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Real Estate - REIT - Hotel & Motel - NYSE - US
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2015 - Q1
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Executives

Brett Stewart - Vice President of Strategy and Capital Markets Mark W. Brugger - Chief Executive Officer, President and Director Sean M. Mahoney - Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President and Treasurer Robert D. Tanenbaum - Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice President Troy Furbay - Chief Investment Officer and Executive Vice President.

Analysts

Archana Chandrasekhar - Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Austin Wurschmidt - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc. Anthony Powell - Barclays Capital Inc. Richard Hightower - Evercore ISI Shaun Kelley - Bank of America Merrill Lynch William Crow - Raymond James & Associates Wesley Golladay - RBC Capital Markets.

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the First Quarter 2015 DiamondRock Hospitality Company Earnings Conference Call. My name is Lisa, and I will be your operator for today. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session.

[Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now turn the conference over to Mr. Brett Stewart, Vice President, Strategy and Capital Markets. Please proceed sir..

Brett Stewart

Thank you, Lisa. Good morning, everyone and welcome to DiamondRock's First Quarter 2015 Earnings Call and Webcast. Before we begin, I would like to remind participants that many of our comments today are considered forward-looking statements under Federal Securities Law and may not be historical fact. They may not be updated in the future.

These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties as described in the company's SEC filings. In addition, as management discusses certain non-GAAP financial measures, it may be helpful to review the reconciliations to GAAP set forth in our earnings press release.

With me on today’s call Mark Brugger, our Chief Executive Officer, Sean Mahoney, our Chief Financial Officer; Rob Tanenbaum, our Chief Operating Officer; and Troy Furbay, our Chief Investment Officer.

This morning Mark will provide a brief overview of our first quarter results and transaction activities, as well as provide an update on the company’s outlook for the rest of 2015. Sean will then provide greater detail on our first quarter performance and discuss our capital markets activities.

Following their remarks, we will open the line for question. With that I will now turn the call over to Mark..

Mark W. Brugger

Thanks, Brett. Let me start by saying that we are very pleased with our results in this quarter and are encouraged by the continued strength of underlying lodging fundamentals. Demand continues to significantly outpace new lodging supply.

Industry revPAR growth was primarily driven by rate increases, as operators are able to raise rates and improve profitability. We expect the trend to continue throughout this year and beyond. Turning now to our portfolio, we had an excellent quarter and set a new Q1 record for DiamondRock both in terms of revPAR and margins.

Our portfolio revPAR grew almost 8% and was driven primarily by a 4.3% increase in average daily rate. Moreover asset management initiatives continue to take hold and pro forma hotel adjusted EBITDA margins expanded by 140 basis points. 11 of our hotels generated double-digit revPAR growth, almost half of which were 20%.

12 hotels also grew hotel adjusted EBITDA margins by more than 200 basis points during the quarter.

Additionally, despite a challenging first quarter in New York, our New York City assets had various unique catalysts that allowed them to outperform the Manhattan market by approximately 400 basis points, which was consistent with our expectations going into the year and a trend we expect to continue throughout 2015.

Our asset management program continued to shine this quarter, as the team found opportunities to both enhance hotel revenue management strategies and to control expenses across the portfolio. This adds a meaningful driver to our organic growth going forward.

One example of the tremendous success our team has had is at the Westin Fort Lauderdale Beach Resort, a premier beachfront asset we acquired in late2014. Implementing our best practices, we have successfully streamlined the hotel's labor model, eliminating more than 30 managerial positions for $1.5 million in annual savings.

Successfully reconcepting the hotel's main restaurant and reducing food cost collectively saved us another $0.5 million annually.

In total through these initiatives and others, this year alone we expect our asset management team to be able to extract approximately $3 million of cost savings at this hotel and expand profit margins by over 1000 basis points.

The hotel is tracking ahead of our initial underwriting and our purchase price now represents well over an 8% cap rate on forecasted 2015 NOI. Another big focus for the team is on identifying high return on investment opportunities to create shareholder value at our existing assets.

One of the most significantly projects this year was the opportunity to create 41 incremental guest rooms at the Boston Hilton. In the process, we were able to fully renovate approximately 90 guest rooms at the Boston Hilton, which are now substantially complete. These 90 guest rooms sell for a $30 to $50 premium as a premium room type.

Of course, because we added rooms, our gross debts are skewed. The new rooms impacted first-quarter portfolio margins by approximately 12 basis points and will impact full-year portfolio revPAR by approximately 20 basis points due to that higher room count.

Overall, this is exactly the type of low-risk minimal disruption project that we find most attractive to drive value. We are currently pursuing more ROI opportunities in the portfolio to add rooms, including adding eight incremental rooms at our New York City Courtyards and four rooms at the DC Westin.

In Chicago, we completed rooms renovation during the seasonally slow winter of the top five floors, with 175 guest rooms plus all 25 suites. We are now charging a $35 premium for these upgrade rooms.

Additionally, we were able to add two new keys during the process and convert lobby space into a new Marriott prototype for a FMB on-demand outlet that will allow us to provide modified room service and significantly reduce annual room service costs.

We will methodically renovate the balance of the rooms over the next several years during the winters and we don't anticipate any material disruption. Also, we negotiated a structure, whereby Marriott agreed to participate in the cost of the renovation through permanent fee reductions.

For 2015, we were able to reduce management fees by approximately $1.8 million. We appreciate their spirit of partnership. Also in Chicago, we previously announced that were reviewing the brand and management options for the Conrad Chicago.

We are excited to announce that we have concluded that review and that the Conrad Chicago will be converted later this year to be part of Starwood's Luxury Collection. This will be started with only luxury brand representation in the Chicago market and we find that a pretty compelling opportunity for us.

The hotel will be operated by a third-party manager, subject to a franchise agreement. We look forward to sharing more details about our plans for this hotel in the near future as we complete the theming and capital repositioning plan for the hotel. There are numerous other smaller ROI projects that are underway or under evaluation in our portfolio.

One in particular is at the Lexington Hotel, where we are evaluating three separate retail conversion/retenant opportunities to create additional value. As you can see, we really like to exploit opportunities within our existing portfolio.

Turning now to our investment activities during the quarter, we recently acquired the Shorebreak Hotel, a lifestyle hotel located beachfront in Southern California. Upon acquisition, we brought in Kimpton as the new operator.

We paid $58.5 million for the hotel and the hotel is forecasting to run modestly ahead of our underwriting at a 12.4 times multiple on currently forecasted 2015 EBITDA. That's about a half a turn better than underwriting. This acquisition is a great example of the kinds of deals that we are targeting.

It's accretive, it has asset management upside through an operator change, it's located in an attractive West Coast market, and it enhances our brand and geographic diversity. The team will continue to focus on these kinds of deals going forward. Before I turn to our updated outlook for2015, Sean will discuss our first-quarter results in more detail.

Sean..

Sean M. Mahoney

Thanks Mark. Before discussing our first-quarter results, please note that our reported revPAR and margin data are presented on a pro forma basis to include the Shorebreak Hotel as if it was owned for all periods presented and exclude the Hilton Garden Inn Times Square Central, since it was not opened during the comparable period of 2014.

Let me start by reiterating Mark's comments that the first quarter was another outstanding quarter for DiamondRock. Our pro forma revPAR grew 7.9% which significantly exceeded industry upper upscale revPAR growth of 6%.

The top-line outperformance by our ability to increase average rate 4.3% couple with an incremental 2.5 percentage points in occupancy. Our portfolio also generated strong hotel adjusted EBITDA margin growth of 140 basis points during the quarter.

Our margins were positively impacted by ongoing asset management initiatives, such as implementing resort fees in several markets and cost control initiatives across the portfolio. For example, we benefited from recent cost-containment initiatives at the Fort Lauderdale Westin, where profit margin grew an impressive 627 basis points.

The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $48.5 million and adjusted FFO per share of $0.19. Overall, our portfolio benefited from strength in both the business and leisure transient segments, as revenues for these combined segments grew 10.3% during the quarter. Our group business also performed well during the quarter.

Group revenues grew 6.6% driven by a 3.3% increase in rate and a 3.2% increase in group room nights. Our group segment was led by the Boston Westin, the Minneapolis Hilton, and the San Diego Westin, where group revenues grew 29%, 40% and 35% respectively.

Recent positive trends in short-term booking activity continued this quarter, with our portfolio benefiting from approximately 60% in, in the quarter, for the quarter compared to the prior year. Strength in short-term bookings was most notable at the Boston Westin and Fort Lauderdale Westin.

Additionally, the group segment contributed to a 7.9% increase in quarterly banquet and catering revenues, which contributed to the 119 basis points of food and beverage margin expansion. Now, let me spend a few minutes highlighting some truly exceptional individual hotel achievements.

The repositioned Washington DC Westin gained traction in all segments during the quarter, achieving approximately 35% revPAR growth. We expect the hotel to continue gaining market share and outperforming the Washington DC market. The Boston Westin benefited from both increased BCEC activity and strong in-house group.

The BCEC hosted two additional events compared to last year and the hotel leveraged its new meeting space to book multiple in-house groups. The San Diego Westin had an outstanding over 13% revPAR growth and almost 500 basis points of margin expansion.

The hotel group grew revenues over 34% and continues benefit from its recent renovation and repositioning. The Minneapolis Hilton benefited from several large groups during the quarter. The strong group production allowed the hotel to increase revPAR over 25% during the quarter.

The Orlando Airport Marriott outperformed during the quarter, with revPAR growth close to 15%. The hotel benefited from group business with strong F&B spend during the quarter. As a result, group spend at the hotel more than doubled and F&B margins expanded over 1000 basis points.

Finally, the Hotel Rex in San Francisco had another great quarter, with revPAR growth of 24% and hotel adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 627 basis points. We are very bullish on the future of this hotel, which is expected to generate an attractive NOI yield of over 8.5% during 2015.

Partially offsetting the positive trends in the quarter was the challenging operating environment in New York City and expected displacement from the ROI project at the Boston Hilton. We remain confident in the positioning of our New York portfolio, which outperformed market revPAR growth by approximately 400 basis points.

Excluding the Hilton Garden Inn Times Square, our New York portfolio's revPAR contraction was less than 1% which resulted in market share gain of 5.5 percentage points led by 14 percentage point again at the Lexington Hotel.

In addition, we substantially completed the project at the Boston Hilton to renovate approximately 90 rooms, including creating 41 new rooms while the renovation disruption was not significant at DiamondRock and was in line with our expectations, it did reduce our consolidated revPAR growth by approximately 50 basis points.

This is a great project for the company and is expected to generate an IR of approximately 20% and add over $50 million to the hotel’s net asset value. Before turning the call back over to Mark, I would like to touch on our balance sheet, which we believe is among the best in the industry.

Being prudence towards our investors' capital has been a cornerstone of DiamondRock strategy since we founded Company. We have over a decade-long track record of consistently maintaining a straightforward and low-risk balance sheet that has essentially no corporate debt.

This discipline has allowed us to return to over $0.5 billion in cash dividends to our shareholders since our IPO, including the recent 22% increase to our 2015 dividends. Today, we continued to maintain ample liquidity and expect to end the year with over $140 million of unrestricted cash and an undrawn corporate revolver.

Based on our conservative leverage targets, we still have approximately $200 million of investment capacity. Additionally, we expect to reduce our annual interest cost by several million dollars through proactively refinancing our near-term debt maturities, which bear interest at an average rate of approximately 6%.

We have a focused plan to efficiently reduce borrowing costs, extend and stagger the maturity schedule, and expand our pool of unencumbered hotels. The current status of recent financing efforts are as follows.

We recently refinanced the $52.6 million loan secured by the Renaissance Worthington, which bore interest at 5.4%, with a new $85 million 10 year mortgage bearing interest at a fixed rate of 3.66%. The loan proceeds exceed our total investment in the hotel.

We will use the excess proceeds from the Worthington refinancing towards the repayment of the $56.3 million loan secured by the Frenchman's Reef Marriott. This transaction, which is expected to close this month, will increase our unencumbered pool of hotels to 16 with an aggregated cost basis of $1.6 billion.

We are also evaluating refinancing the JW Marriott Cherry Creek, which is expected to close near the end of the second quarter. The existing loan has an outstanding principal balance of approximately $38 million and bears interest at 6.5%, which is significantly above current market.

We expect to significantly increase proceeds and decreased our borrowing costs with this refinancing. We have made great progress in our refinancing initiatives. Our full-year 2015 guidance reflects over $5.5 million in lower interest expense compared to 2014.

In addition, we have an action plan to refinance our remaining debt maturities over the next 12 months. The successful execution of this action plan is expected to reduce 2016 interest expense by an additional $8 million, which represents $0.04 of incremental FFO per share. I will now turn the call back over to Mark..

Mark W. Brugger

Thanks, Sean. With this strong first quarter at DiamondRock and we expect that trend to continue throughout the year. There are a number of unique growth catalysts that we expect to enhance our performance. I will just mention the four most significant drivers.

One, our recent acquisitions have outsized growth opportunities from asset initiatives, particularly at the Westin Fort Lauderdale Beach Resort and the Shorebreak Kimpton Hotel.

Two, upside from our intense asset management initiatives to drive profit margins and mine ROI opportunities, such as the building of a new tent and new ballroom at the Westin Waterfront and the addition of keys at hotels like the Boston Hilton.

Three, lower interest rates or near-term refinancing including the recently refinanced Worthington could result in $8 million to $12 million in interest savings annually starting next year. And four, external growth from carefully deploying our existing investment capacity could add $16 million of annualized EBITDA.

Today, we updated our full-year guidance, our new 2015 guidance is for revPAR growth of 6% to 7% adjusted corporate EBITDA of $264 million to $274 million and adjusted FFO per share in the range of a $1 to $1.02. The new EBITDA and FFO guidance represents an increase from our prior guidance.

I would note that the guidance for income tax expense has increased due to outperformance of our hotels and is expected to increase disproportionate to EBITDA outperformance because of the REIT structure tenant leases. Ironically, the outperformance to underwriting at the Fort Lauderdale hotel is a culprit here.

However, the incremental income tax is not expected to have a cash impact, as the Company has accumulated net operating loss credits as an offset in 2015. I would like to also provide a brief update on our outlook on the New York City market.

This market remains challenging, but we continue to expect our portfolio to significantly outperform the broader market for 2015 by approximately 500basis points.

The largest driver of outperformance will come from the Lexington Hotel, Hotel, which represents over 40% of our investment in New York and continues to ramp from its renovation and rebranding. The Lexington Hotel, as Sean mentioned, gained almost14 points in the first quarter versus its competitive set and delivered 6% revPAR growth.

We also own the newly built and very successful Hilton Garden Inn Times Square which represents another 20% of our New York investment, although it is non-comp until its first anniversary in the fourth quarter. Remarkably the hotel had 63 sellout nights in the first quarter.

In fact, we sold the last few room available this week at a rate of $999 based on compression and finished the last couple days with average rates in excess of $400. This new hotel is tracking strong towards $11 million in EBITDA in 2015, which is a $6 million increase from last year.

The Hilton Garden Inn Chelsea did underperform in the quarter and lost 11 points of market share. Fortunately, that hotel represents less than 9% of our investment in New York.

Part of the challenge there has been getting the right approach to revenue management and as a result we have terminated the current manager and will bring in a new manager in June to help right the ship and regain that lost market share. This hotel represents an opportunity for us going forward.

We would also like to note that revPAR growth for our New York City portfolio accelerated to 4.8% growth in March an encouraging sign as we move further into the year. Before I open up for questions, let me provide a quick update on our investment pipeline.

As previously outlined, we remain committed to prudently deploying our capital into acquisitions that meet our strict investment criteria and create near-term value for our shareholders. We are actively evaluating opportunities, though we remain disciplined when it comes to both price and size.

We have had great success in our recent acquisitions of the Shorebreak, the Westin Fort Lauderdale and the Inn at Key West. The team continues to work the pipeline. We remain disciplined with our remaining $200 million of dry powder.

The pipeline today has several interesting opportunities located in strategic West coast markets Boston and South Florida. However, there is no assurance we will get any of these assets, but we are committed to working hard and being opportunistic.

With that, I would like to sum up by saying that we feel very good about our portfolio, our capital allocation abilities, and the momentum of our asset management initiatives. We are confident that all of these will allow us to continue superior value for our shareholders throughout the lodging cycle.

Our team would now be happy to answer any questions that you have..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from the line of Smedes Rose withCiti. Please proceed..

Archana Chandrasekhar

Hi, this is Archana for Smedes. I was hoping you'd be able to comment little more on New York. Maybe give us some idea of like what you’re seeing in terms of the impact of lower international demand versus like the higher supply.

And maybe if you’re seeing any nontraditional lodging supply coming in that’s affecting the current hotels?.

Mark W. Brugger

Okay. So yes, the first quarter is the lowest demand quarter in New York City. So it's most susceptible to supply. Clearly, there is an impact from supply that we’re facing in the first quarter.

On international, our portfolio does less than 15% international, we are tracking it but some of the data comes after takes couple of months to see some of that data, we are not seeing a significant drop off in international demand at our hotels but there is likely a lag effect and we would anticipate that that would affect the summer - lower end towards travel international demand.

So I note on international for us, Great Britain is our top account which is less susceptible to that change, Canada would be top three and then within our top five, you also have Brazil and some of the other countries. So it’s a mixed bag, I would say we are not seeing impact yet but it would be reasonable that just had a lag effect on that.

On your question about nontraditional sources like Airbnb, it's very difficult to get good data on that, we’re not hearing a lot of anecdotal evidence that that’s impacting us but I will say where we’re seeing in our portfolio particularly is the midweek business transient. We're seeing very good growth at our properties.

We’re actually experiencing good growth on Saturday nights, but the Fridays and Sundays have been challenging and that maybe due to that shadow inventory..

Archana Chandrasekhar

Okay, that's helpful. And you spoke a little bit about like going through the Chicago Marriott renovation.

If you could comment to how you are seeing the citywide -- city convention -- citywide convention calendar pan out for the next for this year and for the next and how the renovations are going to be planned against that, what sort of disruption are we seeing? And do you feel like we'd been losing out a little bit on the fact that the renovations may be against a strong citywide convention calendar year?.

Mark W. Brugger

So on convention calendars, this year is a good year in Chicago, Q1 had two more group, so this is a favourable commencing year, next year the first quarter is more challenging down in Citywide which actually provides an opportunity on the renovation, they have even less disruption.

Although we don’t it is a big hotel, we are moving through the rooms over several years, we don’t anticipate any material disruption from the rooms redo. The convention calendar in 2016 improves after the first quarter and actually strengthens as the year moves on.

So I think we’re well positioned to the advantage of having a big hotel and a seasonal market like Chicago is they have the ability to do rooms renovations during seasonally slow times what minimal disruption..

Archana Chandrasekhar

Okay, that's helpful. And just one last one for me.

In terms of the Conrad now joining like the Luxury Collection, is there some sort of like if the Conrad doesn't meet any - like the minimum standards, if there's a sort of true up or a guarantee that Starwood would kind of have to -- can kind of step in for?.

Mark W. Brugger

I’m not sure I understand the question, so Conrad’s contract expires this year and they will be leaving the hotel.

The Luxury Collection and our third-party manager will be taking over in the fourth quarter, we’re very excited to have Luxury Collection, it’s only Luxury product for Starwood, Starwood has underrepresented the Chicago marketplace and so we think that’s a huge strategic advantage to have our hotel position that way.

And so what we’re excited about that, there is key money involved from Starwood in this transaction but there is no guarantees from Hilton or something like that, that is getting replaced as part of this transaction..

Archana Chandrasekhar

Okay, got it. Great. Thank you..

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Jordan Sadler with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed..

Austin Wurschmidt

Hey, good morning it's Austin Wurschmidt here with Jordan. Just wanted to touch on guidance for a minute. Last quarter, you guys had said that you thought 1Q would come in within the range for the full year, that’s 67%.

Clearly, you guys exceeded the high end of that range, so just curious on your thoughts on maintaining RevPAR guidance for the full year.

Anything that you’re seeing that gives you guys pause, I guess, to increase that full-year number?.

Sean M. Mahoney

Yes obviously we increased the EBITDA and FFO guidance for the year on RevPAR, I think it is important to note that the first quarter is a relatively small - mathematically smaller quarter for us. So the fact that it’s a little higher, RevPAR is necessarily going to move the full year..

Austin Wurschmidt

Fair enough.

And then on in-the-quarter, for-the-quarter, are you guys seeing any continued strength into 2Q that you saw in 1Q?.

Robert D. Tanenbaum

Yes, Austin, it's Rob Tanenbaum.

How are you this morning?.

Austin Wurschmidt

Good, thanks..

Robert D. Tanenbaum

We’re seeing quite little continued growth in the quarter, for the quarter as we saw in Q1 in our booking pace, we are seeing incredible short term business which is allowing our food and beverage contribution to grow as well. So we feel confident in our bookings, just to give you an example we’re seeing growth in our Conrad Hotel.

We’ve hired sales team in house and we’re seeing new bookings coming from that. In the Chicago Marriott, we booked 16,000 rooms in the year - for the year and as that compares to 9000 same time last year. So we’re really pleased to see how the group booking pace is improving..

Austin Wurschmidt

Thanks for the detail. And then just back to the Conrad, I was just curious what sort of the opportunity that you see there.

And sort of how does that hotel stack up currently versus its comp set?.

Sean M. Mahoney

Yes so we think that the hotel is underperformed its potential, it’s a terrific hotel and arguably one of the best locations in Chicago, we’ve never been able to capture a proper marketplace, there is currently over $100 rate differential with the log off down the street, we think there is a ability to capture not all of that but a large portion of that and so we think that there is significant rate outside potential from the brand conversion.

I think it’s important to note Starwood has no other Luxury product at all in the Chicago market. So for them there is a lot of Starwood customers that would look for that and don’t have that alternative now. So we think it will really - it’s a really effective brand for that hotel and we think there is a tremendous amount of potential there..

Austin Wurschmidt

Anything particular on the margin side in terms of upside that you see? And then is there really any risk, I guess, through this transition period until we get to the new operator in place to margins?.

Sean M. Mahoney

Yes I will wrap upon some of that. But when currently the disruption, you’re seeing that it underperformed a little bit in Q1 clearly it will, we now put the sales team and our property out of the Hilton system, so we have much more control over the property.

There shouldn’t be material renovation disruption as we move into this winter with the Phase 1 of the conversion. So we don’t anticipate disruption there and we think effectively switching the brands in the fourth quarter but there might be some noise, we think it will be pretty smooth. As far as the margin upside, I will let Rob jump in on that..

Robert D. Tanenbaum

Certainly so from a rate perspective with the conversion in Q4 allows us to go into the special corporate account season being marketed as a Luxury Collection hotel.

It opens up new opportunities for us, we have a team in place that is being maintained or General Manager, Director of Sales and Director of Finance are all relatively new to the Property and they’ve een focused on this transition. So we don’t see any impact on that from an operational standpoint.

But we see efficiencies throughout our food and beverage as well as garnering new banquet opportunities to further drive our group rates..

Sean M. Mahoney

Austin this is Sean. On our underwriting, we underwrote comparable margins, but the real upside potential here is we are capturing incremental rate which we think will flow nicely to the bottom line but on a nominal margin perspective, we didn’t underwrite significant margin expansion as part of the conversion.

It’s really capturing that higher rated customer out of the Starwood system that we weren’t hoping to capture before and that is something that we’ve been focused over the past years reducing our cost there and the team has done a great job in terms of margin expansion at hotel..

Austin Wurschmidt

Great. Thanks for the detail..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Anthony Powell with Barclays. Please proceed..

Anthony Powell

Hi good morning everyone..

Sean M. Mahoney

Good morning..

Anthony Powell

Have you thought any more about the Boston Westin land option next to the hotel? And what re your thoughts there in potentially proceeding with that option?.

Sean M. Mahoney

It is great question, so the option expires next year, so we are currently as you may, as you know that whole waterfront district has really exploded. And the ability you can see it in our numbers -- the ability to push rate in the transient and the group demand in that waterfront district has increased slightly ahead of our expectation.

So the viability of that has dramatically increased. Additionally, as you know the convention centers going to double hopefully here in the next three years. So we’re very optimistic on the parcel but we are spending now, we did an RFP; we have a developer, we're working with.

We're trying to make sure that we have a great handle in the cost, the way we’ve structured the deal and the pro forma which were in the midst of now and we would hope to update you next call with where we are on that expansion opportunity..

Anthony Powell

All right, great. And just kind of a general industry question. But as an owner of hotels with a lot of different brands, what's your view on potential brand M&A in the space? There's been a lot of chatter, obviously, about various companies exploring alternatives.

And are you in favor, opposed, what is your general outlook there?.

Sean M. Mahoney

I would say, we have no particular insight into brand consolidation. As an owner it is better to have more options and more companies than less options and less companies as we move - as we consider alternative brands, competitions good for owners. But we have no particular insights on M&A or what might occur..

Anthony Powell

Right, okay. That's it for me. Thank you..

Sean M. Mahoney

Thank you, Anthony..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Rich Hightower with Evercore. Please proceed..

Richard Hightower

Hey good morning guys..

Sean M. Mahoney

Good morning Rich..

Richard Hightower

So a couple of questions here. The first one is a point of clarification, Mark. I think you mentioned in the prepared remarks there was an external growth opportunity that could add $16 million of annualized EBITDA.

I just want to be clear, is that within the existing portfolio or does that imply an acquisition opportunity that generates that?.

Mark W. Brugger

By external, so what we’ve said in our prepared remarks is that we have $200 million or so investment capacity. So if we deployed that, we ballpark $60 million of incremental EBITDA from deploying that dry powder..

Richard Hightower

Okay. So I guess that's an 8% EBITDA yield.

I mean are opportunities like that still prevalent at this stage?.

Mark W. Brugger

Well we’ve done three deals in the last six to nine months that are generating returns like that. It depends, it depends on what market, what the growth characteristics are, and a couple of our recent deals have exceeded our expectations. So I don’t know that will be exactly be a number but I think that’s a reasonable approximation..

Richard Hightower

Okay. Thanks for the clarity there. And then actually, I thought you had an interesting comment to one of the other questions about shadow inventory in New York and seeing it on some of those shoulder nights, I guess, on Fridays and Sundays.

Are you able to quantify the occupancy impact you're seeing on those nights of the week that you think is related to Airbnb?.

Mark W. Brugger

Yes there is no data that we could quantify Rich. So we look - we’re seeing where our strength is, what the different customer segments and obviously we have the data on where the strength is and where the challenges are and so we are theorizing based on the data set that we have in front of us what the culprits are.

So one theory is that it is probably more of an impact on Fridays and Sundays. I think Airbnb and so the shadow inventory is not competitive for the core business transient or special corporate. But it would make sense on some of the leisure that it would have more of an impact. But there is no great data to look at that could confirm that..

Richard Hightower

Okay, thanks, Mark. That's helpful. And then one last question. I know you guys have mentioned in the past you've only got maybe one or two what you would consider to be non-core assets that could be potential sale candidates.

Would the Hilton Garden Inn Chelsea potentially fall into that category? Or is that a situation where you want to bring in the new revenue manager and see what the asset can really do before potentially marketing it for sale?.

Mark W. Brugger

Yes I think at this point, we think there is lost market share, we think that there is a real ability to potentially turn it around, get to higher NOI before we talk about monetizing. But they’re out of our New York assets that would be the one that would be most likely be monetized..

Richard Hightower

Okay. That's it for me. Thanks, Mark..

Mark W. Brugger

Got it..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Shaun Kelly with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please proceed..

Shaun Kelley

Hi good morning guys. Thank you for taking my question. I just wanted to follow-up maybe on the Conrad commentary a little bit. You guys gave some good color on the opportunity, but Mark, I think you mentioned how brand competition is good and we're seeing a lot of new announcements in these sort of soft brands or collection brands.

So I'm curious for your thoughts in terms of -- did you look at some of these kind of new concepts out there? And how competitive are some of those and just how do you look at kind of the different opportunities out there right now?.

Mark W. Brugger

It’s a great question, so we looked at every available brand or some that are conflicted but there are number of new brand opportunities.

But we saw what is so compelling about Luxury Collection at the end of the day was the underrepresentation of Starwood generally in the Chicago market but also the fact that we can move into this Luxury segment versus just a nice four star segment. The Starwood has no Luxury product, no St.

Regis and they don’t want to put a Luxury Hotel Starwood with a franchise in place at the top MSA, it just seem like there is a real opportunity to drive rate and capture that high end Starwood customer within Chicago..

Shaun Kelley

And do the soft brands have - I mean how do some of the I guess either ownership restrictions or I guess geographic restrictions apply to the soft brands? Do those - I mean do you get -- will this preclude Starwood from doing another big Luxury asset in Chicago? Just generically I mean for a conference call, how does that sort of work?.

Mark W. Brugger

I would say the trade area restrictions that you get with a soft brand are the same market that you would get with a traditional brand.

So if we are doing a Hilton or we were doing a Curio, we would ask for the same territory and the same length of restriction on that same brand or that same soft brand regardless of whether a soft brand or a traditional brand..

Shaun Kelley

Got it. But it does not necessarily preclude a different brand within the same -- a different brand within I guess the same family, like W or Luxury or St.

Regis wouldn't be precluded by that trade area restriction, right?.

Mark W. Brugger

Traditionally that is the case. Although there are some, there are some agreements out there and Starwood and Marriott both didn’t have some of that, that go open multiple brands, that is unusual..

Shaun Kelley

Got it. Thank you very much for the color..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Bill Crow with Raymond James & Associates. Please proceed..

William Crow

Hey good morning guys.

Let me following up on the Conrad, can you quantify - are you allowed to quantify the key money that you received to make that choice?.

Mark W. Brugger

That is a great question, but we haven’t made it public yet. So we haven’t disclosed it yet, we will in the future but we can’t at this moment..

William Crow

How hard did Hilton fight to retain the Conrad flag?.

Mark W. Brugger

That's a loaded question. I will say we had extensive conversations with senior management of Hilton about what they want to do with their brands, within that market both Conrad and soft brand opportunities that they have within their portfolio and we went through that and we talked to a number of other major brand companies about alternatives.

And at the end of the day, really economics that drove the decision to deliver the highest value to us..

William Crow

Great, great. Just one strategy question, which is you now have, I think, six, seven resort properties, a quarter of your portfolio. How do you think about maintaining that size, that weighting toward resorts as we get later into this - admittedly, we've got a few years left to go in the cycle.

But as you think about the cycle ultimately coming to some sort of an end, how much exposure do you want in the resort sector? Would you buy more at this point?.

Mark W. Brugger

Yes so I guess the way we measure traditional resorts, we are about 15%. All resorts are not created the same. So for instance, if you look at -- I'll give you two examples within our portfolio, if you look at the Inn at Key West, which is a 100 room hotel in Key West, that is a leisure true tourist destination.

It's going to appeal that, if you look at Ford Lauderdale that is very different, a tremendous meeting platform, so while it is a resort, it also has a tremendous ability to play the group recovery as well. So I would say we never want our portfolio to be more than 20%, 25% resorts.

I think we’re pretty bullish on the general thesis that the traveller over the next decade will continue to want experience of travel.

So if they can do a meeting in a place that has a beach or has other things to do like a Vail, we do tremendous business in Vail in the summer with small meetings, we think that that trend is a good trend to ride and we will perform well over the next several years..

William Crow

Great. Thanks for the color..

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Wes Golladay with RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed..

Wesley Golladay

Good morning guys. Looking at the group trends in the first quarter, they were quite strong. I'm wondering what your expectations are for the balance of the year, maybe group revenues as well as F&B revenue growth..

Robert D. Tanenbaum

Sure Wes this is Rob, Q2 we are currently flat to our pace, Q3 is going to be down a bit, but we see an increase in Q4 similar to what other companies are seeing as well. However, we do see the F&B group contribution increasing with our spend, so its going to continue short-term nature of business and also the F&B spend continues to increase..

Wesley Golladay

Okay. And then....

Sean M. Mahoney

Wes this is Sean for some, so we continue as we as we mentioned on the firs on the year end call we expected sort of mid single-digit group revenue increases for the year, we continue to expect mid single-digit revenue increases primarily driven by rate as we sit here today, about 80% of the group business that we expect to book is already booked in definite, so we have pretty good color on where we expect group to end up for the year and so our expectation hasn’t changed from where we started the year.

The first quarter we knew based on our booking activity was going to be good, it was slightly better than we thought because of the in the quarter for the quarter booking activity up 60%, but we feel pretty good about group, but as we mentioned before our real story for 2015 is our ability to drive transient rate and which is really going to drive our portfolio group, this has taken a back seat the transient..

Wesley Golladay

Okay.

And then sticking with that real quick, though, when the groups do get to the hotel, are you finding out they're spending more or are they just more in line with what you expected?.

Sean M. Mahoney

They absolutely spending more room Wes, our group contribution went up in the quarter by 2.5% and we are seeing quite a bit more spend, typically booking at the time of contracting lower minimum and then coming in and spending more upon arrival..

Wesley Golladay

Okay. And then last one for me. You guys gave excellent detail on a lot of the hotels. The one I was looking at was Frenchman's Reef.

What are your expectations this year for that hotel?.

Mark W. Brugger

Yes so for this year we're expecting the hotel to hit our expectations. We had a god first quarter, we slightly shifted our demand base dealing with less group and that group was down 32% which impacted our food and beverage contribution.

However, when you look at close to 90% occupancy, we are really pleased with how the first quarter went there, our second quarter at Frenchman's will be very focused on group as well. So we have a stronger base group for Q2, but overall we think the overall - our stock there would be over $13 million..

Wesley Golladay

Okay. Thanks a lot, guys.

Mark W. Brugger

Thanks Wes. End of Q&A.

Operator

I would now like to turn the presentation over to Mr. Mark Brugger for closing remarks..

Mark W. Brugger

Thank you, operator. To everyone on this call, we appreciate your continued interest in DiamondRock, and look forward to updating you on our next quarter call. Thank you..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen that concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Have a great day..

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