image
Consumer Cyclical - Specialty Retail - NYSE - US
$ 130.65
-0.13 %
$ 16.5 B
Market Cap
15.54
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2018 - Q2
image
Operator

Welcome to the Williams-Sonoma, Inc. Second Quarter 2017 (sic) [ 2018 ] Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] This call is being recorded..

I would now like to turn the call over to Beth Potillo-Miller, Senior Vice President of Finance, to discuss non- and GAAP financial measures and forward-looking statements. Please go ahead. .

Beth Potillo-Miller

Thank you, Shannon. Good afternoon, everyone. This call should be considered in conjunction with the press release that we issued earlier today..

During the first quarter of 2017, we incurred severance-related charges of approximately $6 million or $0.04 per diluted share. These charges were recorded as SG&A expense within the unallocated segment.

Also during the first quarter, we incurred tax expense of approximately $1 million or $0.02 per diluted share associated with the adoption of new accounting rules related to stock-based compensation. .

The remainder of the discussion today will reference full year guidance related to diluted EPS and operating margin on a non-GAAP basis excluding these unusual items.

A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and our explanation of why the non-GAAP financial measures may be useful are discussed in our press release. .

This call also contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, which address the financial condition, results of operations, business initiatives, trends, guidance, growth plans and prospects of the company in 2017 and beyond, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements.

Please refer to the company's current press release and SEC filings, including the most recent 10-K for more information on these risks and uncertainties. The company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this call..

I will now turn the conference call over to Laura Alber, our President and Chief Executive Officer. Thank you. .

Laura Alber President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Good afternoon, and thank you all for joining us today. On the call with me are Julie Whalen, our Chief Financial Officer; and John Strain, our Digital and Chief Technology Officer..

Our second quarter results reflect the strength of our brands and our competitive advantages as well as our relentless focus on driving innovation and operational excellence. The acceleration of our revenue growth to 3.7% with comp growth of 2.8% demonstrates the investments and actions we are taking are driving improved top line performance..

Our success with our key initiatives is centered upon delivering value, quality and excellent service to meet our customers' changing needs. And we are aggressively building upon these initiatives to further differentiate ourselves and to drive growth. .

Digital leadership is one of our highest priorities. We are increasing our investments to improve the customer experience and engagement and to drive profitable top line growth. As you're aware, one of our key areas of focus this year is an investment in new customer acquisition through increased digital advertising.

Year-to-date, we have significantly increased our digital advertising investment. And as a result, we are seeing strong new customer counts with higher traffic trends and increased orders. And our commitment to increasing our top-of-funnel digital advertising spend has allowed us to reach more customers.

We've also experienced strong new customer growth in the key channels of paid search, display and social advertising. .

In an effort to drive engagement with our customers through relevance across all of our brands, we are expanding our one-to-one personalization efforts. We've experienced an uplift in engagement and higher margins with our new personalization-based e-mails and we are seeing the same results translate to our sites.

By the end of the fiscal year, we anticipate tripling the number of personalized impressions delivered on our website, enabled by both an expansion of personalization campaigns and improved customer identification..

We have several high-impact e-commerce initiatives going live throughout Q3. We are replatforming our mobile experience, leveraging the latest progressive web app technology that will feature a highly engaging, fast-performing app-like experience.

We are launching a redesign of our product information pages, introducing improved functionality, product information and storytelling.

And we are taking our key loyalty program to the next level with an improved in-store experience, customer self-service options and capability that will enable us to introduce new and enhanced services for our key members.

We are also testing various digital innovation initiatives in specific brands and based on our findings, will implement best practices across the portfolio..

For example, in PBteen, we improved the ship-to-store experience, specifically for our PB Dorm customers. While the pilot is still in flight, early results are very positive both for the customers in terms of convenience and for our stores in terms of driving traffic.

This has been a great test and advance of our "buy online, pick up in store" program that we'll be first launching in the Williams-Sonoma brand this fall. .

On our Pottery Barn brand site, we introduced a new feature called Favorites that allows our customers to bookmark their favorite products across our desktop and mobile sites. We've already seen great response with over 600,000 favorites in less than 6 weeks and the directly attributable revenue has exceeded our expectations.

We'll be rolling this feature out to all brands this quarter..

Our West Elm team launched the Pinterest Style Finder tool in July. This digital search tool is just 1 example of the artificial intelligence-based solutions that we are working on.

It is a great complement to the efforts we are driving on the augmented reality digitalization front across our brands, where we already have over 130,000 SKUs encoded in 3D that we are using both on our sites and in conjunction with our app. .

Second, our supply chain remains a primary focus for us and we are continuing to invest in those initiatives that directly improve our customers' experience and value perception and that position us even further ahead of the competition..

Order visibility is a key area of focus for us. We've been working aggressively to both improve the customer experience and drive efficiencies at our stores and care centers. We want our customers to know precisely where the furniture is in the delivery process.

In Q3, we'll be enhancing our customer order visibility platform, enabling customers to better track the status of their furniture orders and even receive text alerts when the driver is en route.

As it relates to damage-free and speed of delivery, we've seen significant improvements in our metrics and are aggressively challenging ways to find further advancements..

On speed of delivery, our ongoing process optimization efforts have yielded improvements in both our furniture home delivery and our conveyable parcel delivery network. Productivity increases have not only driven shorter delivery times, but have also resulted in a reduction in operating expenses.

And in our upholstery manufacturing operations, we've increased productivity to all-time high..

From a cost efficiency perspective, we've realized savings in several areas as a result of our optimization efforts, including order consolidation improvements, increased pieces for delivery and meaningful reductions and returns and replacements. .

Also in the quarter, we launched a new international direct ship solution that combines our advantages of direct sourcing in Asia with our domestic logistics network. This also allows a stability to strategically expand our assortments without impacting our regional distribution centers.

While we have just launched the program in Q2, we are enthusiastic about the incremental opportunities that this represents.

Our supply chain efforts are yielding results as indicated both by our improved customer metrics and the feedback we are receiving from our customer service surveys on some of the most critical customer touch points, including our home delivery network and care center. .

In Q2, we expanded our survey capability to allow us to directly solicit feedback from customers on every in-home delivery and every call. The insights from this research not only validate our progress to date, but most importantly, allow us to identify opportunities to better service our customers in the future.

We'll continue to prioritize these customer-centric initiatives as our supply chain is a competitive advantage for us and a critical component of the customer experience. .

Finally, in retail, we know that our stores competitive advantaged and our multichannel model, especially in our industry, will allow us to lead. And as a result, we have been working on several opportunities to maximize this competitive advantage.

Across all brands, our retail presence offers customers an important source of inspiration and having experienced sales associates and in-home designers working through the complexities of an in-home design experience is a competitive advantage for us.

We recently took our leading in-home design services to the next level with the launch of Design Crew, a new complementarity cross-brand design service.

The Design Crew initiative will offer our customers personal assistance from design professionals to find products and services for a variety of unique needs, leveraging our portfolio of brands in an integrated way.

Our experts are especially trained to help customers with many home requests such as decorating, renovating, entertaining, cooking and gift-giving. This service further reinforces our commitment to provide outstanding service to our customers and deepens our relationship with both new and returning shoppers.

Additionally, to enhance the customer experience in all of our stores, we've been investing in point-of-sale technology and scheduling tools, which will provide operational efficiencies and elevated service levels..

We've also been focused on retail optimization across our brand and have driven improved financial results from both closing underperforming stores and successfully remodeling or relocating existing stores. .

Now I'd like to discuss the performance of our brands and their progress on their product initiatives. I'm excited to talk to you about the progress in Pottery Barn, which delivered a 1.2% revenue comp in the second quarter.

The Pottery Barn team has been working very hard on the repositioning of the brand and has developed a road map of initiative to implement across all areas of the business from product to value to marketing. .

As a result of these initiatives, we're seeing positive response in customer satisfaction metrics, customer counts and increased sales. We're driving improvements in multiple categories. Our new furniture collections are strong.

And most exciting is that our decorative accessories, entertaining and textile categories, where we are driving growth with our focus on easy decorating and seasonal ideas that convert new customers. .

In our fall collection, we launched a broader assortment of opening price points, small space solutions and a wider range of aesthetics and we are just getting started. We recently launched a collaboration with Emily & Meritt after very successful initial customer reaction has been strong.

Also, we announced an exclusive collaboration with the designer Monique Lhuillier, which will debut in the holiday season. Our brand repositioning is working. Our new product introductions, opening price points, merchandising strategy, improved strong experiences and fresh approach to marketing are all resonating with our customers.

The Pottery Barn team has made significant progress on these strategies to increase brand relevance and acquire new customers, and we believe we will continue to see further acceleration in growth in Pottery Barn..

In Pottery Barn Kids, while comp revenues declined 3.9%, demand revenue was positive in the second quarter. Our customers are responding favorably to our back-to-school assortment, our textiles and our furniture collections.

In particular, nursery furniture continues to grow double digits, and we continue to make progress transitioning all nursery and bedroom furniture to GREENGUARD certification. .

We remain focused on expanding our baby business. We're seeing a favorable response to our curated line of Baby Gear, launched in April, which is attracting new customers to the brand, and drove a double-digit increase in registry creations in the quarter. .

During the quarter, we introduced our back-to-school gear collection featuring innovative designs, new personalization options and waste-free lunch solutions, and the customer response has been excellent..

We recently launched our fall and Halloween collections, and are also encouraged by the early response to those.

These results, along with the performance we are seeing in our back-to-school collection and the increased level of assortments we have built in these important seasonal categories, give us the confidence in the success of our Q3 and Q4 strategies..

PBteen posted a 0.2% revenue comp, a significant turnaround from Q1 results of negative 14.3%, with improvement across all major categories as well as in our inventory position and our ability to serve our customer.

We launched our fall collection during the quarter and are encouraged by the customer response to our increased aesthetic diversity, revamped offerings across many categories and our focus on value. .

Furniture continues to deliver positive results, driven by introductions in our bedroom furniture business and expanded lounge seating options. In the textile and accessory categories, we saw a dramatic improvement with our fall launch, giving us confidence for the upcoming seasons. .

And in our back-to-school business, we are seeing breakout results in our Dorm offerings, which feature innovative and stylish solutions for small-space living. Our collaborations remain an important strategy and we continue to see exceptional response to our new Emily & Meritt collection.

We'll continue to build upon these successes and are joining forces with top talent and beloved brands to deliver next-level product exclusivity and compelling digital content. .

We've recently announced our license collaboration with Harry Potter. The collection is designed with iconic Harry Potter references across a range of home decor, including furniture, bedding and decorative accessories to transform any bedroom into a magical space.

The collection will launch in September and we have other exciting product launches scheduled for fall and holiday, including a collaboration with iconic fashion designer Anna Sui. With the recent improved trends in PBteen, we are optimistic about the quarter ahead.

Our fall offering is strong, our back-to-school businesses are delivering meaningful volume and the pipeline is full of new launches, new collaborations and a compelling holiday assortment..

The Williams-Sonoma brand ended the quarter with a 1.9% comparable brand revenue growth. We continue to execute on our strategies of high-quality merchandise at great values, elevating the experience across all channels and acquiring new customers.

From a merchandising perspective, we continue to see growth by offering our customers exclusive products available only at Williams-Sonoma. We continue to expand our own Williams-Sonoma branded line, while at the same time deliver exclusive innovation from our strategic vendor partners.

We had a strong summer season with introductions of exclusive outdoor cookware, and innovative products that capitalized on current cooking trends.

We launched several key collaborations in our food business, including a line of food products with New York Times' best-selling cookbook author, TV personality and country music singer, Trisha Yearwood, which were among some of our most popular selling food items this season. .

In our marketing efforts, we continue to interact with existing and new customers with a variety of initiatives. For the third consecutive year, Williams-Sonoma presented the culinary stage at BottleRock in Napa, California.

Chefs and celebrities including Martha Stewart, Jesse Tyler Ferguson, José Andrés, Chef Morimoto and Ayesha and Steph Curry partnered in culinary-themed performances to entertain audiences throughout the entire event.

We also participated in the Atlanta Food & Wine event and hosted a wide array of events and book signing across our entire retail fleet of chefs and personalities, including Giada..

Also, Williams-Sonoma Home continued its strong performance in the second quarter. We expanded our retail presence in Williams-Sonoma Home, adding product into 7 additional locations in the quarter, bringing the total to 51 store locations with Williams-Sonoma Home product.

In the third quarter, we'll be placing Williams-Sonoma Home into 13 more stores as well as converting a Pottery Barn store in Chelsea, New York to a freestanding Home location. .

Looking to fall, we are already seeing great consumer response to our fall seasonal lineup and we are excited about new-product collaborations and a number of new exclusive launches. Additionally, we'll be launching a key strategic program, "buy online, pick up in store" that we believe will be transformative in driving incremental sales. .

Now I'd like to talk about West Elm. As we announced at the beginning of June, Alex Bellos has returned to West Elm to lead the brand after 4 years of driving the rejuvenation, transformation and growth strategy.

His deep experience at West Elm before moving over to Rejuvenation allowed him to drive quick results at the brand, and his transition to the brand is a great demonstration of the power of our multi-brand strategy and deep bench of talent across our organization. .

In Alex's first quarter with West Elm, growth has reaccelerated to 14.3% with comp brand revenues of 10.1%. The West Elm team has quickly worked to focus on promotional messaging, streamlined pricing strategies and to reassert the key brand differentiators of product choice, community building and consciousness in sourcing. .

We drove a very successful outdoor season with additional depth in key collections and breadth across new materials and functions.

The launch of our new Italian modern furniture collection in June is a great representation of our market leadership in design, and the strong customer feedback to the collection builds a solid foundation for continued launches and growth throughout the year..

On the sourcing front, we continued our leadership with launching and scaling Fair Trade in the home industry. We certified the first Fair Trade furniture factory in Vietnam in the quarter, bringing our top-selling furniture collection and over 2,500 more workers into a program that now benefits over 5,000 workers in 4 countries.

We're also promoting economic development here in the United States with a focus on local sourcing, expanding our local showcase program to over 800 artisans and designers across all of our store markets.

Our focus on conscious sourcing at home and abroad continues to be a major differentiator for the brand and drives benefit not only for our vendor partners, their workers and their communities, also for our overall supply chain and customers. We continued our focus on expanding the brand footprint to new geographic areas and market segments.

We opened 2 new stores in Phoenix, Arizona and Portland, Maine within the quarters and both stores are performing above our expectations..

We have 7 additional store openings throughout the remainder of the year and continue to see our profitable expansion of West Elm's retail fleet as a major competitive advantage to build sales and brand awareness. We also continue to build our business into new market segments.

We debuted more than 20 new products and solutions in our West Elm Workspace line at NeoCon in Chicago, including a new collaboration with the world-renowned design firm, Gensler, and product design innovator, Qdesign, where we won 3 coveted Best of NeoCon awards and Interior Design Magazine's HiP award.

We also announced 2 new locations for West Elm HOTELS, offering us a unique and powerful tool to expose new customers to the West Elm brand and to deepen our relationships with the current customers..

Now I'd like to discuss our newer businesses, Rejuvenation and Mark and Graham as well as our global business. Rejuvenation delivered another quarter of double-digit comp growth, driven by expansion online and a national store rollout that continues to be effective at driving profitable multichannel sales and customer acquisition.

Greater depths in the core lighting and hardware categories are important to growth, accelerated by new businesses in furniture, textile and furniture accessories.

Our commitment to our manufacturing roots in Portland as well as our partnerships with domestic manufacturers across the country is fundamental to the growth and strategic direction of this business. .

As previously announced in July, we welcomed Ryan Ross back to Williams-Sonoma, Inc. to lead Rejuvenation. This is a return to our company for Ryan, where from 2000 to 2008 he held positions of increasing responsibility in the company's Pottery Barn brand, culminating in the role of Vice President of E-commerce.

Ryan most recently served as Executive Vice President of Marketing, Creative and Digital Commerce at HSN. Ryan has great multichannel expertise and we're excited about his ability to lead our Rejuvenation management team and their continued effort to drive accelerated and profitable growth in this brand..

Mark and Graham continued its profitable double-digit growth in the second quarter, also driven by successful execution of Mother's Day and Father's Day, both of which were important gifting opportunities for the brand. We also recently launched a new lifestyle marketing campaign, which is contributing up to triple-digit comps on core programs.

We believe Mark and Graham is well positioned for Q3 and Q4 with new product innovation, an exciting new creative campaign and emphasis on digital marketing and is on track for continued success as an emerging brand..

In our global business, our company-owned businesses in Australia and the U.K. continued to deliver strong performance with over 10% revenue growth. We continue to be convinced that we have a tremendous opportunity for a global, multichannel, multi-platform, high-quality home furnishings business like we have in the United States..

We have made progress towards the goals that we have set this year, entering the dynamic retail market of South Korea with our franchise partner, Hyundai Livart, and expanding further with our existing partners in the Middle East and Mexico.

In our company-owned retail and e-commerce operations in Australia and the U.K., our continued focus on operational excellence, along with double-digit growth has resulted in further cost structure leverage and improved profitability in each of these markets.

And because of the positive impact that retail stores have on our e-commerce business, later this year, we'll be opening an additional West Elm store in the Kingston area of London..

As we continue to improve our global operations to support our existing business and partnerships, we are exploring opportunities for franchise expansion into new markets and to build our e-commerce business around the globe, both company-owned and with our franchise partners..

In summary, the acceleration in our Q2 top line performance reflects the positive customer response to our key strategic initiatives. We know that we are successful when we offer our customers differentiated, high-quality products at a great value and superior high-touch customer service.

And our focus on innovation and operational excellence is grounded in our ability to understand and adapt to the changing desires and behaviors of our customers.

And we believe our relentless focus on our strategic initiatives and customer service, along with our competitive advantages and opportunities for growth will enable us to drive long-term industry-leading profitable growth, resulting in sustainable shareholder returns..

I will now pass the call over to Julie to discuss our financial results and our guidance. .

Julie Whalen

Thank you, Laura, and good afternoon, everyone. During the second quarter, our results demonstrated overall sequential improvement from the first quarter and that we are able to once again deliver on all of our financial commitments, including meeting the high end of our EPS guidance range while continuing to invest in our long-term initiatives. .

On the top line, total revenues for the second quarter increased 3.7% over $1.2 billion, with comp brand revenue growth of 2.8%, a 270 basis point acceleration from the first quarter, further demonstrating the continued progress we are making on our initiatives to drive positive momentum across the business. .

During the quarter, we saw e-commerce revenue growth reaccelerate to 5.2%, growing to 52.5% of total revenues, an 80 basis point increase over last year and a historical high.

With growth primarily at West Elm, Williams-Sonoma, our newer businesses, Rejuvenation and Mark and Graham, and our company-owned international operations, almost all of which had double-digit growth.

The retail channel grew 2.1%, driven primarily by strong growth in West Elm and Pottery Barn, reflecting the continued success we are seeing across our various retail initiatives, including our in-home design services and store remodels..

The Pottery Barn brand returned to positive growth with a revenue comp of 1.2%, a sequential improvement of 260 basis points from the first quarter. The Pottery Barn Kids comp accelerated 180 basis points during the first quarter and they also saw sequential improvement in their demand comps, which turned positive in the second quarter.

In PBteen, we delivered a positive comp of 0.2%, a significant turnaround from the negative 14.3% comp in the first quarter and they also saw a sequentially better demand comp and a positive 1.3% versus a negative 3.7% in the first quarter.

Williams-Sonoma, at 1.9%, had its highest second quarter revenue comp in several years and has now delivered positive comps for 15 out of the last 16 quarters.

West Elm, which we continue to believe will be our largest brand over time, reaccelerated back to double-digit revenue growth of 14.3% this quarter with revenue comps of 10.1% on top of 15.8% last year..

Our newer businesses, Rejuvenation and Mark and Graham, once again delivered double-digit growth of over 25%. And our company-owned international businesses also delivered another quarter of double-digit revenue growth, primarily driven by the strong growth we continue to see in our e-commerce businesses in Australia and the U.K. .

Our execution across the company drove this overall broad-based improvement in our top line.

And given the disruption in the retail industry overall, these results give us confidence that our strategies to reaccelerate the business, along with our unique competitive positioning with a best-in-class multichannel model, strong, well-known brands with high-quality and proprietary products provided to our customers with superior customer service, will allow us to long-term outperform and maintain our leadership position in the industry..

Moving down the income statement. Gross margin for the second quarter was 35.2% versus 35.4% last year. The 20 basis points of gross margin deleverage was driven by lower selling margins, primarily resulting from our investment and reduced shipping income to provide value to our customers.

Occupancy costs were $168 million in the second quarter of 2017 as compared to $165 million in the second quarter of 2016, leveraging 20 basis points from the second quarter.

And this leverage, along with the ongoing benefits we are seeing from our supply chain initiatives allowed us to only incur a 20 basis point gross margin impact after investing in reduced shipping income and providing overall value to our customers. SG&A for the second quarter was 28.4% of net revenues in 2017 versus 28.2% in 2016.

The 20 basis points of deleverage was primarily driven by higher digital advertising costs from our decision to invest in new customer acquisition, which was partially offset by strong financial discipline across our general expenses. As a result, operating margin for the second quarter was 6.8% versus 7.2% in the second quarter of 2016. .

By channel, the operating margin in the e-commerce channel was 21.4% versus 22.1% in 2016. The 70 basis point decline in operating margin was primarily driven by lower selling margins as a result of our investments in reduced shipping income as well as higher digital advertising costs as a result of our increased focus on new customer acquisitions.

This decline was partially offset by strong expense management across occupancy, employment and general expenses..

Our investments to reduce shipping income and higher digital advertising helped drive the improvements we are seeing in our top line performance across the company and our higher digital advertising has driven improvement in customer counts, particularly in Pottery Barn, where we saw improved, active, new and reactivated customer counts year-over-year.

.

The operating margin in the retail channel was 6.1% versus 5.9% in 2016.

This increase in operating margin primarily resulted from higher selling margins and lower general expenses, partially offset by higher employment primarily to support our growth initiatives, which include additional West Elm stores and our new Southeast distribution center that wasn't fully up and running until the end of the second quarter last year..

Corporate unallocated expenses as a percentage of net revenues were 7.3% in the second quarter compared to 7.1% in 2016, reflecting the incremental depreciation costs associated with various technology capital investments to support the future growth of our business..

The effective income tax rate in the second quarter was 34.8% versus 37.7% last year. The year-over-year tax rate improvement was driven by the overall mix and level of earnings as well as the incremental benefits we continue to see from the improved profitability across our international operations which are taxed at a lower tax rate. .

Diluted earnings per share for the second quarter of 2017 was $0.61 versus $0.58 last year. On the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with a cash balance of $103 million versus $111 million last year. We had $115 million outstanding under our revolving credit facility at the end of the quarter versus $125 million last year.

During the second quarter, we invested an additional $51 million in our business and returned $89 million to stockholders through share repurchases and dividends. Merchandise inventories at $1,073,000,000 increased 11.4% compared to Q2 2016.

A large portion of this inventory growth, however, was associated with inventory that is in transit and not yet received at our distribution centers. The biggest drivers of our inventory growth are associated with our higher growth brands, particularly West Elm.

We also saw higher growth in PBteen, where sales had previously been most impacted by lower in-stock inventory levels..

We are continuing to evaluate the balance between inventory and customer service levels. And at this point, we still expect our inventory levels to be relatively in line with our sales growth by the end of the year..

I would now like to discuss our third quarter and fiscal year 2017 guidance. For the third quarter of 2017, we expect to grow net revenues to a range of $1,270,000,000 to $1,310,000,000 with comparable brand revenue growth in the range of 2% to 5%.

We expect our third quarter operating margin to be relatively in line with last year and we expect diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $0.80 to $0.87. For the full year, we are reiterating all of our guidance ranges.

We expect to grow net revenues 2% to 4% to a range of $5,165,000,000 to $5,265,000,000 with comparable brand revenue growth in the range of 1% to 3%. We expect operating margin to be 9.4% to 9.6%, and our diluted earnings per share are expected to be in the range of $3.45 to $3.65..

All other financial guidance within the press release remain unchanged from the previous guidance.

This guidance will have us delivering at the high end of our ranges, 4% growth in revenues to almost $5.3 billion with a flat year-over-year operating margin and EPS growth in the mid- to high single digits despite substantial investment in the business to support our future growth..

From a capital allocation perspective, we remain committed to a disciplined capital allocation strategy.

We plan to utilize our strong annual operating cash flow to continue to invest approximately $200 million to $220 million in the business in support of our ongoing initiatives to improve the customer experience and to drive further operational efficiencies.

We also intend to return capital to our shareholders in the form of share repurchases and dividends.

By the end of the second quarter, we had invested approximately $83 million in the business, paid over $68 million in dividend and bought back over $93 million in our stock, leaving approximately $317 million remaining under our current share repurchase authorization. We are continuing to monitor our rate of buybacks.

If lower valuation levels persists, we are prepared to continue to opportunistically increase our rate of buybacks like we did in second quarter through the back half of the year..

With our strong cash flow generation, strong balance sheet and strong financial discipline, along with the improved momentum we are seeing in the business, our long-term growth opportunities, our well-known and loved portfolio of brands delivering superior customer experiences and inspiration and our leading multi-channel model with over 52% of our business already transacted online, give us confidence in our ability to lead our industry and to deliver long-term sustainable growth for our shareholders..

I would now like to open up the call for questions. Thank you. .

Operator

..

[Operator Instructions] And we first go to Kate McShane with Citi. .

Kate McShane

With regard to the merchandising changes you've made at the Pottery Barn brand, which sounds like they're very effective.

I wondered if you could quantify at all how much of your overall offering in Pottery Barn you've touched and changed with your new merchandising initiative? And by holiday, how much do you think those merchandising changes will touch as a percentage of products sold?.

Laura Alber President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

It's an interesting way to look at it. We haven't really measured it that way, Kate. What we've tried to do is really listen to what our customer is asking for, and we have a broad base of customers and we want to make sure we're both delighting our current customers but also attracting new ones.

So where we were more specific lately addressing from a percentage basis, a change was in the value offering in the small spaces. And while that's a competitive number, I would tell you that we've just begun in tapping into that market.

We're seeing nice response already but we think we have a lot more opportunity in that area without affecting or turning off our current customers either. .

Operator

We'll go and take our next question from David Magee with SunTrust. .

David Magee

You mentioned both businesses being a big opportunity, and I'm curious as to what you all might be doing differently there to make it maybe more distinctive than your competition. .

Laura Alber President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

I think big thing is that we have a wide offer. We have incredible stores and great sales associates in the stores. And we've continued to look at ways to have the channels work together and it's a natural. It's not so much that it's a different execution that we have, I would argue, a better platform to execute it on. .

David Magee

Great. And just one other question, if I could. You mentioned the lower shipping income this quarter.

I'm curious, when was the last time that you all sort of correctly reduced that number?.

Julie Whalen

So beginning in Q3 of last year, we started with the Pottery Barn brand. But the other brands all began -- the rest of the Pottery Barn brands began in the first quarter of this year. .

David Magee

Okay.

And it's not the Williams-Sonoma?.

Julie Whalen

Williams-Sonoma has always had about 49 ships free. .

Laura Alber President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

And they also do have the flat rate that was something to put into place last year as well. .

Operator

Next question comes from Matt Fassler with Goldman Sachs. .

Matthew Fassler

I also want to focus on the shipping piece.

Can you describe the elasticity you've seen, the response that you've seen kind of brand by brand as you reduced shipping whether it's having different ticket sizes or different kinds of transactions? And I did note, I think that Pottery Barn was really highlighted from a retail perspective more so than from an e-commerce perspective and I'm wondering how that dovetails with the shipping efforts there.

.

Laura Alber President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Sure. It's obviously really competitive to go into many details around the economics of our new shipping model. But I will say that the customer is responding to it, and we keep measuring to make sure that we're getting the return we're looking for.

And also looking at the future and saying how can we really increase our average order size, and most importantly, better serve our customers. As you I think all know, the market is filled with lots of different shipping models. Some people put it in the price, some people charge restocking.

And what we're trying to do is make it really simple and fair for our customers. And we're not done with -- we're not landed with what the future will hold for our shipping model in terms of specifics because each brand is very different with different AURs, so they are responding slightly differently.

And we're going to keep measuring and then changing our model based on what we're seeing. .

Julie Whalen

And the buy channel comment, Matt, I think there's a couple of things you have to think about there. I mean, first of all, we did reaccelerate to 5.2%, and a big piece of that is because Pottery Barn got better from Q1 to Q2. They're obviously not back to where they were so that's a big driver.

You can't say that the shipping income then isn't "working" in that channel. And from a retail perspective, a significant piece of what we do is in-home and a lot of that is what we call RTC, Retail to Customer, and a lot of that involves shipping.

So the success we're seeing there doesn't mean that the shipping, obviously, is only working or not working in e-commerce. It's also working in retail. .

Operator

Next question comes from Chris Horvers with JPMorgan. .

Christopher Horvers

So I want to follow up on PB. You had a bit of a soft brand relaunch in July, [indiscernible], the aesthetics effort, at least in the merchandising front. Did you actually step up the advertising investment year-over-year? I know you started last year in the fourth quarter about, but did the dollar... .

[Audio Gap].

you're seeing momentum on merchandising and new customer acquisition?.

Laura Alber President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes, you bleeped out a little bit but I think I got your question. So yes, we did we relaunch with the fall assortment, more distinct aesthetics, testing new aesthetics, some of which are very successful and we're building on those obviously and then reducing the ones that are less successful.

But we're clearly seeing a resurgence in our decorating categories, the things that people come in more frequently to buy, which also happen to be the areas that drive new customer acquisition. So we're very pleased with the effect of the new merchandising strategy on customer acquisition. Also at the same time, we did step up our digital marketing.

We reduced some of our catalog marketing, but the total amount of spend was higher than last year. .

Christopher Horvers

But does that step up, take another leg up in the back half given where you are?.

Laura Alber President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

It depends on the return. We look at it every week. So if we continue to see good returns, we'll fund those brands with the best returns and we reduce those brands that have lesser returns. It's very dynamic. We assume so though. Our plan is now because it's working to keep investing there. .

Operator

Next question comes from Michael Lasser with UBS. .

Michael Lasser

I wanted to touch a little further on that very topic. Your sales were up about 4%. Your operating income dollars were down about 2%. It seems like some of the investments that you're putting in place are working.

So should we expect that operating income dollars are going to continue to hover around this level? Or the year-over-year change in operating income dollars are going to hover around this level as long as you're seeing an effective return on those investments? And I'm talking over the next couple of years. .

Julie Whalen

Well from an operating income/operating margin perspective, obviously, we've guided to be directionally in line with last year for Q3. And obviously, if you kind of do the math, if we're holding on the year, it means we're going to be better in Q4.

And part of that is because our expectation is we're going to have higher revenues, which should have a higher flow-through. So we expect that we're going to continue with this accelerated momentum as we move throughout the year.

And also as we mentioned earlier, the investments in reduced shipping income and in higher digital advertising we began last year. We had Sonoma Home, but it was a small piece. But in Pottery Barn, we had begun with that in Q3 and Q4. And so that alleviates some of the year-over-year quarterly impact relative to like Q1 and Q2.

We're still going to be incremental at the lowest point. We're going to invest if we see the return, but you should see improvement in the op margin as we move throughout the year. .

Operator

Next question comes from Simeon Gutman with Morgan Stanley. .

Simeon Gutman

Back on advertising for a second, you mentioned digital channel is up.

Can you -- can we put it all together? Can you talk about advertising dollars in the quarter? What were they? And how it compares versus last year? And any commentary on ROI? I think Laura suggested you're continually monitoring and looking at it, but curious on what you could share on the ROI. .

Julie Whalen

So a couple of things. I'll look at it from a financial perspective, and then I'll turn it over to John to give a little more color. But from a financial perspective, we have said obviously that the biggest driver for our SG&A increase was our digital advertising.

And it was obviously even more than that because we offset it with a general expense improvement and so forth. So it is a significant investment. It will come down slightly relative to Q1 and Q2 and Q3 and Q4, but it's still something that we are investing in and has an impact on the total.

John Strain

And it's working, right? We're really excited about the results we're seeing from the digital investments, visits, revenue directly derived from digital marketing channels have improved solidly.

And we're going to continue to optimize catalog spend where we can shift dollars into digital channels and numbers reflect actually planned incremental investments there.

And specifically, we're seeing strength in non-brand search terms, affiliates, remarketing, social programs, and these are more than offsetting any declines we're seeing in the e-mail. And then just Q2 Pottery Barn alone, we saw year-over-year positive order growth and customer growth.

And we're seeing both order frequency and units for order improvement. So in general, these are all indications that the strategy investing in this top-of-funnel digital marketing channel really is working.

So we're encouraged by this and some other further top-of-funnel marketing tests that we're doing because we're seeing strong incremental lifts in places like Instagram, Pinterest and the new Google [ POS ] that really are upper funnel. So strategy is working. We plan to continue to optimize spend, take advantage of it. .

Operator

Next question comes from Peter Benedict with Robert Baird. .

Peter Benedict

I just want to clarify, on the comment on the margins, Julie, I guess, the fourth quarter seems to imply. If you just use the midpoint implies maybe up 50 basis points or so year-over-year.

The primary drivers of that, I think you said -- is it that you expect revenues -- revenue growth to accelerate and you'll get leverage off of that? Or are there other dynamics that would drive the inflection in margin -- operating margin in the fourth quarter?.

Julie Whalen

Well, I mean, there's obviously a lot of moving parts. The biggest player is revenue. So I mean if you look at the -- we obviously aren't giving Q4 guidance today, but I know effectively we give implied guidance.

And if you look at the high end of the implied guidance, it's 4% growth versus last year so that when you get to the higher level of revenue, it is immediate. It flows right through to the bottom. And so that is the biggest driver of the increase.

The second piece is the fact that we are lapping some of that investment in our reduced shipping income and higher digital advertising because we implemented it with Pottery Barn at the back half last year. So those are the 2 big drivers. .

Peter Benedict

Okay. That's great. And just on the occupancy, which grew I think about 2% year-over-year in the second quarter. That's been slowing down.

I think it was up around 5% in 2016, what's driving the lower occupancy growth rate? And is that something that we should expect to persist over the balance of this year and into next?.

Julie Whalen

Yes, the occupancy did grow 2.2%. It's one of the lowest in a while. That's correct. I think there's a lot of moving parts in there. You have to remember the depreciation flows through there too. So it's both the fact that we're getting more effective with the renegotiation of our leases, and you're seeing some of that benefit come through.

And it's also the fact of the timing of when and what goes into service from a depreciation standpoint. So it has moved around a bit. I'm really pleased to see that occupancy has returned to leverage this quarter for the first time in almost 2 years and I think that also a play in the fact that we have higher revenue, so I expect that to continue. .

Operator

Next question comes from Dan Binder with Jefferies. .

Daniel Binder

It's Dan Binder. You talked about supply chain savings and we've been hearing about that for probably at least a couple of quarters now. Just curious if you could sort of size that up and give us a sense of how much is still in front of us and where it's coming from. .

Julie Whalen

Yes, we haven't disclosed the amount of the supply chain benefits. What I did say, I mean, effectively with merch margins down because of the ongoing promotional environment, we were able to completely offset that with the ongoing supply chain benefits we had.

The lower selling margins were predominantly due to the investment in reduced shipping income, so we are once again pleased to be able to have this benefits continuing to come in to offset that in the merch margin line. We had said I think that we'd gotten pressure before. In Q4 of last year, we had 100 basis point gross margin expansion.

We said, "Guys, this isn't going to continue going forward." So we have -- the amount of benefits has come down because part of that was from lapping some of the higher costs in the prior year, but we are at a pretty sizable amount that continues to move forward as we move throughout the year and we don't expect that to change.

And we see significant opportunities for ongoing supply chain benefits that we're just getting started with whether it's continuing with reduced returns, damages, replacements, freight, you name it. There's still a lot of opportunities to move that needle. .

Operator

Next question comes from Brad Thomas with KeyBanc Capital Markets. .

Bradley Thomas

A follow-up on the digital advertising as it relates to Amazon. In the last few months, we're seeing more and more home furnishings companies, brands listing their products on Amazon.

Maybe, Laura, could you give us an update on what you're hearing from your customer in terms of how much they're looking at Amazon for a purchase like what you offer? And perhaps your willingness to consider selling through them?.

Laura Alber President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Sure. We have really been listening to our customer a lot and what they're telling us is how much they appreciate our stores and the service that we offer is a huge differentiator.

And while Amazon does a really -- so many things really well, have you ever tried calling them and asking them if they could please come refurnish your living room? It's a big thing that we do and our customers really love that service. So that is where we're focused.

And we may have a lot of initiatives, but they're all centered around our customer and what our customers is looking for. And our service levels cannot be easily replicated and we think it's a huge differentiator.

And there's no doubt in my mind that what we're doing at retail and our relentless obsession with customer service is the reason for the success that we're seeing and we're going to continue to focus on that. .

Operator

We'll take our next question from Brian Nagel with Oppenheimer. .

Brian Nagel

The question I have is if you look at the revenues, clearly revenue really across the business improved in Q2 and Q1. You talked about a number of the internal initiatives.

Are you seeing overall improvement in the environment too as you look at your various brands, your overall demand environment?.

Laura Alber President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

There's a lot of mixed information. I think you guys quite know better than even we do. But you know there's -- housing metrics, solid unemployment numbers lowest levels in July but there's still a slight pullback in customer sentiments since its peak and retail channels in the mall is down 9. So I mean, there's a lot of mixed news out there.

We're, in my mind, or in my perspective, definitely outperforming those numbers. So we've always said that we think there's opportunity for us to do better regardless of the environment and to really focus on what our customer is telling us about whether there's something we're not offering them in product or pricing or service.

And as I said in my earlier comments, that is our focus, is just continuing to improve what we're doing, make it better for our customers. I don't think it's necessary, the successes related to any environmental improvement. .

Operator

And our last question comes from Charles Grom with Gordon Haskett. .

Charles Grom

As we think about the second half and the improvement you guys saw at PB, you mentioned further acceleration in growth in your prepared remarks, I'm just wondering if that implies better-than-expected rate than you did in the second quarter which I believe was up 1.2%.

And then my follow-up is you spoke about shorter delivery times, lower split shipments and reduced damages. Could you quantify that for us to some degree? So we have a sense of the opportunity that lies ahead. .

Julie Whalen

Yes, unfortunately, we don't disclose by brand comps for the future. Obviously, if you'd look at the high end of our range, it assumes that Pottery Barn continues on its trajectory and we have no reason to believe they can't and we have no reason to believe they can return to their historical growth levels.

As far as quantifying any of the supply chain benefits, we also don't disclose that except to say if you look back, you've seen they've been significant and they're continuing on that path.

Supply chain is one of the biggest expenses we have on our P&L and it's a huge opportunity for us to continue to fine-tune it and get a lot of savings out of it and that's where we're focused on. .

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our question-and-answer session for today. I'll now turn the conference back over to Ms. Alber for any additional or closing remarks. .

Laura Alber President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. So I want to thank you all for joining us. And I'd also like to thank all of our associates, their passion and commitment to outstanding customer service and to driving our strategy is a key component of the success we are seeing and we really want to say thank you to them on this call.

Talk to you all next time, and looking forward to continue to report on our business in the future. .

Operator

And thank you, ladies and gentlemen. That does conclude today's conference. We thank you for your participation. And you may now disconnect..

ALL TRANSCRIPTS
2024 Q-2 Q-4 Q-3 Q-1
2023 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2022 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2021 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2020 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2019 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2018 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2017 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2016 Q-4 Q-3 Q-2 Q-1
2015 Q-4 Q-2
2014 Q-3 Q-1 Q-2