BP in Angola last year. So, both of those were in our backlog going into 2017 and we had none of that crawling into this year.

So it is still very competitive Gulf market operating in the stock market. .

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

And if I were to tie that back to the other question Vaibhav one of the things is we can -- there are things that we can model with orders and backlog and rig contracts and everything else where I can say I've got confidence of a better second, third, fourth quarter than first quarter. That's not in projects.

I will just say that projects is hard to model and we aren't planning on that dramatic improvement year-over-year that would cause a big part of that ramp. .

Alan Curtis

And you'll note in Rod's commentary that we do have the dry docking in the first water for the OI for the Ocean Intervention..

Vaibhav Vaishnav

Well, very helpful. Thank you for taking my questions. .

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

No, thank you..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of James Wicklund with Credit Suisse. Please go ahead..

James Wicklund

Good morning guys, I love the comments about your looking for opportunities to grow the company. You've obviously got no maturities due until several of this will retire. And you got to sit on a ton of cash and the question that has been asked before that the likelihood that you got negative free cash flow is low.

So you actually have a loaded shotgun, you're looking to reposition the company, you are looking for opportunities to grow.

You guys mentioned the robotics and some other things, could you repeat those four things you rattled off and I'm especially interested in where do you think robotics will first have an impact in Oceaneering's business?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

You know so the ones we mentioned were riserless well intervention. We talked about robotic, you brought that up in automation. Pipeline solutions and Asset Integrity were the ones we mentioned. And you know it's pretty easy to see those -- the adjacent ones, right the riserless well intervention pipeline and Asset Integrity.

Automation is closer than you might think.

I mean you think about our entertainment business, that was Subsea robotics which looks like a ROV, when we start it, it was Jaws ride and then we formed a relationship with the theme parks and started develop more and more complex to where we built some of the best trackless rides around the world and that's helped us break into China.

So just that -- just the part in the entertainment systems is part of our robotics and automation that's grown.

But then the partner that we worked with to build the entertainment rides also was building or doing software and building control systems for that industrial side which is the robotic platforms that move auto chassis around a non-production line type automotive plant.

So you've got that automated guided vehicle part is one of those things that we think could grow quickly as we start to introduce that to new industries. So that's where I think the first sort of automation bit happens.

Now there's also some other things that we will continue to work on building the next generation ROV's that have greater economy and we have ability like the resident ROV to leave them behind.

So we think there's going to be some breakthroughs within our industry that's going to lower costs and create a greater low cost availability of being able to do work Subsea. I think that's very important when you think about what's going to happen if we start to do more and more Subsea processing.

So that ties in really well with what you're hearing from some of our other peers. Finally I mean we think what we're doing with that the next thing I would say is going to be really near-term for us for investments is renewable.

We've made a couple of announcements Stay tuned for more but we're continuing to participate more and more in the offshore wind business particularly in Europe and then we're trying to prepare for when that eventually comes to United States as well. So that's kind of where I'd say the leading edge of that is..

James Wicklund

Okay, that's -- you can tell the enthusiasm in your voice that that's good.

And if I could -- well first of all and I'm assuming all this isn't like tying the sky, this is actually starting to happen and be implemented now right?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Absolutely, I mean we've got [Multiple Speakers] yeah, yeah they're working..

James Wicklund

Okay, and could you do a little drill down for me, what is it that you are doing for the offshore renewable industry in places like Europe?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

So, a lot of it is just these are things you'd expect us to do, ROV support. We've done some product work, we've done some survey work with the AUVs. We are Asset Integrity, we're doing inspection on new build equipment or third party vendor inspection.

So just kind of across the board of Oceaneering, almost all of our groups have a chance to participate..

James Wicklund

Okay, perfect. Gentlemen thank you very much, appreciate it, best of luck. .

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thanks Jim..

Operator

Your next question comes in the line of Stephen Gengaro with Loop Capital. Please go ahead. .

Stephen Gengaro

Thanks, good morning. I guess two things one, just quickly when you look at ROVs we generally kind of look at implied day rates and is it fair to just back out that $7.3 million extra revenue in the quarter to get a reasonable day rate or is other kind of noise that we normally see in these quarters that you don't call out to the others.

Not that big a number?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Stephen you did exactly what we were hoping from an average revenue per day on hire where we put the number in there so people could get to a more normalized average revenue per day on hire. .

Stephen Gengaro

Okay, very good….

Stephen Gengaro

And caution just like Rod did, that's the revenue that's not necessarily the profit. .

Stephen Gengaro

Yes, I understand that, thank you. And then just to follow up on some of the guidance parameters that you've provided already. When you look at the three -- taking Asset Integrity out I am looking at the other three business which you kind of guided to be our big loss in the first quarter.

Do they rebound, I mean outside of I would guess projects and correct me if I am wrong, but do others rebound you think profitability in the second quarter?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yeah, of course. To get the average out we got to come back up especially when you consider two and three are strong quarters for us with seasonality. Projects I would say remember projects not necessarily from you know beyond seasonality we do have a dry docking of the ocean intervention in Q1.

So it's going to get a rebound too with that being exceptional event in the first quarter. .

Stephen Gengaro

And just as a quick follow up to that, outside of seasonality which we are obviously seeing in the first quarter all the time, is there anything else that's dragging those three segments down in the first quarter that is sort of non-repeating in the second or is it just seasonality and then just activity?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

No, I think the only other thing will be just as I discussed a bit earlier about the revenue recognition and the progression of margins on some of our Subsea products components..

Stephen Gengaro

Okay, great. Thank you for the color..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Your next question comes from the line of George O'Leary [ph] with GPH and Company. Please go ahead. .

Unidentified Analyst

Good morning guys. .

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Good morning George..

Unidentified Analyst

As you look at that EBITDA guidance range for 2018 it was hit on some of this but just wondered if you could provide a little more color maybe what puts and takes would put you at the upper end of that range and what would keep you at the lower end of that range.

It sounds like Subsea projects is you are not baking in much love there but might there be downside risk to those numbers and converse with what other segments could drive you to the top end of that range?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Let me start with Subsea projects. Subsea projects can get some pops.

It's hard to model but if there's any sort of events offshore, if there's any issues, if a customer has a production for example they go offline and they need a chill change out or jumper changes and things like that, we can have -- they can be a big boon for projects in a quarter or in a year.

So while I can't model it there is a chance that those -- they are almost the most likely ones to appreciate something like that. .

Alan Curtis

But it also has good pull through for ROVs and for Subsea products in our service and rental business as well. So those are the events that really help. .

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

On the high side I would say you've also got in the products business if we got some orders early Subsea tiebacks things like that. But we could get in the system and get more throughput on that side that could also help us especially in the back of the year in the manufactured products group.

Upside down I mean there's -- I mean if we saw more activity levels, I mean earlier in the year that would certainly benefit us. I think we guided to where we think the midpoint is and I think we gave a fairly narrow range of plus or minus $20 million where we see the markets right now. .

Alan Curtis

And I think if you want to know on the low side, the low side means it's going to be something that we're all going to feel. And if we see another hickey to the market and people lose confidence in it we see the operators pull back on spending then I think that's going to be -- that's not going to be unique to us.

We're just going to feel the market pressure at that point..

Unidentified Analyst

Alright that's super helpful color and then just curious you talked about some of the stats from the third parties that you rely on the rice [ph] and WoodMac and that's all helpful and interesting here.

But also just curious as you guys have direct discussions with customers we're hearing and seeing as we progress through this earnings season offshore drillers by and large pick up a decent absolute number of contracts but the nature of those contracts are fairly short-term.

I guess just how would you describe customer moods and might we see some of these bigger and larger projects actually push forward this year than really translate into either late 2018 activity increases or 2019 activity increases, just kind of customer mood and what it seems like there thinking as you enter into discussions with them?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Really I think were we use the customer mood there are some specific things for us that generally where I would say it's differentiated from anything you're hearing from either the -- WoodMac or even some of our peer group. It's more along the lines of what's their interest in sort of that that production enhancement phase.

Now how are they looking at it is the oil price at a point where they're looking to go back in and improve their existing assets. That does appear very strong. I mean that would be something that you're not necessarily hearing everywhere and we do see a significant change in the level of interest over the last couple years particularly this year.

So that's good. The rest of it I would just say our customers are telling us things that make us feel confident that when we start talking about 2017 FID's and things like that that we really believe they are trying to pull those things through.

Now some of them are international and they can't control the speed entirely themselves without help of local government and things like that but their tone says they want to get them done. And they're confident that those are things that they want to push through if they can..

Unidentified Analyst

Great, thanks very much for the color guys. .

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ian Macpherson with Simmons. Please go ahead. .

Ian Macpherson

Hi, thanks for the follow up. I wanted to ask about the Castberg umbilicals. I know in prior days an umbilicals booking would be dilutive to products margin.

I assume that's really not true anymore maybe you can speak to that? And also a three year lead time for 39 kilometres, does it take you three years to produce this award or is this an example of sort of ordering something with a bit of cushion, with more cushion than they would have and cycle is just based on the slack in the market?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

So first of all I mean one of the things that we like about this is Statoil is looking for the most appropriate technology that to lower their costs to be more effective.

And they're in opening up their vendor category a little bit here because it's been hard for us to win work with Statoil and they are very important customer because we see them as being beyond Norway and they are own big international deep water player. So on the umbilical front it's a good win for us.

And the reason we won is because it is a little outside the norm which means that we will be building a prototype and we're going to be doing some additional work. So it does kind of buy into -- it is their schedule, they want to give us time to do all that and prove it out before it gets built and installed.

So I think you're on the right track there and Alan will kind of talk about margins..

Alan Curtis

Yeah, I think that when you look at it as far as being dilutive I think yes but it still seems to be lower margin business in our Subsea products segment. That has not changed. .

Ian Macpherson

Okay, alright, well thank you very much. Good color on the call today. .

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Cole Sullivan with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead..

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Good morning Cole..

Coleman Sullivan

Good morning. On the ROV utilization guidance you guys gave I think you said around 50% for 2018 compares with 42% in the fourth quarter.

Can you help us kind of bridge the gap on how you see that will trend over the year with rigs start ups and vessel seasonality especially as we look at the first quarter and how that kind of paces throughout the year?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

I think the best way to say it is we are ramping from that low 40's to 50's and covering up and down in the 50's to counter seasonality. So yeah, it's got to ramp up through to mid-year and then we'll see some of that utilization get softer towards the end of the year with seasonality.

So you got to figure it out, it's sort of an up to the mid and then tailing off a little bit towards the back.

Now if we see this continue I think we've all heard a lot of the rig contracts tend to be shorter duration so we have to see some of this enthusiasm either hold or continue to build to say that that will determine what the tail off at the end of the year really ends up being. .

Alan Curtis

Yeah, I think when we look at the ROVs, I mean we're certainly running as fast [indiscernible] and the team is really working hard. And as Rob in his comments talked about, last year while our utilization was in the mid-30% range, 80% of our assets had a revenue day. So it took a lot of hard work to generate that level of utilization. .

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

And I think that helps people understand when we talk about how can you maintain margins, how do you keep that thing going.

It's because we've got these assets placed in a lot of different places and some of them only work a little bit, some of them will work a lot but having them out there and working and not sitting in our yard and having a broad reach with a large fleet is what really keeps this going for us.

And it also means that we look forward to on a recovery because if more and more of those go back to work we've got a lot of great placements..

Coleman Sullivan

Okay, thanks for that. On the products piece of the business, specifically services and rentals, it sounds like there may be a bit of a shift towards services and rentals over the first half of the year due to lower throughput on the production side.

How -- is that -- does that imply a bit of a run rate increase out of the fourth quarter, is that the right way to think about that for the first half?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

How did you describe it, run rate freeze. .

Coleman Sullivan:.

Coleman Sullivan

No, I think it is more the decrease and the throughput at our manufacturing facilities. .

Coleman Sullivan

Okay, thanks, I appreciate it..

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Vaibhav Vaishnav with Cowen and Company. Please go ahead..

Vaibhav Vaishnav

Hey, thank you for letting me back in. I wanted to focus just on the projects this time because obviously it's the one of the more difficult segments to model. If you can just walk through the four or maybe if not three vessels, so it seems like Island Pride has been returned now to the client so that's gone.

Ocean Intervention III right now, I don’t know, I am not sure if you said how many days would be dry docking but in first quarter then it will go to work through end of June…?.

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Vaibhav, let me stop real quick. The Ocean Intervention III is not going to dry dock. The Ocean Intervention which we own, the Ocean Intervention III is a vessel that we have and charter on occasion and is currently working in Angola with Oceaneering at this time.

And we don't -- right now we don't know why it is -- it's more of there's work that we're doing and when we're done with that work that will go away. So we can't give you an exact number on that. But I'll walk you through. Ocean Intervention will go to dry dock and then it will go back to work.

So it will be working in the second, third, fourth quarter out there chasing work. The intervention II no dry dock, out there chasing out there chasing spot work.

The intervention Vaibhav you mentioned I will just say that if and when it finishes with BP it's going to -- we have been working with the vessel owner to stay on the rig and we don't pay each other we just go chase work. So we're trying to pick up spot work particularly in West Africa so that's an opportunity. Same thing with the Island Pride.

We're working with the vessel owners to find more work for that on the spot market. So we're out there. The other thing I'd add is in addition to the Ocean Evolution that's coming out, we have great relationships with other boat owners in the Gulf of Mexico so we are able to spot higher info if we called out on spot work.

And we've got a tremendous amount of capacity to go out and catch work by using a vessel of availability at any time in the Gulf of Mexico. So we're pretty excited about what we have been able to put that out. The Ocean Alliance, we had under contract and so that was one that we pay for every day whether we're busy or not.

That actually rolls off in March. So what I would tell you is I think we are really well positioned with capacity and our vessel costs to go out and work jobs for projects. So as it goes up and down this year more than ever we don't have as much fixed cost as we have in that business in the past.

Vaibhav Vaishnav

Okay, that's very helpful. Thank you so much..

Operator

And we have no further questions in the queue at this time. I'll turn the call back over to the presenters. .

Rod Larson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Great, well since there are no more questions I'd like to wrap up by thanking everyone for joining the call and this concludes our fourth quarter and full year 2017 conference call. Have a great day..

Operator

Thank you to everyone for attending today. This will conclude today's call and you may now disconnect..

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