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Consumer Cyclical - Gambling, Resorts & Casinos - NASDAQ - US
$ 105.725
-0.678 %
$ 7.64 B
Market Cap
18.78
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jul, 21, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one CHDN stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 106 USD, Churchill Downs Incorporated is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jul, 21, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one CHDN stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 106 USD, Churchill Downs Incorporated is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on Jul, 21, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one CHDN stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 106 USD, Churchill Downs Incorporated is HIDDEN

2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart CHDN

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$130.0$130.0$125.0$125.0$120.0$120.0$115.0$115.0$110.0$110.0$105.0$105.0$100.0$100.0$95.0$95.0$90.0$90.0$85.0$85.0Feb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '2515 Apr15 AprMay '25May '2515 May15 MayJun '25Jun '2515 Jun15 JunJul '25Jul '2515 Jul15 Jul
FINANCIALS
2.73 B REVENUE
11.07%
709 M OPERATING INCOME
25.71%
429 M NET INCOME
2.83%
773 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
27.55%
-545 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
24.07%
-197 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-152.05%
643 M REVENUE
2.95%
135 M OPERATING INCOME
6.15%
77.2 M NET INCOME
4.32%
246 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
88.74%
-80.1 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
38.10%
-148 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-735.82%
Balance Sheet Churchill Downs Incorporated
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Current Assets 412 M
Cash & Short-Term Investments 176 M
Receivables 113 M
Other Current Assets 124 M
Non-Current Assets 7 B
Long-Term Investments 0
PP&E 2.87 B
Other Non-Current Assets 4.12 B
38.79 %55.65 %Total Assets$7.4b
Current Liabilities 729 M
Accounts Payable 180 M
Short-Term Debt 8.7 M
Other Current Liabilities 540 M
Non-Current Liabilities 5.58 B
Long-Term Debt 4.84 B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 734 M
2.86 %8.57 %76.79 %11.64 %Total Liabilities$6.3b
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Churchill Downs Incorporated
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Revenue 2.73 B
Cost Of Revenue 1.8 B
Gross Profit 938 M
Operating Expenses 238 M
Operating Income 709 M
Other Expenses 280 M
Net Income 429 M
3b3b3b3b2b2b2b2b1b1b500m500m003b(2b)939m(238m)709m(280m)429mRevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
34.32% GROSS MARGIN
34.32%
25.93% OPERATING MARGIN
25.93%
15.61% NET MARGIN
15.61%
39.39% ROE
39.39%
5.76% ROA
5.76%
7.93% ROIC
7.93%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Churchill Downs Incorporated
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250m250m200m200m150m150m100m100m50m50m00(50m)(50m)(100m)(100m)20162016201720172018201820192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income 429 M
Depreciation & Amortization 205 M
Capital Expenditures -547 M
Stock-Based Compensation 36.1 M
Change in Working Capital 49.9 M
Others 58.3 M
Free Cash Flow 226 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Churchill Downs Incorporated
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for CHDN of $157 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $151 to a high of $164 .
CHDN Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
151 USD 42.82%
CHDN Average Price Target Wall Street Target
157 USD 48.18%
CHDN Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
164 USD 55.12%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
17017016016015015014014013013012012011011010010090908080Sep '24Sep '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26Jun '26Jun '26Jul '26Jul '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
0.37% DIVIDEND YIELD
0.409 USD DIVIDEND PER SHARE
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0.450000.450000.400000.400000.350000.350000.300000.300000.250000.250000.200000.200000.150000.150000.100000.100000.050000.050000.000000.000000.191670.190.220.220.253330.250.271670.270.29050.290.3110.310.33350.330.3570.360.3820.380.4090.4120152015201620162017201720182018201920192020202020212021202220222023202320242024
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5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 6
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Churchill Downs Incorporated
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
0 USD 0
Bought
1.3 M USD 3
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
Insights Into Churchill Downs (CHDN) Q2: Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics Besides Wall Street's top-and-bottom-line estimates for Churchill Downs (CHDN), review projections for some of its key metrics to gain a deeper understanding of how the company might have fared during the quarter ended June 2025. zacks.com - 1 week ago
Churchill Downs (CHDN) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth Churchill Downs (CHDN) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations. zacks.com - 1 week ago
Churchill Downs Incorporated Announces Definitive Agreements to Acquire a Majority of Casino Salem Project in New Hampshire LOUISVILLE, Ky., July 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Churchill Downs Incorporated (Nasdaq: CHDN) (the “Company”, “CDI”, “we”) announced today that it has signed definitive agreements to acquire a majority of the outstanding equity interests (the “Salem Transaction”) of a Salem, New Hampshire joint venture (“Casino Salem”) with the right to develop a charitable gaming, entertainment and dining destination featuring historical horse racing machines (“HRMs”). globenewswire.com - 2 weeks ago
Churchill Downs Incorporated 2025 Second Quarter Financial Results Conference Call Invitation LOUISVILLE, Ky., June 11, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Churchill Downs Incorporated (“CDI” or “the Company”) announced today that the Company will release second quarter 2025 financial results after the market closes on Wednesday, July 23, 2025, and host a related conference call to discuss the quarter on Thursday, July 24, 2025, at 9 a.m. ET. globenewswire.com - 1 month ago
Churchill Downs: Strong Buy Driven By Margin Expansion And Capital Discipline We initiate on Churchill Downs Incorporated with a Strong Buy rating, based on a unique combination of margin expansion, capital discipline, and high conviction in above-consensus earnings growth. Our implied valuation is supported by a PT of $131 per share, based on 18x FY26E forward P/E multiple. We estimate FY25E diluted EPS of $6.45 and FY26E diluted EPS of $7.30, which represents 13% annualized growth, and is meaningfully ahead of consensus. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Sovereignty Wins the 151st Running of the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve New All-Time Handle Record Set for the Kentucky Derby Race, Kentucky Derby Day Program, and Kentucky Derby Week Races New All-Time Handle Record Set for the Kentucky Derby Race, Kentucky Derby Day Program, and Kentucky Derby Week Races globenewswire.com - 2 months ago
Good Cheer Claims the Lilies for the 151st Running of the Longines Kentucky Oaks LOUISVILLE, Ky., May 02, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Churchill Downs Incorporated (Nasdaq: CHDN) (the "Company", "CDI", "we") announced Good Cheer captured the Lilies in the 151st running of the Longines Kentucky Oaks in a field of 13 and sloppy track conditions. Under mostly cloudy skies, more than 100,000 excited racegoers gathered to watch America's premier race for 3-year-old fillies. globenewswire.com - 2 months ago
The best Kentucky Derby bet may actually be investing in Churchill Downs Churchill Downs Incorporated is the owner of the track where the famed namesake race is run —and some analysts say its stock has plenty of upside right now marketwatch.com - 2 months ago
Kentucky Derby runs tomorrow, but planned $1B revamp of Churchill Downs is on hold Top racehorses will run in the Kentucky Derby on Saturday, but a planned nearly $1 billion revamp of facilities at the Churchill Downs racetrack that hosts the famous race is on hold. foxbusiness.com - 2 months ago
Churchill Downs CEO says interest in the Kentucky Derby is strong despite global uncertainty Churchill Downs has paused a $900 million capital improvement project due to global uncertainty. CEO Bill Carstanjen said this year's Kentucky Derby on Saturday is on pace to match last year's in terms of demand. cnbc.com - 2 months ago
Churchill Downs Stock: Could Tariff Fears Dampen Derby Gains? Churchill Downs Inc. NASDAQ: CHDN delivered record revenue and solid earnings in the just-ended quarter. However, some unexpected news about a previously announced renovation is causing the stock to drop more than 16% in after-hours trading. marketbeat.com - 3 months ago
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ:CHDN ) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 24, 2025 9:00 AM ET Company Participants Sam Ullrich - Vice President, Investor Relations Bill Carstanjen - Chief Executive Officer Bill Mudd - President and Chief Operating Officer Marcia Dall - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Chad Beynon - Macquarie Barry Jonas - Truist David Katz - Jefferies Jordan Bender - Citizens Daniel Guglielmo - Capital One Securities Jeff Stantial - Stifel Joe Stauff - Susquehanna Ben Chaiken - Mizuho Shaun Kelley - Bank of America Brandt Montour - Barclays Operator Good day, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Churchill Downs Inc. 2025 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. seekingalpha.com - 3 months ago
8. Profile Summary

Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
MARKET CAP $ 7.64 B
Dividend Yield 0.37%
Description Churchill Downs Incorporated operates as a racing, online wagering, and gaming entertainment company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, TwinSpires, and Gaming. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated three pari-mutuel gaming entertainment venues with approximately 3,050 historical racing machines (HRMs) in Kentucky; TwinSpires, an online wagering platform for horse racing, sports, and iGaming; nine retail sportsbooks; and casino gaming in eight states with approximately 11,000 slot machines and video lottery terminals, and 200 table games. It also offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data. In addition, the company manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, off-track betting facilities, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
Contact 600 North Hurstbourne Parkway, Louisville, KY, 40222 https://www.churchilldownsincorporated.com
IPO Date March 29, 1993
Employees 6480
Officers Mr. Jon E. Rauch Vice President & Chief Accounting Officer Tonya Abeln Vice President of Corporate Communications Mr. William E. Mudd President & Chief Operating Officer Mr. Bradley K. Blackwell J.D. Executive Vice President, General Counsel & Secretary Ms. Maureen Adams Executive Vice President of Gaming Operations Sam Ullrich Vice President of Investor Relations Mr. William C. Carstanjen Chief Executive Officer & Director Mr. Nate Simon Senior Vice President & Chief Technology Officer Ms. Marcia Ann Dall CPA Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer Mr. Jason Sauer Senior Vice President of Corporate Development