Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Alaska Air Group, Inc.

ALKยทNYSE

$41.87

-1.0%
IndustrialsAirlines, Airports & Air Services

Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services. The company operates through three segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. It flies to approximately 120 destinations throughout North America. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$4.67B
EPS0.8500
P/E Ratio49.26
Earnings Date07/22/2026
Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Alaska Air Group, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

ALK ยท NYSE

Our analysis suggests that ALK has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $41.87, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Alaska Air Group, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $41.87

Owner Earnings Valuation Tool

Warren Buffett's Owner Earnings DCF analysis for intrinsic value calculation

Historical Financial Data

Base year metrics used for projections

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Projection Settings

Forecast period and terminal assumptions

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DCF Valuation Summary

Calculation flow from present value to intrinsic value per share

Present Value$809.7M
+ Cash & Equivalents$627.0M
Firm Value$1.4B
- Debt$6.9B
Equity Value-$5.5B
/ Shares Outstanding115,988,613B
DCF Value-$47
OVERVALUED BY 212%

Owner Earnings Projections

Operating Cash Flow - Maintenance CapEx = Owner Earnings

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Operating Cash Flow
$624.5M
$312.3M
$156.1M
$78.1M
$39.0M
$19.5M
$9.8M
$4.9M
$2.4M
$1.2M
Maintenance CapEx
-$158.8M
-$79.4M
-$39.7M
-$19.9M
-$9.9M
-$5.0M
-$2.5M
-$1.2M
-$620.3K
-$310.2K
Owner Earnings
$465.7M
$232.9M
$116.4M
$58.2M
$29.1M
$14.6M
$7.3M
$3.6M
$1.8M
$909.6K
Discount Factor
0.926
0.857
0.794
0.735
0.681
0.630
0.583
0.540
0.500
0.463
Present Value
$431.2M
$199.6M
$92.4M
$42.8M
$19.8M
$9.2M
$4.2M
$2.0M
$910.0K
$421.3K
Terminal Value represents 0.9% of Enterprise Value