The GEO Group, Inc.

The GEO Group, Inc.

GEOยทNYSE

$23.60

+1.1%
IndustrialsSecurity & Protection Services

The GEO Group, Inc. engages in the ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, reentry facilities, and processing centers in the United States, Australia, and South Africa. It operates through four segments: U.S. Secure Services, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, Reentry Services, and International Services. The company provides counseling, education, and treatment for alcohol and drug abuse problems at various facilities; and compliance technologies for monitoring services, and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. It also offers secure facility management services, including security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services at secure services facilities; reentry services comprising supervision of individuals in community-based programs and reentry centers, and provision of temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; and supervision and reporting services that improves the participation of non-detained aliens in the immigration court system. In addition, the company provides secure transportation services; and rehabilitation services, such as evidence-based, including cognitive behavioral treatment and post-release services, as well as academic and vocational classes in life skills and treatment programs under the GEO Continuum of Care platform; and develops new facilities based on contract, as well as designs, constructs, and finances the facilities. The GEO Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$3.15B
EPS1.8500
P/E Ratio12.76
Earnings Date08/05/2026
The GEO Group, Inc.

The GEO Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

GEO ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that GEO has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $23.6, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for The GEO Group, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $23.6

Owner Earnings Valuation Tool

Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation

Historical Financial Data

Base year metrics used for projections

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Projection Settings

Forecast period and terminal assumptions

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DCF Valuation Summary

Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share

Present Value$28.8M
+ Cash & Equivalents$69.0M
Firm Value$97.8M
- Debt$1.7B
Equity Value-$1.6B
/ Shares Outstanding139,197,250B
DCF Value-$12
OVERVALUED BY 150%

Owner Earnings Projections

Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Operating Cash Flow
$36.3M
$18.2M
$9.1M
$4.5M
$2.3M
$1.1M
$567.3K
$283.6K
$141.8K
$70.9K
Maintenance CapEx
-$19.8M
-$9.9M
-$4.9M
-$2.5M
-$1.2M
-$617.2K
-$308.6K
-$154.3K
-$77.2K
-$38.6K
Owner Earnings
$16.6M
$8.3M
$4.1M
$2.1M
$1.0M
$517.3K
$258.7K
$129.3K
$64.7K
$32.3K
Discount Factor
0.926
0.857
0.794
0.735
0.681
0.630
0.583
0.540
0.500
0.463
Present Value
$15.3M
$7.1M
$3.3M
$1.5M
$704.2K
$326.0K
$150.9K
$69.9K
$32.3K
$15.0K
Terminal Value represents 0.9% of Enterprise Value