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Consumer Cyclical - Packaging & Containers - NYSE - US
$ 24.33
-3.22 %
$ 7.34 B
Market Cap
11.26
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one GPK stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 24.3 USD, Graphic Packaging Holding Company is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one GPK stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 24.3 USD, Graphic Packaging Holding Company is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one GPK stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 24.3 USD, Graphic Packaging Holding Company is HIDDEN

2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart GPK

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$31.0$31.0$30.0$30.0$29.0$29.0$28.0$28.0$27.0$27.0$26.0$26.0$25.0$25.0$24.0$24.015 Oct15 OctNov '24Nov '2415 Nov15 NovDec '24Dec '2415 Dec15 DecJan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '25
FINANCIALS
8.81 B REVENUE
-6.59%
1.12 B OPERATING INCOME
-16.12%
658 M NET INCOME
-8.99%
840 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-26.57%
-342 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
66.63%
-489 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-361.32%
2.1 B REVENUE
-5.46%
239 M OPERATING INCOME
-14.03%
138 M NET INCOME
-16.36%
489 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
161.50%
-240 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
13.36%
-209 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-237.50%
Balance Sheet Graphic Packaging Holding Company
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Current Assets 2.78 B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 157 M
Receivables 759 M
Other Current Assets 1.87 B
Non-Current Assets 8.36 B
Long-Term Investments 0
PP&E 5.26 B
Other Non-Current Assets 3.1 B
6.81 %16.76 %47.18 %27.84 %Total Assets$11.1b
Current Liabilities 1.9 B
Accounts Payable 1.12 B
Short-Term Debt 39 M
Other Current Liabilities 748 M
Non-Current Liabilities 6.23 B
Long-Term Debt 5.14 B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.08 B
13.73 %9.20 %63.28 %13.32 %Total Liabilities$8.1b
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Graphic Packaging Holding Company
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Revenue 8.81 B
Cost Of Revenue 6.84 B
Gross Profit 1.96 B
Operating Expenses 843 M
Operating Income 1.12 B
Other Expenses 461 M
Net Income 658 M
9b9b8b8b7b7b6b6b5b5b4b4b3b3b2b2b1b1b009b(7b)2b(843m)1b(461m)658mRevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
22.28% GROSS MARGIN
22.28%
12.71% OPERATING MARGIN
12.71%
7.47% NET MARGIN
7.47%
21.85% ROE
21.85%
5.90% ROA
5.90%
8.94% ROIC
8.94%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Graphic Packaging Holding Company
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1b1b800m800m600m600m400m400m200m200m00(200m)(200m)(400m)(400m)(600m)(600m)(800m)(800m)20162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income 658 M
Depreciation & Amortization 557 M
Capital Expenditures 0
Stock-Based Compensation 62 M
Change in Working Capital 0
Others -318 M
Free Cash Flow 840 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Graphic Packaging Holding Company
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for GPK of $32.7 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $30 to a high of $35 .
GPK Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
30 USD 23.30%
GPK Average Price Target Wall Street Target
32.7 USD 34.26%
GPK Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
35 USD 43.86%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
3636343432323030282826262424May '24May '24Jul '24Jul '24Aug '24Aug '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
0.38% DIVIDEND YIELD
0.11 USD DIVIDEND PER SHARE
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0.4500.4500.4000.4000.3500.3500.3000.3000.2500.2500.2000.2000.1500.1500.1000.1000.0500.0500.0000.0000.050.050.0750.0750.0750.0750.0750.0750.0750.10.10.110.050.050.0750.0750.0750.0750.0750.0750.10.10.050.050.0750.0750.0750.0750.0750.0750.10.10.050.200.0750.230.0750.300.0750.300.0750.300.0750.300.0750.300.10.320.10.380.10.400.100.112015201520162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
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5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 10
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Graphic Packaging Holding Company
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
1.11 M USD 2
6-9 MONTHS
8.43 M USD 1
9-12 MONTHS
164 K USD 1
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
Graphic Packaging to Shut Down Operations at Middletown Facility GPK plans to close its Middletown facility in June to consolidate recycled paperboard production into Kalamazoo and the new Waco facility in Texas. zacks.com - 2 weeks ago
SHAREHOLDER ALERT: Purcell & Lefkowitz LLP Announces Shareholder Investigation of Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK) NEW YORK , April 1, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Purcell & Lefkowitz LLP announces that it is investigating Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK) on behalf of the company's shareholders. The investigation seeks to determine whether Graphic Packaging Holding Company's directors breached their fiduciary duties in connection with recent corporate actions. prnewswire.com - 2 weeks ago
Graphic Packaging Holding Company to Close Middletown, Ohio Paperboard Manufacturing Facility ATLANTA , April 1, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK) ("Graphic Packaging", or "the Company"), a global leader in sustainable consumer packaging, today announced that it will permanently close its Middletown, Ohio, coated recycled paperboard manufacturing facility on or about June 1, 2025. The closure is part of a previously disclosed plan to consolidate recycled paperboard production into Kalamazoo, Michigan, and the new Waco, Texas, facility, which is expected to begin commercial production later this year. prnewswire.com - 2 weeks ago
Graphic Packaging Holding Company to Host First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call on May 1 ATLANTA , March 27, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK) ("Graphic Packaging", or "the Company"), a global leader in sustainable consumer packaging, will announce first quarter 2025 financial results before the market opens on Thursday, May 1 st, with a call to discuss results at 10:00 a.m. ET.   The conference call will be webcast and can be accessed from the investors section of the Graphic Packaging website at https://investors.graphicpkg.com/. prnewswire.com - 2 weeks ago
Graphic Packaging: Steady Volumes Despite A Weak Consumer Environment Graphic Packaging's strategic divestiture of the Augusta facility and investment in the Waco facility aims to optimize capital allocation and enhance long-term profitability. Despite a challenging 2024, the company managed volume pressures and protected margins, with a stable outlook for 2025 driven by innovation and productivity gains. Trading at a discount to peers, Graphic Packaging presents an attractive entry point, with significant upside potential as the Waco facility comes online in late 2025. seekingalpha.com - 3 weeks ago
Graphic Packaging Holding Company Announces Participation in Upcoming Investor Conferences ATLANTA , Feb. 13, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK) ("Graphic Packaging"), a global leader in sustainable consumer packaging, today announced that Stephen R. Scherger, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will present at the Bank of America Securities Global Agriculture and Materials Conference on Thursday, February 27 th at 11:15am ET and Michael P. prnewswire.com - 2 months ago
SON vs. GPK: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option? Investors looking for stocks in the Containers - Paper and Packaging sector might want to consider either Sonoco (SON) or Graphic Packaging (GPK). But which of these two stocks is more attractive to value investors? zacks.com - 2 months ago
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE:GPK ) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call February 4, 2024 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Melanie Skijus - VP, IR Michael Doss - President and CEO Stephen Scherger - EVP and CFO Conference Call Participants Lewis Merrick - BNP Paribas Exane Anthony Pettinari - Citi Phil Ng - Jefferies Gabe Hajde - Wells Fargo Securities Ghansham Panjabi - Baird Matt Roberts - Raymond James George Staphos - Bank of America Arun Viswanathan - RBC Capital Market Operator Greetings. Welcome to the Graphic Packaging Holding Company Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Conference Call. seekingalpha.com - 2 months ago
Graphic Packaging (GPK) Misses Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates Graphic Packaging (GPK) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.59 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.63 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.75 per share a year ago. zacks.com - 2 months ago
Graphic Packaging Holding Company Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2024 Results Full-Year 2024 Highlights Launched Vision 2030 Delivered Adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.1% Returned to positive packaging volume growth in second half of the year Achieved Innovation Sales Growth of $205 million Executed Virtual Power Purchase Agreement to increase renewable energy use in Europe Repurchased 2% of common shares outstanding; returned $322 million of capital to stockholders Full-Year 2024 Financial Results Net Sales $8,807 million, versus $9,428 million in 2023 Net Income $658 million, versus $723 million in 2023 Adjusted EBITDA $1,682 million, versus $1,876 million in 2023 Adjusted EBITDA Margin 19.1%, versus 19.9% in 2023 Earnings per Diluted Share $2.16, versus $2.34 in 2023 Adjusted Earnings per Diluted Share $2.49, versus $2.91 in 2023 Net Leverage 3.0x, versus 2.8x at prior year-end ATLANTA , Feb. 4, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK) ("Graphic Packaging" or the "Company"), a global leader in sustainable consumer packaging, today reported fourth quarter and full-year 2024 results. Net Income for fourth quarter 2024 was $138 million, or $0.46 per share, based upon 302.7 million weighted average diluted shares. prnewswire.com - 2 months ago
Graphic Packaging Holding Company Announces 10% Dividend Increase ATLANTA , Feb. 4, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK) ("Graphic Packaging" or the "Company"), a global leader in sustainable consumer packaging, today announced that its Board of Directors voted to increase the quarterly dividend to $0.11 per share of common stock, a 10% increase from the prior quarterly dividend of $0.10. The increased dividend will be payable on April 5, 2025, to common stockholders of record at the close of business on March 15, 2025. prnewswire.com - 2 months ago
Are Investors Undervaluing Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Right Now? Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and momentum trends to underscore strong picks. zacks.com - 2 months ago
8. Profile Summary

Graphic Packaging Holding Company GPK

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Packaging & Containers
MARKET CAP $ 7.34 B
Dividend Yield 0.38%
Description Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides fiber-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, foodservice, and other consumer products companies. It operates through three segments: Paperboard Mills, Americas Paperboard Packaging, and Europe Paperboard Packaging. The company offers coated unbleached kraft (CUK), coated recycled paperboard (CRB), and solid bleached sulfate paperboard (SBS) to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers; and paperboard packaging products, such as folding cartons, cups, lids, and food containers primarily to consumer packaged goods, quick-service restaurants, and foodservice companies; and barrier packaging products that protect against moisture, hot and cold temperature, grease, oil, oxygen, sunlight, insects, and other potential product-damaging factors. It also offers various laminated, coated, and printed packaging structures that are produced from its CUK, CRB, and SBS, as well as other grades of paperboards that are purchased from third-party suppliers; designs and manufactures specialized packaging machines that package bottles and cans, and non-beverage consumer products; and installs its packaging machines at customer plants and provides support, service, and performance monitoring of the machines. The company markets its products primarily through sales offices and broker arrangements with third parties in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Contact 1500 Riveredge Parkway, Atlanta, GA, 30328 https://www.graphicpkg.com
IPO Date Dec. 10, 1992
Employees 23000
Officers Ms. Elizabeth Spence Executive Vice President of Human Resources Ms. Lauren S. Tashma Executive Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary Mr. Joseph P. Yost Executive Vice President & President of the International Business Unit Mr. Vishwanath M. Narendra Senior Vice President of Global Services & Chief Information Officer Mr. Stephen R. Scherger Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer Mr. Michael P. Doss President, Chief Executive Officer & Director Ms. Maggie K. Bidlingmaier Executive Vice President & President of the Americas Business Unit Mr. Jean-Francois Roche Senior Vice President of Sales Mr. Charles D. Lischer Senior Vice President & Chief Accounting Officer Ms. Melanie Skijus Vice President of Investor Relations