$19.90
-4.5%Nature's Sunshine Products, Inc., a natural health and wellness company, primarily manufactures and sells nutritional and personal care products in Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and internationally. It offers general health products related to blood sugar support, bone health, cellular health, cognitive function, joint health, mood, sexual health, sleep, sports and energy, and vision. The company also provides immunity, cardiovascular, and digestive products; and personal care products, such as oils and lotions, aloe vera gels, herbal shampoos, herbal skin treatment, toothpaste, and skin cleansers, as well as weight management products. It offers its products under the Nature's Sunshine and Synergy WorldWide brands through a sales force of independent consultants. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Lehi, Utah.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $70.6M | $141.3M | $282.6M | $565.1M | $1.1B | $2.3B | $4.5B | $9.0B | $18.1B | $36.2B |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$2.6M | -$5.2M | -$10.4M | -$20.7M | -$41.5M | -$82.9M | -$165.9M | -$331.8M | -$663.6M | -$1.3B |
| Owner Earnings | $68.1M | $136.1M | $272.2M | $544.4M | $1.1B | $2.2B | $4.4B | $8.7B | $17.4B | $34.8B |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | $63.0M | $116.7M | $216.1M | $400.2M | $741.0M | $1.4B | $2.5B | $4.7B | $8.7B | $16.1B |
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