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EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2019 - Q4
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Operator

Good morning and welcome to the SecureWorks Fourth Quarter and Full Year Fiscal 2019 Financial Results Conference Call. Following prepared remarks, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode.

We are webcasting this call live on the SecureWorks Investor Relations website. After the completion of the call, a recording of the call will be made available on the same site. Now, I will turn the call over to Teri Miller, VP and Chief Accounting Officer. You may begin..

Teri Miller

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today to review SecureWorks’financial results for the fourth quarter and full year fiscal 2019. This call is being recorded. The call is also being broadcast live over the Internet and can be accessed on the Investor Relations section of SecureWorks website at investors.SecureWorks.com.

The webcast will be archived at the same location for one year. This morning, SecureWorks issued a press release announcing results for its fourth quarter and full fiscal year ended February 1, 2019. You can access this press release on the Investor Relations section of the SecureWorks website.

During this call, management will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to guidance with respect to GAAP, non-GAAP revenue and net loss per share as well as adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.

Our forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by these statements.

You can find a description of these risks and uncertainties in this morning’s earnings press release and in the company’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended February 1, 2019 which will be available on our Investor Relations website and on the Securities and Exchange Commission’s website later this afternoon.

All forward-looking statements made on this call are based on assumptions that we believe to be reasonable as of this date, March 27, 2019. We undertake no obligation to update our forward-looking statements after this call as a result of new information or future events.

Some of the financial measures we use on this call are expressed on a non-GAAP basis. These non-GAAP measures exclude stock-based compensation, the impact of purchase accounting, amortization of intangibles and the related tax effect of these items.

We have provided reconciliations of the non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures in today’s earnings press release available on our website.

Non-GAAP measures are not intended to be considered in isolation from, a substitute for, or superior to our GAAP results and we encourage you to consider all measures when analyzing SecureWorks’ performance.

Also as a reminder, all financial information discussed is non-GAAP and growth rates are compared to the prior year periods, unless otherwise stated. With us on today’s call are Michael Cote, President and Chief Executive Officer of SecureWorks; and Wayne Jackson, Chief Financial Officer. Following their prepared remarks, we will take your questions.

We would appreciate you limiting your initial questions to two so that we may allow as many of you to ask questions as possible in our allotted time. In the event you have additional questions that are not covered by others, please feel free to re-queue and we will do our best to come back to you. Thank you for your cooperation on this.

Now, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Cote..

Michael Cote

software. We're developing software driven security solutions that use the latest advances in technology, including cloud capabilities that apply our powerful intelligence, and that leverage partnerships in the broader security community. Next, integrated solutions and services.

Managed security solutions and professional services delivered in combination with our software allow customers to have the best available defenses, while leveraging their existing security investments.

Our flexible solutions are targeted to customers at various points in their security maturity journey, and are delivered seamlessly and at scale, increasing velocity and efficiency for our customers and our business. As I reflect upon fiscal ‘19, I would call out a couple of examples of strategic milestones we've achieved.

The launch of our Red Cloak Partner program. This combination of SecureWorks’ Red Cloak analytics, with best of breed endpoint providers, leverages the strengths of each party for the benefit of our common customers.

We launched our endpoint threat detection solution with CrowdStrike in December, closing several opportunities and building a strong pipeline.

In addition to Carbon Black and CrowdStrike, the first two partners in the program, we are continuing discussions with selected parties who clearly see the common customer value of participating in the program.

We also collaborated with Dell to introduce Dell SafeGuard and Response, a portfolio of next generation endpoint security solutions sold by the global Dell sales force. This modern approach security simplifies the buying process allowing Dell's commercial customers to order these new solutions alongside their new PC.

The partnership we have CrowdStrike is the foundation of this offering which became available earlier this month through Dell and its authorized channel partners. This offering is a prime example of the powerful solution that we create through partnership, collaboration and coordination within the security community.

In a very short period of time, we have already seen encouraging momentum with a strong pipeline building. We are pleased to be working with our Dell Technologies family and leveraging their expertise and powerful distribution capabilities. We have also invested in advancing software enabled delivery.

Having realized speed and efficiency gains from leveraging digital playbooks internally, we launched Orchestration and Automation solution for customers earlier this month. Our Orchestration and Automation solution provides playbooks to automate customer-specific security workflows.

A broad set of integrations enabled a unified view of a customers’ environment, adding contacts to enrich infinite data and automation of response activities.

Using the Ansible open source engine SecureWorks’ unique “do it with you” approach ensures that customer-specific playbooks and automated responses are aligned with the best practices gleaned from our sense of array of incident response engagements each year.

Because our software design leverages SecureWorks’ deep security operations expertise, customers can be certain they are automating the right responses in the context to both their environment and the threat. Another recent success with software-enabled delivery is our self-service provisioning capability which was launched in December.

This allows our customers to arrange the security coverage of their network ecosystem which more rapidly, including asset discovery and one-click device activation. All new customers are auto-enrolled and over 25% of our existing customers have already been converted.

As we start our new fiscal year, I'm very optimistic about our ability to continue brining new innovative solutions to market like the SafeGuard solution in partnership with Dell. We are making investment in sales and marketing to support this important opportunity which I anticipate will have an incremental positive impact on our fiscal ‘20 results.

We will continue to driving our strategy by launching our first app on the new application framework we have previously discussed. This threat protection and response app has been in Beta since early December. During the Beta, we have been working with a group of our enterprise customers that have matured security programs and experienced teams.

These customers have provided positive feedback regarding app’s ease of use and more importantly the ability to detect previously undetect threats, automate investigation and scale remediation.

Our plans in fiscal ‘20 also include accelerated investments in the development of additional security apps as well as expansion of the underlying framework to ensure success of this component of our strategy. I look forward to providing more details about our progress with both of these important strategic initiatives on next quarter’s call.

I will now turn it over to Wayne to talk about our fourth quarter performance in more detail.

Wayne?.

Wayne Jackson

We expect GAAP and non-GAAP revenue to be in the range of $565 million to $575 million, our adjusted EBITDA to be positive for the full year in the range of $2 million to $6 million and our non-GAAP net loss per share to be $0.09 to $0.13 per share. We expect cash provided by operations to be between $25 million and $35 million.

For phasing purposes recall that we typically see negative cash flow in Q1 due to the payment of annual incentive compensation. We expect GAAP net loss per share to be in the range of $0.60 to $0.64. For modeling purposes we estimate that the tax benefit rate will be approximately 24.2% for the full year.

A few items of specific note relative to guidance. The annual revenue guidance of $565 million to $575 million which is consistent with what we shared last quarter, anticipates sequential acceleration related to key growth opportunities that were ramped throughout the year.

Also, our first quarter’s estimates include additional sales and marketing investments associated with the new SafeGuard solutions in partnership with Dell. We expect the revenue from these solutions to ramp up quickly quarter-to-quarter and have a positive contribution to our results in FY20 but it is dilutive to EBIDTA in Q1.

Additionally, FY20 guidance includes an incremental $15 million to $18 million investment in R&D over FY19, as we prepare to launch the first app on our new software application framework and continue expanding the framework in our app portfolio. We had a great FY19.

Mike and I both are very pleased with the financial performance, along with the rest of SecureWorks team, are excited about the opportunities as we move into FY20. Finally, as was reported in our 8-K this morning, I will be leaving the company by the end of FY20.

I joined the company in 2015 to assist with transitioning SecureWorks from a wholly-owned subsidiary of Dell Technologies to a standalone public company. With the IPO three years behind us, the time has come for me to move on and I will do so once my successor is named.

I’ve agreed to stay on with SecureWorks until the end of the fiscal year to assist with this transition. I will now return the call to Mike. .

Michael Cote

Thanks, Wayne. Before I turn it over to the operator for questions, I would first like to thank Wayne for his contributions to organization during the very important period on our company's history and I want to thank the entire team for their hard work and dedication to our customers and our organization.

We work closely with and have the support of an outstanding Board of Directors to make key strategic investments focused on driving long-term success. As I think about performance this year, I'm certainly pleased with our progress and I'm more excited and optimistic about our future than ever before.

We have significant opportunities to accelerate our growth and continue our leadership within the industry which will create value for our customers, employees and shareholders. On behalf of the entire SecureWorks team, we appreciate your continued interest and support. Operator, you can now open the line for questions. .

Operator

Thank you, sir. I will now open the call for questions. [Operator instructions]. As a courtesy to others, please ask no more than two questions. We'll take our first question from Sterling Auty from JP Morgan, go ahead please. .

Sterling Auty

Thanks, good morning, guys. Actually, I want to start with this one. One, I’m trying to understand Dell's vision here with SecureWorks. On one hand, you’ve got great support in terms of the go-to-market and partnership program that you have got and on the other hand, we see the headlines in Reuters talking about Dell exploring the sale of SecureWorks.

Any kind of high level comment here you can give in terms of the vision that they have got for SecureWorks going forward.

Just so we can do it in a public forum and all kind of hear at once that would be great?.

Michael Cote

Sure, Sterling, this is Mike cote, good morning and thanks for the question. I think the best way to answer that question is the Dell's SafeGuard and Response announcement that we have which has a unified PC security and device management solutions that they can bring in the market with SecureWorks’ front and center in that solution.

It’s a portfolio of next generation endpoint security solutions including CrowdStrike’s next generation antivirus and EDR solution bundled with the SecureWorks Red Cloak analytics, our management at endpoint and our incident response services, the solutions are sold through the overall global build sales team and includes a group of security specialists that we mentioned part of which were picking up the cost in our P&L from an investment perspective.

And I think both the Dell organization and the SecureWorks organization are very excited about the opportunities we have not only there but as I mentioned in the prepared remarks is other things that we're exploring to be a key part of the security pillar from a Dell's strategy..

Sterling Auty

And then one follow-up from my side. You talked about the second half -- the improvements or the items are going to improve the retention rate.

Can you remind us what those specific actions are and what do you anticipate the impact can be on that customer retention number in this fiscal year?.

Michael Cote

Let me take the first part of it and then I'll see if Wayne has anything to add or whether I’ve covered it fully. We have a specific executive focus on retention and I think as we've mentioned earlier, there were parts of our offering relating to retention as the market has evolved.

We've come up with the new offerings over the last, if you will, 12 months. And just as a refresher, Q1 of last year, we came up with Detect & Prevent solution for the small to medium sized business market.

We came out in Q2 with the Managed Detection and Response solution for the higher end and enterprise market we came in some of I should say the commercial marketplace, in Q3 of last year, we came out with the endpoint partner program. In Q4, we had the advanced endpoint threat detection, which we announced with CrowdStrike and Carbon Black.

And then in Q1 of this year, we've publicly announced the Orchestration and Automation, the Dell SafeGuard and Response, which has got a strong pipeline building with the Dell sales organization. And we talked about the threat detection and response app.

So I would say there's a couple of things in your question, Sterling, and that includes the new offerings that we've come out with, which will contribute both to retention and accelerated growth we believe later in this year.

It includes a focus on, in particular, in North America on territory plans, account plans, pursuit plan and executive sponsored program, much like we've done in EMEA over the last few years..

Wayne Jackson

Yes. Sterling, good morning, this is Wayne. I’d just add a couple of things. One, the data is compelling. When we have multiple solutions at a client, they have better security outcomes, we have better relationships and therefore retention is higher.

And then to Mike's point, as we roll out the new solutions, not only will that generate new incremental revenue, it will help us in our revenue retention for existing clients..

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Fatima Boolani with UBS. Go ahead please..

Katherine McCracken

Hi. This is Katherine McCracken on for Fatima.

Just moving off of that last question in terms of the newer offerings and your expectations for fiscal year '20, can you talk a little bit more about what’s specifically baked into this guidance?.

Wayne Jackson

Sure. Good morning. This is Wayne. I will take that one. Our guidance for both the quarter and the full year assumes the rollout of really all of these, it's staged. We believe there'll be some incremental impact in Q1 of the Dell SafeGuard. That will ramp quickly in the Q2 and beyond.

The TDR rollout that we talked about will not be in Q1, it will begin to ramp in Q2 and gain momentum in Q3 and Q4. Those are probably the two largest incremental items that we've talked about..

Katherine McCracken

Okay, got it. That's helpful. And then just as a follow-up, I think you mentioned in the prepared remarks, improvements you’d seen in sales productivity.

Can you talk specifically about how that relates to the US sales force and any leadership changes you've made since the last quarter?.

Michael Cote

Sure, this is Mike, I’ll take that. Thank you, Katherine. It’s sort of a two part question you had there. Addressing the first part, there were no substantial leadership changes in North America other than the fact that we did fill the North American sales leader with a strong experienced executive that joined us in the last month or two.

And effectively as we talked about in the prepared remarks, to answer your first part of your question, our sales productivity occurred in all markets and all regions, including North America. So we had the highest ACV or annual contract value, which is what we measure, in the history of the company.

The per quota carrier productivity went up 12% across the organization, and again, North America increased ACV was up 15% in Q4 over Q3. And the reasons for that, I would say are a couple of things.

One is, because the new executive didn't start until really the beginning of Q1 this year, it was the new offerings that we've come out with which are simplified pricing and packaging, and a more modular repeatable approach.

I think it's better management just as I mentioned Geoff Haydon joined us about a year ago and has put the team in place and we've rolled out some easier to use sales place. We actually just had our sales kickoff in the last couple of weeks and there was a tremendous amount of excitement going into this fiscal year.

And we've got some real momentum picking up quickly with the Dell organization on the development on the Dell SafeGuard and Response. So I would tell you overall I feel the best about our sales team, and our whole go-to-market engine as I have in probably the last three years..

Operator

Thank you, your next question is from the line of Jonathan Ho from William Blair. Your question please..

Jonathan Ho

So, I just wanted to give you some congratulations as well Wayne in terms of the opportunity and it's just been great to work with you over this time.

But just maybe starting with the international growth, can you talk a little bit about the opportunity there to make investments and sort of the stronger growth that we've seen on that side of the business, maybe what’s been driving that and where you've been seeing strength?.

Michael Cote

Sure, Jonathan, thank you for the questions, it’s Mike. I've mentioned on prior calls that the leadership team we have and the organization that has been put in place over in EMEA, which consists of the UK and the Middle East and parts of Mainland Europe has been strong and continues to produce for a long time.

We've got a strong and experienced leader and leadership team, they have some best-in-class processes that have been put in place, as I mentioned earlier about with regard to territory planning and account planning and pursuit planning and executive sponsored program.

We've continued to invest in that market both from a go-to-market perspective as well as from a delivery perspective and the solutions that, I mentioned earlier Detect & Prevent and MDR and the Red Cloak Partner program, the advanced endpoint threat detection, the Orchestration and Automation solutions, the Dell SafeGuard and Response and TDR are all going to be offered in EMEA as well as in North America.

And the Asian market we've got a very strong brand from an instant response perspective and have done tremendously there. And I think, that’s probably the quick summary of all the various points.

But I'm excited and feel really good about the growth we've had both in Asia and EMEA on a consistent basis and as we mentioned the pieces of the puzzle are coming together and Q4 was very strong in North America as well. .

Jonathan Ho

Got it.

And then in terms of the investments that you need to make to drive the growth from some of these products and can you talk a little bit about, how this impacts your go-to-market from a sales overlay perspective or whether you need to invest incremental in terms of R&D in the upcoming year as well?.

Michael Cote

Sure, I'll touch on that and Wayne, feel free to add anything. This is Mike again Jonathan. On the go-to-market front, there has been no specific investment relating to go-to-market other than on the Dell SafeGuard and Response that I mentioned earlier either in the Q&A or in prepared remarks.

What we have done to leverage the overall Dell sales force is to -- we had an agreement with Dell where we are picking up a portion of the security specialists on a flat amount per quarter.

So, you can expect to see a little more of those costs in Q1 and we're hoping the revenue with the pipeline that fills already will begin to ramp and accelerate as the year goes on. Other than that there is very little incremental go-to-market investments on the growth expectations we have.

So the go-to-market organizations we’ve put in place, I'm excited about the productivity increase of 12% during the year and expect continued increase in productivity into fiscal ‘20 and/or frankly beyond.

On the R&D investment front, I think, Wayne said, we're going to look to make some R&D incremental investments during the year and we are doing that with regard to in particular the threat detection and response app that we are coming out with and the success that we have seen to-date in the next 50 days or so we expect to GA that application.

So, we'll be investing in incremental apps and dollars in R&D on the framework itself based upon the successes that we see in the market and where we see it makes a lot sense. But I'm excited about the progress and the opportunities we have in -- on the R&D front to come out with some really cool things.

It is worth saying just for a minute to go up, the TDR application when it's launched, what we will be selling is software or really a software as a solution application. The way it's sold, the way it's delivered, it is -- the initial applications are without any service, so it's really for people that are in the more mature category.

And we'll be looking to get the benefit of the network effect on our intelligence. Over time, we'll expand this to the market that wants us to do with them. So we'll add a service wrapper on it over time.

And the initial features include detection use cases and detectors based on our advanced analytic capabilities, collaborative investigation opportunities, and integrated software driven response and store applications..

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Matt Hedberg with RBC Capital Markets. Go ahead please..

Matt Swanson

Thanks. It's actually Matt Swanson on for Matt. When you were launching your store product at RSA, I know youve talked a little bit about the differentiation from off the shelf competitors with the do it with you approach.

Could you just kind of talk about how this product is differentiated in the market and how you feel you're bringing kind of a unique value with some of the consulting services in your previous expertise?.

Michael Cote

Yes, I think -- so this is Mike Cote. I think the first thing I'd say is -- well, there’s a couple of things. One is, we do a front end assessment to help build the use cases and also use and leverage the use cases that we build across our internal organization, as well as the other customers that we're working with around the globe.

So we really have kind of the best practices from an operating perspective. And there will be ongoing tuning for these clients, as well as we work with through and roll it out. The other thing that I think is of important is we're doing this with Ansible, so from the open source technology. So we're not trying to make this proprietary.

We're trying to do this in a manner that our clients can use it in an open environment and in a collaborative environment..

Matt Swanson

And then if I could just ask one, kind of, I guess at the highest of high level.

How are you guys thinking about the security spending environment in FY20? And Just I mean with things like store and some of the new products here adding, is there anything you're noticing about how priorities are changing in security budgets maybe towards more automation, more I guess help needed by customers from you?.

Michael Cote

This is Mike Cote again. In the market, I would tell you that I see there continuing to be an increased focus and I would expect market demand to be high for security solutions. But your insight is very good in that. I think that focus is going to be more on a return on investment for the dollar spent.

Please show me the risk, if were a Board member or a CEO, what's the risk reduction? So how are we automating the detection, investigation and response aspect of things to really have human beings both in the organization or where people have use secure works or others for help? How are we putting human beings to do the best -- what is best for them rather than doing the more routine and mundane thing.

So the key in my opinion in some of the Board meetings of our clients and customers that I've sat and relate and focus on looking for a risk reduction in return on investment and finding a way to measure the dollar spent.

One of the things by the way, I'm sorry one of the things just to add real quick is and I think we have on our website and it's not a -- it's a product, it's really something we're trying to offer is our security maturity model, which is a an easy to fill out a questionnaire that can show comparisons versus other customers and others in the industry in a manner -- I should say customers and non-customers, because there's people that have filled it out that are not yet a customer of SecureWorks.

So it's really an offering focused on trying to measure where companies are in their security maturity, and helping them report that and then how, depending on where they want to be in that security maturity, how do they how they can take steps to mature along that process.

So our new offerings are really focused on automating and responding in a manner and using the security maturity models in way that kind of helps put things in context..

Operator

We have a question from the line of Melissa Franchi with Morgan Stanley. Go ahead please. .

Melissa Franchi

Good morning, thanks for taking my question. I wanted to follow up on this for a discussion from the prior question.

So with security vendors like Palo Alto and Splunk increasingly investing in orchestration and automation, do you feel like those vendors start to become more competitive with you guys just either directly with the store capabilities or maybe even indirectly as more of the functionality gets automated and perhaps you need less services to help with that orchestration?.

Michael Cote

Well, so we're not -- you kind of have two questions in this, so let me make sure, Melissa -- this is Mike again, and thank you for the question. Let me make sure I'm addressing your question specifically and that I don’t answer it incorrectly.

We specifically took the approach of using an open source software solution because we don't believe software in automating security expertise and the security intelligence is where the value is. We believe the value is on the expertise and intelligence in the playbook and not in the software.

So our view would be that we can work collaboratively with any off the shelf source solution that exists and the Ansible as an open source product and clearly plug into that. But the differentiator in the market is not going to be our services.

It's going to be our ability to write applications and playbooks and security intelligence that we have, where we can do it in a specific client perspective, where the client can help do it and we can leverage it across our client base for the core parts of the steps that need to be taken from the source perspective.

Today, I was a little confused to your question Melissa as far as that I'm -- that I address as I wasn’t sure what part competitors you are talking about. The services….

Melissa Franchi

Yes, just wondering if like the extent to which actions get more automated if that reduces the need for your services...?.

Michael Cote

Quite frankly, I'd be happy for that to happen because it means that applying the intelligence becomes much more repetitive and the stack of activities we can do will go up the pipeline rather than dealing with the rudimentary things.

So we are not looking -- we're looking to say that SOAR activities in our opinion, the activity action itself, automation should happen throughout everyone's network and should make it easy.

The differentiation is going to be on the intelligence and the expertise and being able to do that collaboratively across the industry and applying it in the best interest of our customers..

Melissa Franchi

Okay, that's very helpful. And then on the revenue retention rate, thank you for the color on the initiatives that you guys are undertaking to improve that rate. And I know that you had the headwind from the large customer transition.

But absent that, what do you think is driving the increased churn that we have seen over the past few quarters and is there any competitive factors that play?.

Michael Cote

So this is Mike again, thank you for the question. You had a two part question there and I would say that I don’t view it as competitive factors in the marketplace.

As we've mentioned and this has continued throughout fiscal ‘19, it's more service churn than it is logo churn and it’s relating to exactly, actually the question that Matt asked earlier in my opinion, where customers are looking to reallocate their dollars which we are supportive of and work with them, where they can get bet security efficacy and efficiency in what they are doing.

And we've been focused on ensuring that the customers that have multiple of our solution end up getting -- we end up getting higher retention rate and they end up getting a better solution with better outcomes.

It’s the reason why if you go through the six new offerings that we've announced over the last year or so have been announced and laid out in the structure and the timing of which we announced them because we're looking to make sure we can move strategically and quickly up the spectrum to provide more value to our clients..

Operator

Our next question is from Saket Kalia from Barclays. Go ahead please..

Saket Kalia

First maybe, for you Mike, just to pick up on that last question around churn. So, understand that the churn is more service churn rather than customer churn.

But can you go one level deeper on what particular -- on whether you're seeing any particular services more common to be churn than others for example, maybe a firewall management for example that is an easier one for a customer to reallocate for example, or perhaps going for a do it for me to a do it with me type of reallocation.

Can you talk about any commonalities that you're seeing in which offerings are particularly prone to that sort of churn?.

Michael Cote

Sure, Saket, I'm happy to do that I mean it’s a good question. I would tell you that the biggest area and it’s a solution that goes back multiple years is where it’s detection only. So, where we basically be where we will be monitoring devices on a customer's network and doing detection and then raising the flag relating to that detection for them.

It’s the reason why we have moved from detection only to some of the bundles and incremental solutions around the detection, prevent or the MDR solution we have or the Red Cloak Partner program. So, we have pretty consistently quite frankly seeing it be in the detect line. .

Saket Kalia

And then, maybe for you Wayne, first of all, also my congrats on your announcement. On the fiscal ‘20 guide, maybe two kind of questions. First, how you're thinking about MRR growth in fiscal ‘20? And then secondly, I think the cash flow guide in ‘20 is down year-over-year.

I know that the tax receivable from Dell can kind of move in ebbs and flow, can you talk about whether that’s playing any part into the cash flow dynamic year-over-year?.

Wayne Jackson

Thank you, Saket. Let me take them in reverse order. The cash flow has two things, one the Dell receivable is down as I mentioned in my prepared remarks about $20 million for this fiscal '19. I’ll give you a range $6 million to $8 million is what we anticipate for next year. And that's two things really, it's a lower tax rate to begin with.

And secondly as we approach as our losses decrease then the amount of tax benefit they'll be able to use will reduce. So that number certainly has some impact to it. And then the other part is just we're going to spend $15 million to $18 million incremental spent in the R&D space. So I think if you kind of reconcile all that you'll get close.

CapEx is about the same as -- I did mention that in my prepared remarks but it's about the same as it's been -- it’s $12 million to $14 million, I will just go ahead and give you a range, it's $12 million to $14 million for this year. And then back to MRR, one of the -- we guided revenue in the third quarter.

As some of these new revenue streams come on, they will not be traditional MRRs, some of them will be one-off type of revenue streams. So that's why we just -- we pivoted to giving guidance revenue. We certainly we'll provide MRR at the end of each period going forward..

Operator

The next question is from the line Walter Pritchard from Citi. Please go ahead. .

Walter Pritchard

Two questions. First, just on the Dell side I'm wondering maybe if you could help us. I think in the past you've had various ….

Michael Cote

Walter, we lost -- Walter, I'm sorry we lost you there for a minute..

Walter Pritchard

Can you hear me now?.

Michael Cote

We can. Yes. Thank you. .

Walter Pritchard

Okay, sorry about that. So I'm wondering on the Dell side, if you could talk -- I understand what you're doing on year-end. Can you talk about what changes or issues Dell may have going on their end to help drive the sales and your offerings there? And I had a follow up for Wayne on EBITDA..

Michael Cote

So this is Mike, thank you for the question. On the Dell side, they have sold endpoint solution attached to their box, the PCs when they sold it. So historically had it been an unmanaged solution, it did not have our Red Cloak analytics attached to it and did not have an incident response retainer were something to happen.

So it's an expanded offering, but our historical view of the -- our historical knowledge of the amount sold over the last five years if you will and the impact that can happen is sort of what leads to our optimism or good feeling about this enhanced security solution that we have.

From a security overlay team, there's an overlay team that the Dell has from a security overlay go-to-market perspective that’s been in place for many, many years, at least the six to eight years or that I'm aware of and I’ve been a part of Dell for eight years now.

And that overlay team as I mentioned earlier, we are -- they are focused on -- a portion of overlay team is focused on selling just solutions, the Dell SafeGuard and Response solution and we are incurring parts of those costs on a fixed amount on our P&L starting in fiscal ‘20.

This will be a bundling with their hardware sales, and it's something that they've historically done over time. .

Walter Pritchard

And I guess at least a second question just around EBITDA, it would be a little lower than we we're expecting in fiscal '20.

Could you help us understand between that cost there and maybe had some R&D costs that picked up in the second half of fiscal ‘19? What the drivers are of the EBITDA being lower and then how you think about that going forward?.

Wayne Jackson

Yes, I think the biggest piece is again the investment that we're excited to be making in the R&D space around TDR the framework and also the app portfolio as we develop and roll out the first app, and then the subsequent apps, $15 million to $18 million incremental spend over FY19 is the largest piece.

And then the other piece is the incremental sales and marketing that we’ve committed to, to pay Dell for the sales force on SafeGuard. Those two pieces together are really the reconciliation.

Does that makes sense?.

Walter Pritchard

Thank you. It does. Yes..

Operator

The next question is from the line of Gabriela Borges from Goldman Sachs. Go ahead please. .

Gabriela Borges

Mike, I wanted to revisit some of the numbers that was discussed at the time of the IPO three years ago, this idea industry growth in the 10% to 15% range, the potential for SecureWorks to an EBITDA margin north of 20% longer term. Maybe just give us your holistic view over the last three years.

What do you think the biggest limitations have been to getting to that consistent call it mid teens revenue growth number and margin expansion then going forward? What do you think changes, or what's your conviction level in being able to get margin expansion along with the revenue growth? Thanks..

Michael Cote

Sure, Gabriela Thanks for the question.

I think if we went back and looked at these calls and the scripts over the last few years, the answer on the go to market has been the difficulty we've had and inconsistency we've had from some go to market perspective, which is the reason why Geoff Haydon coming in from a management team perspective, the new North American leader coming in our fiscal ‘19 as we've gotten the go to market engine in the best position, I believe we've been in the last three years, with last year being -- last year fiscal ‘19 being the highest ACV we had in the history of the company, our quota carrier productivity increased 12%, which is probably -- not probably, which is the largest increase we've had in the last three year period of time.

I think that results from a handful of things, including the new offerings that we've discussed, the six that I've outlined, the simplified pricing and packaging with -- resulting in a more modular approach, the sales plays that we've implemented, and some real momentum that we have with regards to the Dell organization.

So it's the items that I've outlined earlier that have taken some time to put in place, but I'm really excited about the positive results we've seen towards the end of the fiscal year.

From a gross margin perspective and an EBITDA perspective, I think the last two quarters we’ve shown have increased to 56%, moving clearly in the best -- well in a strong direction. I think gross margin, if you go back to the IPO days was 51.8%. Today it’s we exited 2019 at 55.3% so we had a 350 basis point increase over that three year period.

Actually, the fourth quarter was 56%. So that would be I think a little north of a 400% increase over that period of time.

And it's been through the automation items that both Wayne and I mentioned in our prepared remarks, things like self service provisioning, the store application that we're applying internally and now rolling out as a capability for our clients and solutions and the bundles and the sales productivity.

So quite frankly, as I look at 2016 to 2019, and that's going from revenue of 342 million to revenue of 519 million from a gross margin of as I mentioned 51.8% exiting the year with 56% and EBIDTA of negative 48 to a positive 12 or $60 million increase in EBIDTA.

It feels pretty good about everything that we have done in the last three years and the optimism and excitement I have relates to the productivity in the last few years and the team we have in place. .

Gabriela Borges

And the follow up this on the competitive landscape in the endpoint market. One of the things we've noticed over the past couple of years is, endpoint vendors adding more detection capabilities, adding more managed EDR capabilities.

Could you just level set us on the competitive environment, how you're seeing that change and how much of your services business today is tightly managing endpoints? Thanks. .

Michael Cote

So, this is Mike again, thanks Gabriela. I would say, so as far as the endpoint market, yes there’s increased capabilities around the solution. It’s the reason we came out with the endpoint partner program, where we can see a broader part of security programs for our customers.

And we're doing this in a manner where -- as I mentioned we have CrowdStrike today and Carbon Black.

We have been approached by other selected endpoint vendors that we are talking with and plan to explore the opportunity to work with in a manner that we could apply our Red Cloak analytics and the intelligence, because we believe much like the SOAR marketplace, it's not in my opinion the specific software, it’s the ability to have our detection capabilities, coupled with the endpoint providers and the visibility across all of the data sources where we can cross-correlate between the endpoints and the networks, the cloud and the rest of the direct to the customers environment we have the visibility on..

Operator

We do not have further questions at this time..

Teri Miller

Thank you again for joining us on today's call and for all of your questions. We appreciate your support and look forward to our first quarter call in early June. If we did not get your questions during Q&A section, please do not hesitate to reach out for a follow up. .

Operator

You may now disconnect at this time..

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