Kingsway Financial Services Inc.

Kingsway Financial Services Inc.

KFSยทNYSE

$10.23

-0.098%
Consumer CyclicalAuto - Dealerships

Kingsway Financial Services Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the extended warranty business services, asset management, and real estate businesses. The company operates through three segments: Extended Warranty, Leased Real Estate, and Kingsway Search Xcelerator. The Extended Warranty segment markets, sells, and administers vehicle service agreements and related products for new and used automobiles, motorcycles, and ATVs. This segment also sells new home warranty products, as well as offers uninsured warrant administration services to homebuilders and homeowners; markets and distributes warranty products to manufacturers, distributors, and installers of heating, ventilation and air conditioning, standby generator, commercial LED lighting, and commercial refrigeration equipment; and provides equipment breakdown and maintenance support services to companies. The Leased Real Estate segment owns a parcel of real property consisting of approximately 192 acres located in the State of Texas. The Kingsway Search Xcelerator offers outsourced finance and human resources consulting services, including operational accounting, such as bookkeeping, accounting, financial reporting, and analysis and strategic finance services; technical accounting comprising initial public offerings, SEC reporting, and international consolidation services; human resources, workforce management, and compliance support services; and advisory services. The company offers its products and services through credit unions, dealers, homebuilders, and consumers. Kingsway Financial Services Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Itasca, Illinois.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$292.84M
EPS-0.4300
P/E Ratio-34.92
Earnings Date08/06/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

Medium confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E -34.9).

Valuation inputs: P/E -34.9, earnings yield N/A, momentum -0.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE -34.2%, ROIC -2.8%).

Profitability stack: net margin -7.8%, ROE -34.2%, ROIC -2.8%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Downside profile is elevated and scenario stress-testing is essential.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +85.1%, momentum -0.1%, net margin -7.8%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

kfs

Kingsway Financial Services Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

KFS ยท NYSE

Loading price and EPS data...

Kingsway Financial Services Inc.

Kingsway Financial Services Inc. Fair Value Envelope

KFS ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that KFS has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $10.23, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Kingsway Financial Services Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $10.23
3Y-125.0%
5Y+23.0%
10Y-2250.0%
3Y+19.0%
5Y+99.0%
10Y-23.0%
3Y-143.0%
5Y+60.0%
10Y-1436.0%
3Y-100.0%
5Y-100.0%
10Y-100.0%
3Y-114.0%
5Y-211.0%
10Y-90.0%
3Y-19.0%
5Y-49.0%
10Y-54.0%
Kingsway Financial Services Inc.

Kingsway Financial Services Inc. Profit Bridge

KFS ยท NYSE
Revenue136.72M
Cost of Goods Sold (0.00)
Gross Profit136.72M
Operating Expenses (48.53M)
Operating Income-6.13M
Interest Expense (5.45M)
Other Income/Expense-7.88M
Pretax Income-14.00M
Income Tax (-3.75M)
Net Income-10.73M
Net Income
-10.73M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

100.0%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

-4.5%

Operating losses indicate the core business is unprofitable. Requires restructuring or revenue growth.

Net Profit Margin

-7.8%

Net losses indicate the company is burning cash. Sustainability depends on path to profitability.

Profitability Insight

Margin squeeze alert: Healthy gross margins but weak operating margins suggest excessive operating expenses. Cost optimization could unlock significant value.

100.00%
Gross Profit Margin
3Y-
5Y-
10Y+3.0%
-4.48%
Operating Profit Margin
-39%
3Y-115.0%
5Y-41.0%
10Y+16.0%
-7.85%
Net Profit Margin
-5%
3Y-136.0%
5Y-20.0%
10Y-1826.0%
-34.15%
Return on Equity
-39%
3Y-130.0%
5Y-77.0%
10Y-2755.0%
-4.64%
Return on Assets
-7%
3Y-154.0%
5Y+212.0%
10Y-2992.0%
-2.77%
Return on Invested Capital
3Y-114.0%
5Y-
10Y+2167.0%
KFS

Kingsway Financial Services Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

KFS ยท NYSE
Net Income-10.25M
Depreciation & Amortization9.22M
Stock-Based Compensation1.72M
Change in Working Capital2.90M
Others472.00K
Capital Expenditures-1.62M
Free Cash Flow-1.62M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

15.8%

Weak cash conversion. Significant portion of earnings not converting to cashโ€”review working capital trends and capital intensity.

CapEx Intensity

-53933.3%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-552.8%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

+$2.90M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Deteriorating cash generation: Both declining FCF and weak conversion rate signal fundamental challenges. Investigate margin pressure, rising costs, or working capital issues.

kfs

Kingsway Financial Services Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

KFS ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents7.27M
Net Receivables16.43M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets54.41M
Total Current Assets78 M
Property, Plant & Equipment6.42M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets120.72M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets26.96M
Total Non-Current Assets33 M
Total Assets
232.21M

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

0.92x

Warning: Liquidity concerns. Current assets may not be sufficient to cover short-term obligations.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

6.12x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

-6857000

Negative working capital indicates short-term liabilities exceed short-term assetsโ€”potential liquidity stress.

Asset Composition

34% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Financial stress indicators: Both liquidity and leverage metrics raise concerns. The company may face challenges meeting obligations and should focus on strengthening its balance sheet.

kfs

Kingsway Financial Services Inc. Street Expectations Map

KFS ยท NYSE

No Target Data

No analyst price targets available for kfs.

kfs

Kingsway Financial Services Inc. Insider Positioning

KFS ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $293K and sold $9.63M worth of KFS shares, resulting in $9.34M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

1.4K

14.69K

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+15K

+$15K

3-6 Months

Bought

1.9K

24.36K

Sold

976.4K

9.10M

Net Activity

-9.1M

-$9.07M

6-9 Months

Bought

15.8K

229.81K

Sold

9.7K

140.23K

Net Activity

+90K

+$90K

9-12 Months

Bought

1.7K

24.37K

Sold

27.9K

392.93K

Net Activity

-369K

-$369K

Top Buyers

1
FJTM

Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

18.3K sharesโ€ข23 transactions

$260K

2
HKA

Hansen Kent A

Officer: Cfo & Evp

2.5K sharesโ€ข21 transactions

$33K

Top Sellers

1
PAJ

Patinkin Adam Jonathan

Director

500.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$4.13M

2
SJ

Stilwell Joseph

Director, 10 Percent Owner:

224.1K sharesโ€ข13 transactions

$2.92M

3
HJ

Horowitz Joshua

Director

252.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$2.08M

4
FJTM

Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney

Director, Officer: President And Ceo

30.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$400K

5
HKA

Hansen Kent A

Officer: Cfo & Evp

7.5K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$103K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $9.34M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.03:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$15K

Very strong recent buying momentum. Recent insider purchases significantly outpace sales, suggesting near-term optimism.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 2 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

0.11%
Dividend Yield
18%
3Y-
5Y-
10Y-
ย 

kfs Dividend History

KFS
10Y CAGR 10%
Latest $0.072
Annual $0.952
Dividend growth trend
Last Period: +12%