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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. ARI
Real Estate - REIT - Mortgage - NYSE - US
Watchlist
$ 8.28
-5.05 %
$ 1.15 B
Market Cap
-8.54
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one ARI stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 8.28 USD, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is HIDDEN

ARI Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one ARI stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 8.28 USD, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is HIDDEN

ARI Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one ARI stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 8.28 USD, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is HIDDEN

ARI Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW
2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart ARI

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1M -17%
6M -3%
1Y -15%
3Y -13%
5Y 108%
All
$10.0$10.0$9.8$9.8$9.6$9.6$9.4$9.4$9.2$9.2$9.0$9.0$8.8$8.8$8.6$8.6$8.4$8.4$8.2$8.215 Oct15 OctNov '24Nov '2415 Nov15 NovDec '24Dec '2415 Dec15 DecJan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '25
FINANCIALS
304 M REVENUE
6.49%
Growth Rates
1Year 6.49%
3Years 2.95%
5Years -0.73%
7Years 2.52%
10Years 11.64%
274 M OPERATING INCOME
0.00%
Growth Rates
1Year 0.00%
3Years 7.03%
5Years 3.55%
7Years 0.15%
10Years 9.63%
-120 M NET INCOME
-205.82%
Growth Rates
1Year -205.82%
3Years -15.36%
5Years -8.73%
7Years -7.13%
10Years -9.36%
200 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-26.88%
Growth Rates
1Year -26.88%
3Years 0.15%
5Years -6.04%
7Years 3.74%
10Years 11.56%
577 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
743.57%
Growth Rates
1Year 743.57%
3Years 34.36%
5Years 19.16%
7Years 15.85%
10Years 10.24%
-689 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-100.75%
Growth Rates
1Year -100.75%
3Years -16.63%
5Years -7.84%
7Years -15.93%
10Years -6.17%
78 M REVENUE
244.95%
Growth Rates
1Year 6.49%
3Years 2.95%
5Years -0.73%
7Years 2.52%
10Years 11.64%
0 OPERATING INCOME
100.00%
Growth Rates
1Year 0.00%
3Years 7.03%
5Years 3.55%
7Years 0.15%
10Years 9.63%
40.7 M NET INCOME
144.40%
Growth Rates
1Year -205.82%
3Years -15.36%
5Years -8.73%
7Years -7.13%
10Years -9.36%
49.9 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
5.71%
Growth Rates
1Year -26.88%
3Years 0.15%
5Years -6.04%
7Years 3.74%
10Years 11.56%
586 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
184.05%
Growth Rates
1Year 743.57%
3Years 34.36%
5Years 19.16%
7Years 15.85%
10Years 10.24%
-513 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-118.37%
Growth Rates
1Year -100.75%
3Years -16.63%
5Years -7.84%
7Years -15.93%
10Years -6.17%
Balance Sheet Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
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Current Assets 317 M
Cash & Short-Term Investments 317 M
Receivables 0
Other Current Assets 0
Non-Current Assets 0
Long-Term Investments 0
PP&E 0
Other Non-Current Assets 0
100.00 %Total Assets$317.4m
Current Liabilities 4.9 B
Accounts Payable 28.3 M
Short-Term Debt 4.82 B
Other Current Liabilities 46.7 M
Non-Current Liabilities 1.57 B
Long-Term Debt 1.57 B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 0
74.61 %24.23 %Total Liabilities$6.5b
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
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Revenue 304 M
Cost Of Revenue 0
Gross Profit 304 M
Operating Expenses 29.6 M
Operating Income 274 M
Other Expenses 394 M
Net Income -120 M
350m350m300m300m250m250m200m200m150m150m100m100m50m50m00(50m)(50m)(100m)(100m)(150m)(150m)304m0304m(30m)274m(394m)(120m)RevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
100.00% GROSS MARGIN
100.00%
Averages
1Year 100.00%
3Years 39.26%
5Years 55.42%
7Years 64.57%
10Years 71.35%
90.24% OPERATING MARGIN
90.24%
Averages
1Year 90.24%
3Years 271.94%
5Years 180.97%
7Years 155.67%
10Years 143.89%
-39.40% NET MARGIN
-39.40%
Averages
1Year -39.40%
3Years -9.05%
5Years 12.38%
7Years 29.78%
10Years 45.31%
-6.38% ROE
-6.38%
Averages
1Year -6.38%
3Years -1.33%
5Years 1.31%
7Years 3.44%
10Years 4.90%
-1.42% ROA
-1.42%
Averages
1Year -1.42%
3Years -0.28%
5Years 0.41%
7Years 1.39%
10Years 2.28%
113.40% ROIC
113.40%
Averages
1Year 113.40%
3Years 32.29%
5Years 34.87%
7Years -12.06%
10Years -6.79%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
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300m300m250m250m200m200m150m150m100m100m50m50m0020162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income -120 M
Depreciation & Amortization -12.6 M
Capital Expenditures -170 M
Stock-Based Compensation 16.5 M
Change in Working Capital 0
Others 330 M
Free Cash Flow 30.8 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
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ARI has no price targets from Wall Street.
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
3.16% DIVIDEND YIELD
0.25 USD DIVIDEND PER SHARE
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2.002.001.801.801.601.601.401.401.201.201.001.000.800.800.600.600.400.400.200.200.000.000.440.460.460.460.460.40.350.350.350.350.250.440.460.460.460.460.350.350.350.350.350.440.460.460.460.460.350.350.350.350.250.461.780.461.840.461.840.461.840.461.840.351.450.351.400.351.400.351.400.251.200.252015201520162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
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5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 5
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
630 K USD 2
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
461 K USD 2
9-12 MONTHS
690 K USD 3
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
My Dividend Stock Portfolio: New February Dividend Record - 100 Holdings With 11 Buys February investments fell below $1,000, mainly in BDCs like Owl Rock Capital and Ares Capital, boosting annual dividend income by $77. Dividend income hit a new February record of $505, up 5% Y/Y driven by organic dividend growth. Focus remains firmly on maintaining rising BDC dividends and achieving a monthly increase of at least $100 in dividend income. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. Declares Quarterly Common Stock Dividend NEW YORK, March 11, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE:ARI) today announced the Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.25 per share of common stock, which is payable on April 15, 2025 to common stockholders of record on March 31, 2025. About Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NYSE: ARI) is a real estate investment trust that primarily originates, acquires, invests in and manages performing commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings and other commercial real estate-related debt investments. globenewswire.com - 1 month ago
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. Announces 2024 Annual Meeting of Stockholders NEW YORK, March 11, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company” or “ARI”) (NYSE:ARI) today announced the Board of Directors set April 15, 2025 as the record date for the Company's 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. The Annual Meeting of Stockholders will be held virtually on June 10, 2025 at 10:00 am Eastern Time. globenewswire.com - 1 month ago
9.9% Yield, And Magnificent Earnings: Apollo Commercial Earnings lead to a double-digit jump, but will it last? It's time to revisit this downtrodden sector and see what is moving beneath the surface. I collect income while patiently waiting for additional capital gains. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Apollo Commercial: More Than Meets The Eye (Rating Upgrade) Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's dividend cut in 3Q24 improved its dividend pay-out ratio, making the dividend safer and better covered. Despite market challenges, ARI profited from $1.9 billion in new loan originations in 2024, though it faced significant loan losses. ARI's stock is undervalued, selling at a 25% discount to book value, presenting a favorable risk/reward compared to peers like Blackstone Mortgage Trust. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
My Dividend Stock Portfolio: New January Dividend Record - 100 Holdings With 14 Buys January saw solid investment activity with $1,500 in net capital added, primarily into Business Development Companies like Owl Rock Capital, Goldman Sachs BDC, and Blackstone Secured Lending Fund. Dividend income hit a record $814 in January, up 21% Y/Y, driven by ongoing investments in high-yield BDCs, aiming for $11,000 annual net dividends. Focus on maintaining steady BDC dividends and achieving a monthly increase of $100 in dividend income. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NYSE:ARI ) Q4 2024 Results Conference Call February 11, 2025 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Stuart Rothstein - President and Chief Executive Officer Anastasia Mironova - Chief Financial Officer Scott Weiner - Chief Investment Officer Conference Call Participants Rick Shane - JPMorgan Jade Rahmani - KBW Steve Delaney - Citizens JMP Securities John Nickodemus - BTIG Harsh Hemnani - Green Street Operator I'd like to remind everyone that today's call and webcast are being recorded. Please note that they are the property of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. and that any unauthorized broadcast in any form is strictly prohibited. seekingalpha.com - 2 months ago
Apollo Commerical Finance (ARI) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say Although the revenue and EPS for Apollo Commerical Finance (ARI) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended December 2024, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers. zacks.com - 2 months ago
Apollo Commerical Finance (ARI) Tops Q4 Earnings Estimates Apollo Commerical Finance (ARI) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.32 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.23 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.36 per share a year ago. zacks.com - 2 months ago
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Results NEW YORK, Feb. 10, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company” or “ARI”) (NYSE:ARI) today reported results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2024. globenewswire.com - 2 months ago
Analysts Estimate Apollo Commerical Finance (ARI) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for Apollo Commerical Finance (ARI) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations. zacks.com - 2 months ago
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. Announces 2024 Dividend Income Tax Treatment NEW YORK, Jan. 24, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company” or “ARI”) (NYSE:ARI) today announced the estimated federal income tax treatment of the Company's 2024 distributions on its common stock (CUSIP #03762U105) and its 7.25% Series B-1 Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock. globenewswire.com - 2 months ago
8. Profile Summary

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. ARI

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY REIT - Mortgage
MARKET CAP $ 1.15 B
Dividend Yield 3.16%
Description Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments in the United States. It is qualified as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income taxes, if the company distributes at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its stockholders. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in New York, New York.
Contact 9 West 57th Street, New York, NY, 10019 https://www.apolloreit.com
IPO Date Sept. 24, 2009
Employees 0
Officers Mr. Stuart A. Rothstein CPA President, Chief Executive Officer & Director Ms. Hilary M. Ginsberg IR Contact Mr. Scott Weiner Chief Investment Officer