SB

Stellar Bancorp, Inc.

STELยทNASDAQ

$32.41

+0.062%
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional

Stellar Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company that provides a range of commercial banking services primarily to small and medium-sized businesses, professionals, and individual customers. It accepts deposit products, including checking accounts, commercial accounts, money market accounts, savings accounts, and other time deposits; and certificates of deposit. The company's loan portfolio comprises commercial and industrial loans; commercial real estate loans, including multi-family residential loans; commercial real estate construction and land development loans; residential real estate loans, such as 1-4 family residential mortgage loans; residential construction loans; and consumer and other loans. In addition, it offers automated teller machine services, drive-through services, and depository facilities; mobile banking services; and telephone, mail, and Internet banking services. Further, the company provides safe deposit boxes, debit cards, cash management and wire transfer services, night depository services, direct deposits, cashier's checks, and letters of credit. It has locations in the Southeast region, including Houston, The Woodlands, Sugar Land, Beaumont, and Port Arthur, as well as Dallas. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

At a Glance

Live Snapshot
Market Cap$1.66B
EPS2.1500
P/E Ratio13.20
Earnings Date01/29/2026

Intrinsic Alpha Methodology

Thesis Lenses

Signal ยท Driver ยท Risk

Signal

High confidence

Valuation multiple is compressed (P/E 13.2).

Valuation inputs: P/E 13.2, earnings yield +7.6%, momentum +0.1%.

If multiples stay elevated while momentum fades, downside repricing risk rises.

Driver

High confidence

Return profile is soft (ROE +7.1%, ROIC +6.5%).

Profitability stack: net margin +18.4%, ROE +7.1%, ROIC +6.5%.

Quality deterioration often appears in margins before it shows up in headline EPS.

Risk

High confidence

Risk profile is balanced but has notable pressure points to monitor.

Risk factors: liabilities/assets +85.3%, momentum +0.1%, net margin +18.4%.

Higher leverage with weak momentum and thin margins can amplify drawdown severity.

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Stellar Bancorp, Inc. Market vs Earnings Trajectory

STEL ยท NASDAQ

Loading price and EPS data...

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Stellar Bancorp, Inc. Fair Value Envelope

STEL ยท NASDAQ

Our analysis suggests that STEL has a fair value of HIDDEN per share in the Base Case projection. With shares currently trading at $32.415, this represents a potential HIDDEN relative to our calculated worth for Stellar Bancorp, Inc..

Intrinsic Value
Current Price: $32.415
3Y-25.0%
5Y+6.0%
10Y+94.0%
3Y+139.0%
5Y+267.0%
10Y+432.0%
3Y+41.0%
5Y+128.0%
10Y+376.0%
3Y+24.0%
5Y+136.0%
10Y+304.0%
3Y+23.0%
5Y+139.0%
10Y+326.0%
3Y+53.0%
5Y+214.0%
10Y+278.0%
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Stellar Bancorp, Inc. Profit Bridge

STEL ยท NASDAQ
Revenue625.45M
Cost of Goods Sold (191.53M)
Gross Profit433.92M
Operating Expenses (288.96M)
Operating Income144.96M
Interest Expense (194.41M)
Other Income/Expense0.00
Pretax Income144.96M
Income Tax (29.96M)
Net Income115.00M
Net Income
115.00M

Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin

69.4%

Exceptional pricing power and cost management. The company retains over half of revenue after direct costs.

Operating Margin

23.2%

Healthy operating margins demonstrate effective cost control and strong business fundamentals.

Net Profit Margin

18.4%

Strong net margins indicate efficient operations and favorable tax/interest management.

Effective Tax Rate

20.7%

Moderate tax rate typical for most corporations. Represents standard tax burden on profits.

Profitability Insight

Exceptional profitability across all levels: Strong pricing power, efficient operations, and healthy bottom line indicate a high-quality business with sustainable competitive advantages.

69.38%
Gross Profit Margin
-6%
3Y-24.0%
5Y-22.0%
10Y-21.0%
23.18%
Operating Profit Margin
-12%
3Y-39.0%
5Y-36.0%
10Y-22.0%
18.39%
Net Profit Margin
-13%
3Y-41.0%
5Y-38.0%
10Y-10.0%
7.15%
Return on Equity
-17%
3Y-28.0%
5Y-24.0%
10Y+2.0%
1.05%
Return on Assets
-14%
3Y-8.0%
5Y-27.0%
10Y+26.0%
6.53%
Return on Invested Capital
-12%
3Y-15.0%
5Y-19.0%
10Y+8.0%
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Stellar Bancorp, Inc. Cash Conversion Engine

STEL ยท NASDAQ
Net Income115.00M
Depreciation & Amortization32.03M
Stock-Based Compensation10.76M
Change in Working Capital5.66M
Others-34.13M
Capital Expenditures-4.66M
Free Cash Flow127.96M

Cash Flow Quality Analysis

FCF Conversion Rate

111.3%

Excellent cash generation. The company converts earnings to cash at or above 100%, indicating high-quality earnings.

CapEx Intensity

3.5%

Asset-light business model. Low capital requirements leave more cash available for shareholders and growth investments.

FCF Growth Trend

-20.7%

Significant FCF decline raises concerns. Urgent review needed of operational performance and capital allocation.

Working Capital Impact

+$5.66M

Working capital inflow boosted cash flow. Efficient management of receivables, inventory, and payables contributing positively.

Cash Flow Quality Insight

Asset-light with strong cash conversion: Low capital requirements combined with efficient cash generation creates significant shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, or strategic investments.

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Stellar Bancorp, Inc. Funding & Solvency Profile

STEL ยท NASDAQ
Cash & Cash Equivalents728.45M
Net Receivables34.87M
Inventory0.00
Other Current Assets-629.04M
Total Current Assets2 B
Property, Plant & Equipment107.80M
Goodwill & Intangible Assets573.25M
Long-Term Investments7.40B
Other Non-Current Assets-7.40B
Total Non-Current Assets108 M
Total Assets
10.63B

Financial Health Analysis

Current Ratio

22.64x

Excellent liquidity position. The company can easily cover its short-term obligations with substantial cushion.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

5.43x

High financial leverage. Heavy reliance on debt may indicate increased financial risk and potential solvency concerns.

Working Capital

2 B

Strong working capital position provides significant operational flexibility and financial cushion.

Asset Composition

19% Current

Capital-intensive business with significant long-term investments in property, equipment, or intangibles.

Financial Health Insight

Mixed signals: Strong short-term liquidity provides comfort, but high overall leverage requires careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities and refinancing risk.

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Stellar Bancorp, Inc. Street Expectations Map

STEL ยท NASDAQ

Wall Street analysts project that STEL stock may see slight declines over the coming 12 months. The consensus 1-year price target stands at 32.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 32.00 to a high of 32.00.

Lowest Target
32.00
-1.28%
Consensus Target
32.00
-1.28%
Highest Target
32.00
-1.28%

The consensus 1-year price target stands at 32.00, with estimates ranging from a low of 32.00 to a high of 32.00.

Analyst Consensus Analysis

Upside Potential

-1.3%

Fair value territory. Stock trading near consensus target suggests limited near-term catalysts. Focus on fundamental developments.

Analyst Agreement

0.0% spread

High analyst agreement. Narrow target range indicates strong consensus on valuation, suggesting clear investment thesis and predictable outlook.

Risk-Reward Profile

1.00x

Balanced risk-reward. Upside and downside potential relatively symmetric. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance with conviction in thesis.

Analyst Conviction

Moderate

Neutral sentiment. Fair value pricing with moderate agreement suggests wait-and-see approach or catalyst-driven opportunity.

Market Sentiment Insight

Efficient pricing: Stock trading at fair value with strong consensus suggests market has priced in expectations. Look for fundamental inflection points or new catalysts to drive meaningful moves.

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Stellar Bancorp, Inc. Insider Positioning

STEL ยท NASDAQ

During the last 12 months, insiders have sold $85K worth of STEL shares, with no buying activity reported.

3 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

3-6 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

6-9 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

2.8K

85.05K

Net Activity

-85K

-$85K

9-12 Months

Bought

0

0.00

Sold

0

0.00

Net Activity

+0

+$0

Top Buyers

No buying activity

Top Sellers

1
VIRA

Vitulli, Iii Ramon A.

Officer: President

1.8K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$54K

2
WJF

West Joe F

Officer: Senior Executive Vp, Cco

1.0K sharesโ€ข1 transactions

$31K

Insider Activity Analysis

Net Insider Sentiment

Bearish

Strong bearish signal with $85K net selling. Heavy insider selling may indicate concerns about valuation or near-term prospects.

Buy/Sell Ratio

0.00:1

Very poor ratio. Heavy selling with minimal buying suggests insiders may be concerned about valuation or outlook.

Insider Participation

High Selling

2 insider sellers vs. 0 buyers. Widespread selling across multiple insiders may signal concerns.

0.35%
Dividend Yield
-30%
3Y-10.0%
5Y-43.0%
10Y-
ย 

stel Dividend History

STEL
10Y CAGR +12%
Latest $0.15
Annual $0.57
5 year growth trend
Last Period: +7%