Good morning and thank you for attending today's SoFi's Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference call. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call with an opportunity for questions-and-answers at the end.

[Operator Instruction] At this time, I would now like to turn the conference over to our host, Maura Cyr from SoFi Investor Relations. Maura, please proceed..

Thank you, and good morning. Welcome to SoFi's second quarter 2023 earnings conference call. Joining me today to talk about our results and recent events are Anthony Noto, CEO, and Chris Lapointe, CFO. You can find the presentation accompanying our earnings release on the Investor Relations section of our website.

Our remarks today will include forward-looking statements that are based on our current expectations and forecasts, and involve risks and uncertainties.

These statements include, but are not limited to our competitive advantage and strategy, macroeconomic conditions and outlook, future products and services, and future business and financial performance. Our actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements.

Factors that could cause these results to differ materially are described in today's press release and our most recent Form 10-K as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, as well as our subsequent filings made with the SEC, including our upcoming Form 10-Q.

Any forward-looking statements that we make on this call are based on assumptions as of today. We undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events. And now, I'd like to turn the call over to Anthony..

growth in new verticals segments, most notably B2B partners; new products; and new geographies, as well as a focus on partners with large existing customer bases with more durable revenue streams and growth prospects.

In Q2, Galileo signed five new clients and made significant strides against this strategy with 100% of new signed clients bring existing customer bases or portfolios, which drives much faster time to revenue generation compared to a start-up company.

Along with the growing pipeline of joint opportunities, selling combined Galileo and Technisys offerings into expanded customer base. Technisys saw record revenue in this quarter and continued to make strides towards continued growth bringing four clients live within the quarter.

We've also experienced great product uptake in new products such as our Payments Risk Platform product, which helps reduce transaction fraud by leveraging our unique data and algorithms, as well as Konecta, our natural language AI-driven chatbot, which provides faster resolution of customer contacts and reduce contacts per customer for our partners as well as SoFi brands.

I'll finish here by saying how proud I am of our team's relentless ability, to not just persevere through the disruption and volatility of the Financial Services industry in the first half of the year, but to deliver record results driven by the [very] (ph) businesses that were vulnerable to that volatility and our Technology Platform and Financial Services segments.

I could not feel more blessed by our great team's ability to execute and importantly our over six million members that have been so critical in making our vision of being a one stop shop for all of your financial needs to become such an amazing reality.

With that let me turn it over to Chris for a review of the financials for the quarter and our outlook..

Thanks, Anthony. Overall, we had a great quarter with growth trends across the entire business. We achieved record revenue and adjusted EBITDA despite operating in a rapidly evolving macro backdrop amidst notable Financial Services industry headwinds.

I'm going to walk you through some key financial highlights for the quarter, and then share some color on our financial outlook. Unless otherwise stated, I'll be referring to adjusted results for the second quarter of 2023 versus second quarter of 2022.

Our GAAP consolidated income statement and all reconciliations can be found in today's earnings release and the subsequent 10-Q filing, which will be made available next week.

For the quarter, top line growth remains strong as we delivered record adjusted net revenue of $489 million, up 37% year-over-year and 6% sequentially from the first quarter's record of $460 million and above our Q2 guidance of $470 million to $480 million.

Adjusted EBITDA was $77 million at a 16% margin, also above the high end of our most recent guidance of $50 million to $60 million, and ahead of the prior record quarter. This represented 10 points of year-over-year margin improvement demonstrating significant operating leverage across all functional expense lines.

In fact, sales and marketing declined as a percentage of revenue for the sixth consecutive quarter with marketing intensity approximately 300 basis points lower relative to Q2, 2022. Overall, this resulted in a 43% incremental adjusted EBITDA margin year-over-year.

Our GAAP net losses were $48 million this quarter, which is a $48 million improvement year-over-year. We saw a notable year-over-year leverage in stock based compensation with SBC dropping to 15.5% of adjusted net revenue versus 23% in the prior year period.

Incremental GAAP net income margin was 36% for the quarter, which represents further progress toward our expectation of GAAP net income profitability in Q4 of 2023. Now on to the segment level performance, where we saw a strong year-over-year growth across all three segments.

In Lending, second quarter adjusted net revenue grew 29% year-over-year to $322 million. Results were driven by a 103% year-over-year growth in our net interest income, while non-interest income was down 30%.

Growth in net interest income was driven by a 17% year-over-year increase in average interest earning assets and a 289 basis point year-over-year increase in average yields, resulting in a net interest margin of 5.74% for the quarter, which is a 50 basis point expansion year-over-year and importantly a 26 basis point expansion versus Q1, 2023.

I'd also highlight our $2.7 billion of deposit growth in the quarter compared to the $2.4 billion of net loan growth on the balance sheet period-over-period.

With 216 basis-points of cost savings between our deposits on our warehouse facilities, this has resulted in a meaningful benefit to our net interest margin and has underscored the advantage of holding loans on the balance sheet and collecting net interest income.

Looking forward, we expect to maintain a very healthy net interest margin as a result of two things. First, the mix of funding will continue to move towards deposits. And second, we expect to continue to pass on benchmark rate increases for new loan originations to our weighted average coupon.

On the non-interest income side, Q2 originations grew 37% year-over-year to $4.4 billion and were driven by record volumes in our personal loans business, which grew 51% year-over-year to $3.7 billion.

However, student loan originations were down 1% year-over-year and home loans by 27% year-over-year as macro factors continue to provide headwinds to these businesses. In the second quarter, we sold portions of our personal loan, student loan, and home loan portfolios.

In terms of execution levels on these sales in the personal loans business, we executed a sale at 104.1% excluding hedges and 104.5% including hedges. For student loans, we executed at 101.5% excluding hedges, and north of 104% including hedges. For home loans, we executed at 101.2% excluding hedges and north of 102% including hedges.

This quarter, we maintained our stringent credit standards and disciplined focus on quality, which has led to a continued strong credit performance. Our personal loan borrowers' weighted average income is $164,000 with a weighted average FICO score of 745.

Our student loan borrowers' weighted average income is $163,000 with a weighted average FICO of 768. Our on-balance sheet delinquency rates and charge off rates remain healthy and are still below pre COVID levels.

Our on-balance sheet 90 day personal loan delinquency rate was 40 basis points in Q2 2023, while our annualized personal loan charge off rate was down sequentially to 2.94%. Our on-balance sheet 90 day student loan delinquency rate was 13 basis points in Q2 2023, while our annualized student loan charge off rate was 42 basis points.

We continue to expect very healthy performance relative to broader industry levels. The Lending business delivered $183 million of contribution profit at a 57% margin, up from $142 million a year-ago, also at 57% margin.

Shifting to our Tech Platform, where we delivered record net revenue of $88 million in the quarter, up 4% year-over-year and 13% sequentially. Overall, annual revenue growth was driven primarily by Galileo account growth to a $129 million in total. We also signed nine new clients across the platform.

The segment delivered a contribution profit of $17 million representing a 20% margin, which is up quarter-over-quarter. Notably, as we expect to see an acceleration in year-over-year Technology Platform segment revenue growth by Q4, we also anticipate continued margin expansion.

Moving on to Financial Services, where net revenue of $98 million increased 223% year-over-year, with new all-time high revenue for SoFi Money and continued strong contributions from SoFi Credit Card, SoFi Invest, and lending-as-a-service.

Overall monetization continues to improve with annualized revenue per product reaching $50, more than double the same prior year period and up over 9% sequentially. We reached $7.9 million financial services products in the quarter, which is up 47% year-over-year.

And we continue to see strong quarterly product adds with 759,000 new products in the segment versus the prior quarter at 584,000 new adds. We hit nearly 2.7 million products in SoFi Money, 2.3 million in SoFi Invest and 2.6 million in Relay.

Contribution losses were $4 million for the quarter, which improved by over $49 million year-over-year and nearly $20 million sequentially as we start to see operating leverage in the segment. We continue to expect positive contribution in the segment by Q4 of 2023.

Switching to our balance sheet, where we remain very well-capitalized with ample cash and excess liquidity. Having SoFi Bank further reinforces our strong balance sheet and provides us with more flexibility and access to a lower cost of capital relative to alternative sources of funding.

In Q2, assets grew by $3.1 billion as a result of a $528 million increase in cash and cash equivalents, highlighting our strong liquidity position and access to cash, as well as adding loans to the balance sheet, given the impressive growth we continue to see in the personal loan's originations.

On the liability side of the balance sheet, we saw significant growth in deposits, as they grew to nearly $13 billion up $2.7 billion sequentially versus $2.7 billion in the prior quarter and $2.3 billion in Q4 of 2022. Because of this, we exited the quarter with $4 million drawn on our $8.5 billion of warehouse facilities.

In addition, in the second quarter, we extended our corporate revolver for another five years and upsides it to $645 million. This further highlights our strong liquidity position, particularly in the current market environment.

In terms of our regulatory capital ratios, our total capital ratio of 16% as of the end of the quarter remains comfortably above the regulatory minimum. Let me finish up with guidance.

Throughout the last 12 months, we have demonstrated the benefit of having a diversified high growth set of revenue streams, multiple cost efficient sources of capital, a keen focus on underwriting high quality credit and a high degree of operating leverage as we scale the business.

We expect those benefits to persist going forward even in light of the existing macro backdrop. In the second half of the year, we expect to deliver $1.025 billion to $1.085 billion of adjusted net revenue and $180 million to $190 million of adjusted EBITDA, with a more significant portion of the revenue and EBITDA expected to be generated in Q4.

As we move toward expected GAAP net income profitability in the fourth quarter, we expect stock-based compensation and depreciation and amortization expenses to be slightly higher than reported Q2 levels in both the third quarter and fourth quarter of the year.

This guidance implies full-year 2023 revenues of $1.974 billion to $2.034 billion above our prior guidance of $1.955 billion to $2.02 billion. Our second half guidance implies full year 2023 adjusted EBITDA of $333 million to $343 million above our prior guidance of $268 million to $288 million.

This represents a 40% to 44% incremental adjusted EBITDA margin for the full year. Overall, we couldn't be more proud of our Q2 results and continued progress.

Having delivered $489 million of adjusted net revenue and $77 million of adjusted EBITDA, we continue to make great progress against our long-term growth objectives and remain very well-capitalized to continue pursuing our ultimate goal of making SoFi a top financial institution. With that, let's begin the Q&A..

We'll now open the lines for Q&A [Operator Instruction]. Our first question comes from John Hecht from Jefferies. John, your line is now open. Please go ahead..

Thank you. Thanks, guys. Good morning and congratulations on a great quarter. Chris, you gave a few details about some sales of different categories of loans, maybe give us a little bit more on the execution, the details on the execution of those sales..

Hey, John. So in aggregate, we ended up doing about $340 million of whole loan sales in the quarter. Our PL whole loan sale was a $50 million sale and execution level of 104.1%, excluding hedge gains in period and it was 104.5% including hedge against. As of the end of Q2, the PL book was marked at 104.1%.

Our student loan sale was a $100 million sale and execution level at 101.5%, excluding hedges, and about 1.4% including hedges. At the end of Q2, the student loan book was marked at about 101.9%.

But what I would say is the important thing to note here is that $100 million sale were in-school loans was significantly lower weighted-average lives than the overall portfolio. So they have lower value. However, these specific loans were sold at a higher execution than where they were marked.

The remaining $190 million of sales were home loans at an execution of 101.3% excluding hedges, and north of 1.2% including hedges. And as of the end of Q2, the home loans book was marked at 89.2%.

As discussed in the past, we remain very well-capitalized, we raised $3.6 billion in 2021, we had access to over $8.5 billion of warehouse lines, only $4 billion of which is currently drawn, and our bank deposit base of nearly $13 billion is really growing quite nicely.

Given this flexibility, we'll always maximize returns on loans that we originate as well as the overall firm ROE, and that's going to take different forms given any -- given the market environment that we're operating in at the time.

This quarter, we ended up doing a few small sales to keep channels open, but we remain very focused on maximizing returns, which means holding these loans for a longer period of time..

Okay. That's great. Thank you for those details. Second, and maybe for Anthony, I mean, still a lot of momentum in new customer adds. Maybe talk about the channels, is there any mix shift in where you're finding these customers and how you're finding the customers and any change in characteristics of the new customers..

Yes. Thank you, John. For the last 5.5 years, our number one objective in marketing has been to build our native brand awareness. Unaided brand awareness is measured, when you ask 100 people when you need to financial services product, who do you think of? And when we joined the company in 2018, two out of 100 would say SoFi.

We've had our unaided brand awareness reach high single digits. It bounces around a little bit, but it's a pretty Herculean effort to go from 2% to high single digits. And the top banks in the country, top five banks in the country are anywhere between 20% and 30%.

As we drive that unaided brand awareness, we're building trust, we're becoming a household brand name. Parallel to that, we're doing digital marketing, we're doing other forms of traditional marketing to try to optimize our customer acquisition cost and scale our customer -- our member growth as well as our product growth.

And I think this quarter is the first quarter that I can say, I feel really confident the flywheel is really working. And what I mean by that is, we're seeing efficiencies in our customer acquisition cost.

And those efficiencies are really more correlated with the unaided brand awareness being increased in addition to the fact that our marketing and product teams are iterating every day through technology and content information analytics to drive those efficiencies.

One of the reasons that we're going to be able to achieve contribution profitability in the Financial Services segment, which we're still spending a vast amount of money on acquisition doesn't pay payback for 12 or 24 months is because we're ruling out the unit economics and the customer acquisition cost, therefore we're starting to fill the benefits of reality, we're starting to feel the benefits of efficiency by product, and then, of course, the cross buying at the same time that our monetization is improving.

So I wouldn't point to one specific channel or one specific effort. It's the holistic approach that we've taken over the last 5.5 years that is really starting to pay off in the quarter and as we look into Q3 as well..

Thank you. [Operator Instruction] Our next question comes from Dan Dolev from Mizuho. Dan, your line is now open. Please go-ahead..

Hey, Chris, great results, really amazing. I do have one question only, which is, I noticed that the non-interest income in Lending declined this quarter. Can you give us some color on why that's going on? Thank you..

Hey, Dan. So the non-interest income declined sequentially, and that was a function of fair market value write-downs, which was due to increases in interest rates. And we also had an increase in absolute dollar amount of PL write-offs.

Now, while our dollar charge-offs were up sequentially, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, our annualized charge-off rate in the quarter for our Personal Loans business was 2.94%, which was down from what it was in Q1.

As we've discussed in this current market environment, we do expect net interest income to contribute more meaningfully to the Lending segment revenue. That's because we're seeing a much better return by holding loans for a longer period of time and generating net interest income versus selling or generating near-term monetization opportunities.

Now specifically speaking about the fair market value write-down, the marks on our loans across all products ended up decreasing period-over-period. In the Personal Loans business specifically, the fair market value mark decreased from 104.3% to 104.1%, so it's down 20 basis points.

This was a function of the discount rate increasing by 60 basis points to 6.1%. And that was a function of the two-year treasury swap rate, increasing by about 69 basis points and spreads tightening by 10 basis points as a result of secondary trade observations.

This was partially offset by the portfolio weighted-average coupon increasing by 40 basis point to 13.6% and the conditional prepayment rate assumption decreasing by 10 basis points to 19%. The annual default rate in our assumptions in the mark remained at 4.6%, which was the same as Q1.

The one thing that's important to note here is the actual realized Q2 annual default rate was 2.94%, down from the prior quarter. That means what we were actually observing in terms of losses in the quarter are 166 basis points per year or 250 basis points over the life of the loans below what is embedded in our current mark of 104.1%.

In the Student Loan business, the fair market value mark decreased from on 101.6% to 101.9%, so it was down 70 basis points sequentially. This was a function of a few things, first, the discount rate ended up increasing by 30 basis points to 4.4%.

That was a function of the benchmark rate increasing by 50 basis points and spreads tightening by about 20 basis points. Second, the CDR embedded in the mark increased by 10 basis points to 50 basis points. And then third, the CPR embedded in the mark increased by 20 basis points to 10.6%.

Collectively, these were partially offset by the portfolio weighted-average coupon increasing by 10 basis points to 5%. Important thing to note here is that the actual realized Q2 annual default rate was 40 basis points.

That means, what we're actually observing in terms of losses are 10 basis points per year or 50 basis points over the life of loan below what is embedded in the current mark of 101.9%..

Thank you. Our next question comes from Mike Perito from KBW. Mike, your line is now open. Please proceed with your question..

Hey, Anthony, Chris, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I wanted to switch gears a little and ask a question about the balance sheet.

I was just wondering when you think about the 2H guide and the full year guide, Chris, I mean, can you maybe give us a little bit of a sense of, what type of balance sheet growth you expect? I mean, there's -- the capital ratios are still fairly healthy today.

But continue to move down, is it fair to think that with the elongated whole period on some loans there'll be some more amortization, and then the balance sheet rate of growth should slow from here? Even with strong origination, it's expected to continue? Or how are you guys thinking about that?.

Yeah. Sure. What I would say in terms of overall growth from an asset perspective, I would expect similar growth to what we've seen over the course of the last few quarters. But we are seeing an uptick obviously in the amortization down as a result of the pay downs. And then on the liability side, we are expecting continued healthy growth from deposits.

We will be able to grow this quarter over $2 billion, but we're expecting to grow over $2 billion, again. So net-net, you could see similar growth in the balance sheet relative to what you saw this past quarter.

In terms of capital ratios that you mentioned, those remain extremely healthy in the mid-teens across the board and we have sufficient capital to deploy..

Operator, next question?.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Kevin Barker from Piper Sandler. Kevin, your line is now open. Please proceed..

Good morning. Thank you. I'd like to follow up on the NIM. Obviously, is it really strong this quarter as you continue to grow, particularly with the personal loans, becoming a real driver of that and the yields that you've been seeing there. Now, as we look into the end of the year, we expect student loan refis to pick-up.

Would you expect a little bit of pressure on the net interest margin as you transition more towards student lending versus personal lending? Or do you feel like the growth maybe could accelerate on the asset side just given a pickup in refis from student loans, coupled with momentum on the personal loan side?.

So what I would say in terms of Q3, we do expect NIM margins to remain very healthy. But we are taking a conservative view.

And that's what's embedded in our overall guidance in the back half of the year, given the potential increases in cost of funds and various pricing strategies as well as the mix shift in our loan originations to student loan refinancings, particularly in Q4.

As you know that there is a lag between how we price our loans relative to when the Fed moves rates, given that we price to the forward curve, which impacts our cost of funds once the Fed increases. But we do anticipate being able to maintain very healthy NIM margins, as you saw, they were up sequentially to 5.74% this quarter..

All right. Thank you, Chris..

Thank you. Our next question comes from Andrew Jeffrey from Truist. Andrew, your line is now open. Please go ahead..

Thanks. Good morning. Appreciate you taking the questions. The deposit growth is super impressive and remained strong and obviously, a real source of differentiation. I wonder, Chris and/or Anthony, if you could comment just on couple of aspects of that.

One, sort of the sustainability or in fact, potential for acceleration I think, especially given the fragmentation of the banking industry and the introduction of Fed now.

And just two, how do you view that very high or market high APY, I mean, sustainability thereof as you see more competition from similarly high yielding accounts out there from other providers?.

Yeah. We're super excited about the progress that we've made over the last year and a half of having the ability to set our own APY and SoFi Money and then to benefit for those high quality deposits to lower our cost of funds on the Lending side, which is really causing the whole P&L to the work well together and a clear competitive advantage.

As it relates to deposits, 90% of our deposits or consumer deposits are from direct deposit customers, which is a heck of an achievement, given that we're adding $2 billion dollars plus a quarter.

We want to make sure that we have a primary relationship with our members, given our strategy of building a relationship with them in their first product and building that trust and reliability, so if they needs a second product they come to SoFi.

So we're going to continue to be very purposeful and focused on high quality deposits and high quality growth. We're comfortable that we continue to add $2 billion of deposits a quarter on the back of member acquisition on SoFi Money. We're also confident that we can continue to compete with anyone on APY. That's a rationale company.

And what I mean by that is, we are very unique in that. When we bring in deposits at that 4.4% APY that you get without fees, those deposits have been funding businesses that have an even higher yield are against them in our origination platform.

Many of the people that compete in the APY top tier that we compete in do not have that same origination platform and can't generate the same type of yield off of the deposits that we can. And so we have an advantage as it relates to being both an originator of loans and obviously a bank with the deposits that are insured, up to $2 million.

In addition to that, we also have the benefit of those Money members coming in and buying another product that has great variable profitability and even better when we don't pay for that customer acquisition cost. So for example, illustratively, these aren't the exact numbers.

Let's say, we make about $700 in variable profit on the loan, and the customer acquisition cost for that loan is also $700, which is taken out of that variable profit, if someone cross buys into that loan product for Money, we acquire the Money customer at less than $50, less than $25 often, they cross buy and the profitability of that loan goes from $700 to $1,400.

So there's great leverage there. We haven't begun to leverage that type of benefit in terms of thinking about the APY. We're really excited that when rates start to decline and other banks can't maintain the level of APY that we can, how competitive we can be versus them.

So, we're going to maintain high quality deposit acquisition, we are going to leverage our competitive advantage to stay at the top tier of that APY and just make sure we focus on quality over quantity..

Thank you. Our next question comes from Mihir Bhatia from Bank of America. Mihir, your line is now open. Please go ahead..

All right. Good morning and thank you for taking my question. I wanted to really go back to the discussion about the Financial Services Productivity Loop for a second.

I was just wondering if you could just talk a little bit more about that, specifically, when you look at Slide 7, is there a specific ratio where you expect that ratio of financial service products to lending products stabilized around? Obviously, products per member seems to have stabilized right now around this 1.5 mark, which -- very impressive given the growth in members.

But just wondering about, just the other ratios. And relatedly, if you could also just talk about the major cross buy channels that you currently have and how you see that evolving? Thank you..

While we're growing our member base at -- this quarter it was 44% with a record number of member adds. While we're growing the member base so quickly, that's in the denominator, it's unlikely that the 1.5 products per member that you're using for total products and total members is going to go up.

In fact, I think it's a hurricane effort that it's actually stayed stable at 1.5. Typically, if your member base, the denominator is growing that fast, it would put pressure on the portion of 1.5. And then over-time as the member base slow the product growth would accelerate, and that number will start to go up. We're at 1.5 today.

The numerator is growing very fast. The denominator is growing very fast. I'd say I expect it to stay in about that range. I wouldn't expect them to start to move-up until the member growth really slowly quite meaningfully, because there is a lag between when a member comes onto the platform and when they take out a second product.

And so it's really significant that we're maintaining that 1.5. Over-time my hope would be that they have three, four or five products with us, hopefully they have every product they have with us. We want that lifetime relationship to be with them for all their needs.

And so we're going to continue to not just build trust with them, but add product to watch them. So we can be there for all of the major decision that they make, and all the days in between.

As it relates to the cross buy channels, we provide that slide in the investor deck that kind of gives you a sense for the products with the highest scale and the most data are the products that are the best that driving cross buy.

So if we have a primary relationship with the SoFi Money member and we have their direct deposit, we see what bills they are paying, we see what loans they are paying, we see if they have excess cash that should be invested in [indiscernible] outside of just yielding on the savings account.

We see if they're not able to generate discretionary spend that should be invested. If they're not investing in their 20s, it's really hard for them to get to the point that they're financially independent to catch up later on.

And so, that primary relationship gives us really great data about their mortgage, about student loans, about budgeting so we can help them get their money right. The Relay product is something we don't talk about that frequently because it doesn't directly drive revenue.

But it's also a big contributor to cross buy and a huge contributor on the data side. I have all my of accounts, all of my credit cards, savings accounts, checking accounts across my entire family connected.

And I can see real-time in Relay every transaction that's happening with any of my money anywhere it not only gives me great insight on how to budget, but also gives me good insight and what are the areas of inefficiency that I can drive favorable budgetary decisions behind, not to mention, we also get mortgages through Relay, we also get still student loans through Relay, and then, of course, credit cards and refinancing of personal loans..

Thank you. Our next question comes from Eugene Simuni from MoffettNathanson. Eugene, your line is now open. Please go ahead..

Thank you. Good morning, guys. Congrats on the strong results. I wanted to ask about student loans. Obviously, we're coming close to the end of the moratorium.

So would be great to hear your latest perspective on the level of demand we can expect for refis in Q4 as you're kind of staring at your specific demographic that you're targeting, so been more affluent customers and the level of interest rates that we are at today?.

So why don't we start-off by sort of giving one number and also our point of view on student loan refinancing. We're really happy for the American people in that our administration has made a decision on the outlook for student loans, so families can plan accordingly. It is going to be a huge burden for many of them.

And the more they know, the better they can plan for the future and we're here to help them in any way that we can. There's over 40 million Americans that still have federal student loans. Think about that number, 40 million Americans. We haven't even refinanced 1 million student loans in our history.

In SoFi's entire history, we have not refinanced more than 1 million student loan -- federal loans including private student loans. And so the opportunity in front of us starts with 40 million, and then you can break it down from there based on demographics, based on interest rate, based on term to kind of understand the addressable market.

Chris will walk you through sort of our assumptions. One of the biggest points people really need to remember is that, market is very large and people have various different budgetary constraints. Some may refinance at a lower rate and therefore save based on interest rate and some may refinance just to lower their monthly payment.

Because there's no penalty for prepaying, there's no penalty for refinancing multiple times. You have no closing costs, no origination fees, no fees tied to it.

So if someone needs to create a little bit of cushion in their budget by going from a $500 payment a month to $250, they can do that with no consequences because as rates do come down, they can then refinance again. If rates don't come down, but they want to pay it off in the same term, they can prepay each month more than they're supposed to.

So it will be interesting to see what happens over the next six months. And I'm sure that it'll be a battleground for many of you talking about what the outlook is. But over the next 10 years, I think it's an exciting opportunity. And we're glad to be back in the business..

Yes. So specifically related to our H2 guidance, our outlook currently assumes that we're going to be operating at our current run-rate origination levels in the student loan refinancing business until September. After September, we do believe there will be a recovery to higher levels of student loan refinancing revenue than the current trend.

But we do not expect to return to pre-COVID levels in 2023..

Thank you. Our next question comes from Mike Wang from Goldman Sachs. Michael, your line is now open. Please go ahead..

Hey, good morning. Thank you very much for the question. I was just wondering if you could provide a little bit more color on your expectation that a bigger portion of the revenue and EBITDA is going to be more 4Q weighted.

What are some of the key assumptions around that? Is that just the student loan assumptions you just laid out? And then just as a quick follow-up, I was wondering if you could just let us know if the ODDITY IPO has any impact to Financial Services' revenue and profits.

If I recall, I think when you guys did the retail distribution for Rivian and Nubank, there was a little bit of an uplift there. But any thoughts there would be helpful. Thank you..

Sure. So as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, from a phasing perspective, we expect more robust revenue and EBITDA generation in Q4 versus Q3. We aren't providing detailed segment level guidance.

But one thing I will say is that we expect relatively flattish Q3 revenue in our Tech Platform, ahead of an acceleration in growth in Q4, and additional strength in the latter part of the year from our student loan refinancing business.

In terms of profit trends, we're going to be front-loading marketing investments with sequential EBITDA expected to be marginally above where consensus is today for Q3 at $58 million. And we expect to see more of a ramp in Q4 EBITDA and achieved GAAP profitability in Q4. And yes, ODDITY IPO..

Yes, on the ODDITY IPO, that we do get fees in these IPOs, they're not that material.

The ODDITY IPO is a very big differentiator for our members that have Invest accounts that are members that open Invest accounts in that we're the only place that you can buy that in retail at IPO prices and we really benefit from having that unique selection and acquisition and also AUM, which then leads to revenue.

So there is some direct revenue from underwriting or it's being a selling agents. But the bigger benefit is the growth in members and growth in the AUM..

Thank you. Our next question comes from Reggie Smith from J.P. Morgan. Reggie to your line is now open. Please proceed..

Hey, good morning. And congrats on the quarter. Two quick questions. The first for Anthony. You talked about becoming a top 10 bank, and I was curious how you define and measure that. And the second question for Chris real quick. I appreciate the disclosure on the loan sales.

I was curious, on those personal loans you definitely related the price back to you mark. I was curious what the APR was on those. Is it similar to the broader portfolio at 13.6% or is it higher or lower? Thank you..

Sure. Top 10, its top 10 financial institution, and it's measured by market cap..

Yes. And on the second, the portfolio that we ended up selling had a higher weighted-average coupon but a shorter duration. So net-net resulted in an execution level similar to where the book is marked today..

Thank you. Our next question comes from Dominick Gabriele from Oppenheimer, Dominick, your line is now open. Please go ahead..

Hey, thanks so much, and good results. I was just curious about the incremental EBITDA margin. I think the revenue is similar to what we were expecting for the year. But the EBITDA margin is significantly better and above the 70:30 split that you guys usually talk about, about reinvestment.

And then when you couple that with the stock-based comp and depreciation perhaps staying elevated, it means that there is some real expense synergies coming through in the underlying business.

And I was wondering what your feel is on investments moving forward and if the 70:30 rule has changed? And where in the expense lines, G&A, technology, and product development, any of those buckets you could talk about where you're seeing the most leverage to really raise this incremental EBITDA margin guidance? Thanks..

Sure. Let me kick off. First thing I'd say is, our long-term view is 70:30. So as you think about 2024, definitely bring your mind around 30% incremental EBITDA margin. The world has been very uncertain this year. And that's probably one of the biggest understatements I can make.

And because the world has been uncertain, we've held back some investment going into quarters to see where revenue comes out so that we're certain we can always deliver on EBITDA and on GAAP net income and EPS. As the quarter unfolds, we see opportunities to release some of that cushion and to spend it in acquisition.

It so happens our business is doing very well. We obviously saw the first time in our history that 50% of our revenue growth year-over-year was actually driven by non-lending businesses.

If you look at the change in the Financial Services segment and the change in the Technology segment year-over-year in dollars, it was even with the change in -- in the non-GAAP Lending revenue. So they will equal for the first time.

Well, as that growth rate continues, we get a lot of operating leverage in those two segments, and it allows us to drive more to the bottom-line because they're high incremental margin businesses. And in fact, FIS, Financial Services Segment lost $24 million in Q1 and lost only $4 million this quarter. And that's down from $44 million in Q4.

So we're seeing great unit economics. And we're seeing great operating leverage covering our fixed cost in those two businesses. And that's contributing to more profitability. We have a goal this year being GAAP profitable. Our number one goal is to make sure we're driving to our financial outcomes as it relates to the business.

We want to serve our members well to do that. But based on where we've seen our margins throughout the year and based on the investment opportunities we have in front of us and the efficiency of those opportunities, we're going to drive more profitability in the back half of the year than we otherwise anticipated.

Chris can talk to the line items that we're seeing there. But I'd say it's both better unit economics and the fact that we're finally exceeding our fixed cost. And then I want to revisit one question, someone said about accelerating the growth. We're going to focus on quality over quantity.

But I will tell you once we achieve GAAP profitability and we cover our acquisition cost, we will have much more of a license to more aggressively spend in acquisition at that 30% level..

Yeah. So Dominick, in terms of where we're seeing the real leverage, it's really across all functional expense lines. As I noted in my prepared remarks, sales and marketing as a percentage of revenue was down 300 basis points year-over-year. Our technology and product development expenses as a percentage of revenue were down 200 basis points.

Operations down 300 basis points and G&A down about 800 basis points. So we're really doing a nice job of being able to achieve leverage across the entire system. And we expect that to persist going forward..

Thanks you. Our next question comes from Timothy Chiodo from Credit Suisse. Timothy, your line is now open. Please go ahead..

Great. Thank you. I wanted to talk a little bit about some of the new client wins that you announced for Galileo. If you could just add some context around to the extent you can on sizing or if these are the sort of the majority of the programs coming over to you.

You mentioned that they have existing accounts assuming that they're relatively established programs.

And also if you could touch on where they were before, if they were with more of a one of your more modern competitors or one of the more traditional competitors?.

Thank you for the question on Tech Platform. I'm really proud of the team and the transition that we decided to make in 2022 and we've gone into in 2023.

It wasn't easy decision to walk away from a lot of these easy startup types of deals that we can announce on the call in dozens of quantities and then they would tripling with hundreds of thousands of dollars, but a lot of distraction from our team and lot of focus of resources given their young nature.

We understood long term that our technology is incredibly unique and the technology stack we have with [indiscernible] multi product core that's modern in the cloud.

With processing that's in the cloud in addition to some other great products that sit on top of the platform like our Payment Risk Platform and connect that would you go to market and fight with all the competitive set against the biggest deals in the United States and LATAM.

We're really encouraged by the number of requests for proposals that we're seeing from large institutions. These things take time. These are large institutions.

Our sense is they're under pressure from regulators to upgrade their technology and they also want to modernize their technology, so they can be more innovative and they can be more reactive in real-time, two different regulatory pressures as well as any disruption in industry like we saw in the first half of this year.

So there's definitely sort of a tidal wave of need for new technologies and we have that technology. So I'm really excited that we made that transition and we have that suite of products. We're not going to win every deal. I'm comfortable we will win our fair share. It will take time.

In terms of the actual results, I would say we're seeing very small contributions from the new partners that we've added. It definitely was a benefit to the quarter and helped us on the upside. We're seeing still strong, steady growth from our existing partners that are doing quite well.

Obviously anniversarying loosing a partner a year ago which we made a tough decision on bit it was the right long-term decision versus the easier near-term decision. But we're now anniversarying that.

And as Chris mentioned, we expect the Tech revenue will be flattish in Q3 and then accelerate year-over-year in Q4, as we get more contribution from those new partners that are either already on-board or that will be on-boarded.

And I'm really excited about 2024, when the investments that we made this year and onboarding new partners start to kick in even more. So, I think it will be a slow, steady melt up in revenue over-time with the acceleration on a year-over-year basis coming in the fourth-quarter.

Nothing to announce in the big bank side or big funds or institution side. We're in conversations with every type of bank you could think of, large banks, regional banks, community banks and then companies that are not banks, but have large consumer basis that they would like to offer financial services products to that we uniquely can do that with..

Thank you. Our next question comes from Robert Wildhack from Autonomous. Robert, your line is now open. Please proceed..

Good morning, guys. I wanted to follow up on where the current book is marked down sequentially a bit for all the reasons you discussed, Chris.

Do you think that that will continue to drift lower in subsequent quarters? And if so, do you think that non-interest income in Lending can stay at the $100 million level that you hit in the second-quarter?.

Let me start on that question. One thing I want to make sure people are paying attention to is, what our weighted average coupon is? We're very fortunate and that we've built a sophisticated ability to test different price points against different credit backdrops.

And we've been really successful in passing on higher rates in our loans as benchmark rates have gone. Obviously, there are a number of factors beyond weighted average coupon including spread and the benchmark grades and prepayments and defaults in our cost of funds. And I'll let Chris talk through that.

But people really should pay attention to what do we do with that weighted average coupon and how is that providing us some leverage uniquely in the marketplace versus competitors as we still gained the significant amount of volume. I'll let Chris talk to the other components of it..

So I already went through the details of where the marks are and how they changed quarter-over-quarter in terms of how we're thinking about or what we expect going into Q3 and the back half of the year. It's going to be dependent on what happens in the market. It's going to depend on what happens with rates.

It's going to depend on what happens with charge offs, prepayments, et cetera. We mark-to-market the book every single month. And we take into consideration all of the inputs that I outlined in what drove the changes quarter-over-quarter. So it's highly market dependent.

And what I would say is, in this type of environment, given where rates are and the returns that we're generating on our loans by holding them, we would expect net interest income to be a much larger portion of the overall revenue pie for the Lending segment. But that could change depending on market environment..

And hopefully it's cleared by our reported numbers how the -- yield we're getting on the loans is greater than the price people would be willing to pay. That should be obvious from the financial services point..

Thank you. I'll now turn it over to Anthony for any closing remarks..

Thank you. People often ask me how.

How did SoFi get to such an unprecedented point and being a digital one stop shop for financial services? How did SoFi get to the point that so many companies over the last five years have endeavored to reach, while others now save their aspiration today? How did SoFi do what so many other strive to do? Answer to what contributes to our success is simple.

It's our team. It's our people. The people at SoFi that wake up everyday focused on achieving our mission and building our culture, so that we can change the lives of millions of people, and someday, hundreds of millions of people. Yes, that is hundreds of millions of people. Make no mistake about it.

No company, no leader, no team has greater ambition or aspirations than we do at SoFi. No company is further along that journey than SoFi. And it's on me to ensure we win every second of every minute of every hour of every day. Thank you for your time today. And I look-forward to addressing you again next quarter..

Goodbye. That concludes today's conference call, everybody. Thank you very much, joining. And you may now disconnect your lines. Have a lovely rest of your day..