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Financial Services - Financial - Credit Services - NASDAQ - US
$ 11.92
-0.832 %
$ 652 M
Market Cap
9.93
P/E
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT
EARNINGS CALL TRANSCRIPT 2018 - Q1
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Executives

Jeff Christensen - VP, IR Stuart Grimshaw - CEO Danny Chism - CFO.

Analysts

John Hecht - Jefferies Michael Cohen - Opportunistic Henry Coffey - Wedbush.

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to EZCORP First Quarter Fiscal Year 2018 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Jeff Christensen, Vice President of Investor Relations for EZCORP. Please go ahead, Jeff..

Jeff Christensen

Thank you. And good morning, everyone. During our prepared remarks, we will be referring to slides, which are available for viewing or download from our website at investors.ezcorp.com.

Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that this conference call, as well as the presentation slides contains certain forward-looking statements, regarding the Company's expected operating and financial performance for future periods. These statements are based on the Company's current expectations.

Actual results for future periods may differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements, due to a number of risk and other factors that are discussed in our annual, quarterly, and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Now, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Stuart Grimshaw.

Stuart?.

Stuart Grimshaw

Thanks Jeff. Good morning everyone, and I'd like to welcome you to the first quarter results presentation. As some of you have probably clicked through the slides already, it's been an exceptionally pleasing first quarter and really continues the momentum that we've been building on over the past few years.

As we go through the slides, you will also see that we have a very strong operating metrics across all lines of business. And as we turn to Slide 3, we can actually see how this is played out. Firstly with the - most importantly when adjusted EPS which is up 73% year-over-year.

Obviously there is some tax noise that fits around that but if you go to the profit before tax line, you’ll see the adjusted profit before taxes up 59% and 52% on a GAAP basis. That's a very strong performance over that period of time.

It was also highlighted by a strong growth in our PLO which was up 9% and from the PLO rising that much to PSC was up 11%. There was strong margin improvement particularly in the U.S. where we saw a very good return on the sales that had occurred.

And as we look through into Latin American pawn business, we can see that the PLO growth story continues with a more than doubling of the effect of having some terrific management plus increased store account with profit before taxes doubled with PLO but even on a same-store in Latin America you will see there was a strong double-digit growth which will come to which is continuously strong compounding effect that we have seen.

The U.S. pawn story is a very good one as well with profit before tax up 4% despite the continuing impacts of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma on the PLO, PSC and sales lines. The same store PLO in those unaffected stores is up 3%, and we’ll see the PLO per store relatively stable at 285,000 which is very good to our portfolio.

A lot of the momentum that's been created has been through the store acquisitions that have driven some strong earnings and as we've mentioned over many times throughout the acquisitions in Latin America, there are two of them for 112 with GuatePrenda 21 in the Northwest part of Mexico.

We also opened four stores in Latin America and we expect to open eight more in Q2. We now see a mix of 43% of our pawn stores being based in Latin America which is a high growth segment for us.

As we turn to Slide 4, we see the continued momentum that has occurred and this chart highlights the sustained and accelerating growth and earnings and the result in operating leverage as we can see as evidenced by the EBITDA to net revenue line and you can see the improving ratios were at 12% in FY '15 by the time we had the first quarter FY '18 we were at 22%.

And underneath that, that's been driven on a reasonably constant store base number until the first quarter with the acquisitions coming in. So even with the acquisitions we have been out to increase the operating leverage of the business.

And this is further evidenced on Slide 5 where we can see how that leverage has played through the various segments. And particularly in Latin America as you see for the '15 '16 and '17 years with our acquisitions the leveraged has improved from 23% to 35% and recently in this first quarter we have increased that to 38%.

The CAGR growth is very impressive at 49% through those three years also. When we look at the U.S.

pawn which is a much more mature market, we've been able to maintain that operating leverage indeed in the first quarter of this year we've increased by 100 basis points to 32% and what was a in some respect a challenging quarter with the headwinds of the hurricanes and the floods. So the leverage performance has been very strong through that.

When I turn to Slide 6, and when we look at - and Danny will run through how the pawn cycle works, we've always said that the PLO is the cornerstone of our business and we've had some very strong consistent PLO growth over that time on an absolute basis, as well as an comparative basis and even if you look at the first quarter of 2016 we have actually continued to improve that as we go through.

The slide on the right shows that despite the hurricane impact of net revenues being flat we're able to increase our profit before tax about 4% and that's been done through obviously the margin improvement, as well as some good expense control and we've got a little box in there that shows with the hurricane affected stores, their net revenue was up 3% and the PBT was up 8% which just gives you an indication of the impact that has been felt through the portfolio.

Turning now to Slide 7, I think this is a great slide and one that we’re very proud of with the performance that has occurred. The compounding growth that we've seen through this business continues and that's very pleasing.

And if you look over the last three quarters, we've got to and we’ve done a 34% in December '15 - 14% and 16% and 11% that's double-digit compounding growth over three consecutive years which is an outstanding result for the team there and it is same-store.

So that that gives you an indication of just how good the management has been on a same-store basis. And then we look at the leverage factor on the right-hand side, it is a very strong continued growth story that we are achieving. And we see this market is very important to us going forward.

With that very high level of summary, I’ll pass it over to Danny..

Danny Chism

Thanks Stuart. Good morning everyone. Let's move to Slide 8. As Stuart mentioned, this is a very good quarter for EZCORP despite lingering effects of the Q4 hurricanes on our U.S. pawn loan balance. The 53% increase in diluted earnings per share came from several sources.

We delivered growth in all areas of the operations and successfully executed the acquisition of 133 pawn stores in Latin America. This represents the eighth consecutive quarter of year-on-year earnings growth. The 9% rise in pawn loans outstanding was a significant accomplishment delivering a similar increase in net revenue.

We further leveraged this into a 52% improvement in profit before tax to just under $20 million. Included in those results is a healthy improvement in interest income following the September restructuring and the notes receivable related to Grupo Finmart.

We continue to receive timely principal and interest payments in accordance with the terms of the notes. The widely publicized U.S. tax reform act was signed into law December 22 and became effective January 1.

At the risk of putting everyone to sleep this early in the morning, I do want to provide some color around this as it will have a material positive impact on our earnings moving forward but does have one-time impact this quarter and some anomalies later in the year.

Among other things that changes the maximum federal tax rate from 35% to 21% as a company with September 30 fiscal year-end that straddles the effective date were required to apply a blended 24.5% federal rate to our earnings this entire fiscal year. The 21% federal rate will apply beginning October 1, the first ever fiscal 2019.

Partially offsetting the benefit of the lower rate is a significant reduction in the deductibility of performance-based compensation, a smaller federal benefit on state taxes and limitation on the ability to utilize foreign tax carryforwards. As foreign tax rates are now higher than the U.S.

rates, their portion of our total expense will increase limiting the improvement in our overall effective tax rate. Excluding discrete items, I expect our effective tax rate will be in the 32% to 33% range the remainder of this fiscal year and to improve about 200 basis points in future years.

Included in the current quarter are two discrete tax items. Upon signing of the New Act we revalued our net deferred tax assets to the lower federal tax rate now in effect resulting in a $2.8 million overcharge.

Partially offsetting this, we recognized $1.6 million tax benefit from the expiration of the statute of limitations on some uncertain tax positions from prior years.

In the fourth quarter this year, I expect an additional discrete charge of $2 million to $2.5 million to further revalue certain short-term deferred tax assets that will arise at the 24.5% rate and then reverse at the 21% federal rate applicable in future years. Now on the Slide 9.

This presents our results on a normalized basis after adjusting for discrete items and constant currency. The largest discrete items excluded are the tax items I just discussed. The trends are similar to the U.S. GAAP results. Acquisitions and strong organic growth drove the 9% net revenue increase.

Improvements we're seeing in pawn service charges and sales gross profit including a margin expansion on sales. Disciplined expense management and higher interest income magnified the net revenue improvement into a 73% jump in earnings per share to $0.26. This is the highest first quarter net income we've produced in five years. Slide 10% presents U.S.

pawn results adjusted for discrete items. As you know pawn loans outstanding is the most influential driver of revenue and profitability. In U.S. stores are unaffected by hurricanes, PLO was up a healthy 3% on same-store basis as Stuart had mentioned driving a similar increase in pawn service charges.

Actively managing the expense structure enabled us to leverage relatively flat net revenue into higher profit before tax. This reached $28 million for the quarter. This was the first full quarter of operations reflecting the impacts of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma on PLO pawn service charges and sales.

Following the storms, PLO recovery continues that we still expect it will be after the tax refund season before the affected areas return to a normal PLO balance. We significantly increased our sales margins in the quarter to 39% primarily with greater discipline around discounting.

However the offset was a slowdown in inventory turns, and an increase in inventory on hand particularly in jewelry and firearms which tend to retain the value fairly well. I expect sales margins will return to our typical 35% to 38% range for the full fiscal year as we continue to refine the balance of the margins and sales volume.

Looking at the graph on Page 11, you'll see U.S. pawns net revenue was flat to the prior-year reflecting continued effect of last year's hurricanes. Despite that headwind, we still delivered a 4% increase in profit before tax through effective expense control.

Slide 12 shows the accelerating growth in Latin America same-store PLO, strong execution and a higher yield drove a 17% growth in pawn service charges reflecting both organic growth and a significant contribution from acquired stores, the segment delivered 73% higher net revenue on a constant currency basis and slightly higher than that on U.S.

dollar basis. Leveraging the expense structure allowed us to more than double profit before tax to $9 million in the quarter. Latin American operations now represent 24% of total pawn profit. The acquired stores added significant net revenue and profit growth and have exceeded our expectations in the short period we own them.

We required 133 pawn stores and opened four stores in Latin America this quarter. This represents a 56% increase in pawn store count in this region. We also plan to open eight more stores in the second quarter. This market provides many attractive opportunities to grow and diversify our revenue base.

The plan is to tap those through continued organic great, new store development and acquisitions. PLO yield, inventory turns and return on earning assets all increased and merchandise margins were healthy up 100 basis points from this quarter last year. Slide 13 shows the story well.

PLO more than doubled driven by strong organic growth store acquisitions and new stores. That put us in a great position for continued significant growth in net revenue and profit. Latin America pawn segment delivered truly outstanding results. All-in-all it was a solid performance for the company this quarter with earnings improvement in U.S.

pawn in Latin America driving the 53% improvement in earnings per share. With that, I’ll hand the call back over to Stuart..

Stuart Grimshaw

Thanks Danny. Turning to Slide 14. As we discussed at the Investor Day, we will continue to work on improving the customer and employee experience and the three boxes on the slide gives you insight as to how we're looking at the operations.

Firstly with the advantage in customer experience leadership and PLO growth, the upgrading of the point-of-sale system continues. We’re now in 206 stores with 25 of those being in Mexico.

We have an analytic and customer behavior team that actually looks at all the transactions and assist the storm data managing the customer experience with relevant live data. We continuously look at customer experience and we brought the feedback to our teams, so obviously great learning experience.

And we have a lot of training, coaching and mentoring which we can see through the way that we have organized the pawn business with our district and regional managers and the spans of control which typically average for district management around seven stores.

The second one is transforming the customer and team member experience, particularly with best-in-class systems and we are currently migrating our legacies environment into the cloud-based infrastructure.

That involves moving up service which are either 12 years old, so that will give us a more efficient platform to work on which enables us to integrate acquisitions much more smoothly than would have been in the past.

Training is actually is enhanced, speed to market is enhanced and we can plug and play with the various applications that we do want to bring in.

And finally the acceleration of growth via district and acquisitions had new stores and as Danny has mentioned we've seen the shift in the balance of our stores towards Latin America and the geographic diversification as you see is enhancing the earnings profile of the company and we've been fortunate with the acquisitions to actually require a quality management team and that is going to benefit us very much in the long-term.

Turning finally to Slide 15, obviously that changed the format of the slide just to make sure everyone was right throughout the 15 slides at this time in the morning. It's very important that you are because this is actually quite an important slide about what we’ve done and why.

And I think I will start with the proven management execution because over the past three years, we've been on a journey and as we've seen on Slide 4, we have moved the company through many iterations to be in the growth phase of its operation and that is a result in accelerated earnings growth in the market that is very attractive on a regulatory basis, as well as a pure business model basis with the capacity for this intermediation is very low.

Coupled with the increased desire for cash from the credit constraint customers, this industry is a very attractive one for us to be in. We’re now in seven countries and expansion has been into the high growth Latin American markets and we are using new technologies to enable and enhance the customer experience.

And all of this has resulted in the market leadership and the key drivers of growth and particularly in the PLO as we've spent probably over the last three years emphasizing that is the cornerstone and we've consistently been able to be the market leader in achieving those growth targets.

So with those comments, I just like to close out but I think it has been a great quarter for us. We are very pleased and now we’ll open up for questions..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of John Hecht with Jefferies. Please go ahead..

John Hecht

First one. Dan you talked about sort of consolidated retail margin trends or gross margin trends. I’m wondering can you give us your trends by channel as you think we should think about them in the next three to four quarters, and what I mean by that is U.S.

retail versus Mexico retail and then the wholesale margins as well?.

Danny Chism

Yes, I wouldn't put a whole lot on the wholesale margins or the scrap margins that’s more just kind of run-of-the-mill activity and we don't typically hedge that position so that’s just moving through us that comes in, but there are larger driver the retail margins. In the U.S.

I do expect those margins to revert back into probably the 35% to 38% range that we typically target. I think we probably get a little overly disciplined in our discounting in this quarter and that's why the inventory turns a little bit. I do expect that to moderate back into that 35% to 38% range in the remainder of the year in the U.S.

we are at 39% this quarter. In Mexico, I'd expect or in Latin America I’d expect similar margins to what we saw this quarter. Obviously that will change a little bit over time as we introduce more and more general merchandise in the acquired stores in GuatePrenda, but I wouldn't expect substantial movements in those margins beyond that..

John Hecht

And then maybe for Stuart, any customer trends domestically that - Mexico is obviously very strong but domestic customers current pointing out is the U.S. customer, yes, then we had change in gold prices a little bit but we've also had some wage inflation potentially in this segment.

Are you guys seeing anything different in terms of new customer, recurring customer trends?.

Stuart Grimshaw

No I think John the biggest trend we're probably seen similar hurricane affected areas where the government payouts are continued longer than we have.

I think we'll see a return to normality once the tax credits start coming through and it’s still bit early to see but the indications are its going to be delayed beyond last year both are not so far a lot of days but any delay will change those trends for instance. Our customers use to have cash at Valentine's Day, they don’t have the cash anymore.

So, that’s change fundamentally some of the sales profile we've had over the last 12 months but typically our customers react to cash in hand pretty quickly and spend it and readjust their patent so there is nothing macro coming through that we've seen that’s impacting the business..

John Hecht

And then final question is again you give some specific details around the tax rate but clearly a big savings for you guys this year overall. How do you guys see that rolling to DC, is that mostly going to flow to the bottom line.

Do you anticipate using some of those savings to further invest in the business more rapidly anything worth noting there?.

Stuart Grimshaw

I’m not sure I should say that we changed the strategy investing. Yes, obviously we always look at our capital structure and make sure we’re putting in place what we need to continue to fuel growth. I don’t think that’s dependent on pulling the taxes.

It will have a net positive impact on us moving forward if you look historically that the effective tax rate has been more in the kind of 36% to 38% range. I expect this year to be again excluding the discrete items that introduce a little bit of noise, I’d expected it to be in probably the 32% to 33% range and then 30% to 31% moving forward.

So pretty substantial improvement in the overall rate and the reason that doesn’t go all the way down to the federal rate obviously you got to the impact of state taxes, foreign taxes, nondeductible items those types of things. I’m impressed you stayed away during the tax section this early morning..

John Hecht

We’re up and out here..

Stuart Grimshaw

Nice jump..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Michael Cohen with Opportunistic. Please go ahead..

Michael Cohen

Quickly just an update - you guys noted I think around 206 stores on the new POS just maybe if you can provide a little bit more color commentary on how some of the stores who had it longer, long guest are performing and the lifts that it's providing you and the learnings that you’ve had so far?..

Stuart Grimshaw

We probably introduced the majority of it in about October. We had a big down light on it. Still pretty early but the - what we’re finding is the transaction times are improving. The ability to process loans is improving. So, on a productivity basis it's working.

It's still too early given the noise around the hurricane there is a lot of draw any conclusions as to how that works is most of the rollout occurred in the Texas and Florida stores who are impacted by the natural disasters that did occur. So I think by the end of this quarter, we'll have be in a better position to get some learnings.

The one thing I would say is that, we probably overestimated the amount of time it takes to train people on the system. It's quite intuitive. So we’ve been able to pretty much half the time to train these people. So we’ll probably have to report a bit more by the end of this quarter..

Michael Cohen

And then just back to the tax not to sort to beat a dead horse here, if anything that you guys could do potentially to strategy that you can employ to minimize the leakage in terms of things that are nondeductible.

I think he was sort of implied certain types of employee competition, is there a way to structure that differently such that you capture the tax benefit?.

Stuart Grimshaw

Yes, we’re looking at everything. It's still pretty early. I think in this space it’s probably good to be a fast follower than a market leader. So we’ll probably watch what's happening across the board and see how it works to us doing the same thing is trying to understand how you can actually get the best advantage from the Act that’s being past.

So we’ll be watching it very closely..

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Henry Coffey with Wedbush. Please go ahead..

Henry Coffey

I've sort of been watching this from the sidelines and the developments have been extremely impressive. So one of your competitors reported this morning their legacy stores hit same-store sales of three in the U.S. you're talking about 3% same-store sales.

I know world had a kind of much higher revenue quarter after the whole progression of difficult quarters? Is there something going on in the alternative loan market that's putting a little more life into it, is it easy comps from prior periods or just really hard work at the store level?.

Stuart Grimshaw

We actually - we’re a bit different, we don’t look at our competitors on the legacy, we look on an overall basis and their number are much stronger.

What we're saying is that I think the consumer had choice with cash in their hands and I think both themselves and I am sure first cash will start seeing some more positive numbers coming through as the customer stops to want to cash leading up to the tax credit system.

So I think it's a mature market and as such you know going to experience the same growth rates we’re seeing in the Latin American areas. We always - I think if you look at our performance over the last three years, we’ve outperformed substantially on a comparative basis to what we’re doing.

And I don’t think you’re going to get super strong growth numbers out of the U.S. in the short-term but the budgets we set we try to stretch management to achieve it, but it is a mature market and as such we got to be close to a customer watch our expenses..

Henry Coffey

I guess I'm looking at it differently and saying 2% or 3% same-store sales growth or even one or 2% same-store sales growth in the U.S.

in the alternative loan market would be a huge improvement over what we’ve seen so?.

Stuart Grimshaw

Yes, what we’re trying to do is use the leverage because we’ve got the hard fixed cost base some of the alternative loan markets running on a much lower fixed cost high variable cost basis particularly online maintenance for example. Their depositions are probably a little bit different.

So when you look at the alternative loan market in particular in the unsecured I don’t know and that's the order I talk in I am secured. The charger ratio is what you’re going to look at, what pull through to the bottom line. Our bad debts what we sell in the store and we’re getting some pretty margin on that.

So, I think our business model is actually very sustainable compared to some of the other..

Operator

And I am showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the conference back to Mr. Grimshaw for his closing comments..

Stuart Grimshaw

Thanks very much, and thank you for everyone who is on the line. We appreciate the interest in our company. We thank you for your support. We've had a very strong quarter. We started to drive the earnings really low, but Danny and Jeff are available for questions later on this morning but once again thank you and have a great day..

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation and have a wonderful day. You may all disconnect..

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