Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.

KNSLยทNYSE

$290.20

+0.47%
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & Casualty

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc., a specialty insurance company, provides property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company's commercial lines offerings include construction, small business, excess and general casualty, commercial property, allied health, life sciences, energy, environmental, health care, inland marine, public entity, and commercial insurance, as well as product, professional, and management liability insurance. It markets and sells its insurance products in all 50 states, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands primarily through a network of independent insurance brokers. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$6.69B
EPS21.7600
P/E Ratio13.34
Earnings Date07/23/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 13.3).

Valuation inputs: P/E 13.3, earnings yield +7.5%, momentum +0.5%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is strong (ROE +25.7%, ROIC +23.0%).

Profitability stack: net margin +26.9%, ROE +25.7%, ROIC +23.0%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile looks controlled across current risk inputs.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +67.6%, momentum +0.5%, net margin +26.9%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

knsl

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

KNSL ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

KNSL ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that KNSL has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $290.2, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Kinsale Capital Group, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $290.2
3Y+212.0%
5Y+449.0%
10Y+1627.0%
3Y+123.0%
5Y+307.0%
10Y+1223.0%
3Y+217.0%
5Y+470.0%
10Y+1825.0%
3Y+87.0%
5Y+273.0%
10Y+1315.0%
3Y+80.0%
5Y+301.0%
10Y+1253.0%
3Y+120.0%
5Y+291.0%
10Y+884.0%
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Profit Bridge

KNSL ยท NYSE
Revenue1.87B
Cost of Goods Sold (890.69M)
Gross Profit983.30M
Operating Expenses (348.99M)
Operating Income634.30M
Interest Expense (10.65M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income634.30M
Income Tax (130.69M)
Net Income503.61M
Net Income
503.61M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

52.5%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

33.8%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

26.9%

Exceptional profitability. The company converts a significant portion of revenue to bottom-line earnings.

Effective Tax Rate

20.6%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

52.47%
Gross Profit Margin
22%
3Y+53.0%
5Y+70.0%
10Y-48.0%
33.85%
Operating Profit Margin
4%
3Y+45.0%
5Y+55.0%
10Y+21.0%
26.87%
Net Profit Margin
3%
3Y+42.0%
5Y+40.0%
10Y+45.0%
25.70%
Return on Equity
-8%
3Y+20.0%
5Y+67.0%
10Y+106.0%
8.33%
Return on Assets
-2%
3Y+44.0%
5Y+46.0%
10Y+96.0%
22.98%
Return on Invested Capital
-7%
3Y+37.0%
5Y-89.0%
10Y+428.0%
KNSL

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

KNSL ยท NYSE
Net Income503.61M
Depreciation & Amortization5.83M
Stock-Based Compensation17.88M
Change in Working Capital579.29M
Others-63.22M
Capital Expenditures-53.69M
Free Cash Flow990.05M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

196.6%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

5.1%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+4.0%

Flat FCF growth. Stable but not expandingโ€”monitor for signs of business maturity or temporary headwinds.

Working Capital Impact

+$579.29M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

KNSL ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents223.26M
Net Receivables571.82M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets3 B
Property, Plant & Equipment0.00
Goodwill & Intangible Assets122.70M
Long-Term Investments2.53B
Other Non-Current Assets97.95M
Total Non-Current Assets3 B
Total Assets
6.22B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.85x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

2.16x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

-617789000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

55% Current

Balanced asset mix between current and non-current assets, typical of many stable businesses.

Financial Health Insight

Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.

knsl

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Street Expectations Map

KNSL ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that KNSL stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 433.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 433.00 to a high of 433.00.

Lowest Target
433.00
49.21%
Consensus Target
433.00
49.21%
Highest Target
433.00
49.21%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 433.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 433.00 to a high of 433.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+49.2%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

knsl

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Insider Positioning

KNSL ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $37K and sold $5.08M worth of KNSL shares, resulting in $5.05M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

2.0K

595.10K

Net Activity

-595K

-$595K

3-6 Months

Bought

94

37.22K

Sold

10.1K

3.80M

Net Activity

-3.8M

-$3.77M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

1.4K

683.05K

Net Activity

-683K

-$683K

Top Buyers

1
SGM

Share Gregory M

Director

94 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$37K

Top Sellers

1
PBP

Petrucelli Bryan P.

Officer: Evp, Cfo And Treasurer

5.1K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.93M

2
RFLJ

Russell Frederick L. Jr.

Director

4.8K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.82M

3
SDD

Schnupp Diane D.

Officer: Evp, Chief Information Officer

1.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$660K

4
KMP

Kehoe Michael P

Director, Officer: Chairman President And Ceo

1.8K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$541K

5
ASK

Allibhai Salmaan K.

Officer: Chief Analytics & Tech Officer

250 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$78K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $5.05M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.01:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$595K

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.07%
Dividend Yield
71%
3Y+58.0%
5Y+11.0%
10Y-
ย 

knsl Dividend History

KNSL
10Y CAGR +17%
Latest $0.25
Annual $1.01
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%