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Real Estate - REIT - Office - NYSE - US
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$ 1.05 B
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2016 - Q3
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Executives

Jacques Cornet - ICR Managing Director Albert Behler - Chairman, CEO & President Ted Koltis - EVP, Leasing Wilbur Paes - EVP, CFO and Treasurer.

Analysts

Blaine Heck - Wells Fargo Jamie Feldman - Bank of America Merrill Lynch Rob Simone - Evercore ISI Tom Lesnick - Capital One Tom Catherwood - BTIG Vincent Chao - Deutsche Bank Jed Reagan - Green Street Advisors.

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Paramount Group Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. Please note that this conference call is being recorded today, November 3, 2016.

I will now turn over the call to Jacques Cornet with ICR. .

Jacques Cornet

Thank you Operator, and good morning. By now everyone should have access to our third quarter 2016 earnings release and supplemental information. Both can be found under the heading Financial Information Quarterly Results in the Investors section of the Paramount website at www.paramount-group.com.

Some of our comments today will be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws.

Forward-looking statements, which are usually identified by the use of words such as “will,” “expect,” “should” or other similar phrases are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we expect. Therefore, you should exercise caution in interpreting and relying on them.

We refer you to our recent SEC filings, including our most recent Form 10-K as updated by our subsequent quarterly reports including Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2016, which was filed with the SEC last night for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial condition.

During the call we will discuss non-GAAP measures which we believe can be useful in evaluating the Company’s operating performance. These measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for our financial results prepared in accordance with GAAP.

A reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure is available in our third quarter 2016 earnings release and our supplemental information.

Hosting the call today we have Albert Behler, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President of the Company; Wilbur Paes, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer; and Ted Koltis, Executive Vice President, Leasing. Management will provide some opening remarks and we will then open the call to questions.

With that, I’ll turn the call over to Albert..

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

Thank you Jacques, and good morning. We appreciate everyone joining us. For the third quarter we reported core FFO of $0.20 per share. Our portfolio-wide leased rate was 92.3% at quarter end, down 60 basis points from last quarter, primarily due to the planned move out of Assured Guaranty at 31 West 52nd Street.

With the exception of 31 West, every other building in our portfolio increased or maintained its leased rate compared to last quarter.

To that end, we leased just under 190,000 square feet in the quarter at very healthy weighted average initial rents of $82.50 per square foot on office leases, bringing our year-to-date leasing activity to approximately 500,000 square feet.

The majority of the current quarter’s leasing was in New York where we leased approximately 140,000 square feet at a strong initial rent of $84.93 per square foot on office leases. Two of the office leases that were signed in New York had starting cash rents of over $130 per square foot.

While we would have been thrilled if our leasing activity for the quarter included some of the recently vacated space at 1633 Broadway, or 1301 Sixth Avenue for that matter, it is important to note that this was large block space that was leased by tenants 15 to 20-plus years ago.

This space needed to be demolished, white-boxed and brought into show condition for today’s tenant. So they appreciate the potential and efficiency of the floor plates and typically blocks of space like these take some time to re-tenant and do not lease until they are in show condition.

That said, we continue to see good healthy activity across the board for all of our availabilities. Ted will provide more detail on our leasing pipeline later in the call. In Washington, DC, we continue to outperform the market. It’s a direct testament to the quality and location of our assets.

The leased occupancy of our DC portfolio was 94.3% at quarter end, up 210 basis points from last quarter and 400 basis points from year end. Last quarter we highlighted that the opportunity in our Washington, DC portfolio was at 2099 Pennsylvania Avenue.

I’m happy to report that we signed two leases at 2099 totaling about 25,000 square feet, effectively increasing the leased occupancy of the building to 73.8% from 62.1%. While concessions in DC continue to be elevated, the current quarter statistics included a lease that took additional TIs instead of free rent.

Turning to San Francisco, the market continues to remain healthy and leased occupancy at One Market Plaza ticked up another 40 basis points from last quarter to 98.8% at quarter end. The building is basically full, and while we do not have much space to lease, when we do we continue to command very healthy rental rates.

All three of the office leases signed this quarter had starting rents over $100 per square foot. While on San Francisco, let me spend a minute talking about the acquisition of One Front Street which is expected to close in December.

We entered into an agreement to acquire this 650,000 square foot building for $521 million or about $800 per square foot.

This unique asset which sits on the desirable Market Street corridor, just a few blocks away from the Trans Bay Terminal, is not only well positioned to succeed in the San Francisco marketplace, but the attractive basis at which we were able to acquire the property will allow us to drive shareholder value in both the medium and the long term.

The building has several longstanding tenants, many of whom have consistently expanded their footprint in the building over the years. Ted refers to it as a sticky building. Once tenants are in that location, they don’t want to leave.

While the building is currently 99.4% leased, we have a fantastic opportunity to meaningfully increase the in-place NOI as the existing leases, which are currently 20% below market, set to roll about 100,000 square feet each year for the next five years. The upcoming lease roll is what makes this opportunity so attractive for us.

Others in the San Francisco marketplace have been willing to pay over $1200 per square foot for buildings where there is no immediately apparent way to add value.

We found an opportunity for value creation at One Front Street where many of the other market participants shied away from the leasing risk since they traditionally lack the teams and experience to address it.

However, we can immediately leverage our tenant relationships, market knowledge and operational know-how to increase value for shareholders in the medium term, all at a basis of only $800 per square foot.

As we disclosed when we entered into the transaction, we reiterate our commitment and continue to explore very strategic options with respect to the acquisition including bringing in a joint venture partner or partners at the asset, or selling another asset within our portfolio in a tax-efficient manner.

We will provide investors updates on this process as appropriate. As most of you know, in the next few weeks our option to acquire our predecessor’s interest in 60 Wall Street is set to expire.

As a reminder, two of our funds of which we are the General Partner, collectively own a 62.3% interest in 60 Wall and our economic interest vis-à-vis our funds’ interest is 5.1%.

While we continue to explore alternatives in regards to this option, should we decide to exercise it, we will do so only with significant joint venture partner involvement, and our intention is to not meaningfully increase our ownership in the asset above our current 5% level.

Turning to our balance sheet, subsequent to the end of the quarter, we announced an $850 million financing of 1301 Sixth Avenue at a weighted average initial rate of 2.77%. As you will recall, prior to this financing we were faced with two debt maturities in 2017, at 900 Third Avenue and Waterview.

In evaluating how to proceed with these maturities, we not only considered the rates and terms at which we could refinance these assets, but also thought creatively about how we might be able to utilize assets from our unencumbered pool instead to drive the best performance for the Company.

Through this analysis it became clear that we would be able to achieve significantly better terms by financing 1301 Sixth Avenue and using the proceeds to pay down these 2017 maturities.

Wilbur will go into more details but this execution was a fantastic team effort that continues to demonstrate lenders’ confidence in the Paramount team and 1301 Sixth Avenue itself.

Taking a step back to look at the progress we have been able to make on our balance sheet over the past year, we have now successfully refinanced over 75% of our outstanding debt. Additionally, we have effectively lowered our weighted average interest rate from 5.35% a year ago down over 150 basis points to under 3.8% today.

Looking forward over the shorter term, at the end of the quarter we had $89 million of contractual pro rata annualized cash rent attributable to either tenants in a free rent period or to leases signed but not yet commenced, up from $86 million last quarter. Wilbur will provide more details.

To conclude my comments, let me say again leasing remains our number one focus. We continue to be confident in our ability to lease up our current vacancies at market rents to recognize the embedded value in our portfolio. Following the leasing of these spaces, we move into a period where we will have very low lease expirations.

Through here and 2020, our expirations average less than 4.2% or 430,000 square feet annually. Even taking into account the upcoming lease roll I highlighted at One Front Street, the average is still only 4.8% of our square footage, an extremely low amount of roll in a portfolio of our size.

We look to continue to build momentum into 2017, putting us in a position to deliver outsized, long-term NOI and cash flow growth for our shareholders. With that, I will turn the call over to Ted to give additional insights on our leasing efforts..

Ted Koltis

Thank you Albert, and good morning. Let’s take a look at each of our markets beginning in New York. In New York we see continued solid activity and our three large blocks of available space remain the focus.

At 1633 Broadway, the 200,000-plus square feet on floors 35 to 38 that some refer to as the former Deloitte space has been in show condition since mid-summer.

Because of the large, efficient floorplates we are seeing healthy activity from all types of prospective tenants, financial services, law and other professional service firms, but also a wide array of media and entertainment types as well.

On our last call we talked about our expectations for tour activity to pick up once we had the space prepared to show and we are now moving into the early proposal stage with prospective tenants for various portions of this space. At 1301 Avenue of the Americas, we have the top of the building available, floors 41 through 45.

It’s about 130,000 square feet that came back to us in June and we have spent the summer putting that space into a presentable condition. We are complete with this process now and interest in this space is also healthy and coming from more traditional financial services and law firm type tenants.

Following behind the process we highlighted at 1633 Broadway, we have hosted a number of tours with prospective tenants and expect to move to the proposal stage shortly.

Once again, it’s important to keep in perspective that these are large deals that generally follow a lengthy process, after demolition, of touring and then proposals and then lease negotiation before moving to execution.

At 31 West 52nd Street, as Albert touched on, during the quarter Assured Guaranty moved out of the 110,000 square feet in the top five floors of the building. As with the other expirations this year, the build-out here is dated, with very large, generous offices and not a lot of glass.

To optimize the appeal in today’s marketplace, we are going through the process of demolishing the space and expect to have it in show condition by the end of the fourth quarter. Just to remind everyone, this was an expiration that we proactively created as we were able to meet our tenant’s needs by moving them to 1633 Broadway.

The lease on this space was not due to expire until 2026 and the in-place rent was in the mid-60’s per square foot. We think the market rate is significantly higher.

In Washington, the market is in a bit of a holding pattern in advance of the election as decision making has slowed, but despite the tepid mood, we signed leases during the quarter with initial rents just north of $70 per square foot.

We think this recent activity and our belief that we will have more leasing to report before year-end, supports our long held view of the importance of being in ‘A’ locations in the CBD with trophy assets driving outperformance.

As Albert mentioned, our DC portfolio is 94.3% leased as of the end of September, up over 200 basis points from last quarter. Looking forward, we do not have much space; we will continue to hold firm on rents. In San Francisco, One Market Plaza was 98.8% leased as of September, up another 40 basis points from June.

On the supply side along the Mission and Market Street corridors there is not much available in the near term. In our results, you continue to see the underlying strength in the market with our plus $100 per square foot initial rents and moderate concession packages on completed deals during the quarter.

Based on what we see in this market, we are very excited about bringing One Front Street into the fold. There is a strong desire to live and work in San Francisco, and what we have seen with Google at One Market is a great indicator that to recruit and keep the best and the brightest, these firms have to be in the CBD.

We think that trend continues, and we think it continues for a while with the more mature tenants that have staying power. So in San Francisco we see available space as a great opportunity over the next several years and it’s why we are so excited about One Front Street.

With that summary, I’ll turn the call over to Wilbur who will discuss the financial results in more detail..

Wilbur Paes Chief Operating Officer, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

Thanks Ted. Yesterday, we reported core FFO of $0.20 per share, in-line with the prior year’s third quarter. Our third quarter results were ahead of our expectations, driven primarily by $3.4 million of lease termination income which was partially offset by a $1.7 million FAS 141 above-market lease write-off.

Our pro rata share of GAAP NOI for the quarter was $95.3 million, up $3.9 million or 4.3% from the prior year’s third quarter, but was down $4.9 million or 4.9% from the second quarter, notwithstanding the $1.7 million net benefit realized from the lease termination income in the current quarter, that I just mentioned..

This was largely due to the full effect of the Commerzbank vacancy in the current quarter as well as a partial effect of the Assured Guaranty move-out which took place in August. The current quarter includes $23.2 million of straight-line rent, of which $20.4 million was attributable to free rent.

Our overall occupancy at the end of the quarter was 90.0%, down 50 basis points from the prior quarter. As expected, this was largely driven by the 110,000 square foot lease expiration of the Assured Guaranty space at 31 West 52nd Street.

With that space now vacant, the only large-block known move-out remains at 1325 Avenue of the Americas, where ING will vacate their space in January 2017. Post the ING move-out, our lease expirations moderate and the benefits of our leasing efforts will come to fruition.

As Albert mentioned, we have $89 million of contractual pro rata annualized cash rent, $73 million of which is attributable to tenants that are in a free rent period and the remaining $16 million of which relates to signed leases not yet commenced which, as a reminder, is not contributing towards earnings.

Sixty-seven million of this $89 million is expected to become cash paying by the end of the first quarter of 2017. Our mark-to-markets for the quarter were 29.7% on a GAAP basis and 6.1% on a cash basis.

The current quarter GAAP and cash mark-to-markets were impacted by the termination of a 36,600 square foot above-market lease that was set to expire in 2017.

In the current quarter, we terminated this lease and not only secured over $3 million in termination income, but also re-leased the space to an existing tenant at market rates; that too with a very low concession package. All in all, a very positive outcome.

Excluding the impact of this lease, current quarter GAAP and cash mark-to-markets would have been a robust 31.0% and 22.6%, respectively. Turning to our balance sheet, we ended the quarter with over $850 million in liquidity comprised of $113 million of cash and restricted cash, and $750 million of availability under our revolving credit facility.

Our outstanding debt was $2.8 billion at a weighted average interest rate of 4.3% and a weighted average maturity of five years; 91.5% of our debt is fixed and has a weighted average interest rate of 4.5%. The remaining 8.5% is floating and has a weighted average interest rate of 2%.

Our overall net debt-to-enterprise value is 38.0% and net debt-to-EBITDA is 7.3 times. Subsequent to the quarter end, we completed a two-tranche $850 million financing of the 1.8 million square foot 1301 Avenue of the Americas.

This financing garnered tremendous interest in the marketplace, as evidenced by the great execution and on very favorable terms. The five-year interest only loan has an initial weighted average interest rate of 2.77% based on a $500 million fixed rate tranche and a $350 million floating rate tranche.

The net proceeds from the financing were used to unencumber and repay the existing loans at 900 Third Avenue and Waterview, aggregating $484 million which were scheduled to mature in 2017 and had a weighted average interest rate of 4.9%.

In connection with the financing, we retained net proceeds after transaction costs and debt repayments of $330 million, which will be used to fund a portion of the One Front Street acquisition which is expected to close in December.

With the closing of this transaction, we have once again taken advantage of the low interest rate environment and now have collectively refinanced over $2.35 billion over the last 12 months, thereby lowering our borrowing costs by over 150 basis points and staggering and extending our debt maturities.

Turning to our earnings guidance, based on our year-to-date performance including the third quarter lease termination income and the pending acquisition of One Front Street which we expect to close in December, we are raising and narrowing our full-year 2016 core FFO guidance to be between $0.84 and $0.86 per share from our prior range of $0.81 and $0.85 per share.

This change represents a $0.02 per share increase at the midpoint of our guidance, consisting of $0.01 from the lease termination income in the third quarter, and $0.01 per share from the acquisition of One Front Street. With that, Operator, please open the lines for questions..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from Blaine Heck of Wells Fargo..

Blaine Heck

Ted, if I can start with you, can you just give a little bit more color on how you feel today about getting leases signed in the recent and upcoming move-outs versus maybe how you might have felt about it six months ago.

Are you more confident you'll get those signed in the near future? And maybe if you can just put some numbers around the number of prospects or potential square feet looking at each space, that will be helpful..

Ted Koltis

I would say -- overall I think I speak for all of us here, we’re all as confident as we were six months ago on our spaces based on the activity that we're seeing.

We're seeing good activity across really -- and the way we describe -- the way I described it I think on the last call is that a number of these spaces need to be prepped and after that there's a process that follows and generally we see 6 to 12 months after space is in a show condition where we see significant lease-up of that space and there's nothing that we're seeing in the market in our level of activity that's really moving us away from that.

I mean, I think availability remains very stable in Midtown, even with new product that's come on, sublease rates remain very low, job growth in New York remains very strong and the diversity of tenants that we're seeing looking at the space just -- I think all those four factors continue to give a real confidence in what we're seeing.

And so, as expected, I think at 1633 Broadway being the space that was white-boxed and demolished first, we've seen the most amount of tour activity and now into proposal stage from a number of different tenants.

There're tenants vying for kind of the same space, so I would rather not quantify in actual numbers because we've got some overlap there and so I would rather not really put that out there, but we're in proposal stage with a number of tenants on the spaces. Some of those spaces overlap and then they're from a few different industries.

So it's a good thing and 1301 kinds of follows behind that. We've got -- we put the space into show condition now as a result the last month or so we have had the most tour activity that we've had at 1301 and so we expect to move into proposal stage there as well on some of those spaces..

Blaine Heck

And then sorry if I missed it, but is there any update on the retail space at 1633, it maybe prospects for getting a deal done there in the near term?.

Ted Koltis

On the retail, we have nothing to share to date. We’re still working with a couple of potential tenants for that asset, for that location. And as we had said before, we want to be very selective and that's the status there. But the renovation is complete and finished it looks really fantastic if you have time to come by.

We have a lot of interest also in the other retail space adjoining. We just want to make the right decision for the building..

Blaine Heck

And maybe, Albert, can you talk a little bit more about the San Francisco market? There have been concerns of slowdown in leasing velocity there, and the effect of VC funding, can you just comment on what you guys are seeing on the ground there and what you expect from the market?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

We see the market quite strong. We have -- one market plaza is well positioned and we have very limited availability. We’ve done a lot of leasing over $100 a square foot and besides rumors that the market is softening, we don't see it and we are relatively bullish about San Francisco..

Blaine Heck

Okay.

And then just specifically at One Front Street, can you give us what the proportion of tech tenants versus more traditional non-tech tenants is?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

The majority of the tenants in that building are non-tech, so the majority are traditional tenants but the building is -- it could be catering to technology tenants as well.

We went through that process when one market plaza where we went through releasing cycle and we now have more tech tenants in that building than we ever had before and it's a site core building, one front is and that caters very well to technology tenants.

So we will be talking to both tenants, and as we mentioned before it's currently pretty much fully leased and we will be, as soon as we close, talking to some existing tenants we have good relationships there, and work on getting them extended and upgrading the property wherever it's needed.

We are very excited about the opportunity, about the mark-to-market opportunity in this asset and we think it's a great, great addition to our portfolio..

Operator

Our next question comes from Jamie Feldman of Bank of America..

Jamie Feldman

I guess sticking with the New York question, we saw yesterday the news that NHL is going to be moving to the Hudson yards off of Sixth Avenue.

Ted or Albert, can you just give us your latest thoughts or maybe discussions you're having from the front lines about how tenants are thinking about your buildings and your sub markets versus that part of town now, and maybe the price differential and what the thought process is that you're seeing?.

Ted Koltis

The NHL deal is an older deal, but certainly I think what we're seeing along Sixth Avenue, I'm really encouraged by what we just saw from major league baseball, the deal that was just announced, which was a much larger deal than the NHL deal and I think more significant and indicative of what's happening along Sixth Avenue where you have landlords that are investing dollars into their buildings, and those dollars seeing results.

So we undertook a renovation also on our lobby at 1301 and I think that we're seeing -- as a result we're seeing great activity on the building because of that, I mean you've got 1155 AofA that's spending a lot of money on their building.

So really up and down sixth, from my standpoint I'm seeing a very strong level of activity and I'm hearing a very strong level of activity from other landlords too on their blocks of space up and down the corridor. So I don't think it's a matter of concern.

Again, when we talk about Hudson yards and new construction, I just think that that's a great indication of how strong the Midtown market is, that it can absorb that type of new product growth and yet still have great activity throughout Midtown..

Jamie Feldman

Okay. And then how do you think about pricing? Maybe for some of these buildings, you're talking about proposals.

Like, how does the rent differential compare to other parts of town?.

Ted Koltis

From my standpoint, from our blocks of space, we have a really wide range of pricing, so we have a lot of diversity there. You may have heard from some of our peers that commodity space is really what's having the most leasing velocity.

I mean, we have space from the $60 per square foot range all the way up into the triple digit range if you go across the four blocks of space that we have.

So that diversity in product, from my standpoint, allows us to kind of see all parts of the market and I think that while it's true maybe that there might be some more activity in the $60 to $80 range than further up, I think that would be true in any market cycle.

So we're not seeing anything that's too out of place with what we normally see in a good leasing market and as far as new product pricing goes, I think the more economic deals so to speak were already made at Hudson Yards and I think that the next product that's coming online Hein there is going to be probably priced higher than what we may have on Sixth Avenue.

So I think we're in a good position there as well..

Jamie Feldman

Okay. And then you made the comment that San Francisco firms have to be in the CBD.

Are you talking specifically about any leases you know in the market? Or maybe tell us what is the pipeline of the big tech companies or other companies that are looking at Downtown Santander Francisco? Maybe provide some color there?.

Ted Koltis

Well, I mean, right now what we're seeing is any large technology Company that's a more mature tech Company that used to reside outside of the Santander Francisco CBD and have significant presence only outside is moving into the CBD in a significant way.

I mean, I think, again, we bring up Google as an an example when Google took space at one market, they had a number of expansion rights but they were not committed to taking any of that expansion space and what we've seen is I think continue to take expansion space and fill it immediately and that's a direct reflection on them feeling like they need to be in the CBD in order to recruit the best and brightest.

And I think where the sublease availability in the San Francisco market is now down below 2%, and in every instance in the last year plus where you've seen a large block of space could come on to the marketplace, sublease space come on to the market that's good built sublease space, it swallowed up right away and I think that's an indicator of that trend.

I mean, there's another -- Twitter is about to put another 100,000 feet of built space on to the market in Santander Francisco and I won't be surprised if that space is gone within six months..

Jamie Feldman

Okay.

I guess are you seeing any imminent deals from Apple-type tenants that we may see in the next couple of months?.

Ted Koltis

Not [Technical Difficulty] comment on..

Jamie Feldman

Okay.

And I guess for Albert, can you just talk about capital flows and what you guys are seeing on the investment market in terms of cap rates and pricing and demand for assets?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

Yes, the capital flow is still quite healthy. Our acquisition team is having good meetings with potential joint venture partners and investors, and that is very solid.

As I mentioned on other calls before, in the first three months of this year it slowed down a little bit, I think impacted by the public markets development but it's very healthy right now and we don't see a slowdown there especially with the -- in the interest rate environment, especially where it sits in Europe.

If you have very low returns on fixed income, there's a lot of capital that looks for yield, and I think that's -- a lot of that is going to be pushed into United States real estate..

Jamie Feldman

Have you seen any change this quarter? You've seen the retail up, clearly?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

I don't want to go into this quarter to last quarter. We have good and healthy discussions. That's what I can say..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our next question comes from Rob Simone of Evercore ISI..

Rob Simone

I was just wondering if you could comment on what, if any, debt investments you're kind of seeing out in the markets for your funds?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

We'll be doing most probably another close to $150 million to $200 million before the end of this year.

So that's a healthy activity, our debt team is looking at mezz investment especially in the New York market, more than -- because we are focused just on New York, Washington and potentially San Francisco and the majority of the activities are in New York lesser in Washington and Santander Francisco, but it's a very healthy market..

Rob Simone

And after that call it, you know, 150 to hundred million, what's capacity within that debt fund before you guys would consider going out and potentially raising another fund?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

We will have approximately $300 million to $400 million left..

Operator

Our next question comes from Tom Lesnick of Capital One..

Tom Lesnick

I guess, first, with respect to with the cash NOI bridge over the next couple of quarters, I think historically you guys had talked about a fairly significant amount of gap rent that will become cash-paying by the end of first quarter '17 as well as some signed leases that haven't commenced yet, could you provide an update on this and just kind of walk us through the bridge for both 4Q and 1Q?.

Wilbur Paes Chief Operating Officer, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

As we said in our prepared remarks we still have right now $89 million of contractual pro rata cash rent that stems from signed leases not yet commenced and the burn-off of free rent off that number, $73 million is attributable to tenants that are in a free rent period and the remaining 16 are signed leases not commenced and we basically outlined this time that 67 of that total 89 million should become cash-paying by the end of the first quarter of 2017.

If you're looking at a cash NOI run-rate, our cash NOI for the quarter was 72 million and change and that included the termination income.

So if you go to back that out, you're in the high 60s and that's effectively one of the low points as we head into fourth quarter because in this quarter the other thing to bear in mind is the assured guaranty did not have the full effect in the third quarter which will have a full effect in the fourth quarter..

Tom Lesnick

So I guess all else equal, even with the ING space expiring at the end of the year, it's fair to say that on a cash basis, NOI should be moving higher over the next couple of quarters?.

Wilbur Paes Chief Operating Officer, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

Yes, I think that's -- well, we're not giving guidance for 2017 yet, I think that's a fair assumption. The fourth quarter would be the low point and then you have the ING effect in the first quarter..

Tom Lesnick

My second question with respect to the D.C. leasing environment, it looks like you guys got some leasing done at 2099 Penn, as well as Two Liberty Place, but TIs and LCs were relatively elevated at roughly 20% of initial rent.

Is that just the cost of business right now in DC, or were there specific issues with the spaces that required higher upfront costs?.

Ted Koltis

Well, that's a bit of an anomaly because we traded some PI for free rent. So that's just kind of one-quarter thing. I think that we're still seeing concessions in DC not really trend anywhere different from where they have been over the last year. So they're still at record levels in DC., especially on trophy product..

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

Our portfolio is currently over 94% leased at this point, and we have very limited expirations until 2021, so we have a rock-solid portfolio in DC, in the best locations, and around Pennsylvania Avenue, so we feel pretty good about this..

Operator

Our next question comes from Vikram Malhotra of Morgan Stanley..

Unidentified Analyst

This is Sumit in for Vikram. Thank you for the update on the vacancies, and the color, Ted. I guess it does sound like there's a bit of time before these leases or in general these large leases get signed.

I'm just wondering, when you think about '17, what sort of ballast or what are the sources of ballast to FFO and not just cash NOI that we should expect going forward?.

Wilbur Paes Chief Operating Officer, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

At this point we're not giving 2017 guidance yet. We tried to outline where NOI is for the quarter. We tried to outline what the burn-off of free rent -- our intention is to give full 2017 guidance when we report our fourth quarter results, recognizing that there's a lot of situations that are fluid right now..

Unidentified Analyst

Fair enough. We also heard—I mean, after the re-fi of 1301, which I take it—as you point out, you used the funds to pay down the costs there at 900 Third and Waterfront, and then also pay out a chunk of the One Front Street acquisition.

We also heard that you’re in the market for another mortgage loan at, I guess, One Market Square, along with the joint venture partner.

Assuming that it goes through and 50% of that, based on your share, comes across to you, I guess what are the possible uses of funds as you’re looking at there, given that I think debt maturities are fairly limited?.

Ted Koltis

Yes, we don't want to comment on that potential refinancing at this point. And we might get to that -- back to that in a quarter or so..

Operator

Our next question comes from Tom Catherwood of BTIG..

Tom Catherwood

Just some clarity on the New York leasing numbers this quarter. If I look at page 32, obviously you guys did almost 140,000 square feet in New York.

Of that 140,000 square feet, how much of that was the lease for the parking space -- parking garage at 1533 Broadway? Or was that 140,000 all office?.

Ted Koltis

Well, we don't really want to go into details which one was office and which one was garage at this point..

Tom Catherwood

Okay.

But the long story short is that the office portion of whatever was leased this quarter was -- I think it was, what, almost $85 a square foot?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

That is correct..

Tom Catherwood

Okay. And then second, Ted, you had mentioned in your prepared remarks that you kind of weren't concerned about subleasing in New York City. We've heard some stories of new blocks coming on the market over the past few months.

Is your thoughts that these blocks just don't compete with your product, or that the overall amount of sublease space in New York City isn't greater than historic averages?.

Ted Koltis

Well, I mean, the overall amount right now is around historical lows, actually, midtown. So I mean, would it compete? It might. But that really depends on term.

I mean, that's really the biggest driver of whether a sublease competes with our space or not because our space is large block space, headquarters-type space, that generally is a long-term deal. So most of the time, unless you have a large block sublease that has some term on it, it usually does not compete..

Operator

Our next question comes from Vincent Chao of Deutsche Bank..

Vincent Chao

Earlier, you had said that you’ve got a diversity of product available within the portfolio, but I was just curious if you could share some stats in terms of the breakdown, sort of greater than 100,000 square foot space, like how much availability is in that range—I’m sorry, kind of over $100 a square foot asking, versus below?.

Ted Koltis

It's about 25% of it, I would say, is a triple digit ask over the space. So the majority is below. And I said it ranges from the 60s to triple digits so it's probably pretty evenly spread over that range of price..

Vincent Chao

Okay.

And I know you also said that you’re seeing, not really seeing any abnormal trends in the market but have you noticed or seen any diminishing of demand for those higher asking rent spaces? Maybe it's not 100; maybe it's 130 but has there been any softening of the high end from your perspective?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

We haven't seen it but we don't have a lot of space available at that -- 712 5th is really our asset where we see that type of demand and we've done deals in excess of $130 per square foot in this last quarter even. So we don't have a lot of product there. So we're still able to drive good price at that property and in that market..

Vincent Chao

And just last one, on the -- thanks for the clarity on the cash -- will be cash flow here by the end of the first quarter of '17.

I'm just curious, the rest of the 22 million or so, should we expect that to come in by the end of '17 or will some of that bleed into '18?.

Wilbur Paes Chief Operating Officer, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

It's basically it's spread across the rest of '17..

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our next question comes from Jed Reagan of Green Street Advisors..

Jed Reagan

I guess following up on the last question there, and I guess just a little more broadly in terms of Midtown fundamentals, are you seeing any upward pressure on concessions or downward pressure on rents as we've kind of moved later in the year?.

Ted Koltis

Okay, so I mean working backwards, on rents, not seeing downward pressure. We feel that we're still getting what we would typically get, a small discount off of an asking rent, which is typical in the market.

Concessions, really, I would say are on a deal by deal basis depending on the term but we haven't had to reach with outsize concessions on any deal that we have been looking at right now..

Jed Reagan

Have you been able to push rents at all? Or is it more of just kind of flattish type of environment?.

Ted Koltis

It's been pretty flat so far, I would say, but I guess in a bit of a change from what we're hearing, we were pushing rents at 712 5th on those deals that I mentioned, a couple of deals that we did there, we were able to push rents higher, higher than we thought we would get. It's a mixed bag..

Jed Reagan

As we look out to 2017, are there any other expected move-outs besides ING?.

Wilbur Paes Chief Operating Officer, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

No. Jed, this is Wilbur, other than that, that's the large block. In 2017 we have 472,000 square feet expiring. The bulk of that, 300,000 plus square feet is in the first quarter and ING is really the large block non-move-out other than that there is just expirations across the portfolio..

Jed Reagan

And on the 89 million in cash rents commencing, just kind of reading your guys' comments, is it safe to assume that most of that's going to be of at least the kind of 60ish million that's commencing soon, is that more of a 1Q '17 commencement, rather than a 4Q '16? Is that a fairway to read it?.

Wilbur Paes Chief Operating Officer, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

You know, the thing we kind of highlighted, at the end of the first quarter of 2017, so that's when the 57 million becomes cash-paying. So I wouldn't call it 1Q but more like the end of 1Q '17..

Jed Reagan

Right.

How much of that do you expect to get by the end of next year?.

Wilbur Paes Chief Operating Officer, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

Remainder of 2016, we have basically told you in our guidance where we think cash NOI for 2016 was going to be which would be $10 million to $15 million lower than the 2015 amount and we're still trending there..

Jed Reagan

In terms of the One Front Street funding, would you like to sell a JV position in our buildings or would those be outright asset sales if you did go that route?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

Jed, as we had mentioned before, we will be exploring various alternatives and we are doing either a sale, and that means most probably a 1031 exchange as we have mentioned before, and we will be then -- how the tax rules work, it will be 100% sale and if we do a joint venture, then we are expecting to do a 49% or 49%joint ventures and keep 51% for the Company..

Jed Reagan

Okay. And then just curious how you're thinking about any additional acquisition opportunities at this point.

Is there a pipeline of attractive deals you're exploring?.

Ted Koltis

No, as we mentioned all along, we have been very, very selective in our acquisition analysis and pursuit. We have done the buyout of our joint venture partner last year at 31 West 52nd Street, and this year is now One Front.

We are selecting and looking at lot of possibilities, as close as a hundred possibilities per year, but we are mainly focusing on mezzanine debt financing for our debt fund, and we would only very selectively entertain an acquisition..

Operator

Our next question is a follow-up from Jamie Feldman of Bank of America..

Jamie Feldman

Can you talk about your expected leasing costs or CapEx spend to get to that 89 million of the cash rent?.

Wilbur Paes Chief Operating Officer, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

So, Jamie, the $89 of cash rent is already locked in. The bulk of the spending for that has happened. As you know, leasing commissions are typically paid when the leases are signed, TIs when tenants are building out their space, so a lot of the spending for that has been done and incurred in 2016.

There’s still going to be a trickle-over effect that goes into ’17. So it’s hard to say what number relates to that $89 million..

Jamie Feldman

Okay.

And then I guess for One Front, what would you say -- I know you mentioned an 800 per foot acquisition cost but what would you say your all-in basis would be once it's stabilized? Like how do you think about capital needs there?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

Well, you know it's stabilized right now. And we are cash flowing. So we really -- we might be doing early renewals. We are not really wanting to go into the details of it. It's too early. We haven't even closed on the asset and it's a property that has been very well run by the predecessor and it has been institutional ownership for a long, long time.

So we will approach the capital spending over the next couple of years, and it will be opportunistic. So it has to be a value creation for us, and we will be paying the standard TIs and LCs in the San Francisco market..

Jamie Feldman

Okay.

So you don't expect any kind of redevelopment program; it's more leasing?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

That’s correct, at this point. We initially also said that we ultimately might look into spending some capital on the lobby, but that's not in the near term more in the longer term. And it has worked very well at One Market Plaza, as you have seen. It helped really to upgrade the quality of the assets.

It made it very attractive to major office tenants and our team has experienced that since 2008 and has a good track record there..

Jamie Feldman

Okay.

And do you expect to expand your San Francisco team now that you're growing there?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

Well, our San Francisco team has been quite strong already, historically. You might know that we are managing a Fund VII property called 50 Beale, that we bought opportunistically in September of 2014. At the time, it was 90% leased. Currently, it’s close to 100% leased.

There, again, we are looking at putting in a certain amount of capital to reinvigorate the property, finishing and freshening up the lobby. So we have a lot of boots on the ground in San Francisco. We are very comfortable that the team is capable to do One Front.

Especially since we have not that much of a roll at One Market Plaza, it’s pretty much—we wish we had more space at One Market Plaza to lease, and 50 Beale is easily managed by the staff there. Ted and his team are already hands-on, focusing on One Front and really focused on getting early renewals in that property..

Jamie Feldman

Okay.

Would you want to move beyond the urban core there, if you found opportunity?.

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

We are really focused, as in all our three markets on the CBD..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of our question and answer session. I would like to turn the call back to Mr. Albert Behler for closing comments..

Albert Behler Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & President

Well, thank you all for joining us today. We are really looking forward to providing an update on our continued progress when we report our fourth quarter and year-end results in February 2017. Bye, bye..

Operator

This concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time..

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