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Healthcare - Medical - Healthcare Information Services - NASDAQ - US
$ 11.34
-11 %
$ 1.83 B
Market Cap
-142.12
P/E
1. INTRINSIC VALUE

This DCF valuation model was last updated on May, 7, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one CERT stock under the worst case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 11.3 USD, Certara, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on May, 7, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one CERT stock under the base case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 11.3 USD, Certara, Inc. is HIDDEN

This DCF valuation model was last updated on May, 7, 2025.

The intrinsic value of one CERT stock under the best case scenario is HIDDEN Compared to the current market price of 11.3 USD, Certara, Inc. is HIDDEN

2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Price Chart CERT

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$15.0$15.0$14.0$14.0$13.0$13.0$12.0$12.0$11.0$11.0$10.0$10.0$9.0$9.015 Nov15 NovDec '24Dec '2415 Dec15 DecJan '25Jan '2515 Jan15 JanFeb '25Feb '2515 Feb15 FebMar '25Mar '2515 Mar15 MarApr '25Apr '2515 Apr15 AprMay '25May '25
FINANCIALS
385 M REVENUE
8.70%
-1.73 M OPERATING INCOME
95.75%
-12.1 M NET INCOME
78.23%
80.5 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-2.77%
-112 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
-41.25%
-21 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-122.40%
106 M REVENUE
5.62%
7.62 M OPERATING INCOME
26.99%
4.74 M NET INCOME
-27.89%
17.4 M OPERATING CASH FLOW
-64.85%
-5.77 M INVESTING CASH FLOW
94.06%
-14 M FINANCING CASH FLOW
-974.14%
Balance Sheet Certara, Inc.
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Current Assets 311 M
Cash & Short-Term Investments 179 M
Receivables 119 M
Other Current Assets 12.6 M
Non-Current Assets 1.26 B
Long-Term Investments 0
PP&E 16 M
Other Non-Current Assets 1.25 B
11.38 %7.56 %79.25 %Total Assets$1.6b
Current Liabilities 146 M
Accounts Payable 3.5 M
Short-Term Debt 8.31 M
Other Current Liabilities 134 M
Non-Current Liabilities 370 M
Long-Term Debt 304 M
Other Non-Current Liabilities 66.8 M
26.00 %58.78 %12.93 %Total Liabilities$516.4m
EFFICIENCY
Earnings Waterfall Certara, Inc.
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Revenue 385 M
Cost Of Revenue 155 M
Gross Profit 231 M
Operating Expenses 232 M
Operating Income -1.73 M
Other Expenses 10.3 M
Net Income -12.1 M
400m400m350m350m300m300m250m250m200m200m150m150m100m100m50m50m00(50m)(50m)385m(155m)231m(232m)(2m)(10m)(12m)RevenueRevenueCost Of RevenueCost Of RevenueGross ProfitGross ProfitOperating ExpensesOperating ExpensesOperating IncomeOperating IncomeOther ExpensesOther ExpensesNet IncomeNet Income
RATIOS
59.88% GROSS MARGIN
59.88%
-0.45% OPERATING MARGIN
-0.45%
-3.13% NET MARGIN
-3.13%
-1.14% ROE
-1.14%
-0.77% ROA
-0.77%
-0.08% ROIC
-0.08%
FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
Free Cash Flow Analysis Certara, Inc.
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90m90m80m80m70m70m60m60m50m50m40m40m30m30m20m20m10m10m0020192019202020202021202120222022202320232024202420252025
Net Income -12.1 M
Depreciation & Amortization 68 M
Capital Expenditures -1.62 M
Stock-Based Compensation 34.8 M
Change in Working Capital 0
Others 2.4 M
Free Cash Flow 78.8 M
3. WALL STREET ANALYSTS ESTIMATES
Wall Street Analysts Price Targets Certara, Inc.
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Wall Street analysts predict an average 1-year price target for CERT of $15 , with forecasts ranging from a low of $13 to a high of $16 .
CERT Lowest Price Target Wall Street Target
13 USD 14.64%
CERT Average Price Target Wall Street Target
15 USD 32.28%
CERT Highest Price Target Wall Street Target
16 USD 41.09%
Price
Max Price Target
Min Price Target
Average Price Target
18181717161615151414131312121111101099Jun '24Jun '24Jul '24Jul '24Aug '24Aug '24Oct '24Oct '24Nov '24Nov '2420252025Feb '25Feb '25Apr '25Apr '25Jun '25Jun '25Jul '25Jul '25Aug '25Aug '25Oct '25Oct '25Nov '25Nov '2520262026Feb '26Feb '26Apr '26Apr '26
4. DIVIDEND ANALYSIS
5. COMPETITION
slide 2 of 6
6. Ownership
Insider Ownership Certara, Inc.
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Sold
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
638 K USD 2
9-12 MONTHS
0 USD 0
Bought
0 USD 0
0-3 MONTHS
0 USD 0
3-6 MONTHS
0 USD 0
6-9 MONTHS
0 USD 0
9-12 MONTHS
7. News
Certara, Inc. (CERT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ:CERT ) Q1 2025 Results Conference Call May 5, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants David Deuchler - Investor Relations, Gilmartin Group LLC William Feehery - Chief Executive Officer John Gallagher - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Dan Clark - Leerink Partners Joe Vruwink - Baird Scott Schoenhaus - KeyBanc Capital Markets David Windley - Jefferies Dan Leonard - UBS Jeff Garro - Stephens Christine Rains - William Blair Constantine Davides - Citizens Operator Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Certara First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. seekingalpha.com - 2 weeks ago
Certara, Inc. (CERT) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates Certara, Inc. (CERT) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.14 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.13 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.10 per share a year ago. zacks.com - 2 weeks ago
Certara Reports First Quarter 2025 Financial Results RADNOR, Pa., May 05, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Certara, Inc. (Nasdaq: CERT), a global leader in model-informed drug development, today reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. globenewswire.com - 2 weeks ago
Certara to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences RADNOR, Pa., April 29, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Certara, Inc. (Nasdaq: CERT), a global leader in model-informed drug development, today announced that Company management will participate in the following investor conferences: globenewswire.com - 2 weeks ago
Certara, Inc. (CERT) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy? Certara (CERT) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations. zacks.com - 3 weeks ago
3 Momentum Stocks That Could Soar Post-Market Volatility While the impact of unanticipated tariff policy changes in early April was market-wide, the recovery has been less even. Despite a major rebound following the sell-off, some firms have been sluggish to reclaim lost ground. marketbeat.com - 4 weeks ago
Certara Unveils $100 Million Buyback Plan In Better-Than-Expected Preliminary Earnings Report Certara, Inc. CERT on Monday announced expected revenue and bookings for the first quarter. benzinga.com - 1 month ago
Certara Launches Non-Animal Navigator™ Solution to Help Drug Developers Reduce Reliance on Animal Testing RADNOR, Pa., April 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Certara, Inc. (Nasdaq: CERT), a global leader in model-informed drug development, today announced the launch of its Non-Animal Navigator™ solution designed to help biopharmaceutical companies lead the transition ignited by the FDA's Roadmap to Reducing Animal Testing in Preclinical Safety Studies. globenewswire.com - 1 month ago
Buy Certara After The FDA Announcement The FDA's phase-out of animal testing for monoclonal antibody therapies boosts Certara's growth prospects, as evidenced by a 15% stock jump. Certara's recently posted a 14.1% revenue increase Y/Y, with significant contributions from biosimulation and Chemaxon businesses. Certara's cautious AI investments align with the FDA's regulatory changes, enhancing its end-to-end biosimulation offerings from drug discovery to clinical trials. seekingalpha.com - 1 month ago
Certara (CERT) Soars 8.0%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock? Certara (CERT) witnessed a jump in share price last session on above-average trading volume. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions for the stock doesn't suggest further strength down the road. zacks.com - 1 month ago
What's Going On With Charles River, Certara, Simulations Plus Stocks On Friday? The U.S. Food and Drug Administration announced a major shift in how monoclonal antibody therapies and other drugs are evaluated, emphasizing a transition from traditional animal testing. benzinga.com - 1 month ago
8. Profile Summary

Certara, Inc. CERT

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COUNTRY US
INDUSTRY Medical - Healthcare Information Services
MARKET CAP $ 1.83 B
Dividend Yield 0.00%
Description Certara, Inc. provides software products and technology-enabled services to customers for biosimulation in drug discovery, preclinical and clinical research, regulatory submissions, and market access. It offers medicines to patients using biosimulation software, technology, and services to transform drug discovery and development. The company also provides related technology-enabled services to guide its customers' new drugs through the regulatory submission process and into the market. Its technology-enabled services include mechanistic biosimulation, empirical biosimulation, drug development and regulatory strategy, clinical pharmacology, model-based meta-analysis, regulatory writing and medical communications, regulatory operations, and market access. Further, company offers software, comprising mechanistic biosimulation platform, empirical PK/PD biosimulation platform, data standardization and compliance software, scientific informatics platform, clinical outcomes databases for biosimulation, authoring and management of regulatory submissions platform, and market access communication platform. The company serves biopharmaceutical companies, and academic and government institutions. It has operations in the United States, Canada, Spain, Luxembourg, Portugal, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, the Netherlands, Denmark, Switzerland, Italy, Poland, Japan, the Philippines, India, Australia, and China. Certara Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey.
Contact 100 Overlook Center, Princeton, NJ, 08540 https://www.certara.com
IPO Date Dec. 11, 2020
Employees 1487
Officers Mr. John E. Gallagher III SVice President, Principal Accounting Officer & Chief Financial Officer Mr. Leif E. Pedersen President & Chief Commercial Officer Mr. Daniel D. Corcoran Senior Vice President & General Counsel Dr. Frederic Yves Bois Ph.D., Pharm.D. Senior Scientific Advisor, Head of Mechanistic Modeling & Member of Simcyp Advisory Board Dr. William F. Feehery Ph.D. Chief Executive Officer & Director Dr. Robert P. Aspbury Ph.D. President of Certara Predictive Technologies Ms. Sheila Rocchio MBA Chief Marketing Officer Mr. Ron DiSantis Senior Vice President of Corporate Development Ms. Rona Anhalt Chief Human Resources Officer Dr. David Mitchell Ph.D. Senior Vice President of Strategic Engagement