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Consumer Cyclical - Restaurants - NYSE - US
$ 46.67
-1.31 %
$ 63.3 B
Market Cap
42.05
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one CMG stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 46.7 USD, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one CMG stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 46.7 USD, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one CMG stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 46.7 USD, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is HIDDEN

2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart CMG

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$68.0$68.0$66.0$66.0$64.0$64.0$62.0$62.0$60.0$60.0$58.0$58.0$56.0$56.0$54.0$54.0$52.0$52.0$50.0$50.0$48.0$48.0$46.0$46.015 Oct15 OctNov '24Nov '2415 Nov15 NovDec '24Dec '2415 Dec15 DecJan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '25
FINANCIALS
11.3 B REVENUE
14.61%
1.92 B OPERATING INCOME
23.01%
1.53 B NET INCOME
24.85%
2.11 B OPERATING CASH FLOW
18.03%
-838 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
11.47%
-1.07 B FINANCING CASH FLOW
-62.52%
2.85 B REVENUE
1.85%
416 M OPERATING INCOME
-12.15%
332 M NET INCOME
-14.36%
527 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
17.98%
-136 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-111.76%
-339 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
30.81%
Balance Sheet Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
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Current Assets 1.78 B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1.42 B
Receivables 211 M
Other Current Assets 146 M
Non-Current Assets 7.42 B
Long-Term Investments 868 M
PP&E 6.39 B
Other Non-Current Assets 166 M
15.46 %9.43 %69.43 %Total Assets$9.2b
Current Liabilities 1.17 B
Accounts Payable 211 M
Short-Term Debt 278 M
Other Current Liabilities 680 M
Non-Current Liabilities 4.38 B
Long-Term Debt 4.26 B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 117 M
3.80 %5.01 %12.26 %76.82 %Total Liabilities$5.5b
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
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Revenue 11.3 B
Cost Of Revenue 8.3 B
Gross Profit 3.02 B
Operating Expenses 1.1 B
Operating Income 1.92 B
Other Expenses 382 M
Net Income 1.53 B
12b12b10b10b8b8b6b6b4b4b2b2b0011b(8b)3b(1b)2b(382m)2bRevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
26.67% GROSS MARGIN
26.67%
16.94% OPERATING MARGIN
16.94%
13.56% NET MARGIN
13.56%
41.97% ROE
41.97%
16.67% ROA
16.67%
17.59% ROIC
17.59%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
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2b2b1b1b1b1b1b1b800m800m600m600m400m400m200m200m0020162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income 1.53 B
Depreciation & Amortization 335 M
Capital Expenditures -594 M
Stock-Based Compensation 132 M
Change in Working Capital 126 M
Others 178 M
Free Cash Flow 1.51 B
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for CMG of $1.14 K, with forecasts ranging from a low of $53 to a high of $3.89 K.
CMG Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
53 USD 13.56%
CMG Average Price Target Wall Street Target
1.14 K USD 2346.64%
CMG Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
3.89 K USD 8230.83%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
4k4k4k4k3k3k3k3k2k2k2k2k1k1k50050000May '24May '24Jul '24Jul '24Aug '24Aug '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 10
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
3.7 M USD 2
3-6 MONTHS
8.34 M USD 3
6-9 MONTHS
5.89 M USD 2
9-12 MONTHS
46.2 M USD 6
Bought
498 K USD 1
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
Restaurant stocks fall as investors fear recession, sales slowdown Restaurant stocks, from McDonald's to Chipotle, fell as investors feared a coming recession. While President Donald Trump's tariffs will not have much direct impact on eateries, another pullback in consumer spending would hurt restaurants. cnbc.com - 1 week ago
Chipotle price target lowered to $62 from $68 at Baird Baird lowered the firm's price target on Chipotle to $62 from $68 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. With the probabilities of an economic slowdown seemingly rising following the "shock" of last week's tariff announcement, Baird lowered estimates and price targets for the restaurants. It still believes exposure to restaurants remains appropriate, but is "dialing up" a preference for franchisors and keeps Outperform ratings on the businesses it thinks would be positioned to perform reasonably well in a downturn scenario. Baird moved to the sidelines on Portillo's and Starbucks. 23 Apr https://thefly.com - 1 week ago
Should You Buy This Growth Stock Down 27% and Hold for the Next 10 Years? Investors continue to deal with heightened uncertainty regarding the direction of the economy. The overall stock market has pulled back. fool.com - 2 weeks ago
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) concluded the recent trading session at $52.02, signifying a +0.68% move from its prior day's close. zacks.com - 2 weeks ago
CMG "In Middle" of Tariffs, Consumer Spending & Sentiment @investopedia Caleb Silver considers Chipotle (CMG) a barometer for the consumer. He urges investors to watch price action once tariffs come into effect, as the fast casual company can measure the temperature of consumer sentiment ahead. youtube.com - 2 weeks ago
Chipotle Went on a Seven-Year Quest to Find Avocados Outside of Mexico The burrito chain, heavily reliant on Mexican imports, has worked since 2018 to diversify sourcing for the guacamole ingredient. wsj.com - 2 weeks ago
3 Stocks Near 52-Week Lows With Strong Rebound Potential It's not often that the stock market's cyclicality brings on value deals with the potential of making a life-changing return for investors, yet when those opportunities come about, they can be sure these will likely be short-lived as more capital starts to chase the diminishing opportunities of a value investment. Today, there are three names (big enough in the United States economy) that would fit this description for investors to consider. marketbeat.com - 2 weeks ago
CHIPOTLE'S BURRITO VAULT GAME IS BACK WITH MORE THAN $1 MILLION IN FREE BURRITOS AHEAD OF NATIONAL BURRITO DAY Fans who crack the code to Chipotle's Burrito Vault have a chance to unlock a Buy-One-Get-One (BOGO) offer1 to enjoy on National Burrito Day, Thursday, April 3 Burrito Vault, an interactive competition inspired by the popularity of digital word games, is returning to supercharge Chipotle superfans who played the game more than two million times in 2024 with more prizes than ever before Chipotle Rewards members can celebrate National Burrito Day with a $0 delivery fee offer2 NEWPORT BEACH, Calif. , March 31, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG) today announced it is bringing back its wildly popular digital game, Burrito Vault, to give away up to 157,500 Buy-One-Get-One free entrée codes1 in celebration of National Burrito Day on April 3. prnewswire.com - 2 weeks ago
Where Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Be in 5 Years? Brian Niccol was the CEO of Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG -1.99%) from March 2018 through August 2024. And during his tenure, Chipotle stock was up nearly 800%. fool.com - 3 weeks ago
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Increases Despite Market Slip: Here's What You Need to Know In the most recent trading session, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) closed at $50.92, indicating a +1.7% shift from the previous trading day. zacks.com - 3 weeks ago
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It Zacks.com users have recently been watching Chipotle (CMG) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects. zacks.com - 3 weeks ago
Billionaire Philippe Laffont Dumped His Stake in a Consumer Favorite That's Risen 5,500% Since Its IPO in Favor of an Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock-Split Stock Wall Street is a data-dominated landscape, and it can be easy for investors to allow this overabundance of data to cause them to miss something important. fool.com - 3 weeks ago
8. Profile Summary

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. CMG

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Restaurants
MARKET CAP $ 63.3 B
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Description Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. As of February 15, 2022, it owned and operated approximately 3,000 restaurants in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and rest of Europe. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.
Contact 610 Newport Center Drive, Newport Beach, CA, 92660 https://www.chipotle.com
IPO Date Jan. 26, 2006
Employees 130504
Officers Mr. Scott Boatwright Chief Executive Officer & Director Mr. Curtis E. Garner III Chief Customer & Technology Officer Ms. Laurie Schalow Chief Corporate Affairs & Food Safety Officer Mr. Christopher Brandt Chief Brand Officer Mr. Adam Rymer Chief Financial Officer Mr. John R. Hartung President and Chief Strategy Officer Ms. D Ilene Eskenazi J.D. Chief Human Resources Officer Mr. Roger E. Theodoredis J.D. Chief Legal Officer, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary Ms. Cynthia Henn Olsen CFA Head of Investor Relations & Strategy Ms. Jamie McConnell Chief Accounting and Administrative Officer