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Healthcare - Medical - Diagnostics & Research - NASDAQ - US
$ 161.76
0.118 %
$ 22.1 B
Market Cap
-109.3
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jul, 6, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one NTRA stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 162 USD, Natera, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jul, 6, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one NTRA stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 162 USD, Natera, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jul, 6, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one NTRA stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 162 USD, Natera, Inc. is HIDDEN

2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart NTRA

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$180.0$180.0$175.0$175.0$170.0$170.0$165.0$165.0$160.0$160.0$155.0$155.0$150.0$150.0$145.0$145.0$140.0$140.0$135.0$135.0$130.0$130.015 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '2515 Apr15 AprMay '25May '2515 May15 MayJun '25Jun '2515 Jun15 JunJul '25Jul '25
FINANCIALS
1.7 B REVENUE
56.75%
-222 M OPERATING INCOME
50.19%
-190 M NET INCOME
56.20%
136 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
154.93%
138 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-18.32%
30.2 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-88.13%
502 M REVENUE
5.41%
-79.2 M OPERATING INCOME
-22.30%
-66.9 M NET INCOME
-24.48%
44.5 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-15.95%
-16.8 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-51.24%
544 K FINANCING CASH FLOW
-95.04%
Balance Sheet Natera, Inc.
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Current Assets 1.38 B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 968 M
Receivables 314 M
Other Current Assets 93.4 M
Non-Current Assets 285 M
Long-Term Investments 0
PP&E 248 M
Other Non-Current Assets 36.7 M
58.30 %18.92 %5.62 %14.94 %Total Assets$1.7b
Current Liabilities 344 M
Accounts Payable 34.9 M
Short-Term Debt 90.5 M
Other Current Liabilities 219 M
Non-Current Liabilities 121 M
Long-Term Debt 96.6 M
Other Non-Current Liabilities 24.7 M
7.51 %19.46 %46.98 %20.76 %5.30 %Total Liabilities$465.3m
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Natera, Inc.
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Revenue 1.7 B
Cost Of Revenue 674 M
Gross Profit 1.02 B
Operating Expenses 1.25 B
Operating Income -222 M
Other Expenses -31.9 M
Net Income -190 M
2b2b2b2b1b1b1b1b1b1b800m800m600m600m400m400m200m200m00(200m)(200m)(400m)(400m)2b(674m)1b(1b)(222m)32m(190m)RevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
60.30% GROSS MARGIN
60.30%
-13.10% OPERATING MARGIN
-13.10%
-11.22% NET MARGIN
-11.22%
-15.93% ROE
-15.93%
-11.47% ROA
-11.47%
-15.85% ROIC
-15.85%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Natera, Inc.
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100m100m00(100m)(100m)(200m)(200m)(300m)(300m)(400m)(400m)(500m)(500m)20162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income -190 M
Depreciation & Amortization 31 M
Capital Expenditures -66.4 M
Stock-Based Compensation 274 M
Change in Working Capital 0
Others 20.7 M
Free Cash Flow 69.2 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Natera, Inc.
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for NTRA of $154 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $120 to a high of $195 .
NTRA Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
120 USD -25.82%
NTRA Average Price Target Wall Street Target
154 USD -4.64%
NTRA Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
195 USD 20.55%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
2002001901901801801701701601601501501401401301301201201101101001009090Aug '24Aug '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26Jun '26Jun '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 6
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Natera, Inc.
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
20.9 M USD 8
3-6 MONTHS
75.9 M USD 8
6-9 MONTHS
62.7 M USD 11
9-12 MONTHS
15.1 M USD 7
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
Natera to Present Clinical and Economic Utility of Signatera at ESMO GI, Highlights Innovations in MRD AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA and precision medicine, announced new data that will be presented at the 2025 European Society for Medical Oncology GI Congress (ESMO GI) in Barcelona, Spain. These presentations reinforce the strong clinical and economic utility of Signatera™ monitoring across colon and rectal cancers (CRC), as well as new clinical validation data on its tissue-free MRD assay. Signatera in CRC surveillance Data on &gt. businesswire.com - 6 days ago
Nearly 16 % of Druckenmiller's Money Now Rides on This Stock A high-growth gem is the largest holding in Stanley Druckenmiller's firm's fund. 247wallst.com - 1 month ago
Natera Announces Medicare Coverage for Signatera™ Genome AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA and precision medicine, today announced that its genome-based Signatera MRD assay is now covered by Medicare under LCD L38779. This coverage decision applies to Medicare beneficiaries with colorectal cancer, breast cancer, bladder cancer, ovarian cancer, lung cancer, and pan-cancer immunotherapy monitoring, mirroring the pre-existing coverage for Signatera. The coverage determination was supported by r. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
SignateraTM Genome Clinical Performance Highlighted at ASCO 2025 AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA and precision medicine, announced results from a large-scale pan-cancer study of its Signatera Genome assay, which was presented today, June 2nd, at the 2025 American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Annual Meeting. The study analyzed the performance of Signatera Genome in a cohort of 392 patients (> 2,600 plasma samples) across five different tumor types (breast cancer, non-small cell lung cance. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Natera to Present over 25 Signatera™ Studies at 2025 ASCO Annual Meeting AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA and precision medicine, today announced that data from more than 25 Signatera studies will be presented at the 2025 American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Annual Meeting, taking place from May 30 - June 3, 2025 in Chicago, IL. Together with its collaborators, Natera will showcase the clinical utility of Signatera across 10 different cancer types. This extraordinary breadth of data includes analys. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Natera: The Clues In Q1 Earnings Natera delivered stellar Q1 results, with revenue and EPS beating expectations, and strong volume growth, especially for its flagship Signatera product. Management sees significant upside for Signatera, projecting it could become a $5 billion annual product as both volumes and ASPs rise. Natera consistently outperforms its own conservative guidance, suggesting future earnings beats are likely, especially with unmodeled 'true-up' revenue. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Natera (NTRA) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates Although the revenue and EPS for Natera (NTRA) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended March 2025, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers. zacks.com - 1 month ago
Natera, Inc. (NTRA) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript Natera, Inc. (NTRA) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Natera (NTRA) Reports Q1 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates Natera (NTRA) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.50 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.59. This compares to loss of $0.56 per share a year ago. zacks.com - 1 month ago
Signatera Data From I-SPY 2 Trial to Be Presented at ESMO Breast Annual Congress AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA and precision medicine, will present multiple datasets in breast cancer together with its collaborators at the 2025 ESMO Breast Cancer Annual Congress in Munich, Germany, taking place from May 14-17, 2025. Results from the I-SPY 2 clinical trial, sponsored and operated by Quantum Leap Healthcare Collaborative, will be shared in a mini-oral presentation on May 16, 2025. The report includes data from 712. businesswire.com - 1 month ago
Prospera™ Heart Test with DQS Outperforms dd-cfDNA Percentage in Detecting Allograft Rejection, New AJT Publication Shows AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA and precision medicine, today announced that the American Journal of Transplantation (AJT) published a new study1 evaluating the performance of Prospera Heart with DQS to detect allograft rejection. Prospera with DQS leverages a two-threshold algorithm, combining the traditional donor fraction (dd-cfDNA %, measuring dd-cfDNA as a fraction of total cfDNA) and donor quantity score (DQS, estimating the to. businesswire.com - 2 months ago
Largest Sarcoma Study to Date with ctDNA Analysis Demonstrates Excellent Performance for Signatera AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA), a global leader in cell-free DNA and precision medicine, today announced the results of a study led by Stanford University School of Medicine for the evaluation of Signatera, Natera's personalized molecular residual disease (MRD) test, in patients with soft tissue and bone sarcomas. Results of the study (Utilizing Circulating Tumor DNA to Monitor Sarcoma Treatment and Recurrence) were presented at the 2025 Society of Surgical Oncology. businesswire.com - 2 months ago
8. Profile Summary

Natera, Inc. NTRA

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Medical - Diagnostics & Research
MARKET CAP $ 22.1 B
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Description Natera, Inc., a diagnostics company, develops and commercializes molecular testing services worldwide. It offers Panorama, a non-invasive prenatal test that screens for chromosomal abnormalities of a fetus with a blood draw from the mother, as well as twin pregnancies for zygosity; Vistara, a single-gene mutations screening test to identify single-gene disorder; Horizon carrier screening to determine carrier status for various genetic diseases; and Spectrum to identify chromosomal anomalies or inherited genetic conditions during an in vitro fertilization cycle. The company also provides Anora miscarriage test products to analyze fetal chromosomes to understand the cause of miscarriage; and non-invasive paternity testing products to determine paternity by gestation using a blood draw from the pregnant mother and alleged father. In addition, it offers Constellation, a cloud-based software product that enables laboratory customers to gain access through the cloud to the company's algorithms and bioinformatics in order to validate and launch tests; Signatera, a circulating tumor DNA technology that screen for a generic set of mutations independent of an individual's tumor; and Prospera used to assess organ transplant rejection. The company offers products through its direct sales force, as well as through a network of approximately 100 laboratory and distribution partners. It has a partnership agreement with BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize NGS-based genetic testing assays; and Foundation Medicine, Inc. to develop and commercialize personalized circulating tumor DNA monitoring assays. The company was formerly known as Gene Security Network, Inc. and changed its name to Natera, Inc. in 2012. Natera, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is based in Austin, Texas.
Contact 13011 McCallen Pass Building A, Austin, CA, 78753 https://www.natera.com
IPO Date July 1, 2015
Employees 4424
Officers Dr. Matthew Rabinowitz Ph.D. Co-Founder & Executive Chairman Mr. Jonathan Sheena M.Eng. Co-Founder & Director Mr. Eric A. Evans Ph.D. Chief Scientific Officer Mr. Michael B. Brophy M.B.A. Chief Financial Officer Ms. Olesya A. Anisimova CPA Chief Accounting Officer Mr. John Fesko President & Chief Business Officer Mr. Daniel Rabinowitz L.L.M. Secretary & Chief Legal Officer Mr. Solomon Moshkevich M.B.A. President of Clinical Diagnostics Mr. Rishi Kacker Chief Technology Officer Mr. Steven Leonard Chapman Chief Executive Officer & Director