Northpointe Bancshares, Inc.

Northpointe Bancshares, Inc.

NPBยทNYSE

$16.85

-3.7%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Northpointe Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Northpointe Bank provides various banking products and services in the United States. It operates through two segments: Mortgage Purchase Program and Retail Banking. The company offers digital deposit banking, such as noninterest-bearing accounts, savings, money-market demand accounts, and certificates of deposits; personal and business banking; and health saving accounts; home loans; mortgage purchase program; residential mortgage lending; and custodial deposit services. Northpointe Bancshares, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Grand Rapids, Michigan.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$253.35M
EPS4.9200
P/E Ratio3.42
Earnings Date07/28/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 3.4).

Valuation inputs: P/E 3.4, earnings yield +29.2%, momentum -3.7%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +14.7%, ROIC -2.1%).

Profitability stack: net margin +17.7%, ROE +14.7%, ROIC -2.1%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +91.9%, momentum -3.7%, net margin +17.7%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Northpointe Bancshares, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

NPB ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Northpointe Bancshares, Inc.

Northpointe Bancshares, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

NPB ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that NPB has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $16.85, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Northpointe Bancshares, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $16.85
3Y+435.0%
5Y-39.0%
10Y-39.0%
3Y+45.0%
5Y-69.0%
10Y-69.0%
3Y+259.0%
5Y-82.0%
10Y-82.0%
3Y-156.0%
5Y-90.0%
10Y-90.0%
3Y-150.0%
5Y-90.0%
10Y-90.0%
3Y+72.0%
5Y+625.0%
10Y+625.0%
Northpointe Bancshares, Inc.

Northpointe Bancshares, Inc. Profit Bridge

NPB ยท NYSE
Revenue471.18M
Cost of Goods Sold (231.56M)
Gross Profit239.62M
Operating Expenses (129.23M)
Operating Income110.39M
Interest Expense (229.47M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income110.39M
Income Tax (26.98M)
Net Income83.41M
Net Income
83.41M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

50.9%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

23.4%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

17.7%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

24.4%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

50.86%
Gross Profit Margin
6%
3Y-35.0%
5Y-49.0%
10Y-49.0%
23.43%
Operating Profit Margin
26%
3Y+125.0%
5Y+132.0%
10Y+132.0%
17.70%
Net Profit Margin
25%
3Y+147.0%
5Y-42.0%
10Y-42.0%
14.66%
Return on Equity
290%
3Y+1735.0%
5Y-73.0%
10Y-73.0%
1.19%
Return on Assets
-67%
3Y+108.0%
5Y-98.0%
10Y-98.0%
-2.13%
Return on Invested Capital
-158%
3Y-408.0%
5Y-112.0%
10Y-112.0%
NPB

Northpointe Bancshares, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

NPB ยท NYSE
Net Income83.41M
Depreciation & Amortization0.00
Stock-Based Compensation0.00
Change in Working Capital26.09M
Others-65.20M
Capital Expenditures-2.77M
Free Cash Flow41.53M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

49.8%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

6.2%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+121.4%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

+$26.09M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

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Northpointe Bancshares, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

NPB ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents487.62M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets493 M
Property, Plant & Equipment27.39M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets1.37M
Long-Term Investments6.79B
Other Non-Current Assets-6.79B
Total Non-Current Assets27 M
Total Assets
7.40B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

11.54x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

493 M

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

7% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

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Northpointe Bancshares, Inc. Street Expectations Map

NPB ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that NPB stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 20.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 20.00.

Lowest Target
20.00
18.69%
Consensus Target
20.00
18.69%
Highest Target
20.00
18.69%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 20.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 20.00 to a high of 20.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+18.7%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Northpointe Bancshares, Inc. Insider Positioning

NPB ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $1.51M and sold $2.38M worth of NPB shares, resulting in $868K of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

50.0K

857.28K

Sold

64.6K

1.14M

Net Activity

-279K

-$279K

3-6 Months

Bought

38.2K

645.04K

Sold

3.1K

55.84K

Net Activity

+589K

+$589K

6-9 Months

Bought

500

8.29K

Sold

65.2K

1.19M

Net Activity

-1.2M

-$1.18M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

1
WCA

Williams Charles Alan

Director, 10 Percent Owner, Officer: Chairman & Ceo

87.7K sharesโ€ข4 transactions

$1.49M

2
LDF

Lawrence David F.

Director

1.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$17K

Top Sellers

1
HDS

Hooker David Stevens

Director

72.2K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.31M

2
DRJ

Dean Richard Jeffery

Director

57.6K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.01M

3
BAM

Butler Amy M

Officer: Evp, National Sales

3.1K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$56K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Slightly bearish with $868K net selling. Selling modestly exceeds buying, which could be routine diversification rather than concern.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.64:1

Moderately negative ratio. Selling is roughly double the buying, which may be routine or signal caution.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$279K

Negative recent trend with net selling. Insiders have reduced positions in recent months, which could signal caution.

Insider Participation

Moderate Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. More insiders selling than buying suggests cautious or negative sentiment.

0.14%
Dividend Yield
-86%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

npb Dividend History

NPB
10Y CAGR +0%
Latest $0.025
Annual $0.125
Stable dividend payments
Last Period: +0%