Wintrust Financial Corporation

Wintrust Financial Corporation

WTFCยทNASDAQ

$148.02

-0.77%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Wintrust Financial Corporation operates as a financial holding company. It operates in three segments: Community Banking, Specialty Finance, and Wealth Management. The Community Banking segment offers non-interest bearing deposits, non-brokered interest-bearing transaction accounts, and savings and domestic time deposits; home equity, consumer, and real estate loans; safe deposit facilities; and automatic teller machine (ATM), online and mobile banking, and other services. It also engages in the retail origination and purchase of residential mortgages for sale into the secondary market; and provision of lending, deposits, and treasury management services to condominium, homeowner, and community associations, as well as asset-based lending for middle-market companies. In addition, this segment offers loan and deposit services to mortgage brokerage companies; lending to restaurant franchisees; direct leasing; small business administration loans; commercial mortgages and construction loans; and financial solutions. It provides personal and commercial banking services primarily to individuals, small to mid-sized businesses, local governmental units, and institutional clients. The Specialty Finance segment offers commercial and life insurance premiums financing for businesses and individuals; accounts receivable financing, value-added, and out-sourced administrative services; and other specialty finance services, as well as data processing of payrolls, billing, and cash management services to temporary staffing industry. The Wealth Management segment provides trust and investment, asset management, tax-deferred exchange, securities brokerage, and retirement plan services. The company operates 173 banking facilities and 228 ATMs in the Chicago metropolitan area, southern Wisconsin, northwest Indiana, and Florida. Wintrust Financial Corporation was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$9.98B
EPS11.5800
P/E Ratio12.78
Earnings Date07/20/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 12.8).

Valuation inputs: P/E 12.8, earnings yield +7.8%, momentum -0.8%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +11.3%, ROIC +3.6%).

Profitability stack: net margin +19.5%, ROE +11.3%, ROIC +3.6%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +89.8%, momentum -0.8%, net margin +19.5%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

wtfc

Wintrust Financial Corporation Market vs Earnings Trajectory

WTFC ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

Wintrust Financial Corporation

Wintrust Financial Corporation Fair Value Envelope

WTFC ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that WTFC has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $148.02, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Wintrust Financial Corporation.

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $148.02
3Y+42.0%
5Y+145.0%
10Y+202.0%
3Y+92.0%
5Y+123.0%
10Y+275.0%
3Y+62.0%
5Y+181.0%
10Y+298.0%
3Y-34.0%
5Y-276.0%
10Y+193.0%
3Y-35.0%
5Y-248.0%
10Y+211.0%
3Y+34.0%
5Y+58.0%
10Y+177.0%
Wintrust Financial Corporation

Wintrust Financial Corporation Profit Bridge

WTFC ยท NASDAQ
Revenue4.23B
Cost of Goods Sold (1.60B)
Gross Profit2.63B
Operating Expenses (1.51B)
Operating Income1.12B
Interest Expense (1.50B)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income1.12B
Income Tax (294.56M)
Net Income823.84M
Net Income
823.84M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

62.2%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

26.4%

Outstanding operational efficiency. The company generates substantial profit from core operations.

Net Profit Margin

19.5%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

26.3%

Higher tax burden may reflect limited tax optimization or operations in high-tax jurisdictions.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

62.19%
Gross Profit Margin
5%
3Y-27.0%
5Y-17.0%
10Y-30.0%
26.44%
Operating Profit Margin
11%
3Y-17.0%
5Y+29.0%
10Y-10.0%
19.48%
Net Profit Margin
11%
3Y-16.0%
5Y+26.0%
10Y+6.0%
11.35%
Return on Equity
4%
3Y+7.0%
5Y+59.0%
10Y+48.0%
1.16%
Return on Assets
8%
3Y+20.0%
5Y+78.0%
10Y+44.0%
3.63%
Return on Invested Capital
-35%
3Y-40.0%
5Y-3.0%
10Y-38.0%
WTFC

Wintrust Financial Corporation Cash Conversion Engine

WTFC ยท NASDAQ
Net Income823.84M
Depreciation & Amortization118.78M
Stock-Based Compensation41.55M
Change in Working Capital-104.49M
Others-14.18M
Capital Expenditures-49.95M
Free Cash Flow860.40M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

104.4%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

5.5%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

+35.4%

Strong FCF growth demonstrates improving cash generation and business momentum. Positive signal for sustainability.

Working Capital Impact

-$104.49M

Minimal working capital impact on FCF. Changes in operating assets and liabilities well-managed.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Exceptional cash generation: High-quality earnings converting to growing free cash flow. The company demonstrates strong pricing power, efficient operations, and disciplined capital allocation.

wtfc

Wintrust Financial Corporation Funding & Solvency Profile

WTFC ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents543.65M
Net Receivables0.00
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets0.00
Total Current Assets8 B
Property, Plant & Equipment777.60M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets890.70M
Long-Term Investments0.00
Other Non-Current Assets0.00
Total Non-Current Assets778 M
Total Assets
72.16B

Financial Health Analysis

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

8.78x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

8 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

11% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

wtfc

Wintrust Financial Corporation Street Expectations Map

WTFC ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that WTFC stock may rise significantly over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 174.57, with estimates ranging from a low of 160.00 to a high of 185.00.

Lowest Target
160.00
8.09%
Consensus Target
174.57
17.94%
Highest Target
185.00
24.98%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 174.57, with estimates ranging from a low of 160.00 to a high of 185.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

+17.9%

Strong upside potential. Consensus indicates attractive return opportunity with favorable risk-reward profile.

Analyst Agreement

14.3% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Analyst Conviction

Very High

Strong buy conviction: High upside with tight consensus suggests compelling investment opportunity backed by analyst confidence.

Market Sentiment Insight

Monitor and evaluate: Current analyst consensus suggests limited conviction or near-term catalysts. Stay informed on company developments and reassess positioning as new information emerges.

wtfc

Wintrust Financial Corporation Insider Positioning

WTFC ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have purchased $63K and sold $6.78M worth of WTFC shares, resulting in $6.72M of net selling activity.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

13.1K

1.95M

Net Activity

-2.0M

-$1.95M

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

15.8K

2.38M

Net Activity

-2.4M

-$2.38M

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

9-12 Months

Bought

2.4K

62.77K

Sold

18.7K

2.44M

Net Activity

-2.4M

-$2.38M

Top Buyers

1
WEJ

Wehmer Edward J

Officer: Founder And Senior Advisor

2.4K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$63K

Top Sellers

1
DDA

Dykstra David A

Officer: Vice Chairman And Coo

24.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$3.39M

2
BKM

Boege Kathleen M

Officer: Evp, Chief Legal Ofc, And Sec

7.9K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.23M

3
MRB

Murphy Richard B

Officer: Vice Chair,Chief Lending Ofc

7.7K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$1.06M

4
SDL

Stoehr David L

Officer: Chief Financial Officer

5.5K sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$820K

5
HJD

Hahnfeld Jeffrey D

Officer: Evp-Controller & Chief Acc Off

844 sharesโ€ข2 transactions

$123K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $6.72M net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.01:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Recent Trend (3 Months)

$1.95M

Heavy recent selling activity. Recent insider sales notably exceed purchasesโ€”may warrant investigation into company developments.

Insider Participation

High Selling

5 insider sellers vs. 1 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

Insider Activity Insight

Multiple red flags: Heavy selling, numerous sellers, and continued recent selling create a concerning pattern. Investigate fundamental drivers and consider whether company guidance or industry conditions have deteriorated.

0.40%
Dividend Yield
-11%
3Y-44.0%
5Y-31.0%
10Y+5.0%
ย 

wtfc Dividend History

WTFC
10Y CAGR +16%
Latest $0.55
Annual $2.1
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +0%