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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2021 - Q4
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Disclaimer*

This transcript is designed to be used alongside the freely available audio recording on this page. Timestamps within the transcript are designed to help you navigate the audio should the corresponding text be unclear. The machine-assisted output provided is partly edited and is designed as a guide.:.

Operator

0:02 Good afternoon. My name is Emma, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I’d like to welcome everyone to the Hims & Hers Health Fourth Quarter 2021 Earnings Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session.

[Operator Instructions] Thank you. 0:33 Jay Spitzer Senior Vice President and Investor Relations, you may begin your conference..

Jay Spitzer

0:40 Good afternoon ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Hims & Hers Health fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 earnings call. On the call with me today is, Andrew Dudam, Co-Founder and our Chief Executive Officer; as well as Yemi Okupe, our Chief Financial Officer.

Beforehand you over to Andrew I was usual take you through the legal and safe harbor and cautionary declarations.

1:03 Certain statements and projections of future results made in this presentation constitutes forward-looking statements that are based on our current market competitive and regulatory expectations and are subject to risks uncertainties that could cause actual results to vary materially.

We undertake no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statement after this call, whether as a result of new information, future events, changes in assumptions or otherwise. Please see our most recently filed 10K and 10Q or discussions of risk factors as relates to forward-looking statements.

1:37 In today's presentation we use certain non-GAAP financial measures. We refer you to the reconciliation table contained in today's press release available on our Investor Relations website. For reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and related information.

You'll find a link to the webcast on our Investor Relations website at investors.forhims.com. After the call, this webcast will be archived on the website for 12 months. 2:05 And with that I'll turn the call over to Andrew..

Andrew Dudum Co-Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Uber, Braintree, Google, eBay and PayPal. Yemi's superpowers have already begun to accelerate the pace of innovation, growth and efficiency within our business. I'm honored to welcome him and energized by his early contributions. At this point, I'll now turn the call over to Yemi for more detailed review of our results..

Yemi Okupe Chief Financial Officer

10:45 Thank you, Andrew. Thank you for your time today. I look forward to engaging with you further in the near future. I am elated to join Hims & Hers at such an exciting moment in the company's life cycle.

Over the course of the last decade, technology has disrupted the way that consumers engage with companies across numerous industries, whether that be how they move around in the world, accept remit payments, acquired goods or consume media content. 11:11 Healthcare is an industry that is in the early innings of similar disruption.

I firmly believe that we have the components necessary to be at the forefront of this disruption. This includes a strong brand that consumers recognize and increasingly trust, as well as in an outstanding team that has the ability to execute against our mission of providing greater access, high-quality, convenient and affordable healthcare.

11:34 I'll now take you through our fourth quarter and 2021 results. Following that, we will provide guidance and insight into our underlying assumptions for the first quarter of 2022 and the full year. We are delighted by last year's performance which surpassed expectations outlined in our previous guidance.

Fourth quarter revenue was $84.7 million, up 104% year-over-year. Revenue for 2021 was $271.9 million, up 83% compared to 2020. When excluding the impact of M&A transactions, fourth quarter revenue grew 89% year-over-year to $78.5 million. Full year 2021, revenue grew 75% year-over-year to $259.7 million when excluding the impact of M&A transactions.

12:25 Several factors contributed to our success in 2021. Online revenue growth continued to remain robust in 2021, increasing 84% year-over-year to $259 million. Growth came primarily from subscriptions, which increased 95% year-over-year to 609,000.

Subscriptions on our platform enabled us to surpass 1 million net orders in a quarter for the first time in our company's history. Strong execution and increased awareness of our brand provided us with the opportunity to increase our CAC marketing investment through the year while holding cash per new subscriber roughly flat throughout 2021.

This is notable as it points to our ability to increase customer acquisition velocity without materially compromising our principles around disciplined investments. 97% of online revenue comes from subscriptions, which is a core source of recurring revenue.

13:19 In the fourth quarter, we continued to successfully expand our omnichannel presence via partnerships with leading retailers across the country. Wholesale revenue grew $12.7 million in 2021 with $6.4 million of that revenue coming in the fourth quarter. This represents an increase of 58% and 365% for 2021 and the fourth quarter, respectively.

Wholesale growth was driven by continued success with current partners such as Target as well as the onboarding of new partners such as CVS and Walgreens. 13:54 Gross profit margin was 75% for 2021, which represents an increase of about 160 basis points year-over-year.

Gross profit margin declined 70 basis points from the third quarter to 73% in the fourth quarter as we anticipated. The sequential quarterly decline was primarily driven by a shift in mix or more wholesale revenue, which carries lower margins than our online business. Retail partnerships deliver value in ways that extend beyond the financial benefits.

We feel that partnerships with the country's top retailers drive higher brand awareness and further establish trust with consumers. As our products drive value for our current retail partners, demand is sparked for new partnerships, which helps once again further generate additional brand awareness and trust with consumers.

This is one element of our strategy that we believe has contributed to our ability to maintain CAC per new subscriber in a year where there has been increased cost pressure across several marketing channels. 14:51 Pivoting to our operating expenses. General and administrative expenses increased from 44% of revenue in 2020 to 67% of revenue in 2021.

This is largely the result of an increase in stock-based compensation related to the earnout consideration and other onetime costs that stem from our initial public offering. Excluding stock-based compensation, G&A as a percentage of revenue was 46% in 2021 and 41% in 2020.

This increase was related to additional costs that came as a result of our transition to a public company. 15:24 We anticipate that we will gain leverage on G&A expenses going forward. Marketing as a percentage of revenue increased 10 points year-over-year to 50% in 2021.

This was primarily the result of a proactive decision to increase investment in marketing. This decision was made to opportunistically take advantage of our ability to bring more subscriptions onto the platform at similar levels of spend efficiency throughout 2021.

15:50 The difference in CAC per new subscriber between the most and least expensive quarter in 2021 was less than 5%. A diversified set of acquisition channels combined with the continued scaling of our brand were the primary drivers behind our success on this front.

Quarterly new customer cohorts now typically deliver stimulative gross profit and access of paid marketing costs in less than two quarters. This gives us confidence that the incremental customers acquired in the second half of 2021 will drive incremental value for years to come.

16:21 Adjusted EBITDA loss was $7.1 million in the fourth quarter and $30.1 million across all of 2021. We continue to receive benefits from previously launched products such as multi-month ordering and saw gains in operational efficiency. These factors have meaningfully improved the unit economics in newer cohorts.

The 12-month cumulative gross profit from subscribers acquired in 2020 was nearly 4x that of the 2019 cohort. The 2021 cohort of subscribers is following a similar trajectory as the 2020 cohort. 16:56 Through 2021, we made a deliberate decision to reinvest a portion of efficiency gains into the acquisition of additional customers.

Increasing retention rates and the recurring nature of the majority of our revenue, combined with faster payback periods provides us with the conviction that the investment in our platform is a sound decision. 17:15 For context, in 2021, we retained close to 80% of 2020 online revenue from cohorts acquired prior to 2020.

2021 was an exemplary year for Hims & Hers. We continue to grow our customer base and revenue footprint across our core online categories, made meaningful progress in the development of emerging categories, further extended the footprint of our strategic wholesale channel and welcomed two new teams, Apostrophe and Honest Health, into the portfolio.

17:44 We entered 2022 with a robust balance sheet that has $247 million of unrestricted cash and short-term investments and 0 debt.

Additionally, the lifetime value of newly acquired subscribers is the highest it has been, which will allow us to progressively improve our adjusted EBITDA margins and continue to invest in the expansion of our platform in a prudent manner. 18:07 I would now like to take the time to provide additional color on our outlook for 2022.

Starting with the first quarter, we are anticipating revenue to be between $90 million to $93 million, representing a year-over-year increase of between 72% to 78%.

A few factors are powering our growth, which include the continued revenue benefit from customers acquired as a result of the marketing investments we made in the second half of 2021, incremental revenue from the Honest Health and Apostrophe transactions that were not completed until June and July of 2021 respectively, and continued momentum from wholesale partnerships, most notably the recently announced partnership with Walmart.

18:46 Adjusted EBITDA losses are expected to be between negative $12 million to negative $10 million in the first quarter. In the early weeks of 2022, we have continued to see attractive investment opportunities that we are confident will pay off the future quarters.

Looking to the full year, we are anticipating full year 2022 revenue to be between $365 million to $380 million, which represents a year-over-year increase of 34% to 40%. This range is above our previously stated target of 30% year-over-year growth, reflecting confidence in our ability to roll forward 2021 dynamics that resulted in healthy growth.

19:25 We expect M&A transactions closed in the second half of 2021 to contribute between 10 to 15 points of year-over-year growth in the first half of 2022. That effect will dissipate in the second half of the year as we start to lap the completion of these transactions.

We are confident that Apostrophe and Honest Health will be significant contributors in delivery of both our strategic and financial objectives.

19:47 Early signs of success from our new categories, higher retention rates of new cohorts and new learnings from marketing experiments give us strong conviction in our ability to maintain a growth rate of at least 30% for the foreseeable future.

Quarter-to-quarter volatility may exist given how quickly our business is evolving, combined with the challenges of estimating the exact timing for when a specific catalyst will accelerate. Anticipated impact from iOS changes has been factored into our guidance based on learnings from 2021.

We look forward to updating you with developments during our quarterly earnings calls. 20:21 With the launch of Walmart and higher sales velocity among top retailers, we are anticipating substantial wholesale revenue growth in 2022. Online gross profit margins are expected to remain relatively stable.

However, wholesale growth carries lower margins than our online business. As a result, we are expecting gross profit margin degradation at a portfolio level similar to what we saw in the fourth quarter of 2021.

20:47 As previously mentioned, our wholesale partnerships have greater consumer awareness of our brand, which we feel benefits our acquisition efforts and other channels. Looking toward the bottom line, our expectation is that 2022 adjusted EBITDA losses will be between negative $30 million and negative $20 million.

21:06 The midpoint of the adjusted EBITDA and revenue range results in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 6.7%, which represents a more than 4 percentage point year-over-year improvement from 2021.

Our belief is that establishing a leadership position across multiple categories will allow us to provide consumers a broad selection of quality healthcare offerings, which can be a significant point of differentiation.

21:30 We expect to continue to invest in the development of new categories as well as in solidifying our position in our current core categories.

Continued leverage from our omnichannel strategy, healthy customer retention patterns and continued refinement of our capital allocation framework provide us confidence in our ability to make these investments in a way that does not compromise the high standards set forth in our historical allocation of capital.

2021 was an incredible year, and we remain more optimistic than ever in the future outlook of the business in 2022 and beyond. 21:59 I will now turn it back to the operator to start the Q&A portion of the call..

Operator

22:05 [Operator Instructions] Your first question today comes from the line of Michael Cherny. with Bank of America, your line is now open..

Michael Cherny

22:19 Good afternoon. Thanks so much for the color. And Yemi and Jay, welcome obviously to the first call today. I want to talk a little bit about, Yemi you made a comment regarding marketing spend, some of the targeted marketing that you put in place and how it's already paying its dividends in terms of new customer growth.

As you think about some of the category expansion you've had, thinking about some of these marketing partnerships and the wholesale revenue, how does the next couple of years of targeted marketing spend and potentially incremental campaigns dovetail against an eventual pathway towards building to EBITDA breakeven?.

Yemi Okupe Chief Financial Officer

23:03 Yes, sure, I can take this one. This is Yemi. I think what we would say is that we will -- given our balance sheet, we will continue to lean into marketing investment while the opportunities remain attractive. What we would point to is the fact that we are able to breakeven on newer cohorts within two quarters.

While there are attractive investment opportunities, we will continue to invest in those. But what we are already seeing is the fact that the velocity, which was of course our returning value, is accelerating 23:34 As a result of that, what we did see in Q4 is cash flow from operations was down to roughly negative $3.1 million.

And so we do have the flexibility to continue to decide when to make these investments, again given the balance sheet and the already strong performance that these cohorts are returning..

Michael Cherny

23:53 Got it. And then just in terms of thinking about 2022 guidance, clearly, the net order growth has been remarkably strong. AOV has kind of trended in a fairly similar trajectory over the course of 2021.

How should we think about that metric for 2022? And what are the puts and takes that you would expect, especially as the subscription growth continues to build?.

Yemi Okupe Chief Financial Officer

24:15 Yeah, let's say we expect AOV to be flat to slightly up through the course of 2020..

Michael Cherny

24:23 Okay, that does it for me for now. Thank you so much..

Operator

24:28 Your next question comes from a line of Matthew Shea with Piper Sandler. Your line is now open..

Matthew Shea

24:35 Hey, guys, thanks for the question. And Congrats on another strong quarter.

I appreciate the commentary that the iOS changes are incorporated in the guidance, but curious if you can provide any colors on some of the new channel -- marketing channels you've invested in beyond the retail partnerships, any kind of relative efficiency gains you have within those and plans to continue investing in any of those channels you're able to provide more color around..

Andrew Dudum Co-Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

25:04 Thanks. Matt, I can answer a little bit on the front end. We don't really disclose breakdowns of channels. But as we've talked about in the past, really marketing dollars don't go to any one channel more than, let's say, 20%.

And so there's really powerful diversification taking place within the business on where we're deploying capital and then also increased diversification when it comes to the categories for which we're deploying capital.

So you can think of even in simple terms, seeing advertisements of Jennifer Lopez for post-menopausal hair loss as well as advertisements with Miley Cyrus for early 20s female dermatology. And then Rob Gronkowski for, let's say, men in their 30s suffering from anxiety and depression.

So there's this diversification taking place on a channel and category level that I think to Yemi's point has allowed us to continue to scale marketing investments while maintaining that customer acquisition cost efficiency. So if you look over the last year, we've increased marketing spend from Q1 to Q4 by close to 40%.

But the actual variance in the acquisition cost per subscriber went up or down no more than just a couple of points.

And so there's a ton of innovation and a ton of experimentation taking place at the channel level at the category level to continue to deliver these results, but it's probably the accumulation of a tremendous effort and a large team effort within the company making it possible..

Matthew Shea

26:34 Got it, that's super helpful. And then my understanding is the Target exclusivity kind of expiring is what's opened up these relations -- or the ability to have these relationships with all these other retailers.

So curious where that Target relationship stands today, whether there's any channel conflict with you working with Target and Walmart, and whether it's fair to expect more retail partnerships going forward?.

Andrew Dudum Co-Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

27:02 Yes, the relationship with Target is exceptionally strong. They're contributing a large part of that growth in the retail channel that we mentioned year-over-year.

But we've been able to branch out and the demand, I think, on the retail side has really been energizing for all of us, whether it be CVS or Walgreens or Walmart or GMC, Bed Bath & Beyond, Vitamin Shoppe. I mean there's just an incredible demand for the products and those retailers are coming to us with an energy that I think is very rare.

So I think to our earlier statements, we believe in those retail channels as brand building, as trust building and is ultimately kind of the first leg of our flywheel that helps accelerate customers to the online platform. 27:47 And so we'll continue to be investing in those channels for that strategic reason.

The dollars that come in the door from them are obviously gravy on top that we enjoyed, but I think the strategic benefit from an efficient marketing holistic strategy and the omnipresent trust that comes with those relationships with customers is really what we prioritize more than anything..

Matthew Shea

28:10 Got it. Thank you. Congrats again, guys..

Andrew Dudum Co-Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

28:15 Yeah. Thank you..

Operator

28:16 Your next question comes from the line of Jailendra Singh Credit Suisse. Your line is now open..

Adam Heussner

28:21 Hi, this is Adam on for Jailendra today. Just wanted to go back and look at the guidance between 2022 for a bit and just comparing the 34% to 40% revenue growth versus the thoughts around the 3Q call, 30% growth.

Just curious if you could elaborate a little bit on what you attribute that raise to? And just maybe more of a high-level question in terms of, like the level of conservatism around the guidance for 2022.

Has that changed at all as we think back as when you guys put guidance for last year for 2021?.

Yemi Okupe Chief Financial Officer

29:01 Sure, Hi Adam, this is Yemi. I'll go and take that one. I think that there's a few factors going on. So one is the -- as we mentioned, the investment on the file that we made in the second half of 2021. We are seeing some of those dividends start to pay off in 2022.

And so given the fact that we have a larger base that we actually in 2021 with, that does give us the conviction to increase and elevate the range. What I would say is that we are focused on sustaining repeated growth, not just for one year, but for multiple years.

And so given many of the dynamics that you've seen that Andrew mentioned previously, we do have some convection and ability to maintain the long-term growth rate north of 30%. Again, just given the large time that we have on some of our historical categories as well as some of the early single irrigated emerging categories gives us our convection..

Adam Heussner

29:52 Got it? And then just a question on the 1Q 2019 and 1Q 2021 cohort comparison in the presentation, should we think about the 1Q 2021 cohort is kind of the new normal for the business moving forward? And how much of a benefit did the multi-month purchases, I guess, contribute to the 1Q 2021 for performance compared to the 1Q 2019? Thanks..

Yemi Okupe Chief Financial Officer

30:17 Sure, There are several factors embedded in the overall improvement. Some of it, as you mentioned, is the multi-month ordering. We also did see operational efficiencies as well as higher retention rates. That did result in and for the economics across the cohorts.

Given the fact that we have seen this not just occur with just the Q1 2021 cohort, but several repeated cohorts since then, we do have the conviction that this is a sustainable trend -- a sustainable trend on a go-forward basis..

Adam Heussner

30:48 Got it. Thanks a lot. Congrats again..

Yemi Okupe Chief Financial Officer

30:51 Thank you..

Operator

30:53 Your next question comes from the line of Daniel Grosslight with Citi, your line is now open..

Daniel Grosslight

30:58 Hi, guys, thanks for taking the question. Some of your competitors have branched out into diagnostic testing and the treatment of higher acuity conditions. You noted that product expansion will be a driver of growth, but perhaps more of a medium-term driver.

Can you provide more details around which additional conditions you're looking to expand into first and then the timeline for that expansion?.

Andrew Dudum Co-Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

31:23 Yes, I can take that, Daniel. I think as we shared the combination of the core categories and the emerging categories, is really what's helping us accelerate that revenue diversification and unlock that 30% confidence on a long-term basis.

And so I think what you can expect from us in the future is similar to what you've seen from us in the past, which is one to two major category expansions every couple of quarters. This is what we've done essentially since we launched the company 4-plus years ago, and I think this is the strategy on I think a go-forward basis.

We're not a team that is going to be doing dozens of expansions and dozens of new categories every quarter. But I think we'd like to focus on one or two and do them really every few months. And so I think that's kind of about the timing dynamic.

What you can expect from actual categories, there's a lot that the team is always looking at, one that we believe are very well suited for the platform that we spend on time investing in and researching our categories such as insomnia, pain management, weight management, fertility, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, those are categories that we believe are very well suited on the platform and the platform that is today really well equipped to tackle.

And there are also categories, frankly, that affect tens and tens of millions of people in the country. And so we know that they are high impact when it comes to general healthcare improvements for the aggregate population.

So I think that hopefully provides a little bit of guidance on where the focus is and maybe what the timing of those rollouts could look like..

Daniel Grosslight

32:59 Yep, that makes sense. And then on gross margins for 2022, you mentioned we should see a bit of degradation this year due to the mix shift to wholesale.

Apart from this shift, are you seeing any cost pressures from shipping rates from wage inflation as you build out your pharmacy? Any other cost pressures you're seeing in that line item?.

Yemi Okupe Chief Financial Officer

33:25 Yes. Hi Dan, this is Yemi. Thus far, we've not seen any incremental pressure beyond just the product mix that we mentioned. Given trends that we saw in the back half of Q4 of 2021, we have rolled forward many of those assumptions into 2022.

I think what I would say to you is that we do have -- we're very excited to have several opportunities to continue to increase our overall operational efficiency. That does give us the flexibility to potentially accommodate any additional fluctuations, but we'll constantly keep a pull for how the market evolves on that front..

Daniel Grosslight

34:04 Got it. Thanks for the color. Congrats on the quarter..

Yemi Okupe Chief Financial Officer

34:08 Thank you..

Operator

34:10 Your next question comes from the line of Ivan Feinseth with Tigress Financial Partners. Your line is now open..

Ivan Feinseth

34:17 Hi, thanks for taking my question. And Congratulations to Yemi and Jay for joining the team.

My first question on your retail partnerships, do you have the same products available across for all of them or are you segmenting in any way or do you envision segmenting your product line in retail for specific retailers?.

Andrew Dudum Co-Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

34:45 Thanks, Ivan. Appreciate the question. I think generally speaking, we have a lot of consistency across retail partnerships across both the Hims & Hers brands, whether it's dermatology products, sexual health hair care products, vitamins, supplements, a lot of consistency.

We are seeing, however, a desire from retailers to focus and lean into specific verticals within the company. And I think the flexibility that Hims & Hers offers the breadth of services and treatments that we offer allow us to work with these retail partners on a fairly personalized basis.

35:20 So, I think there is an increased level of personalization taking place on the shelves, but more so than not, you have a lot of consistency in those 20,000 physical retail locations nationwide..

Ivan Feinseth

35:34 And when you bring on or a new retailer brings you on, are they covering all the onboarding costs? Are you sharing any, are there any onboarding costs?.

Andrew Dudum Co-Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

35:46 Given the fulfilment center that we built out in Ohio and the simplicity of the logistics that we have here, having done this with Target for quite a while. It's relatively low cost for us to get these going, which is some nice leverage for the business..

Ivan Feinseth

36:00 Okay.

And switching to categories without specifically saying, where do you see the biggest opportunity in the next couple of categories that you could take advantage of?.

Andrew Dudum Co-Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

36:13 Yeah, that's great Ivan. I think I'd probably echo what I shared with Dan. We're really excited about the categories, both in the core and emerging markets that we're in today, whether that be dermatology, sexual health, mental health and so big investments in those categories as mentioned.

And then the new categories, things like insomnia, pain management, weight management and then more chronic conditions such as hypolipidemia are areas that we get really energized by. So that's where I think we can kind of point to for some of the categories we believe could be coming down the pipeline..

Ivan Feinseth

36:52 And then how do you feel that the brand equity that you have created since the launch of your company can help you best to penetrate those new categories?.

Andrew Dudum Co-Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

37:03 I think what we're seeing is that the consistent investment in that omnichannel brand and the diversity of the brand and who it's targeting and the audiences that I think have trust and relationships with us is paying tremendous dividends right.

I think this is why when you look at Q4 and last year 2021, we've been able to increase our investment dollars in customer acquisition. We've been able to nearly double our subscription members on the platform.

However, we've been able to keep that cost per customer and the acquiring cost for each subscriber relatively flat or improved on a year-over-year basis. I think there are incredible dynamics in the market, iOS 14, privacy dynamics that a lot of people have struggled with.

And I think the brand equity, the omnichannel presence and the diversity of the offering that we have has really helped us surpass those challenges and drive really consistent and accelerated growth..

Ivan Feinseth

38:01 Okay. That’s all great.

And the one last question, where are you and your views and progress on insurance reimbursement for, let’s say, some of the treatment categories?.

Andrew Dudum Co-Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

38:11 It's a great question. I'm glad you asked. We are continuing to invest in that integration on the insurance side. We believe that, that's a critical part of having a cost-effective platform for a very wide range of conditions.

So I think it's something that you can look to hear from us with confidence in the coming months on where we stand, but I'm very energized by the team's progress on that initiative..

Ivan Feinseth

38:34 Very good. Thank you. And congratulations again, and we look forward to another successful year..

Andrew Dudum Co-Founder, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

38:40 Thank you, Ivan..

Operator

38:42 [Operator Instructions] At this time, there are no further questions. Mr. Jay Spitzer, I turn the call back over to you..

Jay Spitzer

39:04 Perfect. Thank you, Emma, and thank you everyone for listening in today. We look forward to continue engaging with you if you have any questions, please reach out to myself, Andrew, and Yemi and have a good afternoon. Thank you very much..

Operator

39:18 This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect..

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