Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

HCCยทNYSE

$105.88

-1.2%
EnergyCoal

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. produces and exports non-thermal metallurgical coal for the steel industry. It operates two underground mines located in Alabama. The company sells its metallurgical coal to a customer base of blast furnace steel producers located primarily in Europe, South America, and Asia. It also sells natural gas, which is extracted as a byproduct from coal production. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$5.59B
EPS1.0800
P/E Ratio98.04
Earnings Date08/05/2026
hcc

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Street Expectations Map

HCC ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that HCC stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 112.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 105.00 to a high of 120.00.

Lowest Target
105.00
-0.83%
Consensus Target
112.50
6.25%
Highest Target
120.00
13.34%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 112.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 105.00 to a high of 120.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+6.3%

Moderate upside. Analysts expect positive returns but with limited margin of safety. Consider entry timing.

Analyst Agreement

13.3% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

16.05x

Favorable risk-reward. Potential upside significantly exceeds downside risk, offering asymmetric return profile attractive for risk-tolerant investors.

Analyst Conviction

High

Positive outlook with reasonable agreement. Analysts generally optimistic about prospects with manageable uncertainty.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

HCC ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
1.31B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
1.86B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
1.78B - 1.96B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+42.3%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread9%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

HCC ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
57.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
334.73M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
303.18M - 341.78M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+487.3%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread12%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

hcc

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

HCC ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
1.08
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$6.13
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$5.79 - $6.53
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+467.9%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage3 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread12%

Reasonable estimate spread indicates general agreement with normal forecast variance.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

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Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

HCC ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
45.55M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
443.50M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
424.53M - 465.54M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+873.6%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread9%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

hcc

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

HCC ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
235.89M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
641.47M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
614.03M - 673.34M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+171.9%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread9%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

Key Insight

Compelling growth story with analyst consensus: Strong projected growth combined with narrow estimate spread suggests high-conviction opportunity.

hcc

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

HCC ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
65.68M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
65.57M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
62.77M - 68.83M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-0.2%

Declining expectations indicate headwindsโ€”investigate whether temporary or structural issues.

Analyst Coverage4 Analysts

Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.

Estimate Spread9%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookNeutral

Mixed signalsโ€”some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.

hcc

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Insider Positioning

HCC ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $12.62M worth of HCC shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

110.0K

11.03M

Net Activity

-11.0M

-$11.03M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

21.0K

1.59M

Net Activity

-1.6M

-$1.59M

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
SWJ

Scheller Walter J

Director, Officer: Chief Executive Officer

119.0K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$11.45M

2
GKK

Gant Kelli K.

Officer: See Remarks

10.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$1.00M

3
CBM

Chopin Brian M

Officer: Chief Accounting Officer

2.1K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$170K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $12.62M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

3 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.