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Consumer Cyclical - Apparel - Retail - NYSE - US
$ 23.6
-0.632 %
$ 2.24 B
Market Cap
-6.08
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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2015 - Q4
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Executives

John A. Maurer - Vice President, Treasurer & Investor Relations Lauren B. Peters - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer.

Analysts

Edward Felice Plank - Jefferies LLC Paul E. Trussell - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc. John Kernan - Cowen & Co. LLC Corinna Gayle Van der Ghinst - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker) Robert F. Ohmes - Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith, Inc. Matthew Robert Boss - JPMorgan Securities LLC Eric Tracy - Brean Capital, LLC Matthew J.

McClintock - Barclays Capital, Inc..

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Foot Locker's Fourth Quarter 2015 and Full Year Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later we will conduct a question-and-answer session.

This conference call may contain forward-looking statements that reflect management's current views of future events and financial performance.

These forward-looking statements are based on many assumptions and factors, including the effects of currency fluctuations, customer preferences, economic and market conditions worldwide, and other risks and uncertainties described in the company's press release and SEC filings.

We refer you to Foot Locker's most recently filed Form 10-K or Form 10-Q for a complete description of these factors. Any changes in such assumptions or factors could produce significantly different results, and actual results may differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements.

If you have not received today's release, it is available on the Internet at www.prnewswire.com or www.footlocker-inc.com. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to John Maurer, Vice President, Treasurer and Investor Relations. Mr. Maurer, you may begin..

John A. Maurer - Vice President, Treasurer & Investor Relations

Thank you, Carlos, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Foot Locker, Inc.'s Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2015 Earnings Conference Call. Thank you very much for joining us today. As reported in this morning's press release, the company achieved GAAP net income of $158 million in the fourth quarter, up from $146 million in the fourth quarter last year.

On a per-share basis, we earned $1.14 this year on a GAAP basis, compared to $1.01 in the same period a year ago, a 13% increase. As noted in our release, we had one-time items in both this – just completed quarter and last year's Q4.

This year, the company recorded a pre-tax charge of $5 million, $4 million after-tax, to reflect the impairment of certain Runners Point Group assets, thus reducing earnings by $0.02 per share. A year ago, the fourth quarter included a gain from the sale of a property as well as a write-down of a trade name.

Excluding these items, fourth quarter non-GAAP EPS was $1.16, a 16% increase over the $1 a share we earned on a non-GAAP basis last year. A reconciliation of our GAAP to non-GAAP results is included in our press release, and except as otherwise indicated, the numbers mentioned during our remarks this morning will be based on the non-GAAP results.

The strong finish to the year brought our annual non-GAAP net income to $606 million, also 16% up from a year ago, and our fourth consecutive year achieving record annual earnings. On a per-share basis, earnings were $4.29 for the full year, an increase of 20% over last year's $3.58.

Lauren Peters, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will lead off our call this morning with a detailed look at our fourth quarter financial performance, followed by Dick Johnson, President and Chief Executive Officer, who will touch on product trends and our progress in year one, executing our current strategic initiatives as we work towards the long-term financial objectives outlined in last year's Investor Day.

Lauren will complete our prepared remarks with an overview of our annual and quarterly expectations for 2016.

Lauren?.

Lauren B. Peters - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

the write-down of the assets from underperforming stores and the impairment of the trade name sp24.com, the clearance website that Runners Point was operating when we acquired the business. We have decided to deemphasize sp24.com as not consistent with our company's overall position as a retailer of premium, full-price athletic footwear and apparel.

Our direct-to-customer segment turned in another strong performance, with an overall comparable sales gain of 9.6%. Our domestic store banner dot-com businesses collectively increased sales more than 20%, with even faster growth outside the U.S. Eastbay sales declined low single digits.

It's the true performance part of the athletic industry where Eastbay's assortments are strongest as slowed relative to casual. We also believe the strength of the U.S. dollar kept some Eastbay customers shopping locally in their home markets.

Our domestic divisions all posted solid sales performances with Kids Foot Locker leading the way with a high-single-digit comparable sales gain and a double-digit total revenue increase, factoring in the addition of 13 net new Kids stores during the year.

Foot Locker in the U.S., Champs Sports and Lady Foot Locker SIX:02 were each up mid-single-digits while Footaction was up low-single-digits this quarter on top of a double-digit increase in Q4 last year. Footwear once again drove our sales gains, up double digits overall in the quarter.

Men's Footwear was up high single digits, while Women's and Kids' Footwear were both up double digits. By category, Running was up in the teens, while Basketball, with underlying shifts that Dick will highlight in a moment, was up at the low end of mid single digits.

True Apparel, meaning tops and bottoms, was up low single digits, while the smaller accessories business including socks and hats posted a high single-digit comp decline. Overall, sales of Apparel and Accessories were down just a few basis points.

Similar to the other quarters of 2015, reported sales were reduced significantly in Q4 due to the impact of weaker FX rates this year compared to rates of a year ago. That's our 7.9% comparable sales gain translated into a reported sales increase of 5%.

Although it is early days for 2016 and we have no special insight as to where currencies are going to go, for now, we seem to have cycled through the bulk of the FX impact. Our monthly comp cadence was highlighted by an exceptionally strong December, which was up in the teens.

Comparable sales in November finished at the low end of mid-singles, and January increased at a low-single-digit pace. While January was running stronger than that, the snow storm Jonas and the slower distribution of income tax refund checks in the U.S. caused sales to tail off in the last two weeks.

Moving down the P&L to gross margin, we produced an excellent 70 basis point improvement to 33.6% of sales from 32.9% last year. There were two primary factors driving the increase.

First, merchandise margin improved 50 basis points due primarily to lower markdowns, although the increased proportion of Footwear in our sales mix also provided a margin lift. Apparel margins improved even more than Footwear margins in the quarter, although they still remain below Footwear.

Second, we achieved leverage of 40 basis points on our relatively fixed buyer and occupancy expenses. These two factors were partially offset by 20 basis points of headwind related to FX.

Our team once again did a good job managing expenses in the quarter as our selling, general and administrative expense rate decreased to 19.3% of sales from 19.6% of sales last year. While we were headed for a bit more SG&A leverage, the sales dynamics in the last two weeks of the quarter did not leave much room to adjust variable expenses.

Overall, our full-year SG&A expense rate improved by 80 basis points from 19.9% to an all-time low, 19.1%, as we continue to drive productivity. For example, our sales per payroll hour improved in almost every division and our overall sales per gross square foot surpassed $500 for the first time, reaching $504.

Depreciation expense increased this quarter to $39 million from $33 million. For the full year, depreciation and amortization increased 6% to $148 million due to the ongoing investments in the customer experience in our stores, our digital sites and various system technologies.

Our adjusted earnings before interests and taxes reached a rate of 12.8% of sales, above the long-range goal of 12.5% we set for ourselves at the beginning of the year and the first of those goals which we have reached.

Our fourth quarter tax rate was 35.4%, above last year's Q4 rate, but below our expected run rate of 36.5%, due largely to the expiration of statutes of limitations on foreign tax positions the company had taken in prior years. On the bottom line, it was another record quarter for our company and another record year.

EPS of $1.16 in Q4 marks the third quarter this year that we achieved at least $1 per share in earnings. Adjusted net income was $606 million in 2015, a 16% increase over last year. Our net income margin was 8.2%, approaching our long-range goal of 8.5%, while return on invested capital improved to 15.8%.

Unequivocally, it was another excellent performance by the entire team at Foot Locker that enabled the company to achieve such outstanding results. Full year EPS was $4.29 compared to $3.58 last year.

The 20% improvement in EPS was 4% higher than the increase in net income, reflecting the significant return of cash to shareholders we executed throughout the year via our share repurchase program.

For the quarter, we spent $103 million to repurchase a total of 1.64 million shares, bringing our full year total to 6.7 million shares at a cost of $419 million.

We also returned $139 million of cash to investors in the form of dividends during 2015 which brought our total return to shareholders for the year to $558 million, more than 90% of adjusted net income. As we announced last week, our Board declared a 10% increase to our quarterly dividend payout rate to $0.275 per share.

And at year-end, we had $637 million remaining on the $1 billion share repurchase program that was authorized a year ago.

With a solid financial position and a history of generating significant annual cash flow, we and the Board believe that the company has the ability to continue returning a substantial amount of cash directly to shareholders while also continuing to invest in the strategic initiatives that we believe will drive our financial performance towards our long-range objectives in the years ahead.

My final comment before I hand the call over to Dick is on inventory, which remains current and increasingly productive. It increased 2.8% at actual FX rates compared to a 5% sales increase. Using constant currencies, inventory was up 4.1%, in line with our standard when compared to our 8.8% total sales increase.

I'll turn the call over to Dick now and be back in a bit to wrap up our remarks with 2016 guidance..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

basketball, running and casual footwear, along with apparel. As the year unfolded, I believe it became increasingly clear that we have developed a leading position in more than just basketball sneakers.

A perfect example was our running business in which we delivered a mid-teen comparable sales gain in the quarter, with double-digit gains in every region.

This excellent performance was driven by lifestyle silhouettes such as Roshe, Huarache and Max Air from Nike, and ZX Flux from adidas, as we lead the market in delivering trend-right running styles. Meanwhile, the rumored death of basketball, where our leadership position is most widely recognized, has been greatly exaggerated.

Although growth in the basketball category during the quarter was modest relative to running, it was nonetheless growth, with three primary factors contributing. First, strength in the Jordan brand, especially in North America.

Second, the rise of new marquee stars such as Kyrie Irving at Nike and Stephen Curry at Under Armour; and third, momentum in classic basketball styles such as Air Force 1s. Gains in these areas were more than enough to offset the current slowdown in sales of other signature products.

We also led the industry in sales of a wide variety of classic sneakers, demonstrating the strength and diversity of our footwear assortments. We took a strong position in Adi original style such as Superstars and Stan Smith's while also delivering popular casual styles from New Balance, Puma and ASICS.

And not least, our Timberland book business performed exceptionally well, despite the relatively mild winter weather during much of the quarter. Let me now turn to a brief progress report on our strategic initiatives. First, our core business continued to perform very well, producing robust top and bottom growth in quarter and full year.

We built on our leadership position, creating fresh and engaging store environments, having now remodeled approximately 30% of our domestic Foot Locker and Champs Sports stores, and just under 20% of our Footaction stores. We also opened more than 40 shop-in-shops in partnership with our vendors, about half of which were House of Hoops.

In 2016, we intend to continue expanding both our remodel and vendor partnership programs. Second, our kids growth store demonstrated outstanding progress, increasing sales well into double digits when considering sales of children's product across all of our banners.

In addition to the 13 net new KFL division stores Lauren mentioned, we also added kids stores in Europe and in Canada. And we also added about 30 new Fly Zone shops in the U.S. in partnership with Nike. This strategy, too, we plan to continue in 2016.

Third, our Foot Locker business in Europe delivered a double-digit comparable sales gain in almost every country and double-digit growth across all families of business.

The team there did a truly exceptional job this year, leading the entire market in offering the hot new styles I mentioned earlier such as the various Nike Modern Comfort and Adi Originals lines, as well as Air Max and Jordan.

We continue to work hard at refining and implementing our European banner segmentation strategy, and we remain fully confident that the Runners Point and Sidestep banners can contribute much more to our future success in Europe.

Meanwhile, the expansion of our Kids Foot Locker banner in Europe is already proving quite successful, and we intend to build on that strength over the next several years. We made progress on our next growth apparel – growth pillar, apparel, although at a somewhat slower pace than the others.

Lauren mentioned that sales in the category were down slightly in the quarter. The same was true for the year. Although apparel profits, both in terms of rate, and most importantly dollars, were up significantly. Foot Locker Europe posted the best apparel performance with a double-digit sales increase and an improved margin rate.

We're working hard with our vendors to develop special, athletically-inspired and fashion-right assortments, differentiated by banner, to drive the level of excitement in the apparel category to be on par with the premium footwear selections our customers expect from us.

We've been strengthening our team and working with our partners for some time on this, and clearly, full success has not, and will not, come overnight. However, given how important apparel is to the vendors' own growth objectives, we remain highly confident that together, we will win with the customer for his or her apparel needs too.

Our Digital business had another successful quarter and year. We have invested in mobile and desktop sites as well as apps to deliver an enhanced digital experience, including more personalized interactions with our customers.

As you can imagine from our young customers, mobile represents a huge part of our online traffic and a rapidly growing percent of our digital sales. Our direct-to-customer sales reached 12.7% of total sales, up from 12.1% a year ago.

And our domestic footlocker.com and ladyfootlocker.com businesses were both well above the 10% target we set for our dot-com sales as a percent of total banner sales.

We are completely channel-neutral as a company, with roughly comparable margins for both our store and direct segments, so we intend to let the customers decide what the direct-to-customer penetration rate will ultimately be rather than try to steer it one way or the other.

Our other growth pillar is women's and we made good progress there, especially in footwear. The Lady Foot Locker SIX:02 division delivered its seventh consecutive quarter of comp store sales gains. And our women's footwear sales in Foot Locker and Champs Sports increased double digits for the year.

We opened 15 new SIX:02 doors, bringing our total to 30.

We still aren't quite where we want to be with the performance of SIX:02, so we are slowing the store openings in 2016 as we focus on developing brand awareness, resetting the product assortments, relaunching the SIX:02 website and creating pinnacle SIX:02 experiences inside our New York City flagship stores.

To oversimplify the situation a bit, we believe we have overemphasized the performance aspect of what our customers want in terms of athletic and inspired apparel. It's a given that she expects the product to have performance functionality, but the SIX:02 customer really wants apparel that also has a sharp fashion edge.

We are working hard with our vendors to elevate our product offerings through innovation, style and scarcity based in many cases on celebrity designs or endorsements such as what we're seeing with Rihanna. As in men's apparel, this is not a one- or two-season fix and the vendors are highly committed to making this work.

As I said, we're already making progress, so we remain confident and fully committed to delivering exceptional growth in women's footwear and apparel.

As part of that commitment, we announced last week some key organizational changes, highlighted by the promotions of Jake Jacobs to head our store business in North America, and Lew Kimble to head our businesses outside North America.

They have each done an exceptional job leading their respective teams in the execution of the key initiatives of our strategic plan. In addition to their promotions, we reconfigured the leadership of each of our banners under a Vice President and General Manager.

We believe this structure will well position us in the global athletic marketplace, align with our key vendor partners, and most importantly, elevate the relevance, connectivity and experiences that the customers of each of our banners expect.

We separated the leadership of SIX:02, which will continue to be led by Natalie Ellis from Lady Foot Locker, which will fold into the Foot Locker U.S. banner led by Andy Gray. We've come to realize that the core customer of Lady Foot Locker is more similar to the female Foot Locker customer than she is to the SIX:02 customer.

And Natalie can now focus solely on building the SIX:02 banner into the premier athletic retail destination for the more fashion-forward, active young woman without the added responsibility of simultaneously managing the transition of Lady Foot Locker. I want to congratulate Jake and Lew and all of the new general managers of our banners.

Foot Locker's depth of talent around the globe is a tremendous strength, contributing to the high-performing company we have become. I'm very excited to see the team continue to execute our strategies and achieve even greater success in the years ahead.

With that, let me turn the call back to Lauren to give you more specifics on how we see 2016 shaping up..

Lauren B. Peters - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Thanks, Dick. We have indeed become a high-performing company and we believe our momentum should continue in 2016. As a result, we can once again provide the same high-level guidance for 2016 that we've given in recent years.

We believe we can deliver a mid-single-digit comparable sales gain and a double-digit percentage earnings per share increase this year. We have planned the year with FX rates close to where they are now, with the euro around $1.10 and the Canadian dollars and Australian dollars around $0.70.

The latter two currencies are weaker now than a year ago, so there will be a few cents of FX headwinds in 2016, but much, much less than the $0.23 of stronger dollar cost for EPS in 2015 relative to 2014 FX rates.

We are planning for a slight improvement in our annual gross margin rate in the 10 basis point to 30 basis point range, mostly driven by leverage of our buyer and occupancy costs.

We do believe that we have the ongoing opportunity with the benefit of our merchandise allocation system investment and other productivity initiatives to improve full-price selling and thus improve our merchandise margin as well. We intend to remain disciplined in managing expenses in 2016.

We should also be able to lever on the fixed cost elements of SG&A to produce a modest 10 basis point to 30 basis point rate improvement. We do have a Q1 headwind due to our office relocation down the block in New York City, which will add about $4 million of expense due to paying rent on both locations, plus the cost of the move itself.

Our lease here is up at the end of April, so after Q1, this expense will normalize. However, we could actually delever SG&A slightly in Q1. This annual SG&A guidance also incorporates all known minimum wage rate increases and changes in healthcare costs. Let's talk capital expenditures for a minute.

As you've seen, we've announced a $297 million program for 2016, up from the $225 million we spent last year. We intend to continue our remodel and vendor partnership programs as we elevate the customer experience across our banners.

Combined with approximately 90 new stores concentrated in Europe, Kids Foot Locker in the U.S., and Footaction, we expect to spend more than $200 million on improving our store fleet in 2016. This amount includes close to $10 million to transform two of our New York flagship stores, one here on 34th Street and the other up at Times Square.

There are some other large non-recurring outlays included in this year's capital plan including more than $20 million to build out in our new headquarters location and a similar amount for our new online order management system and related customer experience initiatives.

Although we believe 2016 will represent a peak in capital expenditures, we now project spending closer to $250 million in the couple of years after this, up from the annual $225 million we mentioned in our Investor Day a year ago.

With this level of capital investment in the business, we expect depreciation and amortization expense to be in the range of $170 million to $175 million in 2016. In addition to opening approximately 90 stores, we plan to close about 100, which will leave our store count relatively flat year-over-year.

The store closures will once again be concentrated in Lady Foot Locker and Foot Locker in the U.S. We are planning interest expense to be fairly flat to this year's $4 million, and we are continuing to plan our effective tax rate of 36.5% in 2016.

Our guidance of a double-digit percentage increase in earnings per share also assumes a lower share count based on the continued execution of our share repurchase program.

Although we are planning a mid-single-digit comp gain in each quarter, the profit flow-through challenge may be greatest in Q1, in turn creating a challenge to achieving double-digit EPS growth this quarter.

With the income tax refund shift I mentioned and the difficult compare of last year's NBA All-Star game being in New York, we're expecting February's comp to be up low single digits. And we're expecting a solid mid-single-digit comp in the remainder of the quarter. That covers the highlights of 2016. We're looking forward to another very exciting year.

Let me now ask Carlos to open up the call to your questions..

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session. Our first question comes from the line of Eddie Plank. Please go ahead..

Edward Felice Plank - Jefferies LLC

Hey. Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the question..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Morning, Eddie..

Edward Felice Plank - Jefferies LLC

Morning. I guess, Lauren, you already – you talked about already achieving the 2020 operating margin target this year.

How do we maybe think about that potential going forward? You talked about a little bit of gross margin improvement this year and SG&A improvement, but is there anything structural that would prevent you from taking that even higher over the course of the next three years to five years, let's say?.

Lauren B. Peters - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

We don't see a structural impediment to improving that rate. But again, I would reiterate the guidance that we gave you for 2016 around margin, 10 basis points to 30 basis points and SG&A – 10 basis point to 30 basis point improvement in each.

So we still believe that there are opportunities for us to improve that merchandise margin, and we can lever the fixed costs. And the same would be true of SG&A, that we've got fixed elements within that lever. But we've got variable elements that we remain focused on, productivity improvements on, and have initiatives around.

So we're not ready to come out with a new rate yet, but we don't see an impediment to it improving..

Edward Felice Plank - Jefferies LLC

Okay. That's fair. Thanks for that.

And then just real quick, I guess could you guys maybe talk a little bit about the product cycle ahead and maybe where you see some of the bigger opportunities this year? Is there anything coming down the pike around the Olympics, for instance, that you're excited about? Or anything to give us an outlook on how you view the product cycle at this point?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Eddie, this is Dick. The Olympics certainly drive innovation every time that you go through an Olympic cycle. And we're excited about what the vendors have cooking for the Olympics. And as we've talked about in the past, sometimes it takes a little bit longer to commercialize that innovation.

But based on the product engines that we've seen, the look ahead that we've got based on the ordering cycle in the year and in our business, we see good things coming down the pike from a product perspective, both on the footwear side of the business and the apparel side of the business..

Edward Felice Plank - Jefferies LLC

Great. That's helpful. Thanks for that, Dick, and best of luck going forward. Great job, guys..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks Eddie..

Lauren B. Peters - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Thank you..

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Paul Trussell. Please go ahead..

Paul E. Trussell - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Hi. Good morning, guys.

How are you doing?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Good, Paul..

Paul E. Trussell - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

So, wanted to just keep the conversation going on revenue. You mentioned, for example, that February is expected to be up low single digits. And, obviously, you were facing strong results from a year ago. But, obviously, those tough compares will just continue and continue to add up, just given your success over the past few years.

So if you can, maybe elaborate a little bit more on what gives you that confidence, not just for this year's mid-single-digit comp growth, but just as we go forward through the 2020 plan. Specifically, if you can touch on the basketball category, as well as overall ASPs that you're seeing in your stores. Thank you..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Paul. The confidence comes from having some vision into the pipeline, obviously, both in footwear and apparel. As I said, great product coming down the pike. February is a little bit of an anomaly, given the incredible All-Star game that we had last year in New York.

We had a great All-Star game up in Toronto, but just based on the store coverage in the greater New York City area and the places that we had to activate with consumers, Toronto just doesn't have that sort of store base for us.

So as we look at Q1 and on into Q2 when the Olympics will be really heating up, we've got the Euro championships going on as well, so a lot of excitement around sport, which elevates all of the product offerings and the excitement with the consumer.

So the ability to drive those comp gains, Lauren talked a lot about the productivity tools that we've identified, the amount of money that we're reinvesting into our store fleet to make them more exciting places to shop and create more engagement with our consumers regardless of the channel that they want to engage with us on.

All those things are just a continuation of great work that's been done in the past with new peaks coming along the way. We've remodeled about 30% of our domestic Foot Locker and Champs stores. We're getting after the Footaction remodels a bit this year. We've got remodel projects going on in Europe, Canada and Australia as well.

So, the productivity gains that we're seeing, we believe, can continue. We also believe that the inventory management and expense management that our team does gives us the flow-through opportunities that Lauren talked about..

Lauren B. Peters - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

I think all of those things add up to really make us the first place a customer will come to check us out for great product that they – product that they love..

Paul E. Trussell - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Absolutely.

So just then turning to Europe, if you can just give a little more color on what you think is driving this trough that you're seeing throughout a number of countries there in Europe? And how do we get Sidestep going in the right direction?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

I think there's two different things going on Paul, one, the Foot Locker Europe business, with the strength of the categories, they had a nice rebound in apparel this year, which certainly helped on that comp line.

We see exciting products, big product pillars that are driving the business in Western Europe for Foot Locker, certainly some excitement around the Kids business there as well. The segmentation work that we're doing with Runners Point and Sidestep, we started late in 2014. The initial results looked very promising.

During 2015, we saw, as we repositioned Runners Point as all things running, we saw a couple of key running silhouettes soften dramatically, some really big silhouettes in the German runners' mind softened dramatically. So the team in Recklinghausen is working hard to get the assortment right.

We've also got some build-out configuration things that we're testing in both Sidestep and Runners Point. So we remain confident that Runners Point and Sidestep doors are a big positive for the future. Even with the impairment that we talked about, they were accretive to our business this year.

So the write-down of sp24.com, which was a heavy liquidation site, not really the way that we do business anymore. Runners Point, prior to the acquisition, drove a lot of business through there. We've done the look at the business and decided that that's not where we're going to operate that business.

So, a lot of moving parts with it, but we remain committed and confident that Runners Point and Sidestep play a big role going forward for us..

Paul E. Trussell - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Thank you. Good luck..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Paul..

Lauren B. Peters - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Thanks, Paul..

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of John Kernan. Please go ahead..

John Kernan - Cowen & Co. LLC

Hey. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Congrats on the great results..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, John..

John Kernan - Cowen & Co. LLC

I wondered if you could shed some light on ASP growth. Obviously, some of your key vendors have been pushing price higher, particularly in basketball.

Can you talk about the sustainability of that and if you've seen any elasticity towards higher prices in some of the key basketball re-launches lately?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, ASPs are a function – it's a price-value relationship for our customer. And as long as they bring – as our vendors bring innovation and excitement to the silhouettes, the customer doesn't really seem to have a lot of price resistance. The Flyknit Air Force 1 is a great example.

It's $175 because that Flyknit upper changes the complexity of the shoe and in the consumers' mind, changes the price-value relationship. So the upper level of signature basketball got a little bit formulaic with everything bunching up in price points.

So, as we look forward, when you look at a Steph Curry shoe or you look at a Kyrie Irving shoe, you start to see a little more variance in those prices. And I expect that's what we'll see along the way.

Our vendors do a great job of introducing a silhouette at a price level and then continuing to lever that up a bit as they add more excitement, whether it be finishes, whether it be textures, whatever, that the consumer is willing to pay a little bit more for. So we continue to see upside on ASPs as we mix it across our entire portfolio..

John Kernan - Cowen & Co. LLC

Okay. Thanks..

Lauren B. Peters - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

I'm just adding (41:52) that we work on getting the right products at the right place at the right time, and all of that means fewer markdowns and that supports further the ASPs..

John Kernan - Cowen & Co. LLC

Okay. That's helpful. Thanks. You talked a little bit about the product cycle for this year, and certainly Nike is a big part of that, but it seems like some of the other smaller vendors to you are also having a lot of success.

Can you talk about efforts with Under Armour and adidas this year, particularly on the Footwear side of things?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

We've got a small group of very good partners, right? There's not a ton of people that we can do business with that have the authentic athletic heritage that our consumer wants to see drive the business. So certainly, Nike is the leader in the marketplace, but we've had great success with adidas.

We've got some success starting with Under Armour on the Footwear side of things. They've created – they've leveraged a great asset and they've got a good portfolio of assets that they'll leverage going into 2016. We've got a store build-out, the ARMOURY at Champs Sports that we're testing a dedicated space in.

We've got some build-outs with adidas, wall units and build-outs that we're testing across the fleet. adidas's penetration in Europe continues to be significant. They have some silhouettes that are really resonating with the European consumer. One of the strengths of our business is that we're able to see those things that happen in Europe and our U.S.

team is able to react to them quickly to be first-to-market with things here in the U.S. So, secondary vendors are critical to our success and we spend a lot of time working with all of them, trying to bring innovative fresh product to the consumer..

John Kernan - Cowen & Co. LLC

Okay. Thanks. That's helpful. If I can just sneak one more.

Is there any way to quantify the comp store lift you're getting from some of – from the remodels that you've been in the process of for the past several years?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, we haven't gotten specific. The fact that we're committed to continuing tells you that they continue to meet all of our internal hurdles and payback on the investments that we're making.

But we haven't gotten into the specific – it varies so much by geography, by banner, by build-out that the thing that you can remain confident of is that they're meeting our internal hurdles or we would not be as proactive with the campaigns..

John Kernan - Cowen & Co. LLC

Okay. Thank you..

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Kate McShane. Please go ahead..

Corinna Gayle Van der Ghinst - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker)

Hi. Good morning. It's Corinna Van der Ghinst on for Kate. I was wondering if you could talk about the release schedule for the Jordan brand and how it might be different in 2016. It seemed that there were fewer total releases around the Week of Greatness and the All-Star break.

Do you guys agree with that? And if so, what kind of impact did it have on your business?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, releases are a part of our business, but again, they're just a part of the business. We don't get into the specifics of quantities and number of releases. We're impacted by timing of releases. As you know, we've got a big release tomorrow that a year ago would have been last Saturday.

So we're certainly impacted by the shift of the dates of the launch.

But we work closely with Nike obviously to try to minimize those shifts, but Nike, Jordan, adidas, Under Armour, they set their launch calendar, they set the amount of product that they want to put into the marketplace, and we work closely with them obviously to maximize our position in – across all of the launches.

So again, it's – a lot of people focus on launch and it's an important part of the business, but you have to remember the strength of our business is really a four-legged stool with Basketball being significant, Running being significant, Casual being significant, and Apparel certainly starting to become significant..

Corinna Gayle Van der Ghinst - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker)

Okay. Thank you.

And then I'm not sure if you guys stated this earlier, but what percentage of stores are you targeting for remodels to be completed by the end of this year and how many ARMOURY shops are you planning to open this year?.

Lauren B. Peters - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

With the capital program that we described, we should be at about 35% of the Foot Locker U.S. fleet touched, about 40% of Champs, approximately 30% of Footaction, and Foot Locker Europe, about 30%..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

The Under Armour shops, we've got five more in the plan for this year. And part of it is dependent on us getting the right real estate to test these shops in. But the next ones will come up in the Texas market..

Corinna Gayle Van der Ghinst - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker)

And just a follow-up on that ARMOURY shop-in-shop.

How is that performing relative to expectations? Are you getting the quantity and level of product that you are looking for, for those shops?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

The customer continues to find great product in the ARMOURY. So, obviously, we've got a very pragmatic approach of building prototypes, tweaking them a little bit, rolling out a little bit further tests. So that's where we're at with the ARMOURY. We'll roll the expansion out to five more doors this year.

We'll make sure that the product engine is robust enough to keep the hot, great innovative product in those doors flowing. And we'll make sure that the customer reacts as positively in other geographies as they have in the greater Baltimore area.

So we're very bullish on the format and working closely with Under Armour to make sure that the private engine is robust enough to support those great shop-in-shop spaces..

Corinna Gayle Van der Ghinst - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker)

Great. Thank you, and good luck..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you..

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Robby Ohmes. Please go ahead..

Robert F. Ohmes - Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith, Inc.

Oh, thanks for taking my question..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Robby..

Robert F. Ohmes - Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith, Inc.

Actually. Hey, how are you? A couple questions. The first one is, I just wanted to follow up on the first quarter.

Can you just walk us through your – so the first quarter started out low-single-digit? Can you just walk us through where the confidence in getting the acceleration to mid-single-digit comes from? And then maybe tie into that – and this is my second question.

Can you just help us understand how the ASP and blend of slowing basketball versus strong casual and running works? Meaning how do you keep the momentum and the average selling price growth in casual and running moving forward as basketball slows? Thanks..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

I think Q1, Robby, is a function of – we talked about some of the slowdown in February being driven by a tax situation and a really robust All-Star game from last year. Those things will both neutralize going into the rest of the quarter.

We've seen, obviously seen the product flow and we understand what the product engines are going to deliver over the remainder of the first quarter. So there is – I'm very confident that mid single digits is where we'll drive the quarter.

We'll reaccelerate to the pace that we were at, I believe, before we came across the All-Star game comp, specifically. So – and as it relates to ASPs, again, ASPs are influenced by a lot of things. Part of it is the manufacturer-suggested retail price.

Part of it is our ability to sell full-price goods by having them in the right store at the right time in the right size so that the customer is happy. Part of it is driven by our ability to leverage our cross-channel efforts to make sure that we have the ability to sell the last unit that's available in our entire fleet.

And those efforts all contribute to an ASP build. I mentioned in the prepared remarks, we talked about our Timberland business, for example. Timberland 6-Inch Week Boot is exactly the same cost as some of the marquee basketball shoes. The Air Force 1 Flyknit shoe is in the same range as some of the signature basketball shoes.

As we continue to model the portfolio from the full range of price points and values that the customer sees, we're confident that ASPs will continue to grow. It's really – if you take one specific segment, one specific category launch of signature basketball, you don't get a true model of what the portfolio looks like.

But when you start to take $100 shoes that become $110 shoes, that also has a positive impact on our ASPs. You take a look at not having to mark down a bunch of shoes that historically we may have had to mark down prior to the good inventory work that the team's done and the productivity gains that we've seen.

So, with all of the variables in the pricing model, we're confident that ASPs will continue to rise as our vendor partners continue to bring great innovative products into the marketplace..

Lauren B. Peters - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

No matter what the category, that that same price-value relationship exists in casual that it does in basketball..

Robert F. Ohmes - Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith, Inc.

That's very helpful.

And just to understand the quarter, does that – if you do mid-single-digit for the quarter, does that mean you could see some high-single-digit comps potentially in March and April?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, we've talked, as Lauren said in her commentary, the belief that we can drive mid-single-digit comps for Q1 is very real and we're very confident that we'll be able to do that..

Robert F. Ohmes - Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith, Inc.

Got it. Thanks very much, guys..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

You bet, Robby..

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Matthew Boss, please go ahead..

Matthew Robert Boss - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Hey. Good morning.

So as we break down gross margin from here, what's the best way to rank the merchandise margin drivers, both domestically and international, and what comp today is needed to lever the buying and occupancy?.

Lauren B. Peters - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

So, there are a number of things around the merchandise margin.

Certainly, the technology investments that we've made that help us get the right product to the right place at the right time, so that allocation tool that we've put in, as we've described before, is really a multi-year project that continues to deliver dividends as that learning system learns (53:31) more and the humans using it learn more about it.

The apparel element as well – we described that apparel margins, while they improved significantly in the quarter, are still running behind footwear. And we really think that when we get to the place where we're at the top of our game in apparel, that those margins will be meaningfully ahead of footwear. So that's an opportunity for us.

And Dick described making that last unit of inventory available, no matter where it is in the system, is another thing that helps us with getting more value out of each and every unit; that helps the margins. So with the breadth of things that we're working on, that's why we continue to think that we've got opportunity there.

But to lever on the fixed – we have described that we've gotten into some big properties and doing some things in flagship spaces; that does add the higher rents that comes with those and that puts a little bit of pressure on levering.

We think that we can still lever; it looks more like the low end of mid-singles on those fixed elements within margin..

Matthew Robert Boss - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Great.

And then just a follow-up, as we think about the domestic store fleet, so 100 closings this year, do you feel comfortable with the size of the chain today and just what's the evaluation process of the fleet going forward?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

We evaluate the fleet and the entire portfolio door by door, mall by mall, street location by street location. I don't know what the magic number is in terms of door count.

We continue to work to elevate the doors that we have by opening vendor shop-in-shops with various vendor partners, working with the developers to get better locations inside the malls.

So we'll continue to do our due diligence against each project and make sure that, whether renewing a lease make sense; does upgrading the store with a remodel make sense; does a vendor shop make sense? We're still firm believers that stores are a critical part of our strategy going forward in all of our geographies.

We know that our consumer still enjoys being together, being in the mall, touching, feeling product, checking each week to see what's changed, to see what the hot releases are.

They may start their adventure with their digital device in hand, but we still do a tremendous amount of volume through our doors and as Lauren talked about, our sales per square foot topped $500 for the first time in our history.

So, we know that we're being more productive and we know that we're building exciting spaces for our customers to come and visit..

Lauren B. Peters - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President

Let's just remain riveted on productivity of the unit and let the customer decide how they want to shop, where they want to shop..

Matthew Robert Boss - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Great. Best of luck..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Matt..

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Eric Tracy from Brean Capital. Please go ahead..

Eric Tracy - Brean Capital, LLC

Hey, guys. Good morning, and I'll add my congrats. Just a great quarter in a tough environment..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Eric. Thank you..

Eric Tracy - Brean Capital, LLC

I guess just to follow on that last question in terms of the optimal size of the fleet. Dick, philosophically, obviously a lot of just concerns out there in terms of the consumer continuing to migrate online via third-party online retailers or vendors direct.

Maybe just speak to, again, what's defendable within the Foot Locker model, be it your own DTC growth, the willingness of vendors to invest behind you all with shop-in-shops, superior allocation.

Just speak to what you've sort of seen over the last few years and what the expectation is in that evolution of the consumer?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, I think I've mentioned it last call, but I love when you answer your own question. So, yeah, it's all of those things, right. Our DTC, we're continuing to invest across all channels. So, certainly our online and digital business, we engage with our consumer there; we tell great stories.

We want them to start their morning and end their night with one of our brand banners on their digital device. We also know that the consumer likes to still touch product and see product and have an immediacy of being able to get that great newly released product.

So the stores become realistically the only place that you can have it now when it releases.

So as we continue to invest with our vendor partners to create more exciting places to shop in the malls, as we continue to find better location in malls, as we continue to right-size properties and drive productivity, those things, we believe, are all defensible. Our service model we think is defensible.

We've got the best fleet of people across our portfolio to take care of customers. They're the resident experts. People come in, then look to our Stripers in the Foot Locker doors as the sneaker expert. Our customers come in and want to talk about releases.

They want to talk about what happened in the game last night and do you think the Kobe shoe will be retro'd, and all of those things. So, that, we believe, both from a physical engagement in the store and a digital engagement, we think those things are all defensible.

And, obviously, the wholesale part of our vendors business is still the much bigger chunk of our vendors business. So the fact that they are willing to continue to invest with us, jointly invest with us, walk out and say loudly we opened up 40 plus properties last year that we partnered with our vendors on.

We continue to see that opportunity going forward. So, the consumer likes choice and I know that on the digital device, choice is only a click away. But they sometimes like to look at that wall and say, hey, that's really cool. That's really cool. And we've got some exclusive product that's only available within the Foot Locker family.

So those things all create defensible positions I think, Eric..

Eric Tracy - Brean Capital, LLC

That's great. And then just a follow-on to that. There is some rationalization going on in this space, be it one of your bigger competitors, 25% of their fleet going away, a bigger sporting goods player out there potentially going into bankruptcy.

How do you think about, one, just the near term, if there are any liquidation impacts throughout the channel? And then, two, the benefits, the opportunities for share grabs as you guys are decently positioned?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think our leadership position, Eric, is clear across all of the categories that we talk about and then in the markets where these guys are going to be closing down doors. So you have to remember that we've rationalized a lot of space over the last few years.

We've closed in North America alone well over 600 doors over the past half dozen years or so. So we believe the right-sizing of the fleet is an ongoing thing. We believe there's market share to be captured anytime. We don't necessarily need a competitor to close their door.

We think we're going to capture market share based on our assortment, based on our people, based on the storytelling and the engagement that we've got with our consumers, and based on the passion that our customers have for the product. So will we be active in the markets where doors close? Absolutely. But we're active in every market.

We want to win every single market regardless of who the competitor happens to be in that market..

Eric Tracy - Brean Capital, LLC

That's great. And if I can just sneak one last in on the women's business. Mentioned Lady Foot Locker and SIX:02s, slowing a little bit of the growth at SIX:02. Maybe just speak a little bit more to that, what you're seeing on the women's side of the business.

And turning to more of a fashion sort of element that is in all, bringing some risk factor to that? Or am I just reading – overly reading the fashion component of that?.

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

I think you're over reading fashion a little bit. I mean, our Muse Grace (1:02:10) in SIX:02 leads a very active lifestyle, but she wants to look great while she's doing it.

She expects all of the product to have performance attributes and perform regardless of whether she's in the spin class, she's out for a run, she's doing yoga, it doesn't make any difference. She knows that the product that's going to be in SIX:02 is going to have performance characteristics.

But she's also very, very informed about style, and wants to be looking different, looking good in her classes, going out after class for a juice or a coffee, whatever it happens to be, she wants to have that style quotient invested as well.

So we use the word fashion, I would compound that by saying it's really more style and making sure that it's not about necessarily being the ripped hard body, it's more about looking great as I do things. And we're working with our vendor partners and we've seen some success.

The Alala and Coral product that we brought in that has a little more style quotient to it, has performed well. On the footwear side, we've seen the connectivity with Rihanna on the PUMA Creeper and the Venti (1:03:25) product that's launching I think today; very well received by the consumer.

So it's more style than fashion, Eric, but something that I think we probably didn't have enough of in our early rendition. So as we get the product assortment right, the vendor assortment right, again, our confidence level is high on SIX:02.

But the other reason for slowing, and we talked about it in the prepared remarks, but we're going to have really pinnacle spaces in Manhattan for SIX:02 that we have not had up to this point.

SIX:02 will have a store inside a store, if you will, of our flagship locations here on 34th Street come April and up on Times Square later in the year, and that's a really big effort because those stores will really be the face of the brand for a lot of our industry. And we're excited about those opportunities.

So we're confident in the women's business, confident that SIX:02 is our go-forward banner, confident that we'll get the assortment mix right with our vendor partners..

Eric Tracy - Brean Capital, LLC

That's great. Thanks so much, guys. Best of luck..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Eric..

Operator

We have time for one last question. Our last question comes from the line of Matthew McClintock. Please go ahead..

Matthew J. McClintock - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Hi. Yeah, good morning, everyone. Actually my question is just a follow-up to Eric's question on SIX:02. Thanks a lot, Dick, for that information and color that you provided, but I was thinking about it more from a perspective of brand awareness.

Clearly, as you get the product right that should expand the brand, but what we've seen with a lot of smaller what we say competitor-style yoga women's brands that are out there, it just seems that there's a hurdle to getting that awareness out there.

And I was just wondering besides maybe the flagship, maybe that's the aha moment, but how should we think about that aha moment when brand awareness meaningfully accelerates for SIX:02 specifically? And then is that more of a slow grind over time, or would it be more of an aha moment when you get it all right? Thanks..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, we'd like it to be an aha moment, quite honestly. So I think the two flagship locations are going to be, as I said, the face of the brand for the industry and for a lot of people that look at us. A tremendous number of customers are going to walk through those doors and be introduced to SIX:02.

We've also got a big effort in 2016 to relaunch the website to make sure that that is by far our biggest store and has the most resonance with this consumer. So it's a combination of both. And once we feel like we've got all of the elements in place, there will be an aha moment from a brand campaign point of view.

We started out by trying to grow the brand more from a grassroots point of view; smaller, local events, and as we get the confidence that we've got this formula right, there will be a bigger opportunity for an aha moment and it will tie in the flagship stores here, it'll tie in the 30 doors that we've got around the country, and it will certainly tie in our digital space that will be relaunched this year.

So again, it's a work in progress. And we've said it before, if this women's space was easy, there'd be a lot of people winning in this space.

And while there are a lot of people competing for this space, there's nobody winning in the space of being a place that's designed for her, that has a service model for her, that can provide her product assortment from head to toe and that's what SIX:02 will be in the marketplace..

Matthew J. McClintock - Barclays Capital, Inc.

If I could follow up on that, could you maybe talk a little bit more about the collaborations with your vendor partners for SIX:02 and how the work there has improved and what needs to be done in terms of, I don't know whether it's reducing lead times or improving speed or just what needs to be done there to make SIX:02's product more compelling? Thanks..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

It's a couple of things, it's speed to market, certainly it's excitement in the industry, the connectivity between Puma and Rihanna has sort of changed the model on the women's side. In most cases, our vendor partners have looked at female athletes as that role model whereas that model, if you will, very similar to the men's side of the business.

But as we see the success with Rihanna, we see some success with Stella McCartney from the adidas brand, there are designers and celebrities, if you will, that connect with this core consumer.

So our ability to work with our vendor partners to bring exciting product to the marketplace quicker, to your point, speed to market is important with her because once it's seen, she wants it and it's not dissimilar to what you saw in the New York Fashion Week, where a couple of people in fashion weeks are making their product directly available for sale right after fashion week rather than saying this is the fall lineup you can buy it next fall, they're saying here's this product and you can have it today.

That's the sort of environment our consumer lives in and we'll continue to work with our vendor partners to accelerate the speed to market..

Matthew J. McClintock - Barclays Capital, Inc.

That's a great opportunity. Best of luck..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Matt..

Richard A. Johnson - President & Chief Executive Officer

We're going to have to stop there. We're sorry that we couldn't get to all of your questions. I'll be back at my desk to field additional questions in a few minutes. Meanwhile, thanks again for your participation on today's call. Please join us on our next earnings call which we anticipate will take place at 9:00 a.m.

on Friday, May 20, following the release of our first quarter results earlier that morning. Thanks again, and goodbye..

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect..

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