The Travelers Companies, Inc.

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

TRVยทNYSE

$289.95

+0.35%
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & Casualty

The Travelers Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides a range of commercial and personal property, and casualty insurance products and services to businesses, government units, associations, and individuals in the United states and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Business Insurance, Bond & Specialty Insurance, and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers workers' compensation, commercial automobile and property, general liability, commercial multi-peril, employers' liability, public and product liability, professional indemnity, marine, aviation, onshore and offshore energy, construction, terrorism, personal accident, and kidnap and ransom insurance products. This segment operates through select accounts, which serve small businesses; commercial accounts that serve mid-sized businesses; national accounts, which serve large companies; and national property and other that serve large and mid-sized customers, commercial trucking industry, and agricultural businesses, as well as markets and distributes its products through brokers, wholesale agents, and program managers. The Bond & Specialty Insurance segment provides surety, fidelity, management and professional liability, and other property and casualty coverages and related risk management services through independent agencies and brokers. The Personal Insurance segment offers property and casualty insurance covering personal risks, primarily automobile and homeowners insurance to individuals through independent agencies and brokers. The Travelers Companies, Inc. was founded in 1853 and is based in New York, New York.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$61.66B
EPS27.8400
P/E Ratio10.41
Earnings Date07/16/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 10.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 10.4, earnings yield +9.6%, momentum +0.4%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +19.1%, ROIC +12.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +12.9%, ROE +19.1%, ROIC +12.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +77.1%, momentum +0.4%, net margin +12.9%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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The Travelers Companies, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

TRV ยท NYSE
Current Price
$289.95
EPS (TTM)
$34.13

Performance Analysis

EPS Growth

+48.6%

Strong earnings growth indicates robust business expansion and improving profitability.

Price-EPS Relationship

Aligned

Stock price is moving in line with earnings growthโ€”a healthy sign of fundamental-driven valuation.

Stock Price Change

+5.7%

Over the 1Y period, stock price has increased by 5.7%.

P/E Ratio (TTM)

10.4x

Relatively low P/E may indicate undervaluation or lower growth expectations.

Key Insight

Strong earnings growth (+48.6%) is outpacing price appreciation (+5.7%), potentially indicating an attractive entry point as the market may not have fully recognized the improving fundamentals.

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

The Travelers Companies, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

TRV ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that TRV has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $289.95, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for The Travelers Companies, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $289.95
3Y+134.0%
5Y+164.0%
10Y+168.0%
3Y+32.0%
5Y+53.0%
10Y+77.0%
3Y+121.0%
5Y+133.0%
10Y+109.0%
3Y+64.0%
5Y+63.0%
10Y+137.0%
3Y+64.0%
5Y+63.0%
10Y+137.0%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+23.0%
10Y+43.0%
The Travelers Companies, Inc.

The Travelers Companies, Inc. Profit Bridge

TRV ยท NYSE
Revenue48.83B
Cost of Goods Sold (27.22B)
Gross Profit21.61B
Operating Expenses (13.81B)
Operating Income7.80B
Interest Expense (425.00M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income7.80B
Income Tax (1.51B)
Net Income6.29B
Net Income
6.29B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

44.3%

Strong gross margins indicate healthy pricing and efficient production or service delivery.

Operating Margin

16.0%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

12.9%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

19.3%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Room for improvement: Moderate profitability with opportunities to enhance margins through better cost management or pricing strategy.

44.25%
Gross Profit Margin
66%
3Y+91.0%
5Y+75.0%
10Y+43.0%
15.97%
Operating Profit Margin
20%
3Y+76.0%
5Y+58.0%
10Y-
12.88%
Net Profit Margin
20%
3Y+67.0%
5Y+53.0%
10Y+18.0%
19.12%
Return on Equity
7%
3Y+45.0%
5Y+107.0%
10Y+47.0%
4.38%
Return on Assets
17%
3Y+78.0%
5Y+89.0%
10Y+46.0%
12.03%
Return on Invested Capital
-109%
3Y-117.0%
5Y+400.0%
10Y+249.0%
TRV

The Travelers Companies, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

TRV ยท NYSE
Net Income6.29B
Depreciation & Amortization680.00M
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital-4.33B
Others7.96B
Capital Expenditures0.00
Free Cash Flow10.61B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

168.7%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

FCF Growth Trend

+16.9%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$4.33B

Moderate working capital outflow. Typical for growing businesses, but ensure it's supporting revenue growth, not inefficiency.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

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The Travelers Companies, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

TRV ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents0.00
Net Receivables11.42B
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets11 B
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets4.39B
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets0
Total Assets
142.31B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

3.45x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

11 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

8% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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The Travelers Companies, Inc. Street Expectations Map

TRV ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that TRV stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 314.80, with estimates ranging from a low of 304.00 to a high of 322.00.

Lowest Target
304.00
4.85%
Consensus Target
314.80
8.57%
Highest Target
322.00
11.05%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 314.80, with estimates ranging from a low of 304.00 to a high of 322.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+8.6%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

5.7% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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The Travelers Companies, Inc. Insider Positioning

TRV ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $68.22M worth of TRV shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

19.1K

5.88M

Net Activity

-5.9M

-$5.88M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

126.3K

37.56M

Net Activity

-37.6M

-$37.56M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

42.8K

12.10M

Net Activity

-12.1M

-$12.10M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

47.1K

12.68M

Net Activity

-12.7M

-$12.68M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
FDS

Frey Daniel S.

Officer: Evp & Chief Financial Officer

33.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$9.35M

2
OM

Olivo Maria

Officer: Evp, Erm & Chief Risk Officer

29.7K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$8.95M

3
KMF

Klein Michael Frederick

Officer: Evp & President, Personal Ins.

27.9K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$7.99M

4
SAD

Schnitzer Alan D

Director, Officer: Chairman And Ceo

26.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$7.80M

5
TGC

Toczydlowski Gregory C

Officer: Evp & President, Business Ins.

23.7K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$6.72M

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $68.22M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$5.88M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.38%
Dividend Yield
3Y-30.0%
5Y-33.0%
10Y-33.0%
ย 

trv Dividend History

TRV
10Y CAGR +6%
Latest $1.25
Annual $5.65
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +14%