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Communication Services - Internet Content & Information - NASDAQ - US
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2017 - Q4
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Executives

Erin Stone - Groupon, Inc. Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc. Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc..

Analysts

Samuel James Kemp - Piper Jaffray & Co. Thomas Champion - Cowen & Co. LLC Thomas Forte - D.A. Davidson & Co. Sameet Sinha - B. Riley FBR, Inc. Paul Bieber - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC (Broker) Christopher Merwin - Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Justin T. Patterson - Raymond James & Associates, Inc. Jonathan P. Lanterman - Morgan Stanley & Co.

LLC Matthew Trusz - Gabelli & Company.

Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to Groupon's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2017 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the company's formal remarks. Today's conference call is being recorded.

For opening remarks, I would like to turn the call over to Head of Investor Relations, Erin Stone. Please go ahead..

Erin Stone - Groupon, Inc.

adjusted EBITDA, non-GAAP earnings per share, non-GAAP net income or loss attributable to common stockholders, free cash flow, and FX-neutral results.

In our press release and our filings with the SEC, each of which is posted on our Investor Relations website, you will find additional disclosures regarding the non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations of these measures with U.S. GAAP.

As we discuss our results on this call note that all comparisons unless otherwise stated, refer to year-over-year growth and all gross profit comparisons are FX-neutral. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Rich..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

growing customer lifetime value, scaling our platform, and accelerating our International business will be our focus in 2018. We have real work to do on all fronts, but we're on a solid track with good momentum and we're working off a more efficient and sustainable cost structure.

The opportunity in front of us is clear and we're incredibly excited to attack it over the coming years. With that, let me turn the call over to Mike..

Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc.

Thanks, Rich. We are pleased that our fourth quarter results are better than our guidance for adjusted EBITDA and in line for gross profit. For the fourth quarter, adjusted EBITDA was $105 million, up $25 million, or 31%, bringing our full-year adjusted EBITDA to $250 million, up $70 million, or 39%.

Gross profit was $387 million in the fourth quarter, up $26 million, or 8%, bringing our full-year gross profit to $1.334 billion, up $48 million, or 4%. For 2017, the execution of our strategy led to strong financial results that we believe provide a solid foundation for future growth.

We increased our marketing investment, which led to 1.7 million more customers. We focused on maximizing long-term gross profit with an increased emphasis on our differentiated Local offering. We executed on streamlining initiatives and significantly reduced our geographical footprint, which resulted in a more efficient cost structure.

We increased our focus on key products that we believe enhance the customer experience and expect to be accretive to gross profit over the long-term. For Q4 specifically, we generated the highest quarterly adjusted EBITDA in our history, as we leveraged the strong inherent consumer demand for Goods during the holiday season.

We utilized this demand on our platform to drive overall gross profit, which, in some cases, led us to trade unit volume for higher margins. In International, we continue to be pleased with and cautiously optimistic about the early results of our initiatives around marketing, product, and supply.

Additionally, we added 400,000 active customers globally, despite experiencing the expected attrition from lapping the 2 million increase in active customers in the fourth quarter of 2016. Keep in mind that when we acquire new customers, most attrition happens within the first year and the remaining customers tend to stick around for a long time.

In North America, gross profit was $265 million for the fourth quarter and $928 million for the full year. Q4 Local gross profit was $197 million, up $11 million, or 6%, as we continue to see the benefits of our marketing investment and larger customer base.

And Q4 Goods gross profit was $55 million, up $4 million, or 8%, driven by solid holiday performance. In International, gross profit was $122 million for the fourth quarter and $406 million for the full year. Q4 Local gross profit was $76 million, up $7 million, or 11%. And Q4 Goods gross profit was $35 million, up $6 million, or 22%.

These results were driven by an enhanced mobile experience, improved supply, increased marketing investment, and strong operational execution.

Further in International, not only did we add customers at a healthy pace in the fourth quarter, but we also increased trailing 12-month gross profit per customer by 4% as compared to the prior-year comparable period. In the fourth quarter on a consolidated basis, marketing expense was $112 million, up $22 million, or 24%.

In North America, while Q4 marketing expense was up $18 million, this was largely offset by lower order discounts which resulted in marketing and order discounts in the aggregate being up only $7 million, or 6%. In International, Q4 marketing was up $4 million, or 15%, due to stepped-up investment in targeted cities.

This investment helped drive the 12% gross profit growth we experienced in International for the quarter. Turning to SG&A. Our consolidated Q4 SG&A was $225 million, lower by $13 million, or 6%, as a result of the cost initiatives we completed earlier in the year.

Next, for free cash flow, we generated $255 million in the fourth quarter and $78 million for the full year. We ended the quarter with $880 million in cash in addition to our $250 million revolver. Now, let's talk about 2018.

For 2018 adjusted EBITDA, we are guiding to a range of approximately $260 million to $270 million, a $10 million to $20 million, or 4% to 8% increase year-over-year. To provide some additional context, we are targeting gross profit dollar growth that exceeds the combined marketing and SG&A dollar growth.

We expect this gross profit dollar growth will come from both North America and International. While we expect to spend more on marketing in 2018 than 2017 to support North America and lead into our International business, we plan to remain within our 12 to 18 month payback thresholds.

In addition, while we intend to always have a focus on cost efficiency, we plan to invest for growth in the coming year. Accordingly, we expect SG&A to increase slightly above inflationary levels.

With regard to free cash flow, we expect operating cash flow to trend above the rate of adjusted EBITDA growth and we are targeting CapEx to be in the range of $60 million to $70 million for the year.

In thinking about 2018, keep in mind that we are focused on maximizing gross profit over an extended period of time, and as a result, certain of our initiatives have the potential to result in lower billings and revenue and are expected to create short-term gross profit headwinds.

For example, as Rich mentioned, Groupon+ has higher purchase frequency than our traditional voucher product and we view scaling Groupon+ as a key element to unlocking potential growth. However, Groupon+ generates less billings for each dollar of gross profit than our traditional voucher product.

So, as we plan to scale this product in 2018, we expect it to create a Local billings headwind. Additionally, as we scale, we are utilizing impressions on our site and app which would typically generate gross profit to instead generate Groupon+ enrollments and claims, which do not generate gross profit at the time of claim or enrollment.

We expect these enrollments and claims to ultimately lead to increased redemptions and as a result, gross profit for Groupon+ in the future. However, these scaling efforts will create a headwind in the first half of 2018 for North America gross profit.

In addition, for Goods, we intend to continue to increase the mix of third-party marketplace versus directly-sold Goods with the goal of maximizing gross profit. However, this shift will create a revenue headwind as third-party marketplace revenue consists of the commission associated with the sale rather than the full value of the items sold.

Accordingly, we expect revenue in 2018 to be around $2.6 billion for the year and just below $600 million for the first quarter. Next, let me provide a little more context on phasing throughout the year.

Adding to my earlier comments, our initiatives to increase gross profit per customer, such as Groupon+, bookability, and third-party supply are expected to build throughout the year.

Thus, we are anticipating lower global gross profit growth in the early part of the year with decreases in North America relating to the scaling of Groupon+ and the loss of gross profit from OrderUp being offset by increases in International. Accordingly, we expect first quarter gross profit to be about flat to last year or a bit below $310 million.

Additionally, the majority of the year-over-year increase in our marketing investment will be front-loaded in the first quarter, with our new campaign that kicked off with the Super Bowl. Collectively, we expect this will result in adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter that is in the mid-$30 million range.

Regarding tax reform and revenue recognition changes, let me highlight a couple of things. On U.S. tax reform, we do not expect to be materially impacted in the near term.

On the new revenue recognition standard, changes in classification will reduce our revenue by approximately $35 million to $40 million, and we do not expect a significant impact to gross profit or adjusted EBITDA.

In closing, we are focused on building the Groupon marketplace, which we believe will drive future growth and generate more value from our customer base. We remain confident that we are on a path toward multi-year adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow growth. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Rich..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

Thanks, Mike. As we move into 2018, and past what seems like an incredibly fast 10 years, we're energized and excited by the opportunities ahead. Our focus on the customer remains a true north star, and we continue to make great progress toward a frictionless voucherless experience.

Our platform is growing and we're adding capabilities and merchants to it every day. Our International business is beginning to show its long-term potential and it's gaining momentum.

When all of these things work in concert, we'll begin realizing the power of the platform we've created and what we believe can be the kind of out-sized customer and shareholder value that takes us through our next fast 10 years.

In that vein, I'd like to thank the Groupon team for a strong 2017 and for their continued passion to do amazing things for our customers and merchants. That energy and drive is at the core of our current and future success, and I'm excited about what we'll accomplish together. Now let's take some questions..

Operator

Our first question comes from Sam Kemp with Piper Jaffray..

Samuel James Kemp - Piper Jaffray & Co.

Great. Thanks for take the questions.

First on Q4, can you call out how much Groupon+ and OrderUp sale impacted your North America Local billings? And then on the 2018 gross profit outlook, can you just help us a little bit with maybe a range of gross profit that you're expecting for the year? And then on the EBITDA side, can you talk about the puts and takes around marketing, especially in International, and the degree to which that's impacting your 2018 guide? Thanks..

Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc.

Sure. So just to provide a little bit of color, Sam, on billings.

What I would say is if you look at our North America Local billings and you were to adjust for both Groupon+ and the impact of OrderUp, we'd be at the point where it would be approximately double-digit billings growth for the quarter to give you some degree of impact on a sizing perspective.

With regards to 2018 gross profit, what I would say is there, if you follow the words that we just talked about on the prepared remarks, we talked about $260 million to $270 million of adjusted EBITDA, SG&A up slightly higher than inflation, the expectation that we will spend more in marketing in 2018 than 2017, and then with that in both North America and International we expect GP growth in both of those and we expect that GP growth will exceed marketing and SG&A.

So, with that, what I would just say is we expect healthy gross profit growth in both, and we expect it to build over time throughout the year. With regard to our investments and SG&A and how we're thinking about that in terms of International, one of the things you could expect us to do is continue to really invest in International.

We think that has a lot of potential over the long-term. And so that's reflected in our SG&A and our adjusted EBITDA guide..

Samuel James Kemp - Piper Jaffray & Co.

Great. Thanks, guys..

Operator

Our next question comes from Tom Champion with Cowen..

Thomas Champion - Cowen & Co. LLC

Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. So it looks like Groupon+ is now in 25 markets. I'm wondering if you could discuss how you'd characterize the progress in scaling up in the inventory. And are there any differences in how vendors are responding by region? Thank you..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

Thanks, Tom, and good morning. Yeah, this is Rich. 25 markets; we're in a couple more than that, but really our focus isn't so much on the number of markets we're in at this point. It's on getting deep in the markets that we've already launched because they include most of our major markets in the U.S., places like Chicago and New York and L.A.

and San Francisco, et cetera. So what I would say about our progress there that we're still very early. We're excited about the progress. And as I mentioned earlier, we've been about doubling our card linking as well as the merchants in the program over the last couple of quarters, which we think is a pretty exciting trajectory.

But we're still really only a couple of quarters of leaning into it, and we're going to do that even more in 2018, especially here early in the year. So I'd say we're very much early. As far as overall response on the merchant side, there hasn't been significant differences city to city around the country.

I think that just speaks to the product itself. It's a very, very easy to understand product.

It's incredibly flexible for a merchant when it comes to deciding the kinds of discount levels they want to run and even how they run the program because a merchant can choose to give a deeper discount on the initial visit for a user and then give a much lower, almost loyalty-like discount on an ongoing basis.

They understand that really, really well everywhere that we're doing business. And our close rates are really consistent across the board for our sales folks. So, we feel really good about the value prop, both from a merchant perspective and a consumer perspective. And it's really now about us putting our shoulders into it and getting some real scale..

Thomas Champion - Cowen & Co. LLC

Thank you..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

Thanks, Tom..

Operator

Our next question comes from Thomas Forte with D.A. Davidson..

Thomas Forte - D.A. Davidson & Co.

Great. Thanks for taking my questions. So on Groupon+ side, I have two questions.

Is there a way to adjust the type of offer for Groupon+ to help you, for lack of a better way to put it, salvage some of the take rate versus non-Groupon+? And then given that historically, you tend to manage the International by applying your best practices from North America and overseas, and there's historically a lag.

At what point do you think Groupon+ will be ready for International expansion?.

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

Thanks for that, Tom. I'll start and then, Mike, if you have additional color, feel free to chime in. I'd say with Groupon+ in general, we're still very early in how we're approaching that product.

So today it's a free-to-claim product that basically a consumer can come to our website, see an offer, hit the link, and it's loaded automatically onto their card that's enrolled in the program. So are there ways for us to change the economic profile of that product? Of course.

We see opportunities to test and explore paid versions of a Groupon+ product or even really using the card linking platform that we've constructed to allow people to link existing Groupon offers to a card for seamless redemption. So, there are other ways that we're exploring.

But we're seeing great things on the existing free-to-claim product in terms of use and monetization potential. So we're going to lean into that while we start to test some other iterations of the product as we go.

So what I would say there is, don't expect that what you see at Groupon+ is the only version of a card-linked experience that you're going to see on Groupon over time. So there are some pieces there that we're going to be playing with. As far as International, we talked about it historically as being one to two years behind.

And I think we're making up ground there. We're still behind in some of our biggest markets. We still have technologies, as an example, that don't yet have the supply density to be able to fully enable.

So we have some things that need to be done on the core operational approaches, in gathering, supply, and core marketing and merchandising, et cetera, to really fully enable the full suite. But I think we're much more in that year timeline than we've been in a very long time. I don't know if you have a different point of view, Mike..

Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc.

Yeah. So, the only thing I would add just for a little bit of clarity there, Tom, is on the take rate with Groupon+, it's actually near a 100% take rate because your revenue and your billings are almost pretty similar.

And what I would also say is if you look at what we earned from a gross profit perspective, if you were in a similar average order value, the gross profit per transaction is actually not that much different than a voucher.

What you're seeing in the short term is us leaning into and proactively using assets on our site, assets on our mobile app, email assets to encourage enrollment, encourage claims with Groupon+ because we view that as a product that has a lot of potential over the long run.

And therefore, we're trading off some of those impressions today that might otherwise generate gross profit because we believe in the potential of Groupon+. So I just wanted to clarify those points..

Thomas Forte - D.A. Davidson & Co.

Great. Thank you..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

Thanks, Tom..

Operator

Our next question comes from Sameet Sinha with B. Riley FBR..

Sameet Sinha - B. Riley FBR, Inc.

Yes, thank you very much. A couple of questions. So can you elaborate more on your statement about trading off volume for gross profit, and how do you see that extending throughout the year? And secondly, we get asked several times about how Groupon's always been known for as a customer acquisition tool.

Seems like you're ramping up on retention tools with airline miles and, of course, Groupon+. Anything else that you can shed light on so that we can understand how you're glowing your platform on the retention side, as well? Thank you..

Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc.

Sure. So I'll take the first question in terms of volume versus gross profit, and what I would say is our goal over time is to maximize gross profit over an extended period of time.

And so if you look at a given period, we're going to make certain trade-offs during that time period in which we believe not only it may result in higher gross profit in that period but just over an extended period of time.

And what you saw in the fourth quarter is, is that's a period where the inherent demand around the holiday season is quite high, and we utilize that demand to bias towards that which we as a company were going to earn a greater level of gross profit on. And we think that's the right way to think about this over time.

Now, as I think about overcoming periods, it's a combination of both increasing frequency, increasing gross profit per customer, and that ultimately translates into a larger aggregate level of gross profit.

So what you see us leaning into over the longer term are initiatives that we believe have the potential to increase gross profit over an extended period of time, whether it be Groupon+, whether it be bookability, supporting our brand, leaning into International, all of those are things that we believe ultimately achieve both higher volumes and higher gross profit over an extended period of time..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

I think that's right. The only thing I'd add on that is as we move through that process, there will just be some puts and takes.

There are going be seasonal periods where we have high unit volume, high gross profit generating pieces, and other times of the year where say in Q4, as a great example, we're going to make conscious decisions to make less investment in things like deep loss leaders that just drive empty calories and empty traffic.

So we'll be moving those dials and levers as we go with that ultimate idea of driving gross profit over time. On your second question, Sameet, you're exactly right.

That's our bread and butter, the core value prop of Groupon for a small business has been customer acquisition, but as we have thought really deeply about the real opportunity in Local and the one that we're embracing now and moving really aggressively toward, and that's the move towards Groupon as a platform.

That works for merchants every single day, just like it works for consumers every single day. That's requiring us to expand our value prop from being just about customer acquisition with an added benefit of driving more people back, because we've seen that in our data.

We do a great job of keeping people coming back to small businesses, but really productizing, bringing customers back. And the easiest place to see that is really even in Groupon+. It's visible now where a significant portion of our Groupon+ merchants have an ongoing loyalty-based, rewards-style program locked in with their Groupon+ offering.

And that's just the first visible one that you'll see.

And as we bring on more and more market rate or full-price offerings into the marketplace that you're seeing, whether that's through folks like Fanxchange or even then GrubHub, this is about giving merchants a way to drive their business, to access what is a very, very large group of buyers on the Groupon platform in new ways, with different economic profiles, and that allow them to really run the full of their business and have the full digital exposure that they can have on our platform.

So we're in the very early stages of that, but our platform is hardening. You can see that in our booking scale, having literally booked millions of restaurant reservations in International, having hundreds and hundreds of thousands of other bookings occurring on our website, ticketing events happening on our website.

That's all stuff that's coming as part of the platform that adds an ability to have longer-term engagement and longer-term relationships, both for Groupon and for the small businesses and other merchants that we support..

Sameet Sinha - B. Riley FBR, Inc.

Great. Thank you..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

Thanks Sameet..

Operator

Our next question comes from Paul Bieber with Credit Suisse..

Paul Bieber - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC (Broker)

Great. Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. I was hoping you'd provide us with some context on how the adoption of Groupon+ impacts the revenue guidance going forward.

How should we think about the adoption of Groupon+ implied in the guidance? And then just on the 4Q North America take rates, can you just give some color on some of the puts and takes that drove a year-over-year increase in the take rate? Thanks a lot..

Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc.

Sure. So what I would say in terms of the revenue guide, I mean, first let me just highlight that as a company, and we've been pretty consistent on this, is that when we manage our business, we're managing the business for gross profit over an extended period of time.

So, for us, revenue is more an output rather than a specific metric that we're managing to.

What I would say is, is keeping in mind that there is some trade-off in the short term, as I've just mentioned with regards to trading offsite assets to encourage enrollments in claims, that's obviously going to weigh a little bit on revenue in the short term, but that is factored into our guidance and not something that we're breaking out specifically.

With regard to 4Q North America take rates, it really comes down to a couple things. First, keep in mind, in the fourth quarter, that is typically a seasonally high period for us for take rate. Consumers naturally tend to mix into higher margin goods.

Additionally, we continue to get more refined in our ability to identify and promote relevant offers to customers and be able to do so in a way that maximizes gross profit for customers. So, we have algorithms that are naturally sorting and biasing for that in a way that's engaging for the customer.

And what you saw was, was during the quarter, as we continued to think about generating gross profit over an extended period of time, those take rates rose and we saw the benefit of us continuing to manage in ways that work for the customer and work for Groupon..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Chris Merwin with Goldman Sachs..

Christopher Merwin - Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC

Okay, thank you. Just had a couple. So, you've guided to a much narrower range for EBITDA in 2018 than you did at the beginning of last year, and I was just wondering if you could talk a little bit about why that is.

Do you feel like you have better visibility into the cost structure now, as well as gross profit? And maybe if you could quantify the investments that you're making in Groupon+ in 2018. And then just a second question.

It seems like a lot of the headwinds that you called out, some North America billings and gross profit are due to the rollout of Groupon+.

Can you talk a bit about what you're seeing in the early cohorts of Groupon+ that gives you the confidence that the accelerated and directional shift to this product will ultimately be accretive to gross profit and EBITDA over time? Thanks..

Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc.

Sure. Just in terms of the range, what I would say is if you even look at the back part of 2017, we continued to narrow our range in terms of what we were guiding to. And it just reflects the level of visibility that we feel like we have into the business.

Keep in mind, when we gave guidance for 2017, we were still in the midst of an International restructuring and there were a lot more moving parts in the business than there are today. So, today, we just – we've continued to – as we came through 2017 having continued level of visibility as to where we will be heading.

In terms of Groupon+ investment, I would think of the investment in two fold. One is, what you see is, very explicitly within our SG&A, you see our SG&A based on our commentary, our expectations is it will trend up a little bit above inflation this year.

That reflects investments in supporting initiatives such as Groupon+, bookability, third-party inventory on our site, our leaning into our International business. So, that's very explicit. Also, then the other level of investment though is on our site assets, such as our mobile app, our web, where we're actively trading those off.

And I would point to what I talked about earlier with when – on Sam's question was, he asked around – from a billings perspective, what would our billings have been if we adjusted for Groupon+ and OrderUp. And our North America Local billings of 3% would be closer to double digit if you adjust for those two items.

It gives you some degree of sizing around the level of investment that we're making around Groupon+.

But that stems from what Rich was talking about earlier, when we've looked at the behavior from consumers and what we've seen is once they start redeeming their redemption activity is significantly higher than our traditional food and drink purchase frequency. Basically, roughly around the magnitude of 2X.

And so we view this as a long-term investment. And an investment that we're excited to make and excited about the future of..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

Yeah, I think, that's right, Mike. So, Chris, I'd just add a little bit more color on what we see that we're really excited about with Groupon+. And outside of the purchase frequency and I think that's – it's important to couch that for what it is.

This is purchase frequency within food and drink, and it's already at least twice as high in just food and drink. So, that's part of what gets us excited. Because, look, our users buy an awful lot more than just food and drink. They buy from spas and activities and events verticals and on and on.

And so we just have this one product today deployed in food and drink, and we're already seeing really significant traction just in that one space. And on top of that, we see use that's really exciting. Use patterns that's really exciting that's slightly different than our normal food and drink user in the kinds of places that they're visiting.

Much more utility oriented day-to-day style places. It's lunch, it's coffee, it's fast casual dining. It's the kind of things that people do with high frequency. So, the fact that we're tapping into that vein is really exciting for us. And you can even see that in the kinds of brands that are in Groupon+, even in its early days.

You're seeing, of course, a lot of small businesses in there. But you're also seeing national brands like Panda Express, Starbucks, Dunkin' Donuts, Papa John's, things that are, again, high frequency things that people can use a lot.

And so that's also very exciting that we have a product out there that's much more addressable for the national side of what we do, which is important for customer engagement long-term. So, we really like what we see overall and in a lot of different dimensions in those cohorts. And this is all while we're investing in its rollout.

So, we feel really good about our potential here long-term..

Christopher Merwin - Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC

Okay. Thanks a lot..

Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc.

Thanks, Chris..

Operator

Our next question comes from Justin Patterson with Raymond James..

Justin T. Patterson - Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Great. Thank you very much. Two from me please. Mike, I wanted to unpack your statement on using impressions that generate gross profit to drive Groupon+ enrollments and claims.

Can you talk about the efficiency of this? In your test, how is this method of driving enrollment compared to your other types of marketing activities? And then secondly, will be the obligatory GDPR question. Obviously that's top of mind for a lot of companies these days.

How should we think about the puts and takes of GDPR on your business? Is there anything that changes on customer acquisition and targeting for you? Thanks..

Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc.

Yeah, I would say from our perspective, in terms of explicit cost – I'll take the GDPR one first. In terms of explicit costs on GDPR, that's embedded in our cost guidance. That does – it's – it is a measurable cost to comply with GDPR. But we're making great progress and we expect to fully comply with GDPR.

And what I would just say is that is certainly an additional cost of doing business in the International markets. And it does certainly add to the costs, but what I look at is – internationally, I just look at the broader picture internationally. And I look at the broader opportunity internationally outside the U.S.

And I keep – we continue to think about, as Rich talked about, it's twice the addressable population size, and half the gross profit that we generate in North America. And so when we think about International, we still see a business that even despite things like GDPR offers tremendous, tremendous potential in the years to come.

And really, lots of potential for gross profit upside over the coming year. So, we think that's one small piece of operating in those markets and we're prepared to do that. On the question with regards to impressions, I think there's a couple of things and some of it's how the customers actually function.

When someone starts engaging with Groupon+, they actually have to claim a deal. That does physically require an impression to do. So, it's not like you could simply replace that with a marketing activity. But at the time when a customer claims, we don't earn any gross profit at that moment.

But if we – in lieu of that, we had offered them a traditional voucher deal, we would earn gross profit. So we're actively making that trade-off. We believe it's the right trade-off, because like Rich talked about, we see this being very engaging for consumers over the long run.

In addition to just the frequency metrics, it's simply a better experience over the longer term. And it creates from our perspective, a greater degree of scalability over an extended period of time. And so that's the right trade-off from our perspective to make..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

Yeah, I think that's right. Just a couple of things to add there. Again, our number one focus with that product is scaling.

And we – it's the beauty of frankly having the portfolio of operations that we have at this point, having an International business that we believe has a lot of runway to continue to improve on the fundamentals that we've demonstrated in the U.S. over the last couple of years, while we invest and double down on what we see in Groupon+.

So, we're going to be making scale-based decisions there and doing the work that we have to do to balance the delivery using our portfolio of products and capabilities. The only other thing that I'd add on GDPR, by the way, you asked does it change anything with our targeting.

It's still very early, I think, for a lot of marketers and advertisers in the space and we all have a lot to learn. But the thing for us is, I would say marketing technology in particular is a competitive advantage for Groupon.

We've invested very heavily over the last five years in our marketing technology stack and everything from machine learning science and AI being deployed in that space.

So we feel very good about our ability to even in a more data-constrained environment and specifically the data specificity at a user level, if that's constrained our ability to do advanced modeling on top of that and still ensure that we have an efficient and productive marketing program, I think, is significantly ahead of most of the folks that operate in the space.

So, we feel really good about our position there..

Justin T. Patterson - Raymond James & Associates, Inc.

Got it. Thank you, Rich and Mike..

Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc.

Thanks, Justin..

Operator

Our next question comes from Jon Lanterman with Morgan Stanley..

Jonathan P. Lanterman - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. I have two. One on International Local and one on just areas of investment. For International Local, I was a little surprised to see the results. Looks like they were down on an FX-neutral basis.

Given the runway here in the business, how would you assess the quarter's performance and then kind of looking into 2018 and further down the line, how are you thinking about building the two-sided network with supply and ultimately more customers? A few years ago you guys really stepped up marketing in North America, pointing to that 12 to 18 month payback window, kind of given similar dynamics in International, inarguably much longer runway, kind of why aren't you doing the same here? Or is it just more about building that two-sided network first.

And then for areas of investment, good, you talked about trimming low calories here, like consumer electronics. Looks like this has worked. Gross profit was quite strong in the quarter, and in addition, kind of cutting SG&A.

When you think about the business holistically, have these been the right moves or kind of said another way, is this affecting supply at all or maybe engagement? How are you kind of thinking about those trade-offs if at all? Thank you..

Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc.

I'll take the International question first and I would say, first, we're extremely pleased with our performance internationally. I mean, we increased gross profit by over $20 million year-over-year in the fourth quarter alone. And that was, from our perspective, a great result.

And what I would say is, when you look at billings, first of all, billings as we've talked about, that's not the measure we're managing to. And what I would look at is, look at our Local growth, in terms of gross profit, it was up 11% on Goods, we were up 22% on an FX-neutral basis.

And what I would say is in the fourth quarter that tends to be a quarter that is inherently biased towards Goods, just given the very nature. So, overall, we're very pleased with the performance internationally and that was a big contributor for us as a company to reaching record EBITDA of $105 million and our first year of GAAP profitability.

So overall, extremely pleased there. And what I'd just say, going back to the comments we made earlier, is International, from our perspective, has a long, long runway. And keep in mind, our gross profit in International this year was roughly $400 million, roughly half of North America. And yet, it has twice the addressable population.

So literally, over an extended period of time, over an extended number of years has the potential to add hundreds of millions of dollars to gross profit. And we think it's tied to applying our North America playbook in the way we've applied in the last several years here in North America to International.

So, we think there's lots of potential there and we think we're at the beginning of untapping that..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

And, Jon, on your other questions around areas of investment, you called out something I think is really important here and it's the development of the two-sided marketplace.

And this is a spot where I would say if we're tough on ourselves, we haven't been great at this in the past where we – we haven't been as, I think, acutely aware of the balance that you need to strike in the marketplace between consumers, and in our case, merchants. And I think of it really like the rungs of a ladder.

In some cases we were taking two big rungs up on the consumer side and supply wasn't moving in parallel. So we might be lagging a step or a rung or two on the supply side. And that's absolutely the case in International, and I think as you've seen us invest heavily and getting supply up to speed there, the business is starting to crank.

And that's when now we start investing more and more in consumers, et cetera. Same thing in North America. We put a big push behind consumers because we had grown supply really quickly and we need to get consumers back up, and now we're starting to meter that a little bit more effectively.

And I think we're in a place with our real kind of core third-party and marketplace initiatives, you're going to see supply take another big step up, at least I would expect to see supply take another big step up on the backs of things like Groupon+ as well as our third-party integrations that you've seen more and more of over the last couple of quarters.

So really for the company moving forward, you're going to see us moving, trying to move the rungs of the ladder in a more consistent way while we're moving consumers up and merchants up more in a lock-step environment so that we can make progress.

On your other question of the steps that we've taken on really as we've looked at kind of rightsizing the cost structure of the business and bringing it into a much more sustainable and scalable place on the SG&A side.

And even some of the decisions we've made to reduce the amount of negative margin and ultra-low margin or zero margin goods in consumer electronics. I'd say, look, the kind of the data speaks for itself in this way. We had a close to a five-year trend of declining gross profit.

We've turned that into a place of gross profit growth over the last couple of years, while driving EBITDA growth.

And so if you even look at it in the fullness of the picture through 2018, if we're in our guidance range in adjusted EBITDA in 2018 relative to where we were just a year into this process in 2016, you're talking about north of 25% adjusted EBITDA growth over the course of a couple of years.

So I think we've actually put the business in a really strong place.

And, yes, we've given up some things that on the optical side might look a little challenging, but this is about focusing the business on quality, not just raw quantity because we've seen in the past that raw quantity doesn't build the kind of sustainable base that we believe we need in order to do the big things that really unlock this business, like Groupon+, like frictionless experiences, like booking and reservations and on and on.

That's the stuff that really needs that sustainable cost base, the efficiency in our model, the focus in our team to be able to make those investments in those things long-term that really give us the big opportunity that this space represents and that we deeply believe in.

So my take on it is that we made the right calls and the business is in a healthier place than arguably it's ever been, especially having record quarters on adjusted EBITDA, having full-year GAAP net income and over $50 million of GAAP net income in Q4.

So I feel like we're in a pretty good place and set up to continue to invest and scale the business and really start to play offense, which coming off a couple of years of defensive play is a pretty exciting time..

Jonathan P. Lanterman - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC

Thank you..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

Thanks..

Operator

Our next question comes from Matt Trusz with Gabelli & Company..

Matthew Trusz - Gabelli & Company

Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I have two. First, on slide five of your presentation, you talked about your balance sheet in the context of strategic flexibility. So if you can just discuss biz dev and the type and level of opportunities you're seeing with respect to both partnerships and M&A in 2018..

Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc.

Sure. So what I would say is from our standpoint, as we think about capital allocation, one of the factors we consider is strategic flexibility.

And what I would say in general is from both Rich and I's (59:13) perspective, our view is, on M&A, we have consistently maintained a really high bar on M&A, but what I would also say is there are things over time which we could see being additive to our platform.

And what I would say is though, the way we would think about anything that we would consider adding to our platform is it would have to be something that we felt was deeply aligned with our strategy, it was additive to our customer experience, and/or it would be additive to supply, and it would be something that we had a high degree of confidence in terms of its synergistic value, and something that we could look at and say we're really confident about extracting the value over a coming period.

So that's the way we think about it. Deep alignment with strategy, high degree of synergistic value, but that's something we think about in terms of maintaining strategic flexibility..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

one, there's a lot of people that want access to what we have, which is 50 million buyers in Local, a lot of data that allows us to target those buyers really effectively, and help people meet their business goals, and within that, a willing partner that will work with brands to really help them meet their needs and open up new opportunity spaces for them.

So we've discovered a lot of demand for partnership in this space, and really at this point it's about being strategic with the partnership integration work that we have in front of us on the potential side to make sure that we're putting the biggest and best foot forward for our customers to give them more of what we know they want.

So, again I would expect to see more of this coming on both fronts, both integrating that third-party offerings into our existing ecosystem, but more and more also seeing Groupon pushing its offers outside of the ecosystem. So expect to see both of those continue to grow throughout 2018 and hopefully well, well beyond..

Matthew Trusz - Gabelli & Company

Got it. Thank you. And then speaking to a specific partnership, the one with GrubHub, can you just talk about how that will ramp once it's onboarded in the first quarter and what do you expect it to meaningfully add to gross profit or EBITDA this year? Thanks..

Rich Williams - Groupon, Inc.

Sure. Let me start on the first part, Matt. And it's a great question because for us, the GrubHub integration really is in a couple phases. So the first phase will launch – at least expected to launch in Q1.

And that will really be just ingesting the core of the GrubHub experience and more closely matching what was Groupon To Go, just getting the plumbing in place to be able to do that and we'll roll that out smoothly as we go.

Then there's a second phase that will come later in the year that's really about adding what Groupon does best, and that's kind of layering in our offer capabilities, our extra demand gen capabilities on top of that where we have mutual relationships with lots of restaurants, especially as Groupon+ begins to scale and keeps scaling.

As we bring more and more restaurants under that platform, we have an opportunity to, of course, layer those pieces on where we can drive some incremental demand to GrubHub restaurants using our customer acquisition horsepower there. So expect that to come out. And, Mike, I don't know if you have any color you want to add on contribution..

Mike Randolfi - Groupon, Inc.

Yeah, I mean, I would just say, Matt, that's not something we'd break out specifically. As Rich said, we're excited about the partnership, but I would say that's all included in the guidance that we provided today..

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude the Q&A portion of today's conference. I'd like to turn the call back over to our host. Again ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude the Q&A portion of our conference. I'd like to end the conference today. You may all disconnect and have a wonderful day..

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