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Consumer Cyclical - Auto - Manufacturers - NASDAQ - US
$ 41.97
0.311 %
$ 1.32 B
Market Cap
13.03
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jun, 21, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one BLBD stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 42 USD, Blue Bird Corporation is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jun, 21, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one BLBD stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 42 USD, Blue Bird Corporation is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jun, 21, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one BLBD stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 42 USD, Blue Bird Corporation is HIDDEN

2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart BLBD

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$44.0$44.0$42.0$42.0$40.0$40.0$38.0$38.0$36.0$36.0$34.0$34.0$32.0$32.0$30.0$30.0Jan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '2515 Apr15 AprMay '25May '2515 May15 MayJun '25Jun '2515 Jun15 Jun
FINANCIALS
1.35 B REVENUE
18.92%
139 M OPERATING INCOME
169.72%
106 M NET INCOME
343.25%
111 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-7.35%
-15.8 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-85.62%
-46.6 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-8.62%
359 M REVENUE
14.33%
33.7 M OPERATING INCOME
2.02%
26 M NET INCOME
-9.32%
27.8 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
5.15%
-9.02 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-77.11%
-24.1 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-87.19%
Balance Sheet Blue Bird Corporation
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Current Assets 323 M
Cash & Short-Term Investments 128 M
Receivables 59.1 M
Other Current Assets 137 M
Non-Current Assets 202 M
Long-Term Investments 32.1 M
PP&E 97.7 M
Other Non-Current Assets 71.8 M
24.33 %11.26 %26.02 %6.11 %18.60 %13.67 %Total Assets$524.9m
Current Liabilities 236 M
Accounts Payable 143 M
Short-Term Debt 5 M
Other Current Liabilities 87.8 M
Non-Current Liabilities 129 M
Long-Term Debt 90 M
Other Non-Current Liabilities 39.4 M
39.19 %24.04 %24.63 %10.77 %Total Liabilities$365.3m
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Blue Bird Corporation
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Revenue 1.35 B
Cost Of Revenue 1.09 B
Gross Profit 256 M
Operating Expenses 117 M
Operating Income 139 M
Other Expenses 33.8 M
Net Income 106 M
1b1b1b1b1b1b800m800m600m600m400m400m200m200m001b(1b)256m(117m)139m(34m)106mRevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
19.01% GROSS MARGIN
19.01%
10.34% OPERATING MARGIN
10.34%
7.83% NET MARGIN
7.83%
66.15% ROE
66.15%
20.11% ROA
20.11%
35.00% ROIC
35.00%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Blue Bird Corporation
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120m120m100m100m80m80m60m60m40m40m20m20m00(20m)(20m)(40m)(40m)(60m)(60m)(80m)(80m)201620162017201720182018201920192020202020212021202220222023202320242024
Net Income 106 M
Depreciation & Amortization 14.8 M
Capital Expenditures -15.3 M
Stock-Based Compensation 8.61 M
Change in Working Capital -12.5 M
Others 16.2 M
Free Cash Flow 95.8 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Blue Bird Corporation
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for BLBD of $60 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $48 to a high of $66 .
BLBD Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
48 USD 14.37%
BLBD Average Price Target Wall Street Target
60 USD 42.96%
BLBD Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
66 USD 57.26%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
707065656060555550504545404035353030Aug '24Aug '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26Jun '26Jun '26Jul '26Jul '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 6
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Blue Bird Corporation
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
1.53 M USD 1
3-6 MONTHS
109 K USD 1
6-9 MONTHS
822 K USD 1
9-12 MONTHS
6.86 M USD 5
Bought
15.7 K USD 1
0-3 MONTHS
17.4 K USD 1
3-6 MONTHS
27.4 K USD 1
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
Blue Bird Still Looks Cheap For A Stock With This Much Visibility Blue Bird delivered record EV sales in Q2 FY25, helping drive 3.8% YoY topline growth despite tough prior-year comps. Strong demand for both EV and traditional buses, plus a robust backlog of 4,900 units, provides solid sales visibility for upcoming quarters. Tariffs on Chinese components may temporarily moderate EV production, but ICE and alternative fuel bus demand supports overall volume growth. seekingalpha.com - 2 weeks ago
Why Blue Bird (BLBD) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today Blue Bird (BLBD) reached $40.80 at the closing of the latest trading day, reflecting a -1.14% change compared to its last close. zacks.com - 3 weeks ago
Wall Street Analysts Think Blue Bird (BLBD) Is a Good Investment: Is It? When deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock, investors often rely on analyst recommendations. Media reports about rating changes by these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts often influence a stock's price, but are they really important? zacks.com - 1 month ago
Blue Bird's Foundation Donates More Than $50,000 to Community Groups in Georgia MACON, Ga.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The Blue Bird School Bus Foundation, charitable arm of iconic school bus manufacturer Blue Bird Corporation (Nasdaq: BLBD), continues to advance the education, health, and safety of children in its home state of Georgia. The Foundation hosted a community event at its corporate headquarters in Macon, Ga., and awarded a total of $53,300 to ten local area nonprofit organizations, including: 1. Atrium Health Navicent The Medical Center 6. Peach Association for Intellect. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Blue Bird (BLBD) Is Considered a Good Investment by Brokers: Is That True? When deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock, investors often rely on analyst recommendations. Media reports about rating changes by these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts often influence a stock's price, but are they really important? zacks.com - 1 month ago
Blue Bird: Made In America Sentiment Matters - Upgrade To Buy BLBD has already emerged as a potential winner in the school bus segment during the intensified tariff war, as its competitors report impacted sales. The same has already been observed in its double beat FQ2'25 performance and reiterated FY2025/ long-term (2028+) guidance, thanks to its highly strategic US-based presence. While tariffs may pose COGS headwinds from 2026 onwards, we may see BLBD raise prices instead, allowing them to navigate the near-term uncertainties. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Blue Bird Corporation: A Strong Play, Even In Light Of Tariff Terror Blue Bird Corporation's Q2 2025 results showed revenue growth and higher adjusted EPS, despite missing analysts' earnings expectations, reinforcing my 'strong buy' rating. Management's narrowed guidance and reaffirmed long-term outlook, along with undervalued stock pricing, highlight significant growth potential, especially in electric bus deliveries. Profitability metrics were mixed, but adjusted operating cash flow rose, and future projections suggest substantial upside potential, with shares trading at attractive multiples. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript Blue Bird Corporation (NASDAQ:BLBD ) Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 7, 2025 4:30 PM ET Company Participants Mark Benfield - Head, IR John Wyskiel - President & CEO Razvan Radulescu - CFO Conference Call Participants Mike Shlisky - D.A. Davidson Eric Stine - Craig-Hallum Tyler DiMatteo - BTIG Craig Irwin - ROTH Capital Partners Chris Pierce - Needham Operator Good morning or good afternoon. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Blue Bird (BLBD) Q2 Earnings Match Estimates Blue Bird (BLBD) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.96 per share, in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. This compares to earnings of $0.89 per share a year ago. zacks.com - 1 month ago
Blue Bird Reports Fiscal 2025 Second Quarter Results; Beats Second Quarter Guidance With Record Result; Reaffirms 2025 Guidance and Long-Term Outlook MACON, Ga.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Blue Bird Corporation (“Blue Bird”) (Nasdaq: BLBD), the leader in electric and low-emission school buses, announced today its fiscal 2025 second quarter results. Highlights (in millions except Unit Sales and EPS data)   Three Months Ended March 29, 2025   B/(W) Prior Year   Six Months Ended March 29, 2025   B/(W) Prior Year Unit Sales     2,295     41     4,425     42 GAAP Measures:                 Revenue   $ 358.9   $ 12.9   $ 672.7   $ 9.1 Net Income   $ 26.0   $. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Blue Bird Gears Up to Report Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BLBD's fiscal second-quarter EPS and revenues is pegged at 96 cents and $390 million, respectively. zacks.com - 1 month ago
Blue Bird Looks Quite Cheap Even After Factoring In Policy Uncertainties Blue Bird Corporation is undervalued, trading at a forward non-GAAP P/E multiple of 8.8x, significantly lower than the sector median of ~17.7x. Despite uncertainty in EV bus adoption, BLBD benefits from an aging bus fleet and underinvestment in buses for the last 5 years. BLBD's recent financial performance exceeded expectations, with strong revenue and EPS, and management maintaining optimistic year-end guidance despite policy headwinds. seekingalpha.com - 2 months ago
8. Profile Summary

Blue Bird Corporation BLBD

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Auto - Manufacturers
MARKET CAP $ 1.32 B
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Description Blue Bird Corporation designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses and related parts in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. The company offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative fuel applications through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was formerly known as Hennessy Capital Acquisition Corp. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.
Contact 3920 Arkwright Road, Macon, GA, 31210 https://www.blue-bird.com
IPO Date March 20, 2014
Employees 1945
Officers Mr. Tim Gordon Senior Vice President of Sales & Marketing Ms. Jolene O'Brien Paver Senior Vice President & Chief Human Resources Officer Mr. Razvan Radulescu Chief Financial Officer Mr. John Wyskiel President, Chief Executive Officer & Director Mr. Eric Boule President & Chief Executive Officer of Micro Bird Craig West Vice President – Corporate Controller & Treasurer Mr. Ted M. Scartz J.D. Senior Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary Mr. Jeff Sanfrey Chief Operating Officer Mr. Mark R. Benfield Executive Director of Profitability & Investor Relations