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Financial Services - Financial - Capital Markets - NYSE - BM
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2017 - Q1
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Executives

Judi Frost Mackey - Director of Global Communications Kenneth Marc Jacobs - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Matthieu Bucaille - Chief Financial Officer.

Analysts

Brennan Hawken - UBS Securities LLC. Michael Anthony Needham - Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Inc. Conor Fitzgerald - Goldman Sachs & Co. Devin Ryan - JMP Securities LLC. Sharon Leung - Nomura Instinet LLC..

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to Lazard's First Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call. This call is being recorded. At this time all participants are in a listen-only-mode. Following the remarks, we will conduct a questions-and-answer session. Instructions will be provided at that time.

[Operator Instructions] At this time I will turn the call over Judi Frost Mackey, Lazard's Director of Global Communications. Please go ahead..

Judi Frost Mackey

Thank you. Good morning, and thank you for joining our conference call to review Lazard's results for the first quarter of 2017. Hosting the call today are Kenneth Jacobs, Lazard's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Matthieu Bucaille, Chief Financial Officer.

A replay of this call will be available on the Lazard website beginning today by 10:00 AM Eastern Daylight. Today's call may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are based on our current expectations about future events and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions.

There are important factors that could cause our actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.

These factors include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Lazard's filings with the SEC, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and Current Reports on Form 8-K. Lazard assumes no responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of any of these forward-looking statements.

Investors should not rely upon forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Lazard is under no duty to update any of these forward-looking statements after the date on which they are made. Today's discussion may include certain non-GAAP financial measures.

A description of these non-GAAP financial measures and their reconciliation to the comparable GAAP measures are contained in our earnings release, which has been issued this morning. For today's call, we will focus on highlights of our performance.

The details of our earnings can be found in our press release issued this morning and in our investor presentation, both of which are posted on our website. Following their remarks, Ken and Matthieu will be happy to answer your questions. I will now turn the call over to our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Ken Jacobs..

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Good morning. We have started the year with strong results for clients and shareholders. Lazard achieved record first-quarter operating revenue of $624 million, with record first quarters in Financial Advisory and Asset Management.

These results underscore the power of our business model, the breadth and depth of our global franchise and the value we create for clients. In Financial Advisory, operating revenue reflected solid performance across the business.

In M&A we continue to advice on large, complex and cross-border strategic transactions including three of the ten largest announcements in the first quarter. We have increased our market share in M&A globally with especially high levels of activity in Europe. Restructuring had a strong first quarter with the completion of some large assignments.

We won significant new mandates as well and were ranked as number one advisor globally in restructuring announcements for the quarter. Restructuring activity continues to be settling around the energy and commodity sectors, although we are seeing increased activity in other sectors as well.

Our corporate preparedness shareholder advisory business continues to grow, and we advise on significant assignments relating to corporate activism and shareholder engagement. And our sovereign and capital advisory services remain active advising governments and corporations across a range of geographies on financing strategy and capital raising.

In Asset Management, our record first-quarter operating revenue reflected the strength and quality of our global franchise. We achieved a high level of growth influence across our platforms with net inflows across our platforms with net inflows of $3.3 billion for the quarter.

Inflows were driven primarily by strategies in global and multiregional equity, including significant growth in our quantitative strategies, despite industry headwinds from passive investments. Our emerging markets platform also had net inflows in both equity and fixed income.

We finished the quarter with AUM of $215 billion, which is $25 billion higher than one year ago. We continue to build our asset management franchise through the development and scaling up of new strategies, including the first quarter launch of a real asset fund.

We see investor demand across many of our asset management platforms with significant capacity for organic growth. Matthieu will now provide color on our financial results and capital management and then I'll comment on our outlook..

Matthieu Bucaille

Thank you, Ken. Lazard's first-quarter 2017 operating revenue increased 23% on a reported basis and 25% on a constant currency basis. First quarter 2017 diluted net income per share on an adjusted basis increased 66% to $0.83, which is a first quarter record for Lazard.

Operating revenue for Financial Advisory increased 26% reflecting a higher level of completion in M&A and strategic advisory as well as in restructuring. Operating revenue for Asset Management increased 16% reflecting a 12% increase in our average AUM as well as higher incentive fees.

During the first quarter of 2017 AUM increased by $17 billion from December 31 to $215 billion. This increase was driven by market and foreign exchange appreciation of $14 billion, and net inflows of $3.3 billion.

As of April 24, 2017 AUM was approximately $219 billion driven by market and foreign exchange appreciation of about $4 billion and net inflow of $24 million. Turning to expenses, we are accruing compensation at a 56.5% adjusted compensation ratio consistent with our full year 2016 ratio, and compared to 58.9% in the first quarter of last year.

Adjusted compensation and benefit expense increased 18%, a slower rate than our 23% operating revenue growth. Our adjusted non-compensation ratio for the first quarter was 17.2% compared to 20.1% in the first quarter of last year. Our effective tax rate in the first quarter as adjusted was 26.6%.

We continue to expect a seasonally higher tax rate in the first half of the year with a full year tax rate in the mid-to-high 20s range for 2017. Finally regarding capital management, in the first quarter we returned $360 million to shareholders primarily through dividends and share repurchases.

As of today, we have spent $119 million this year repurchasing approximately 2.7 million shares. Lazard continued to generate substantial cash and we are increasing our quarterly dividend by 8% to $0.41 per share. Ken will now conclude our remarks..

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Thank you, Matthieu. I'll provide some perspective on our outlook and then we'll open the call to questions. The first half of 2017 continues to look strong relative to last year. Our Financial Advisory practices are active around the world, and Asset Management is building from a record level of AUM.

The M&A market has been uneven this year as corporate decision-makers cope with uncertainty regarding US policy under the new administration as well as elections in Europe.

Overall, however, the global macroeconomic outlook for the near to midterm remains positive, the US economy is healthy and Europe continues to recover, emerging markets have improved. The long-term trends for our business remained favorable and Lazard is in an excellent competitive position. In conclusion, a few takeaways from the quarter.

Both of our businesses achieved record first quarter operating revenue. We continue to expect a strong first half of the year. Lazard cash flow remained strong, our dividend increase and our ongoing share repurchase reflects our commitment to returning capital to shareholders. We remain focused on serving our clients well.

We manage the firm for profitable growth and shareholder value over the long run. Now let's open the call to questions. Thank you..

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Brennan Hawken with UBS..

Brennan Hawken

Good morning guys. Thanks for taking the question. So, impressive strength in the Asset Management business and helpful to see the gross sales.

I know you gave a couple of comments in your prepared remarks, but maybe could you give a little more specificity around some of that strength, what do you think drove it and any comments you can make on risk appetite in your institutional investor base?.

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Okay. Look, I think we are fortunate to have a range of products which are well positioned in the marketplace today. We are also fortunate to have an institutional client-base, which tends to take longer-term decisions. I think the product mix is pretty broad.

It is well positioned against the passivization of the marketplace, particularly in the United States. And I think that is really the positioning for us.

In terms of risk appetite for the market, look, I think that post-election there was probably a little bit of a pause in terms of people trying to decide their allocations or reallocate for the environment they are expecting the future. I think we are seeing the benefits of that now.

And I think we are just again fortunate to have a mix of strategies that kind of take advantage of the position of the market today..

Brennan Hawken

And when you saw the strength in gross flows was EM a big driver of that, were there any particular products that really stood out or was it pretty balanced?.

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

It is pretty balanced. I mean we have had flows into EM. We have had into multiregional equities, and we have had a fair amount of success in our quantitative products..

Brennan Hawken

Terrific.

And there has been increased focus on MiFID II, and the potential impact, I know that Europe is an important market for Lazard in your asset management business, but could you give us or at least share your views on maybe how you think that is going to impact Lazard and the market broadly, and how you are positioning for that?.

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Look, we spend, as I am sure everyone in our industry has, a lot of time looking at this and just given the mix of our businesses and the way we are organized we think this is going to have a small impact on us..

Brennan Hawken

Okay.

And last one, if you said it Matthieu I apologize, I didn't hear it, was there an impact in your tax rate from the deferred comp, and if so, could you maybe quantify that deferred comp accounting change?.

Matthieu Bucaille

Right. There was from that a change in the accounting – a little bit of an impact. The impact on the rate was a little less than five points..

Brennan Hawken

5 percentage points. .

Matthieu Bucaille

5 percentage points, exactly..

Brennan Hawken

Perfect. Okay, thank you..

Operator

Our next question comes from Mike Needham with Bank of America Merrill Lynch..

Michael Anthony Needham

Hi, good morning. I think just first on the restructuring business, I'm wondering I guess how much is left to do in the energy sector, and how big of an opportunity might these other sectors be versus energy, it sounded like in the prepared remarks you are still gaining mandates, but I am just wondering how much is done with energy? Thanks..

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Look. We have had a good run in the restructuring sector now for quite some time and the energy sector continues to have issues, not as much perhaps as last year, and we have seen new activity in other sectors, particularly in the retail sector.

And we expect that to probably expand a bit to a couple of other sectors, perhaps around some of the real estate areas that are related to that..

Michael Anthony Needham

Okay, thanks. And then on the asset management business, clearly strong net inflows for the quarter, I was wondering if you could give us an update on the unfunded pipeline and what strategies you think the clients are in most demand for and then, if you have an update on global thematic assets. Thanks..

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Look. Our pipeline looks pretty good. There is variability from quarter-to-quarter on RFPs, probably down a little bit, but I think the mandates that are – they were down a little bit in the first quarter relative to last year at this time.

But frankly, it is more – we are more focused on the quality of those RFPs and also the fact that most of our money comes from existing clients anyway, and you don't have an RFP on those particular clients. So we feel pretty good about the pipeline right now, and in terms of flows, it is really across the board.

I mean we have seen nice flows into emerging markets. We have seen nice flows in the emerging markets platform into the multiregional platform, and as I said we have had a lot of success with our fund platform in the recent months. And also, we continue to see thematics going down. It is down to about 4 billion now..

Michael Anthony Needham

Okay, great. Thank you..

Operator

Our next question comes from Conor Fitzgerald with Goldman Sachs..

Conor Fitzgerald

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. So, I appreciate the proposal obviously coming to focus, but it looks like the administration is going to propose a very competitive cash repatriation rate, I'm just wondering if that successfully goes through if you have a sense of what that could be from an impact perspective on the M&A market.

Even if it just any goals in talking to clients, like is there cash overseas that you think your clients would like to bring back, and do something within the United States?.

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

So, look, I think that obviously repatriation, lowering of corporate tax rates are all going to be a positive I think we think for the M&A environment. That said, this is early days in tax reform. This is the opening proposal.

There is going to be – my guess is, like any tax reform it doesn’t look anything like the opening proposal, but the good news is there is a lot of momentum towards there being tax reform this year.

So I think the time to really pay attention to the details of this will be the second half of this year, and probably the second half of the second half of this year. But I think generally speaking for the most part, the market is going to continue to be optimistic about this, and should over the course of the year help activity..

Conor Fitzgerald

Thanks. That is helpful. So, you kind of answered my long-term question on the tax reform; your comments were on the positive impact.

Just on the near-term kind of trying to pair that with some of your comments around an uneven M&A market given some of the policy uncertainty, just wanted to understand if you had – is there any risk that we see kind of a gap in M&A activity as central buyers, more buyers and sellers move to the sideline and so we get more certainty around this in your back half of 2017?.

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

It is a good question. The first quarter was kind of an unusual quarter because you had spurts of activity in January and March and a quiet market in February. But when you look at the actual activity levels, they weren’t that different from 2016.

In fact, I think that announcements are a little bit up from 2016, but when you look at the market itself, it was more – things were – the activity levels were up and the things which were not that the company could have transactions, small transactions, but so the mid-size stuff.

I think where you saw a little bit hesitation was on the very, very big things that probably you had to make very long-term decisions around tax on.

So, I wouldn't be surprised if the market continues like that for this year and I think as we get closer to having more certainty around the outlines of reform, I think that is going to be more comfort around this.

What does appear to be the case though is it does look like the border adjustment tax that is less likely happening and now is a concern for people in the first quarter. If that doesn't happen that may lift a little of the concern as well..

Conor Fitzgerald

That is very helpful. Thanks for taking my questions..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Devin Ryan with JMP Securities..

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Hi Devin..

Devin Ryan

Hi, good morning guys.

How are you?.

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Good..

Devin Ryan

Good.

Maybe one just on the European M&A, I have seen the market breathe a sigh of relief after the French elections, I am just curious if you are seeing any initial come off in Europe, some of the economic data has been a little bit better and so just trying to think about what people are waiting for – are looking for in Europe to maybe see activity start to improve there?.

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Look, we had a [big] first quarter in Europe on announcements, and it felt like the market in Europe had improved a bit in the first quarter. There have now been two elections that have gone towards the center. The first in Holland; the second, the first-round of the French elections.

The polls are right, and we are likely to see a [candidate] in the second round as well. That overall is good for the economic climate in Europe. It is an improving economic climate. It is probably the best on the continent that it has been since the crisis. There is still some risk in a couple of countries around election still.

I don't think Germany is much of a risk. But there is some uncertainty around Italy. But generally speaking sort of through June, and the elections go as the polls have predicted, I think Europe is in pretty decent shape and you should start to see some pick-up in activity with the pick-up in confidence around that..

Devin Ryan

Okay, terrific.

And then, with respect to just the senior banker footprint, how are you feeling about this year, and where are you thinking about growth from here, do you think there is going to be a big year of recruiting for the firm?.

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Well, look, I mean 2016 we really filled out our footprint in the Americas, as you know from what we did in Latin America and Canada, and some additional hiring in the US. We are very focused on organic growth. We have terrific ability to grow our own people at Lazard. That has been one of the great competitive strengths of the firm.

I think just over 60% of our MDs are homegrown, and they are starting from analyst associate. So, we will always be on the lookout for talent on the outside, where it fits and can be added profitably to the platform. But we are not dependent on it for growth and we will just keep an eye on the market and trends and opportunities..

Devin Ryan

Okay, great. And last quick one here, just on the backlogs, I mean, the over focus maybe from some of us sometimes can be a little bit misleading, but when we look on the outside, I think there is a little bit of perception the backlogs for the industry – for advisor activities have been shrinking a bit year-over-year.

So I'm just curious, does that sound like an accurate read or is it maybe more just timing. You had a pretty active quarter of closings, and so sometimes it takes a little bit of time to replenish that..

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Probably both. The reality is remember closings can be 12 to 18 months, particularly for the larger deals or even longer in some cases. So you got to remember that ’15 was a record year for most people on announcements and so, some of this stuff is playing through as a result of that. On the other hand, activity levels in 2016 were still pretty good.

We feel very comfortable with the first half on the advisory side of the business. We never know what is going to happen in the second half until sort of midway through the year, or even later in fact and that will continue to be the case. So we saw little bit of a very dependence on how things get announced, timing of closings, things like that.

The good news about our business this year is we have a very, very solid platform in Asset Management. We are at record AUM. At the moment, 30 billion up from last year. And if markets hold that augers well for the business as a whole..

Devin Ryan

Okay. Thanks for taking my questions..

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Sure..

Operator

We will go next to Steven Chubak with Nomura Instinet..

Sharon Leung

Hi, this is actually Sharon Leung filling in for Steven this morning.

My first question is just on some of the non-comp ratios, in the release you highlighted some of the investments in your business is one of the contributors to higher non-comp, can you give us an outlook there and just where you see those expenses trajecting over the next couple of quarters?.

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Sure. Matthieu..

Matthieu Bucaille

So, the increase in our non-comp is really related to two items. One is a little bit of a higher activity level, which you see in [Indiscernible] services because of higher AUM. The second explanation is the role of investment, and investment is really two-fold. One part of it is related to IT.

We are investing in a number of new systems and upgrading our technology in the firm so that contributes to some of the increase. And then second, we have also invested in our people; increased our teams in that also through higher non-comp expenses..

Sharon Leung

Okay, great.

And then, just on your capital management priorities, can you talk a little bit about if there are any interesting inorganic growth pursuits that you might be looking at?.

Kenneth Marc Jacobs Executive Chairman

Look, we like everyone are laser focused on what is happening in the Asset Management world. The continued consolidation that seems to be taking place among some of the active managers. We think a great advantage of our business is our size.

In fact, it allows us to be nimble, and it also allows us to react to market conditions and I think we have had good success at being able to shift priorities in relatively short periods of time. So, we think we start from a very healthy base. We are not at all relaxed about the environment I should say.

We are not taking it lightly, but at the same time we like the competitive position we have in our business and we have to measure that against any of the opportunities that are out there..

Sharon Leung

Okay, great. Thanks for taking my questions..

Operator

This concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect..

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