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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2014 - Q3
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Executives

Henry H. Gerkens - Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, Member of Safety & Risk Committee and Member of Strategic Planning Committee Patrick J. O'Malley - President-Landstar Carrier Group Joseph J. Beacom - Chief Safety & Operations Officer and Vice President James B. Gattoni - President, Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer.

Analysts

William J. Greene - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Allison M. Landry - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division Jack Atkins - Stephens Inc., Research Division Scott H. Group - Wolfe Research, LLC Robert H. Salmon - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division Todd Clark Fowler - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division Jason H.

Seidl - Cowen and Company, LLC, Research Division Kelly A. Dougherty - Macquarie Research Benjamin J. Hartford - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Research Division Matthew S. Brooklier - Longbow Research LLC Scott A. Schneeberger - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division Matthew Young - Morningstar Inc., Research Division Thomas S.

Albrecht - BB&T Capital Markets, Research Division.

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to Landstar System Inc.'s Third Quarter Earnings Release Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's call is being recorded.

[Operator Instructions] Joining us today from Landstar are Henry Gerkens, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Jim Gattoni, President and Chief Financial Officer; Pat O'Malley, Vice President and Chief Commercial and Marketing Officer; and Joe Beacom, Vice President and Chief Safety and Operations Officer.

Now I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Henry Gerkens. Sir, you may begin..

Henry H. Gerkens

Thanks, Tory, and good afternoon, and welcome to the Landstar 2014 Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. This conference call will be limited to no more than 1 hour. [Operator Instructions] Before we begin, let me read the following statement. The following is a Safe Harbor statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

Statements made during this conference call that are not based on historical facts are forward-looking statements.

During this conference call, I and other members of Landstar's management, may make certain statements containing forward-looking statements, such as statements relate to Landstar's business objectives, plans, strategies and expectations.

Such statements are, by nature, subject to uncertainties and risks, including, but not limited to, the operational, financial and legal risks detailed in Landstar's Form 10-K for the 2013 fiscal year described in the section Risk Factors and other SEC filings from time to time.

These risks and uncertainties could cause actual results or events to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated. Investors should not place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements, and Landstar undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements.

In our 2014 third quarter mid-quarter update call, I said that I was very comfortable with the then published range of analyst estimates, as published by FirstCall, of $0.78 to $0.82 per share and the resulting consensus estimate of $0.80 per share.

I'm happy to report that Landstar's 2014 third quarter earnings per share from continuing operations increased 32% to a record $0.82 per share compared to $0.62 per share from continuing operations in the 2013 third quarter.

Additionally, 2014 third quarter revenue was a record $819 million and increased approximately 21% over the $676 million generated in the 2013 third quarter. It was truly a remarkable quarter. Truck transportation revenue continued to be very strong as both load volume and revenue per load increased over 10% versus the prior year.

Truck capacity remained tight throughout the quarter as the economy continued to inch forward. And despite the tight capacity market and improving market conditions, Landstar continued to increase its available capacity base.

Trucks supplied by BCO capacity was 8,792 at the end of the 2014 third quarter compared to 8,410 at the end of the 2013 third quarter and 8,591 at the end of the 2014 second quarter.

The number of approved and available truck broker carriers was 37,134 at the end of the 2014 third quarter compared to 32,314 at the end of the 2013 third quarter and 35,550 at the end of the 2014 second quarter.

From a new agent revenue standpoint, revenue generated from all new agent locations and over the past year, amounted to approximately $24 million in the 2014 third quarter. Year-to-date, through the third quarter, we have added approximately $81 million in new agent revenue.

And more importantly, our pipeline of prospective new agents remains very strong. From agent recruiting to BCO and broker carrier recruiting to market share gains and from just about every other metric, Landstar continues to outperform.

I am now going to turn the call over to Pat, Joe and Jim for additional comments on the outstanding 2014 third quarter results.

Pat?.

Patrick J. O'Malley

Thank you, Henry. As noted by Henry, the 2014 third quarter revenue grew 21% or approximately $144 million when compared to the 2013 period, ending the quarter at approximately $819 million. The strong quarter-over-quarter revenue performance continues to be broad-based across many accounts, agents and product lines.

Total truck transportation revenue increased 22% from approximately $628 million in 2013 to over $767 million in 2014. Strong demand for van services continued through the quarter, and quarter over prior year quarter growth in revenue per load stayed consistent throughout the period.

In total, revenue in the van segment increased 24% quarter over prior year quarter, with nearly half the increase attributed to improved volume.

Revenue in the unsided/platform service offering increased 20% in the 2014 third quarter when compared to the 2013 period, with slightly more than half of the increase attributed to improved revenue per load.

Load volume in the unsided/platform business remained reasonably consistent through the quarter as demand from core industrials has improved, and we believe that these trends will continue throughout the fourth quarter. Currently, approximately 38% of Landstar's truck transportation revenue is generated using unsided/platform equipment.

Revenue in the LTL service offering increased 16% when compared to the third quarter of 2013.

Year-over-year, LTL load volumes increased in the quarter, and the improvement experienced in the second quarter carried over to the third quarter as volumes in the LTL service offering increased in July, August and September by 5%, 12% and 13% compared to the prior year months.

We continue to increase the number of agents and customers participating in this service offering. Strong volume trends, along with near record revenue per load in our truck service offering, have continued thus far in the fourth quarter. Rail intermodal in the quarter increased a healthy 17% over the 2013 period.

New agent additions, account wins and a more rational rail network produced year-over-year improvement in volumes, which were responsible for approximately 2/3 of the growth. As for new agent revenue. New agent additions remained very strong. In the 2014 third quarter, new agents produced over $24 million in revenue.

This is nearly a 37% increase in new agent revenue over the 2013 third quarter. As a reminder, the new agent in the 2014 third quarter represents an agent who had contracted with Landstar after July 1, 2013.

This improvement in new agent revenue is a direct reflection of the quality and availability of new candidates, and our pipeline remains well seeded. We expect to maintain this momentum for the balance of 2014. Revenue from our top 10 accounts contributed approximately 15% of the total revenue for both 2014 and 2013 third quarter.

Our revenue gains outside the top 100 accounts remains impressive as approximately 70% of our year-over-year third quarter revenue growth came from customers not in our top 100 in the prior year. This reflects the natural diversity of the Landstar model and demonstrates the broad-based nature of the revenue growth.

While opportunities were positive across most industries, similar to the second quarter, business to the automotive, government and consumable sectors were particularly strong. As we mentioned, our growth has been broad-based across many accounts, agents and product lines.

The current environment provides a significant opportunity for agents to build new customer relationships and provide viable transportation solutions in a capacity-constrained environment. We believe that capacity shortage is systemic and a byproduct of increased regulation, reduced productivity and a modestly improving economy.

Joe?.

Joseph J. Beacom Vice President and Chief Safety & Operations Officer

Thanks, Pat. Landstar ended the 2014 third quarter with a total truck capacity network in excess of 45,000 providers, a significant increase of more than 1,700 in the quarter. This growth in capacity is attributable to effective recruiting and retention programs and a strong freight environment.

Given the ad hoc and unplanned nature of much of Landstar's freight mix, this size and scope of the network of providers is very important in sourcing capacity across a wide range of service offerings often within a short window of time. From a truck capacity perspective, we remain well positioned to support new opportunities going forward.

The third quarter concluded with Landstar BCO count up 362 BCOs over the prior year period, increasing BCO truck count by more than 380 trucks. Consistent with the second quarter, this third quarter net increase is the largest in several years.

BCO truck additions in the quarter were up over 10% from the 2013 third quarter, while terminations were 20% fewer. The company continues to see BCO truck count growth in the first few weeks of the 2014 fourth quarter. Both total approved carrier count as well as active carrier count were at record levels at the end of the 2014 third quarter.

Total approved carrier count increased approximately 15% over the prior year period to more than 37,000, while active carrier count increased more than 19% to over 25,000. Active carriers are defined as those carriers who have transported shipments for Landstar in the prior 6 months.

Truckload volumes increased year-over-year by 12%, 8% and 11% in our van, platform and LTL service offerings.

Overall, BCO load volume improved 2% in the 2014 third quarter compared to the prior-year quarter, while loads hauled via truck brokerage capacity supporting the company's van platform or LTL service offering increased 21% in the 2014 third quarter over the prior year quarter.

This third quarter load volume improvement in truck transportation is attributed to the ongoing and significant increase in capacity relationships, a high volume of quality loading opportunities attractive to Landstar capacity providers and execution across the agent network in sourcing capacity to meet customer demand.

Overall, the cost of purchased transportation was 77.3% revenue in the 2014 third quarter, 77.2% in the 2014 second quarter and 76.7% in the 2013 third quarter. As expected, a significant amount of the revenue growth is from truck transportation services, all via truck brokerage carriers under contract, that result in a variable margin.

The percentage of revenue on a fixed margin, which has a lower cost of purchased transportation than revenue on a variable margin, was 55% of revenue in the 2014 third quarter, 57% in the 2014 second quarter and 60% in the 2013 third quarter.

The sequential increase in the cost of purchased transportation, as a percent of revenue, was due to the increased revenue under variable contracts, while the increase compared to prior year quarter was attributable to both a 60 basis point-increase in the rate of purchased transportation paid to truck brokerage carriers and increased revenue under variable contract.

The rate of purchased transportation paid to truck brokerage carriers in the 2014 third quarter was the same as the rate paid in the 2014 second quarter. We believe that the increase in the rate of purchased transportation paid to truck brokerage carriers when compared to the prior year was primarily attributable to a tight capacity environment.

It should be noted that the increase in the rate of purchased transportation paid to truck brokerage carriers on revenue hauled under variable margin agreements was partly offset by a 10 basis point-decrease in the rate of commission paid to agents for that same revenue.

Capacity remains tight and demand is strong, resulting in improved pricing, and with that, increased price paid to capacities, benefiting Landstar as expected on the 55% of revenue that is generated on a fixed margin as we strive to protect the margin on revenue generated with the variable margin.

We continue to have a strong participation and commitment around the company's safety programs from agents, BCOs and employees. The resulting severity of crashes in the 2014 third quarter was higher when compared to the prior year quarter, yet more than offset by the decrease in unfavorable development of claims experienced in the prior year quarter.

The cost of insurance in the 2014 third quarter was 3.1% of BCO revenue. The company continues on pace with the implementation of its electronic logging device initiative, with approximately 50% of the BCO fleet equipped with ELDs.

We continue to see customers seeking reliable solutions that take into consideration a means to manage carrier selection, provide product visibility and safely deliver on service requirements.

As customers continue to pursue and evaluate reliable and safe capacity providers, we believe our access to capacity and attention to safety and compliance is a competitive advantage that will be additive in light of the additional regulation and exposure aimed at shippers, motor carriers, freight brokers and forwarders, which exist today with more on the horizon.

Over to you, Jim..

James B. Gattoni

Thanks, Joe. Gross profit, representing revenue less the cost of purchased transportation and commissions to agents, was $121.1 million or 14.8% of revenue in the 2014 third quarter compared to $103.8 million or 15.4% of revenue in 2013 third quarter.

The increase in gross profit is attributable to increased revenue, partly offset by a lower gross profit margin in 2014 third quarter. Other operating costs were 5.4% of gross profit in 2014 quarter compared to 5.8% in the 2013 quarter.

The decrease in other operating cost, as a percent of gross profit, was due to increased gross profit and higher gains on sales of trailing equipment as gains on sales of trailing equipment in the 2014 third quarter were approximately $1.2 million compared to $600,000 in the 2013 third quarter, partially offset by increased trailing equipment costs and an increased provision for contractor bad debt.

Insurance and claim costs were 9.9% of gross profit in the 2014 quarter and 12.9% in 2013 quarter. Insurance and claim costs were 3.1% of BCO revenue in the 2014 quarter compared to 3.9% in 2013 quarter.

The decrease in insurance and claims cost, as a percent of BCO revenue, was attributable to lower unfavorable development prior year claims in the 2014 quarter, partially offset by the increased severity of claims or cost per claim in the 2014 quarter.

Selling, general and administrative costs were 29.9% of gross profit in both the 2014 and 2013 quarters.

The quarter over prior year quarter increase in absolute dollars of selling, general and administrative costs reported in the 2014 quarter was primarily attributable to a $4.6 million provision for incentive compensation, whereas the 2013 quarter had none.

Depreciation and amortization was 5.9% of gross profit in the 2014 quarter compared to the 6.9% in 2013 quarter. This decrease is primarily due to increased gross profit in 2014 quarter. Investment income was $332,000 in the 2014 quarter compared to $366,000 in the 2013 period.

The effective income tax rate was 37.5% in the 2014 quarter compared to 37.7% in 2013 quarter. Looking at our balance sheet. We ended the quarter with cash and short-term investments of $178 million. Cash flow from operations for the 39 weeks ended September 27, 2014, was $72.6 million. Cash CapEx expenditures was $9 million in the 2014 39-week period.

During the 2014 39-week period, we purchased 940,000 shares of Landstar common stock at a total cost of $56.4 million. There are currently 1.8 million shares available for purchase under the company's stock purchase program.

Trailing 12-month return on average shareholders' equity was 35% and 2014 trailing 12 months return on invested capital, representing net income divided by the sum of average equity plus average debt, was 29%. At September 27, 2014, shareholders' equity represented 81% of total capitalization.

In summary, 2014 third quarter gross profit increased 17% over the 2013 third quarter, while operating income increased 28% over the same period. Operating margin was 49.2% in the 2014 third quarter. As it relates to operating leverage.

On an annual basis, our long-term goal is to pass 70% of the year-over-year increase in gross profit to operating income.

Included in the significant increase in selling, general and administrative cost due to the 2014 third quarter provision for incentive compensation, the company passed 75% of the 2014 third quarter growth in gross profit to operating income.

We continue to expect on an annual basis, approximately 70% of the growth in 2014 gross profit will pass through the operating income. Looking into the 2014 fourth quarter guidance. Certain items need to be considered when comparing the 2014 fourth quarter to the 2014 third quarter.

The midpoint of the 2014 fourth quarter revenue guidance should result in 2014 fourth quarter gross profit that's very similar to the 2014 third quarter gross profit. There is currently significant customer demand for dropped van trailers as we head into the year end. Therefore, we plan to hold some of our trailing equipment longer than planned.

As such, we do not anticipate significant gains on trailers -- trailer sales in the fourth quarter. As mentioned earlier, there are $1.2 million of gains on sales of trailing equipment in the 2014 third quarter. We assume a 2014 fourth quarter effective income tax rate of 38.2%, higher than the 37.5% rate experienced in the 2014 third quarter.

Back to you, Henry..

Henry H. Gerkens

Thanks, Jim and Pat and Joe. Both the number of loads hauled via truck and truck revenue per load have been very strong in the first several weeks of the 2014 fourth quarter. I continue to be very optimistic and believe the trends we have seen in the first 9 months of the 2014 year will continue throughout the 2014 fourth quarter.

Although it is my belief there will be a continuation of these positive trends for the balance of the 2014 fourth quarter, I am aware that, historically, the fourth quarter of any year has been somewhat unpredictable.

As such, I would anticipate consolidated revenue for the 2014 fourth quarter to be in a range of $800 million at the low end to $840 million at the high end.

Based on the revenue -- net revenue range, I would anticipate earnings per diluted share from continuing operations for the 2014 fourth quarter to be in a range of $0.77 to $0.82 per share, which compares to $0.55 per diluted share from continuing operations in the 2013 fourth quarter. And with that, Tory, we can open it up for questions..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Ben (sic) [Bill] Greene with Morgan Stanley..

Henry H. Gerkens

So Ben, you changed your name?.

William J. Greene - Morgan Stanley, Research Division

I was curious, Henry, if you can talk a little bit about maybe some of the end market stuff. There's a lot of concern, I know this is more on an international level but nonetheless about industrial trends and what's going on out there. Doesn't sound like you're seeing much of that, but maybe you can offer a little bit of thought and color there.

Do you expect any kind of feedback loop that could affect your trend as you look forward?.

Henry H. Gerkens

At this point, I don't see anything, I think things are going very well as I alluded to in my prepared comments, and we don't see anything. As a matter fact, in October, the revenue per load actually has gained strength from what we saw in the third quarter. And Pat, I don't know if you want to add, specifically add anything.

As far as for our flatbed business, remains very strong, which is predominantly the industrial-base stuff that we're talking.

But anyway, Pat?.

Patrick J. O'Malley

Bill, we read the same things you do, but all of our channels checks and all of the customers that we meet with, we feel very comfortable. If you go back to our prepared remarks we talked about, those markets remain strong and we anticipate them being strong in the fourth quarter..

William J. Greene - Morgan Stanley, Research Division

Yes, no, it makes sense.

All right, so Henry, I have one last question for you, and that is if there are 1 or 2 things on your to-do list before you pass the reins on, what would they be?.

Henry H. Gerkens

There's 1 or 2 things on my to-do list, what would I -- I got to tell you, I feel pretty comfortable at this point in time. In fact, very comfortable as far as the team that is in place here and the leadership team that is going to lead this company forward. And I think things are in place that for the future is well set.

So I'd like to change a few things I've done in the past but other than that, I think we're well-positioned. And I think the individuals in this room are capable to lead this company into the next horizon.So....

Operator

Our next question comes from Allison Landry with Crédit Suisse..

Allison M. Landry - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division

So from one of the other asset-based truckers that we've heard from, lower fuel prices is certainly something that's favorable for the trucking industry, particularly in light of some of the rail service issues.

So just wondering if you could sort of speak to that and if you think that, that has a near-term positive effect on demand for your services..

Henry H. Gerkens

A couple of things. As you well know, the cost of fuel is borne by the individual capacity owner at Landstar. So although we -- it doesn't have a specific effect on Landstar's financials or Landstar, it does have an intangible effect and that it benefits the third-party capacity we utilize and therefore, makes them more profitable.

So I mean, there's a benefit there. And I don't see, at this point, things changing in that regard either.

Pat or Joe?.

Patrick J. O'Malley

The only thing I would say, Allison, I think if we were not to go out and get the fuel surcharges when it was high, that would have had a detrimental effect perhaps on securing capacity. But as it comes down, I really don't see a whole lot of impact on our ability to source. I think it's a benefit perhaps to the individual capacity owner..

Allison M. Landry - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division

Okay. I guess I was more speaking in terms of demand and a few things, but that would actually help from the demand side of the equation as opposed to the cost side. But irregardless of that, you've seen double-digit growth for the BCO and truck brokerage businesses pretty much for the entire year.

So how do -- as we're thinking -- start to think about 2015, what's your sense for where you think a good sort of revenue run rate would be? How sustainable do you think that double-digit revenue growth is?.

James B. Gattoni

This is Jim. If you heard about Pat's remarks, Joe's remarks, our growth is about 50% coming from volume and 50% from revenue per load. And the revenue per load growth is low double digits. You don't anticipate. If the balance of supply and demand stays where it is, I don't anticipate we're going to have a double-digit revenue per load growth.

If the environment from demand standpoint, you could see the volume growth being around where it is. But I wouldn't anticipate going to next year, you're going to be looking at 10% to 15% revenue per load growth.

So if the balance in the supply and demand stays where it is, you wouldn't anticipate a 20% revenue growth, but I'm a little more of a pessimist than Henry, so he may have an additional comment..

Henry H. Gerkens

Yes, I think, Allison, I think the way you got to look at this quite frankly is what's your view on the economy. I mean, if the economy continues to move forward and no one adds capacity, capacity is going to cost more. Now does that continue? I mean the revenue per load is very high.

I mean, it's kind of hard to predict that it can be that high, but we didn't think it was going to be this high in the fourth quarter either. So I think you got to look at what's your projection for economic growth. And as there's no capacity coming into the market, so what you get from that equation is potentially increased revenue per load.

But as I said, I mean, one of the other things I might add and getting back to your demand question, which I thought you are attacking it from the cost side, yes, I think as the cost of fuel decreases, I think there's more app to create more demand from the truck side. I mean, I think that's logical.

And when you think about Landstar, when you look at our top 100 accounts, and we've got like 27 3PLs in our top 100 accounts. The revenue from those 3PLs increased about 15%, and our revenue increased 21%. So you've got people looking for capacity from Landstar.

We've been able to actually grow our direct customers at a faster pace, if you will, that even the revenue growth we've seen from other 3PLs, because Landstar access its capacity. And I think that's the Landstar advantage in this type of environment..

Operator

Our next question comes from Jack Atkins with Stephens..

Jack Atkins - Stephens Inc., Research Division

So I guess the first off here, just to kind of dig in to the net revenue margin. For a moment, it was down 60 basis points year-over-year. Could you maybe help us think about, I guess, why you guys are seeing net revenue margin compression.

I mean, I guess, when I think about your model from a theoretical perspective, you've got a significant portion of your business as a fixed payout, which should be rising with higher truckload rates. And also you guys are mainly transactional or spot exposed.

So I'm just trying to put the pieces together on why you guys are seeing that revenue margin compression when others are seeing expansion?.

James B. Gattoni

If you look at year-over-year, we got compression. But I saw in the second quarter, there were some of the other broker carriers who -- or the carrier saying that they were picking up they're expanding margins coming into the second quarter, maybe into the third quarter here. But some of them are also going the other way or staying flat.

Sequentially, we kind of held our margins to where it is. So our purchased transportation rate paid to broker carriers sequentially is now back in the balance. I think you're coming up a comp that was a little bit easier last year, because we were soft last year. If you recall, our revenue was a little bit soft.

But as to the fixed -- as to the component of our business on a fixed margin, remember the margin doesn't change, we just make more dollars. So you're taking a fixed margin of, say whatever that is, 17%, 15% and holding that, but you put more dollars across.

Another thing to look at and kind of, internally, we look at it a little bit this way is our revenue had increased at a slightly lower percentage than the PT rate book. But from a dollar standpoint, we made more gross profit per load than we did last year. So we're seeing improvement on what we're pushing through on the load-by-load basis..

Jack Atkins - Stephens Inc., Research Division

Okay. That makes sense. And then, guys, just from a capital deployment perspective, I know you all purchased almost 100,000 shares or just over 100,000 shares in the first couple of quarters of the year.

Could you maybe kind of help us think about -- and Jim, maybe this is the question directly for you, just given that going forward -- but I mean, how should we think about capital deployment here? I'm just a bit surprised you guys are a little bit more aggressive with buying back stock given where interest rates are, given how strong your balance sheet is..

James B. Gattoni

Yes. Obviously, we're sitting on a lot of cash right. We have a lot of availability on our revolver to be dipping into the market. But if you look at some of what happened during the second or third quarter, we generally tell people we kind of buy when things kind of level off and sit still on the stock. And we climbed throughout the quarter.

So we do take that into consideration. Do we spent time? We talked about share buybacks, dividends or acquisitions. Those are the 3 things to do with your available cash. And we're keeping honest. Again, we're going to be opportunistic in the market. And during the quarter, we didn't buy any shares back as it was rounded up.

We generally don't buy into a run-up. So we'll continue to deploy the capital where we have in the past, and that's share buybacks..

Operator

Our next question comes from Scott Group with Wolfe Research..

Scott H. Group - Wolfe Research, LLC

Wanted to ask about the -- on the BCO side. So nice traction growing the BCO counts, but didn't really see that translate into BCO load growth and want to kind of get your take on why we're not seeing it on the BCO side.

And maybe high-level, why are you seeing such a big difference right now between brokerage and BCO volume growth?.

Joseph J. Beacom Vice President and Chief Safety & Operations Officer

Scott, this is Joe Beacom. I'll take it. Our BCO growth was pretty nice in the quarter, and our load volume growth on BCOs was up just a little over 2% in the quarter as well.

So our expectation is we're going to keep -- as the fourth quarter start, we'll continue to add BCOs, and we're always working on utilization and trying to provide more larger opportunities and continue to grow the count.

But as you look at the universe of capacity out there, and as we've often said we continue to anticipate, brokerage load volumes are going to grow faster than the BCO load volumes just by the nature of how much capacity is out there, from a BCO qualifiable perspective versus brokerage capacity.

So I don't -- what you saw in the quarter probably is indicative of what you're going to see going forward..

Henry H. Gerkens

Yes, I think, Scott, again, you got to get on the stand that we don't view the business as 2 separate businesses, all right? We get 1 load, let's put out the boat forwards, all right? It's first come, first served. Our BCOs have made a lot of money this year.

If we don't force anybody to take any load, all right? So when we have more loads in the system, it's logical, because I got a lot more broker carriers. Our broker carrier load count is going to increase at a much faster pace than BCOs. Now we've been -- I know we've been trying to say this for a long time, but that's the way the model works.

And Jim, do you want to add something?.

James B. Gattoni

Yes. Scott, you have to look at how many BCOs and how many loads they haul, right? If you look at last year's kind of the utilization kind of thing, the BCOs hauled about 23.6 loads per BCO last year in the third quarter. This year's 23.1, so utilization is down about half a load during the 3 months.

Really hard to speak to that drop and have half a load. But, really, just got to track, they run about -- in slower months, they run 1.7 loads per week and in busy months, they run 2 loads a week. And to be a half a load off, that's pretty consistent year-over-year, and I think you kind of got to look at it that way..

Scott H. Group - Wolfe Research, LLC

Okay. That makes sense. And then you mentioned that truck volumes and revenue per load are good in October. Do you just have the numbers on what that's tracking up, each of those in October? Do you have the monthly sort of third quarter? That would be helpful, too..

James B. Gattoni

Do you want the -- you wanted the most recent October numbers?.

Scott H. Group - Wolfe Research, LLC

Yes. So truckload growth and truck revenue per load growth in October, if you have it..

James B. Gattoni

No. We base our trends off of daily load counts, and we can't -- really don't have anything other than it's running consistent with September and where the quarter rolled out. We're looking at low double-digit revenue per load growth plus not low double or mid to low double-digit load volume growth. But really, we don't really look at it.

We don't close the books every day, so we don't have that kind of detail like we have at the end of the quarter. But I'll tell you, like we said, revenue per load and load count on that side of the book, single, sorry, low double-digit, similar to what it was in the third quarter.

And what was the follow-up question? Was it what you want for the third quarter? I didn't catch it..

Henry H. Gerkens

By month..

James B. Gattoni

You wanted by month?.

Scott H. Group - Wolfe Research, LLC

If you had the month, that would be great. If -- I can get it off-line, if you don't have..

James B. Gattoni

Total truck load count by month, the sequential increase over prior year?.

Scott H. Group - Wolfe Research, LLC

Yes..

James B. Gattoni

Okay. I'll give that to you. Load count. July was 13% over, August 10% over and September 10% over. And revenue per load was 11, 11 and 9..

Operator

Our next question comes from Rob Salmon with Deutsche Bank..

Robert H. Salmon - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

Henry, a point of clarification for your commentary about the revenue per load trend strengthening.

Was that by virtue of mix or are you seeing kind of a little bit faster growth with the platform business or is this both platform and van we're seeing acceleration off that 9% growth you just mentioned?.

Henry H. Gerkens

When you look at the daily load reports as far as what we had in September versus what we see on daily load reports in October, they are -- the revenue per load is better than what we saw and which is what my comment was.

The when -- Now where it's coming from, because I don't have that breakdown yet because we haven't closed the books because all of that is combined, I'd have to defer to Pat, he's got an inclination as far as whether it's coming from increased flatbed or heavy haul or just in general tight capacity..

Patrick J. O'Malley

Rob, it's been consistent all year. It's a nice mix of both van and flatbed. So it's not -- though in previous years, there was 1 year in particular where our heavy haul really skewed that, that's not the case this year..

Robert H. Salmon - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

And then, Henry or Pat, I'm not sure which -- who this question is better directed to, but as I think about the BCO additions that have been coming on, clearly what we're hearing from all the trucking carriers that it's very hard to find independent contractors.

Has the profile of the BCO owner being a little bit older who come to Landstar, has that changed at all? And can you give us any sort of commentary about the backdrop within California? What Landstar's exposure is there? And if you see any risk to the model, given what we've seen from a drayage provider who had to switch from owner operator to company driver there..

Joseph J. Beacom Vice President and Chief Safety & Operations Officer

Rob, this is Joe. The BCO profile, so to speak, is pretty much the same. I mean, we're working as brokerage operators in the low '50s from an age standpoint. And the way we've -- the value of Landstar and what we offer, it continues to be the same. Our standards continue to be the same.

I just think it's -- this environment makes Landstar a great place to be for an owner-operator. And then specific to California, you're talking about the independent contractor designation.

I think we've always stayed way within the boundaries of what's an owner-operator and what's not by the nature of the issues and whatever loads they want to haul, when they want to haul, that kind of thing. So we don't really see what's going on out there on the drayage environment impacting us. We're not big into the drayage market to begin with.

But just how we operate the business and how the level of independence that our owner-operators have, I think is quite a bit different than some of what you're seeing out on the West Coast in the drayage world..

Henry H. Gerkens

Yes, I think, Rob, one of the things, if I could just add to that, is that for -- we lease tractor, number one, and we don't tell the guy what to do, where to go and I don't have enough information as far as the real background, as far as what the issues were, I'm not going to comment on that.

But there's no doubt in my mind that we are so far below the line and we treat these -- our people as really independent contractors, truly independent contractors. So I'm not worried about that at all..

Robert H. Salmon - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

No, it makes sense. I know you guys -- not to force this bad train that's up but was just curious to get a little more color and it was really helpful..

Operator

Our next question comes from Todd Fowler with KeyBanc Capital Markets..

Todd Clark Fowler - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

I wanted to come back to the conversation on the BCOs with the growth here in the quarter. I mean, this is one of the strongest quarters that we've seen from a BCO count standpoint probably in a couple of years. And I wanted to get some expectations from maybe what that should do going forward.

And also some comments about -- do the BCOs typically gain additional productivity as they mature and they spend more time in the network? Because we do look at some metrics like the loads per BCO, and those were down here this quarter.

But I'm assuming it's just because you bought some more in the quarter and maybe the volume growth or the load count kind of follows as they become more seasoned..

Joseph J. Beacom Vice President and Chief Safety & Operations Officer

Yes, Todd. This is Joe. I think what you see is a couple of things. I think, yes, as we add more BCOs to the network, and we did see utilization a little bit down in the quarter, some of that I think Henry touched on earlier. The rate has been up double figures this year.

So did some guys maybe run a little less hard than they did a year ago? That certainly could be true. But I don't -- I really would hesitate to say that the more seasoned they get, the more productive they get or less productive. It's really a function of how ambitious they want to be and whether we have the opportunity.

Clearly, this year, we have the opportunity. There's plenty of loads out there for them to haul, and they're making good money. And I think that's what's driving some of the increase. I think we get a lot of referrals from existing BCOs at how good life is at Landstar. And I think that's driving some of our counts.

So we're hoping to see that to continue into the fourth quarter..

Todd Clark Fowler - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Okay. That helps. And then for my second question, Jim, I'm just trying to get a sense of -- there seems to be an unusual year with the SG&A line given the comparisons and what's happened with the incentive compensation.

Do you have a way that we can think about SG&A going into 2015, either as kind of a percent of revenue or what sort of growth we should model in? And I know that, that can change based on how your earnings come together.

But just maybe at a high-level, how we should think about SG&A going forward?.

James B. Gattoni

Well, excluding the incentive compensation, generally, like you know, the 60%, 70% of our SG&A is headcount, wage is relevant. So you got to assume with ranges and increase and -- your 3% to 5% increase in the -- without MICP-type calculation.

And then when you take into our incentive compensation through the first 9 months, we've given you the number, it's $11.2 million that we have through the first 9 months, a typical run rate, $7 million, $8 million, that's kind of how I think about it on the ICP, the incentive comp for a year.

So you kind of look at it without maybe 3% to 5% growth rate over this year due to ranges and other tax stuff. And then you got to factor in the -- about a $7 million, $8 million run rate on the incentive comp for the next year..

Todd Clark Fowler - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

And so for 2015, use the $7 million to $8 million.

It's not that there's the comparison becomes difficult so it could be a below normal year because this was an above average year?.

James B. Gattoni

Once we -- when we set our targets, it's generally it's almost we either pay or we don't pay, right? It's generally -- it's going to be pretty much toward the bottom in the $7 million if we pay or it's 0 if we don't hit our targets..

Operator

Our next question comes from Jason Seidl with Cowen and Company..

Jason H. Seidl - Cowen and Company, LLC, Research Division

When I'm looking at some of the things you're saying, a couple of questions sort of pop in my mind. Talk to me a little bit about the demand on the flatbed side. You guys did say that the wind business was extremely strong in the first 9 months of this year.

What would -- how much visibility do you have for 2015 for that type of business off of such a strong, strong '14?.

Patrick J. O'Malley

Jason, this is Pat. I don't know that we ever used the word extremely when referring to the wind business, but the wind business has been about where we expected it this year. And for 2015, we expect it to be somewhat similar to this year.

We just came back from a meeting with our largest provider in that segment, and we know what their business looks like. And I think that's really what's unique about the environment we're currently in. When we're working with our customers, we are getting a much more collaborative nature with the customers.

And they're giving us greater insight into their business plans, and we're collaborating on solutions.

So whether it's platform van or across all these industry segments, what we're seeing from the shipping community is this notion of collaborating with the providers and sitting there and giving us insight into their plans, into their production schedules, so that we can help meet their capacity needs.

If you think about the model and you think about the agents rolling all of that, that puts us in a unique position to meet those demands for the shipping community..

Jason H. Seidl - Cowen and Company, LLC, Research Division

Okay. That's great color. And I guess my follow-up there is more of in your commentary that you talked about the bulk of the growth here in the quarter coming from your customers, the below the top 100.

Is the way to think about that going forward, at least for your revenue per load, that your revenue per load might continue to grow at these levels or slightly above these current levels, given that those people tend to be higher margin-type business or am I looking at it wrong?.

Joseph J. Beacom Vice President and Chief Safety & Operations Officer

Yes, I wouldn't necessarily think that, Jason. I think what it demonstrates, again, and I hate to keep to harping on this, but it's really the model. We're naturally diversified. But what I think it says is that we're taking market share, that in these accounts that we had done, maybe little or no business with, we're now doing more business.

I don't know that they're more or less price-sensitive. It could be a price-sensitive shipper that we didn't do a lot of business with that in this environment is less price-sensitive. I can't take you down that narrow.

But what I think that stat says is that we are in a number of industries across a lot of different customers, and we're able to capture market share in those industries because of the model..

Operator

Our next question comes from Kelly Dougherty with Macquarie..

Kelly A. Dougherty - Macquarie Research

I just wanted to follow-up on the SG&A question from earlier.

How much more load volume or revenue growth or whatever the appropriate metric is can the model support at this current level of operating expense? Or how much more before you have to start adding more resources and it's more than just a headcount? Or compensation increase you have to starting adding heads or systems or anything like that?.

James B. Gattoni

Well, Kelly, if we put in perspective, we have 100 fewer employees today than we had back in 2008, okay? So to lay more revenue on top of the model doesn't require a lot more people.

If you think about the model, the agents, our sales force and our dispatcher, and we support them through administrative function IT support and various other services we provide. But you can put a lot more revenue on this model and not have a significant increase into your G&A..

Kelly A. Dougherty - Macquarie Research

That's just exactly what I was looking for. That was helpful. And then you guys talk about solid execution as a key to the strong performance.

What exactly do you define as execution? Is it that ability to leverage it? Is it kind of the magnitude of revenue growth or utilization? What are kind of the key metrics that you focus most on?.

Henry H. Gerkens

Well, I think when you look at what we look at as far as the metrics that we need to make this company go right, it's obviously agent adds. It's capacity adds. And I would -- and people who know me, I'm a strong believer that the agent adds are the critical, it's problem 1A. And problem 1B is capacity. In this environment, capacity is king.

And if you can source capacity, you're going to outperform all the other companies out there. And I think what you've started to see is because of the execution we've done on the operation side as far as bringing in capacity, because our numbers are pretty strong.

And I think that's why, obviously, other 3PLs are coming to Landstar also to provide capacity for them. So -- and it also is attracting additional business. So it's a combination.

But also my -- I would say, my 2 metrics that when you look at, operationally, what we need to be successful because when you think about our agent adds, we don't do a lot of acquisitions. So when you think about an agent add, that's like a mini acquisition. I mean that's what we do. So those were the 2.

I mean you guys got anything else you want to add to that?.

Joseph J. Beacom Vice President and Chief Safety & Operations Officer

I think it's perfect..

Henry H. Gerkens

Okay..

Kelly A. Dougherty - Macquarie Research

That actually ties very nicely to my last real quick one. We shouldn't -- you definitely have a unique model so M&A doesn't necessarily fit it as well as some others.

We shouldn't be looking into you not buying back any stock as maybe you're saving up to change how you think anything about M&A?.

Henry H. Gerkens

No, no, we are not saving up for anything. I think Jim addressed that question earlier pretty nicely. And then when we thought we had an opportunity, we are actually locked out from a window period. So -- but we'll be opportunistic as we've always been..

Operator

Our next question comes from Ben Hartford with Robert Baird..

Benjamin J. Hartford - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Research Division

To continue down that path of potential acquisitions, maybe, Pat, this is a question for you.

Is there a bias away from buying a full-fledged freestanding agent-based network that might come hypothetically on to the market because you would introduce retention concerns and other complications that just kind of make it easier to go about the way that you guys have been going about adding agents, which is more on a one-off type basis? I mean, I guess the heart of the question is, is there anything regarding those types of networks that would include several agents? Is there anything about that type of an acquisition that is more difficult to you based on prior experience or something else that we might not take into account?.

Henry H. Gerkens

I don't think we have any bias against that type of acquisition. We would always view what's the cultural fit from that kind of an acquisition. Agent model, in and of itself, doesn't necessarily fit with Landstar just as we don't take every agent that wants to become one here at Landstar because it doesn't fit culturally.

So we don't have any bias against those enterprises, and in fact, we'll look at each and every one of them. But we would make certain that it fits culturally with the company..

James B. Gattoni

Well, another thing is in any acquisition we have to make sure there's no account conflicts existing between our existing agent base and some of the larger agents at any potential acquisition..

Benjamin J. Hartford - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Research Division

Okay. That makes sense. And then segue to something different. You mentioned trailers at the beginning of the conversation. Capacity has been tight, it seems like trailer capacity has been tight for several reasons. And you're taking some measures on a short term basis to alleviate that.

But as we think about the models, as we think about '15, is there any plan to meaningfully step up the amount of spend that you might allocate toward trailer purchases in '15 and beyond because of changes to this that or the other? Can you provide some perspective there?.

James B. Gattoni

Yes, this is Jim. We've been -- for the last 3 or 4 years, to be in compliance with the California Resource Boards Aerodynamic requirements on trailers, I think everybody knows over the last 4 years, we have about 8,000 trailers and we've been swapping those out equally over the last 5 years.

So we anticipate that we will swap out the 1,400 more next year just as a swap out. But we will add -- we probably anticipate adding another 500 to 800 trailers into next year and that's kind of, at this point in time, that may go up or down as we finish out the year.

But yes, for the first time in a while, we do expect to increase some of the trailer count in 2015..

Operator

Our next question comes from Matt Brooklier with Longbow Research..

Matthew S. Brooklier - Longbow Research LLC

So my question, we're back to BCOs, we're back to talking about capacity. You guys -- you have one of your best quarters in terms of adding BCOs this quarter, yet we're hearing on the asset base side of things, finding drivers, company drivers is still very difficult.

And I'm just trying to get a sense for what's really enabled Landstar to find capacity and to find BCOs, given the market in general has been very difficult. And I got a follow-up after that..

Joseph J. Beacom Vice President and Chief Safety & Operations Officer

Sure. Matt, this is Joe. I think that the BCOs that come to Landstar, right, they're out there running their own business or running for somebody else, and they make a conscious decision to come here. So we're not starting somebody from scratch.

So they're out there and they're -- they've been out there and operating for a year, because we don't take them if they don't have a year's worth of experience, right? So they're making a conscious decision to come here.

What I think happened, and we've been good about this, I think going backwards, but in this environment I think it makes the job even easier.

Once we get somebody to take a look at what the opportunity is here, get them a look at our load board, get them to look at our LCAPP program, get them to look at the agent network and all the opportunity, our closure rates improve. I think that's what's been part of it.

And retention, we're just not, I think my staff was 20% fewer terminations year-over-year in the quarter. I mean, the environment just bodes well for that. And it's not any one thing, it's a multitude of different things.

We've got some pretty mature programs around our recruiting and retention efforts, and I think in this environment, that just is being seen a little bit more significantly. And on the carrier side, the number that I focus on, the overall approved counts going up, that's great. But we really focus on growing that active count.

And that number has grown pretty significantly. So not only do we have carriers that are approved, but we're actively reaching out to every new carrier to make sure that they continue to be active within the network, working not with maybe the agent that loaded them the first time, but maybe another agent, so we can keep them active in the network.

Those are the 2 things that I think are clicking pretty well right now here and have kind of lead to that growth, both in brokerage capacity as well as BCO..

Matthew S. Brooklier - Longbow Research LLC

Okay. That's helpful. And then I guess my second question, it sounds like part of the ability aside from Landstar doing a very good job in terms of recruiting and retaining its BCOs. But part of the story here is we've had a lift in the market, volumes are better, pricings even better than that.

I'm just trying to get a sense for if the aggregate BCO market is starting to grow at this point in time? Do you guys have a sense as to whether we're seeing more conversion of company drivers over to BCO? Or you have more people interested in becoming a BCO who weren't before, who are entering the industry? I'm just trying to get a sense for the total BCO count is potentially expanding here, given we've had a really nice environment in terms of volume and price..

Joseph J. Beacom Vice President and Chief Safety & Operations Officer

Yes, Matt, I would say this. There are some larger carriers out there that are starting to put into place significant lease purchase programs, so whether selling off their tractors and trying to create owner-operators, I think there is potentially some opportunity there for owner-operators to come in to that owner-operator environment, if you will.

But I think it's pretty early in that, so we kind of take a wait-and-see approach there. But absent that, I'm not sure that it's really growing. I think that's why things are capacity-constrained. So I would say that around the growth of owner-operator..

Operator

Our next question comes from Scott Schneeberger with Oppenheimer..

Scott A. Schneeberger - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division

I missed the first 2 minutes and I just heard in an earlier question, you had mentioned not extremely strong, with strong wins year-to-date in the fourth quarter.

Did you give a magnitude? Was it akin to 2012? You said '15 look like '14, but just trying to get a feel for how strong it was this year and what fourth quarter will feel like?.

James B. Gattoni

This is Jim. Somewhere there was a miscommunication. I don't believe we referred to strong wins, I'm not sure how that got out. To put it in perspective, third quarter last year was about $8 million, third-quarter this year is about $5 million of wins. So it hasn't been a big driver of our results..

Scott A. Schneeberger - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division

Okay.

And then any change to fourth quarter trend and into '15? Or was that -- just so I'm -- we're totally clear here, is there going to be a big back end to the year and more in '15 or similar to what you're seeing?.

Patrick J. O'Malley

Scott, this is Pat. We believe it will be about consistent with what we're seeing this year..

Scott A. Schneeberger - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division

Great, okay. And then just -- I kind of want to go around the horn.

On other end market, it looks like you're very broad-based strong here with these numbers, but could you speak to some of the strong areas and weak areas, if there are any, across the entire portfolio?.

Joseph J. Beacom Vice President and Chief Safety & Operations Officer

Well, I think in our prepared remarks what we mentioned, Scott, was that similar to the second quarter, government, automotive were both strong. Consumables were strong. So that remains pretty consistent from the second quarter. I think we mentioned that it was -- and you kind of echoed it very broad-based.

But those were the areas that we're pretty strong quarter-over-quarter..

Scott A. Schneeberger - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division

Excellent. Sorry if I missed that earlier.

And then lastly, Henry, Jim, congratulations, an update on timing on CFO replacement or when we're going to get further management change update?.

Henry H. Gerkens

We will let you know when that happens..

Operator

Our next question comes from Matt Young with Morningstar..

Matthew Young - Morningstar Inc., Research Division

Could you just briefly talk about the -- what's going on with the LTL acceptance among the agent base.

Are the agents still largely specializing in specific mode? Or are you finding that they are more that are gravitating to multimodal and by that, I mean shifting between truckload and LTL?.

Patrick J. O'Malley

Matt, this is Pat. I think what we found with LTL is our agents are much more comfortable because it's similar to truck. They're much more comfortable because, although their customer may not have international shipments, most customers of bed truckload, they do have LTL.

We've got a fairly good pricing from the service providers and some underlying systems that help them execute that business relatively easy. So we've seen a great acceptance on that product line from our agents and good acceptance from our customers as well..

Matthew Young - Morningstar Inc., Research Division

And you've got -- and you have the capacity relationships you need at this point to grow....

Patrick J. O'Malley

Yes. If you think about it from those -- from their perspective, we got a variable cost sales force out in markets that they don't even know exist..

Operator

Our final question today comes from Thomas Albrecht with BB&T..

Thomas S. Albrecht - BB&T Capital Markets, Research Division

Most of my questions have been answered, so I just want to make sure a couple of factual things were right. The gains in the third quarter of '13, what were they? I know it was $1.2 million in this year..

James B. Gattoni

660 -- $660,000 I believe..

Thomas S. Albrecht - BB&T Capital Markets, Research Division

Okay.

And then what was that incentive comp in this year's third quarter?.

James B. Gattoni

$4.6 million..

Thomas S. Albrecht - BB&T Capital Markets, Research Division

And what did you say to expect for Q4?.

James B. Gattoni

Similar..

Operator

And at this time, we have no further questions in queue. I'd like to turn the conference back over to you, Mr. Henry Gerkens, for closing remarks..

Henry H. Gerkens

Thanks, Tory, and thanks for everybody dialing in. And I look forward to talking to you again on our mid-quarter update call, which will be December 4, and will be my final call, if you will. And so I look forward to talking to you then and update how we're doing in the quarter. Thanks..

Operator

Thank you for joining the conference call today. Have a good afternoon. Please disconnect your lines at this time..

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