GEO - NYSE
The GEO Group, Inc.
$23.60
+1.1%The GEO Group, Inc. engages in the ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, reentry facilities, and processing centers in the United States, Australia, and South Africa. It operates through four segments: U.S. Secure Services, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, Reentry Services, and International Services. The company provides counseling, education, and treatment for alcohol and drug abuse problems at various facilities; and compliance technologies for monitoring services, and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. It also offers secure facility management services, including security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services at secure services facilities; reentry services comprising supervision of individuals in community-based programs and reentry centers, and provision of temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; and supervision and reporting services that improves the participation of non-detained aliens in the immigration court system. In addition, the company provides secure transportation services; and rehabilitation services, such as evidence-based, including cognitive behavioral treatment and post-release services, as well as academic and vocational classes in life skills and treatment programs under the GEO Continuum of Care platform; and develops new facilities based on contract, as well as designs, constructs, and finances the facilities. The GEO Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.
At a Glance
Live SnapshotThe GEO Group, Inc. Street Expectations Map
Wall Street analysts project that GEO stock may experience modest gains over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 24.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 14.00 to a high of 35.00.
The consensus 1-year price target stands at 24.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 14.00 to a high of 35.00.
Analyst Consensus Analysis
Upside Potential
Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.
Analyst Agreement
High uncertainty. Very wide target spread indicates significant disagreement among analysts—major valuation uncertainty or transformation underway.
Risk-Reward Profile
Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.
Analyst Conviction
High uncertainty: Wide dispersion indicates analysts struggle to agree on valuation—proceed with caution and independent analysis.
Market Sentiment Insight
Extreme uncertainty: Massive dispersion in price targets reflects fundamental disagreement on business trajectory. This could signal transformation, disruption, or complex valuation—requires deep sector expertise and contrarian mindset.
The GEO Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue
Forward Growth Analysis
Solid growth trajectory indicates healthy business performance and competitive positioning.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
The GEO Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Key Insight
Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.
The GEO Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
Key Insight
Limited coverage with volatile estimates: Few analysts covering despite significant projected changes may indicate information gaps or emerging risks.
The GEO Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT
Forward Growth Analysis
Significant contraction projected—major business challenges or industry disruption likely.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
The GEO Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA
Forward Growth Analysis
Declining expectations indicate headwinds—investigate whether temporary or structural issues.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Mixed signals—some positive indicators offset by concerns about growth or uncertainty.
The GEO Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense
Forward Growth Analysis
Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.
Limited coverage may indicate reduced institutional interest or information availability.
Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.
Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.
The GEO Group, Inc. Insider Positioning
During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $4.21M worth of GEO shares, with no buying activity reported.
3 Months
0
0.00
0
0.00
+0
+$0
3-6 Months
0
0.00
6.6K
101.09K
-101K
-$101K
6-9 Months
0
0.00
93.5K
1.95M
-2.0M
-$1.95M
9-12 Months
0
0.00
102.7K
2.16M
-2.2M
-$2.16M
Top Buyers
No buying activity
Top Sellers
Zoley George C
Director, Officer: Executive Chairman
$4.11M
Kernan Scott Michael
Director
$101K
Insider Activity Analysis
Net Insider Sentiment
Strong bearish signal with $4.21M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.
Buy/Sell Ratio
Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.
Insider Participation
2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.
Related Guides
Continue your GEO research with focused valuation guides.
Research Paths
Snapshot
Start with context, operating signals, and key market metrics.
Value Model
Stress test fair value across bear, base, and bull assumptions.
Statements
Validate revenue quality, margins, and balance sheet durability.
Earnings Call
Read management commentary and compare it with reported outcomes.
Dividends
Check payout sustainability and long-term distribution behavior.
Analyst Expectations
Review consensus spread and where estimate risk is concentrated.