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Ambac Financial Group, Inc. AMBC
Financial Services - Insurance - Specialty - NYSE - US
Watchlist
$ 8.125
1.25 %
$ 415 M
Market Cap
-62.38
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on May, 7, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one AMBC stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 8.12 USD, Ambac Financial Group, Inc. is HIDDEN

AMBC Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW

This DCF valuation model was last updated on May, 7, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one AMBC stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 8.12 USD, Ambac Financial Group, Inc. is HIDDEN

AMBC Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW

This DCF valuation model was last updated on May, 7, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one AMBC stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 8.12 USD, Ambac Financial Group, Inc. is HIDDEN

AMBC Intrinsic Value
HIDDEN
SHOW
2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart AMBC

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1M 11%
6M -52%
1Y -118%
3Y -21%
5Y -69%
All
$14.0$14.0$13.0$13.0$12.0$12.0$11.0$11.0$10.0$10.0$9.0$9.0$8.0$8.0$7.0$7.0$6.0$6.015 Nov15 NovDec '24Dec '2415 Dec15 DecJan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '2515 Apr15 AprMay '25May '25
FINANCIALS
236 M REVENUE
-12.34%
Growth Rates
1Year -12.34%
3Years -1.93%
5Years -13.85%
7Years -12.82%
10Years -5.23%
-50.5 M OPERATING INCOME
-44.66%
Growth Rates
1Year -44.66%
3Years -17.64%
5Years 32.34%
7Years 15.45%
10Years -0.00%
-58.9 M NET INCOME
-1473.03%
Growth Rates
1Year -1473.03%
3Years -54.42%
5Years 22.88%
7Years 21.77%
10Years -1.16%
762 K OPERATING CASH FLOW
-99.62%
Growth Rates
1Year -99.62%
3Years 26.11%
5Years 14.90%
7Years 10.44%
10Years 7.18%
-166 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-38.25%
Growth Rates
1Year -38.25%
3Years -6.69%
5Years -3.13%
7Years -2.38%
10Years -1.23%
194 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
145.91%
Growth Rates
1Year 145.91%
3Years 31.92%
5Years 17.93%
7Years 17.36%
10Years 10.16%
-85.2 M REVENUE
-74.72%
Growth Rates
1Year -12.34%
3Years -1.93%
5Years -13.85%
7Years -12.82%
10Years -5.23%
-60.8 M OPERATING INCOME
0.00%
Growth Rates
1Year -44.66%
3Years -17.64%
5Years 32.34%
7Years 15.45%
10Years -0.00%
-49.9 M NET INCOME
-78.29%
Growth Rates
1Year -1473.03%
3Years -54.42%
5Years 22.88%
7Years 21.77%
10Years -1.16%
-27.2 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-580.95%
Growth Rates
1Year -99.62%
3Years 26.11%
5Years 14.90%
7Years 10.44%
10Years 7.18%
33.6 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
142.04%
Growth Rates
1Year -38.25%
3Years -6.69%
5Years -3.13%
7Years -2.38%
10Years -1.23%
180 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
74.97%
Growth Rates
1Year 145.91%
3Years 31.92%
5Years 17.93%
7Years 17.36%
10Years 10.16%
Balance Sheet Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
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Current Assets 8.32 M
Cash & Short-Term Investments 332 M
Receivables 0
Other Current Assets -324 M
Non-Current Assets 213 M
Long-Term Investments 28.3 M
PP&E 0
Other Non-Current Assets 185 M
149.65 %12.76 %83.49 %Total Assets$221.8m
Current Liabilities 325 M
Accounts Payable 53 M
Short-Term Debt 0
Other Current Liabilities 272 M
Non-Current Liabilities 0
Long-Term Debt 0
Other Non-Current Liabilities 0
16.31 %83.69 %Total Liabilities$324.9m
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
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Revenue 236 M
Cost Of Revenue 0
Gross Profit 236 M
Operating Expenses 296 M
Operating Income -50.5 M
Other Expenses 8.46 M
Net Income -58.9 M
250m250m200m200m150m150m100m100m50m50m00(50m)(50m)(100m)(100m)236m0236m(296m)(50m)(8m)(59m)RevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
100.00% GROSS MARGIN
100.00%
Averages
1Year 100.00%
3Years 100.00%
5Years 100.00%
7Years 100.00%
10Years 100.00%
-21.40% OPERATING MARGIN
-21.40%
Averages
1Year -21.40%
3Years 61.51%
5Years -23.01%
7Years -12.18%
10Years 3.22%
-235.97% NET MARGIN
-235.97%
Averages
1Year -235.97%
3Years -37.20%
5Years -79.63%
7Years -55.53%
10Years -35.06%
-64.94% ROE
-64.94%
Averages
1Year -64.94%
3Years -7.68%
5Years -13.01%
7Years -8.97%
10Years -5.29%
-6.91% ROA
-6.91%
Averages
1Year -6.91%
3Years -0.11%
5Years -0.75%
7Years -0.51%
10Years -0.25%
48.20% ROIC
48.20%
Averages
1Year 48.20%
3Years 19.67%
5Years 11.55%
7Years 8.33%
10Years 6.02%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
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2b2b1b1b500m500m00(500m)(500m)(1b)(1b)(1b)(1b)(2b)(2b)20162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income -58.9 M
Depreciation & Amortization 19.9 M
Capital Expenditures 0
Stock-Based Compensation 9.36 M
Change in Working Capital 15 M
Others 30.4 M
Free Cash Flow 762 K
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
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AMBC has no price targets from Wall Street.
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 8
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
0 USD 0
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
101 K USD 1
6-9 MONTHS
1.65 M USD 6
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
Insurance Expertise, M&A, And Divestures Make Ambac A Buy Ambac Financial Group is significantly undervalued, trading at less than 0.5x its book value and at its lowest PE ratio in a decade. The company expects $420 million from selling its legacy financial guarantee business, potentially boosting liquidity for acquisitions and organic growth. Ambac's deep domain expertise and recent acquisitions are projected to deliver $80 million in EBITDA by 2028, enhancing future operating performance. seekingalpha.com - 2 weeks ago
Ambac to Release First Quarter 2025 Results on May 12, 2025 NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ambac to Release First Quarter 2025 Earnings on May 12, 2025. businesswire.com - 3 weeks ago
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. Provides Update on the Sale of Its Legacy Financial Guarantee Business NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ambac Financial Group Provides Update on the Sale of its Legacy Financial Guarantee Business. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Ambac Announces Meeting and Record Date for 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ambac Announces Meeting and Record Date for 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Ambac: Despite EPS Miss, It's A Growth Company Ambac Financial Group saw a stock decline after an earnings miss for Q4. Such a sell-off overlooks the fundamental improvements: profitable underwriting and the build-out of a higher-ROE distribution platform. The sale of the legacy business remains to be approved by Wisconsin, creating a thorn in AMBC's side for the moment. seekingalpha.com - 2 months ago
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMBC ) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call February 27, 2025 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Charles Sebaski - Managing Director and Head of Investor Relations Claude LeBlanc - President and Chief Executive Officer David Trick - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Deepak Sarpangal - Repertoire Partners LP Operator Ladies and gentlemen, good morning, and welcome to the Ambac Financial Group Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. seekingalpha.com - 2 months ago
Ambac Financial: Don't Get Lost In The Weeds; It's Working Ambac Financial Group has shifted from guarantee insurance to specialty property-casualty insurance and distribution. Despite a drop in tangible book value per share, the sale of the legacy business and recent acquisitions are expected to improve financials and boost earnings. Ambac Financial faces risks from recent hurricanes and potential delays in the legacy business sale approval, but overall outlook remains positive. seekingalpha.com - 4 months ago
Ambac Financial Group Inc (AMBC) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript Ambac Financial Group Inc (NYSE:AMBC ) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call November 13, 2024 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Charles Sebaski - MD & Head of Investor Relation Claude LeBlanc - President, CEO & Director David Trick - Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer Conference Call Participants Mark Hughes - Truist Securities Dennis Chua - Repertoire Partners Harry Fong - Roth MKM Operator Greetings, and welcome to Ambac Financial Group, Inc. Third quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. seekingalpha.com - 6 months ago
Beat Capital Partners launches proRISE Insurance Services with A+ rated Capacity, Specializing in SME Management and Professional Liability Insurance CHARLOTTE, N.C.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Beat Capital Partners launches proRISE Insurance Services. businesswire.com - 7 months ago
New Strong Sell Stocks for September 19th AZUL, ARCH and AMBC have been added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on September 19 2024. zacks.com - 7 months ago
Ambac Financial Group Will Be Better Positioned Once Sale Of Financial Guarantee Business Closes, Analyst Says After declining since the beginning of 2024, shares of Ambac Financial Group, Inc. AMBC have risen by almost 10% over the past five trading sessions. benzinga.com - 8 months ago
New Strong Sell Stocks for September 4th AMBC, BZH and PMTS have been added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on September 4, 2024. zacks.com - 8 months ago
8. Profile Summary

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. AMBC

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Insurance - Specialty
MARKET CAP $ 415 M
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Description Ambac Financial Group, Inc., a financial services holding company, provides financial guarantees in the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, Austria, Australia, France, and Internationally. It offers financial guarantee insurance policies; specialty property & casualty program insurance; credit derivative contracts; and interest rate derivative transactions, as well as managing general agency / underwriting services. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Contact One World Trade Center, New York, NY, 10007 https://www.ambac.com
IPO Date May 1, 2013
Employees 380
Officers Mr. David Trick Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer Mr. Miguel Antonio Sanchez Managing Director of Ambac UK & Europe Mr. David Peter Barranco Senior MD & Head of Risk Management Mr. Claude L. LeBlanc CPA President, Chief Executive Officer & Director Mr. Stephen Michael Ksenak Senior MD & General Counsel Mr. Daniel Matthew McGinnis C.P.C.U. Senior MD & Chief Operating Officer Mr. Robert Bryan Eisman Senior MD, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller Mr. Charles Joseph Sebaski MD & Head of Investor Relation Kate Smith Director of Corporate Communications Ms. Rhonta Sharon Smith Executive Vice President & Chief Strategy Officer