$16.39
-11%LendingClub Corporation, operates as a bank holding company for LendingClub Bank, National Association that provides range of financial products and services through a technology-driven platform in the United States. The company provides commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, small business, and equipment loans, as well as leases equipment; and unsecured personal and auto, patient finance, and education finance loans. It also operates an online lending marketplace platform that connects borrowers and investors. LendingClub Corporation was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation
Base year metrics used for projections
Forecast period and terminal assumptions
Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share
Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$2.5B | -$2.4B | -$2.2B | -$2.1B | -$1.9B | -$1.8B | -$1.7B | -$1.6B | -$1.5B | -$1.4B |
| Maintenance CapEx | -$26.2M | -$24.5M | -$22.8M | -$21.3M | -$19.9M | -$18.6M | -$17.3M | -$16.2M | -$15.1M | -$14.1M |
| Owner Earnings | -$2.6B | -$2.4B | -$2.2B | -$2.1B | -$2.0B | -$1.8B | -$1.7B | -$1.6B | -$1.5B | -$1.4B |
| Discount Factor | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.681 | 0.630 | 0.583 | 0.540 | 0.500 | 0.463 |
| Present Value | -$2.4B | -$2.1B | -$1.8B | -$1.5B | -$1.3B | -$1.1B | -$993.0M | -$858.3M | -$741.8M | -$641.2M |
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.