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Healthcare - Medical - Diagnostics & Research - NASDAQ - US
$ 138.26
3.28 %
$ 18.7 B
Market Cap
-90.37
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one NTRA stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 138 USD, Natera, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one NTRA stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 138 USD, Natera, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Apr, 8, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one NTRA stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 138 USD, Natera, Inc. is HIDDEN

2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart NTRA

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$180.0$180.0$170.0$170.0$160.0$160.0$150.0$150.0$140.0$140.0$130.0$130.0$120.0$120.0$110.0$110.015 Oct15 OctNov '24Nov '2415 Nov15 NovDec '24Dec '2415 Dec15 DecJan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '25
FINANCIALS
1.7 B REVENUE
56.75%
-222 M OPERATING INCOME
50.19%
-190 M NET INCOME
56.20%
136 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
154.93%
138 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-18.32%
30.2 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-88.13%
476 M REVENUE
8.26%
-64.7 M OPERATING INCOME
-64.57%
-53.8 M NET INCOME
-70.20%
52.9 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
2.13%
-11.1 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-26.14%
11 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
538.02%
Balance Sheet Natera, Inc.
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Current Assets 1.38 B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 968 M
Receivables 314 M
Other Current Assets 93.4 M
Non-Current Assets 285 M
Long-Term Investments 0
PP&E 248 M
Other Non-Current Assets 36.7 M
58.30 %18.92 %5.62 %14.94 %Total Assets$1.7b
Current Liabilities 344 M
Accounts Payable 34.9 M
Short-Term Debt 90.5 M
Other Current Liabilities 219 M
Non-Current Liabilities 121 M
Long-Term Debt 96.6 M
Other Non-Current Liabilities 24.7 M
7.51 %19.46 %46.98 %20.76 %5.30 %Total Liabilities$465.3m
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Natera, Inc.
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Revenue 1.7 B
Cost Of Revenue 674 M
Gross Profit 1.02 B
Operating Expenses 1.25 B
Operating Income -222 M
Other Expenses -31.9 M
Net Income -190 M
2b2b2b2b1b1b1b1b1b1b800m800m600m600m400m400m200m200m00(200m)(200m)(400m)(400m)2b(674m)1b(1b)(222m)32m(190m)RevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
60.30% GROSS MARGIN
60.30%
-13.10% OPERATING MARGIN
-13.10%
-11.22% NET MARGIN
-11.22%
-15.93% ROE
-15.93%
-11.47% ROA
-11.47%
-15.85% ROIC
-15.85%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Natera, Inc.
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100m100m00(100m)(100m)(200m)(200m)(300m)(300m)(400m)(400m)(500m)(500m)20162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income -190 M
Depreciation & Amortization 31 M
Capital Expenditures -66.4 M
Stock-Based Compensation 274 M
Change in Working Capital 0
Others 20.7 M
Free Cash Flow 69.2 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Natera, Inc.
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for NTRA of $144 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $117 to a high of $195 .
NTRA Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
117 USD -15.38%
NTRA Average Price Target Wall Street Target
144 USD 4.21%
NTRA Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
195 USD 41.04%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
2002001801801601601401401201201001008080May '24May '24Jul '24Jul '24Aug '24Aug '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 12
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Natera, Inc.
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
75.1 M USD 8
3-6 MONTHS
62.7 M USD 11
6-9 MONTHS
9.95 M USD 7
9-12 MONTHS
21.2 M USD 8
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
27.5% of Stanley Druckenmiller's $3.7 Billion Portfolio Is Invested in These 3 Under-the-Radar AI Stocks Stanley Druckenmiller is in an elite league of investors that includes the likes of Warren Buffett. He ran his hedge fund firm, Duquesne Capital Management, for 30 years, posting eye-popping average annual returns of 30%. fool.com - 3 days ago
DEFINE-HT Selected for Late-Breaking Oral Presentation at ISHLT Annual Meeting AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA and genetic testing, announced that it will share results from the DEFINE-HT study in a late-breaking oral presentation at the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) 45th Annual Meeting on April 29, 2025. DEFINE-HT is the first prospective, multicenter study in heart transplant recipients designed to assess whether elevated levels of donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA), as. businesswire.com - 2 weeks ago
Here Are Billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller's 5 Biggest Stock Holdings Stanley Druckenmiller, whose net worth is around $6.9 billion, made most of his fortune as a hedge fund manager, and became a well-known name on Wall Street while working for George Soros until 2000. fool.com - 3 weeks ago
Natera: Growth Looks Unstoppable, Positive EPS Just A Matter Of Time Natera: Growth Looks Unstoppable, Positive EPS Just A Matter Of Time seekingalpha.com - 3 weeks ago
Natera Announces Enrollment of First Patients in the HEROES Clinical Trial in Metastatic HER2+ Breast Cancer AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA and genetic testing, today announced the enrollment of the first patients in the HEROES clinical trial. HEROES is a multi-center, phase II trial that explores the discontinuation or de-escalation of anti-HER2 targeted therapy among patients with metastatic HER2+ breast cancer. The trial is supported by funding from the French Ministry of Health through the Hospital Clinical Research Program (PHRC) and. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Natera (NTRA) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say While the top- and bottom-line numbers for Natera (NTRA) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended December 2024, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values. zacks.com - 1 month ago
Natera, Inc. (NTRA) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ:NTRA ) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call February 27, 2025 4:30 PM ET Company Participants Mike Brophy - Chief Financial Officer Steve Chapman - Chief Executive Officer Alexey Aleshin - GM Oncology, CMO Solomon Moshkevich - President, Clinical Diagnostics John Fesko - President and Chief Business Officer Conference Call Participants Doug Schenkel - Wolfe Research Rachel Vatnsdal - JPMorgan Tejas Savant - Morgan Stanley Tycho Peterson - Jefferies Puneet Souda - Leerink Partners Catherine Schulte - Baird Daniel Brennan - TD Cowen Dan Leonard - UBS Subbu Nambi - Guggenheim Operator Welcome everyone to Natera's 2024 Fourth Quarter Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Natera (NTRA) Reports Q4 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates Natera (NTRA) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.41 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.42. This compares to loss of $0.64 per share a year ago. zacks.com - 1 month ago
Natera Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA and genetic testing, today reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2024. Recent Financial Highlights Generated total revenues of $476.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, compared to $311.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2023, an increase of 53.0%. Product revenues grew 53.9% over the same period. Generated a gross margin of 62.9% in the fourth quart. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Natera Announces Medicare Coverage of Signatera™ for Surveillance in Lung Cancer AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA and genetic testing, today announced that its Signatera test has met coverage requirements from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services' (CMS) Molecular Diagnostics Services Program (MolDX) for patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This coverage applies to patients with stage I-III NSCLC with resectable or unresectable disease in the surveillance setting. It expands upon preexistin. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Natera (NTRA) Recently Broke Out Above the 20-Day Moving Average From a technical perspective, Natera (NTRA) is looking like an interesting pick, as it just reached a key level of support. NTRA recently overtook the 20-day moving average, and this suggests a short-term bullish trend. zacks.com - 1 month ago
NCCN Strengthens Guidance on ctDNA in Colon Cancer, Rectal Cancer, and Merkel Cell Carcinoma AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA and genetic testing, today commented on recent updates by the NCCN on circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) molecular residual disease (MRD) testing in the Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology (NCCN Guidelines®) for colon cancer, rectal cancer, and merkel cell carcinoma (MCC). In its updated guidelines for colon cancer1 and for rectal cancer2, NCCN now includes ctDNA as a high risk factor for recurrence in. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
8. Profile Summary

Natera, Inc. NTRA

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Medical - Diagnostics & Research
MARKET CAP $ 18.7 B
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Description Natera, Inc., a diagnostics company, develops and commercializes molecular testing services worldwide. It offers Panorama, a non-invasive prenatal test that screens for chromosomal abnormalities of a fetus with a blood draw from the mother, as well as twin pregnancies for zygosity; Vistara, a single-gene mutations screening test to identify single-gene disorder; Horizon carrier screening to determine carrier status for various genetic diseases; and Spectrum to identify chromosomal anomalies or inherited genetic conditions during an in vitro fertilization cycle. The company also provides Anora miscarriage test products to analyze fetal chromosomes to understand the cause of miscarriage; and non-invasive paternity testing products to determine paternity by gestation using a blood draw from the pregnant mother and alleged father. In addition, it offers Constellation, a cloud-based software product that enables laboratory customers to gain access through the cloud to the company's algorithms and bioinformatics in order to validate and launch tests; Signatera, a circulating tumor DNA technology that screen for a generic set of mutations independent of an individual's tumor; and Prospera used to assess organ transplant rejection. The company offers products through its direct sales force, as well as through a network of approximately 100 laboratory and distribution partners. It has a partnership agreement with BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize NGS-based genetic testing assays; and Foundation Medicine, Inc. to develop and commercialize personalized circulating tumor DNA monitoring assays. The company was formerly known as Gene Security Network, Inc. and changed its name to Natera, Inc. in 2012. Natera, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is based in Austin, Texas.
Contact 13011 McCallen Pass Building A, San Carlos, CA, 78753 https://www.natera.com
IPO Date July 1, 2015
Employees 4424
Officers Mr. Eric A. Evans Chief Scientific Officer Mr. Jerry Diffley Chief Compliance & Privacy Officer Mr. Michael B. Brophy M.B.A. Chief Financial Officer Ms. Olesya A. Anisimova CPA Chief Accounting Officer Dr. Matthew Rabinowitz Ph.D. Co-Founder & Executive Chairman Mr. Rishi Kacker Chief Technology Officer Mr. Jonathan Sheena M.Eng. Co-Founder & Director Mr. John Fesko President & Chief Business Officer Mr. Daniel Rabinowitz L.L.M. Secretary & Chief Legal Officer Mr. Steven Leonard Chapman Chief Executive Officer & Director