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Consumer Cyclical - Gambling, Resorts & Casinos - NYSE - US
$ 13.37
-0.373 %
$ 1.15 B
Market Cap
27.85
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2017 - Q4
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Executives

Mark LaBay - Senior Vice President, Strategic Development and Investor Relations Michael Rumbolz - President and Chief Executive Officer Randy Taylor - Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President Dean Ehrlich - Executive Vice President and Gaming Business Leader Harper Ko - Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer.

Analysts

David Katz - Jefferies & Co., Inc. George Sutton - Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC David Hargreaves - Stifel Financial Howard Bryerman - PENN Capital Management Co., Inc..

Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Everi Holdings Inc’s Fourth Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mark LaBay, Senior Vice President, Strategic Development and Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir..

Mark LaBay

Thank you, and welcome to the call. Joining me today are President and Chief Executive Officer, Mike Rumbolz; Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Randy Taylor; Executive Vice President and Games Business Leader, Dean Ehrlich; and our new Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer, Harper Ko.

Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that the Safe Harbor disclaimer in our public documents covers this call and our webcast.

Some of the comments to be made during this call contain forward-looking statements and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, those contained in our SEC filings, all of which are posted within the Investor Relations section of our corporate website.

These events could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in our forward-looking statements and they should not be considered an indication of future performance. We do not intend and assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements.

You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements which speak only as of today. At the start of fiscal 2018, Everi has adopted ASC 606, the new revenue accounting standard.

Unless otherwise noted today's call and any forward-looking statements will follow the current revenue accounting standard which is consistent with our calls throughout fiscal 2017. In addition, this call may refer to certain non-GAAP measures, such as adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin.

We reference these non-GAAP measures because management uses them, in part, to manage the business and to enhance investor understanding of the underlying trends in our business and to provide better comparability between periods in different years.

We also make certain compensation decisions based, in part, on our operating performance as measured by adjusted EBITDA. And our credit facility requires us to comply with a consolidated secured leverage ratio that includes performance metrics substantially similar to adjusted EBITDA.

For a full reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to GAAP results, please see our earnings release and related 8-K, both of which have been filed with the SEC and are available on our corporate website within the section captioned Investors.

Finally, this call is also being webcast, a link to the webcast has been included with the Investor Relations section of our corporate website and a replay of the call will be archived. With that, I am pleased to introduce our President and Chief Executive Officer, Mike Rumbolz..

Michael Rumbolz

Thank you, Mark, and good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. We concluded 2017 with another quarter of strong operating and financial performance. This afternoon, we reported that 2017 fourth quarter revenue increased 14% to $247.9 million and adjusted EBITDA rose 4% to $51.3 million.

For the full-year revenue rose 13% to $974.9 million and adjusted EBITDA improved 7.5% to $212.8 million which is just above the high end of our adjusted EBITDA guidance range. 2017 marked an important milestone for Everi.

Our meaningful year-over-year increases in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA has clearly returned our profile to that of a growth company. Operational achievements in 2017 in our Games segment, included in more than 20% improvement in unit sold compared to 2016. We also maintained an average selling price over $17,000 per unit.

Additionally in 2017, we stabilized and began a new era of unit growth in our installed base. Even with significant quantity of third-party removals and replacements, we were able to overcome the net removals and achieve modest growth in our installed base.

Most importantly, during the fourth quarter we reported growth in our daily win per unit for the first time in eight quarters. One consistent theme that we have discussed on our prior calls was our need to continue to invest capital in our Games business.

This has been a necessary step since we believed our product offering was not sufficiently up to date for today's casino market. The age and condition of the units included in our installed base has been an important contributing factor to the previous trend of declining daily win performance.

The capital we have invested and continue to spend is focused on differentiating our cabinet offerings and expanding the number of cabinet types that we sell to our customers replaced in our own installed footprint.

This investment is an addition to the focus of our game studios on creating better quality and more engaging and innovative game content. With an installed base of over 13,000 units, it’s critical to have a new hardware form factor and to have exciting game offering, so that we can consistently grow our footprint.

Our newest designs are base cabinet and top boxes are both modern looking and attractive to gaming patrons. Our technology is now capable of supporting the high quality of games that are being created by our developers both today and in the future. In 2016, we introduced the core HDX cabinet.

We follow that up in 2017 with our single screen Empire MPX or E43 cabinet. We believe these new form factors along with our Player Classic Mechanical Reel offerings provide our customers with a variety of options, which position us well, to hold on to and even expand our existing installed base of placements.

These cabinets together with the solid original content that we have developed for play on them provide us with a strong foundation for continued growth in our daily win per unit. Our investments in new game content design are also beginning to generate solid returns.

Last year, we introduced our first wide-area progressive link into Class II jurisdictions and local area progressive’s for our Class III customers. Through the first 12 months of operation, we have actually had three separate top jackpot payouts on our wide-area progressive link.

Our largest jackpot payout to-date was just under $1 million, which is certainly life changing for that player, but also proves that our wide-area progressive platform is a success and is driving value for both our customers and their players. We have also begun introducing our first titles based on licensed themes.

Our new game content and our entry into this new product segment have created an opportunity for accelerated growth within our Premium Games segment. Our 2017 year-end premium unit count was up over 36% from 2016.

The higher daily win per unit that we generate in this category together with the increased number of units contributes to the year-over-year growth in daily win per unit that we reported in the fourth quarter this year and that we expect to report going forward.

With a robust pipeline for additional premium content and our new premium cabinet form factors being introduced in 2018, we expect to see continued growth in his highly profitable segment. We've also seen other evidence of additional operating successes in our Games segment in 2017.

I believe that we had our most successful G2E ever last October with more exciting new game content, more new hardware form factors and newer gaming innovations all of which we expect to have available for our customers in 2018.

In July, our investment in and continuing commitment to our games business allowed us to secure a long-term placement agreement with a major customer for over 30% of the units that are in our installed base. This long-term agreement is evidence that the investments we are making resonate with our customers and yield tangible results.

We finished the year by extending our very successful long-term agreement with the New York Lottery to provide the central determinant system for video lottery terminals across that state. In 2018, as a result of our investments and development focus, our Games segment is positioned to become a meaningful growth business.

Our Payments sector has achieved several notable accomplishments in 2017 as well and not the least of those was four consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth. In fact, our full-year Payments Adjusted EBITDA of $96.9 million represented our highest annual performance since 2009.

Compliance revenue increased almost 20% for the full-year and we further extended our leading market position in casino payments as we won contracts for the majority of the new casinos that opened in 2017. We also had a high level of net wins from competitive takeouts.

At the end of 2017, we had at least one of our Payments Solutions in more casinos across the United States and Canada than we have ever had before.

These accomplishments are a direct result of our continuing commitment to innovate across our product portfolio in order to provide our customers with great gaming entertainment for their guests, the ability to optimize how their guests access funds across the casino floor and to help them meet the growing burden of regulatory obligations.

Everi is a very different company than it was even a year-ago. If you go back even a little further than that, our Games business has come a long way from being a niche provider of Class II games in Oklahoma and Washington is only real source of growth opportunity with a unique tournament product.

We now are becoming a full service equipment supplier, offering a more compelling and comprehensive product portfolio. We are all extremely proud of TournEvent and we are going to continue to improve on this product. While it is the most successful slot tournament system in the market, we have convincingly evolved well past that singular product.

Today, Everi addresses the broad array of product categories that are needed on the modern slot floor. We have more new innovations and new products underway than ever before in our Company's history. Our ship share for unit sales continues to increase and we expect and continue to grow our large fleet of units in the installed base.

And having said that, we are just as proud of our Payments systems business, our Payments operations represent far more today than when we were simply the largest provider of cash access services to the casino industry.

While our cash access services are still the most used products in the casino industry today, we also lead the industry in the depth of our product offerings. We continue to add and integrate new products into our solution set.

Our base compliance and information software products along with innovative new products like CashClub Concierge, Jackpot Xpress, and our cash recyclers, lower the operating costs of a casino environment and make it more efficient while allowing casino customers to provide a better guest experience to their patrons.

Other innovations like our Everi Cares Giving Module enable our customers to partner with their patrons and positively impact their communities. We are often asked about the next evolution of Payments offerings. We believe that cashless wagering systems are the next major step in gaming.

Today it is only slowly gaining traction as both our casino customers and their patrons adopt and accept this change. But like many technology shifts, such as ticket-in, ticket-out once the adoption starts it may move very quickly.

With our CashClub e-Wallet, I believe that we are at the forefront of change and are continuing to demonstrate that we are and will remain the leader in gaming Payments systems technology and innovation. For financial reporting, we report two segments, Games and Payments.

I believe this is led many of you to think of Everi and to value us as two distinct types of companies under one roof. We don't see ourselves that way, especially given the process that we have made across the enterprise. Everi is a gaming technology company with multiple growth opportunities on which we are executing.

In this way, we are not dissimilar from many of our larger gaming equipment industry peers. We are a leading provider of technology solutions for the gaming industry. We provide gaming entertainment products, casino operational management systems, and Payments systems to casinos throughout North America.

Defining ourselves in this manner helps drive our vision and our execution to be a transformational industry force. As we execute on this vision, we will continue to drive incremental growth in our business.

Today, as noted in this afternoon’s press release, we announced our expectation of achieving adjusted EBITDA between $225 million and $230 million.

To reach these targets, we expect to sell more units this year than last year, maintain our average selling price, drive additional growth in our installed base, and generate year-over-year improvements in our daily win per unit each quarter this year.

We will also expect contributions from established products such as our core HDX cabinet, as well as from our newer E43 and our newest E5527 cabinet. We also anticipate our higher performing wide-area progressive and local area progressive games will result in continued growth in the premium unit portion of our installed base.

Of all 2017 was principally focused on the much larger number of core base units in our footprint, we recognized the long-term opportunity for more rapid growth will come from the Premium Games segment.

In 2018, we will address our aging premium footprint by using some of our capital expenditures to refresh and expand that portion of our installed base. While the E43 and the core HDX have addressed our core base.

In the past, we have a new cabinet the E5527 that will be introduced; in fact, it has been introduced now and told yesterday or today with a new theme The Brady Bunch. This new premium cabinet will be used together with our E43 to modernize our premium unit offering.

Our gaming operations team has a singular dedication to managing the profitability and the yield of our installed base performance. This includes efforts to expand our installed base as well as a focus on evaluating the operating performance of our lower performing units.

We intend to make prudent business decisions about our capital expenditures to improve these units. This helps us to better manage our capital spend while improving our yield on a per machine basis.

Our longer-term stated targets of double-digit ship share and 17,000 units in our installed base remain unchanged and we will take additional steps toward achieving this in 2018. And we have a similar expectation of another year of growth in our Payments segment with anticipated wins for a majority of the new casino openings.

We expect once again to achieve more net contract wins from renewals and competitive takeouts.

Compliance software and kiosk revenue will also continue to grow throughout the year as we continue to expand our core compliance installations and add placements of cash in-site with Everi IQ which is a new product that I will explain in just a second Jackpot Xpress, our Cash Recyclers, and our Cage Cash Solutions.

Our key operating priorities for Payments this year are focused on solutions that provide for an enhanced experience for the patrons of our gaming customers, while at the same time improving operating efficiency or reducing operating costs. This is aligned with our customers core focus on maximizing their patrons experience.

The ability to accumulate patron financial activity data from our Payments system together with patrons spending habits across the entire casino ecosystem creates actionable in-sites related to patron preferences and future spending. This data can be a powerful tool to assist our customers in creating deeper player loyalty.

Our newly developed cash in-site with Everi IQ provides a new growth opportunity within our Information Product segment as we deliver a powerful analytical tool set to assist our customers in their focus on the patron. Our analytic tools also provide operating benefits to other core products in our offering.

Opportunities for AML intelligence will be expanded as our customers place more focus on regulatory compliance activities surrounding patron cash monitoring.

We also expect other newly introduced products like CashClub Concierge and our CashClub e-Wallet will take our core cash access services across the casino floor and the retail footprint of our operators in a mobile fashion. This will improve the experience of the patron and create operating efficiencies and cost savings for our operators.

Also during 2017, we completed a series of debt refinancing transactions that improved our capital structure and at current rates lowered our overall annual cash interest by almost $20 million on an annualized basis.

Combined with our expected earnings this year, we believe these improvements to our capital structure will drive higher free cash flow this year and set the stage for a significant acceleration in free cash flow once we conclude our quarterly placement fees in the third quarter of 2019.

Our priority for this growing free cash flow is to reduce our debt and we believe, we put in place the right foundation to achieve this goal. Now let me close today with these thoughts. We have achieved tremendous progress over the last two years. Today Everi is a growing gaming technology solutions provider.

This is a direct result of the dedicated team of employees who all consistently give maximum effort to achieve our corporate goals. The success that we have achieved thus far is a direct result of their continuing hard work and I cannot thank our employees enough for their commitment. I am extremely proud to work with them on a daily basis.

While our growth and the tangible results of our investments are notable, I believe our progress is also currently somewhat underappreciated.

We are at an inflection point for our business and as we continue to demonstrate our ongoing progress in growing our business and our earnings, we believe our accomplishments and position within the industry will be better appreciated and valued.

We are focused on continued growth in our business and value creation for our shareholders and we have every expectation that we will achieve both of those. And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to Randy..

Randy Taylor

Thank you, Mike, and good afternoon, everyone. Before I began my normal quarterly discussion on the results, let me make sure to alert you to the 8-K filing that we made today related to the expected changes in our financial reporting as a result of our implementation of the new revenue accounting standard.

We will have a more detailed discussion on the expected changes later in my prepared remarks, but I will refer to our historical reporting practice for the first part of my discussion regarding the results of operations for the fourth quarter.

For the fourth quarter of 2017, total revenues were $247.9 million comprised at $57 million in Games segment revenues and $190.9 million in Payments segment revenues. Payments revenue increased approximately 17% year-over-year and Games revenue increased approximately 4% year-over-year.

Timing of the TournEvent of Champions this year benefited the fourth quarter by approximately $1.6 million of revenue, when compared to the prior year fourth quarter. Excluding this revenue, Games segment revenue was up approximately 1% compared to the prior year.

Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2017 increased $1.9 million or 4% to $51.3 million; adjusted EBITDA for the Games segment was $27.2 million compared to $28.4 million a year-ago and adjusted EBITDA for the Payments segment was $24.1 million, compared to $21 million last year.

In our Games segment, gaming operations revenue increased $2.4 million year-over-year to $39.4 million with the increase primarily due to the timing of our TournEvent of Champions event.

Our installed base at year-end increased 32 units year-over-year to 13,296 while 2017 fourth quarter daily win per unit of $26.60 compared favorably to the $26.35 a year-ago. In terms of the daily win per unit as Mike noted, this is the first quarter in eight quarters that we generated a year-over-year improvement.

Daily win per unit is benefiting from an increase in our higher yielding premium footprint, which rose 37% or 681 units, year-over-year to 2,532 units. This total included 353 WAP unit placements compared to zero in the prior year. We also continue to expand our non-Oklahoma installed base, which rose 435 units year-over-year.

These increases along with the improvements we are expecting to see in non-premium game yields will continue to positively impact our daily win per unit as we expect daily win per unit will grow year-over-year in each quarter of 2018. On a quarterly sequential basis, our installed base was up 81 units.

Our installed base of Premium Games increased 8% or 184 units, including 120 WAP units that were added in the quarter. We expect Premium Games to be an ongoing area of growth in terms of installations and daily win per unit going forward.

For 2018, we expect our installed base will grow between 7% and 8% with a significant portion of this growth coming early in the year.

In the first quarter of 2018, we are seeing strong net additions in part due to our placement of approximately 400 units at the new Four Winds Casino in Indiana and another 100 plus units from a casino opening in Oklahoma that was initially expected to open in the second quarter.

Because of certain compact changes, we still expect some units in California to come out of our installed base in the second half of 2018.

These unit declines should be offset by growth in the Premium Units segment as a result of some of the new Premium bank products solutions that we plan to introduce like the Renegade and Empire Arena product lines.

We are also prioritizing the management of our overall installed base this year, so while we do expect to achieve growth over the full-year, a significant portion of our efforts this year will be focused on best in our current installed base in a manner that delivers an appropriate return.

Revenues from electronic game sales were $17.5 million for the 2017 fourth quarter, essentially in line with the prior year period. We sold 926 units at an ASP of $17,611 compared to 920 units sold in the fourth quarter last year at an ASP of $17,548. For the full-year 2017, unit sales were 3,647 units or an approximate increase of 23%.

For 2018, we expect unit sales will increase approximately 10% and we don't expect to see any material change in ASP. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the Games segment was 48% in the fourth quarter of 2017, compared to 52% in the fourth quarter of 2016.

For Payments segment both revenue and adjusted EBITDA grew for the seventh consecutive quarter in the fourth quarter of 2017.

The 17% year-over-year increase in revenue to $190.9 million includes double-digit growth from our cash advance and ATM revenues, growth of 2% in check services revenue, and a strong quarter from equipment sales and service revenue related to our fully integrated kiosks.

Cash advance and ATM revenue benefited from new casino openings and several new agreements as a result of competitive takeouts. The fourth quarter also marked the 13 consecutive quarter of same-store growth in both transactions and dollars processed.

ATM revenue experienced further growth from surcharge increases initiated by several large corporate casino customers and the expansion of ATM services into Canada. For 2018, we are forecasting mid single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth compared to 2017.

Adjusted EBITDA margin for the Payments segment was 12.6%, the 2017 fourth quarter compared to 12.9% for the fourth quarter of 2016.

Other revenue from our Payments segment, which includes revenues from equipment sales and service, and our compliance products, grew 9% in the fourth quarter, primarily as a result of strong sales of our integrated kiosks.

For 2018, we expect equipment sales and service revenue from our integrated kiosks and revenues from our compliance products will continue to grow and exceed the amounts reported in 2017. Before moving on to the balance sheet, I want to highlight a disclosure from this afternoon's press release and our 8-K filings.

On January 1, 2018, the accounting standard covering revenue from contracts with customers became effective for all of our future interim and annual reporting periods.

In our quarterly filings throughout 2017 and in our annual filing on Form 10-K that we expect to file before the end of the week, we have discussed the expected implementation of the new revenue standard.

Today we also filed a Form 8-K to assist investors and other interested parties in understanding our current expectation of the impact to our historical reporting periods as a result of the adoption of the standard.

The standard will require certain costs of revenue to be reclassified out of cost of revenue and netted against rather – revenue rather than current gross revenue presentation. These changes are not expected to impact reported operating income or loss, EBITDA or adjusted EBITDA or other cash flow measures.

However, with the reduction in reported revenues without an impact on adjusted EBITDA, our adjusted EBITDA margins will be positively impacted. For the revenues and cost of revenues of our Games segment, we expect revenue recognition to be consistent with our current practices.

However, with respect to our wide-area progressive offering which we launched in 2017, it will be required to net the direct costs associated with the progressive Jackpot against games revenues. This differs from our existing practice of recording these amounts separately to games cost of revenues.

For 2017, the only year impacted by this change, the total amount of this reclassification is approximately $0.6 million. The impact to our Payments segment revenues and cost of revenues is expected to be much more significant in nature. We expect revenue recognition to be consistent with our current practices for our product lines.

However, we do expect significant changes in the reporting of revenues and cost of revenues for our core cash access business. These changes specifically relate to our current reporting of these revenues on a gross versus net basis.

Our current practice for our cash access services results in the company recording the service fees collected as revenue and the associated direct costs of commissions, interchange and other related direct third-party processing expenses as cost of revenues.

Under the new guidance, we are required to report these items net which will result in a reclassification of certain historically reported cost of revenues being offset against the revenues.

The cash access revenues and cost of revenues for amounts previously reported will decrease by approximately $564 million, $476 million and $438 million for the years ended December 31, 2017, 2016 and 2015 respectively.

I want to reiterate that none of these changes are expected to have any effect on the historic reported operating income or loss, net loss, cash flows where the timing of revenues recognized and costs incurred nor will they have any impact on the reported adjusted EBITDA in those periods.

Finally, I would also point out that we have not completed our evaluation yet and we may identify other impacts from the implementation of this guidance as we continue our assessment and we will continue to update you on any significant changes.

I would recommend you review the information included in our Form 8-K, 10-K and prior Form 10-Qs where deeper understanding of these changes.

Moving to the balance sheet and reflecting the refinancing and repricing transactions completed in 2017, long-term debt was $1.19 billion and we had no amounts outstanding under our revolving credit facility as of December 31, 2017. The weighted average interest rate on our outstanding debt obligations at year-end was approximately 5.7%.

During the fourth quarter, we paid approximately $2.1 million in required repayments on our term loan. As of December 31, 2017 the outstanding balance of ATM cash utilized by us from our Wells Fargo Cash Solutions Agreement was approximately $289.8 million.

Our consolidated secured leverage ratio at year-end was 3.6 times adjusted EBITDA compared to a maximum senior leverage of five times.

For 2018, we expect interest expense of between $83 million and $87 million which includes interest on Vault Cash of approximately $7 million, $2 million of imputed interest on the Player Station Agreement and approximately $3.4 million in non-cash amortization of capitalized interest costs.

Capital expenditures in the fourth quarter and full-year were approximately $26.6 million and $109.8 million respectively.

Games segment capital expenditures in the fourth quarter were approximately $22.9 million of which approximately $15 million was associated with replacement units for installed base, new expansion units into our installed base and trial units not yet converted to either installed base unit or a sold unit.

Full-year CapEx in the Games segment was $98.1 million of which $55 million was for replacement new or trial units in our installed base and $13.3 million was replacement fees. Payments segment CapEx was $3.7 million for the quarter and $11.7 million for the full-year.

In 2018, we currently forecast total CapEx of between $125 million and $130 million of which approximately $114 million will be for the Games segment. We expect to pay $22.3 million in Payments related to our Player Station Agreement of which $20.2 million are related to placement fees and $2.1 million relates to imputed interest.

As a reminder, placement fees will impact quarterly CapEx through the third quarter of 2019, after which the related unit placements will remain in our installed base for at least another 4.5 years without additional placement fees.

As we are able to expand our footprint with this customer, we may also have some other Payments to secure additional placements that we do not expect those amounts to be material.

As noted in this afternoon’s press release, we established our outlook for 2018, which includes year-over-year revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $225 million to $230 million.

I’ve discussed already many of the underlying metrics and other expectations in our 2018 outlook of our few other items that may assist you in your modeling are as follows. Depreciation expense is expected to be approximately $56 million to $60 million.

Amortization expense is expected to be approximately $66 million to $70 million and finally we expect to record a provision for income tax of between $3 million and $5 million for 2018, which includes cash tax payments of approximately $2 million. With that, I will now turn the call back to the operator for questions..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We’ll hear first from David Katz with Jefferies. Please go ahead..

David Katz

Hi. Good afternoon, everyone..

Michael Rumbolz

Hey, David..

David Katz

I wanted to just ask about the Games segment. The EBITDA margin was a little bit lower than the [indiscernible].

And I wanted to know specifics around why that would be?.

Randy Taylor

David, really having a hard time understanding it. So it’s something hearing. I’m sorry not understanding, but hearing you. Say it again. I know it's on the Games segment and the EBITDA, but I didn't hear the last sentence..

David Katz

Sorry, the margin – the EBITDA margin in the Games segment was a little bit lower than normal.

Why was that?.

Randy Taylor

Yes.

So one of the major items was the G2E costs associated with that – well, two things, the G2E show itself, those costs hit in the fourth quarter, where they didn't hit in the fourth quarter of last year was probably about $1.5 million in cost there as well as the TournEvent of Champions where it's in revenue, but it's also in cost in the TournEvent of Champions margin is much lower.

So the fourth quarter is not quite comparable 2017 to 2016 because of a couple of those items. So had you moved the – just the G2E cost out, the margin I think we've been around 51% compared to 52%. So it's pretty comparable. It's just where the costs hit in fourth quarter this year versus third quarter last year..

David Katz

Got it.

So if we’re thinking about margins on a run rate going forward, specifically in the Gaming segment, we should be thinking north of 50% is a reasonable way to think about it?.

Randy Taylor

That's correct. That's correct. I mean, yes..

David Katz

Okay. And with respect to the CapEx guidance, it's a little bit –also just a bit higher than it’s been, not a lot, but maybe $10 million or $15 million higher than it’s been.

Is it fair to assume is that the function of game placements more than anything else?.

Randy Taylor

A couple things. I would say there's a few dollars and they’re probably around $3 million to $5 million associated with the Payments side, where we're going to continue to invest in a lot of the products that Mike talks about, which are – will be capitalized the costs as well as we're moving into Canada on the ATM side, generally ATMs we own.

So there's a little bit there and yes, the other piece is really, we started off well on 2018 with the placements in South Bend and the one opening. So again, trying to give a range, as we say we're going to continue to manage that and monitor it, but we really believe that to grow the installed base is going to take some CapEx requirements..

David Katz

Got it. And just one last one if you don't mind. The progressive Class II seems to be working quite well and you gave some good color on that, which I appreciate.

Anyway that you can help us calibrate the addition of those games and whether they are more accretive than other placement and obviously they’re more costly, but there is more accretive earnings wise and order of magnitude around that?.

Randy Taylor

So couple things. I don't think they're really – they’re more costly from the standpoint that we have to pay the jackpot, but the actual units themselves are in line with what we were coming out with generally our new products. Again, it's hard to say I know people want to kind of pin you down and what's the lift off of the jackpot it is.

Those units do perform better and are starting to show up in our win pre-day per unit, but I really kind of want to stay away from how much different and how much better it is, because it depends on the location of the unit.

So I guess I'll leave it at that, but we think we're headed in the right direction that's where Mike talked about Premium Units. That's why we're focusing on those. And I just think the increase in our premium footprint is what's going to continue to drive that win pre-day per unit..

David Katz

Great. And I'm sorry, one last one I will add, which is on the Payments business.

2017 was obviously an unusual year to the upside and I think your guidance is more modest, but I think historically more appropriate, I don't want to characterize it for you, but assuming that what the guidance you've laid out for this year is a bit more of a what we would consider historically normal year for Payments rather than what we saw on 2017?.

Randy Taylor

Yes. I think we want to let – 2017 was really a terrific year for Payments. But I think as we look at some of the new products coming out, we feel still very good about 2018. And we think that mid single-digit growth is very achievable with some of the new products we have out and just – obviously the macro economics and what's going on.

So we feel good about it. But yes, I don't want anybody to really – we don't really want anybody to think that hey we're going to have the same type of EBITDA growth for the year that we had in 2017. I would love to see it happen, but I'm not counting on it right now..

David Katz

Understand. Thanks very much..

Michael Rumbolz

Thanks David..

Randy Taylor

Thanks David..

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] We will hear next from George Sutton with Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead..

George Sutton

Thank you. And first congratulations on the daily win per unit turn, long-time….

Michael Rumbolz

Thanks George..

George Sutton

So Mike you started to position the business a little bit more in a focused way than I think you have previously talking about being a gaming solutions provider.

I'm curious what's behind that decision, as they are a cross-sell success that you're seeing? Is there – are there a strategic discussions you’ve been having with the customers that are kind of leading to that conclusion, just curious what's behind that?.

Michael Rumbolz

Yes. Actually it is exactly that. We are seeing the cross sales, we're seeing the ability to provide a complete solution from our Systems, from our Payments, from our Games, to a customer that provides a solid margin for our business.

And so as we see that and as we continuing these discussions, it seemed appropriate to make sure that people understand that we are very similar to the larger competitors in our space in that we have multiple lines of business, but they're all centered around a casino customer and as we converge those lines of business with a single customer, we can and should expect to be able to hold or increase margins..

George Sutton

Gotcha.

We’ve had a few months to digest or at least customers have had a few months to digest, post G2E and I was curious what costs the most attention? You've mentioned The Brady Bunch comments, can you go into a little bit more detail on that specifically and sort of what you think got the most attention?.

Michael Rumbolz

We can, but Dean is here and I would think you'd want to hear it straight from him..

George Sutton

Perfect..

Dean Ehrlich

So I’ll tell you really excited about The Brady Bunch just launching on our new E5527 that’s – as Mike mentioned is going out this week in live, so which is wonderful. So that's one of the additional new form factors that we have.

But if you took a look at G2E and looked at all the differentiated content coming out, we've got 10 new licensed products coming out throughout the year in 2018. And then if you add the new Renegade top box, the Arena form factor which also goes on top of an E5527 the product roadmap just aligns extraordinary well. So that's really the chest of it..

Randy Taylor

And I would say, George don’t forget – I'd just say that don't forget about the new products you brought out at G2E for Payments because I would say that to add on to what Dean said, I think that both segments really showed some nice products including our cash in-site, our CashClub Concierge and our Wallet.

I think they all were well received on both sides..

Michael Rumbolz

That would be cash in-site with Everi IQ..

George Sutton

Actually while we're on that theme, I have one more question relative to the cashless offerings.

At what point do you see that being a new revenue – a meaningful new revenue driver for you and is there a point where you see that as a revenue deterrent?.

Michael Rumbolz

Yes. It's difficult to gauge when it will become a significant revenue driver for us. I truly believe it will be. Part of the answer lies in the speed with which our casino customers adopt and their patrons adopt that as the preferred method for moving value – cash value around the floor of a casino. There are some built-in.

I think incentives for a casino operator to want to move away from cash, but my personal view is that there's always going to be cash in casinos because cash allows you to be totally anonymous.

But I would think you'll see in a – we expect in 2018 to start seeing the first uptakes in cashless wagering throughout the casino industry and as those are taken up and are either successful or a difficult to find success which should really define for us how quickly it's going to happen..

George Sutton

Thank you, guys. Appreciate it..

Randy Taylor

Thanks George..

Michael Rumbolz

Thank you, George..

Operator

Thank you. We’ll move next to David Hargreaves with Stifel Financial. Please go ahead..

David Hargreaves

Hi. Could you speak to your ship share and talk about how that's evolving sequentially to – are you gaining share on the game side? And could you talk a little bit about what game titles specifically are available in the timing? What's still in trial? Because I'm not sure you had everything available during the quarter.

And I just want to see what lies ahead that we can grow off of. And I’d love to know how Penn & Teller’s doing where you have it deployed to start? And then I had a Payments question. Thank you..

Dean Ehrlich

Okay. So I'll take that one. Our ship share depending on how you look at it in all the different various factors. I would say last year started out at around a 3%, 3.5% range and we're north of about a 5% range right now. So we're pretty close to doubling.

We're up a point in terms of ship share, purely on a replacement side is what I’m talking about right now. Penn & Teller, to answer your other question. It’s doing very well. This was launched in mid fall last year and is doing well as we deploy across the country. Roll that initially in Nevada.

And then most recently started hitting the other jurisdictions and performing very well.

Some of the follow-up titles is what we're the most excited about, but we got Buffy The Vampire Slayer coming out, that fits that exact form factor, launched in Willie Nelson towards the end of the month, as you just heard before we just launched The Brady Bunch, we have South Park coming out around summer time and on and on and on.

And that's not even hitting Renegade or hitting our Empire Arena.

So just a tremendous amount of product that has got this very solid pent-up demand that we're looking forward to get out there to see what it's going to do, other than that I don’t think you want to go too much more into the product roadmap with specific months because these dates tend to move.

But basically what I've given you with the dates that I've given you are anticipated launch date. So we feel very good about that..

David Hargreaves

Could you give some high level commentary about customer demand and what quarters of the Mike?.

Michael Rumbolz

So the answer customer demand, I would say, yes. And I'm not prepared to go into exact detail on our backlog in the exact amount of units that are there. But I would tell you that there is a pretty significant pent-up demand for products that we're launching..

Randy Taylor

I mean David, as we said we gave some guidance. Our expectation is we're looking for a 10% growth in unit sales this year. So I mean with Dean, we don’t really talk about what our backlog is right now, but I think we feel pretty good about that growth in 2018 on a unit sales side..

David Hargreaves

Okay and on the Payments side, the strengths that we've seen in the business there in the topline.

Does that have to do with any acceleration of contract renewals, leading up to the 3-in-1 Rollover expiration? And could you talk about how sales have been that expiration? Any emerging thought process and how you're selling in and help people are receiving?.

Michael Rumbolz

Yes, well first of all, let me just tell you that it had nothing to do with the run up on renewals with respect to the 3-in-1 Rollover. That rolled off and was a non-event. I mean we won the majority of new contracts for new casino openings last year and we had competitive takeouts last year, which contributed to our growth in that segment.

The Rollover, the Rollover patent coming into the public sector has been a non-event for our Company..

Randy Taylor

And I think it's only things we – that sometimes people overlook that. Now like it's going away. We still have rollover. We think we do at the best. We think that we drive more casino floor for our customers with that enhancement to our products and if competitors come out with something, that's fine.

But we think we've got a great product there and it will continue to help casino floor. And so far renewal wise, we're on track and it hasn't really come up in our discussions on renewals..

David Hargreaves

Okay, and lastly, could you talk about the materiality of the compliance products if you guys are offering? I am just curious as to how significant they are to the results at this point?.

Randy Taylor

I think we've talked about before it's an excess of $10 million I think on a topline and that given a specific, but it's overall. It's a very profitable business for us. We think there are still a Greenfield out there and the ability to grow that. But it's – from a total revenue standpoint on the Payments side, it's still very small.

But we think it's got room to grow and it's very profitable to us..

Michael Rumbolz

It’s very high margin with very large Greenfield..

Randy Taylor

And the product extensions that we've put out there that we showed G2E things like Jackpot Xpress. I think those are great products that’s how take that core business that has been established over the last couple years and add-on to it is a move forward in 2018 and beyond..

David Hargreaves

Thank you so much and congratulations on your progress..

Michael Rumbolz

Thanks David..

Randy Taylor

Thanks David..

Operator

Thank you. Our next question will come from Howard Bryerman with PENN Capital. Please go ahead..

Howard Bryerman

Yes, thank you for taking my question. Just a follow-up on what David was asking. Can you help me clarify the 14% increase in the Payments revenue number? Does that have to do with the accounting change that you were trying to explain before because if you look at your cost of goods sold number that's gone up significantly as well.

So is this just accounting reclassification that is responsible for the 14% increase or am I looking at this incorrectly?.

Randy Taylor

No, I think I have make sure I can clarify I mean that the way we're reporting historically through 2017 has not changed. So the 14% increased in the Payments business is consistent with what our growth has been for the full-year and it's really been a number of items. It's been casinos we picked up late in 2016 that benefited 2017.

It's been just same-store growth where we've seen a lot more transactions going on. We also picked up Canada business in 2017 and our kiosk and compliance revenues increased. So it's been just a – really hits on – Payments has been really hitting on all four cylinders this year, and doing – it’s a number of factors.

The accounting changes is that going forward in 2018 to your point, the cost of revenues as you said increased fairly consistently with the revenue because we pay a lot of those revenues back to our casino customers as commissions. We have interchanged costs associated with them. The literature now would require us to net that.

So our revenues will come down dramatically, but our cost of revenues will come down dramatically as well. But EBITDA, operating income loss, all those metrics cash flow don't change. It's just a reclassification that will be required in the first quarter and going forward..

Michael Rumbolz

I’m sorry. I’d just say with the addition of the ATM portfolio in Canada, remember our ATM margins are typically a lot lower than the rest of our core cash access and other products. So when you add that revenue and those commissions in there, the cost of revenue is going to grow little faster than the revenue..

Howard Bryerman

Okay. Fair enough.

So 2018 will be reported on a net basis then?.

Randy Taylor

That is correct..

Howard Bryerman

So then just to follow-up and not to beat a dead horse here, but is 2016 the comparison here also being reported the same way the 2017 years or is 2016?.

Randy Taylor

That’s correct..

Howard Bryerman

Okay, so that I’m comparing apples-to-apples..

Michael Rumbolz

Yes, you are. And if you look at the 8-K, we filed – it will show you the historical filings and then how it's adjusted and it will come down right back to the same operating income or loss, but you'll see how the cost of revenues are re-classed, so the revenue comes down, cost of revenues come down, but your operating income doesn't change..

Howard Bryerman

Right, so I guess what was tied to the confusion was there's a very healthy increase in revenue, but it even would flows to the EBITDA line is only 3% or 4% increase.

So is that the difference in margins in this business? Is that what it is?.

Michael Rumbolz

Yes, I mean growth versus net..

Randy Taylor

Yes, gross versus net. Yes, before we showed the gross revenue and all the costs gross and so the margin I don’t if 3% or 4% lean a little bit better than that. But it's lower margins, no question. Now that you'll net at the margins will look better, but the true dollars will be the same..

Howard Bryerman

No, I understand that. I'll just try one more time and then I won't waste any more of your time. The 14% increase in the Payment revenue number is a very nice healthy number.

If I look at the consolidated EBITDA number for 2017 versus 2016, it's only increased by 4%, what isn’t more that fall down to the EBITDA number?.

Mark LaBay

I mean the low margin nature of your cash access business is, again that's kind of what I was trying to illustrate especially the – when we acquired a very large portfolio of Canada revenue and ATM side for example, it's much higher commission business there.

So that net margin that we pick up is relatively low dollars in absolute dollars, but the revenue numbers can be larger than the cost of revenues..

Michael Rumbolz

And maybe one other item to kind of explain it is though on an ATM transaction which is where most of our revenue is, the surcharge charged by the casino customer generally in our bigger customers that surcharge is completely paid back of the commission to our casino customer. There's another source of revenue that we get which is much smaller.

And to Mark's point that's why that the amount that drops the bottom line is much lower than the revenue increase, and we're going to have customers who increase the surcharge and that will increase our revenue, but not produce any more EBITDA from our standpoint because they get [indiscernible] of that surcharge..

Howard Bryerman

Okay fine. I'm also getting barraged with nasty instant messages here. So obviously I'm the one that just not getting it here. So just one last question and maybe this will be a little bit more intuitive, I mean a little bit more intellectual.

I'm looking at your cash flow statement, you said that free cash flow going forward – would be used to reduce debt and as a active debt holder of U.S. that's obviously what I would like to see. If you look at your cash flow statement though operating income from – cash from operations is pretty much washed out by capital expenditures, so washed.

And obviously, that has to do with higher working capital amounts here in big turnaround, the deferred income tax number. So how do I look at this going forward? I don't like to look at EBITDA as a cash flow metric because it's adjusted in and that's adjusted and adjusted again. If you look at your cash flow statement, it's pretty much a wash.

How do we look at that going forward?.

Randy Taylor

Well, the tough thing about our cash flow statement is the way our Payments business work, which is a big impact to our cash flow is change in working capital because remember, we collect the cash for the transactions at the casino.

We collect that cash that neck and end of my balance sheet and then I don't pay it back for – to be fairly quickly two or three days and I can take as long as a week or even longer to pay it back the casino.

So I know you may not like EBITDA, but to me its work the best for this business, which is you take our EBITDA, you take – because there's really not a huge change in our working capital. There are big swings, but it's really because I have settlement receivables and settlement liabilities that kind of offset it.

So I look at it and say, you take your EBITDA. You look at your cash interest. You look at my cash capital and my cash taxes and that's what we're going to have available to pay down debt.

So it sounds like you’re much more traditional as you want to go through the cash flow statement, but it's really growth in EBITDA that's got to generate more cash flow to pay down more debt and that's what we maintain our CapEx..

Howard Bryerman

I get that. But that's one of the components that investment bankers usually like to forget about is, working capital flows, changes or our use of cash. And if your working capital changes, and it’s a use of cash then you will not have the free cash flow to pay down debt. That's the only reason I bring it up.

And if you continue to grow and there's timing differences here that that free cash flow maybe absorbed by your working capital needs, just kind of figure out how to look at free cash flow going forward? That's all..

Randy Taylor

I use to always struggle with it to be honest because of our business the way that we're always in a cash positive position with our customers. I’m not sure I can help you on this call, but we might be able to – we will take it offline and try to walk you through it..

Howard Bryerman

Okay. Fair enough. All right. Thank you so much for your patience..

Randy Taylor

Thank you..

Michael Rumbolz

You’re welcome..

Operator

Thank you. We’ll take a follow-up question from David Katz. Please go ahead. .

Michael Rumbolz

Hey David..

David Katz

[Indiscernible] been asking at you. Thanks very much..

Michael Rumbolz

Okay. Great. End of Q&A.

Operator

That will conclude our question-and-answer session for today. I’d like to turn the call back over to Randy Taylor for any additional or closing comments..

Randy Taylor

We would like to thank everyone for joining us today and we look forward to an updated Q1 for – in a next couple months..

Michael Rumbolz

Thanks everyone..

Operator

Thank you. That will conclude today's conference. Thank you all once again for your participation and you may now disconnect..

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