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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2014 - Q2
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Executives

Gregory Lundberg – Investor Relations Jeremy J. Male – Chief Executive Officer Donald R. Shassian – Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer.

Analysts

Ben Swinburne – Morgan Stanley Marci Ryvicker – Wells Fargo Securities Alexia Quadrani – JPMorgan Jason Bazinet – Citigroup Jim Goss – Barrington Research.

Operator

Good morning my name is Julie and I will be your conference operator today. At this time I would like to welcome everyone to the CBS Outdoor Second Quarter 2014 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been place on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker’s remarks there will be a question-and-answer session.

(Operator Instructions) I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Gregory Lunbert Investor Relations. Sir you may begin your conference..

Gregory Lundberg

Good morning and thank you for joining our 2014 second quarter earnings call. On the call today are Jeremy Male, Chief Executive Officer and Donald Shassian Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. After today's prepared remarks we’ll open up the lines for questions and answers session.

The slide presentation to accompany today's call can be found in the Investor Relations section of our website at cbsoutdoor.com. Along with the earnings release and an audio webcast.

This conference may include forward- looking statements and relevant factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements that are listed in the earnings release. In slide number two of the presentation and in our SEC filings in addition in this call, we’ll refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures.

Please refer to the appendix of the slide presentation and our earnings release for the reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures each of which can be found in the investor relations section of our website, these documents also provide reconciliation of results on a comparable basis which we believe presents a more meaningful view of our business performance and progress by making certain adjustments to our reported results.

We reflect a constant dollar basis. We include incremental standalone public company operating costs and interest expense at the same level incurred in the first quarter of 2014.

We exclude a net gain and loss on disposition incurred in the first and second quarter of 2013 and we reflect income tax expense as if we were a REIT in each of the periods presented. With that, I will now turn the call over to Jeremy..

Jeremy J. Male Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Greg, and good morning, everyone. Since our last earnings call in May, we've been rather busy, both in terms of running our business and making important changes that set the stage for Q2 growth. If you turn to slide 4, of the presentation, I'd like to walk you through some of the key highlights.

First of all, total revenues for the second quarter increased 1.6%. This is in line with the expectations, that we shared with you back in May, for the second quarter revenues to grow in the low single-digit range. US revenue growth was 1.8% with Billboards growing 3.3%, its best [indiscernible] for the past four quarters.

This was offset by a 2% decline in transit and other revenues. While local revenues in the US were very solid, national revenues were down year-over-year. Internationally, revenues were very slightly up, with solid performances in Canada and South America, both up mid-single digits, offset by a weaker quarter in Mexico.

In the second quarter, our total adjusted OIBDA was up 2.2% and our margins expanded to 33%. Don will go into our numbers in more detail, so I'd like to turn now to three very important things that we've been working on during the quarter. First of all, we completed our separation from CBS Corp. on July 16 and began operating as a REIT the next day.

This capped off a very long and complicated process. With this behind us now, we're able to focus exclusively on strategies to drive future growth and profitability. One of these strategies is growth through acquisitions and our July 20 agreement to purchase outdoor assets from Van Wagner is a very important step in our transformation.

As you know, this was a unique opportunity that fits extremely well with our top market growth strategy and allows us to improve the breadth and creativity of solutions that we bring to our advertising clients.

I'd also like to mention that we announced the resignation of Wally Kelly, who was a great support to me in my first months at the company, and we're delighted to have announced last week the appointment of Clive Punter to lead our sales team as Chief Revenue Officer and Andy Sriubas as head of Strategic Planning and Development.

These are important roles that we expect to have a meaningful and positive impact throughout the organization. Clive brings a deep out-of-home background, as well as tremendous sales and marketing leadership earned in our industry and also in digital media, having led the global marketing teams at LinkedIn.

I've had the pleasure of working with Clive for five years in out-of-home in Europe. I'm confident that he'll develop and execute our strategies for growth and provide the structure and inspiration to make it happen.

Andy will enhance our digital and technological capabilities to help us win new business and drive future revenue growth for us and our partners. This is a key area of focus for us as out-of-home continues to digitize, providing increasing benefits to advertisers.

We want to be at the forefront of solutions that give our clients the greatest returns and engage our audience with innovative messaging. We believe that these management changes, together with our Van Wagner acquisition and our recent independence, enhance our platform for growth and considerably strengthen our business.

Now I'd like to hand over to Don, who will take you through our financials..

Donald R. Shassian

Thank you, Jeremy, and good morning, everyone. Slide 6 is a snapshot of our consolidated results. You can see that total revenues were up 1.6% with Billboard revenues up 2.7% and Transit and Other revenues down 1.3%. Adjusted OIBDA was up 2.2% and our margins expanded slightly to 33%.

This growth adjusts for $5.2 million of incremental standalone costs that did not occur last year. This level is up from the $3.8 million we reported last quarter and is now running close to the annualized level that we previously communicated would be necessary to run the business as a standalone public company independent from CBS.

I do expect our third quarter incremental costs to increase slightly further, at which time we will be at the expected ongoing run rate. Now let's dig into the results by turning to slide 7, which is the US segment that represents 87% of our revenues. In the US, total revenues grew 1.8%.

Underlying this was solid 3.3% growth in Billboards, offset by 2% decline in Transit and Other. When Billboard's on a same board basis, we had rising yields in the second quarter across our total Billboard portfolio, including both static and digital.

Yield growth remains an absolute key focus for us, going to maximize the revenue of each display and make sure that the display's delivering the best audiences are marketed accordingly. We also had good growth from converting static boards to digital.

In terms of our revenue mix, local advertising strength was offset by softness in national, as Jeremy mentioned.

The decline in Transit and Other revenue reflects the softness in national advertising and was also impacted by our April 2014 non-renewal of an unprofitable contract and the November 2013 sale of our street furniture business in Los Angeles. Adjusted OIBDA growth was 1.9% year-over-year and margins were essentially flat at 36.6%.

We expect greater operating leverage as revenue growth increases and our focus on yield also has benefits for profitability as revenues rise and potentially less profitable boards are rationalized. International revenue is shown on Slide 8.

We were up very slightly on a constant dollar basis in the quarter with Billboards down around 1% and Transit and Other up 4.3%. Looking at the regions in detail, Canada was up 4.7% on increased spending across several advertising verticals.

South America was also up mid-single digits, offset by billboard declines in Mexico from the reduced spending this quarter by a few large advertisers. We have several new digital boards coming online in the quarter in Mexico that will positively impact Mexico's results as we go forward.

Increased expenses in South America, due to incremental transit and billboard lease costs, reduced our margins to 22%. Turning to Slide 9, let me provide an overview of our capital expenditures. In the second quarter of 2014, total CapEx was $10.9 million or 3.3% of total revenues.

This included $4.4 million of maintenance CapEx and $6.5 million of growth CapEx. During the quarter, we added 40 digital boards in total, including 28 in the US, eight in Canada, and four in Chile. You'll recall that the 43 we added in the first quarter included many that were already well underway in the fourth quarter of last year.

As the timing of approvals is a bit ahead of our expected pace, we are raising our annual deployment estimate to approximately 120 boards from 100 previously. Importantly, however, we are not raising our total CapEx estimate of $65 million as we've been able to reprioritize some spending and deploy boards at a slightly lower cost than budgeted.

Please turn now to Slide 10 for an analysis of our FFO and AFFO. I'd like to point out the slight enhancement to our presentation. Since we are now operating as a REIT, we believe that it is important to present the second quarter metrics consistent with how we'll be reporting our financial results in the third quarter of this year and beyond.

Therefore, this slide shows both our FFO and AFFO on a reported basis. And also shows them on a REIT-comparable basis, which adjust for three things.

One, we equalize the impact of incremental standalone costs for both years; two, we equalize the impact of interest expense relating to our January debt offerings; and third, we exclude taxes that would not have been incurred if we had been operating as a REIT for all periods presented.

When adjusting for these items, FFO in the second quarter was up approximately 1% compared to last year's second quarter and AFFO was up 2.4% for the same period.

Our $44.4 million dividend payment in the second quarter of 2014 represents a 56% payout ratio of the $79.8 million of REIT-comparable AFFO generated in the same quarter or 77% of reported AFFO. This week, our Board declared a $0.37 dividend for the third quarter payable September 30.

As we stated in the Van Wagner acquisition call, we do not expect any change to our anticipated 2014 dividend levels. We expect that we can continue to pay a healthy REIT dividend that can grow over time with increased financial flexibility, while also deleveraging to our target zone of 3.5 times to 4 times.

You can see our current debt profile on slide 11, which reflects our balance sheet as of year end and June 30, 2014. At quarter end, the weighted average cost of debt was 4.2% and our consolidated total leverage ratio was 3.9 times. Including $123 million of cash on hand, the ratio was 3.6 times.

Our liquidity position is $548 million, including an undrawn $425 million revolving credit facility and $123 million of cash on hand.

You will also note that we have $100 million of net proceeds from the IPO, which we will use, along with an estimated $400 million of stock, as the required on time dividend to our shareholders in what’s known as an earnings and profits purge.

CBS will complete the calculation of the EMP purge with the finalization of their 2013 federal tax return in early September. We will then be able to make an announcement on the final amount and the anticipated timing of a payment.

In connection with our conversion to a REIT, please note that our third quarter results will reflect a non-cash reversal into net income of substantially all of the deferred taxes that you see on our June 30, 2014 balance sheet. Now I'd like to give you brief update on the recently announced Van Wagner acquisition.

We are in process of pursuing all regulatory approvals. We expect to finance the purchase with additional long-term borrowings. To provide the seller was certainty of financing, we do have commitment from Wells Fargo and a syndicate of additional banks to finance the transaction.

In addition to a commitment fee on this financing, we disclosed, in the acquisition conference call, that we expect total fees and expenses relating to the transaction of approximately $25 million.

A portion of those fees will be paid in the coming quarters from professional services and the commitment fee won't impact the quarter results until we close on new financing. In summary, we believe this is a very strong and efficient balance sheet with substantial financial flexibility.

With additional revenue growth, we expect to see enhanced conversion to OIBDA and AFFO and we expect to use this for investment and growth initiatives, dividends, and debt reductions; all of which, when combined with our restructure, should result in growing AFFO per share, our key operating metric. I'll now turn it back over to Jeremy on slide 13..

Jeremy J. Male Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Don. Looking forward, our national trends in the third quarter are a little better than we saw in the second quarter. We still see overall revenue growth in the third quarter to once again be in the low single-digit range.

Additionally, we will continue to have the comparison issues associated with the contract non-renewal and asset sale that Don mentioned. That being said, we’ve already written 90% of revenue we achieved in 2013 and remain confident in our ability to increase share and out-of-home's ability to grow its share of advertising as we look into the future.

We’re also still focused on growth through tuck-in acquisitions. We believe there’s a very attractive model to utilize our existing infrastructure and REIT status to drive incremental returns for shareholders.

As I mentioned in my opening comments, we're in our first month as an independent company and there’s an incredible amount of energy being putting into our sales process, how we market and position the company, and how we leverage our data and systems to manage our existing assets in the most profitable way.

We’re pleased to have some key new leadership to drive this, but it’s also happening at every level of the organization. When we report our third quarter results in November, we’ll be doing so with a new corporate name, logo, and marketing strategy that will clearly define who we are and where we’re going in this exciting industry.

So with that, operator, let's open the lines for questions..

Operator

(Operator Instructions) The first question comes from line of Ben Swinburne from Morgan Stanley..

Ben Swinburne – Morgan Stanley

Thank you, good morning. Jeremy, can you talk a little bit, or Don, about some of the categories in the quarter that were favorable or unfavorable? Particularly, I know you guys have a lot of exposure to the entertainment segment.

It’s been a very tough summer for box office, so maybe any color on how that looks for the rest of the summer and then maybe even into next year, where I think the slate looks a lot better?.

Jeremy J. Male Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Yes, thanks for the question, Ben. Looking just at the main categories, when actually thinking about it over the six months, really, because I think it’s a little more meaningful than just the quarter. When we look at the categories, the down categories for us, beer was down, restaurants were down, financial services were down.

On the upside, healthcare was very strong for us, TV was strong for us, and professional services strong. In terms of movies, yes, you're right, movies has been a little bit less good for us, particularly in Q2.

As we look into next year, we think that could be quite a strong growth flip because the movie sort of schedule for next year, actually, is really quite exciting. We're looking forward to that. .

Ben Swinburne – Morgan Stanley

Great and then I wanted to ask Don a follow up on the acquisition pipeline.

I know you obviously have done the Van Wagner deal or in process, but are there other tuck-ins you see as possibilities in the next six to 12 months? Or do think you've largely spent what your capacity in the near term?.

Donald R. Shassian

Ben, the Van Wagner acquisition was a great opportunity, a very unique set of assets. We're very, very excited to get that closed and integrated. There are a number of smaller acquisition, tuck-in acquisitions. We mentioned the Chicago Windsor several weeks ago. We continue to look at other smaller opportunities.

If they meet our qualitative and quantitative in our top 25 markets, we'll continue to look at them. We never can tell how many you might be able to get. Every one is unique, but we continue to have a pipeline and continue to analyze and do due diligence and try to find the ones that make some sense. We have not spent anything.

These are small items that we were able to do with cash. We think that they are things that are smart for us and we'll continue to look for them, hopefully be successful in finding them..

Ben Swinburne – Morgan Stanley

Great, thank you very much..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Marci Ryvicker with Wells Fargo..

Marci Ryvicker – Wells Fargo Securities

Thanks. Billboard revenue was relatively strong, up 3%. Can you talk about what you're seeing in local versus national there? And then just digging into transit a little bit more since that was on the weaker side, how much of the decrease was due to national being soft versus the contract and the asset sale? Just trying to figure out organic trends..

Donald R. Shassian

On the latter one, on the Transit side, Marci, the decline was we had a non-renewal of an unprofitable contract, GameStop, and we also had the sale of the Los Angeles area street furniture into the JV. The amount for the quarter declined for those two items was $3.6 million and for six months, it was about $6.3 million.

Turning back to the first part of the question, Marci, local ad fee it has been really pretty good for us throughout. The declines in national certainly sort of pullback that performance by a point or two..

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Alexia Quadrani with JPMorgan..

Alexia Quadrani – JPMorgan

Thank you.

Could you remind us, just on that last question, what the mix is of national local in your Transit business? And then second question is, have you seen any signs of improvement in national? Any reason to be encouraged about the national environment, I guess going into the September quarter, given what your sales folks are saying or what you may be seeing early in the quarter?.

Jeremy J. Male Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Our total split, Alexia, is 60% local and 40% national. When you drill into it, the bias in national is much stronger than that but it’s not a number that we – and Transit is much is much stronger than that. So when we look forward, I think that other commentators have said from September, it’s looking a little bit better.

Yes, our September numbers are certainly better than July and August, so we hope that as the ad markets generally improve that our assets will benefit from that..

Alexia Quadrani – JPMorgan

Okay.

And just to follow-up on the weaker profitability in international, any sign of when that may level off a little bit?.

Donald R. Shassian

I think things can sometimes be a little lumpy. Canada was very, very strong again, South America also very strong, Mexico, I think, was a little lumpy for the quarter. We had a couple large advertisers that discontinued for the quarter.

We’ve got a number of activities that I think Mexico is going to improve in the coming quarter, so international definitely has turned the corner. It definitely has stabilized and we’re seeing some very good things in all the countries.

I think Mexico was a little bit of a blip for the quarter and we feel good that the activities going on by local management there are going to show very good strength in the coming quarters..

Alexia Quadrani – JPMorgan

Thank you very much..

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jason Bazinet with Citi..

Jason Bazinet – Citigroup

I have a slightly longer-term question. The ad market, people, I think, blamed the weather and the economy in the fourth quarter and things seem sort of sluggish this quarter and so. My question is, if this is sort of the new run rate in terms of advertising, revenues in aggregate, or for outdoor.

How much top line do you guys think you need to generate to not have margin compression in the business? Is there a magic number that you think we need to see to sort of sustain margins?.

Jeremy J. Male Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks for that, Jason. I guess the first point is that it does seem to be that the whole industry has maybe been a little bit wrong-footed this year. I think the expectations of growth haven't been achieved and that’s right the way across the board.

I don’t think, necessarily, if we think about the last couple of quarters, I don’t think it necessarily reflects, if you like, any longer-term trends there. Maybe that's the first point. I think the second point is that we still believe that within that, the out-of-home can increase its share.

I think that this year it’s looking like – it’s certainly not certain that will be the case, but I think as we look forward and as forecasters look forward, that indeed is believed to be the case and I'm confident that we can do that.

Coming back more specifically to your question, I think we’ve said before that when you look at our business, we do have a very relatively high fixed cost, but we do have some cost creep, we have some leases that have inflation kickers in there. We have, in our transport business, we have rents that are linked to revenue.

So taking other sort of inflation, REIT cost creep on wages et cetera. What that means is that we start getting margin expansion, depending on where the growth comes from, if it’s by photo or transit or billboards between 1.5% and 2%. .

Jason Bazinet – Citigroup

Oh, wow. That’s pretty low. Okay. All right. Thank you very much..

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your next question comes from the line of Jim Goss with Barrington Research. .

Jim Goss – Barrington Research

Thank you. First, I’d like to ask just a detailed about the earnings purge.

What is the expected date of record for that sort of thing? How does that work? Would it be bigger than normal this year and then a repeating pattern in subsequent years as you try to true up your dividends for the actual earnings year figured out?.

Jeremy J. Male Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Jim, let me make sure that we’re not confusing things. There’s an earnings and profit purge, which is a one-time distribution and cash and stock that is required to be done as a REIT. The determination of when that will be done has not been announced yet. We have not announced a record date nor payment date, yet.

It needs to be done by the end of January of next year. Secondly, you have a dividend and distribution out of our current earnings on an annual basis and there's a recurring dividend our board announced earlier this week; a third quarter dividend shareholders of record September 9 payable on September 30.

We will look forward that the Board would approve a dividend in the fourth quarter and I will do again in first quarter with a top up as well.

I'm not sure which of those two you're specifically trying to focus, whether it's the [indiscernible] or the one time purge?.

Jim Goss – Barrington Research

Okay, I wasn't entirely clear if they were linked or they were separate.

The first one relates just to the going public transaction and the shift to the REIT, the second one will be the repeatable one and that would be a little bit later on, then?.

Donald R. Shassian

No, the first one is the purge to be announced, to be done one time, no later than January. Recurring dividends, we’re already doing them, but we paid a dividend in the second quarter that was payable on June 30 and our Board, just earlier this week, announced another dividend that going to be paid in September and that's the recurring dividend..

Jim Goss – Barrington Research

Okay.

But don't you have a larger dividend at the beginning of the year that relates to the actual earnings adjustment?.

Donald R. Shassian

That would be the top up transaction that will be paid in the first quarter.

Once we know the actual QRS tax return taxable income and we’ve committed to pay 100% of that, when we finally know that number at the end of the year, that number compared to what we had paid in our recurring dividends during 2014 would be a top up and that would be paid in the first quarter, along with the new recurring dividend for the next year..

Jim Goss – Barrington Research

Okay.

And then secondly, I was wondering if, as you make acquisitions, if you foresee any shift in the nature of the display types you would have over time? In a corollary basis, are you seeing any changes or are you developing any changes in the usage of your digital boards with any potential impact on pricing opportunities? For example, day parting or things of that nature that were envisioned as a means, a reason to go digital in the first place, aside from changing the displays?.

Donald R. Shassian

Jim, your first question about change and mix of our boards because of acquisitions, as a REIT and as we've stated previously, our focus on acquisitions would primarily be in growing our QRS business and therefore, acquiring, if we're going to make acquisitions it's focusing on U.S. fixed structures, billboards. Van Wagner is a perfect example.

Substantially all their assets are fixed structures, billboards in the states. So I think you would probably see the mix of our business shifting if you would, obviously, see more towards billboard on some of these acquisitions.

Obviously, the assets at our TRS are very, very important to us and we think they're very good moneymaker businesses and we'll continue to focus on them..

Jeremy J. Male Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Just going to the other part of your question, Jim, I think, actually, it's a really good question.

I refer to digital as an iceberg in that, actually, in terms of the capability of our assets, we're just using that 25% piece that's above the waterline and 75% we're really not using as well as we could and that includes areas such as day parting or light feeds or whatever else.

I think it’s fair to say that, from a technology point of view, we're very, very involved at looking at ways of becoming much, much smarter in this area.

Just going back to my comments earlier in terms of certainly taking on Andy Sriubas, who has great experience in these areas, that's all focused on really improving our expertise in this area that will drive future enhanced revenues, we believe..

Jim Goss – Barrington Research

All right. Thank you very much..

Jeremy J. Male Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you..

Operator

At this time, there are no further questions in queue..

Jeremy J. Male Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Julie. So I think we'll sign off there. I'd like to thank you all for your questions today. We look forward to seeing many of you next month in New York at our investor conference and expect to report our third quarter results to you in November. Thanks very much to everyone on the call..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's CBS Outdoor Second Quarter 2014 Earnings Conference Call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect..

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