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Communication Services - Telecommunications Services - NASDAQ - US
$ 12.93
-1.3 %
$ 706 M
Market Cap
-47.89
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2015 - Q2
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Executives

Chris French - President, CEO Earle MacKenzie - EVP, COO Adele Skolits - VP Finance, CFO, Treasurer.

Analysts

Ric Prentiss - Raymond James Kevin Smithen - Macquarie.

Operator

Good morning, everyone and welcome to the Shenandoah Telecommunications Second Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Adele Skolits, CFO. Please go ahead ma'am..

Adele Skolits

Good morning and thank you for joining us. The purpose of today's call is to review Shentel's results for the quarter ended June 30, 2015. Our results were announced in a press release distributed this morning and the presentation we'll be reviewing is included on the Investor page of our Web site at www.shentel.com.

Please note that an audio replay of this call will be made available later today. The details were set forth in the press release announcing this call. With us on the call today are Christopher French, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Earle MacKenzie, our Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer.

After our prepared remarks, we'll conduct a question-and-answer session. As always, let me refer you to slide two of the presentation which contains our Safe Harbor disclaimer and remind you that this conference call may include forward-looking statements subject to certain risks and uncertainties.

These may cause our actual results to differ materially from these statements. Shentel provides a detailed discussion of various risk factors in our SEC filings, which you're strongly encouraged to review. You're cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements.

Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement. Also, in an effort to provide useful information to investors, we note on Slide 3 that our comments today include non-GAAP financial measures.

Details on these measures, including why we use them and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures, are included in our SEC filings. These reconciliations are also provided in an appendix to today's slide presentation. I'll turn the call over to Chris now..

Chris French Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Adele. We appreciate everyone joining us this morning. We had a solid second quarter and I'm pleased to be able to share details about the company's continued growth.

On Slide 5, you'll see the second quarter 2015 net income increased over 21% to $10.5 million compared to the prior year attributable primarily to the continued growth in the wireless and cable segment. Adjusted operating income before depreciation and amortization or OIBDA for the quarter increased almost 13% to $37.2 million.

Revenues were $85.7 million in the second quarter, an increase of over 5% from the prior year period. Increased revenues in the wireless segment were the result of wireless subscriber growth which more than offset the decline in build revenue per customer.

Our cable segment revenues also improved as a result of an increase in the number of revenue generating units or RGUs, video rate increases and customer selecting premium digital TV and high-speed data packages.

Our wireless highlights start on Slide 6, we saw a growth in the wireless segment with increase customers for our post and prepaid offerings.

This growth was a result of combining our regional advertising efforts with Sprint's national marketing campaigns and aggressively marketing the benefits of our enhanced network and local customer service capabilities. Postpaid customers grew by 6.8% compared to the prior year and prepaid customers by 5.3%.

Operating income for the quarter grew almost 10% when compared to the second quarter of 2014. Turning to Slide 7, you see that our cable segment continued its improving trend and delivered strong growth in the quarter as demand for our high-speed Internet and voice services outpaced the anticipated decrease in video subscribers.

Operating revenues increased about 16% to $24.2 million while cable adjusted OIBDA grew 46% to $5.7 million. RGU growth of more than 6% drove this increase. Other company highlights can be found on Slide 8, our fiber leased revenues increased 6% to $8.5 million and our 154 towers generated $1.6 million in OIBDA from leased revenue.

We are pleased with our organic revenue growth and enhanced profitability in the second quarter. Our upgraded wireless and cable networks continued to appeal to new customers, while current customers are increasing the offerings they subscribe to.

Customers expect enhanced coverage and high-quality service in the marketplace recognized that our state-of-the-art networks meet those demands. We have higher free cash flow as resulted in the decrease in capital expenditures with the completion of the recent system upgrades. Our strong balance sheet provides a solid platform for long-term growth.

We continue to evaluate strategic acquisition opportunities in both the wireless and cable markets, absent the right opportunities dividends will remain an important priority and an effective method for us to return capital to shareholders.

We view our debt load is relatively modest with attractive terms, but we began making required principle payments at the end of last year after two years of interest-only payments. Our Board will be making a decision on this year's dividend declaration in the October timeframe.

I will now turn the call back to Adele to review the details of our financial results..

Adele Skolits

Thank you, Chris. I will begin my remarks on Slide 10, which summarizes our Q2 2015 results. As you can see, all of our key financial metrics rose substantially in Q2 2015 over Q2 2014, with operating income up 19%, net income up 22%. Basic earnings per share up 19% and diluted EPS up 23%.

On Slide 11, I have shown the calculation of adjusted OIBDA for Q2 2015 and Q2 2014. Here you can see that adjusted OIBDA grew by nearly $4.2 million or 13%. Depreciation grew by nearly $1.1 million as a result primarily of the incremental depreciation on network enhancements required to meet the growing data needs of our customers.

Incremental share-based compensation was up in Q2 2015 over Q2 2014 by just $76,000. Finally, the loss on the disposal of assets was up $95,000 in Q2 2015. Slide 12, shows our growth and adjusted OIBDA by segment for the same period. Cable led the way again with a 46% improvement followed by wireline with a 12% increase.

The wireless segment posted a healthy 9% growth in OIBDA. The cable improvements are consistent with longer term trends as Chris mentioned earlier. OIBDA margins also grew significantly in all three segments. On Slide 13, I have analyzed the changes in the adjusted wireless OIBDA results between Q2 2015 and Q2 2014.

Postpaid handset and customer acquisition costs are down by $2.4 million. As Earle will discuss in greater detail in a moment, the shift to leasing and equipment installment willing to finance handsets drove this decrease and a related shift in postpaid service pricing. The postpaid billing rates were down 8.9% during this period.

So while average customers grew by 6.4%, net postpaid service revenues dropped by $300,000. Prepaid revenues grew by $1.2 million related primarily to growth in average prepaid customers of 6.3% and an 4.6% increase in the average monthly billing rate to each customer.

Increases in the rates Sprint charges us to acquire and support prepaid customers, in addition to the increase in the customer base to over $900,000 increase in prepaid support costs. On Slide 14, I have shown the components of the changes to adjusted cable segment OIBDA.

Positive changes include significant growth in high-speed data revenues, which grew by $2.1 million as a result of a 10.4% increase in average high-speed data customer.

In addition, video revenues grew by $1 million primarily as a result of the price increases, which we implemented in January to offset the increases in the video content providers' rates. The average number of video customers actually dropped by 1.9% during this time consistent with industry trends.

Voice revenues are up by $400,000 as a result of 19.5% increase in customers. Bundling of services to promote customer growth resulted in a $500,000 increase in discounts and promotions. The increases in content providers' rates to over $1 million increase in programming costs.

At this time, I will turn the call over to Earl to go into greater depth on some of the operating factors driving our results..

Earle MacKenzie

Thanks Adele, and good morning, everyone. Starting on Slide 16, we ended the quarter with 296,492 postpaid users up almost 7% in the past year and 441,923 total users for a penetration rate of 20%; 81% of our postpaid users have a smartphone; 90% of our smartphones have LTE capability with 58% also having Spark capabilities.

Slide 17 shows we more than doubled the net postpaid additions in Q2 at 5,414, the increase in the net adds was a result of higher gross adds at 17,734 and lower churn at 1.4%. Q2 churn at 1.4% is the lowest quarterly churn in Shentel's history with both May and June at approximately 1.3%.

You see that Shentel controlled channels only produced 36% of gross adds in Q2 with the advent of easy pay and leasing, our local agents used Sprint inventory rather than Shentel inventory and therefore accounted as non-Shentel controlled distribution.

In reality, there has not been any fundamental shift in where customers are buying their phones just how we classify them. Let me provide you some additional postpaid stat. Our [port-in] [ph] ratio increased in the second quarter to 1.84 to 1. Phones represented 63% of the net adds, while tablets and connected devices were 37%.

As of June 30, tablets were 5.3% of the postpaid base, 32% of our gross adds took traditional subsidized phone plan down from 42% in the first quarter, 31% selected installment sales and 37% leased their phones. As of June 30, 72% of our base remains unsubsidized phone plan.

Postpaid upgrades for the quarter were 8.7% of the base; 29% of the upgrades came through Shentel stores. The break down of second quarter upgrade were 37% staying on subsidized plans, 19% on installment plans and 44% leasing their phones.

We believe that the Cut Your Bill in Half promotion continues to get prospects in our stores although only 7% took the offer in the second quarter. The shift to customers buying or leasing their phones continues to have an impact on gross billed revenue per postpaid user as shown on Slide 18.

Second quarter gross billed revenue was $59.01 down 9% from a year ago and 3% from the first quarter. As a reminder, when a customer leases or buys his phone on an installment plan both the revenue and cost of goods sold related to the phone are recorded on Sprint's book.

Not having to subsidize those phones is reflected in the lower cost of goods sold. A reconciliation of gross build postpaid revenues to net postpaid revenues is shown on Slide 19, gross billings were down only 3% due to strong customer growth. And net revenue down only 1% due to improved bad debt write-off and lower service credit.

Prepaid stat start on Slide 20, we had a net loss of 2,352 prepaid customers in the second quarter or approximately 20,000 gross adds to end the quarter at 145,431 prepaid customers. The major driver of the net loss was the annual renewal of the government's subsidized assurance plan. Slide 21 shows prepaid churn was 5.1% in the second quarter.

But average prepaid gross billed revenue was up at $29.41 per month. We continue to see very high demand for a higher revenue [goods product] [ph] and a continued gradual decline of Virgin mobile customers.

As of June 30, 75% of our prepaid customers have a smartphone with 66% of the prepaid smartphones having LTE capabilities and 43% also having Spark capabilities. I would like to share some network stats shown on Slide 22. We have 546 sites, 94% of the sites have LTE have 800 MHz LTE service.

A 166 of the sites have three LTE carriers using 10 MHz of capacity harvested from our original 30 MHz of 1,900 spectrum. 86% of our data traffic is on LTE with 34% of the LTE traffic on 800 MHz. Average LTE speeds are approximately 5 Mbps. Data usage grew by 11% in the second quarter over the first quarter and 104% in the past year.

We estimate the average customer is using approximately 4 GB a month. 39% of the voice traffic is on 800 MHz, blocked and dropped calls continue to stay low with blocked calls at 0.3%. Engineering and site development is complete and equipment is on order for 35 Spark sites.

We expect to complete additional sites before year end and 125 total sites by 2016. We have our fiber build to 199 cell sites and 157 Shentel sites and 42 to others with routes for an additional 31 sites under construction.

Turning to cable Slide 23, you see our annual second quarter dip in RGUs due to our retail college students leaving us for the summer. We lost 625 RGUs in the quarter. We saw an increase of 289 voice users, a decrease of 809 video users and 98 Internet users. We expect a strong rebound in Internet users in August when the students return to college.

Slide 24 shows another strong increase in average monthly revenue per RGU and per customer. Revenue per RGU is up $5.23 over a year ago and an increase of $12.65 per customer. Compared to the first quarter revenue per RGU is up $1.25 and up $2.76 per customer.

The year-over-year increase is due to price increases on video in January, but primarily the drive has been a significant increase in the average revenue per Internet RGU. In 2014, we announced to our customers that we would implement data allowances in June 2015.

We had over six months of educational allowances sending customers email notices as they hit 85%, 90% and 95% of their allowance. The move to data allowances driven 1000s of customers to increase their speed and their allowances. Our allowances are very generous with ranges from 250 GB at 5 Mbps and 1 TB at 101 [Mbps] [ph].

In the first four months of allowance billing, we billed just under 5% of our Internet users approximately $72,000 in allowances. Our overage fee is $10 for each 50 GB. We had a few customers blast us on social media, but have had seen very few customers cancel due to the new policy.

Slide 25, highlights the changes we've seen in our customer base in the past 12 months. We have added 1,580 additional customer relationships and 7,169 additional RGUs. We continue to lead with and have gained 5001 high margin Internet users. In addition, we added 2975 voice users and lost 807 video users.

Our digital penetration has grown to 73.8% we are in the middle of converting our last system that is below 1 gig to all digital providing us enough capacity to continue to grow our Internet users. Wireline stats on Slide 26 highlight the continuing trend of very low access line losses losing only 1% in the past 12 months.

We continued to add broadband customers now at 59.5% of access lines with 12,856 users. On Slide 27, you see the second quarter and year-to-date fiber sales for 2014 and 2015, further broken down between cable and wireline. We signed $6 million of new contracts in the second quarter and $10.8 million year-to-date.

We added a new director of fiber sales in the second quarter and are adding some additional fiber sales people in the cable areas. Slide 28, shows our CapEx spending. As of June 30, we spend and committed $32 million or 43% of our capital budget.

We still have plans to spend the $74 million in 2015 and will provide a more accurate estimate during the third quarter call. Thank you. And I will turn the call back over to Adele..

Adele Skolits

This concludes our prepared remarks. Christy, please review the instructions for posing a question..

Operator

Absolutely. [Operator Instructions] We will go first to Ric Prentiss of Raymond James..

Ric Prentiss

Thanks. Good morning..

Adele Skolits

Good morning..

Chris French Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer

Good morning..

Ric Prentiss

First question like to ask you guys is, there has been a lot of speculation in the markets about Sprint doing a massive network densification, earlier you talked about your Spark progress and getting your stuff ready and you are ahead of schedule as you have been passed.

When you think about Sprint's plans, what do you think the impact on Shen and also can this help to 5 Mbps speed that you are getting average out there?.

Earle MacKenzie

What will help – significantly help the 5 Mbps is going to be Spark. When we implement smart, we will be able to have a wider carrier and will be able to provide higher speeds. As far as densification, with almost 550 sites, we are pretty dense already.

We have – we are looking at using some small cells, but we see particularly in our area that we are going to focus some on specific hotspots rather than using them for coverage or for capacity on a broader level.

We believe with the amount of spectrum and the number of sites we have and the addition of the 125 Spark lights we are going to have a very dense network. The one thing we are looking at doing is, we are reengineering some of our sites to go from 3 sectors to 6 sectors, which help us with some capacity where we think we may need in the future..

Ric Prentiss

That makes sense. Last time Sprint did their vision project, there was part of my desk required a period of time, seemed to had a little effect on you guys.

Any thoughts on what Sprint's next generation will do kind of on your edges or your cities surrounding your area?.

Earle MacKenzie

Well, we still – they are always impacted by the quality of the Sprint network around us. They have been able to bring up some additional capacity, but they still having some capacity issues in the outer suburbs of the big cities. And it is impacting us.

We continue to monitor it closely and look forward to them adding some capacity through the densification and things can only get better from here. The fact that our churn was 1.4 this quarter, I think reflects the quality of our network and the improving quality of their network and we are looking forward to that continue to drop..

Ric Prentiss

It makes sense.

And you teed up my second question, churn obviously astounding lowest ever 1.4% if you kind of factor what do you think is driving that where it's can go from here, and it does seem like the industry as a whole really has seen churn come down, so is it somewhat related to the EIP plans also?.

Earle MacKenzie

Well, I'm sure it is. But, I think one of the things that we really are seeing is the pay off for our network capital spend.

We have -- although Sprint has done anything nationally, we've been running for about a year a local branding campaign talking about the power of our towers and all the marketing research we do has told us it really has paid off.

And so I think that in combination with the great readings we're getting from route metrics in our Harrisburg market, which was one of our weakest spots early on as we try to catch up with AT&T and Verizon and coverage. And I think all of those things combined are starting to really pay dividend.

Price is important, but all the research that we do and this has been true for years and it continues to be true. The number one issue with customers is the quality of the network. So ultimately no matter what your price is, if you're not providing a quality network on a consistent basis you're going to lose customers.

And I think our capital spend and our continued capital spend is going to keep us in a good position..

Ric Prentiss

Great thanks, Earle..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Kevin Smithen of Macquarie. Your line is open..

Kevin Smithen

Thanks. I wondered if you could talk a little bit about some of the ARPU pressure that you've been seeing some of the new Sprint plans kind of where are you in the migration of your base on to these new plans and kind of when do you start to see the ARPU pressure abating, you've delivered good sub growth and churn and EBITDA been excellent.

But just kind of curious when we might, how much longer you think we got in this ARPU service revenue pressure?.

Earle MacKenzie

Kevin, you've asked a lot of questions in one. I'll try to remember them all as I'm answering your question. Obviously, as we've said and always have been the case we follow Sprint pricing. And so they have continued to have some downward pressure as the industry is – they responded to the industry.

As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we still have a significant percentage of our customers new and existing customers taking the subsidized plan. Just because they walk in the door we don't push them to an installment or a lease. We try to do the consultive sale as we always have and determine what's in their best interest.

And for some customers just that comfort of knowing that the phone is included is where they want to be. I think we're going to continue to see an increase in the percentage of leased and installment sales phones. But I think that we're going to continue to have 25% plus or minus of folks who are going to stay on that subsidized plan.

One thing that we're going to start seeing roll-off towards the end of the year there was -- as you recall there was some fairly significant promotions that Sprint ran and the last part of last year that we worked for one year.

We're going to see some of those credits rolling off at the end of the year, which I think is going to give us some relief as far as what the average revenues look like.

And we're continuing to -- we're different because we don't report as everyone else does that $20 a month or whatever that they're getting for the installment or the lease on the phone. It doesn't show up on our financials. And so we're going to be always a little bit different than everyone else.

When we look at kind of our mix though I think one of things that encourages us if we are seeing more units per account as customers are adding more devices or more lines. The other thing that we really do focus on is our growth is not all tablets.

We worked very, very hard once again to be adding phone customers not just tablet customers and have consistently been able to add more -- most of our growth stands at the majority of our net add have been phone. I wish I had a crystal ball, I do believe that our average revenue is going to continue to drop some.

But I think as reflected in the fact that our average customer is using four GB a month of data and the industry is moving away from unlimited plans. We're going to start seeing those that data allowance those overages start to add up just as we have in our cable business.

We implemented as I mentioned allowances for the first time and generated $72,000 worth of revenue in the first month. So I really do believe with all of the increase in data usage we're going to start seeing some sizable amount of revenue from people using over their allowances. Did I answer all your questions? I'm not sure that I did..

Kevin Smithen

No, no, no is very comprehensive. Thank you very much..

Operator

[Operator Instructions].

Adele Skolits

Doesn't look like we've got any more questions, Christy. So thank you everyone for participating. Please let me know if there are additional details you'd like to see in future calls. My contact information was on today's press release..

Operator

And again ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's conference. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect..

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