Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Alaska Air Group, Inc.

ALKยทNYSE

$41.87

-1.0%
IndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air Services

Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services. The company operates through three segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. It flies to approximately 120 destinations throughout North America. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.67B
EPS0.8500
P/E Ratio49.26
Earnings Date07/22/2026
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Alaska Air Group, Inc. Street Expectations Map

ALK ยท NYSE

Wall Street analysts project that ALK stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 63.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 54.00 to a high of 71.00.

Lowest Target
54.00
28.97%
Consensus Target
63.50
51.66%
Highest Target
71.00
69.57%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 63.50, with estimates ranging from a low of 54.00 to a high of 71.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+51.7%

Substantial upside potential. Analysts see significant value gap, suggesting the stock may be materially undervalued at current levels.

Analyst Agreement

26.8% spread

Good consensus alignment. Moderate target spread reflects general agreement on value drivers with some variance in assumptions.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Rare opportunity: Exceptional upside potential with strong analyst consensus creates a compelling setup. The combination of significant price target premium and tight agreement suggests high-conviction undervaluation that may attract institutional capital.

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Alaska Air Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of Revenue

ALK ยท NYSE
Latest Revenue
14.24B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
15.31B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
15.12B - 15.48B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+7.5%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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Alaska Air Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of Net Income

ALK ยท NYSE
Latest Net Income
100.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
612.07M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-261.14M - 939.22M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+512.1%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread196%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

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Alaska Air Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of EPS

ALK ยท NYSE
Latest EPS
0.85
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
$5.58
FY 2026
Estimate Range
$-2.03 - $7.32
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+556.8%

Strong growth expectations signal robust business momentum and market opportunity expansion.

Analyst Coverage9 Analysts

Moderate coverageโ€”sufficient for guidance but may lack depth of large-cap analysis.

Estimate Spread167%

Wide estimate range reveals significant forecast uncertainty and potential volatility.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

Key Insight

High forecast uncertainty: Wide estimate range indicates analysts struggling to predict outcomesโ€”suggests elevated risk and potential volatility.

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Alaska Air Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBIT

ALK ยท NYSE
Latest EBIT
499.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-1.44B
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-1.45B - -1.42B
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-388.3%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Alaska Air Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of EBITDA

ALK ยท NYSE
Latest EBITDA
1.29B
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
-491.31M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
-496.76M - -485.21M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth-138.0%

Significant contraction projectedโ€”major business challenges or industry disruption likely.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookPositive

Generally favorable outlook with reasonable growth prospects and analyst support.

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Alaska Air Group, Inc. Forward Estimates of SG&A Expense

ALK ยท NYSE
Latest SG&A Expense
407.00M
FY 2025
Avg Estimate
446.13M
FY 2026
Estimate Range
440.60M - 451.08M
Analyst Spread

Forward Growth Analysis

Projected Growth+9.6%

Moderate growth expected, typical for mature businesses with stable market positions.

Analyst Coverage10 Analysts

Good analyst coverage ensures reliable estimates with diverse professional perspectives.

Estimate Spread2%

Narrow estimate range signals strong analyst consensus and predictable business outlook.

OutlookStrong

Positive analyst consensus with strong growth expectations and forecast confidence.

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Alaska Air Group, Inc. Insider Positioning

ALK ยท NYSE

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $4.28M worth of ALK shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

56.9K

3.20M

Net Activity

-3.2M

-$3.20M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

19.3K

1.07M

Net Activity

-1.1M

-$1.07M

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
TSR

Tackett Shane R

Officer: Evp And Cfo

39.0K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$2.21M

2
HAR

Harrison Andrew R

Officer: Evp And Cco

27.6K sharesโ€ข3 transactions

$1.51M

3
LKB

Levine Kyle B

Officer: Evp Corp Pub Aff & Chf Leg Off

8.9K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$518K

4
HE

Halverson Emily

Officer: Vp Finance, Controller & Treas

790 sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$40K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $4.28M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

4 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.