Matthew Edward Smith - Amdocs Ltd. Eli Gelman - Amdocs Ltd. Tamar Rapaport-Dagim - Amdocs Ltd..
Matthew van Vliet - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. Ashwin Shirvaikar - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. Will V. Power - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. Michael H. Feldman - Bank of America Merrill Lynch Tal Liani - Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith, Inc..
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Amdocs Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference. [Technical Difficulty] (01:45-02:05).
Thank you, Carmen. Before we begin, I would like to point out that during this call we will discuss certain financial information that is not prepared in accordance with GAAP.
The company's management uses this financial information in its internal analysis in order to exclude the effect of acquisitions and other significant items that may have a disproportionate effect in a particular period.
Accordingly, management believes that isolating the effects of such events enables management and investors to consistently analyze the critical components and results of operations of the company's business and to have a meaningful comparison to prior periods.
For more information regarding our use of non-GAAP financial measures, including reconciliations of these measures, we refer you to today's earnings release, which will also be furnished with the SEC on Form 6-K. Also, this call includes information that constitutes forward-looking statements.
Although we believe the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, we can give no assurance that our expectations will be obtained or that any deviations will not be material. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause future results to differ from those anticipated.
These risks exclude, but are not limited to, the effects of general economic conditions and such other risks as discussed in our earnings release today and at greater length in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including in our Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2016, filed on December 12, 2016 and our Form 6-K furnished with the first quarter of fiscal 2017 on February 13, 2017.
Amdocs may elect to update these forward-looking statements at some point in the future. However, the company specifically disclaims any obligation to do so. Participating on the call with me today are Eli Gelman, President and Chief Executive Officer of Amdocs Management Limited; and Tamar Rapaport-Dagim, Chief Financial Officer.
With that, I'll turn it over to Eli..
the digital transformation; the integrated carrier; North American Pay TV modernization; network function virtualization; and the enterprise B2B customer. The magnitude and timing of how these engines will translate to growth in fiscal 2018 and beyond is more difficult to predict.
But the very fact that we can talk about these engines today and the accumulating data points of wins and execution of these new growth engines demonstrate our consistent ability to predict the future requirements of service providers and to prepare for them with market-leading innovation.
This innovation is an important strength of Amdocs that complements our reputation for dependable execution, and was something that we wanted to expose and emphasize through the colorful new logo in our rebrand process, which we launched in Mobile World Conference in Barcelona in February.
To wrap up, we are pleased with our progress in the first half of the fiscal year. And with the visibility provided by our record 12-month backlog, we believe we are on track to achieve our full year financial target.
This includes a diluted non-GAAP earnings per share growth of 4.5% to 8.5%, which together with our dividend yield, position us to provide expected total return to our shareholders in the mid to high-single digit in fiscal 2017. With that, I will turn the call over to Tamar..
Thank you, Eli. Second fiscal quarter revenue of $966 million was above the midpoint of our guidance range of $940 million to $980 million, including the positive impact from foreign currency fluctuation of approximately $3 million relative to the first fiscal quarter of 2017.
Our second quarter guidance range had included a negligible sequential impact from foreign currency fluctuations. Revenue performance was at midpoint of our expectations after adjusting for the foreign currency fluctuation.
Our second fiscal quarter non-GAAP operating margin was 17.2%, an increase of 10 basis points year-over-year and in line with the higher end of our long-term target range of 16.4% to 17.4%. Below the operating line, non-GAAP net interest and other expense was $0.5 million in Q2, primarily reflecting foreign exchange movements.
For forward-looking purposes, we continue to expect the non-GAAP net interest and other expense in the range of a few million dollars quarterly due to foreign currency fluctuations. Diluted non-GAAP EPS was $0.94 in Q2, above the midpoint of our guidance range of $0.90 to $0.96.
Our non-GAAP effective tax rate of 15.9% in Q2 was within our expected annual target range of 13% to 17%. Diluted GAAP EPS was $0.76 for the second fiscal quarter, above our guidance range of $0.66 to $0.74, mainly due to gains as a result of changes in fair value of certain acquisition-related liabilities. Free cash flow was $81 million in Q2.
This was comprised of cash flow from operations of approximately $107 million, less $26 million in net capital expenditures and other; and includes an annual cash bonus payment for the prior fiscal year, consistent with our guidance last quarter.
As we disclosed at our Analyst and Investor briefing in mid-December, we expect to generate free cash flow of approximately $500 million in fiscal 2017. DSO of 80 days decreased by 2 days quarter-over-quarter.
This is still slightly above our normal range and reflects timing differences between revenue recognition, the invoicing of customers and cash collection. Total unbilled receivables increased by $3 million as compared to first fiscal quarter of 2017. Our total deferred revenue, both short and long term, decreased by $13 million sequentially in Q2.
The net movement in unbilled receivables and deferred revenue reflects our high level of transformation project activity and resulting from timing differences between revenue recognition and the invoicing of customers during the second fiscal quarter.
Our cash balance at the end of the second fiscal quarter was approximately $1.1 billion, though net of short-term debt, it was $0.9 billion. We drew down $200 million of our credit facility in Q2 for short-term funding purposes, and the balance has since been repaid.
Our 12-month backlog, which includes anticipated revenue related to contracts estimated revenue for Managed Services contract, letters of intent, maintenance and estimated ongoing support activity was $3.210 billion at the end of the second fiscal quarter, up $30 million sequentially from the end of prior quarter.
During the second fiscal quarter, we repurchased $80 million of our ordinary shares under our current authorization of $750 million. We have $437 million remaining other authorization as of March 31. Now turning to our outlook, we expect revenue to be within a range of $945 million to $985 million for the third fiscal quarter of 2017.
Embedded within this guidance, we anticipate a negligible sequential impact from foreign currency fluctuations as compared to Q2.
For the full fiscal year 2017, we now expect total revenue growth of roughly 3.5% to 5.5% on a constant currency basis, which is now around the midpoint of our previous guidance for total revenue growth of 2.5% to 6.5% year-over-year.
On a reported basis, (18:30-19:02) we anticipate revenue from our Directory business in fiscal 2017 to place a drag of about 1% on total company result. As an added point of disclosure, we expect revenue from the Rest of World take a step down in Q3 before leveling off on a sequential basis in Q4.
We continue to anticipate our non-GAAP operating margin from of fiscal 2017 to be at the higher end of our long-term target range of 16.4% to 17.4%. As a reminder, operating margins may fluctuate within our long-term target range from quarter-to-quarter.
We continue to expect our non-GAAP effective tax rates to be within our target range of 13% to 17% for the full fiscal year. We expect the third fiscal quarter diluted non-GAAP EPS to be in the range of $0.93 to $0.99.
Our third fiscal quarter non-GAAP EPS guidance incorporates an expected average diluted share count of roughly 148 million shares and the likelihood of a negative impact from foreign exchange fluctuations in non-GAAP net interest and other expense lines.
We excluded the impact of incremental future share buyback activity during the third fiscal quarter as the level of activity will depend on market conditions. For the full fiscal year, we are on track to deliver diluted non-GAAP EPS of 4.5% to 8.5%. Our full year EPS outlook thus factor in expected repurchase activity over the year.
Consistent with our prior guidance, we still plan to return the majority of our free cash flow to shareholders through our ongoing share repurchases and dividend program in fiscal year 2017. With that, we can turn it back to the operator to begin our question-and-answer session..
Thank you. And our first question is from the line of Tom Roderick with Stifel. Your line is open. Tom, your line is open..
Hello? Can you hear me?.
Yes..
So, this is Matt van Vliet on for Tom. I guess, first question on the NFV opportunity. Obviously, a lot of developments with ECOMP and now the ONAP.
But can you talk about what type of revenue contribution you think this segment of the business could start providing over the next couple years? Is it 1% to 2% overall growth? How are you thinking about that sort of blending into the overall model?.
So Matt, thank you for the question. Look, it's hard to predict or give you guidance for the following years, and that's basically what we tried to convey in the prepared remarks. But let me give you some data points. The first one is that all of NFV, ONAP or ECOMP revenues are all incremental for us. We have no business in this field from the past.
It's completely new development and completely new revenue stream. We believe that over the years, this will be tens of millions of dollars, so it's not like very small projects or marginally important projects for the carriers or for us.
We believe that we are almost the only people that actually can help carriers in this transformation, because, A, because we develop the core ECOMP that turned into ONAP that is rolling as a growing standard in the industry. It's because we have both the capabilities of the product itself and the services around it.
So we believe services will be an important component of ONAP. And last but not least, I will say that as we are expanding into more and more activities and more and more carriers, we expect to learn and monetize different angles in revenues. [Technical Difficulty] (23:51-24:55) Did they hear us at all? Good..
And ladies and gentlemen, we apologize for the technical difficulties. And our next question is from the line of Ashwin Shirvaikar with Citi. Your line is open..
Hi.
Can you hear me?.
Yes, Ashwin. I hope that you could hear us as well because we are talking and talking and....
No, it has been a few times on the call, several of your prepared comments both for you and Tamar was kind of – at least I couldn't hear them. So I apologize if there is a question you already covered in your prepared remarks. I wanted to start by asking you about the geographical trends.
When you look at North America versus Europe versus rest of world, what should we expect in the next couple of quarters in terms of, perhaps, the comps for Europe getting better? What might drive there – you certainly seem to have some new wins in that region, if you can comment from a geographical standpoint on the three..
So roughly, I would say that we expect to keep on performing strongly in North America across-the-board, U.S., and Canada in general, both wireless, wireline and Pay TV, and content and the like. In Europe, we have seen more headwind in terms of currencies. And in general, I would say, it depends on the pace of transformation.
We are dealing with certain projects, and as you know, we recognize percentage of completion, so I expect it to behave more or less as it is behaving right now. I don't expect major changes there. And in the Rest of the World, it really depends on specific customers. It's not like we are losing anything into competitors, or anything in CALA or in APAC.
But some of the projects are just taking long time to mature. And also, the decisiveness of decisions are affected by the macroeconomics. So if the economy in Brazil or in Mexico, which are our two major markets, slow down, and we believe that eventually we'll get the project that we are bidding for.
But it may take longer, so it's a little bit hard for us to predict. Altogether, I would say, you should expect a similar breakout of revenue and growth that we have seen in this first half of the year..
Ashwin, just to add on that.
We mentioned that within Rest of the World, we clearly see a different behavior between APAC, continuing to grow strongly with lots of activity, both execution on deals we've been awarded with as well as new opportunities, while CALA, given the overall macro situation over there, has been slower as we expected in the beginning of the year or even a bit more so..
Understood. Understood. And Eli, I think, one of your startup comments was with regards to, perhaps, a more lenient SEC.
And I wanted to ask you, is there anything in particular you were alluding to other than the possibility of, I guess, M&A activity being more permissible? Are there things to watch out for? I figure things like net neutrality and things like that – those developments are probably a positive for you.
But any comments that you can further shed light on?.
Ashwin, it's all of the above. We talked about it a year ago in a negative way, the regulator is actually trying to get involved in many junctions of the progress of the industry, and we see a more lenient, more liberal administration now. So it's all of the above. We believe that all of a sudden, almost everything is possible.
I'm not saying it will necessarily happen, but our prediction from before is becoming more reasonable, including consolidations of certain operators among themselves, including vertical integration, that is to say that Verizon may buy into Pay TV or the other way around, including net neutrality. Mr.
Pai basically was very clear, and that they are basically canceling all the limitations around net neutrality including zero rating and bundling. This all creates dynamics and environment that CMOs can come in and try every single idea.
It creates a higher level of dynamics, entropy goes up and like the dynamics in the market, which are all good things for people like us, because we thrive on changes and on competitive landscape and all of that.
So the last thing we want is stagnation, and basically, a more lenient environment means that we will see more activities like this in every dimension. The fact that Comcast is coming in and joining Charter and making a very strong statement on wireless, you did not hear that before. So we see it in many, many dimensions.
On top of it, by the way, just to take another angle, which is not the common view, the ONAP. In the ONAP adoption, let's say, when people feel that they can have a more lenient environment, they will invest in new technologies. New technologies, in this case, could be ONAP and the network function virtualization.
So we believe that it will help us as well. So it's not only the project that we have with AT&T that will accelerate and now add income, services components and other things because they're gearing towards production. We believe that Bell Canada is obviously an exciting development for us. It's in North America. Bell is following the ONAP consortium.
When they look for help, we are more or less probably the only people in the world that I think actually have this knowledge. Of course, AT&T has it too but they are busy in implementing their own system, so that's another component. I actually think that MSOs and other carriers will also follow ONAP. So that's another angle completely different.
Just to add on the ONAP, just to finish up on that, I really believe the fact that we are now being active in several corners of the world, in Orange, which is a good representation of Europe, Canada, AT&T and a few others, means that we will enjoy the early adopters knowledge and know-how.
And we can enhance the ONAP knowledge, capabilities, services, all of the above. So that's why we're also bullish on NFV separately from that. So, it's all related..
Great. That's good to hear. Thank you..
Thank you, Ashwin..
Thank you. And our next question is from the line of Will Power with Baird. Your line is open..
Yeah, great. Thank you for taking the question. Yes. So several encouraging comments on the cable side, you alluded to a new project with Comcast. I guess I wonder whether you could provide any more color as to what you're involved with there, whether it's consumer, business, BSS, OSS, et cetera, then I have a follow-up question..
So, Will, the short answer is, I wish I could. I would tell you that these are strategic projects. These are CES technologies, so the latest and greatest that we produce. And I will tell you that this is all about the future.
I think that basically what we're trying to say, not only about Comcast, about other projects as well, this industry we have a conviction today that we were right, couple of quarters ago to say, it is transforming. It's not one company.
It's basically everybody, there are six major MSOs in North America, I believe that eventually all of them will follow, more or less, the same route. And we believe that the future enabler are being determined now. And we hope and believe that we are the one.
So specifically on Comcast, I cannot give you more data, because you have to understand that all of these projects are actually quite important in the strategy of these companies. So if they want to say something about what they're doing, how they're doing it, some of it roll over to the public information as they follow the same news that we do.
But naturally, we're starting early because of the nature of these projects, and we cannot be the people that will expose the Comcast strategy. But I think I said enough about the future and the strategic importance of these projects. And we are definitely very proud on this achievement..
Okay. And then, you alluded to some of the M&A questions, the North American revenue looks solid despite that, but there continue to be recurring rumors, as you know, regarding Sprint, T-Mobile, Dish, others.
Have you seen any evidence of a slowing at this point or is that still just conjecture that that's a possibility?.
No, it's a possibility. We are basically trying to just be as honest as possible with you because we have been through this cycle before and there's always – if there is another M&A or another, someone contemplating to do something, in the short term people will say, okay, well, let's figure out what to do first.
But in general, I think in most cases of the past, we enjoyed activities like this. And it's quite simple also to understand why, because company A buys company B or merge with them or joint venture with them. It's more activities, and obviously each one of the companies has their own challenges and ways to improve their performance.
So the combined company has a bigger topic to deal with, and if it's consolidation, or if a new service, or whatever. Now with the integrated carriers, it's another dimension because some of them is not just wireless buying wireless or cable buying cable, which was the past. Now we think about AT&T buying DIRECTV.
They need to invest in all of this infrastructure to actually monetize. The whole idea is connectivity plus – content plus video. If Comcast and Charter accelerates wireless, it's completely new domain for them. So I'm just giving you some data points why we believe that there is a good chance it will turn to be good thing for Amdocs.
There are very few people that can actually handle it. We believe there's only one actually. But the reality is that every big transaction like this may cause some short-term spasm and we've seen it before and that's why we are mentioning it. It's not because we see this data.
We see a lot of activities and as a result we see the robust performance on North America in recent quarters..
Okay. Understood. Thank you..
Thank you, Will..
Thank you. And our next question is from the line of Tal Liani with Bank of America. Your line is open..
Hi, everyone. This is Mike Feldman on for Tal. Thanks for taking my question. So just, Tamar, you narrowed your full year revenue guidance range by about 1 percentage point.
What are some of the assumptions that have changed since you provided your initial guidance? And then how come there wasn't an equivalent tightening of the range for the EPS growth estimate? And then, separately, would you be able to repeat some of the comments you made regarding the step down in Directory business? It got cut off at the time.
If not, I could always just follow up. Thanks..
Sure.
So as we are already past this first half of the year and have better visibility, both of course actual results for the first half as well as the visibility provided by our next 12 months backlog, we realized we can converge and narrow down the range, still around the same midpoint of 4.5% constant currency revenue growth for the year, but narrow the range of the top line.
And to your question about why haven't we done the same on the EPS. Naturally, if you go all the way to the EPS line, there are more factors at play, including margin, including finance line, given the continued volatility of currencies.
We do have to take into consideration that the impact of the currencies on the finance line is still at play as well as the tax. So we felt we need to keep a broader range of the EPS level. On the Directory, the comment was that we still expect, as we predicted in the beginning of the year, about a 1% drag coming from the Directory segment.
Within the year, we just added some color that the step down is happening primarily now. As we look on Q1 and Q2, they were tracking at about $17 million a quarter, and now we expect a step down to actually meet the same numbers that we guided for the full year of a 1% drag.
Therefore, when you look actually on the midpoint of our guidance for Q3, where it's about flat to the performance of the actual results of Q2, a lot of that has to do with the step down in Directory, while the core business is actually continuing to grow sequentially..
Excellent. Thank you so much..
Thank you..
Thank you. We have a follow-up from the line of Tal Liani from Bank of America..
Hi. Thank you, again. Eli, sorry, another good quarter for North America, are you seeing any impact from AT&T and Time Warner? Just wondering if North America could have actually been even stronger given all the good trends you're seeing across the region? Thanks..
Yeah, thank you. No, actually, the Time Warner component of AT&T is not something that affects current performance. It's mainly all the rest of the activities in AT&T or in Comcast or in Charter or in any other, T-Mobile, Sprint, everywhere. So no, if that had been approved, then the activity would be already in place.
Yes, potentially, that could be another interesting angle to our business. But right now, it's close to zero..
Does that answer your question, sir?.
Yeah. Thank you..
Thank you..
Thank you. And this concludes our Q&A session for today. I would like to turn the call back to Matthew Smith for his final remarks..
Thank you, Carmen, and thank you very much for everyone joining our call this evening. We do apologize for the technical issues, but of course, if you have any questions, feel free to get in touch with the Investor Relations as quickly as possible and we'll help you with anything you may have missed on the call tonight.
Again, thank you very much for joining us. Have a great evening, and with that, we'll conclude the call. Bye-bye..
And ladies and gentlemen thank you for participating in today's conference. This concludes the program. And you may all disconnect. Have a wonderful day..