Citizens Financial Group, Inc.

Citizens Financial Group, Inc.

CFGยทNYSE

$61.53

-1.3%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Citizens Bank, National Association that provides retail and commercial banking products and services to individuals, small businesses, middle-market companies, corporations, and institutions in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Consumer Banking and Commercial Banking. The Consumer Banking segment offers deposit products, mortgage and home equity lending products, credit cards, business loans, wealth management, and investment services; and auto, education, and point-of-sale finance loans, as well as digital deposit products. This segment serves its customers through telephone service centers, as well as through its online and mobile platforms. The Commercial Banking segment provides various financial products and solutions, including lending and leasing, deposit and treasury management services, foreign exchange, and interest rate and commodity risk management solutions, as well as syndicated loans, corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions, and debt and equity capital markets services. This segment serves government banking, not-for-profit, healthcare, technology, professionals, oil and gas, asset finance, franchise finance, asset-based lending, commercial real estate, private equity, and sponsor finance industries. It operates approximately 1,200 branches in 14 states and the District of Columbia; 114 retail and commercial non-branch offices in national markets; and approximately 3,300 automated teller machines. The company was formerly known as RBS Citizens Financial Group, Inc. and changed its name to Citizens Financial Group, Inc. in April 2014. Citizens Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1828 and is headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$26.02B
EPS3.9000
P/E Ratio15.78
Earnings Date07/16/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is mid-range (P/E 15.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E 15.8, earnings yield +6.3%, momentum -1.3%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +7.0%, ROIC +4.3%).

Profitability stack: net margin +16.4%, ROE +7.0%, ROIC +4.3%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +88.4%, momentum -1.3%, net margin +16.4%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Citizens Financial Group, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

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Citizens Financial Group, Inc.

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

CFG ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that CFG has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $61.53, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Citizens Financial Group, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $61.53
3Y-5.0%
5Y+76.0%
10Y+98.0%
3Y+23.0%
5Y+45.0%
10Y+93.0%
3Y-12.0%
5Y+73.0%
10Y+75.0%
3Y-46.0%
5Y+1892.0%
10Y+48.0%
3Y-49.0%
5Y-29200.0%
10Y+72.0%
3Y-
5Y+23.0%
10Y+51.0%
Citizens Financial Group, Inc.

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. Profit Bridge

CFG ยท NYSE
Revenue11.15B
Cost of Goods Sold (3.37B)
Gross Profit7.78B
Operating Expenses (5.45B)
Operating Income2.33B
Interest Expense (3.81B)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income2.33B
Income Tax (497.00M)
Net Income1.83B
Net Income
1.83B

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

69.8%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

20.9%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

16.4%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

21.3%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

69.75%
Gross Profit Margin
21%
3Y-16.0%
5Y+1.0%
10Y-18.0%
20.88%
Operating Profit Margin
37%
3Y-29.0%
5Y+23.0%
10Y-22.0%
16.42%
Net Profit Margin
34%
3Y-28.0%
5Y+19.0%
10Y-9.0%
6.96%
Return on Equity
12%
3Y-20.0%
5Y+49.0%
10Y+31.0%
0.81%
Return on Assets
17%
3Y-12.0%
5Y+40.0%
10Y+16.0%
4.25%
Return on Invested Capital
21%
3Y-6.0%
5Y+46.0%
10Y+62.0%
CFG

Citizens Financial Group, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

CFG ยท NYSE
Net Income1.83B
Depreciation & Amortization478.00M
Stock-Based Compensation120.00M
Change in Working Capital-306.00M
Others170.00M
Capital Expenditures-174.00M
Free Cash Flow2.04B

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

111.3%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

7.9%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+8.4%

Steady FCF growth indicates consistent cash generation improvement. On a positive trajectory.

Working Capital Impact

-$306.00M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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Citizens Financial Group, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

CFG ยท NYSE
Cash & Cash Equivalents12.33B
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets12 B
Property, Plant & Equipment874.00M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets8.33B
Long-Term Investments188.24B
Other Non-Current Assets18.14B
Total Non-Current Assets207 B
Total Assets
227.92B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

228.33x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

7.71x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

12 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

5% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

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Citizens Financial Group, Inc. Street Expectations Map

CFG ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that CFG stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 72.42, with estimates ranging from a low of 65.00 to a high of 80.00.

Lowest Target
65.00
5.64%
Consensus Target
72.42
17.70%
Highest Target
80.00
30.02%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 72.42, with estimates ranging from a low of 65.00 to a high of 80.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+17.7%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

20.7% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

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Citizens Financial Group, Inc. Insider Positioning

CFG ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $1.15M worth of CFG shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

19.3K

1.15M

Net Activity

-1.1M

-$1.15M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
LS

Lamonica Susan

Officer: Chief Human Resources Officer

13.3K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$769K

2
MM

Moosally Michelle

Officer: Chief Legal Officer

6.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$376K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $1.15M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$1.15M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Persistent selling pressure: Consistent insider selling with weak buy/sell ratio suggests insiders may be capitalizing on current valuation. Exercise caution and review recent earnings quality and management commentary.

0.77%
Dividend Yield
-17%
3Y-52.0%
5Y-28.0%
10Y+14.0%
ย 

cfg Dividend History

CFG
10Y CAGR +14%
Latest $0.46
Annual $2.22
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%